August 13, 2003 Baseline Class 4 Truck Inventory for the Houston-Galveston Region Deliverable from Task 3: Regional Vehicle Estimates and Survey Emissions Testing of Prototype Diesel/Electric Hybrid Commercial Pickup/Delivery Vehicles (PUDS) and Assessment of Potential Emission Reductions in the Houston-Galveston Non-Attainment Area from Widespread Use in Delivery Fleets Prepared for Texas Council on Environmental Technology Pickle Research Campus University of Texas M/C R7100 10100 Burnet Road Austin, TX 78758 Submitted by Houston Advanced Research Center 4800 Research Forest Drive The Woodlands, Texas 77381 Prepared by William G. Barker David Hitchcock Dan Matisoff Baseline Truck Inventory for the Houston/Galveston Region I. Introduction Objective This report documents the current number and use of Class 4 trucks in the eight-county Houston-Galveston Non-Attainment Area. This information will be used as part of a larger effort to estimate the emissions of diesel/electric hybrid commercial pickup/delivery vehicles (PUDs) and assess the potential emission reductions in the Houston-Galveston non-attainment area from widespread use of these vehicles in delivery fleets. Figure 1 Houston-Galveston Non-Attainment Area Trucks that are one class smaller (Class 3) and one class larger (Class 5) are also investigated since the diesel/electric hybrid propulsion technology of interest here can, in many cases, also be used in these other vehicles with accommodations made for different weight and performance requirements. This report is the deliverable of Task 3 of the Texas Council on Environmental Technology project entitled Emissions Testing of Prototype Diesel/Electric Hybrid Commercial Pickup/Delivery Vehicles (PUDS) and Assessment of Potential Emission Reductions in the Houston-Galveston Non-Attainment Area from Widespread Use in Delivery Fleets. Source: Texas Natural Resources Conservation Commission Project Background In August 2000, FedEx, the world’s largest express transportation company, and the Alliance for Environmental Innovation, a project of the non-profit environmental organization Environmental Defense, entered into a partnership to create the next generation delivery truck. The project will fundamentally change the energy and environmental profile of FedEx’s fleet of pick-up and delivery trucks, and will serve as a model for other companies to upgrade their fleets and continue to push for cleaner, more fuel-efficient technology. The FedEx-Alliance partnership leverages FedEx’s purchasing power to signal a demand for new transportation options. The project is being conducted on an aggressive timeline designed to push technology development, support public policy, encourage replication, and ultimately, to put cleaner trucks on the road as soon as possible. Houston Advanced Research Center 2 Baseline Truck Inventory for the Houston/Galveston Region The project's goal is to develop a FedEx Express pick up and delivery vehicle that significantly decreases particulate emissions and smog-causing emissions (nitrogen oxides), increases fuel economy, functions equivalently and, over its lifetime, costs the same as the standard FedEx Express medium-duty W700 delivery truck (Figure 2) . Alternative technologies will be needed to meet these goals while minimizing emissions of particulate matter (such as PM2.5), smog-causing emissions (such as oxides of nitrogen [NOx]) and greenhouse gases (such as CO2). Figure 2 Recent research1, 2, 3 shows that FedEx Standard W700 Step Van hybrid electric vehicles (particularly those with directinjection engines) have similar projected ranges of “well-towheel” energy efficiency as fuel cells. They also have design advantages such as regenerative braking, which make them well suited for pickup and delivery trucks. Additionally, unlike electric or compressed natural gas engines, hybrid electric trucks use a widely available fuel and do not need dedicated fueling infrastructure. This is critical to FedEx which does not centrally fuel its fleet. This is also essential to encourage rapid, widespread adoption of the new truck by other fleets. In tests of buses used in New York City, hybrid electric vehicles achieved dramatically better fuel economy than either standard diesel buses (65% improvement) or CNG buses (as much as 100% improvement). These fuel savings add to the economic incentive for using environmentally advanced technology. Hybrid electric technology also significantly reduces other vehicle emissions, including greenhouse gases, particulates and air toxics. Data Sources The data for this project come from the following primary sources: • The 1997 National Vehicle Inventory and Use Survey conducted by the Census Bureau. This is the most recent national truck survey data available at this time with the 2000 survey becoming available in 2004; 1 General Motors Corporation, et al., Well-to-Wheel Energy Use and Greenhouse Gas Emissions of Advanced Fuel/Vehicle Systems, North America Analysis, Executive Summary Report, June 2001. 2 Frank Kreith and R. E. West, “Gauging Efficiency, Well to Wheel,” Mechanical Engineering Power, June 2003, www.memagazine.org. 3 Malcolm A. Weiss, John B. Heywood, Andreas Schafer & Vinod K. Natarajan, Comparative Assessment of Fuel Cell Cars, Laboratory for Energy and the Environment, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, MIT LFEE And 2003-001 RP, February 2003. Houston Advanced Research Center 3 Baseline Truck Inventory for the Houston/Galveston Region • • • • • Tabulations from the R. L. and the new Polk Inc. Vehicles in Operation (VIO) database on vehicles and fleets within the eight-county Houston-Galveston nonattainment region; The Texas Department of Transportation, Vehicle Titles and Registration Division data on currently registered vehicles; FedEx fleet information for the Houston-Galveston region provided by FedEx, Inc. Information provided by the Houston-Galveston Area Council (HGAC) regarding the mobile emissions inventory and vehicle miles of travel (VMT) for various categories of motor vehicles; and A truck use study in the Los Angeles metropolitan region conducted jointly by the Federal Highway Administration and the Environmental Protection Agency in cooperation with the California Air Resources Board.4 R.L. Polk's VIO database is a census of all vehicles currently registered in the U.S. The data is compiled quarterly and covers all passenger cars and trucks. 4 Battelle, Final Report Heavy-Duty Truck Activity Data, prepared for the Office of Highway Information Management, Federal Highway Administration, April 30, 1999. Houston Advanced Research Center 4 Baseline Truck Inventory for the Houston/Galveston Region II. Vehicle Description and Classification The FedEx Eaton Hybrid Electric Vehicle (shown in Figure 3) uses the Freightliner Custom Chassis Model MT45 with a standard step van Utilimaster body. The baseline Cummins 5.9L diesel engine was replaced with a DaimlerChrysler OM904 4.3L diesel engine and the Allison automatic transmission was replaced with an Eaton Hybrid Drive Unit, containing the automatic clutch, electric traction motor, and AutoShift transmission. Figure 3 Eaton Hybrid Electric Truck A comparison of the standard, baseline FedEx delivery step van and the Eaton Hybrid Electric Truck is shown in Table 1. Note that both the gross vehicle weight (gvw), the combined weight of the vehicle and its payload, is 16,000 pounds. The new vehicle is powered by a smaller diesel engine in combination with an electric motor. As can be seen in Table 2, the prototype vehicle is able to achieve better fuel economy, lower emissions, and greater acceleration all at the same time. Table 1 Vehicle Description - Baseline vs. Eaton Hybrid Source: Environmental Defense, FedEx-Alliance Future Vehicle Program Eaton Hybrid Electric Vehicle Description & Measured Performance March 24, 2003 Model Body Chassis Cargo Area Engine Transmission Rear Axle Ratio Tires Front: Rear: Wheels Brakes Weight: GVWR (lbs.) Payload (lbs.) Test Weight (lbs.) Baseline Truck W700 Step Van Utilimaster Freightliner MT45 700 cubic feet 5.9L Cummins I6 Diesel Allison AT542FE 4.10 Goodyear G647 225/70R19.5 Goodyear G159 225/70R19.5 19.5 inch, steel Hydraulic Eaton Hybrid Electric Truck W700 Step Van Utilimaster Freightliner MT45 700 cubic feet 4.3L Mercedes OM904 I4 Diesel Eaton FO-8406A-ASX 3.31 Goodyear G647 225/70R19.5 Goodyear G159 225/70R19.5 19.5 inch, steel Hydraulic 16,000 5,720 13,280 (includes 3,000 lbs. of payload) 16,000 5,390 13,610 (includes 3,000 lbs. of payload) Houston Advanced Research Center 5 Baseline Truck Inventory for the Houston/Galveston Region Table 2 Summary of Southwest Research Institute FTP Test Results Source: Environmental Defense, FedEx-Alliance Future Vehicle Program Eaton Hybrid Electric Vehicle Description & Measured Performance March 24, 2003 FedEx FVP Program Targets FedEx Requirements Fuel Economy Requirements Fuel Economy (MPG) Environmental Requirements NOx (g/mile) PM (g/mile) Functional Requirements Payload Capacity - Weight (lbs.) Payload Capacity - Volume (ft.3) Comparison of Eaton Hybrid Truck to the Baseline Truck 50% Increase 45% Increase 90% Reduction 90% Reduction 54% Reduction 93% Reduction Same as baseline Same as baseline within 330 lbs. Unchanged - no intrusion to cargo area Unchanged 16% improvement Cruise Speed (MPH) 0-60 MPH Acceleration (seconds) Braking System Range (miles) Same as baseline Same as baseline Turning Radius (feet) Maximum Launch Grade (%) Maximum Grade at 55 MPH (%) Cost Requirements Lifetime Cost (Cents / Mile) Same as baseline Same as baseline Same as baseline Unchanged Unchanged - downsized fuel tank for weight reduction Unchanged 52% Improvement 28% Improvement Cost competitive Improved over baseline Same as baseline Same as baseline The test results in Table 2 are preliminary based on the first prototype vehicle. Importantly, a 2004 certified diesel engine was not in the prototype vehicle. Final Future test results with a later pre-production vehicle and a 2004 certified engine are will be available expected in 2004. FedEx Fleet in the Houston-Galveston Region FedEx has a fleet of 443vehicles of all model years in the Houston-Galveston NonAttainment Area which account for 9.7 million vehicle miles each year. The most popular single model vehicle in the fleet is the W700 step van of which there are 294, or 66% of the total fleet, in the region. The W700 step van is the vehicle which is targeted to be replaced over time by the new diesel hybrid electric vehicle. The FedEx W700 trucks currently account for 6.2 million annual vehicle miles or 64% of the mileage of the FedEx fleet in the non-attainment area. FedEx reports that vehicles are kept in service for 10-12 years.5 This is consistent with standard industry practice. 5 FedEx information provided by Ms. Alison Bird, Project Manager, Environmental Engineering, FedEx in Memphis, TN through personal communications in 2003. Houston Advanced Research Center 6 Baseline Truck Inventory for the Houston/Galveston Region A Vehicle Classification A comparison of the truck classes used in this inventory with those used in the MOBILE6 emissions estimation program is shown in Table 4. The 16,000 gross vehicle weight (gvw) of both the baseline and Eaton hybrid step vans put these vehicles in Class 4. Because the hybrid propulsion technology can be applied to other classes of trucks, information was collected on Class 3 and 5 trucks in addition to the Class 4 of the vehicles under direct study. Photos of examples of Class 3, 4 and 5 trucks are shown in Figure 3. Table 3 Vehicle Classification Source: Based on Office of Transportation and Air Quality, Technical Guidance on the Use of MOBILE6 for Emission Inventory Preparation, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, January 2002. EPA Description LDV LDT1 MOBILE6 LDT2 LDT3 LDT4 HDV2B HDV3 HDV4 HDV5 HDV6 HDV7 HDV8A HDV8B HDBS HDBT MC Light-Duty Vehicles (Passenger Cars) Light-Duty Trucks 1 (0-6,000 lbs. GVWR, 0-3750 lbs. LVW) Light Duty Trucks 2 (0-6,001 lbs. GVWR, 3751-5750 lbs. LVW) Light Duty Trucks 3 (6,001-8500 lbs. GVWR, 0-5750 lbs. ALVW) Light Duty Trucks 4 (6,001-8500 lbs. GVWR, >5750 lbs. ALVW) Class 2b Heavy Duty Vehicles (8501-10,000 lbs. GVWR) Class 3 Heavy Duty Vehicles (10,001-14,000 lbs. GVWR) Class 4 Heavy Duty Vehicles (14,001-16,000 lbs. GVWR) Class 5 Heavy Duty Vehicles (16,001-19,500 lbs. GVWR) Class 6 Heavy Duty Vehicles (19,501-26,000 lbs. GVWR) Class 7 Heavy Duty Vehicles (26,001-33,000 lbs. GVWR) Class 8a Heavy Duty Vehicles (33,001-60,000 lbs. GVWR) Class 8b Heavy Duty Vehicles (>60,000 lbs. GVWR) School Buses Transit and Urban Buses Motorcycles (All) Houston Advanced Research Center R.L. Polk Truck Class Truck GVW Categories 1C 2 2C 3 4 5 6 7 8 7 Baseline Truck Inventory for the Houston/Galveston Region Figure 4 Examples of Class 3, 4 and 5 Trucks Source: http://www.trucktraderonline.com/index.html Class 3 (10,001-14,000 gvw) Class 4 (14,001-16,000 gvw) Class 5 (16,001-19,500 gvw) Houston Advanced Research Center 8 Baseline Truck Inventory for the Houston/Galveston Region III. Fleet Inventory Determining the number of trucks in the eight-county Houston-Galveston NonAttainment Area requires estimation. Vehicle registrations do not capture the number of trucks operating in an area since it is possible for the title holder to register the truck in a county other than the county of operation. In addition, trucks based outside the study area will travel into and through the region. Texas Department of Transportation Vehicle Registrations According to a January 20, 2002 tabulation of currently registered vehicles, there were 2,531 Class 4 registered trucks in the eight-county area and a total of over 14,000 vehicles in Classes 3, 4 and 5. These data are presented in Table 4. Table 4 Total Class 3, 4, and 5 Trucks Registered in Houston-Galveston Area Source: Texas Department of Transportation, January 30, 2002 County Brazoria Chambers Fort Bend Galveston Harris Liberty Montgomery Waller Total Attainment Area Fuel Gasoline Diesel Subtotal Gasoline Diesel Subtotal Gasoline Diesel Subtotal Gasoline Diesel Subtotal Gasoline Diesel Subtotal Gasoline Diesel Subtotal Gasoline Diesel Subtotal Gasoline Diesel Subtotal Gasoline Diesel Total Houston Advanced Research Center Class 3 Class 4 Class 5 (10,001-14,000 gvw) (14,001-16,000 gvw) (16,001-19,500 gvw) 71 68 139 4 6 10 50 80 130 47 54 101 1,488 2,415 3,903 17 27 44 57 27 84 12 27 39 1,746 2,704 4,450 59 65 124 9 7 16 32 79 111 31 46 77 558 1,490 2,048 10 30 40 49 30 79 6 30 36 754 1,777 2,531 157 175 332 12 31 43 76 226 302 81 132 213 1,263 4,925 6,188 49 69 118 137 69 206 39 69 108 1,814 5,696 7,510 9 Baseline Truck Inventory for the Houston/Galveston Region R. L. Polk Vehicles in Operation Database R. L. Polk data indicates that the current number of Class 4 trucks in the eight-county Houston-Galveston region as is 1,212.6 Even though this represents only about one-half of the trucks registered by the Texas Department of Transportation, the additional information in the R. L Polk VIO database provides some insight into the region's truck fleet. Only about 6% of the Class 4 trucks are step vans similar to the FedEx W700. This appears to be a conservative statistic since the regional FedEx fleet alone has a reported 294 W700 step vans. This apparent discrepancy is often explained by the location of the entity registering the vehicle. Entities which hold titles to vehicles may choose to register these vehicles in a county different than the county in which the vehicle is actually operates. The majority of the Class 4 trucks registered in the county are described as an "incomplete vehicle," i.e., a chassis with an engine and steering wheel sent to body builders for specific applications. Such vehicles are generally "vocational trucks" intended for specific purposes, such as industrial catering. See Figure 5. Table 5 Step Vans and Incomplete Vehicles in Houston-Galveston Region Source: HARC tabulations of R.L. Polk Vehicles in Operation (VIO) database as of March 2003 for Brazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, Liberty, Montgomery, Waller Counties, Texas Truck Class Type of Vehicle Incomplete Vehicle Step Van Eight County Total Class 3 3,128 101 3,229 97% 3% 100% Class 4 1,137 75 1,212 94% 6% 100% Class 5 50 50 100% 100% Total of Classes 3, 4 & 5 4,315 96% 176 4% 4,491 100% Figure 5 Example of Incomplete Vehicle According to the R. L. Polk database, Class 4 vehicles are generally found in small fleets. Of the 375 vehicles for which fleets of Class 4 vehicles could be identified, the fleet sizes are shown in Table 6. According to Table 6, 72% of the Class 4 trucks in the region are in fleets of fewer than 10 such trucks. Of the fleets with Class 4 vehicles, 93% of them have less than 5 such vehicles. 6 HARC tabulations of R.L. Polk Vehicles in Operation (VIO) database as of March 2003 for Brazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, Liberty, Montgomery, Waller Counties, Texas Houston Advanced Research Center 10 Baseline Truck Inventory for the Houston/Galveston Region Table 6 Total Class 4 Trucks in Houston-Galveston Region by Fleet Size Source: HARC tabulations of R.L. Polk Vehicles in Operation (VIO) database as of March 2003 for Brazoria, Chambers, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris, Liberty, Montgomery, Waller Counties, Texas Fleet Size Vehicles Number 30 or More 20 to 29 10 to 19 5 to 9 Less than 5 Total Fleets Percent 34 49 24 41 227 375 Number 9% 13% 6% 11% 61% 100% Percent 1 2 2 7 172 184 1% 1% 1% 4% 93% 100% Estimate of Current Fleet in Operation In order to estimate the number of vehicles currently based in the Houston-Galveston Non-Attainment Area, the vehicle miles used for air quality emission inventory purposes was translated into an estimate of the number of vehicles. This maintains a rational consistency between the officially-adopted and well-researched estimate of vehicle miles of travel and the estimates here of the numbers of trucks and their activity. The procedure is summarized in Figure 6. Figure 6 Estimation Procedure for Number of Trucks in Operation in the Region Total Daily VMT by Truck Class and Fuel Source: HGAC Daily VMT per Truck by Class and Fuel Source: Census VIUS Total Trucks by Class and Fuel Source: HARC Tabulation Percent Local Trucks by Class and Fuel Source: Census VIUS Number Local/Non-Local Trucks by Class and Fuel Source: HARC Tabulation Houston Advanced Research Center 11 Baseline Truck Inventory for the Houston/Galveston Region The daily vehicle miles of travel by truck class and by fuel type which has been produced by the Houston-Galveston Area Council was divided by the average daily miles per day by vehicle class and fuel type from the latest U.S. Census' Vehicle Inventory and Use Survey (VIUS). The result of this division is the expected number of trucks by class and fuel type. The VIUS mean vehicle miles per truck used is the average of the expanded sample of trucks based in Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs). To convert from annual to daily figures, a factor of 260 days per year was assumed. The estimates of trucks by class and fuel type are further divided by whether these trucks are locally based or not. Again, the VIUS is the basis for estimating these proportions by truck class and fuel type. Only the data from MSAs in the VIUS were used for these proportions. Locally-based trucks were determined to be those trucks which drove 100% of their mileage within 50 miles or less from vehicle's home base. All other trucks were defined as non-local vehicles. These trucks are not based within the region but travel into, out of, or through the region. The final results and independent parameters of these tabulations are shown in Table 7. Table 7 Total Class 3, 4 & 5 Trucks in Houston-Galveston Non-Attainment Area Source: HARC tabulations of VMT data provided by the Houston-Galveston Area Council for August 30, 2000 and national averages for Metropolitan Statistical Areas of the miles per vehicle and percent locally based trucks in the 1997 U.S. Census Vehicle Inventory and Use Survey Truck Class Class 3 Class 4 Class 5 Fuel Gasoline Diesel Total Gasoline Diesel Total Gasoline Diesel Total Daily VMT Daily Miles/Vehicle 742,626.6 904,178.0 979,004.6 342,453.6 527,437.9 869,891.5 146,218.0 342,491.8 488,709.8 54.84 70.11 68.65 52.85 72.00 63.01 22.76 67.19 42.42 Number of Vehicles Percent Local Vehicles Number of Local Vehicles Number of Non-Local Vehicles 13,542 12,897 26,439 6,479 7,325 13,805 6,424 5,097 11,522 39.1% 36.0% 36.3% 41.8% 36.5% 39.0% 65.2% 55.7% 61.0% 5,300 4,645 9,945 2,707 2,677 5,383 4,187 2,840 7,026 8,242 8,252 16,494 3,773 4,649 8,421 2,238 2,257 4,495 Note that, as expected, these estimates are higher than the counts dependent upon vehicle registration data. For example, the total number of local Class 4 trucks is estimated to be 5,383. This compares to 2,531 Class 4 trucks registered in the area. In total, it is estimated that there are almost 51,800 Class 3, 4 and 5 trucks operating in the Houston-Galveston region and that they travel about 781 million miles annually. Houston Advanced Research Center 12 Baseline Truck Inventory for the Houston/Galveston Region IV. Case Studies A team from HARC interviewed representatives from selected fleets in the HoustonGalveston region on June 18-20, 2003. A number of fleets were contacted with the intent of gaining insight into the different submarkets for the new vehicle. In particular, the objectives were to: • • Document the use of the vehicles in these fleets; and Investigate the opportunities and challenges of sales of the new vehicle to these submarkets. Summary of Findings While most of the variety of institutions and firms that were interviewed were interested in a hybrid diesel truck, they had very different motives for the new technology and varying impediments to adopting the new technology as well. In general, however, businesses were concerned primarily with cost savings and environmental regulation. Non-profits and government fleets were concerned with public relations, clean air and/or sustainability motives. While a high initial cost posed concern to all, the university and the City, due to their commitments to clean air, and the businesses, who saw the trucks as an investment, were more likely to purchase these vehicles. Government entities are concerned about current budgets, have a short political horizon, and are ill-equipped to deal with an expensive investment. Maintenance availability and costs, availability of parts, and related issues were also high on all of the organizations’ agendas. The prospect of adopting a new technology is a large risk because of the pressures to keep vehicles in service. At the minimum, references should be provided so that prospective maintenance managers can understand the difficulty or ease of maintaining these vehicles. Those who conduct their own maintenance need reassurance of training, the availability of personal assistance, perhaps in the form of a mobile, on-site, maintenance contact. For those who outsource their maintenance, the availability of a centralized maintenance center, loaner vehicles (where feasible) and inexpensive parts and repairs were of utmost importance. In order to facilitate the purchase of hybrid trucks, several steps will need to be taken in order to make the prospect of a new technology purchase less risky to prospective buyers. The ease and availability of maintenance will have to be assured. Environmental incentives to businesses, such as pollution credits or vehicle inspection waivers would prove useful. Above all, however, all prospective buyers were interested in testing the equipment prior to purchase. A loaner program, or a “buy one and get a loaner free for six months” program would help mitigate the risks of purchasing an expensive, new truck that may be likely to break down and be out of service, jeopardizing the user’s operations and revenues. Despite the barriers to new technology adoption and with some of the proposed solutions, hybrid trucks should generate substantial interest in the market. Houston Advanced Research Center 13 Baseline Truck Inventory for the Houston/Galveston Region Interviews with Local Fleet Operations This was not intended to be a random, scientific sample of fleets in the HoustonGalveston region. Rather, this survey was a qualitative assessment of the conditions of both public and private fleets as well as fleets which use standard step vans and "incomplete vehicles," i.e., customized vehicles. Regal Food Service Regal Food Service 3515 Eastex Freeway Houston, TX 77026 Industrial Catering Paul Uribe, Fleet Manager Regal Food Service has a fleet of approximately 125 specialized catering vehicles at this facility that provide industrial catering to work sites. Due to its business structure and the need to customize each vehicle with a kitchen, Regal Food Service orders all of its vehicles through a sister company in Los Angeles. The customization of the vehicles transforms the $35,000 vehicles into a much more costly investment of nearly $80,000. It is therefore important that all the vehicles are in use to the maximum extent possible. Individual contractors rent or lease the vehicles and so both the firm and the contractor lose revenues when a vehicle is out of service. While the fleet manager does not have the power to purchase vehicles, he was able to offer some insight into the problems facing Regal Foods and their vehicle fleet. In order for a truck to be considered for purchase, it must have sufficient power. The trucks weigh approximately 14,000 lbs. loaded, and many trucks are not able to handle that workload. The reliability of the vehicle and its ease of maintenance are of primary concern to this operation. Each vehicle averages approximately 60,000 miles per year and needs to last approximately eight to ten years. With a relatively basic workshop, a newer technology vehicle could pose a problem for the shop and its maintenance staff. Parts availability was of major concern as well since this factor generally determines much of the ease of maintenance. Additionally, the vendors rely upon their trucks for their business, thus days that the trucks are down amount to devastating losses for those operators. Because of the company’s business model, the fuel economy of the vehicle was not of primary concern to the fleet manager. While he noted that better fuel economy would be nice, Regal Food Service does not pay for the fuel; rather, the individual operators pay for the fuel. However, the fleet manager expressed enthusiasm concerning the prospects for better emissions and the possibility of gaining pollution credits. While Regal Foods voluntarily joined a regional pollution control program, they have had difficulty meeting pollution reduction targets and this manager saw the hybrid vehicles as a way to meet these targets and possibly gain some leeway with regulators. Houston Advanced Research Center 14 Baseline Truck Inventory for the Houston/Galveston Region Lance, Inc. Lance, Inc. 7250 W. 43rd Street Suite 100 Houston, TX 77092 Snack Route Sales Robert McBride, District Operations Manager This Lance distribution territory covers a large area from the Lower Rio Grande Valley to Palestine ,in Texas. Trucks are used to distribute the snacks and refill vending machines. This distribution center operates approximately 100 trucks, with over 2,800 operated by the entire company. Maintenance at this location is outsourced. While they are generally kept 8-10 years and operated for 65,000 miles per year, 65 new trucks were purchased in this year alone. While many of the trucks are still diesel, there has been a recent tendency to purchase more gasoline trucks and the fleet is currently about 70% gasoline. The corporate office generally negotiates deals on trucks and but leaves purchasing options to the district managers. Thus, if a new type of truck were to be considered, it would first need corporate approval. When making purchasing decisions, size, safety, initial cost, fuel costs, and the availability of automatic transmission are the most important factors. Additionally, though maintenance is outsourced, the ability to keep these trucks maintained in a timely manner and at a reasonable cost was of utmost concern. Drivers are commissioned route salespeople, and, if a truck goes down, the firm may not only lose the truck, but may lose the employee. With the current average vehicle driving 65,000 miles per year and only getting 10 miles per gallon, fuel costs are of major concern. In addition, the manager noted that emissions inspections are a huge hassle and very costly for the company. He mentioned a trend toward registering the vehicles in less restrictive counties in order to avoid environmental regulations. Because of these factors, the hybrid vehicle seemed like an attractive option for Lance, Inc. The fuel savings over the lifetime of the vehicle justified a somewhat higher initial cost for the truck and the operations manager noted that he might be willing to pay $5,000 or $8,000 more for the hybrid vehicle. When pressed, he reasoned that it was possible that he would pay up to $40,000 more per vehicle (the estimated fuel savings over the lifetime of the vehicle was between $40k and $50k), depending on the attractiveness of the other qualities of the vehicle, its reliability, and the accuracy of expected cost savings. The prospect of continued rising fuel costs also provided an incentive to adopt hybrid technology. He also noted that it would be an attractive option if he did not have to have these vehicles tested for emissions or at least not pay to have them inspected. Despite the attractive features of the hybrid, the manager noted that significant incentives and major cost savings would need to be offered in order to take a risk on new Houston Advanced Research Center 15 Baseline Truck Inventory for the Houston/Galveston Region technology. A centralized maintenance facility, a loaner/trial program, and tax credits were all attractive incentives. Of particular interest was a “buy one, get a loaner free for 6 months” option. In this proposed program, Lance, Inc. would purchase one hybrid vehicle, purchasing a stake in the new technology, and get the use of a second vehicle for six months, in order to mitigate the risk of a breakdown of the first truck. After the six months, Lance would have the option to purchase the second truck. This manager saw Houston as a good base to launch these vehicles as a pilot program, and then, if successful, expand them throughout the rest of the company. City of Houston City of Houston 500 Jefferson Street, Suite 1825 Houston, TX 77002 General Purpose Municipal Government Louis Reznicek, Purchasing Supervisor The City of Houston has a very diverse fleet of vehicles including approximately 13 Class 4 trucks. Vehicle maintenance is done in-house. The City of Houston’s interest in hybrid vehicles is very much in line with its previous decision to purchase a fleet of gasoline-electric hybrid Toyota Prius automobiles and provide leadership in green technology. As a matter of public policy, it is very important that the City continue to adopt clean air technology. Pressure from the State and federal level is also pushing LEV and ULEV fleet requirements. While the expected fuel savings are useful, the initial cost of the vehicles is the most important aspect to the purchasing office. The recent economic slowdown has placed a greater emphasis on cost containment and a tendency to postpone new vehicle purchases: $7.5 million for vehicle purchases was cut from the current City budget. Even with the added cost, however, the City has shown that it is willing to pay more and take a risk on new technology for clean air purposes. State and federal grants for capital purchases are a significant factor in vehicle purchases, and hybrid propulsion vehicles are not considered "alternative fuel" vehicles and are therefore not eligible for such grants. (I think this may have changed in the last legislative session. HB1365 might have covered this, but I’m not sure.) Vehicle maintenance is conducted in-house. With the help of training from Toyota provided at no additional charge, the City has been able to maintain the fleet of Prius vehicles. The manager expects that similar training could be provided for the hybrid trucks. A loaner program such as was discussed with Lance won approval from the City Hall purchaser. Additionally, he noted that any grants from the federal and/or State levels would make purchasing hybrid vehicles much more attractive. Houston Advanced Research Center 16 Baseline Truck Inventory for the Houston/Galveston Region William Marsh Rice University Rice University 6100 Main Street Houston, TX 77005 Eddie Cueto, Vehicle Repair Supervisor Rice University operates and maintains a variety of vehicles including 150 electric golf carts. The University is estimated to have five what are thought to be Class 4 trucks in its fleet. Step vans are used by Rice University to distribute supplies around the Rice University campus. Vehicles do not get much mileage – a 1985 Nissan truck was recently retired at 27,000 miles – so that fuel cost savings is negligible. However, the University is committed to sustainable development and green technology. Pressure from students and the administration has led the way in the adoption of low to zero emissions vehicles on campus. These hybrid trucks are a highly attractive option for the University, which would likely be willing to pay 10% - 20% more for a hybrid vehicle for their ability to reduce noise and air pollution on campus and demonstrate the University’s leadership role in green technology. If the production diesel-electric hybrid trucks perform as expected, Rice may be willing to purchase three to four vehicles. Maintenance is the only real impediment to purchasing a hybrid vehicle fleet. There is a lack of familiarity with the parts and the people on the maintenance end. The manager was skeptical of warranties and the time to track down maintenance assistance. He would want a reference about maintenance and cost of maintaining the vehicle. Additionally, a loaner program, and the availability of a contact person for maintenance, would facilitate a hybrid vehicle purchase. Spring Branch Independent School District Spring Branch Independent School District 16717 Ella Boulevard Houston, TX 77090 Public School District Don Marshall,, Transportation Supervisor The Spring Branch Independent School District has two step vans used to deliver supplies to schools within the district. Only about 5-6,000 miles are put on each of these trucks in a year so there is no strong motivation to purchase a vehicle with greater fuel economy. The District feels no particular pressure to reduce the emissions of its vehicles. Vehicles are kept for 10-12 years. V. Conclusions Houston Advanced Research Center 17 Baseline Truck Inventory for the Houston/Galveston Region The objective of this task, i.e. an estimate of the current number and use of Class 4 trucks in the eight-county Houston-Galveston Non-Attainment Area, has been achieved. In addition, insight was gained into strategies to introduce the new diesel-electric hybrid propulsion truck into the Houston-Galveston market. Market Opportunities and Challenges The diesel-electric hybrid Class 4 truck definitely has a market, or perhaps more accurately, several markets in the Houston-Galveston Non-Attainment Area. As shown in Table 7, there are approximately 5,400 Class 4 trucks in Houston region with a useful life of 10 to 12 years. This amounts to 450 to 540 vehicles of this type being purchased annually in the region. The following summarizes market opportunities and challenges identified in the course of discussions with fleet operators: The fuel saving potential of the new vehicle is an attractive feature to both public and private fleets. High mileage private fleets using step vans or other "off-the-shelf" body styles should be a successful market for this vehicle. • Potential for Substantial Fuel Savings: Many, but not all, governmental and institutional entities appear to be attracted to the emissions improvements expected from the vehicles. Some businesses will find this attractive as well as they attempt to meet clear air commitments. • Emission Reductions Advantage for Fleet: Both public and private fleets appear to be willing to pay a premium for the new, more efficient vehicle. • Willingness to Pay Premium for Vehicle: The premium identified range up to 20% based on expected fuel cost savings. • Advantage of Existing Hybrids in Marketplace: The entry of Toyota and Honda gasoline-electric automobiles into the U.S. market has generated awareness of hybrid propulsion. In general, this is a positive condition for the hybrid truck market. However, at times, the hybrid automobiles did not meet expectations. In addition, there is a perception that the diesel-electric vehicle will be underpowered and difficult to maintain by a majority of those interviewed. While the perception of sufficient power can be overcome, the maintenance concerns must be addressed. • Vehicle Conversion Market: The R. L. Polk data suggests that vocational vehicles, such as the industrial catering vehicle used by Regal Food Service, start with a drive train and chassis (an incomplete vehicle) and are customized for a particular niche in the truck market. These niche vehicle manufacturers will also need to be aware of the new technology. The R. L. Polk data suggests that this is a significant part of the existing truck fleet. Houston Advanced Research Center 18 Baseline Truck Inventory for the Houston/Galveston Region • Vehicle Purchase Decisionmakers: It is important to recognize that the vehicle purchase decision will depend, at times, on more than one decision-maker and on judgments made outside of the region. Some fleet officials, for example, decided not to meet with the HARC team because vehicle purchase decisions were made by corporate offices located in a different city. • Need for Local Maintenance Support: Maintenance of the new technology is a major consideration in the vehicle purchase. Since many vehicle owners outsource maintenance, it is critical that local commercial garages are capable and enthusiastic when it comes to repair of the diesel-electric hybrid vehicle. • Education of Truck Financing Community: According to the R. L. Polk data, the registered owners of many trucks in the region are firms financing the vehicle. In order to be assured of an unimpeded entry into the market, it will be important to educate the truck financing community as to the availability and performance of the new vehicle. Table 9 presents a summary of the major opportunities and challenges for introducing the new vehicle in the Houston/Galveston region. Table 9 Market Penetration Opportunities and Challenges Secondary Primary Opportunities Challenges • • Fuel Savings Emissions Improvements • • Higher Purchase Price Maintainability of New Technology • Familiarity with Hybrid Propulsion • Incomplete Knowledge of Hybrid Propulsion Advantages Potential Incentives The following describes various incentives that need to be explored for helping to ensure smooth and rapid entry of these vehicles into the Houston marketplace. • Financial Incentives: Capital grants, rebates or tax incentives to reduce the high initial cost of the purchase will be a tried and true incentive to purchase this higher cost vehicle. A higher purchase price is perhaps one of the greatest challenges to be faced, particularly lacking an established history of fuel savings Houston Advanced Research Center 19 Baseline Truck Inventory for the Houston/Galveston Region and performance track record. There is also skepticism about reported fuel savings that must be addressed. Financial incentives offer a way of minimizing this barrier. • Provision of Loaner Vehicle: In some cases, when the vehicle is not substantially customized, the availability of a loaner vehicle can allay the fears that a vehicle may need repair and take substantial time to get that repair. Having a six month trial vehicle, with an option to buy, as part of the vehicle sales agreement could help mitigate the risk of purchasing a vehicle perceived to be difficult to maintain. In a large urban area like Houston, it could make sense to have a small number of hybrid vehicles available for demonstrations, for free trials and to serve as loaners in the event that a purchased hybrid truck is out of service. • Emission Inspection Waivers: Businesses would welcome the cost and time savings of waiving of emissions inspections for hybrid vehicles. Waiving the fees would reinforce the long-term cost savings of the vehicle. • Streamlined Warranty Provisions: While most maintenance managers are skeptical of warranties, having the entire vehicle under warrantee or a centralized service center could help reduce the fears of expensive and difficult maintenance. Currently, various elements of existing trucks are warranted by different manufactures. Chasing down the responsible firm in this situation can be a frustrating experience for the fleet maintenance manager. Having the entire vehicle under a singe warrantee would be an attractive feature. • Training for Maintenance Staff: Training maintenance managers and their staffs how to maintain a hybrid truck could allay their fears about not having the capability to perform maintenance on new technology. This is another opportunity for government sponsorship of technology transfer activities. • 24/7 Technical Assistance: Having technical experts available on the phone is a necessary start, but having them available for on-site assistance could help the maintenance managers surpass the obstacle of maintaining the new technology. This is a level of service that is difficult to provide under normal business conditions and perhaps could be assisted by a technology transfer program. Houston Advanced Research Center 20