AGENDA
MTNCLIM 2010
H.J. Andrews Experimental Forest, Blue River, Oregon
June 7-10, 2010
www.fs.fed.us/psw/mtnclim
MONDAY JUNE 7
1:00-5:00pm Pre-Conference Field Trip, Andrews Forest and Lookout Creek Watershed,
Barbara Bond and Mark Schulze, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR.
Meet at the HJ Andrews Forest Headquarters
2:00-6:00
MtnClim Registration & Onsite Lodging Check-in; Poster Set-up
HJ Andrews Forest Headquarters, McRae Cafeteria Foyer
5:00
Appetizers, McRae Cafeteria Foyer
6:00
Dinner, McRae Cafeteria
7:30-9:30
MtnClim 2010 Convenes, Conference Hall
Moderator, Connie Millar, USDA Forest Service, Albany, CA
HJ Andrews Forest Welcome, Barbara Bond, Oregon State University,
Corvallis, OR
Keynote Speakers:
Tom Spies, USDA Forest Service and Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR
A legacy of ecological research in the western Cascades, Oregon
Kelly Redmond, Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV
Weather & climate in the West since MtnClim 2008
TUESDAY, JUNE 8
6:30am
Breakfast, Cafeteria
8:00
MtnClim Introduction & Objectives, Conference Hall
Connie Millar, USDA Forest Service, Albany, CA
8:15
Special Session: High-Resolution Climate Monitoring and Modeling
Moderator, Lisa Graumlich
8:15
Chris Daly, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR
Historical relationships between the spatial and temporal patterns of climate:
Implications for mapping the future
8:45am
Phil Duffy, Climate Central, Palo Alto CA
Challenges in simulating climate change in mountain regions
9:15
Christina Tague, Bren School of Geography, UCSB, Santa Barbara, CA
Implications of hillslope-scale climate variation for estimating eco-hydrologic
responses to warming
9:45
Break
10:15
Levi Brekke, Bureau of Reclamation, Denver, CO
Climate change impacts on water supply predictability
10:45
Paul Neiman, NOAA, Boulder, CO
Landfalling impacts of atmospheric rivers: From extreme events to long-term
consequences
11:15
Mike Dettinger, USGS, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD, La Jolla, CA
Constructing ARkStorm--An extreme storm scenario for emergency
preparedness in California
11:45
Session on Mountain Geomorphology and Climate
Moderator, Mike Dettinger, USGS, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD,
La Jolla, CA
Bodo Bookhagen, UCSB, Santa Barbara, CA
Climate variability and mass-transport processes in the Himalaya
12:15pm
Lunch, Cafeteria
1:30
Afternoon Sessions, Conference Hall
Moderator, Henry Diaz, NOAA, Boulder, CO
Special Session: Machida Session on Risk, Communicating Science, Policy &
Uncertainties
1:30
Michele Wood, California State University, Fullerton, CA
Motivating public readiness for disasters: Research findings and evidence-based
recommendations for practice
2:00
Richard Murnane, Bermuda Biological Stn of Ocean Science, Garrett Park, MD
Dealing with risk: A view from the world of catastrophe risk modeling and
insurance
2:30
Gregg Garfin, Institute of the Environment, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
A plausible range: Some observations on how resource managers are
tackling climate change uncertainties
3:00
Break
3:30pm
Madeleine Nash, Independent Journalist, San Francisco, CA
Who's who and what's what? Threading one's way through the maze of new
media
4:00
Tim Brown, Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV
The risk of communicating science to wildfire managers
4:30
Greg Greenwood, Mountain Research Initiative, University of Bern, Switzerland,
Lessons learned on communications from six years of Mountain Research
Initiative
5:00
Tour of HJA Compound & Environs (Debris Flume, Meteorological Station,
Research)
Mark Schulze, Oregon State University, HJ Andrews Forest
6:30
Dinner, Cafeteria
7:30
Evening Speaker, Conference Hall, Moderator, Connie Millar
Fred Swanson, Oregon State University and USDA Forest Service, PNW
Research Station, Corvallis, OR
History and legacy research of the HJ Andrews Forest
WEDNESDAY JUNE 9
6:30am
Breakfast, Cafeteria
8:00
Contributed Session 1, Conference Hall
Moderator, Dave Peterson, USDA Forest Service, PNW Research Station,
Seattle, WA
8:00
Jim Miller, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ
Enhanced temperature increases in high-altitude regions
8:25
Imitaz Rangwala, NOAA, ESRL, Boulder, CO
Examining climate change between the late 20th and mid 21st century in
Colorado’s San Juan Mountains from high-resolution climate models
8:50
Alan Hamlet, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
Responding to evolving stakeholder needs for 21st century hydrologic scenarios:
An overview of the Columbia Basin Climate Scenarios Project
9:15
Gordon Grant, USDA Forest Service, PNW Research Station, Corvallis, OR
Streamflow response to climate warming in mountain regions: Integrating the
effects of snowpack and groundwater dynamics
9:40
Break
10:10
Contributed Session 2, Conference Hall
Moderator, Nate Stephenson, USGS, Sequoia-Kings Canyon Field Station,
Three Rivers, CA
10:10am
Ryan MacDonald, University of Lethbridge, Alberta Canada
Stream temperature response to environmental change
10:35
Cody Routson, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
Characterizing 2000 years of high-elevation climate variability in the south
San Juan Mountains, CO
11:00
Jeremy Littell, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
In pursuit of better models of the relationship between climate and fire: The role
of water balance in area burned in the Pacific Northwest
11:25
Kathryn Thomas, USGS, Southwest Biological Center, Tucson, AZ
The USA-National Phenology Network: Tracking the phenological response of
plants, animals, and landscapes across the nation
11:50
Lunch & Free Time
2:00pm
Contributed Session 3
Moderator, Dominique Bachelet, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR
2:00
Louis Scuderi, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM
Recent enhanced tree growth at upper altitude sites in the western United States:
Links to water-use efficiency
2:25
Julia Jones, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR
What we know about how climate change is affecting physical, biological, and
social systems in and near the Andrews Forest, Oregon
2:50
Harold Zald, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR
Multiscale climatic, topographic, and biotic controls of tree invasion in a subalpine parkland landscape, Jefferson Park, Oregon Cascades, USA
3:15
Chris Dolanc, University of California, Davis, CA
Widespread shifts in stand structure of subalpine conifers of the central Sierra
Nevada over the last 75 years
3:40
Stu Weiss, Creekside Center for Earth Observation, Menlo Park, CA
From butterflies to bristlecones: Microclimatic and topoclimatic range adjustments as a foundation for conservation in a changing macroclimate
4:05
Break
4:30
Demonstration, Conference Hall
Moderator, Connie Millar
Dominique Bachelet, Conservation Biology Institute, Oregon State University,
Corvallis, OR
Data Basin Climate Center
6:00
Dinner, Cafeteria
7:30pm
Poster Session with Machida Awards to Best Student Posters, Classroom
Oral presentation in Conference Hall:
Wolf Berger, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD, La Jolla, CA
A. E. Douglass and the search for solar cycles in tree rings
THURSDAY, JUNE 10
6:30am
Breakfast, Cafeteria
8:00
Early-Career Scientists Session
Conveners: Andy Bunn (Western Washington University, Bellingham, WA),
Ryan MacDonald (University of Lethbridge, Alberta, Canada), Christina Tague
(University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA)
8:00
Todd Lookingbill, Dept. of Geography and Environment, Univ. of Richmond, VA
Life on the edge: Monitoring forest community ecotones in a changing climate
8:25
Sarah Boon, Dept Geography, University of Lethbridge, Lethbridge, AB, Canada
Forest disturbance in mountain environments: Hydrologic impacts of increasing
landscape heterogeneity
8:50
Phil van Mantgem, USGS, Western Ecological Research Ctr, Arcata, CA
Tree mortality, climatic change and the future of forests in the western United
States
9:15
Rob Klinger, USGS, Yosemite Field Stn, Bishop, CA
A mammal’s take on the Rapture Hypothesis, Jacob’s Ladder, and other notions
of doom, gloom, and uniform change in alpine ecosystems
9:40
Break
10:10
Contributed Session 4
Moderator, Greg Greenwood, Mountain Research Initiative, Bern, Switzerland
10:10
Janneke HilleRisLambers, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
The heat is on: The impacts of climate change on species distribution
10:35
Karen Pope, USDA Forest Service, PSW Research Station, Arcata, CA
Interactive impacts of a fungal pathogen and temperature on amphibians in the
mountains of northern California
11:00
Jennifer Davison (presented by Lisa Graumlich), Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
Views from climate space reveal missing assets in conservation portfolios
and prioritize for building adaptive capacity
11:25
Rebecca Kennedy, USDA Forest Service, PNW Research Station, Corvallis, OR
Assessing potential tradeoffs in ecosystem services with climate change and fire
management in a mountainous landscape on the Olympic Peninsula,
Washington, USA
11:50
Concluding Remarks
12:00
MtnClim Adjourns with Lunch (Sandwich Bar; eat onsite or take to-go)