CRiSM Workshop
Statistical and Probabilistic Methodologies for Energy
Systems
www.warwick.ac.uk/CRISM
University of Warwick
April 14th–16th 2014
Call for Papers
Scope
On-going problems in both planning future capacity and the running of future power grids are
producing many interesting statistical problems. The workshop will focus on developments in
suitable stochastic (statistical and probabilistic) methodologies to address these problems.
A key feature of electrical energy systems is that supply and demand must be balanced on a
minute-by-minute, or in some cases even a second-by-second, basis. They must further be
balanced spatially to the extent that the capacity of the transmission network is not exceeded.
Changes to the generation mix driven by carbon dioxide reduction targets and the replacement of
ageing generation capacity is making this increasingly difficulty. Wind power and other sources of
renewable energy are highly variable and unpredictable, and a future dependency on these will
create major challenges in the balancing of supply and demand. We require the capacity of these
uncertain resources to be effectively utilised without compromising either adequacy of supply or
the means to transmit it. In addition changes to electricity demand and metering technologies are
exacerbating these problems, examples include the increased use of electric cars, smart meters
and home generation.
Topics to be covered include:
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Real-time prediction of renewable-based energy and demand, focusing in particular on its
spatiotemporal distribution.
Development of computationally efficient real-time management methodologies of such
large-scale systems.
Stochastic methodologies to support decision making for planning of network
reinforcement and generation capacity.
Reliability analysis for future generation technologies.
Stochastic modelling and analysis of relevant control algorithms for supply and demand
side technologies.
Format
The workshop will offer a mix of invited papers, submitted papers and posters with ample time for
discussion and reflection. There will be a session run jointly with the Warwick Global Research
Priority on Energy (http://www.warwick.ac.uk/research/priorities/energy). On the Monday evening
there will be a reception and a workshop dinner will be held on the Tuesday evening.
Submission Process
We welcome submission of abstracts of up to 500 words. The abstract should contain all relevant
elements of your talk, including conclusions. Please use mathematical notation sparingly.
Abstracts will be accepted in either Latex or Word. Further submission details will be posted on
the Workshop website by late September.
Important Dates:
 Submission Deadline: 31st October 2013
 Decision: 15th January 2014
 Workshop Dates: 14th−16th April 2014
Further Details:
The workshop will be held at the Zeeman Building, Warwick University and is arranged as part of
the Centre for Research in Statistical Methodology (CRiSM). Accommodation will be available on
campus.
The Workshop Website go live in August 2013, accept abstract submission by late September,
and registration from late Autumn. Go to www.warwick.ac.uk/CRISM and follow links to
workshops.
For further information, please contact simon.french@warwick.ac.uk
Organising Committee:
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Nikolaos Argyris (Warwick University)
James Cruise (Heriot Watt University)
Sergey Foss (Heriot Watt University)
Simon French (Warwick University)
S. French
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