Pennsylvania State Epidemiology Profile On Substance Use & Consequences Strategic Prevention Framework – State Incentive Grant (SPF-SIG) SPF – SIG Statewide Epidemiological Outcomes Workgroup Winter 2010 SPF-SIG STATEWIDE EPIDEMIOLOGY WORKGROUP The SPF-SIG State Epidemiology Outcomes Workgroup (SEOW) is a group of twenty three members that collaborated on the development of this document, with the help of the larger State SPF-SIG Advisory Council (see Appendix for a list of SEOW and Advisory Council members). PA Department of Health Bureau of Drug and Alcohol Programs Robin Rothermel Daniel Miller Terry Matulevich Division of Prevention Garrison Gladfelter Lonnie Barnes Jacqueline Spaid Annette Williams (CSAP Fellow) Hector Gonzalez Bureau of Epidemiology Division of Community Epidemiology Ronald Tringali Bureau of Health Statistics Alden Small Zachary Runkle Bureau of Health Promotion and Risk Reduction Carol Thornton PA Commission on Crime and Delinquency Office of Research, Evaluation, and Strategic Policy Development Staci Fehr Deborah Almoney PA Department of Education Bureau of Community & Student Services Myrna Delgado Department of Transportation Bureau of Highway Safety and Traffic Engineering Ryan McNary Temple University School of Social Administration Marsha Zibalese-Crawford Institute for Survey Research Peter Mulcahy Emergency Medical Services Office Robert D Cooney Bloomsburg University University of Pittsburgh Drug, Alcohol & Wellness Network Barry L. Jackson School of Pharmacy Michael Melczak Janice Pringle Penn State University Prevention Research Center Louis Brown Mark Greenberg ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This profile is based on research made possible by support from the Pennsylvania Department of Health‘s Bureau of Drug and Alcohol Programs (BDAP) and the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Administration‘s (SAMHSA) Center for Substance Abuse Prevention (CSAP). The authors wish to thank Garrison Gladfelter, who directs BDAP‘s Prevention Division, and Jacqueline Spaid, the Division‘s Program Supervisor, for their guidance, support, and encouragement in compiling this profile as well as the SPF-SIG Advisory Council for its concrete suggestions. Mark Greenberg Ph.D. Director Prevention Research Center Pennsylvania State University Louis Brown Ph.D. Research Associate Prevention Research Center Pennsylvania State University TABLE OF CONTENTS I. Executive Summary..........................................................................................................1 II. Introduction A. About the SPF-SIG ..............................................................................................5 B. About Pennsylvania.................................................................................... .........6 C. Goals ....................................................................................................................7 D. Understanding the Profile ....................................................................................8 III. Data Sources ....................................................................................................................9 IV. Data Limitations ..............................................................................................................12 V. Data Processes A. Choosing Indicators .............................................................................................14 B. Indicators Chosen .................................................................................................15 VI. Consumption & Consequences A. Alcohol 1. Indicator Definitions ................................................................................16 2. Adult & Youth Consumption ...................................................................17 3. Adult & Youth Consequences .................................................................28 4. Alcohol Summary ....................................................................................40 B. Tobacco 1. Indicator Definitions ................................................................................42 2. Adult & Youth Consumption ...................................................................43 3. Adult & Youth Consequences .................................................................55 4. Tobacco Summary ...................................................................................59 C. Illicit Drugs 1. Indicator Definitions ................................................................................61 2. Adult & Youth Consumption ...................................................................62 3. Adult & Youth Consequences .................................................................67 4. Illicit Drugs Summary..............................................................................73 VII. Appendix A. SEOW & Advisory Council Member List ...........................................................76 B. Acronyms in Profile .............................................................................................81 C. Detailed Tables 1. NSDUH Substate Data Tables Used ........................................................82 2. FARS Calculated Crash Data Tables Used ..............................................88 D. Other Pennsylvania Drug & Alcohol Resources..................................................90 I. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY GOALS OF THIS REPORT This report of the Pennsylvania State Epidemiology Profile On Substance Use & Consequences (hereafter referred to as the profile) was developed by the State Epidemiological Outcomes Workgroup (SEOW) as a tool for substance abuse prevention planners for Pennsylvania, including the Single County Authorities (SCA), who are responsible for countywide assessment, planning, implementation and evaluation of prevention. The process of using data to improve prevention practice and to improve decision-making is important for several reasons: It helps to inform and anchor problem identification and goal setting; It increases the likelihood that the most significant problems will be targeted for intervention; It drives prevention planning and implementation decisions—assuring that strategies appropriately target problems; and, It provides the basis for ongoing monitoring and evaluation to improve efforts. The profile is intended to support efforts related to the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA) Strategic Prevention Framework State Incentive Grant (SPF-SIG) received in Pennsylvania in October, 2006. The SPF-SIG will provide funding for Pennsylvania communities to assess the problems of substance use and its consequences and to plan and implement evidence-based prevention programs, policies, and practices. This profile is part of a continuing component of the SPF-SIG process of developing a statewide needs-assessment. The goal of this profile is to review and summarize both federal and state data sets that provide a set of state-specific indicators of: (1) substance use-related consequences and (2) substance use patterns related to these consequences. As directed by SAMSHA, this assessment includes measures of: Overall consumption; Acute, heavy consumption; Consumption in risky situations (drinking and driving); Consumption by high risk groups (youth, college students, pregnant women); and Consequences that result from consumption. Finally, certain criteria were used for selecting indicators to ensure that the indicators: Reflect critical substance use related problem or consumption patterns; Have high validity; Have periodic collection; Be available with a limited burden; and Can be disaggregated geographically, by age, gender and/or race/ethnicity. 1 This is the second report of the SEOW and captures data available through December 2009. The report updates the previous epidemiological profile completed in 2007. FINDINGS OF THIS REPORT For each type of substance (alcohol, tobacco, and illicit/other drugs (ATOD)) this report summarizes the magnitude of the problem in Pennsylvania, time trends in recent data, and comparison to national data. Alcohol Consumption and Consequences. In terms of magnitude, alcohol is the most frequently reported substance used. Many Pennsylvanians show high rates of consumption and many are affected by its consequences. Adult binge drinking is reported by approximately 16% of Pennsylvania adults and similar rates are reported by high school students. Pennsylvania has a large number of admissions for alcohol treatment and the effects of alcohol use problems impact many aspects of life for affected adults, spouses, relatives, and children. Alcohol played a role in 36% of all fatal crashes in 2007. The highest percentage of drinking drivers in fatal motor vehicle crashes is among those drivers aged 21-25. The majority of the alcohol-related DUIs and fatalities involve white males. DUI arrests also influence a large number of lives, with 48,698 persons arrested in 2006. Males report both higher rates of binge and heavy drinking and also experience the majority of the alcohol consequences, including abuse and dependence. Young adults show particularly high rates of binge drinking compared to older adults and should be considered a target for reductions within the adult age range. For most consequences, the highest rates are shown for those aged 18-34. Evidence-based prevention programs and policies prior to this age (early and middle adolescence) are an important component in a plan to reduce heavy use in the late teen age years and early adulthood. Geographically, it appears that the certain substate regions show higher rates of consumption & consequences for both adults and youth. Higher rates are seen in Allegheny County, the northwest corner (Erie and Crawford counties), and the northcentral area of the state. Perhaps surprisingly for the largest urban area, Philadelphia has lower rates than many other areas of the state. There is a need for further data that can permit better assessment of regional rates for youth in urban, suburban, and rural areas of Pennsylvania. From 2003 to 2007, rates of ―problem drinking‖ in adults (binge & heavy drinking) are relatively steady. A small downward trend exists in past 30-day use and binge drinking among 10th and 12th grade youth. On most indicators, comparisons with the national rates show that Pennsylvania is not far from the national averages. However, Pennsylvania shows a substantially lower rate of alcoholic liver disease deaths. 2 Tobacco Consumption and Consequences. Tobacco use affects many Pennsylvanians. 21.3% of adults are current smokers and about 16% smoke daily. A substantial public health concern is that 18% of new mothers voluntarily reported that they smoked during their pregnancy during 2007. Further, the rates are substantially higher among pregnant women below the age of 25. Educational attainment is significantly associated with smoking status. Smoking prevalence is more than tripled for those with less than a high school education compared to those who graduate from college. Adults between the ages of 18-34 have the highest smoking prevalence rates, with males smoking more than females. For youth, the prevalence rates for smoking do not differ between girls and boys, but three times as many boys use smokeless tobacco as do girls. With regard to tobacco use consequences, Black people showed disproportionately higher rates of lung cancer. Men also show higher rates of death than women that are attributable to tobacco use. Geographically, there is no clear pattern of ―hot spots.‖ Recent time trends indicate lower rates of smoking among youth and adults. Yet, Pennsylvania is above the national median levels with regard to all consumption indicators for tobacco including daily use by adults and teens and especially smoking during pregnancy. Adult and Youth Illicit Drug Use and Consequences. There is substantial use of illicit drugs in Pennsylvania among youth and adults. The 1825 year old age group stands out with regard to all types of self-reported illicit drug use— both marijuana and other illicit drug use rates are much higher than the other age groups. Correspondingly, the percent of 18-25 year olds meeting DSM-IV (Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 4th edition) criteria for illicit drug abuse or dependence is much higher than the other age groups, with 8% meeting criteria for drug abuse or dependence. These rates then decline as young adults move further into the roles and responsibilities of adulthood. There were 39,761 treatment admissions in Pennsylvania (based on 2007 Treatment Episode Data (TEDS) where illicit drugs were identified as the drug of choice at admission. The most frequently cited drugs (in order of ranking) were: heroin, cocaine, and marijuana. This data is limited, however, to federal block grant/state funded services, plus available Medicaid information, and does not reflect all treatment services provided in Pennsylvania. Among youth, current marijuana use increases dramatically by grade: there is almost no reported use in 6th graders, 3% among 8th graders, 12% among 10th graders, and a jump to 19% in 12th graders. 36% of 12th graders reported that they had tried marijuana in their lifetime. While marijuana shows the highest prevalence, there is substantial use of inhalants among all grades (6th, 8th, 10th, 12th) and non-medical use of prescription drugs as reported by 10th and 12th graders. In 2007, over 7% of 12th graders reported substantial 3 non-medical use of prescription drugs including amphetamines, sedatives, tranquilizers and over 12% reported use of narcotic pain medications. For youth under 18, marijuana use was most often identified as the illicit drug of choice at admission to treatment. The use of marijuana and other illicit drugs among adults (other than non-medical use of prescription drugs) appears relatively stable the past few years. For youth, it appears marijuana and other illicit drug use is declining. Compared with the rest of the nation, Pennsylvania is slightly below average for consumption and consequence rates for illicit drugs; however, current marijuana use for 18-25 years old is slightly above the national level. Cross-Substance Summary Alcohol, tobacco and illicit drugs are used at substantial rates in Pennsylvania. For students or youth, alcohol is the most frequently reported substance used, followed by tobacco and marijuana. However, for adults, the daily smoking prevalence is higher than the prevalence of 30-day adult binge or heavy drinking (‗problem drinking‘). There is dramatic growth in binge drinking, tobacco, and illicit drug use during the high schools years and these activities continue at high rates through the young adult years (ages 1825). Reported smoking during pregnancy also affects many people (25,155 live births in 2007). For consequences, the largest number of people are affected by: DUI arrests (48,698 persons in 2006), admissions to treatment (75,749 admissions in 2007), lung cancer deaths (7,969 deaths in 2006), and the percent of people in Pennsylvania meeting DSM-IV criteria for abuse or dependence (6.4% for alcohol and 2.3% illicit drugs, 20062007). All of these issues are considered serious and may be amenable to some intervention models. In order to make changes in these indicators, intervening variables (risk and protective factors) may be targets for intervention and thus should also be measured. 4 II. INTRODUCTION II. A. About the SPF-SIG This profile is to be used as a tool for substance abuse prevention planners for the state of Pennsylvania. The primary purpose of this profile is to utilize data to monitor programs and practices for substance abuse prevention. The goals of this profile are aligned with the Strategic Prevention Framework and it supports efforts related to the SAMHSA SPFSIG in Pennsylvania. The SPF-SIG will provide funding for Pennsylvania communities to assess substance use and its consequences and intervening variables in order to address those needs with planning and implementation of evidence-based prevention programs, policies, and practices. The intervening variables include risk and protective factors that are related to both consumption indicators and consequence indicators. The goals of the broader SPF-SIG initiative are to: Prevent the onset and reduce the progression of substance abuse, including childhood and underage drinking; Reduce substance abuse-related problems in the communities; and Build prevention capacity and infrastructure at the State and community levels. The SPF-SIG takes a public health approach to prevent substance related problems. This approach focuses on change for entire populations. A basic foundation of effective prevention activity is grounding the planning process in a solid understanding of alcohol, tobacco and other drug consumption and consequence patterns. Understanding the nature and extent of consumption (e.g., underage drinking, illicit drug use) and consequences (e.g., motor-vehicle crashes, school failure) is critical for determining prevention priorities and aligning strategies to address them. The Strategic Prevention Framework includes 5 iterative steps (see Figure 1). Figure 1.: SAMHSA’s Strategic Prevention Framework Steps Profile population needs, resources, and readiness to address needs and gaps Evaluation Monitor, evaluate, sustain, and improve or replace those that fail Implementation Assessment Capacity Mobilize and/or build capacity to address needs Sustainability & Cultural Competence Implement evidence-based prevention programs and activities Develop a Comprehensive Strategic Plan Planning 5 The SPF-SIG strives to use data across all steps of the Strategic Prevention Framework (SPF). There is a well-structured process to collect, analyze, interpret, and apply lessons from substance use and consequence data to drive state efforts across the entire SPF. Ongoing and integrated data analyses are critical to: Identify problems and set priorities; Assess and mobilize capacity for using data; Inform prevention planning and funding decisions; Guide selection of strategies to address problems and goals; and Monitor key milestones and outcomes and adjust plans as needed. II. B. About Pennsylvania Pennsylvania has the 6th largest population in the U.S., with over 12 million residents. The state has two major metropolitan areas, 12 cities with 100,000 – 1,000,000 residents, hundreds of smaller towns, and vast rural areas. Nearly one-third of the population (3.8 million) lives in Philadelphia and its four surrounding counties. With regard to race and ethnicity, Pennsylvania is approximately 86% White, 11% Black, 2% Asian, and 4% Hispanic/Latino. Economically, the median household income is approximately $44,000, with 11% of the population living in poverty. 6 II. C. Goals GOALS OF SEOW The goals of the SEOW are to: Bring systematic, analytical thinking to the causes and consequences of the use of substances in order to effectively and efficiently utilize prevention resources; Promote data-driven decision making at all stages in the Strategic Prevention Framework; Promote cross systems planning, implementation, and monitoring efforts; and Provide core support to the SPF Advisory Council. GOALS OF THIS PROFILE This report is a component in the continuing SPF-SIG process of statewide needs assessment. The initial activity is to assess substance use and related problems leading to recommendations regarding state and community priorities. The assessment should include a profile of consumption and related problems in Pennsylvania and identify a set of state-specific indicators of (1) substance use-related consequences and (2) substance use patterns related to these consequences. As directed by SAMSHA, this assessment should include measures of: Overall Consumption; Acute, heavy consumption; Consumption in risky situations (drinking and driving); Consumption by high risk groups (youth, college students, pregnant women); Consequences that result from consumption. Finally, certain criteria were used for selecting indicators. These indicators should: Reflect critical substance use related problem or consumption pattern; Have high validity (research-based evidence accurately measures construct); Have consistent, periodic collection (over at least last 3 to 5 years); Be readily available and accessible; and Be sensitive (able to detect change over time). The current assessment report was focused on utilizing existing data sources and should establish baseline levels, trends over time, and, when available, patterns by age, gender, race/ethnicity, and geography. 7 II. D. Understanding the Profile PROFILE LAYOUT Each consumption and consequence section begins by listing and defining all indicators used for a particular substance (indicator definitions in this profile follow the definitions from the data sources used in the sections). Next, data is presented by indicator. Within these sections, short descriptions of findings are also presented. At the end of each section is an overall summary. ABOUT NUMBERS IN PROFILE The data and statistics shown in this profile were obtained mainly at the state level as that is the level at which most of the estimates are statistically accurate due to typical survey sampling frames and methodologies. When statistically possible, the data were disaggregated into smaller geographical areas to more accurately identify regions of higher risk for the indicators. In addition, when possible, 95% confidence or prediction intervals for the estimates are provided for comparison purposes. When the term ‗significant‘ is used in making comparisons in this profile, it is conservatively utilized and refers to non-overlapping 95% confidence or prediction intervals. The term ‗prevalence rate‘ refers to how prevalent the measurement is in the population (higher numbers indicate greater prevalence); this can be presented as a percentage or count per population. As the estimates and data were obtained from many data sources, each table or chart is briefly labeled with the data source. The full data sources are described in the section titled ‗Data Sources‘. In addition, most of the data is presented in forms of figures or graphs. The actual numbers are usually then reported in the Appendix, as noted in the sections. DATA DIMENSIONS Most of the indicators in each substance section are summarized by a matrix using three comparison dimensions. One dimension summarized is the magnitude of the problem, either with numbers impacted, rates of severity, or both (when possible). Another dimension examined is time trends with the indicator. Is the indicator getting better or worse over time? Finally, a third dimension examined (when possible) is comparison with national rates. For this dimension, the same measure is compared for Pennsylvania with the national one to calculate a rate ratio. A rate ratio can be interpreted as: 1 = Pennsylvania‘s rate is the same as the national one; Over 1 = Pennsylvania‘s rate is higher than the national one, higher numbers indicate an increasing difference; and Under 1 = Pennsylvania‘s rate is lower than the national one. 8 III. DATA SOURCES Alcohol Sales: Lakins, N.E., LaVallee, R.A., Williams, G.D., and Yi, H., 2007. Surveillance Report #82: Apparent Per Capita Alcohol Consumption: National, State, and Regional Trends, 1977-2006. Bethesda, MD: NIAAA, Alcohol Epidemiologic Data System. Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) Survey: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System Survey Data. Atlanta, Georgia: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 1999-2008. Data obtained on the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) website: http://www.cdc.gov/brfss/index.htm. The BRFSS survey in Pennsylvania is conducted by the Pennsylvania Department of Health. Census: United States resident population by county, single-year of age, sex, race, and Hispanic origin, prepared by the U.S. Census Bureau, 2000-2009. Data were downloaded from the Census website at www.census.gov. Court Convictions: Administrative Office of the Pennsylvania Courts (AOPC) provided data on the outcomes of criminal court cases for drug and alcohol related offenses in 2008. Web docket data on individual court cases can be obtained from http://www.aopc.org/default.htm. A formal data request is required to obtain data on the entire state of Pennsylvania. The magisterial district courts and the court of common pleas maintaining separate databases. Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS): National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, Department of Transportation, 2007. FARS includes blood alcohol content (BAC) values for every case in the file, either through BAC measurement, or imputation where an actual measurement was not taken (or the result was unknown). Those persons for whom a BAC is missing had their BAC imputed probabilistically from a model developed by NHTSA analysts that has been validated as having a high degree of predictive accuracy (Rubin, Schafer, and Subramanian, 1998). National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH): Hughes, A., Sathe, N., & Spagnola, K. (2008). State Estimates of Substance Use from the 2005-2006 National Surveys on Drug Use and Health (DHHS Publication No. SMA 08-4311, NSDUH Series H-33). Rockville, MD: Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration, Office of Applied Studies. Some figures, numbers, and regional break-downs obtained online from website. State estimates are calculated by combining two years of data and substate estimates combine 3 years of data. All estimates are based on a survey-weighted hierarchical Bayesian approach. Annual updates and state estimates are available at: http://oas.samhsa.gov/. Publication used for substate estimates (http://oas.samhsa.gov/substate2k8/substate.pdf): Substate Estimates from the 2004-2006 National Survey on Drug Use and Health. 9 Pennsylvania EpiQMS (Epidemiologic Query and Mapping System): Pennsylvania Department of Health website: http://www.dsf.health.state.pa.us. EpiQMS includes data from Pennsylvania‘s death and birth certificates across years and by demographics and geography. PA Department of Health disclaimer: These data were provided by the Bureau of Health Statistics and Research, Pennsylvania Department of Health. The Department specifically disclaims responsibility for any analyses, interpretations or conclusions. Pennsylvania State Police: Uniform Crime Statistics obtained from PCCD (PA Commission on Crime and Delinquency), Center for Research, Evaluation, and Statistical Analysis as ‗DUI Fact Sheets‘ downloaded from: http://www.pccd.state.pa.us/pccd/cwp/view.asp?a=3&Q=571189 Pennsylvania Youth Survey (PAYS): 2007 PA Youth Survey Report (Statewide) obtainable online (http://www.pccd.state.pa.us) as publication from Pennsylvania Commission on Crime and Delinquency (PCCD). Since 1989, the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania has conducted a survey of secondary school students on their behavior, attitudes and knowledge concerning alcohol, tobacco, other drugs, and violence. The Pennsylvania Youth Survey (PAYS) of 6th, 8th, 10th and 12th grade public school students is conducted every two years. The effort is sponsored and conducted by the Pennsylvania Commission on Crime and Delinquency (PCCD). The data gathered in the PAYS serve two primary needs. First, the results provide school administrators, state agency directors, legislators and others with critical information concerning the changes in patterns of the use and abuse of these harmful substances and behaviors. Second, the survey assesses risk factors that are related to these behaviors and the protective factors that help guard against them. This information allows community leaders to direct prevention resources to intervening variables where they are likely to have the greatest impact. Pennsylvania Youth Tobacco Survey (YTS): 2006 PA Youth Tobacco Survey statewide report is available online (http://www.dsf.health.state.pa.us/health/cwp/view.asp?A=174&Q=246221) as a publication of the Pennsylvania Department of Health, Bureau of Health Promotion and Risk Reduction and the Bureau of Health Statistics and Research. The YTS is a tool, developed by the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), to measure students‘ tobaccorelated knowledge, behaviors, and attitudes. The Pennsylvania Department of Health, Division of Tobacco Prevention and Control conducted the PA YTS 2006 during the fall and winter of the 2006-2007 school year. The results of this survey are intended to be used by tobacco control program staff, researchers, healthcare providers, local health departments, and community partners. Treatment Episode Data Sets (TEDS): Office of Applied Studies, Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (http://www.drugabusestatistics.samhsa.gov). TEDS provides information on the demographic and substance abuse characteristics of the 1.9 million annual admissions to treatment for abuse of alcohol and drugs in facilities that report to individual State administrative data systems. TEDS is an admission-based system, and TEDS admissions do not represent individuals. It includes admissions to 10 facilities that are licensed or certified by the State substance abuse agency to provide substance abuse treatment (or are administratively tracked for other reasons). In general, facilities reporting TEDS data are those that receive State alcohol and/or drug agency funds (including Federal Block Grant funds) for the provision of alcohol and/or drug treatment services. 11 IV. DATA LIMITATIONS There are a number of data limitations that currently exist in attempting to accurately represent substance use and consequences in Pennsylvania. Additionally, some of the data included in this profile (Pennsylvania Youth Survey (PAYS), DUI arrest rates, Treatment Episode Data Set (TEDS)) provides important information but should be interpreted with caution. Within the profile we address the cautionary inferences for specific data indicators and we also include an overall summary of such data limitations here. Concerns About PAYS Data: Although of great value, there are a number of issues to be considered in the Pennsylvania Youth Survey (PAYS). The overall school response rate for the 2007 survey was 34%. Fifty-one percent of schools in the original sample did not participate. While appropriate weighting was conducted to minimize the effects on the estimates of this low response rate, no amount of adjustment can remove the very real possibility that a substantial and unknown amount of bias remains. Second, there was no participation from either the Philadelphia or Pittsburgh school districts; hence the estimates do not allow for estimates of Pennsylvania‘s two large urban areas and thus may provide unreliable estimates regarding differences by ethnicity. Third, the accuracy of 12th grade data is difficult to judge due to the high rate of dropouts in some communities. Therefore, the 12th grade data should be used with caution. Fourth, the PAYS report does not compute confidence intervals and thus it is often unknown whether differences by grade, sex, ethnicity, etc. are statistically different. Concerns About TEDS Data: Licensed drug and alcohol treatment providers in Pennsylvania that receive funds from the Department of Health (DOH) are required to report on treatment services provided through the Bureau of Drug and Alcohol Programs' (BDAP) Client Information System (CIS). This data is largely limited to block grant/state funded services, plus available Medicaid information. BDAP submits treatment admissions data on a quarterly basis to SAMHSA for inclusion in the national Treatment Episode Data Set (TEDS). There are differences in TEDS and CIS treatment admissions counts for Pennsylvania for several reasons. TEDS data is aggregated on a calendar year basis, while state level CIS publications use a state fiscal year reporting period (July 1 to the following June 30). Admissions may also be counted differently in TEDS and CIS. Pennsylvania treatment providers are instructed to report a new treatment admission in the Client Information System (CIS) every time a client changes between levels of care, although it is not known how consistently this is done. TEDS defines a treatment episode differently, and would only show a new admission for a change in level of care if a different treatment provider was involved. Changes in level of care at the same provider are counted as a transfer rather than a new admission in TEDS. Finally, the reported admissions are only to facilities that are either state-certified for treatment and/or receive government funds; thus, these numbers don‘t represent the entire scope of those admitted for treatment in 12 Pennsylvania. Finally, it is unknown as to what extent the treatment admissions data submitted by Pennsylvania to TEDS is edited by SAMHSA's contractor (Synectics). Concerns About DUI Arrest Data: Although included in this profile, DUI arrest data must be used with caution as it may not accurately reflect consumption patterns in Pennsylvania. Instead, this arrest data is likely to reflect local priorities and concerns and may also reflect budgetary priorities of local law enforcement. This could erroneously reflect increased targeting of certain geographic regions rather than actual increases in consumption. If targeted prevention programs are conducted to reduce alcohol abuse, these may not be reflected in DUI arrests. However, it is possible that increased enforcement and thus higher rates of DUI arrests might lead to a reduction in other consequences such as reports of drinking and driving, alcohol-related fatalities, etc. 13 V. DATA PROCESSES V. A. Choosing Indicators An important goal of this report is to provide a wide variety of data indicators for Pennsylvania that bear on the issue of substance use and abuse. Choices were made to include indicators based on data availability (should be easily available), data validity (should be research-based evidence that the indicator accurately measures the construct), data consistency (data should be measured in a very similar way across several years), and sensitivity (data should reflect changes in consumption or consequences of substance). The process of indicator selection was facilitated by following the guidelines for indicators suggested by SAMHSA along with associated data SAMHSA supplied for Pennsylvania. For consumption indicators, these included: current use of substances, binge drinking, heavy drinking, drinking and driving self-reported rates, alcohol/tobacco sales, daily tobacco use, age of initial use of substances, lifetime use of some substances for youth, and alcohol use during pregnancy. Almost all of these are contained in this profile. These are all nationally obtained by SAMHSA. However, importantly, most of the youth consumption data utilized by SAMHSA is obtained through the Youth Risk Behavioral Surveillance Survey in which Pennsylvania does not participate. We filled this data gap with the Pennsylvania Youth Survey (PAYS). Where possible (in order to compare with the national rate), we also report the applicable rates for youths from the National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH). Within the State of Pennsylvania, there are data estimates of many of these consumption indicators as well. We utilized Pennsylvania Department of Health data for the indicator of smoking while pregnant which provides some disaggregation by demographics and by county. We do not report current alcohol use rates for adults since this is a normative, legal behavior and the majority of Pennsylvania adults surveyed have had a drink within 30-days. As age at first use of ATOD is an unreliable indicator (it varies by age with the question asked), we instead report lifetime use of substances for youth by grade level. For consequences, SAMHSA recommended indicators included: deaths from liver disease (alcoholic and/or chronic), suicides, homicides, motor vehicle crashes, the percent of persons over 12 meeting DSM-IV criteria for alcohol/drug abuse or dependence, crime data, deaths from lung cancer, deaths from Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) or Emphysema, deaths from cardiovascular disease, and deaths from drugs. We exclude almost all crime data (violent crimes and homicides) as these indicators do not reflect consumption and are an inaccurate measure of the influence of ATOD. However, we do include DUI arrest data as one indicator to monitor to assess for Pennsylvania‘s burden (monetary and otherwise) that results from drinking (see ‗Data Limitations‘ for cautions in interpreting this indicator). We also exclude suicides and deaths from cardiovascular disease as we decided that these measures were very limited in accurately measuring our constructs. It is unclear what role ATOD plays in suicide and many factors other than ATOD are related to cardiovascular mortality. As there are no other 14 available consequence indicators specific to the use of illegal drugs, we include the percent of admissions to treatment centers across the state for alcohol or other substances, detailed by each substance (see ‗Data Limitations‘ for cautions in interpreting this indicator). V. B. Chosen Indicators Table 1. Construct ALCOHOL TOBACCO Alcoholic Liver Disease Death Rate Lung Cancer Death Percent Fatal Motor Vehicle Rate Crashes Involving Alcohol Emphysema Death Mortality Fatal Motor Vehicle Death Rate Rate Involving Alcohol Percent Drinking Drivers of Total Drivers in Fatal Crashes DUI Arrest Rate Public Drunkenness Conviction Rate Crime Underage Purchase of Alcohol/Tobacco Conviction rate DUI Conviction Rate Percent Persons 12+ Meeting DSM-IV Criteria for Alcohol Other Abuse/Dependence Consequences Treatment Admissions (%) for Alcohol Use Current Use Current Use (youth only) Lifetime Use (youth Binge Drinking only) Lifetime Use (youth only) Daily Smokers (adults Consumption Heavy Drinking (adults only) only) Drinking & Driving Smoking During Alcohol Sales Pregnancy ILLICIT DRUGS Drug Death Rate Percent Persons 12+ Meeting DSM-IV Criteria for Illicit Drug Abuse/Dependence Drug Possession Conviction Rate Illegal Alcohol/Drug Sales Conviction Rate Treatment Admissions (%) for Illicit Drug Use Current Use Lifetime Use (youth only) 15 VI. CONSUMPTION & CONSEQUENCE INDICATORS VI. A. Alcohol VI. A. 1. Alcohol Indicators Defined Consumption Binge Drinking—defined as drinking 5 or more drinks on at least one occasion (i.e., at the same time or within a couple of hours of each other) usually in the previous 30-days. Heavy Drinking—defined for persons 18 or older as consuming 2 or more (men) OR 1 or more (women) drinks per day. Current Use—defined as consuming 1 or more drinks in the last 30-days. Lifetime Use—defined as use of alcohol in their lifetime (youth under 18). Self-Reported Driving Under the Influence (DUI)—defined as any occasion of driving either while or shortly after drinking for youth under 18 and for persons 18 or older as driving one or more times in the past 30-days when they ―have perhaps had too much to drink‖. Alcohol Sales—defined as total sales of ethanol in gallons per 10,000 population aged 14 and older. Consequences DUI Arrest Rate—defined as the number of arrests due to driving under the influence of alcohol or narcotics per 100,000 persons in population. Percent Fatal Motor Vehicle Crashes Involving Alcohol—defined as the percent of all fatal motor vehicle crashes involving alcohol (FARS includes blood alcohol content (BAC) values for every case in the file, either through BAC measurement, or imputation where an actual measurement was not taken (or the result was unknown). Those persons for whom a BAC is missing had their BAC imputed probabilistically from a model that has a high degree of predictive accuracy (Rubin, Schafer, and Subramanian, 1998). Alcohol-Related Fatal Motor Vehicle Death Rate—defined as the number of deaths resulting from fatal motor vehicle crashes involving alcohol per 100,000 persons in census population. Percent Drinking Drivers of Total Drivers in Fatal Crashes—defined as the percent of drivers using alcohol among all drivers involved in a fatal motor vehicle crash. Alcoholic Liver Disease Death Rate—defined as the age-adjusted death rate (except when broken down by age in which case is age-specific) per 100,000 persons due to an underlying cause of death specified as ICD-10 code K70. Percent Treatment Admissions for Alcohol Use—defined as the percent of admissions for alcohol treatment to facilities that are licensed or certified by the state substance abuse agency to provide substance abuse treatment (or are administratively tracked for other reasons). In general, facilities reporting data are those that receive state alcohol and/or drug agency funds (including Federal Block Grant funds) for the provision of alcohol and/or drug treatment services. 16 Percent Meeting DSM-IV Criteria for Alcohol Abuse or Dependence—defined as percent of persons aged 12 and older meeting DSM-IV criteria for alcohol abuse or dependence (Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 4th edition [DSMIV) (American Psychiatric Association, 1994)]. VI. A. 2. Adult & Youth Alcohol Consumption BINGE DRINKING Table 2 displays adult binge drinking trends as reported from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) survey data from 2004 to 2008 as well as patterns by age, gender, race/ethnicity, and education level. Nationally, 15.6% of adults reported binge drinking (males having five or more drinks on one occasion, females having four or more drinks on one occasion) in 2008. In Pennsylvania, in 2008, the estimate is 16.7% (95% CI: 15.5-18.0%). The most substantial difference occurs in rates by gender. For example, in 2008, 22.6% of men reported binge drinking compared to only 11.4% of women. This difference is also depicted in Figure 1. Figure 1 also illustrates that there is a small reduction in binge drinking in men between 2002 and 2008. In addition, binge drinking shows a decline with increasing age. In 2008 binge drinking percentages were 32.5% in the 18-24 age range, compared to 16.0% of those aged 45-54 and only 3.6% of those aged 65 or older. Findings indicate lower rates of binge drinking for Blacks (13.7%) as compared to Whites (17.3%) in 2008. Educational level does not appear to have a consistent influence on the rate of binge drinking. Figure 1. Source: BRFSS, Center for Disease Control (CDC) (State Prevalence). 17 Table 2. PA Adult Binge Drinking All Adults 2004 (N=6,026) 2005 (N=13,245) 2006 (N=12,882) 2007 (N=13,007) 2008 (N=12,921) n (yes) % yes CI n (yes) % yes CI n (yes) % yes CI n (yes) % yes CI n (yes) % yes CI 798 17.6 16.3-18.9 1647 16.0 14.9-17.1 1664 16.6 15.2-18.0 1579 16.2 14.8-17.6 1579 16.7 15.5-18.0 Male Female 490 308 25.5 23.2-27.8 10.5 9.2-11.8 1033 614 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 145 145 145 145 145 145 42.9 25.9 19.9 14.7 7.0 3.5 37.0-48.8 21.9-29.3 17.0-22.8 12.0-17.4 5.1-8.9 2.4-4.6 204 364 401 396 177 105 White Black Other 692 44 23 17.1 15.8-18.4 18.5 11.9-25.1 20.8 12.3-29.3 1391 156 41 23.7 21.8-25.6 9.0 7.9-10.1 928 736 22.3 19.8-24.8 11.5 10.0-13.0 899 680 22.7 20.3-25.1 10.3 8.9-11.7 869 710 22.6 20.4-24.7 11.4 10.0-12.8 31.2 24.1 18.8 15.8 8.5 3.2 25.9-36.5 20.7-27.5 16.5-21.1 13.7-17.9 6.7-10.3 2.4-4.0 186 324 426 385 223 120 33.2 24.7 19.9 13.8 11.5 3.8 25.5-40.9 20.5-28.9 17.1-22.7 11.6-16.0 9.1-13.9 2.7-4.9 118 312 406 410 208 125 30.6 22.3 21.6 17 7.8 3.5 23.3-37.9 18.4-26.2 18.7-24.5 14.6-19.4 6.0-9.6 2.5-4.5 123 278 384 419 240 135 32.5 25.1 20.9 16 8.7 3.6 16.2 15.0-17.4 14.0 9.3-18.9 24.2 15.3-33.1 1445 122 23 17.4 15.9-18.9 9.9 3.6-16.2 7.1 1.4-12.8 1363 130 26 16.4 15.0-17.8 10.5 6.6-14.4 19.5 9.5-29.5 1363 143 NA 25.9-39.2 21.3-28.9 18.3-23.5 14.0-18.1 7.2-10.3 2.8-4.5 17.3 16.0-18.6 13.7 9.2-18.2 NA NA <HS 59 18.4 13.1-23.7 145 15.3 11.4-19.2 125 12.8 8.2-17.4 114 14.1 8.6-19.6 128 15.1 10.5-19.7 HS 299 16.1 14.1-18.1 642 15.4 13.7-17.1 664 16.4 14.0-18.8 663 16 14.0-18.0 579 15.4 13.4-17.5 Some College 200 20.1 17.2-23.0 408 17.9 15.4-20.4 400 17.8 14.5-21.1 368 18.9 15.6-22.2 387 19.2 16.4-22.1 College Grad 240 17.5 15.1-19.9 451 15.4 13.5-17.3 475 17.2 14.8-19.6 433 15.1 12.9-17.3 485 16.8 14.8-18.9 % = Percentage, CI = Confidence Interval, n = Cell Size N/A = Not available if the unweighted sample size for the denominator was < 50 or the CI half width was > 10 for any cell, or if the state did not collect data for that calendar year. Individual categories may not add to total count, due to sparse or missing data. *Source: BRFSS, CDC (State Prevalences). 18 Figure 2 displays regional rates of binge drinking among all persons aged 12 or older in Pennsylvania, according to the National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) (2004-2006, see Appendix for data table). The Allegheny region (includes Pittsburgh), northwest region, and the north-central region have the highest overall binge drinking rates, whereas the south central regions have the lowest rates. Figure 2. Binge Alcohol Use in Past Month by Persons Aged 12 or Older by PA Substate Region Note: Substate regions are delineated by thick black lines whereas counties are delineated by thin black lines. Source: SAMHSA, Office of Applied Studies, National Survey on Drug Use and Health, 2004, 2005, and 2006. 19 Figure 3 represents underage (aged 12-20) substate data from the NSDUH (see Appendix for data table). Substate estimates based on the 2004-2006 NSDUH indicate substantial differences within Pennsylvania regions in underage binge drinking. The north-central region with a rate of 25.9% (which includes Bradford, Sullivan, Centre, Columbia, Montour, Snyder, Union, Clinton, Lycoming, Northumberland, Potter, Susquehanna, and Tioga counties) show the highest rates and are substantially higher than the statewide average estimate of 20.5%. Philadelphia County shows the lowest rate at 14.4% and is significantly lower than the statewide average. Figure 3. Binge Alcohol Use in Past Month by Persons aged 12-20 by PA Substate Region Note: Substate regions are delineated by thick black lines whereas counties are delineated by thin black lines. Source: SAMHSA, Office of Applied Studies, National Survey on Drug Use and Health, 2004, 2005, and 2006. 20 Figure 4 depicts 2001-2007 statewide estimates for youth in grades 6, 8, 10, and 12 from the Pennsylvania Youth Survey (PAYS) Report. Students in the 12th grade have the highest absolute rates across years. However, they showed a substantial drop between 2005 and 2007 (there was a concern in the 2007 report that the 2005 data may have been unreliable). There was also a trend towards a decline among 10th graders. Overall, from the 2007 PAYS, 14.9% (15.3% in 2003) of students in these grades report binge drinking in the two weeks before the survey. In comparison, the NSDUH estimates 11.1% of Pennsylvania youth aged 12-17 reported binge drinking in the 30-days prior to the survey in 2003-2004 and 9.8% in 2006-2007. Nationally, from NSDUH, the median estimate was 10.9% in 2003-2004 and 10.0% in 2006-2007. Figure 4. 2-Week % Binge Drinking 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2001 6th 8th 2003 10th 2005 12th 2007 All Grades Source: Pennsylvania Youth Survey Report (PAYS) 21 HEAVY DRINKING Table 3 presents the Pennsylvania rates of self-reported adult heavy drinking from the BRFSS survey (data from years 2003-2004 were not included due to much smaller sampling sizes). Results indicate a significant reduction among all adults between 2002 and 2005, from 6.1% down to 4.6% but then increased to 5.5% by 2008. Nationally, in 2008, adult heavy drinking prevalence was 5.2%. Similar to binge drinking, younger adults show higher rates of heavy drinking than do older adults. A greater percentage of men (7%) compared to women (4%) report that they are heavy drinkers. Table 3. PA Adult Heavy Drinking All Adults 2002 (N=13,386) n (yes) % yes CI 730 6.1 5.5-6.7 Male Female 404 326 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 107 127 163 158 93 82 White Black Hispanic 665 24 7 8.2 4.1 7.2-9.2 3.5-4.7 13.4 10.4-16.4 7.1 5.5-8.7 5.9 4.8-7.0 5.4 4.3-6.5 4.5 3.3-5.7 2.6 1.8-3.3 6.3 3.7 2.4 5.7-6.9 1.9-5.5 0.3-4.5 2005 (N=13,124) n (yes) % yes CI 573 4.6 4.0-5.2 2006 (12,879) 2007 (12,861) 2008 (12,820) n (yes) % yes CI n (yes) % yes CI n (yes) % yes CI 552 4.9 4.0-5.8 560 5.2 4.4-6.0 602 5.5 4.7-6.2 287 286 5.8 3.5 4.8-6.8 2.9-4.1 264 288 61 95 111 132 82 92 8.4 5.6-11.2 6.0 3.9-8.1 3.9 2.8-5.0 4.5 3.4-5.6 3.6 2.6-4.6 2.5 1.8-3.2 62 68 135 108 98 81 485 50 15 4.7 4.1-5.3 3.5 1.3-5.7 4.8 0.0-10.1 473 52 ND 3.9-6.9 3.4-5.4 285 275 6.9 3.7 5.3-8.5 2.9-4.5 308 294 12.6 7.1-18.1 3.8 2.2-5.4 4.7 3.3-6.1 4.8 3.4-6.2 3.7 2.3-5.1 2.1 1.3-2.9 31 69 113 157 104 86 9.6 5.1-14.1 5.2 2.3-8.1 5.5 3.9-7.1 6 4.6-7.4 3.6 2.4-4.8 2.7 1.9-3.5 28 61 126 161 124 102 8.1 4.3-11.9 6.2 4.1-8.3 6.8 5.2-8.5 5.7 4.4-7.0 4.6 3.5-5.8 2.4 1.8-3.1 485 49 ND 5.3 2.9 ND 520 55 10 5.7 4.7 3.7 5.4 4.4 4.9 3.2 ND 4.0-5.8 1.4-5.0 ND 4.5-6.1 0.7-5.1 ND 7 4 <HS 63 5.8 4.0-7.6 57 4.4 2.2-6.6 46 4.2 1.7-6.7 47 7.3 2.2-12.4 42 5 HS or GED 307 6.2 5.3-7.1 205 4.4 3.4-5.4 218 4 2.9-5.1 226 5.3 3.9-6.7 234 5.4 Some College 181 7.2 5.8-8.6 139 5.0 3.7-6.3 131 6.9 4.2-9.6 125 5.2 3.4-7.0 138 5.6 College Grad 178 5.0 4.1-5.9 172 4.5 3.5-5.5 157 4.6 3.3-5.9 161 4.6 3.2-6.0 188 5.5 Heavy drinking is definied as adult men having more than two drinks per day and adult women having more than one drink per day. % = Percentage, CI = Confidence Interval, n = Cell Size, N = total sample size that answered 'yes' or 'no'. Percentages are weighted to population characteristics. Use caution in interpreting cell sizes less than 50. Note: Hispanic can be of any race. Individual categories may not add to total count, due to sparse or missing data. *Source: BRFSS, CDC (State Prevalences). 22 5.7-8.3 3.3-4.7 4.9-6.5 2.2-7.2 0.7-6.8 2.0-8.0 4.2-6.7 4.0-7.2 4.4-6.5 Table 4 and Figure 5 present regional rates of adult heavy drinking from the BRFSS survey. Regional estimates were created by aggregating all data collected in 2005, 2006 & 2007. Results indicate that rates of heavy drinking range from 3 to 7 percent across the state, with no particular region demonstrating rates that are significantly different from the statewide average. Table 4. PA Adult Heavy Drinking by Region 2005-2007 County/Region Pennsylvania Philadelphia Bucks Montgomery Chester Delaware Lancaster Berks, Schuylkill Carbon, Lehigh, Northampton Pike, Monroe, Susquehanna, Wayne Lackawanna, Luzerne, Wyoming Adams, Franklin, Fulton York Cumberland, Perry Dauphin, Lebanon Bedford, Blair, Huntingdon, Juniata, Mifflin Cntr, Colmbia, Montr, Nrthumbrlnd, Snyder, Union Bradford, Sullivan, Tioga, Lycoming, Clinton, Potter Erie Crawford, Lawrence, Mercer, Venango Forst, Elk, Camrn, Clrfd, Jefrsn, Clarn, McKn, Wrrn Allegheny Westmoreland Indiana, Cambria, Somerset, Armstrong Beaver, Butler Fayette, Greene, Washington CI = 95% Confidence Interval *Source: BRFSS, PA Dept. of Health EpiQMS. Percent 5 4 5 5 6 6 5 6 5 6 6 5 3 7 4 3 7 4 5 5 7 6 5 6 5 5 CI (5-6) (3-6) (3-7) (4-8) (5-7) (4-11) (4-7) (4-8) (3-9) (4-9) (5-8) (3-9) (2-5) (4-11) (3-6) (2-5) (5-10) (3-6) (3-8) (4-7) (5-11) (4-8) (3-7) (4-9) (3-8) (4-7) 23 Figure 5. PA Adult Heavy Drinking by Region (2005-2007). Source: BRFSS, PA Dept of Health, EpiQMS. 24 CURRENT USE As illustrated in Figure 6, youth current use (one or more drinks in the last 30-days) from the PAYS indicates that a very large percentage of 10th and 12th graders are consuming alcohol. Twelfth-graders showed a substantial drop between 2005 and 2007; however, there was a concern in the 2007 report that the 2005 data may have been unreliable. There was also a trend towards a decline among 10th graders. Overall, 23.2% of students in 6, 8, 10, and 12 grades report past 30-day use in the 2007 PAYS. In comparison, the 2005-2006 Pennsylvania specific NSDUH estimate for current alcohol use for youth aged 12-17 was 16.3%, which declined from 17.8% in 2003-2004. National rates are nearly identical according to NSDUH data, with 16.3% of youth aged 12-17 reporting part 30day alcohol use in 2005-2006 and 17.7% of youth in 2003-2004. Figure 6. % Past 30-Day Alcohol Use 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2001 6th 8th 2003 10th 2005 12th 2007 All Grades Source: Pennsylvania Youth Survey Report (PAYS) 25 Figure 7 presents substate data from the NSDUH for youth aged 12-20 (see Appendix for data table). Substate estimates based on the 2004-2006 NSDUH indicate substantial differences within Pennsylvania regions in youth current use of alcohol. These findings are similar to those reported for binge drinking. Both the Allegheny County region (33.8%) and the north-central region (33.1%) showed higher rates than the state average of 29.5%. Philadelphia County again showed the lowest underage 30-day alcohol consumption rate at 22.9%. Figure 7. Alcohol Use in Past 30-days by Persons Aged 12-20 by PA Substate Region Note: Substate regions are delineated by thick black lines whereas counties are delineated by thin black lines. Source: SAMHSA, Office of Applied Studies, National Survey on Drug Use and Health, 2004, 2005, and 2006. LIFETIME USE In 2007, Pennsylvania youth (6th, 8th, 10th, and 12th graders), on average, reported having their first use of alcohol (having more than a sip or two of alcohol) at age 12.8. In 2007, on average, 23.9% of 6th graders, 51% of 8th graders, 70% of 10th graders, and 78.4% of 12th graders sampled reported that they had used alcohol in their lifetime. 26 ALCOHOL SALES Table 5 displays data on alcohol sales between 1990 and 2006. The data indicate that there was a decrease in Pennsylvania from 1990 to 1995, and then an increasing trend since 1995. All sales rates are highest in 2006 (most recent data). Beer accounts for the largest volume of ethanol sold, followed by spirits and then wine. Nationally, the median rate of ethanol (all beverages) per capita sold in 2006 was 2.27, while in Pennsylvania it was 2.12. Table 5. PA Sales of Ethanol in Gallons per 10,000 Persons (14 years or older) Beverage Type Spirits Wine Beer All beverages 1990 0.55 0.18 1.42 2.15 1995 0.45 0.18 1.23 1.86 2000 0.47 0.21 1.21 1.90 2005 0.55 0.24 1.29 2.08 2006 0.57 0.24 1.30 2.12 Source: Surveillance Report #82: Apparent Per Capita Alcohol Consumption: National, State, and Regional Trends, 1977-2006. Bethesda, MD: NIAAA, Alcohol Epidemiologic Data System. 27 VI. A. 3. Adult & Youth Alcohol Consequences DUI ARREST RATES Table 6 displays DUI arrests by year from 1990 through 2006. It is important to point out that this data should be considered an indicator of amount of enforcement and is not an indicator of consumption. DUI arrests are driven by many forces and are likely to reflect local priorities and concerns and variation may be due to increased enforcement targeting certain geographic regions. As indicated in Table 6, DUI Arrest rates are higher for adults than at any time since 1990. As in previous years, in 2006 DUI arrest rates for juveniles are much lower than that for adults. For example, in 2006, the adult arrest rate per 100,000 persons in Pennsylvania was 499 and for juveniles (under 18) it was 21.8. DUI arrests in Pennsylvania overwhelmingly include White males (see Table 7; arrests are 79% (although female DUI arrest rates are increasing over the years). Figure 8 illustrates variation by geographical area. There is considerable variation by county, which is likely to reflect variation in enforcement. Table 6. Number of DUI Arrests and Number Per 100,000 Population: Pennsylvania and United States Year Total Number in PA Total PA Rate Total US Rate PA Adult Rate PA Juvenile Rate 1990 44,284 367.7 718.8 483.1 15.7 1991 40,143 337.9 678.5 435.7 13.8 1992 37,535 313.8 618.4 408.6 8.1 1993 35,857 298.6 574.5 389.8 7.2 1994 37,172 308.5 519.9 403.5 8.5 1995 36,758 305.0 526.0 398.9 8.4 1996 35,098 290.7 533.9 378.8 13.8 1997 37,073 307.5 538.3 398.7 21.5 1998 40,704 338.6 521.0 437.5 24.7 1999 39,696 330.8 551.0 427.2 22.6 2000 41,058 342.3 508.6 431.4 23.5 2001 40,011 325.8 491.6 414.0 20.6 2002 41,284 336.0 497.4 429.0 22.3 2003 41,613 337.4 492.9 430.9 21.1 2004 43,699 352.2 482.3 450.3 21.3 2005 44,722 359.8 458.1 459.1 20.9 2006 48,698 391.4 479.3 499.0 21.8 *Juveniles are persons 17 years of age or younger. Rates computed using US Census population numbers. Source: PA State Police, Uniform Crime Report 28 Table 7. Percent of DUI Arrest Offenders by Gender and Race/Ethnicity Year 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Male 88% 87% 87% 87% 87% 86% 85% 85% 84% 84% 84% 83% 82% 81% 81% 81% 79% Female 12% 13% 13% 13% 13% 14% 15% 15% 16% 16% 16% 17% 18% 19% 19% 19% 21% White 93% 92% 93% 92% 92% 91% 92% 91% 91% 92% 90% 88% 91% 92% 91% 90% 90% Minority 7% 8% 7% 8% 8% 9% 8% 9% 9% 8% 10% 12% 9% 8% 9% 10% 10% Source: Pennsylvania State Police, Uniform Crime Report. Figure 8. 29 SELF-REPORTED DRIVING UNDER THE INFLUENCE (OF ALCOHOL) For youth, Figure 9 shows the rates of 10th and 12th graders‘ self-reported driving while under the influence of alcohol (from the PAYS; note that only a percentage of 10th graders are of legal driving age). Similar to other data discussed above for 12th graders, there is also a decline between 2005 and 2007 in self-reported DUI. Figure 9. % Past 30-Day Self-Reported DUI (of Alcohol) 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 2001 2003 10th 2005 2007 12th Source: 2001-2007 Pennsylvania Youth Survey Report (PAYS) ALCOHOL-RELATED CONVICTIONS IN PENNSYLVANIA Table 8 shows that in 2008, there were 248 public drunkenness convictions per 100,000 people in Pennsylvania. Rates for Single County Authorities (SCA) ranged from 48 in Potter to 492 in Venango. There were 201 underage purchase of alcohol/tobacco convictions per 100,000 Pennsylvania residents. When broken out by SCA, this number ranged from 76 convictions per 100,000 in Lawrence to 696 convictions per 100,000 in Centre. There were 705 DUI convictions per 100,000 Pennsylvania residents. This conviction rate ranged from 330 in Philadelphia to 1099 in Venango. 30 Table 8. Alcohol-Related Convictions per 100,000 people in 2008 Underage Public Purchase of DUI - Alcohol or Drunkeness Alcohol/Tob. Drug Related SCA Pennsylvania 248 201 705 Allegheny 279 119 738 Armstrong/Indiana 328 314 632 Beaver 235 79 803 Bedford 50 137 559 Berks 225 138 449 Blair 261 240 842 Bradford/Sullivan 91 148 701 Bucks 169 123 886 Butler 219 186 1057 Cambria 447 146 768 Cameron/Elk/McKean 289 245 717 Carbon/Monroe/Pike 211 137 502 Centre 448 696 994 Chester 290 196 720 Clarion 343 428 700 Clearfield/Jefferson 239 155 398 Columbia/Montour/Snyder/Union 116 282 710 Crawford 356 224 552 Cumberland/Perry 212 229 731 Dauphin 405 228 581 Delaware 262 155 764 Erie 419 211 541 Fayette 286 106 588 Forest/Warren 151 221 637 Franklin/Fulton 151 160 406 Greene 241 145 943 Huntingdon/Mifflin/Juniata 275 221 751 Lackawanna/Susquehanna 241 149 587 Lancaster 256 151 518 Lawrence 285 76 602 Lebanon 164 204 942 Lehigh 206 103 822 Luzerne/Wyoming 376 210 888 Lycoming/Clinton 247 338 1008 Mercer 369 177 883 Montgomery 303 114 782 Northampton 233 198 521 Northumberland 188 280 754 Philadelphia NA NA 330 Potter 48 263 789 Schuylkill 255 217 787 Somerset 170 173 532 Tioga 121 182 417 Venango 492 277 1099 Washington 270 187 694 Wayne 56 165 550 Westmoreland 189 108 717 York/Adams 212 221 938 Source: Records from the Court of Common Pleas and the Magistrate Courts in Pennsylvania Population estimates for 2008 provided by the U.S. Census Bureau 31 PERCENT FATAL MOTOR VEHICLE CRASHES INVOLVING ALCOHOL Table 9 shows the percent of alcohol related motor vehicle crashes in Pennsylvania from years 2003-2007. The percent of alcohol-related fatal crashes in Pennsylvania has remained relatively constant from 2003 to 2007. In 2007, 36% of all crash deaths were alcohol related. The comparable national rate in 2007 was 37%. Figure 10 combines five years of crash data (20032007) to obtain county level alcohol-related traffic fatalities adjusted for population size. Sullivan and Forest counties have the highest rates at 22.5 and 19.9 deaths per 100,000 respectively. Philadelphia and Delaware counties have the lowest rates at 2.2 deaths per 100,000 each. Table 9. Alcohol Related Crashes in PA - Five Year Trends 2003 2004 2005 2006 All Crashes 140,207 137,410 132,829 128,342 All Injuries 106,372 105,222 100,381 96,597 All Deaths 1,577 1,490 1,616 1,525 Alcohol Related Crashes 13,689 13,624 13,179 13,616 Alcohol Related Injuries 11,274 10,822 10,423 10,529 Alcohol Related Deaths 558 541 580 545 % Crashes Alcohol Related 10% 10% 10% 11% % Injuries Alcohol Related 11% 10% 10% 11% % Deaths Alcohol Related 35% 36% 36% 36% Source: Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) 32 2007 130,675 94,633 1,491 12,867 9,825 535 10% 10% 36% Figure 10. Five Year Averages of the Total Number of Alcohol-Related Traffic Fatalities per 100,000 by County in Pennsylvania (2003-2007). Source: Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS); Calculated by averaging the total number of alcohol related traffic deaths from 2003 to 2007. 33 FATAL MOTOR VEHICLE DEATH RATE INVOLVING ALCOHOL Figure 11 shows the alcohol-related motor vehicle death rate (per 100,000 licensed persons) in Pennsylvania by year. This rate appears to be fairly stable from 2003 to 2007. In 2003, there were 6.6 deaths per 100,000 licensed drivers from alcohol-related motor vehicle crashes and in 2007 there were 6.2 deaths; there were a total of 535 alcohol-related deaths in 2007. Nationally, in 2007, there were about 6.3 deaths per 100,000 licensed drivers from alcohol-related motor vehicle crashes. Figure 11. Alcohol-Related Crash Deaths per 100,000 Licensed Drivers 10 8 6 4 2 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Source: FARS PA Crash Data. PERCENT DRINKING DRIVERS (AMONG ALL DRIVERS) IN CRASHES Age related differences for this indicator are shown in Figure 12. There are substantial agerelated changes with the highest rates (10.5%) at ages 21-25. Rates gradually decrease among older adults. In addition, males account for 77% of alcohol-related crashes. Figure 12. Percentage of Alcohol Related Crashes by Age and Gender in 2007 12.00% 10.00% 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% % Female % Male 0.00% Source: FARS PA Crash Data. 34 ALCOHOLIC LIVER DISEASE DEATH RATE The annual average age-adjusted death rate due to an underlying cause of alcoholic liver disease is shown in Table 10. The data indicate that the death rate from alcoholic liver disease affects only a small portion of the population. In 2004-2006, 2.1 persons died each year per 100,000 (95% CI: 2.0-2.3). For comparison purposes, the US rate in 2005 was 4.4 deaths per 100,000. The rates of death significantly affect more males than females (about three times higher). Regarding race and ethnicity, Blacks appear to have lower rates than Whites and Hispanics. Table 10. Annual Average (2004-2006) PA Rates of Death from Alcoholic Liver Disease 1 CATEGORY COUNT POPULATION RATE 95% CI Total 883 37,276,529 2.1 2.0-2.3 Gender Male 666 18,069,907 3.4 3.2-3.7 Female 217 19,206,622 1 0.9-1.2 Race White 819 32,161,085 2.2 2.1-2.4 Black 59 3,933,633 1.6 1.2-2.1 Hispanic 23 1,508,612 2.5 1.5-4.0 Source: Pennsylvania Certificates of Death 1 Per 100,000 People 35 PERCENT TREATMENT ADMISSIONS FOR ALCOHOL USE This indicator is drawn from the TEDS (Treatment Episode Data Set) and represents the number of admissions, not the number of people admitted. In addition, the reported admissions are only for facilities that are either state-certified for treatment and/or receive government funds; thus, these numbers don‘t represent the entire scope of those admitted for treatment in Pennsylvania. However, this indicator does provide some insight into the extent of alcohol usage consequences. Table 11 shows that there are thousands of Pennsylvania treatment admissions related to alcohol use every year. Between 1995 and 2005, the percent of admissions for alcohol as the only drug of choice showed a steady decline until 2003 and then a substantial increase in 2004 and 2005. The number of admissions for alcohol plus another drug also showed a steady decline until 2004. However, the percent of all admissions involving treatment for alcohol has declined as treatment for illicit drugs has increased. Combining both alcohol treatment only and alcohol treatment with another drug, the percent of all admissions was 53.1% in 1995 and 38.6% in 2005 (however, the absolute total number of admission increased over this period). Table 12 shows that clients are largely male, White, and between 21-50 years old. Table 11. Percent and Number of Treatment Admissions for Alcohol Use Pennsylvania Pennsylvania National National Alcohol Only Alcohol + Year Alcohol Only Alcohol + 1992 12,845 (38.1%) 37.2% 8,256 (24.6%) 22.6% 1993 16,583 (31.7%) 34.5% 12,162 (23.2%) 23.0% 1994 17,375 (29.1%) 31.1% 14,120 (23.6%) 22.3% 1995 17,977 (28.5%) 29.4% 15,507 (24.5%) 22.2% 1996 16,378 (27.7%) 28.8% 14,012 (23.6%) 22.4% 1997 14,478 (25.9%) 27.7% 12,912 (23.1%) 22.4% 1998 12,460 (24.4%) 27.0% 11,737 (23.1%) 22.3% 1999 13,642 (25.0%) 26.7% 12,844 (23.6%) 21.9% 2000 15,615 (24.4%) 25.8% 14,002 (21.8%) 21.2% 2001 14,817 (24.2%) 24.4% 12,430 (20.3%) 20.6% 2002 14,573 (23.9%) 23.7% 11,721 (19.2%) 20.1% 2003 14,525 (22.5%) 23.1% 10,926 (16.9%) 19.2% 2004 19,536 (22.5%) 22.2% 14,500 (16.7%) 18.8% 2005 16,785 (21.9%) 21.7% 12,738 (16.6%) 17.9% 2006 15,880 (22.2%) 21.9% 11,810 (16.5%) 18.2% 2007 16,621 (23.9%) 22.3% 11,188 (16.2%) 18.3% Note: Alcohol + refers to admissions for alcohol along with a secondary drug Source: Office of Applied Studies, Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration, Treatment Episode Data Set (TEDS) 36 Table 12. % Pennsylvania Treatment Admissions for Alcohol Use by Demographics, 2007 Alcohol only (n=16,621; 24%) Alcohol with secondary drug (n=11,188; 16.2%) Total N=75,749 Gender 72.6 Male 27.4 Female Age at admission 12-14 years 0.5 15-17 years 2.5 18-20 years 4.8 21-24 years 9.7 25-29 years 11.7 30-34 years 10.4 35-39 years 13.3 40-44 years 16.0 45-49 years 14.5 50-54 years 9.3 7.3 55 and over Race White 88.1 Black 9.8 Ethnicity 4.5 Hispanic or Latino N=All admissions, n=admissions for substance. 72.2 27.8 0.7 5.1 6.5 13.3 14.8 11.3 13.0 14.6 12.1 5.8 2.7 77.7 19.9 5.5 Source: Office of Applied Studies, Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration, Treatment Episode Data Set (TEDS). 37 PERCENT MEETING DSM-IV FOR ALCOHOL ABUSE OR DEPENDENCE The NSDUH includes a series of questions to assess the prevalence of substance use disorders (i.e., dependence on or abuse of a substance) in the past 12 months. These questions are used to classify persons as being dependent on or abusing specific substances based on criteria specified in the DSM-IV manual. The questions on dependence concern health and emotional problems, attempts to cut down on use, tolerance, withdrawal, and other symptoms associated with substances used. The questions on abuse assess problems at work, home, and school; problems with family or friends; physical danger; and trouble with the law due to substance use. Across the nation, 7.7% of the population aged 12 or older was classified in 2006-2007 as being dependent on or having had an alcohol abuse disorder in the past year. In Pennsylvania, 6.4% of persons 12 or older met the DSM-IV criteria in 2006-2007 (Table 13). Age disaggregation indicates that people aged 18-25 showed significantly higher rates than other age groups with 16.8% categorized as dependent on or abusing alcohol in 2006-2007. Figure 13 shows substance abuse/dependence rates by substate NSDUH regions: the north-central region shows the highest rate at 8.6%. Table 13. % PA Meeting DSM-IV Alcohol Abuse/Dependence in Past Year by Age Group 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 Estimate 95% CI Estimate 95 % CI Estimate 95 % CI Estimate 95 % CI Estimate 95 % CI All Ages 6.93 (6.26 - 7.67) 7.56 (6.86 - 8.33) 7.57 (6.87 - 8.33) 6.75 (6.08 - 7.48) 6.36 (5.72 - 7.06) 5.34 (4.57 - 6.24) 5.63 (4.83 - 6.57) 5.65 (4.84 - 6.57) 5.08 (4.35 - 5.93) 4.67 (3.99 - 5.46) 12-17 18-25 18.08 (16.53 - 19.75) 19.07 (17.48 - 20.77) 19.03 (17.48 - 20.68) 17.58 (16.07 - 19.20) 16.8 (15.39 - 18.32) 5.33 (4.56 - 6.23) 5.92 (5.10 - 6.86) 5.93 (5.09 - 6.89) 5.18 (4.41 - 6.08) 4.86 (4.12 - 5.71) 26+ CI = Confidence Interval Source: SAMHSA, Office of Applied Studies, National Survey on Drug Use and Health. 38 Figure 13. Percent Meeting DSM-IV Alcohol Abuse/Dependence in Past Year by Persons Aged 12+ by PA Substate Region Note: Substate regions are delineated by thick black lines whereas counties are delineated by thin black lines. Source: SAMHSA, Office of Applied Studies, National Survey on Drug Use and Health, 2004, 2005, and 2006. 39 VI. A. 4. Alcohol Summary The results of the data on key alcohol indicators are summarized in Table 14. This table summarizes key indicators by comparing across three data dimensions: magnitude, time trends, and comparisons to national rates as described in the earlier section ―Understanding the Data.‖ This summary can be a useful tool in determining problem areas. Magnitude. Many Pennsylvanians show high rates of consumption and many are affected by its consequences. Adult binge drinking is reported by approximately 17% of Pennsylvania adults and similar rates are reported by high school students. Pennsylvania has a large number of treatment admissions related to alcohol use, and its effects impact many aspects of life for those admitted and their families. 36% of all traffic deaths are alcohol related. Further, 6.4% of PA residents age 12 and older meet DSM-IV alcohol abuse or dependence criteria. Males both report higher rates of binge and heavy drinking and also experience the majority of the alcohol consequences, including abuse, dependence, and alcohol-related fatalities. For youth, it appears that girls show similar rates of 30-day alcohol use, but lower rates of binge drinking than teen boys. Young adults show particularly high rates compared to older adults and thus should be considered a target for reductions within the adult age range. For most consequences the highest rates are shown for those aged 18-34. On the PAYS Survey, 12th graders showed a substantial drop between 2005 and 2007. However, they had risen in the 2005 data while rates at other grades levels had decreased or remained stable. Thus, in the 2005 data it was unclear whether these increases were ―real‖ or statistical artifacts. The fact they have now declined below previous rates (e.g. 2003) may support the concern that (1) 2005 data was problematic, and (2) indicate a true drop in the last two years. Geographically, it appears that the certain substate regions show higher rates of consumption & consequences for both adults and youth. Higher rates are seen in Allegheny County, the northwest corner (regions 19 and 23 in the NSDUH), and the north-central area of the state. Perhaps surprisingly for the largest urban area, Philadelphia has lower rates than many other areas of the state. Time Trends. During the past three years, the rates of ―problem drinking‖ in adults appear to be relatively stable. From 2005 to 2007 there appears to be a decrease in drinking among high school students according to the PAYS data. This trend is also reflected in NSDUH data, which indicates a small decrease in the past 30-day use of alcohol for youth ages 12-20 between 2002-2004 and 2004-2006. Over the past decade there have been some increases in DUI arrests and in 2006, 48,698 people were arrested for driving under the influence, which is more than any previous year. National Comparisons. On most indicators, comparisons with the national rates show that Pennsylvania is not far from the national averages. However, Pennsylvania shows substantially lower rates of death from alcoholic liver disease. Furthermore, 40 Pennsylvania has slightly lower rates of alcohol abuse/dependence and fewer DUI arrests per 100,000 persons. Table 14. Alcohol Indicators Compared by: Magnitude, Time Trends, and National Comparisons CONSUMPTION 30-Day Adult Binge Drinking (2008, BRFSS) 30-Day Youth Binge Drinking (2006-2007, NSDUH) 30-Day Adult Heavy Drinking (2008, BRFSS) 30-Day Youth Alcohol Use (2006-2007, NSDUH) Alcohol Sales per Capita (all beverages) (2006) PA Magnitude 16.7% 20.4% 5.5% 29.5% 2.1 Trend Stable Stable Stable Down Stable Rate Ratio (RR) 1.03 1.08 1.00 1.04 1.00 CONSEQUENCES DUI Arrests & Rate per 100,000 Persons (2006) Number & % Alcohol-Related Crash Deaths (2007) Alcohol-Related Deaths per 100,000 Licensed Drivers (2007) Alcoholic liver Disease Deaths & Rate per 100,000 Persons (2004-2006) Number & % Admissions to Treatment Centers for Alcohol (2004) % Persons Meeting DSM-IV Alcohol Abuse or Dependence (2006-2007) 48,698 (391.4) 535 (36%) 6.2 883 (2.1) 16,621 (23.9%) 6.4% Up Stable Stable Stable Stable Stable 0.81 0.97 0.98 0.48 1.07 .88 Note: This table does not include youth lifetime alcohol use nor youth self-reported DUI as there weren't comparable national rates. RR=1, no difference; RR>1, PA higher than US; RR<1, PA lower than US 41 VI. B. Tobacco VI. B. 1. Tobacco Indicators Defined Consumption Current use—defined for youth (under 18) as using a tobacco product (smoking and smoke-less) on one or more days of the past 30-days and for adults (aged 18 or older) as having smoked at least 100 cigarettes in their lifetime and who currently smoke either ‗everyday‘ or ‗some days‘. Daily Smoking—defined for persons aged 18 or older who have smoked at least 100 cigarettes in their lifetime and who categorize themselves as currently ‗smoking everyday‘. Lifetime Use—defined as any tobacco use in their lifetime (youth under 18). Percent Smoking During Pregnancy—defined as the percent of mothers whom had a live birth and who reported smoking at least one cigarette during pregnancy out of all mothers whom had live births (excluding unknowns). Consequences Lung (and Bronchus) Cancer Death Rate—defined as the age-adjusted (except when broken down by age in which case is then age-specific) death rate per 100,000 persons due to an underlying cause of death specified as ICD-10/9 code: C34. Emphysema Death Rate---defined as the age-adjusted (except when broken down by age in which case is then age-specific) death rate per 100,000 persons due to an underlying cause of death specified as ICD-10 code: J43. 42 VI. B. 2. Adult & Youth Tobacco Consumption CURRENT USE As shown in Figure 14, Pennsylvania has been above the national median for the prevalence of adult current smoking for the past decade. Specifically, in 2007, the Pennsylvania adult current smoking prevalence was 21.0% (95% CI: 19.6-22.4%) while nationally it was 19.8%. Smoking rates in both the US and Pennsylvania show declines in 2006-2007, as compared earlier years. However, between 2005 and 2008 PA rates appear to have declined more rapidly and to now be closer to the national average. Figure 14. Source: BRFSS, CDC (State Prevalence & US Median Prevalence) 43 Table 15 contrasts rates of adult current smoking in Pennsylvania between 1995, 2005, 2007, and 2008, disaggregating by age, gender, race/ethnicity, and educational level. The prevalence of smoking has significantly declined over this time-period. Men show slightly higher rates of current smoking. The smoking prevalence begins to decline substantially after age 55. In 2008, Blacks (26.8%) have a higher rate of current smoking than Whites (20.2%). Educational attainment is related to substantial differences in smoking rates, with lower smoking rates associated with higher educational attainment in all years. For example, respondents with less than a high school education have a smoking rate of 34.5% while respondents who are college graduates have a smoking rate of 10.6%. Table 15. % Adult Current Smoking Prevalence by Smokers’ Characteristics PA Adult Current Smoking All Adults 1995 (N=3,591) 2005 (N=13,314) 2007 (N=13,163) 2008 (N=13,133) n (yes) % yes CI n (yes) % yes CI n (yes) % yes CI n (yes) % yes CI 866 24.2 22.4-26.1 3011 23.6 22.4-24.8 2834 21 19.6-22.4 2646 21.3 20.0-22.6 Male Female 400 466 26.1 23.4-28.8 22.6 20.1-25.1 1138 1873 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 68 219 237 158 89 88 28.6 32.0 29.4 23.8 21.1 11.4 21.5-35.7 26.8-37.2 25.8-33.0 20.2-27.4 16.7-25.5 8.6-14.3 243 473 703 767 506 319 White Black Hispanic 749 87 12 23.9 21.9-25.9 32.4 25.5-39.2 13.2 4.7-21.7 2428 376 71 25.0 23.0-27.0 22.4 21.0-23.8 35.0 27.8 28.8 25.5 19.8 9.4 984 1850 29.5-40.5 24.4-31.2 26.2-31.4 23.1-27.9 17.5-22.1 8.0-10.8 143 401 607 703 583 397 22.4 21.2-23.6 30.8 25.2-36.4 31.1 22.2-40.0 2279 385 48 20.8 18.6-23.0 21.1 19.5-22.7 26.8 28.6 25 22.7 18.1 8.4 20.3-33.3 24.5-32.7 22.1-27.9 20.2-25.2 15.7-20.5 7.0-9.8 20.4 19.0-21.8 27.5 21.6-33.4 15.1 7.5-22.7 1029 23.4 21.2-25.5 1617 19.4 18.0-20.9 131 336 534 727 554 364 28.6 28.6 25.3 23.9 17.8 7.7 22.3-34.8 24.6-32.7 22.6-28.1 21.6-26.3 15.6-20.0 6.6-8.9 2083 20.2 18.9-21.4 383 26.8 21.0-32.5 59 26.5 17.3-35.8 <HS 148 29.6 24.7-34.6 447 38.6 33.9-43.3 401 33.3 27.8-38.8 356 34.5 28.6-40.4 HS or GED 379 27.3 24.2-30.3 1432 28.3 26.3-30.3 1326 25.9 23.5-28.3 1254 26.7 24.4-28.9 Some College 194 26.4 21.8-31.1 703 24.3 21.7-26.9 683 23.7 20.8-26.6 627 22.5 19.7-25.2 College Grad 144 13.9 11.5-16.4 425 11.7 10.2-13.2 420 10.5 8.7-12.3 406 10.6 9.2-12.1 % = Percentage, CI = Confidence Interval, n = Cell Size, N = total sample size that answered 'yes' or 'no'. Percentages are weighted to population characteristics. Use caution in interpreting cell sizes less than 50. Note: Hispanic can be of any race. Individual categories may not add to total count, due to sparse or missing data. *Source: BRFSS, CDC (State Prevalences). 44 Table 16 and Figure 15 combine several years (2005-2007) of BRFSS data collection to produce more accurate county/regional estimates of current smoking. Findings indicate that Philadelphia county and the Lackawanna, Luzerne, Wyoming region have higher rates of adult smoking than Pennsylvania as a whole. Montgomery and Chester counties both have lower rates of smoking as compared to Pennsylvania as a whole. Table 16. PA Adult Current Smoking (2005-2007) County/Region Percent CI Pennsylvania 22 (22-23) Philadelphia 28 (25-31) Bucks 20 (16-23) Montgomery 16 (13-19) Chester 15 (13-17) Delaware 25 (21-30) Lancaster 18 (15-22) Berks, Schuylkill 20 (17-23) Carbon, Lehigh, Northampton 21 (18-25) Pike, Monroe, Susquehanna, Wayne 25 (21-29) Lackawanna, Luzerne, Wyoming 29 (26-32) Adams, Franklin, Fulton 21 (17-27) York 22 (19-26) Cumberland, Perry 19 (15-24) Dauphin, Lebanon 21 (17-25) Bedford, Blair, Huntingdon, Juniata, Mifflin 27 (23-33) Cntr, Colmbia, Montr, Nrthumbrlnd, Snyder, Union 24 (19-29) Bradford, Sullivan, Tioga, Lycoming, Clinton, Potter 23 (20-27) Erie 27 (22-31) Crawford, Lawrence, Mercer, Venango 21 (17-24) Forst, Elk, Camrn, Clrfd, Jefrsn, Clarn, McKn, Wrrn 23 (19-27) Allegheny 22 (19-25) Westmoreland 20 (16-25) Indiana, Cambria, Somerset, Armstrong 20 (17-23) Beaver, Butler 23 (19-28) Fayette, Greene, Washington 25 (21-28) CI = 95% Confidence Interval A percent that appears in red for a region denotes a significantly higher value compared to the state’s corresponding percent. A percent in blue denotes a significantly lower value. *Source: BRFSS, PA Dept. of Health EpiQMS. 45 Figure 15. PA Adult Current Smoking (2005-2007). Source: BRFSS, PA Dept. of Health EpiQMS. 46 For youth, Table 17 and Figure 16 show results from the PAYS survey in 2001-2007. Results for 6th and 8th graders indicate that both cigarette use and smokeless tobacco have declined since 2001. For 10th and 12th graders (high school aged students), cigarette use has substantially declined, but smokeless tobacco use has remained steady. In addition, gender differences indicate possibly higher cigarette smoking rates in girls, but much higher rates of smokeless tobacco use for boys: 8.5% of males versus only 1.7% of females in 2007. Table 17. % PA Youth Tobacco Use by Year Cigarettes Past 30 Day Use 2001 2003 2005 2007 Grade 6th 2.2 2.1 1.0 8th 10.6 10.9 6.4 10th 20.2 19.0 18.4 12th 31.9 25.8 28.5 All Grades 15.4 14.1 13.3 Gender Females 16.0 14.9 14.3 Males 14.9 13.1 12.4 Source: PAYS Statewide Report. Smokeless Tobacco Past 30 Day Use 2001 2003 2005 2007 1.3 5.5 13.7 20.6 10.2 1.5 4.1 7.0 9.7 5.4 1.0 3.1 7.1 9.5 5.0 0.5 2.4 8.7 11.1 5.6 0.8 2.6 7.1 9.7 5.0 10.6 9.9 2.2 8.7 1.7 8.5 1.9 9.1 1.7 8.5 Figure 16. Source: Pennsylvania Youth Survey Report 47 Data on tobacco use among students is also available from the Pennsylvania Youth Tobacco Survey. Findings indicate that cigarette use is declining among middle school and high school students. As illustrated in Figure 17, current cigarette use among middle school students in Pennsylvania has dropped by nearly half, from an estimate of eight percent in 2002 to nearly four percent in 2006. With respect to high school students (grades nine through 12), cigarette use has fallen (see Figure 18), from an estimate of 23% in 2002 to an estimate of 18% in 2006. Survey data from 2006 also indicate that rates of tobacco use are higher among male high school students as compared to females and White high school students as compared to Black students (see Figure 19). Figure 20 illustrates the steady increase in rates of tobacco use from grade 6 (5%) to grade 12 (35%). Figure 21 illustrates age of onset data, indicating that 13-14 years old is the most common age to first smoke a whole cigarette. Figure 17. Current Cigarette Use among PA Middle School Students 20 Percent 15 10 5 0 YTS 2002 YTS 2006 Figure 18. Current Cigarette Use among PA High School Students 30 Percent 25 20 15 10 5 0 YTS 2002 YTS 2006 48 Figure 19. Percent of Pennsylvania Students Who Used Any Tobacco Product in the Past 30 Days, by Race/Ethnicity and Sex 50 Percent 40 30 High School 20 Middle School 10 0 Black Figure 20. Hispanic White Female Male Total Percent of Pennsylvania Students Who Used Any Tobacco Products in the Past 30 Days, by Grade 50 30 t Percent 40 20 10 0 6th grade 7th grade 8th grade 9th grade 10th grade 11th grade 12th grade Figure 21. Age High School Students Smoked a Whole Cigarette for the First Time 50 Percent 40 30 20 10 0 8 years old or younger 9 or 10 11 or 12 13 or 14 15 or 16 years old years old years old years old 17 or older 49 NSDUH survey data from 2005-2006 permits comparison of youth smoking rates in Pennsylvania compared to national youth rates. The 2005-2006 surveys estimated that 15.0% of Pennsylvania youth aged 12-17 currently use tobacco products. This can be compared with the US prevalence rate from the 2005-2006 NSDUHs for youth aged 1217: 12.9%. Figures 22 and 23 display regional data from the NSDUHs (2004-2006) for all persons in Pennsylvania aged 12 or older. Most regions of Pennsylvania have higher current smoking use (Figure 22) and current tobacco use (any tobacco product – Figure 23) than the rest of the nation (please see Appendix for data tables). Figure 22. PA Cigarette Use in Past Month Among Persons 12 or Older Note: Substate regions are delineated by thick black lines whereas counties are delineated by thin black lines. Source: SAMHSA, Office of Applied Studies, National Survey on Drug Use and Health, 2004, 2005, and 2006. 50 Figure 23. PA Tobacco Use in Past Month Among Persons 12 or Older Note: Substate regions are delineated by thick black lines whereas counties are delineated by thin black lines. Source: SAMHSA, Office of Applied Studies, National Survey on Drug Use and Health, 2004, 2005, and 2006. 51 DAILY SMOKING As seen in Table 18, in 2008, Pennsylvania adult daily smoking prevalence is lower (15.6%) than in 2002 (19.5%). However, the 2008 estimate is above the national median rate of 13.4%. As with current smoking, educational attainment plays a substantial role in adult daily smoking; rates decline with greater educational attainment at both assessments (see Figure 24). Additionally, daily smoking rates decline with age. However, there are no significant differences by gender or ethnicity. Table 18. % PA Adult Daily Cigarette Use by Smokers’ Demographics PA Adult Daily Smoking All Adults Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ White Black Hispanic 2002 (N=13,464) 2005 (N=13,314) 2007 (N=13,163) 2008 (N=13,163) n (yes) % yes CI n (yes) % yes CI n (yes) % yes CI n (yes) % yes CI 2502 19.5 18.5-20.5 2295 17.9 16.8-19.0 2186 15.1 13.9-16.3 1986 15.6 14.5-16.7 1061 20.9 19.3-22.5 1441 18.2 17.1-19.3 203 451 644 611 350 243 24.0 23.5 24.4 21.5 17.8 7.8 19.7-28.3 21.0-26.0 22.2-26.6 19.5-23.5 15.6-20.0 6.6-9.0 2191 19.0 18.0-20.0 144 20.4 16.7-24.1 53 19.1 13.2-25.0 849 18.8 17.0-20.6 1446 17.2 15.9-18.5 183 360 560 591 380 221 27.0 20.5 22.8 19.4 15.3 6.2 750 1436 21.8-32.2 17.4-23.6 20.4-25.2 17.3-21.5 13.2-17.4 5.1-7.3 104 305 492 561 439 285 1887 17.2 16.1-18.3 266 21.9 16.6-27.2 50 22.4 14.1-30.7 1781 269 33 14.4 12.6-16.2 15.8 14.4-17.2 16.3 20.3 18.5 17.9 14.4 5.4 11.0-21.6 16.8-23.8 16.0-21.0 15.7-20.1 12.2-16.6 4.4-6.4 15.1 13.9-16.3 15.3 11.2-19.4 12.5 5.2-19.8 771 17.2 15.3-19.1 1215 14.2 13.0-15.4 99 245 407 555 413 267 19.6 19.1 19.3 18.7 13.8 5.6 14.3-24.8 15.5-22.6 16.8-21.8 16.5-20.9 11.8-15.9 4.7-6.6 1611 15.2 14.1-16.3 244 17.5 12.6-22.4 44 20.4 11.8-29.0 <HS 367 28.9 25.5-32.3 369 31.5 27.0-36.0 310 24.6 19.5-29.7 264 27.4 21.6-33.2 HS or GED 1262 24.6 23.0-26.2 1120 22.4 20.5-24.3 1065 19.5 17.5-21.5 999 21.1 19.0-23.1 Some College 541 19.2 16.9-21.5 511 17.3 15.0-19.6 520 17.6 15.1-20.1 441 14.1 12.1-16.2 College Grad 331 8.9 7.7-10.1 292 7.7 6.5-8.9 288 6.4 5.2-7.6 279 7.2 6.0-8.4 % = Percentage, CI = Confidence Interval, n = Cell Size, N = total sample size that answered 'yes' or 'no'. Percentages are weighted to population characteristics. Use caution in interpreting cell sizes less than 50. Note: Hispanic can be of any race. Individual categories may not add to total count, due to sparse or missing data. *Source: BRFSS, CDC (State Prevalences). 52 Figure 24. 2008 Smoking Prevalence of PA Everyday Smokers by Education 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Less H.S. or Some College than H.S. G.E.D. post-H.S. graduate Source: BRFSS, CDC (State Prevalence) LIFETIME USE In 2007, Pennsylvania youth (6th, 8th, 10th, and 12th graders), on average, reported using cigarettes for the first time at age 12.7. In 2007, on average, 5.6% of 6th graders, 16.2% of 8th graders, 32.3% of 10th graders, and 42.1% of 12th graders reported that they had tried smoking cigarettes in their lifetime. 53 PERCENT SMOKING DURING PREGNANCY Table 19 provides information on the percentage of Pennsylvania mothers who voluntarily reported smoking during pregnancy. There was little change in the prevalence rates between 1996 (18.2%) and 2007 (17.5% or 25,155 live births). Pennsylvania rates were substantially higher than the national rates. Nationally, in 2006, 10% of mothers whom gave a live birth reported smoking while pregnant (CDC National Vital Statistics System). Ethnicity/race comparisons indicate possible lower rates for pregnant women of Hispanic origin. Table 19. % PA Mothers Who Smoked During Pregnancy by Age and Race/Ethnicity 1996 2002 2004 Total 18.2 15.8 17.9 Age <20 24.2 23.9 28.9 20-24 25.3 24.8 29.4 25-29 17.1 13.9 16.6 30-34 13.6 10.1 10.1 35-39 14.3 10.6 10.4 40+ 12.3 11.4 12.2 Race/Ethnicity White 18.3 16.5 19.2 Black 20.4 14.5 17.6 Hispanic 13.9 11.2 12.4 Note: Unknowns excluded in calculations. Source: Pennsylvania Vital Statistics, PA Department of Health 2007 17.5 24.8 27.8 17.2 10.2 9.6 10.7 19.3 15.6 10.6 54 VI. B. 3. Adult & Youth Tobacco Consequences LUNG CANCER DEATH RATE Almost 24,000 deaths were directly attributed to lung cancer during the three years 20042006 in Pennsylvania (Table 20). On average, annually, the rate of death was 53.2 persons per 100,000 (PA Department of Health data). For comparison purposes, rates were calculated from US Department of Health data provided (same ICD-10 code). According to this data, in 2005, the rate was 53.7 nationally. Although a greater number of White people died of lung cancer, Blacks have disproportionately higher rates, while Hispanics appear to have significantly lower rates. Higher rates occur in men than in women, but the gender gap has declined, with female rates slightly increasing over the years while male rates decreased between 1990 and 2006 (see Figure 25). Figure 26 displays death rates by county. It can be seen that almost all of the regions in Pennsylvania are affected. The counties with the highest rates are in orange: Philadelphia, Forest, Potter, and Venango. Table 20. Annual Average (2004-2006) PA Rates of Death from Lung Cancer 1 CATEGORY COUNT POPULATION RATE 95% CI Total 23,906 37,276,529 53.2 52.6-53.9 Gender Male 13,494 18,069,907 71.0-73.5 72.3 Female 10,412 19,206,622 39.5-41.0 40.2 Race White 21,524 32,161,085 51.6-53.0 52.3 Black 3,933,633 67.9-73.8 2,264 70.8 Hispanic 1,508,612 14.5-21.7 118 17.8 Source: Pennsylvania Certificates of Death 1 Per 100,000 People 55 Figure 25. Lung Cancer Death Rates per 100,000 Persons in PA by Gender 1990-2006 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 Male Female 20 10 0 Source: PA Department of Health, EPIQMS, PA Certificates of Death Figure 26. *NA=not available, ND=not displayed if count less than 10 Source: PA Department of Health, EPIQMS, PA Certificates of Death 56 EMPHYSEMA DEATH RATE 1,788 deaths were attributed to emphysema during the three years 2004-2006 in Pennsylvania (Table 21). On average, annually, 3.9 people died per 100,000 persons (PA Department of Health data). For comparison purposes, in 2005 the US rate was 4.7 deaths per 100,000 persons (CDC, National Center for Health Statistics, http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/emphsema.htm); compared to 4.2 (95% CI: 3.9-4.6) in Pennsylvania. The death rate for men was disproportionately higher than for women. However, between 1990-2006 (Figure 27), the gender gap has declined, with female rates staying fairly stable over the years while male rates decreased. In Figure 28, it can be seen that the southeast and western regions of the state are more affected by this condition. The counties with the highest rates are in orange: Crawford, Warren, McKean, & Tioga. Table 21. Annual Average (2004-2006) PA Rates of Death from Emphysema 1 CATEGORY COUNT POPULATION RATE 95% CI Total 1,788 37,276,529 3.9 3.7-4.1 Gender Male 864 18,069,907 4.9 4.6-5.2 Female 924 19,206,622 3.4 3.1-3.6 Race White 1,644 32,161,085 3.9 3.7-4.1 Black 138 3,933,633 4.5 3.8-5.4 Hispanic 8 1,508,612 ND ND Source: Pennsylvania Certificates of Death 1 Per 100,000 People ND = Data not displayed because estimates are unreliable. 57 Figure 27. Emphysema Death Rates per 100,000 Persons in PA by Gender 1990-2006 Deaths per 100,000 people 9 8 7 6 5 4 Male 3 Female 2 1 0 Year Source: PA Department of Health, EPIQMS, PA Certificates of Death Figure 28. *NA=not available, ND=not displayed if count less than 10 Source: PA Department of Health, EPIQMS, PA Certificates of Death 58 VI. B. 4. Tobacco Summary The results of the data on key tobacco indicators are summarized in Table 22. This table summarizes key indicators by comparing across three data dimensions: magnitude, time trends, and comparisons to national rates as described in the earlier section ―Understanding the Data.‖ This summary can be a useful tool in determining problem areas. Table 22. Tobacco Indicators Compared by: Magnitude, Time Trends, and National Comparisons CONSUMPTION Current Adult Smoking Prevalence (2008, BRFSS) 30-Day Youth Cigarette Use (2005-2006, NSDUH) Daily Adult Smoking Prevalence (2008, BRFSS) Smoking While Pregnant Births and Percent (2007) CONSEQUENCES Lung Cancer Deaths & Rate per 100,000 Persons (2006) Emphysema Deaths & Rate per 100,000 Persons (2006) PA Magnitude 21.3% 12.5% 15.6% 25,155 17.5% Trend Down Down Down Stable Rate Ratio (RR) 1.16 1.18 1.16 1.75 7,969 (53.2) 596 (3.9) Down Down 0.99 0.83 Note: Table does not include 30-Day Youth Smokeless Tobacco Use nor Youth Lifetime Use as there weren't comparable national rates. RR=1, no difference; RR>1, PA higher than US; RR<1, PA lower than US. Magnitude. Tobacco use affects many Pennsylvanians. 21.3% of adults are current smokers and 15.6% smoke daily. Of substantial public health concern is that 18% of mothers report that they smoked during their pregnancy in 2007. Further, of substantial concern are the continually high rates among pregnant women below the age of 25 (27%). Educational attainment plays a large role in determining smoking status. Smoking prevalence is more than tripled for those with less than a high school education compared to those who graduate from college. Among age groups, adults between the ages of 18-44 have the highest prevalence rates. For youth, the prevalence rates for smoking cigarettes are slightly higher for girls than for boys, but four times as many boys use smokeless tobacco as do girls. There has been a substantial decrease in cigarette smoking among all grades as evidenced by the PAYS and the YTS data. Further, among adults, reductions in daily smoking were most evident in young adults. With regard to tobacco use consequences, Black people showed disproportionately higher rates of lung cancer. Men also have higher rates of death than women that are attributable to tobacco use. Geographically, there is no clear pattern of ―hot spots.‖ 59 Time Trends. In a broad sense there is a trend toward lower rates of consumption and consequences as indicated in Table 22. However, rates of smoking while pregnant remain stable and alarmingly high at 18%. National Comparisons. Pennsylvania is above the national median levels with regard to all consumption indicators for tobacco as shown in Table 22. Rates of smoking while pregnant are 75% higher in Pennsylvania than in the US as a whole. Pennsylvania is below the national median levels with regard to the consequence indicators, lung cancer death and emphysema death. 60 VI. C. Illicit Drugs VI. C. 1. Indicators Defined Consumption Current Marijuana Use—defined as any use of marijuana/hashish in the past month or 30-days prior to the survey. Lifetime Marijuana Use—defined as any use of marijuana/hashish in their lifetime (youth under 18). Current Other Illicit Drug Use—defined as any use of any other illicit drug (this includes: cocaine, heroin, and hallucinogens (LSD, PCP, peyote, mescaline, mushrooms, and ecstasy) and abusable legal products including prescription drugs (pain relievers, tranquilizers, stimulants, and sedatives) and inhalants (amyl nitrate, cleaning fluids, gasoline, paint, and glue)) other than marijuana/hashish in the past month or 30-days prior to the survey. Lifetime Other Illicit Drug Use—defined as any use of any other illicit drug except non-medical use of prescription drugs and marijuana/hashish in their lifetime (youth under 18, by substance). Consequences Drug (including non-illicit)-Induced Death Rate—defined as age-adjusted death rate (except when broken down by age in which case is age-specific) per 100,000 persons due to an underlying cause of death specified as ICD-10 codes: F110-F115, F117-F119, F120-F125, F127-F129, F130-F135, F137-F139, F140-F145, F147-F149, F150-F155, F157-F165, F167-F169, F170, F173-F175, F177-F179, F180-F185, F187-F189, F190F195, F197-F199, U016, X40-X44, X60-X64, X85, Y10-Y14. Percent of Admissions (by illicit drug) to Treatment Centers for Illicit Drugs— defined as the percent of admissions for illicit drug treatment to facilities that are licensed or certified by the state substance abuse agency to provide substance abuse treatment (or are administratively tracked for other reasons). In general, facilities reporting data are those that receive state alcohol and/or drug agency funds (including Federal Block Grant funds) for the provision of alcohol and/or drug treatment services. Percent Meeting DSM-IV for Illicit Drug Abuse/Dependence—defined as percent of persons aged 12 and older meeting DSM-IV criteria for illicit drug abuse or dependence (Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 4th edition (DSM-IV) (American Psychiatric Association [APA], 1994)). 61 VI. C. 2. Adult & Youth Other Drug Consumption CURRENT MARIJUANA USE Table 23 displays current estimates of 30-day marijuana use from the NSDUH for different age groups. Rates increase substantially from 6.4% for youth aged 12-17 to 16.9% for young adults aged 18-25. Pennsylvania rates are similar to the national rates for 20052006: 6.7% (12-17), 16.4% (18-25), 4.1% (>25), and overall 6.0%. Table 23. % PA Marijuana Use in Past Month by Age Group 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 95% CI 95% CI 95% CI 95% CI 95% CI Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate 6.11 (5.52 - 6.75) 5.8 (5.23 - 6.43) 5.08 (4.57 - 5.64) All Ages 5.64 (5.07-6.28) 6.02 (5.47-6.62) 6.88 (5.98 - 7.90) 6.37 (5.50 - 7.36) 6.42 (5.63 - 7.31) 12-17 8.18 (7.20-9.28) 7.75 (6.81-8.82) 18.02 (16.56 - 19.59) 16.92 (15.37 - 18.60) 14.9 (13.47 - 16.46) 18-25 17.66 (16.14-19.29) 17.74 (16.24-19.36) 4.04 (3.38 - 4.83) 3.9 (3.26 - 4.66) 3.3 (2.76 - 3.95) 26+ 3.37 (2.75-4.14) 3.87 (3.27-4.57) Note: CI=Confidence Interval Source: SAMHSA, Office of Applied Statistics, NSDUH More detailed data by grade and gender for Pennsylvania students are provided by the PAYS data (Table 24 and Figure 29). There appear to be substantial increases in 30-day use in each grade, beginning in 8th grade. 19.2% of 12th graders report current marijuana use which is somewhat higher than the rates discussed above for young adults. There do not appear to be large differences as a result of gender. Rates by grade have remained stable except for 12th graders where there was decline between 2005 and 2007. 62 Table 24. % PA Youth Current Marijuana Use 2001 Grade 6th 8th 10th 12th All Grades Gender Females Males Past 30-Day Use 2003 2005 2007 0.6 5.3 17.0 25.6 11.4 0.5 5.2 14.5 21.4 10.0 0.3 3.5 12.0 22.9 9.4 0.2 2.8 12.0 19.2 8.5 10.2 12.9 9.1 10.9 8.0 10.7 7.2 9.8 Source: PAYS Statewide Report. Figure 29. % Marijuana Current Use by Grade 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 6th 8th 10th 12th 2001 2003 2005 2007 Year Source: PAYS 2005 Statewide Report. LIFETIME MARIJUANA USE In 2007, Pennsylvania youth, on average, reported using marijuana for the first time around age 14 (average of grades 6, 8, 10, and 12). In 2007, 0.9% of 6th graders, 6.5% of 8th graders, 23.5% of 10th graders, and 35.7% of 12th graders reported that they had used marijuana in their lifetime. 63 CURRENT OTHER ILLICIT DRUG USE Illicit drug use as assessed in the NSDUH includes all drugs other than alcohol and marijuana/hashish. As displayed in Table 25, the highest illicit drug use is among 18-25 year olds, who report that about 8% used illicit drugs 30-days before the survey. Youth under 18 years old show a lower rate at 4.2%. Pennsylvania rates are slightly lower compared to the national rates from the 2006-2007 NSDUHs, which are 4.9% (aged 12-17), 8.8% (aged 18-25), 2.8% (adults >25), and overall 3.8%. There has been a small nonsignificant decline in illicit drug use rates in PA between 2002-2003 and 2006-2007. Rates of nonmedical pain reliever use also show small non-significant declines, with rates of use higher than those of illicit drugs other than marijuana. As displayed in Table 26, youth 18-25 show the highest rates of pain reliever use at 10.6%. Pennsylvania rates are slightly lower compared to the national rates from the 2006-2007 NSDUHs, which are 6.9% (aged 12-17), 12.3% (aged 18-25), 3.6% (adults >25), and overall 5.1%. Table 25. % PA Other Illicit Drug Use in Past Month by Age Group 2002-2003 2003-2004 95% CI 95% CI Estimate Estimate All Ages 3.44 (3.03-3.92) 3.42 (3.02-3.87) 12-17 5.51 (4.75-6.39) 5.47 (4.72-6.33) 18-25 8.04 (7.05-9.15) 8.55 (7.53-9.69) 26+ 2.43 (1.96-3.01) 2.31 (1.87-2.86) Note: CI=Confidence Interval Source: SAMHSA, Office of Applied Statistics, NSDUH 2004-2005 95% CI Estimate 3.25 (2.85 - 3.70) 4.78 (4.08 - 5.59) 8.72 (7.64 - 9.94) 2.15 (1.72 - 2.68) 2005-2006 95% CI Estimate 3.19 (2.78 - 3.66) 4.46 (3.78 - 5.24) 8.12 (7.05 - 9.34) 2.22 (1.77 - 2.79) Table 26. % PA Nonmedical Use of Pain Relievers in Past Year by Age Group 2003-2004 2004-2005 2005-2006 2006-2007 95% CI 95% CI 95% CI 95% CI Estimate Estimate Estimate Estimate 4.28 (3.84 - 4.77) 4.1 (3.62 - 4.65) 4.03 (3.56 - 4.56) All Ages 4.13 (3.69 – 4.62) 6.16 (5.30 - 7.14) 5.91 (5.08 - 6.88) 5.94 (5.16 - 6.83) 12-17 6.71 (5.84 – 7.69) 12.63 (11.36 - 14.01) 11.12 (9.89 - 12.47) 10.62 (9.44 - 11.93) 18-25 12.13 (10.87 – 13.51) 2.66 (2.18 - 3.25) 2.72 (2.19 - 3.38) 2.71 (2.22 - 3.31) 26+ 2.48 (2.01 – 3.06) Note: CI=Confidence Interval Source: SAMHSA, Office of Applied Statistics, NSDUH 64 2006-2007 95% CI Estimate 3.11 (2.70 - 3.58) 4.18 (3.55 - 4.91) 7.67 (6.71 - 8.76) 2.23 (1.78 - 2.78) Table 27 shows the youth estimates for other illicit drug use from the PAYS (does not include non-medical use of prescription drugs), broken down by grade and gender. As in other areas of drug and alcohol use, there was a substantial decrease in use in 12th graders. Table 27. % PA Youth Current Other Illicit Drug Use* Past 30-Day Use 2003 2005 2007 Grade 6th 8th 10th 12th All Grades Gender Females Males 3.1 6.7 6.8 7.9 6.1 2.7 4.7 6.9 8.5 5.6 2.9 4.6 6.1 4.9 4.7 5.2 6.9 5.2 6.1 4.5 5.1 2001 Data Not Available * In PAYS, 'Other Illicit Drug Use' does NOT include non-medical use of prescription drugs. Source: PAYS Statewide Report. Figure 30 shows the breakdown of non-marijuana illicit drug use by substance for youth under 18. In summary, for non-marijuana illicit drug use among Pennsylvania youth, inhalants show the highest prevalence, followed by prescription drugs. Figure 30. Source: PAYS Report. 65 LIFETIME OTHER ILLICIT DRUG USE Table 28 displays 2007 youth rates of lifetime use of illicit substances from the PAYS survey. 12th graders reported substantial non-medical use of prescription drugs including amphetamines, sedatives, tranquilizers, and narcotic pain medications. 10th graders also show substantial use of a variety of illegal substances. Both 6th and 8th graders reported inhalants as the most prevalent substance used and reported relatively low rates of other illicit drugs. Thus, it appears that substantial illicit use of prescription drugs may start sometime after 8th grade. Table 28. % Lifetime Prevalence of Other Illicit Substance Use by Substance by Grade Substance Inhalants Cocaine Heroin Hallucinogens Methamphetamines Ecstasy Steroids Prescription Amphetamines Prescription Sedatives Prescription Tranquilizers Prescription Other Narcotics 6th 7.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.0 0.6 0.7 8th 9.4 0.9 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.7 1.3 3.3 4.4 1.8 1.8 10th 11.0 3.1 1.3 5.0 1.6 3.5 1.6 6.6 6.7 5.6 8.3 12th All Grades 6.6 8.6 5.7 2.5 1.5 0.8 7.3 3.4 1.2 1.0 4.1 2.2 1.5 1.3 7.8 4.9 7.5 5.2 7.4 3.9 12.1 5.7 Source: 2007 PAYS Report. Prescription drugs here are reported used non-medically. 66 VI. C. 3. Adult & Youth Illicit Drug Consequences DRUG (INCLUDING NON-ILLICIT)-INDUCED DEATH RATE The drug-induced death count was 5,008 people during 2004-2006 in Pennsylvania as reported in Table 29. Men and Blacks have substantially higher prevalence rates of such deaths, whereas Asians have substantially lower rates. The highest death rate was in the age range of 40-44, for whom 29.9 out of 100,000 persons died on average each year. Overall the rate was 11.3 in 20022004 and showed a small increase to 13.7 in 2004-2006. Table 29. Annual Average (2004-2006) PA Rates of Drug-Induced Death CATEGORY COUNT POPULATION Total 5,008 37,276,529 Gender Male 3,394 18,069,907 Female 1,614 19,206,622 Race White 4,322 32,161,085 Black 663 3,933,633 Asian 16 771,030 Hispanic 185 1,508,612 Age 15-19 135 2,771,312 20-24 509 2,565,100 25-29 501 2,147,273 30-34 454 2,276,110 35-39 633 2,543,652 40-44 831 2,776,251 45-49 798 2,810,815 50-54 528 2,617,932 55-59 248 2,261,759 60-64 89 1,841,751 65-69 69 1,533,243 70-74 55 1,354,929 75-79 50 1,178,874 80-84 44 867,235 85+ 51 751,187 Source: Pennsylvania Certificates of Death 1 Per 100,000 People RATE 13.7 1 95% CI 13.3-14.1 19 8.6 18.3-19.6 8.2-9.0 13.8 18.2 2.4 13.3 13.4-14.2 16.9-19.7 1.3-4.5 11.4-15.6 4.9 19.8 23.3 19.9 24.9 29.9 28.4 20.2 11 4.8 4.5 4.1 4.2 5.1 6.8 4.1-5.8 18.2-21.6 21.3-25.5 18.2-21.9 23.0-26.9 27.9-32.0 26.5-30.4 18.5-22.0 9.6-12.4 3.9-5.9 3.5-5.7 3.1-5.3 3.1-5.6 3.7-6.8 5.1-8.9 DRUG-RELATED CONVICTIONS IN PENNSYLVANIA Table 30 show that in 2008, there were 277 drug possession convictions per 100,000 people. Rates for Single County Authorities (SCA) ranged from 96 in Franklin/Fulton to 763 in Philadelphia. There were 199 illegal alcohol and drug sales convictions per 100,000 Pennsylvania residents in 2008. When broken out by SCA, this number ranged from 29 convictions per 100,000 for Franklin/Fulton to 386 convictions per 100,000 in Blair. 67 Table 30. Drug Convictions per 100,000 people in 2008 Illegal Drug Alcohol/Drug Possession Sales SCA Name Pennsylvania 277 119 Allegheny 392 159 Armstrong/Indiana 194 70 Beaver 279 105 Bedford 153 113 Berks 368 133 Blair 578 386 Bradford/Sullivan 178 61 Bucks 262 95 Butler 352 84 Cambria 275 142 Cameron/Elk/McKean 258 123 Carbon/Monroe/Pike 177 63 Centre 271 153 Chester 171 78 Clarion 293 195 Clearfield/Jefferson 128 74 Columbia/Montour/Snyder/Union 164 89 Crawford 221 104 Cumberland/Perry 204 67 Dauphin 696 204 Delaware 509 173 Erie 169 60 Fayette 254 110 Forest/Warren 214 109 Franklin/Fulton 96 29 Greene 173 71 Huntingdon/Mifflin/Juniata 193 110 Lackawanna/Susquehanna 356 154 Lancaster 178 55 Lawrence 199 84 Lebanon 359 140 Lehigh 424 131 Luzerne/Wyoming 330 141 Lycoming/Clinton 303 128 Mercer 291 66 Montgomery 302 104 Northampton 265 90 Northumberland 263 165 Philadelphia 763 309 Potter 167 144 Schuylkill 289 149 Somerset 117 37 Tioga 113 76 Venango 360 162 Washington 248 75 Wayne 186 50 Westmoreland 268 128 York/Adams 304 156 Source: Records from the Court of Common Pleas and the Magistrate Courts in Pennsylvania Population estimates for 2008 provided by the U.S. Census Bureau 68 Figure 31 shows drug-induced death rates by county. It can be seen that a large southwest and eastern portion of Pennsylvania have the highest drug-related death rates. Due to the very low prevalence, rates cannot be estimated in the Northern Tier counties. The counties in orange have the highest rates, which are Philadelphia and Cambria. Figure 31. *NA=not available, ND=not displayed if count less than 10 Source: PA Department of Health, EPIQMS, PA Certificates of Death PERCENT ADMISSIONS TO TREATMENT CENTERS FOR ILLICIT DRUGS This indicator is drawn from the TEDS (Treatment Episode Data Set) and represents the number of admissions, not the number of people admitted. In addition, the reported admissions are only to facilities that are either state-certified for treatment and/or receive government funds; thus, these numbers don‘t represent the entire scope of those admitted for treatment in Pennsylvania. However, this indicator does provide some insight into the extent of illicit drug usage consequences. Table 31 shows that there were 39,761 treatment admissions in Pennsylvania (in 2007) where illicit drugs were identified as the drug of choice at admission (57% of all admissions). The most frequent illicit drugs of choice identified (in order of ranking) were: heroin, cocaine/crack, and marijuana. Clients were mostly male, 21-45 years old, and White. For national comparison purposes, 57% (39,761) of all 2007 treatment admissions in Pennsylvania (as reported to TEDS) were related to illicit drug use, compared to 57% nationally. When broken down by type of illicit drug, the percent of 2007 treatment admissions in 69 Pennsylvania were much lower for methamphetamine and higher for heroin and cocaine/crack compared to the nation. Table 31. 2007 Pennsylvania Percent Admissions* to Treatment Facilities by Illicit Substance and Demographics N=69,435 Total n=39,761 Total %=57% Gender Male Female Age at admission 12-14 years 15-17 years 18-20 years 21-24 years 25-29 years 30-34 years 35-39 years 40-44 years 45-49 years 50-54 years 55 years and over Race White Black Ethnicity Hispanic or Latino Cocaine/ Crack Marijuana Heroin Other Opiates and Synthetics 11,815 17.0 10,309 14.8 12,706 18.3 4,931 7.1 57.3 42.7 76.1 23.9 65.9 34.1 57.3 42.7 0.1 1.3 3.7 8.8 14.3 14.4 18.5 18 13.6 5.2 2.1 4.4 26.6 16.5 18.6 13.8 7.2 5.3 3.8 2.2 1.2 0.4 0 0.8 7.7 23.4 24.9 13.3 9.9 7.9 6.2 3.7 2.1 0.2 2.6 9.7 23 24.2 13 8.7 6.7 6.6 3 2.2 62.6 34.6 69 27 86.5 9 95.7 3.4 6.8 8.7 12.1 1.8 Source: Treatment Episode Data Set, SAMHSA. Note: N=Total Admissions, n=Admissions for substance. *Admissions to facilities that are licensed or certified by the state substance abuse agency to provide substance abuse treatment (or are administratively tracked for other reasons). 70 Figure 32 compares the Pennsylvania and national rates of treatment admissions with heroin identified as the drug of choice at admission. The percent of treatment admissions related to heroin use tripled in Pennsylvania from 1992 (7.1%) to 2004 (22.2%), but declined to 18.3% in 2007. In contrast, the national percent of treatment admissions for heroin use rose from 11.0% in 1992 to 13.7% in 2007. Figure 32. % Admissions for Heroin, 1992-2007 25 20 15 10 5 0 Pennsylvania National Source: Treatment Episode Data Set (TEDS), SAMHSA. 71 PERCENT MEETING DSM-IV FOR ILLICIT DRUG ABUSE OR DEPENDENCE Table 32 presents the NSDUH data on the percent of people who meet criteria for illicit drug abuse or dependence (see corresponding section in alcohol consequences for more description of this assessment technique). Overall, an estimated 2.3% of Pennsylvanians over age 12 meet DSM-IV criteria for illicit drug abuse or dependence in 2006-2007. The age group of 18-25 year olds has the highest prevalence rate with 7% meeting the criteria for illicit drug abuse or dependence. Over 4% of youth under 18 met the criteria. Pennsylvania rates are quite similar to national rates. Nationally in 2006-2007, 4.5% (aged 12-17), 7.9% (aged 18-25), 1.7% (over age 25), and 2.8% overall met criteria for illicit drug abuse or dependence. Table 32. % PA Meeting DSM-IV Illicit Drug Abuse/Dependence in Past Year by Age Group 2002-2003 2003-2004 2004-2005 Estimate 95% CI Estimate 95 % CI Estimate 95 % CI All Ages 2.70 (2.39 - 3.05) 2.60 (2.28 - 2.97) 2.69 (2.37 - 3.05) 4.54 (3.84 - 5.36) 5.11 (4.36 - 5.97) 4.73 (4.03 - 5.54) 12-17 8.70 (7.69 - 9.83) 7.76 (6.76 - 8.88) 7.96 (6.97 - 9.09) 18-25 1.48 (1.15 - 1.90) 1.44 (1.11 - 1.87) 1.56 (1.23 - 1.98) 26+ CI = Confidence Interval Source: SAMHSA, Office of Applied Studies, National Survey on Drug Use and Health. 2005-2006 Estimate 95 % CI 2.46 (2.14 - 2.83) 3.96 (3.32 - 4.73) 8.00 (6.99 - 9.14) 1.36 (1.03 - 1.81) 72 2006-2007 Estimate 95 % CI 2.25 (1.94 - 2.62) 4.03 (3.43 - 4.74) 7.06 (6.14 - 8.11) 1.24 (0.93 - 1.65) VI. C. 4. Illicit/Prescription Drug Summary The results of the data on illicit and prescription drug indicators are summarized in Table 33. This table summarizes key indicators by comparing across three data dimensions: magnitude, time trends, and comparisons to national rates as described in the earlier section ―Understanding the Data.‖ This summary can be a useful tool in determining problem areas. Table 33. Illicit Drug Indicators Compared by: Magnitude, Time Trends, and National Comparisons CONSUMPTION Marijuana Use in Past Month, Adults >25 (2006-2007, NSDUH) Marijuana Use in Past Month, Adults 18-25 (2006-2007, NSDUH) Marijuana Use in Past Month, Youth <18 (2006-2007, NSDUH) Other Illicit Drug Use in Past Month, Adults >25 (2006-2007, NSDUH) Other Illicit Drug Use in Past Month, Adults 18-25 (2006-2007, NSDUH) Other Illicit Drug Use in Past Month, Youth <18 (2006-2007, NSDUH) Nonmedical Use of Pain Relievers in Past Year, Adults >25 (2006-2007, NSDUH) Nonmedical Use of Pain Relievers in Past Year, Adults 18-25 (2006-2007, NSDUH) Nonmedical Use of Pain Relievers in Past Year, Youth <18 (2006-2007, NSDUH) CONSEQUENCES Number and % Admissions to Treatment Centers for Illicit Drugs (2007) Adults >25 Meeting DSM-IV for Illicit Drug Abuse or Dependence (2006-2007) Adults 18-25 Meeting DSM-IV for Illicit Drug Abuse or Dependence (2006-2007) Youth <18 Meeting DSM-IV for Illicit Drug Abuse or Dependence (2006-2007) Magnitude 3.3% 14.9% 6.4% 2.2% 7.7% 4.2% 2.7% 10.6% 5.9% Trend Down Down Down Stable Stable Down Stable Stable Stable Rate Ratio (RR) 0.95 1.03 0.96 0.79 0.92 0.92 0.75 0.86 0.86 39,761 (57%) 1.2% 7.1% 4.0% Stable Stable Stable Stable 1.00 0.73 0.89 0.88 Note: Here, ‘Other Illicit Drug’ includes all illicit drugs reported other than marijuana—including non-medical use of prescription drugs. Also, this table did not include Youth Lifetime Use or Drug-Induced Death Rate as there weren't comparable national rates. RR=1, no difference; RR>1, PA higher than US; RR<1, PA lower than US. 73 Magnitude. There is substantial illicit and nonmedical prescription drug use in Pennsylvania among youth and adults. For adults, the age group of 18-25 year olds stands out with regard to all self-reported drug use---marijuana and other illicit drug use rates, along with nonmedical use of pain relievers are much higher than the other age groups (NSDUH data). Correspondingly, the percent of 18-25 year olds meeting DSM-IV criteria for illicit drug abuse or dependence is much higher than the other age groups at 7%. There were 39,761 treatment admissions related to illicit drug use reported to TEDS in 2007. This data is largely limited to block grant/state funded services, plus available Medicaid information, and does not represent all treatment services provided in Pennsylvania. The most frequent illicit drugs of choice identified at treatment admission (in order of ranking) were: heroin, cocaine/crack, and marijuana. The drug-induced death rate in Pennsylvania (includes non-illicit drugs) affected 5,008 people during the years 2004-2006 and the rates are highest for those between 20 and 54 years of age. Men and Blacks are disproportionately affected. Among youth, current marijuana use increases dramatically by grade: there is almost no reported use in 6th graders, 2.8% among 8th graders, 12% among 10th graders, and a jump to 19.2% among 12th graders. 35.7% of 12th graders reported that they had tried marijuana in their lifetime. While marijuana shows the highest prevalence, there is substantial use of inhalants among all grades (6th, 8th, 10th, 12th) and non-medical use of prescription drugs as reported by 10th and 12th graders. In 2007, over 7% of 12th graders reported non-medical use of prescription drugs including amphetamines, sedatives, tranquilizers and over 12% reported use of narcotic pain medications. Philadelphia and Cambria counties are higher than the rest of the state with regard to the rate of druginduced deaths. Time Trends. Marijuana use among all age groups appears to be decreasing; however this trend is not significant. The current use of other illicit drugs for adults over 18 appears to be stable, whereas current use of other illicit drugs for youth under age 18 appears to be decreasing. Although non-medical use of amphetamines, sedatives, tranquilizers, and narcotic drugs are of substantial concern in 10th and 12th graders, their use decreased from 2005 to 2007 according to the Pennsylvania Youth Survey (PAYS). NSDUH data indicates nonmedical pain reliever use among all ages is relatively stable. National Comparisons. Compared with the rest of the nation, Pennsylvania is slightly below average for most consumption and consequence rates (see rate ratio summary in Table 33). 74 VII. APPENDIX 75 VII. A. SEOW & Advisory Council Member List *Indicates a member of the State Epidemiology Outcomes Workgroup (SEOW). *Deborah E. Almoney Senior Evaluation Analyst Office of Research, Evaluation, and Strategic Policy Development PA Commission on Crime and Delinquency 3101 N. Front Street Harrisburg, PA 17110 717-265-8526 dalmoney@state.pa.us Doris Arena Office of Mental Health and Substance Abuse Services PA Department of Public Welfare 2nd Floor, Beechmont Building Harrisburg, PA 17105 717-772-7685 darena@state.pa.us *Lonnie Barnes Program Analyst Bureau of Drug & Alcohol Programs PA Department of Health 2 Kline Plaza Harrisburg, PA 17104 717-783-8200 lobarnes@state.pa.us *Louis Brown Research Associate Prevention Research Center Penn State University 135 E. Nittany, Suite 402 State College, PA 16801 814-865-4122 ldb12@psu.edu Leslie Coombe Acting Director Bureau of Alcohol Education PA Liquor Control Board Room 602 Northwest Office Building Harrisburg, PA 17124 717-772-3902 lecoombe@state.pa.us *Robert D Cooney EMS Program Manager Emergency Medical Services Office PA Department of Health Health and Welfare Bldg., Room 606 Harrisburg Pa 17120-0701 cooney@state.pa.us John Cookus Director Center for Juvenile Justice Training & Research Shippensburg University 1871 Old Main Drive Shippensburg, PA 17257-2299 717-477-1188 jcookusl@state.pa.us Julia Cox Executive Director American Trauma Society 2 Flowers Drive Mechanicsburg, PA 17050 717-766-1616 atspa@atspa.org Myrna Delgado Division Chief Bureau of Student & Community Services PA Department of Education 5th Floor 333 Market Street Harrisburg, PA 17126-0333 717-772-2813 mdelgado@state.pa.us Michele Denk Director PA Association of County Drug & Alcohol Administrators 17 N. Front Street Harrisburg, PA 17101-1624 717-232-7554 x3132 mdenk@pacounties.org Peg Dierkers PA Coaltion Against Domestic Violence 6400 Flank Drive, #1300 Harrisburg, PA 17112 717-545-6400 pdierkers@pcadv.org 76 Nora Drexler President Drexler Associates 5639 Mill Street Erie, PA 16509 814-864-9986 ndrexler@drexlerassociates.com Major Gilbert Durand Drug Demand Reduction Administrator Counterdrug Progam PA National Guard Fort Indiantown Gap Annville, PA 17003 717-861-2319 c-gidurand@state.pa.us E. Shaye Erhard Services Program Specialist Division of Planning, Policy, & Program Development Office of Mental Health and Substance Abuse Services PA Department of Public Welfare DGS Annex Complex, Beechmont #32 Harrisburg, PA 17105 717-705-9709 eerhard@state.pa.us *Staci Fehr Program Analyst Office of Research, Evaluation, and Strategic Policy Development PA Commission on Crime and Delinquency 3101 N. Front Street Harrisburg, PA 17110 717-265-8521 sfehr@state.pa.us Debra Fye President Commonwealth Prevention Alliance Mercer County Behavioral Health Commission 8406 Sharon Mercer Road Mercer, PA 17137 724-662-1550 debby.fye@mercercountybhc.org Carl D. Giardinelli DRC, Philadelphia FD Drug Enforcement Administration William J. Green Federal Building 600 Arch Street, Suite 10224 Philadelphia, PA 19106 215- 861-3288 Carl.D.Giardinelli@usdoj.gov *Garrison Gladfelter Prevention Division Director Bureau of Drug & Alcohol Programs PA Department of Health 2 Kline Plaza Harrisburg, PA 17104 717-783-8200 ggladfelte@state.pa.us Donna Gority Blair County Commissioner Suite 142, Courthouse 423 Allegheny Street Hollidaysburg, PA 16648 814-693-3112 dgority@blairco.org *Mark Greenberg Director Prevention Research Center Pennsylvania State University S112B Henderson Building University Park, PA 16802 814-863-0112 mxg47@psu.edu Eileen Grenell Prevention Specialist Adams County Substance Abuse Prevention Program It Takes A Village, Inc. 111-117 Baltimore Street, Room 201-B Gettysburg, PA 17325 717-337-5827 egrenell@adamscounty.us Cheryl Guthier Executive Director Community Prevention Partnership of Berks County 227 N. 5th Street Reading, PA 19601 610 376-6988 ext. 203 guthierc@enter.net 77 Lieutenant Colonel Robert Hepner Counterdrug Coordinator PA Dept of Military & Veteran's Affairs NCTC Building 8-65 Fort Indiantown Gap Annville, PA 17003 717-861-2302 c-rhepner@state.pa.us *Michael Melczak Research Specialist University of Pittsburgh School of Pharmacy Department of Pharmacy & Therapeutics 456 Falk Clinic, 3601 Fifth Avenue Pittsburgh, PA 15213 412- 647-4295 mam142@pitt.edu *Dan Iser Drug & Alcoh Ed Specialist PA Department of Education Bureau of Community & Student Services 333 Market Street Harrisburg, PA 17126-0333 717-787-6406 diser@state.pa.us *Ryan W. McNary Department of Transportation Bureau of Highway Safety and Traffic Engineering P.O. Box 2047 | Harrisburg, PA 17105-2047 Phone: 717.787.3656 | Fax: 717.783.8012 www.dot.state.pa.us *Barry L. Jackson Director Drug, Alcohol & Wellness Network 253 SSC Bloomsburg University Bloomsburg, PA 17815 570-389-4977 bjackson@bloomu.edu *Daniel Miller Chief, Data Section Bureau of Drug & Alcohol Programs Pennsylvania Department of Health 02 Kline Plaza Harrisburg, PA 17104 Phone: 717.783.8200 Lieutenant Douglas Martin Central Section Commander Bureau of Liquor Control Enforcement PA State Police 3655 Vartan Way Harrisburg, PA 17110 717-540-7443 doumartin@state.pa.us *Peter D. Mulcahy 72 Fairview Avenue Morrisville, PA 19067 215-736-3167 peterdmulcahy@comcast.net *Terry Matulevich Budget Analyst Bureau of Drug & Alcohol Programs PA Department of Health 2 Kline Plaza Harrisburg, PA 17104 717-783-8200 tmatulevic@state.pa.us Judy May-Bennett Assistant Director American Trauma Society PA Division 2 Flowers Drive Mechanisburg, PA 17050 717-766-1616 judymaybennett@yahoo.com Beata Peck-Little PA Coalition Against Rape 125 North Enola Drive Enola, PA 17025 717-728-9740 x115 bpecklittle@pcar.org Michael Pennington Director PA Commission on Crime and Delinquency Office of Juvenile Justice & Delinquency Prevention 3101 N. Front Street Harrisburg, PA 17110 717-265-8461 mpenningto@state.pa.us 78 Sherry Peters Chief, Division of Planning, Policy, & Program Development Office of Mental Health and Substance Abuse Services PA Department of Public Welfare 2nd Floor, Beechmont Building Harrisburg, PA 17105 717-772-7855 shepeters@state.pa.us *Jacqueline Spaid Drug & Alcohol Program Supervisor Bureau of Drug & Alcohol Programs PA Department of Health 2 Kline Plaza Harrisburg, PA 17104 717-783-8200 jspaid@state.pa.us *Janice Pringle Research Assistant Professor University of Pittsburgh School of Pharmacy 2100 Wharton St. 7th Floor, Suite 720-C Pittsburgh, PA 15203, 412-904-6127 *Carol E. Thornton Section Chief Violence and Injury Prevention Program Pennsylvania Department of Health Bureau of Health Promotion and Risk Reduction Room 1008, Health & Welfare Building Harrisburg, PA 17120 717-787-5900 cathornton@state.pa.us *Robin Rothermel Acting Director Bureau of Drug & Alcohol Programs PA Department of Health 2 Kline Plaza Harrisburg, PA 17104 717-783-8200 rrothermel@state.pa.us *Ronald Tringali Epidemiologist Bureau of Epidemiology, Family Health PA Department of Health Room 925 Health & Welfare Building Harrisburg, PA 17120 717-346-3283 rtringali@state.pa.us *Zachary Runkle Bureau of Health Statistics & Research Forum Place, 6th Floor 555 Walnut Street Harrisburg, PA 17101-1900 717-783-2548 zrunkle@state.pa.us *Gene Weinberg Epidemiologist Director Division of Community Epidemiology Room 925 Health & Welfare Building Harrisburg, PA 17100 717-783-4677 gweinberg@state.pa.us Kathy Schmick Executive Secretary Office of Administrative Law Judge PA Liquor Control Board Brandywine Plaza 2221 Paxton Church Rd. Harrisburg, PA 17110-9661 717-540-5037 kschmick@state.pa.us *Annette L Williams CSAP Fellow Bureau of Drug & Alcohol Programs PA Department of Health 2 Kline Plaza Harrisburg, PA 17104 717-783-8200 c-anwillia@state.pa.us *Alden Small Statistical Analyst Supervisor Bureau of Health Statistics Forum Place, 6th Floor 555 Walnut Street Harrisburg, PA 17101-1900 717-783-2548 asmall@state.pa.us Lenore Wyant Program Director, Communities that Care Center for Juvenile Justice Training & Research 1871 Old Main Drive Shippensburg, PA 17257 717-477-1187 ldwyant@ship.edu 79 *Marsha Zibalese-Crawford Chair, Social Work Department Temple University School of Social Administration 1301 Cecil B. Moore Avenue Ritter Avenue Room 587 Philadelphia, PA 19122 215-204-3760 mcrawfor@temple.edu 80 VII. B. Acronyms in Profile ATOD BAC BDAP BRFSS CDC CIS COPD CSAP DOH DSM-IV DUI FARS ICD NCHS NHTSA NIAAA NSDUH PA ATS PA EpiQMS PAYS PCCD SAMHSA SCA SEDS SEOW SPF-SIG TEDS YRBSS Alcohol, Tobacco, and Other/Illicit Drugs Blood Alcohol Content Bureau of Drug and Alcohol Programs Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Client Information System Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Center for Substance Abuse Prevention Department of Health Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 4th edition Driving under the influence of alcohol or drugs Fatality Analysis Reporting System International Classification of Diseases National Center for Health Statistics National Highway Traffic Safety Administration National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism National Survey on Drug Use and Health Pennsylvania Adult Tobacco Survey Epidemiologic Query and Mapping System Pennsylvania Youth Survey PA Commission on Crime and Delinquency Substance Abuse and Mental Health Administration Single County Authorities State Epidemiological Data Systems State Epidemiology Outcomes Workgroup Strategic Prevention Framework State Incentive Grant Treatment Episode Data Youth Risk Behavioral Surveillance Survey 81 VII. C. 1. NSDUH Pennsylvania Substate Data Tables (2004-2006) Binge alcohol use in past month ages 12 and older Region Estimate 95% CI Pennsylvania 24.1 (23.04 - 25.18) Allegheny 28.04 (24.98 - 31.32) Beaver, Butler, Armstrong, Indiana, Cambria 24.99 (21.75 - 28.55) Wayne, Pike, Monroe, Carbon, Schuylkill, Berks 23.9 (20.94 - 27.14) Blair, Huntingdon, Mifflin, Juniata, Perry, Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton, Bedford 19.96 (17.29 - 22.93) Potter, Tioga, Bradford, Susquehanna, Clinton, Lycoming, Sullivan, Centre, Union, Snyder, Montour, Columbia, Northumberland 26.25 (23.43 - 29.28) Chester, Delaware, Montgomery, Bucks 25.23 (23.09 - 27.50) Warren, McKean, Mercer, Lawrence, Venango, Forest, Elk, Cameron, Clarion, Jefferson, Clearfield 22.45 (19.31 - 25.94) Erie, Crawford 27.13 (23.41 - 31.19) Dauphin, Lebanon, Lancaster, York, Adams 20.59 (18.26 - 23.13) Washington, Westmoreland, Greene, Fayette, Somerset 22.13 (19.18 - 25.39) Wyoming, Lackawanna, Luzerne 25.97 (22.52 - 29.74) Northampton, Leigh 22.51 (19.37 - 26.00) Philadelphia 23.65 (20.97 - 26.56) Estimates are based on a survey-weighted hierarchical Bayes estimation approach, and 95% prediction intervals were generated by Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques. Source: Substate Estimates from the 2004-2006 NSDUHs 82 Alcohol use past month among persons aged 12 to 20 Region Estimate 95% CI Pennsylvania 29.51 (28.31 - 30.73) Allegheny 33.86 (30.56 - 37.32) Beaver, Butler, Armstrong, Indiana, Cambria 32.04 (28.27 - 36.06) Wayne, Pike, Monroe, Carbon, Schuylkill, Berks 29.57 (26.22 - 33.16) Blair, Huntingdon, Mifflin, Juniata, Perry, Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton, Bedford 25.21 (21.69 - 29.10) Potter, Tioga, Bradford, Susquehanna, Clinton, Lycoming, Sullivan, Centre, Union, Snyder, Montour, Columbia, Northumberland 33.6 (30.46 - 36.89) Chester, Delaware, Montgomery, Bucks 32.28 (29.76 - 34.92) Warren, McKean, Mercer, Lawrence, Venango, Forest, Elk, Cameron, Clarion, Jefferson, Clearfield 27.94 (24.18 - 32.04) Erie, Crawford 33.07 (28.86 - 37.58) Dauphin, Lebanon, Lancaster, York, Adams 27.86 (25.14 - 30.75) Washington, Westmoreland, Greene, Fayette, Somerset 28.3 (24.76 - 32.12) Wyoming, Lackawanna, Luzerne 30.32 (26.26 - 34.72) Northampton, Leigh 28.33 (24.22 - 32.83) Philadelphia 22.9 (20.06 - 26.01) Estimates are based on a survey-weighted hierarchical Bayes estimation approach, and 95% prediction intervals were generated by Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques. Source: Substate Estimates from the 2004-2006 NSDUHs 83 Cigarette use past month aged 12+ Region Pennsylvania Allegheny Beaver, Butler, Armstrong, Indiana, Cambria Wayne, Pike, Monroe, Carbon, Schuylkill, Berks Blair, Huntingdon, Mifflin, Juniata, Perry, Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton, Bedford Potter, Tioga, Bradford, Susquehanna, Clinton, Lycoming, Sullivan, Centre, Union, Snyder, Montour, Columbia, Northumberland Chester, Delaware, Montgomery, Bucks Warren, McKean, Mercer, Lawrence, Venango, Forest, Elk, Cameron, Clarion, Jefferson, Clearfield Erie, Crawford Dauphin, Lebanon, Lancaster, York, Adams Washington, Westmoreland, Greene, Fayette, Somerset Wyoming, Lackawanna, Luzerne Northampton, Leigh Philadelphia Estimate 26.68 27.5 29.11 27.28 95% CI (25.48 - 27.93) (24.53 - 30.70) (25.73 - 32.74) (24.29 - 30.49) 26.97 (23.93 - 30.25) 24.9 (22.10 - 27.93) 23.67 (21.57 - 25.90) 29.18 26.21 25.86 28.23 27.5 26.4 28.97 (25.83 - 32.78) (22.90 - 29.81) (23.24 - 28.67) (24.98 - 31.72) (24.32 - 30.93) (23.00 - 30.10) (25.96 - 32.18) Estimates are based on a survey-weighted hierarchical Bayes estimation approach, and 95% prediction intervals were generated by Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques. Source: Substate Estimates from the 2004-2006 NSDUHs 84 Alcohol dependence or abuse in past year Region Estimate 95% CI Pennsylvania 7.13 (6.57 - 7.74) Allegheny 8.03 (6.68 - 9.63) Beaver, Butler, Armstrong, Indiana, Cambria 7.4 (5.92 - 9.22) Wayne, Pike, Monroe, Carbon, Schuylkill, Berks 6.89 (5.62 - 8.43) Blair, Huntingdon, Mifflin, Juniata, Perry, Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton, Bedford 5.75 (4.61 - 7.14) Potter, Tioga, Bradford, Susquehanna, Clinton, Lycoming, Sullivan, Centre, Union, Snyder, Montour, Columbia, Northumberland 8.6 (7.25 - 10.18) Chester, Delaware, Montgomery, Bucks 7.25 (6.17 - 8.50) Warren, McKean, Mercer, Lawrence, Venango, Forest, Elk, Cameron, Clarion, Jefferson, Clearfield 6.67 (5.33 - 8.31) Erie, Crawford 8.32 (6.67 - 10.33) Dauphin, Lebanon, Lancaster, York, Adams 6.15 (5.08 - 7.44) Washington, Westmoreland, Greene, Fayette, Somerset 6.26 (5.05 - 7.72) Wyoming, Lackawanna, Luzerne 7.25 (5.88 - 8.92) Northampton, Leigh 6.09 (4.71 - 7.85) Philadelphia 7.77 (6.45 - 9.32) Estimates are based on a survey-weighted hierarchical Bayes estimation approach, and 95% prediction intervals were generated by Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques. Source: Substate Estimates from the 2004-2006 NSDUHs 85 Binge alcohol use past month among persons aged 12 to 20 Region Estimate 95% CI Pennsylvania 20.46 (19.36- 21.60) Allegheny 22.74 (19.88- 25.88) Beaver, Butler, Armstrong, Indiana, Cambria 23.62 (20.36- 27.22) Wayne, Pike, Monroe, Carbon, Schuylkill, Berks 20.21 (17.14- 23.69) Blair, Huntingdon, Mifflin, Juniata, Perry, Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton, Bedford 16.88 (13.91- 20.34) Potter, Tioga, Bradford, Susquehanna, Clinton, Lycoming, Sullivan, Centre, Union, Snyder, Montour, Columbia, Northumberland 25.86 (22.83- 29.13) Chester, Delaware, Montgomery, Bucks 23.07 (20.73- 25.58) Warren, McKean, Mercer, Lawrence, Venango, Forest, Elk, Cameron, Clarion, Jefferson, Clearfield 19.81 (16.37- 23.77) Erie, Crawford 23.72 (20.07- 27.81) Dauphin, Lebanon, Lancaster, York, Adams 17.84 (15.54- 20.40) Washington, Westmoreland, Greene, Fayette, Somerset 19.97 (16.88- 23.46) Wyoming, Lackawanna, Luzerne 22.22 (18.77- 26.11) Northampton, Leigh 19.43 (15.84- 23.60) Philadelphia 14.35 (12.16- 16.87) Estimates are based on a survey-weighted hierarchical Bayes estimation approach, and 95% prediction intervals were generated by Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques. Source: Substate Estimates from the 2004-2006 NSDUHs 86 Tobacco use past month aged 12+ Region Pennsylvania Allegheny Beaver, Butler, Armstrong, Indiana, Cambria Wayne, Pike, Monroe, Carbon, Schuylkill, Berks Blair, Huntingdon, Mifflin, Juniata, Perry, Cumberland, Franklin, Fulton, Bedford Potter, Tioga, Bradford, Susquehanna, Clinton, Lycoming, Sullivan, Centre, Union, Snyder, Montour, Columbia, Northumberland Chester, Delaware, Montgomery, Bucks Warren, McKean, Mercer, Lawrence, Venango, Forest, Elk, Cameron, Clarion, Jefferson, Clearfield Erie, Crawford Dauphin, Lebanon, Lancaster, York, Adams Washington, Westmoreland, Greene, Fayette, Somerset Wyoming, Lackawanna, Luzerne Northampton, Leigh Philadelphia Estimate 31.57 32.59 35.79 32.64 95% CI (30.31 - 32.85) (29.50 - 35.83) (31.97 - 39.79) (29.37 - 36.08) 33.05 (29.92 - 36.34) 30.48 (27.52 - 33.62) 27.98 (25.62 - 30.47) 35.38 31.1 30.32 33.95 32.63 30.59 32.09 (31.74 - 39.20) (27.33 - 35.14) (27.52 - 33.28) (30.54 - 37.54) (29.07 - 36.41) (27.07 - 34.34) (29.04 - 35.31) Estimates are based on a survey-weighted hierarchical Bayes estimation approach, and 95% prediction intervals were generated by Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques. Source: Substate Estimates from the 2004-2006 NSDUHs 87 VII. C. 2. FARS Calculated Crash Data Tables Used Five Year Averages of the Total Number of Alcohol-Related Traffic Deaths and the Percentage Relative to All Traffic Deaths by County in Pennsylvania (2003-2007) County Adams Allegheny Armstrong Beaver Bedford Berks Blair Bradford Bucks Butler Cambria Cameron Carbon Centre Chester Clarion Clearfield Clinton Columbia Crawford Cumberland Dauphin Delaware Elk Erie Fayette Forest Franklin Fulton Greene Huntingdon Indiana Jefferson Alcohol related deaths per year 9 31.2 4.8 5.6 6.6 18 5.2 4.2 22.2 10.6 6.4 0.2 5.2 7.4 20.8 3.6 5.2 3.2 5.4 8 10.2 9.4 12.4 3.4 12.4 12.2 1.4 9.4 1.6 5 3 6.4 1.4 % Alcohol related deaths relative to all traffic deaths 43% 38% 38% 33% 36% 33% 27% 42% 33% 38% 35% 33% 37% 35% 39% 31% 27% 32% 38% 41% 34% 32% 38% 38% 42% 47% 64% 35% 24% 49% 38% 39% 18% 88 Juniata 1.4 23% Lackawanna 7.2 32% Lancaster 19.4 31% Lawrence 3.2 27% Lebanon 6.6 35% Lehigh 11.8 30% Luzerne 21.4 49% Lycoming 7 32% McKean 2.6 48% Mercer 7.6 31% Mifflin 3 48% Monroe 11.2 32% Montgomery 21.2 37% Montour 1.2 29% Northampton 8.6 30% Northumberland 5.8 34% Perry 4 34% Philadelphia 32.6 29% Pike 2.8 29% Potter 2.2 58% Schuylkill 10 32% Snyder 2 26% Somerset 9.8 49% Sullivan 1.4 58% Susquehanna 4.4 41% Tioga 1.6 17% Union 3.2 40% Venango 4 36% Warren 4.8 50% Washington 12.4 47% Wayne 3.6 33% Westmoreland 20 43% Wyoming 2 36% York 20.8 42% Total 552 37% Source: FARS; Calculated by averaging the total number of alcohol related traffic deaths from 2003 to 2007. 89 VII. D. Other Pennsylvania Drug & Alcohol Data Resources 1) Annually published statewide report ‗Adult Behavioral Health Risks of Pennsylvania‘ by PA Department of Health, Bureau of Health Statistics and Research, available on PA Department of Health website. Some PA community-level (communities vary each year) reports are available to supplement. 2) Some additional PA Department of Health website resources available include: PA Vital Statistics Reports, County Health Profiles, PA Healthy People 2010 information, and an annually published ‗Pennsylvania Tobacco Facts‘. 3) PennDOT (Pennsylvania Department of Transportation) annually publishes a ‗Crash Facts and Statistics‘ book providing detailed information on crash data including alcoholinvolved crashes. Most years can be found online using http://www.dot.state.pa.us. 4) PA State Police publish a ‗Crime in Pennsylvania, Annual Uniform Crime Report‘ available online using http://ucr.psp.state.pa.us. In addition, crime (arrests/reported) queries and maps can be done online. 5) The Drug Abuse Warning Network (DAWN) is a public health surveillance system that monitors drug-related hospital emergency department (ED) visits and drug-related deaths to track the impact of drug use, misuse, and abuse in the U.S. A report on Philadelphia county is available online (Metropolitan Area Profiles Part 2) https://dawninfo.samhsa.gov/pubs/mepubs/default.asp. 90