Office of Research
December 18, 2003
The following pages provide ten-year annual FTE graphs for each prefix or program within the Academic
Enrichment and Language Studies Division and for the
Division overall. Each graph shows both a prefix graph (with scale on the left) and an overall Harper graph (with scale on the right). Following the graphs, a table containing FTE values for each prefix is provided. Data were obtained from the
Registrar’s Office.
Each graph has 10-year (1994-2003) and 5-year (1999-
2003) standardized beta coefficients for linear trends reported.
Trends significant at the .05 level are followed by *, trends significant at the .01 level are followed by **, and trends not significantly different from 0 (a horizontal line) are followed by ns. The standardized beta coefficients were obtained from linear regression analyses although some of the graphs are clearly not linear. Standardized coefficients were used to allow comparison of coefficients. Standardized beta coefficients range from –1 to +1 with zero indicating enrollment was steady
(neither increasing nor decreasing by very much). Negative values indicate downward trends; positive values indicate upward trends.
A significant result indicates the presence of a significant linear component. If the probability of obtaining a beta coefficient different from zero when there was no linear trend was less than .05, the trend line was considered significant. A non-significant result indicates either the FTE changed very little from year to year or no linear trend was present.
It should be noted that the left vertical axes on the graphs are set to different scales depending on the course prefix annual FTE. What may appear to be a steeper decline on a graph as compared to another graph may not be steeper due to the vertical scale. For example, on page 3, the 10-year graph for LNG appears to be declining more rapidly than the 10-year graph for PSY 106 but in fact, PSY 106 is declining at a faster rate. Note that both standardized beta coefficients are negative and that the 10-year LNG coefficient is closer to zero.
Some general comments related to the graphs are given below:
· The overall 10-year Harper trend was not significant, but the strong 5-year trend upward was significant.
· AED, ESL, and ITP prefix annual FTE and the
Academic Enrichment and Language Studies Division graphs had significant 10-year upward trends but only
SGN had a significant 5-year upward trend.
· PSY 106 exhibited a significant 10-year downward trend.
· Although some of the 5-year standardized beta coefficients appeared large, with the exception of SGN, none were significant.
Prepared by the Office of Research 1 December 18, 2003
1400.00
1200.00
1000.00
800.00
600.00
400.00
200.00
.00
Ten Year FTE for AED and Harper
AED
10-yr B =.786**
5-yr B =.820 ns
HARPER
10-yr B =.410 ns
5-yr B =.988**
1400.00
1200.00
1000.00
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
10-yr B =.957**
5-yr B =.405 ns
YEAR
Ten Year FTE for ESL and Harper
ESL
800.00
600.00
400.00
200.00
HARPER
10-yr B =.410 ns
5-yr B =.988**
.00
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
YEAR
*Significant at the .05 level. **Significant at the .01 level.
19000.00
18500.00
18000.00
17500.00
17000.00
16500.00
16000.00
15500.00
19000.00
18500.00
18000.00
17500.00
17000.00
16500.00
16000.00
15500.00
Prepared by the Office of Research 2
Ten Year FTE for ENG 098 and Harper
120.00
19000.00
100.00
ENG 098
10-yr B =-.249 ns
5-yr B =-.596 ns
18500.00
80.00
18000.00
17500.00
60.00
17000.00
40.00
20.00
HARPER
10-yr
5-yr
B
B
=.410 ns
=.988**
16500.00
16000.00
.00
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
YEAR
15500.00
Ten Year FTE for ITP and Harper
120.00
100.00
ITP
10-yr B =.573*
5-yr B =.806 ns
19000.00
18500.00
18000.00
80.00
60.00
40.00
20.00
HARPER
10-yr
5-yr
B
B
=.410 ns
=.988**
17500.00
17000.00
16500.00
16000.00
.00
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
YEAR
15500.00
December 18, 2003
35.00
30.00
Ten Year FTE for LNG and Harper
LNG
25.00
20.00
15.00
10.00
5.00
.00
10-yr B =-.305 ns
5-yr B =-.858 ns
HARPER
10-yr B =.410 ns
5-yr B =.988**
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
YEAR
Ten Year FTE for RDG and Harper
250.00
200.00
150.00
100.00
50.00
RDG
10-yr B =.092 ns
5-yr B =-.589 ns
HARPER
10-yr B =.410 ns
5-yr B =.988**
.00
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
YEAR
*Significant at the .05 level. **Significant at the .01 level.
19000.00
18500.00
18000.00
17500.00
17000.00
16500.00
16000.00
15500.00
19000.00
18500.00
18000.00
17500.00
17000.00
16500.00
16000.00
15500.00
Prepared by the Office of Research 3
Ten Year FTE for PSY 106 and Harper
250.00
200.00
150.00
PSY 106
10-yr
5-yr B
B =-.934**
=-.291 ns
19000.00
18500.00
18000.00
17500.00
100.00
17000.00
16500.00
50.00
HARPER
10-yr B =.410 ns
5-yr B =.988**
16000.00
.00
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
YEAR
15500.00
Ten Year FTE for SGN and Harper
250.00
19000.00
18500.00
200.00
18000.00
150.00
SGN
10-yr B =.008 ns
5-yr B =.911*
17500.00
100.00
17000.00
16500.00
50.00
HARPER
10-yr B =.410 ns
5-yr B =.988**
16000.00
.00
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
YEAR
15500.00
December 18, 2003
3500.00
3000.00
Ten Year FTE for AELS and Harper
AELS
10-yr B =.921**
5-yr B =.688 ns
2500.00
2000.00
1500.00
1000.00
500.00
.00
HARPER
10-yr B =.410 ns
5-yr B =.988**
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
YEAR
*Significant at the .05 level. **Significant at the .01 level.
YEAR HARPER AELS AED
1994 17644.33
1970.13
544.60
1995 17115.27
1999.51
581.67
1996 16713.90
2188.67
674.87
1997 16767.52
2213.77
727.03
1998 16544.55
2513.90
936.60
1999 16528.55
2490.87
881.07
2000 16848.17
2678.27
963.27
2001
2002
2003
17187.30
17737.43
18362.70
2926.24
2881.48
2755.93
1129.97
1079.87
1091.33
19000.00
18500.00
18000.00
17500.00
17000.00
16500.00
16000.00
15500.00
ENG098
80.80
66.80
71.40
52.20
83.00
97.00
65.20
62.80
68.80
69.00
ESL
652.73
726.97
815.47
859.07
921.80
945.53
1095.13
1199.20
1196.47
1034.13
ITP LNG
24.00
29.00
24.00
16.40
25.60
19.00
26.80
17.20
25.70
15.80
23.67
16.00
29.40
10.00
31.00
31.47
30.87
5.80
6.20
6.00
PSY106
199.80
171.20
161.80
133.80
148.20
144.40
126.20
113.40
127.40
133.40
RDG
217.60
186.80
206.40
185.20
186.40
212.20
216.60
201.20
181.20
204.40
SGN
221.60
225.67
214.13
212.47
196.40
171.00
172.47
182.87
190.07
186.80
Prepared by the Office of Research 4 December 18, 2003