AGENDA
MTNCLIM 2008
Silverton, Colorado
June 9-12, 2008
MTNCLIM 2008 website: www.fs.fed.us/psw/mtnclim
version 060308a
Sunday, June 8 – Monday June 9
(Optional) Pre-Conference Field Trip to Rocky Mountain Biological Lab (David Inouye, leader)
(Optional) Pre-Conference Field Trip to Swamp Angel Study Plot and Stream Gauge (Chris Landry, leader)
Monday, June 9
Arrive in Silverton and check into hotels
Afternoon Options
12:00 – 1:30pm Public Town Hall Lectures & Discussion
Silverton Town Hall, Koren Nydick (MSI) and Connie Millar (USFS) Moderating
Henry Diaz, NOAA/CIRES, Boulder, CO
Lisa Graumlich, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
Connie Woodhouse, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
Connie Millar, USDA Forest Service, Albany, CA
Discussion with Public (CIRMOUNT scientists invited to participate)
3:00-5:00pm Pre-Conference Work-Group Discussions and Socializing
Mountain Climate Monitoring Network: K Redmond, C. Landry, M. Losleben,
Kendall Mtn Center
Hydrologic Observatories: M. Matter & M. Dettinger
Kendall Mtn Center
GLORIA: C. Millar & D. Fagre
Town Hall
International Collaborations; G. Greenwood, C. Allen, & N. Stephenson
Town Hall
Paleoclimatic Archives for Resource Managers: C Woodhouse, G. Pederson
Old Hospital Conference room, Snowden and 13th St., ground floor
Ecosystem Responses: J. Littell & J. Hicke
First Congregational Church, 1070 Reese St.
Posters may be hung in Kendall Mountain Center (upstairs) Monday afternoon or evening
3:00 – 6:00pm Registration & Conference Information
Kendall Mountain Center
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6:00 – 7:30pm Dinner
Kendall Mountain Center
7:30 – 9:00pm Evening Program: MTNCLIM 2008 CONFERENCE CONVENES
Kendall Mountain Center
7:30 –7:45
Welcome from Silverton Mayor (Terry Erwin), Ernie Kuhlman (Lead County Commissioner) and
Mountain Studies Institute Director (Koren Nydick)
CIRMOUNT Announcements (Millar, et al.)
7:45 – 8:15
Kelly Redmond, Desert Research Institute, Reno, NV
The MTNCLIM “Year”: Western mountain climate 2007-2008 in perspective
8:15 – 9:00 Keynote Presentation, Introduction by Jill Baron, USGS, Ft. Collins, CO
Mark Myers, Director, U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA
USGS in the 21st Century: Addressing climate change and other new directions
Tuesday, June 10
Breakfast on your own
8:00 – 11:30 am Special Session I (invited); Dennis Machida Memorial Session. Theme:
Drought & Adaptation, Regional Climate Initiatives. Moderator: Henry Diaz, NOAA, Boulder CO,
Silverton Town Hall
8:00 – 8:30 Roger Pulwarty, National Integrated Drought Information System & NOAA, Boulder, CO
Climate services to support adaptation: NIDIS as a prototype
8:30 – 9:00 John Katzenberger, Director, Aspen Global Change Institute, Aspen, CO
Roaring Fork Valley: A sub-regional initiative
9:00 – 9:30 Sandra Brown, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, B.C.
Climate and land-use-change impacts on carbon and water cycles in high elevation Andean ecosystems: Monitoring
and institutional implications
9:30 – 10:00am
Break
10:00 – 10:30 Susan Iott , Natural Resources and Environment Team, Government Accounting Office,
Boulder, CO
Implementing adaptive management in the federal context: From the Everglades to Yellowstone
10:30 – 11:00
Koren Nydick, Mountain Studies Institute, Durango and Silverton, CO
The San Juan Climate Initiative: A scientist-stakeholder partnership for understanding and adapting to place-based climate
change
11:00 – 11:30
Speaker/Topic TBA
11:45 - 1:20pm Lunch
Kendall Mountain Center
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Invited Speaker, Introduction by Henry Diaz, NOAA, Boulder, CO
Roger Barry, Geography Department & Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences,
University of Colorado, Boulder
Recent advances in mountain meteorology and climatology
1:30 – 4:55pm Special Session II (invited) Theme: Adaptation to Climate Change.
Moderator: Dave Peterson, USFS, PNW Research Station, Seattle, WA. Session Chair
Silverton Town Hall
1:30 – 1:55 Don McKenzie, USFS Pacific Northwest Research Station, Seattle, WA
Adaptation challenges in the West: Climate, fire, and insects
1:55 – 2:20 Leigh Welling, USDI, National Park Service, West Glacier, MT
Principles and practice of adaptation in mountain protected areas
2:20 – 2:45 Geoff Blate, EPA, Washington D.C.
Adapting to climate change on US federal lands
2:45 – 3:10 James Prairie, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO
Water resources and adaptation in the upper Colorado River Basin
3:10 – 3:40pm
Break
3:40 – 4:05 Alan Hamlet, University of Washington, Climate Impacts Group, Seattle, WA
Integrating multiple hydrological resources and values in adaptation
4:05 – 4:30 Dave Spittlehouse, British Columbia Ministry of Forests, BC, Canada
Adaptation in forest management
4:30 – 4:55 Kathy O’Halloran, USFS, Olympic National Forest, Olympia, WA
Adapting to climate change on the Olympic National Forest
5:30– 7:30pm
Evening Poster Session with Appetizers and No-Host Bar
Kendall Mountain Center
Jeff Hicke, Idaho State University and Jeremy Littell, University of Washington
Mountain mysteries: Photographic slide show presentation & competition
Dinner on your own
Wednesday, June 11
Breakfast on your own
8:00 – 11:50am Contributed Session. Moderator: Lisa Graumlich, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
Silverton Town Hall
8:00 – 8:20 Brian Luckman, Dept. of Geography, University of Western Ontario, London, Canada
IAI CRN 2047 Documenting, understanding and projecting changes in the hydrological cycle in the America Cordillera- An
overview
8:20 – 8:40 Jessica Lundquist, Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
Mapping temperature across complex terrain
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8:40 – 9:00 Randy Julander, Natural Resources Conservation Service, University of Utah, Salt Lake City,
UT
Difficulties in the measurement and interpretation of high elevation climate data in Utah
9:00 – 9:20 Greg Pederson, USGS, Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center, Bozeman, MT
Multi-scale reconstructions of snowpack variability for key watersheds in western North America: Tree-rings provide insights on
the past 500 to 1000 years
9:20 – 9:40 Steve Gray, Wyoming State Climate Office, University of Wyoming, Laramie WY,
Combined water balance and tree-ring approaches to understanding the potential hydrologic effects of climate change on the
Yellowstone River
9:40 – 10:10am Break
10:10 – 10:30 Fengjing Liu, School of Engineering, University of California, Merced, CA
Elevation-dependent source waters for the upper Merced River, Sierra Nevada, California: Runoff disproportionality, shift in
flowpaths and hydroclimatic implications
10:30 – 10:50
Chris Landry, Center for Snow and Avalanche Studies, Silverton, CO
Infrastructure for investigating and monitoring Colorado mountain system sensitivity to regional climate change at the edge of
the Colorado Plateau
10:50 – 11:10
Imtiaz Rangwala, Dept. of Environmental Sciences, Rutgers University, NJ
Analysis of climatic changes in the San Juan Mountain region during the 20th century
11:10 – 11:30
Dan Fagre, USGS West Glacier Field Station, West Glacier, MT
Climatic and topographic influences on the mass balance of a receding cirque glacier, Glacier National Park, Montana
11:30 – 11:50
Hans Schreier, Institute for Resources & Environment, University of British Columbia, Vancouver,
B.C. Canada
Innovative stormwater management in mountain communities: An adaptation approach to increased climatic variability
11:50-1:30pm
Lunch
Kendall Mountain Center
Invited Speaker, Introduction by Connie Millar, USFS PSW Research Stn, Albany, CA
Nolan Doesken, Colorado State Climatologist, Ft. Collins, CO
The incredible climate of Colorado; A flatlander’s journey to the mountains
1:30 – 3:30pm Free time for informal group meetings or outdoor play
(Kendall Mountain Center and Avon Hotel available for small groups)
3:30 – 5:30pm Special Session III: Invited Panel and Plenary Discussion. Theme: Regional
Climate Downscaling: When, How, How much, What assumptions? Moderator: Mike Anderson,
Department of Water Resources, State of California, Sacramento, CA
Silverton Town Hall
Panelists:
3:30 – 3:50 Chris Daly, Department of Geosciences, Oregon State University, PRISM Group, and Oregon
Climate Service, Corvallis, OR
3:50 – 4:10 Jim Byrne, Department of Geography, University of Lethbridge, Alberta, Canada
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4:10 – 4:30 Alan Hamlet, Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington Seattle, WA
4:30 – 4:50 John Horel, Department of Meteorology, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT
4:50 – 5:10 Linda Mearns, National Center for Atmospheric Research, UCAR, Boulder, CO
5:10 – 5:30 DISCUSSION
Dinner on your own
8:00 – 10:00pm Evening Mixer
Caledonia Boarding House, Silverton Historical Society Museum
Dessert & Drinks; Music by Scott Craig Band
Thursday, June 12
8:00 – 11:50 am Contributed Session. Moderator: Jessica Lundquist, University of Washington,
Seattle, WA
Silverton Town Hall
8:00 – 8:20 Nate Stephenson, USGS, Western Ecological Research Center, Three Rivers, CA
Taking the pulse of mountain forests: The Cordillera Forest Dynamics Network (CORFOR)
8:20 – 8:40 Phil van Mantgem, USGS, Sequoia and Kings Canyon Field Station, Three Rivers, CA
Widespread increase of tree mortality rates in the Western United States
8:40 – 9:00 Christophe Randin, INSTAAR, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO
Past and future changes in alpine tundra in the Rocky Mountains
9:00 – 9:20 Heidi Steltzer, Natural Resource Ecology Lab, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO
Field-based vegetation monitoring through spectral technologies: Successes and limitations
9:20 – 9:40 Jennifer Davison, School of Natural Resources, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ
Drought-induced vegetation change in sky island mountains: Remotely sensed phenology along gradients of woody plant cover
9:40 – 10:10am Break
10:10 – 10:30
Abraham Miller-Rushing, Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory, Crested Butte, CO
How well do first flowering dates measure plant responses to climate change?
10:30 – 10:50 Lori Daniels, Department of Geography, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC Canada
Fire history in the Canadian Rockies: Evidence of mixed-severity fires in montane forests
10:50 – 11:10
Anne Schrag, World Wildlife Fund-Northern Great Plains Program, Bozeman, MT
Impacts of climate change on greater sage-grouse (Centrocercus urophasianus) populations in the Northern Rockies and Great
Plains: Understanding the combined impacts of climate, altered fire regimes and emerging infectious disease
11:10 – 11:30
Chris Ray, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO
Inferring the role of climate in the decline of the American pika
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11:30 – 11:50 David Inouye, University of Maryland, Department of Biology, College Park, MD
Changes in dates of emergence from hibernation by chipmunks, ground squirrels, and marmots at high altitude in the Colorado
Rocky Mountains: An effect of climate change?
11:50 – 12:00pm MTNCLIM Wrap-Up & What’s Next for CIRMOUNT
Noon
MTNCLIM 2008 ADJOURNS
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Thursday, June 12
12:30 – 5:00pm Post-MtnClim Managers’ Workshop
Dave Peterson (USFS, PNW) and Koren Nydick (MSI)
Town Hall
12:30-1:00
1:00-1:20
1:20-1:50
1:50-2:10
Sign in and snacks
Welcome and introductions (Koren Nydick, Mountain Studies Institute, Silverton, CO)
Regional climate outlook presentation (Koren Nydick)
Managers’ perspectives discussion (Koren Nydick facilitate)
2:10-2:20
2:20-3:00
3:00-3:30
Break
Overview of climate adaptation options (Jill Baron, USGS, Ft Collins, CO)
Olympic National Park case study (Dave Peterson, USFS, Seattle, WA)
3:30-3:40
3:40-4:10
4:10-4:50
4:50-5:00
Break
Tahoe National Forest case study (Connie Millar, USFS, Albany, CA)
Discussion of how to implement locally (Connie Millar and Dave Peterson facilitate)
Wrap up, where to go from here (Koren Nydick)
Friday, June 13
9:00 – 4:00pm
Cordillera Forest Dynamics Network (CORFOR) Workshop (Invited Participation)
Nate Stephenson (USGS) and Alvaro Duque (Univ. Nacional de Colombia)
Town Hall
MTNCLIM 2008 SPONSORS
University of Arizona, School of Natural Resources
NOAA, Earth Systems Research Lab
USDA Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Research Station
USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station
USGS Water Resources, Geology, and Biological Resources Divisions
Mountain Studies Institute, Silverton, CO
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The Nature Conservancy
Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado
Fort Lewis College, Durango, CO
University of California, Scripps Institution of Oceanography
Mountain Research Initiative, Berne, Switzerland
Desert Research Institute, Western Regional Climate Center
University of Arizona, Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research
University of California, White Mountain Research Station
Center for Snow and Avalanche Studies, Silverton, CO
Town of Silverton, Silverton, CO