Dual Plenary Session: Renewables, Power Prices, and Grid Integration IAEE's 37th International Conference New York City - June 16, 2014 Imagination at work. Copyright 2014 General Electric Company GE’s Integration of Renewables Experience North America Studies commissioned by utilities, commissions, ISOs... • Examine feasibility of 100+ GW of new renewables • Consider operability, costs, emissions, transmission 2004 New York 3 GW Wind 10% Peak Load 4% Energy 2005 Ontario 15 GW Wind 50% Peak Load 30% Energy 2006 California 13 GW Wind 3 GW Solar 26% Peak Load 15% Energy 2007 Texas 15 GW Wind 25% Peak Load 17% Energy 2009 Western U.S. 72 GW Wind 15 GW Solar 50% Peak Load 27% Energy Gradients indicate systems subject to individual studies and also included in larger regional studies Source: Publicly available studies. See pp 14-15 Copyright 2014 General Electric Company 2010 New England 12 GW Wind 39% Peak Load 24% Energy 2008 Maui 70 MW Wind 39% Peak Load 25% Energy 2010 Oahu 500 MW Wind 100 MW Solar 55% Peak Load 25% Energy 2012 Nova Scotia ~1500MW Wind 40% Energy 2014 PJM Study 96GW Wind 22GW Solar 30% Energy Underway Pan-Canadian ~72GW Wind 30% Energy 2 GE’s Integration of Renewables Experience Global (In Progress) Vietnam Wind Grid Code Development and Renewable Integration Study Europe: REservices Project Economic grid support from variable renewables Barbados Barbados Power & Light Renewable Integration Study Copyright 2014 General Electric Company 3 Study Area Dispatch - Week of July 10th - No Renewables Study Area Dispatch - Week of July 10th - 10% Renewables 70,000 60,000 60,000 50,000 50,000 40,000 40,000 MW MW 70,000 30,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 Nuclear Steam Coal Wind Solar CSP w/ Storage Solar PV Combined Cycle Gas Turbine Pumped Storage Hydro Hydro 0 MON JUL 10 TUE JUL 11 WED JUL 12 THU JUL 13 20,000 10,000 0 FRI JUL 14 MON JUL 10 SAT JUL 15 SUN JUL 16 70,000 70,000 60,000 60,000 50,000 50,000 Simple Cycle GT 40,000 MW MW Combined Cycle GT 30,000 20,000 10,000 WED JUL 12 THU JUL 13 FRI JUL 14 SAT JUL 15 SUN JUL 16 Study Area Dispatch - Week of July 10th - 30% Renewables Study Area Dispatch - Week of July 10th - 20% Renewables 40,000 TUE JUL 11 Hydro PV Wind CSP 30,000 Coal 20,000 10,000 Nuclear 0 0 MON JUL 10 TUE JUL 11 WED JUL 12 THU JUL 13 FRI JUL 14 SAT JUL 15 SUN JUL 16 MON JUL 10 July 10, 2006 TUE JUL 11 WED JUL 12 THU JUL 13 FRI JUL 14 SAT JUL 15 SUN JUL 16 Source: NREL Western Wind & Solar Integration Study Study Area Dispatch - Week of April 10th – No Renewables Study Area Dispatch - Week of April 10th - 10% Renewables 50,000 50,000 40,000 40,000 Simple Cycle GT Combined Cycle GT 30,000 MW MW 30,000 20,000 20,000 10,000 Coal Nuclear Steam Coal Wind Solar CSP w/ Storage Solar PV Combined Cycle Gas Turbine Pumped Storage Hydro Hydro 10,000 0 MON APR 10 0 MON APR 10 Nuclear TUE APR 11 WED APR 12 THU APR 13 FRI APR 14 SAT APR 15 TUE APR 11 WED APR 12 THU APR 13 FRI APR 14 SAT APR 15 SUN APR 16 SUN APR 16 Study Area Dispatch - Week of April 10th - 20% Renewables 50,000 Study Area Dispatch - Week of April 10th - 30% Renewables 50,000 Hydro 40,000 40,000 30,000 30,000 MW MW PV 20,000 20,000 10,000 10,000 0 MON APR 10 TUE APR 11 WED APR 12 THU APR 13 FRI APR 14 SAT APR 15 SUN APR 16 0 MON APR 10 April 10, 2006 TUE APR 11 WED APR 12 THU APR 13 Wind CSP FRI APR 14 SAT APR 15 SUN APR 16 Source: NREL Western Wind & Solar Integration Study Week of July 10th Study Area Dispatch - Week of July 10th - No Wind 70,000 60,000 (Peak-Load Season) Study Area Dispatch - Week of July 10th - 10%R 70,000 No Wind or Solar 50,000 40,000 40,000 MW MW 50,000 30,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 MON JUL 10 Nuclear Steam Coal Wind Solar CSP w/ Storage Solar PV Combined Cycle Gas Turbine Pumped Storage Hydro Hydro 20,000 10,000 0 TUE JUL 11 WED JUL 12 THU JUL 13 FRI JUL 14 SAT JUL 15 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 MON JUL 10 MON JUL 10 SUN JUL 16 WECC Wt Avg Hrly Spot Price WECC Wt Avg Hrly Spot Price 10% Wind + 1% Solar Energy 60,000 WED JUL 12 THU JUL 13 FRI JUL 14 SAT JUL 15 WED JUL 12 TUE JUL 11 WED JUL 12 THU JUL 13 FRI JUL 14 SAT JUL 15 SUN JUL 16 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 MON JUL 10 TUE JUL 11 TUE JUL 11 THU JUL 13 FRI JUL 14 SAT JUL 15 SUN JUL 16 SUN JUL 16 Source: NREL Western Wind & Solar Integration Study Week of July 10th (Peak-Load Season) Study Area Dispatch - Week of July 10th - 20%R 20% Wind + 3% Solar Energy 30% Wind + 5% Solar Energy Study Area Dispatch - Week of July 10th - 30%R 70,000 60,000 60,000 50,000 50,000 40,000 40,000 MW MW 70,000 30,000 30,000 20,000 20,000 10,000 10,000 0 0 TUE JUL 11 WED JUL 12 THU JUL 13 FRI JUL 14 SAT JUL 15 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 MON JUL 10 MON JUL 10 SUN JUL 16 WECC Wt Avg Hrly Spot Price WECC Wt Avg Hrly Spot Price MON JUL 10 WED JUL 12 THU JUL 13 FRI JUL 14 SAT JUL 15 WED JUL 12 THU JUL 13 FRI JUL 14 SAT JUL 15 SUN JUL 16 TUE JUL 11 WED JUL 12 THU JUL 13 FRI JUL 14 SAT JUL 15 SUN JUL 16 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 MON JUL 10 TUE JUL 11 TUE JUL 11 SUN JUL 16 Source: NREL Western Wind & Solar Integration Study Week of April 10th (Loads are lower, winds are higher) 50,000 No Wind or Solar 50,000 40,000 40,000 30,000 MW MW 30,000 20,000 20,000 Nuclear Steam Coal Wind Solar CSP w/ Storage Solar PV Combined Cycle Gas Turbine Pumped Storage Hydro Hydro 10,000 10,000 0 MON APR 10 0 MON APR 10 TUE APR 11 WED APR 12 THU APR 13 FRI APR 14 SAT APR 15 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 MON APR 10 TUE APR 11 WED APR 12 THU APR 13 FRI APR 14 SAT APR 15 TUE APR 11 WED APR 12 THU APR 13 FRI APR 14 WED APR 12 THU APR 13 FRI APR 14 SAT APR 15 SUN APR 16 SUN APR 16 WECC Wt Avg Hrly Spot Price WECC Wt Avg Hrly Spot Price 10% Wind + 1% Solar Energy Study Area Dispatch - Week of April 10th - 10% R Study Area Dispatch - Week of April 10th - No Wind SUN APR 16 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 MON APR 10 TUE APR 11 SAT APR 15 SUN APR 16 Source: NREL Western Wind & Solar Integration Study Week of April 10th (Loads are lower, winds are higher) Study Area Dispatch - Week of April 10th - 20%R 20% Wind + 3% Solar Energy 30% Wind +- Week 5%of Solar Energy Study Area Dispatch April 10th - 30%R 50,000 50,000 40,000 40,000 30,000 MW MW 30,000 20,000 20,000 10,000 TUE APR 11 WED APR 12 THU APR 13 FRI APR 14 SAT APR 15 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 MON APR 10 TUE APR 11 0 MON APR 10 SUN APR 16 WECC Wt Avg Hrly Spot Price WECC Wt Avg Hrly Spot Price 0 MON APR 10 10,000 WED APR 12 THU APR 13 FRI APR 14 SAT APR 15 SUN APR 16 TUE APR 11 WED APR 12 THU APR 13 WED APR 12 THU APR 13 FRI APR 14 SAT APR 15 SUN APR 16 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 MON APR 10 TUE APR 11 FRI APR 14 SAT APR 15 SUN APR 16 Source: NREL Western Wind & Solar Integration Study Study Footprint Total Load, Wind and Solar Variation Over Month of April (30% Wind Energy in Footprint) Ld(base)= Load Demand 35000 30000 25000 MW 20000 15000 10000 Ld(Base) 5000 Wd(30%) PV(30%) 0 CSP(30%) L-W-S = Load – Wind – Solar = “Net Load” -5000 1-Apr 8-Apr 15-Apr Day L-W-S(30%) 22-Apr 29-Apr Source: NREL Western Wind & Solar Integration Study Key Lessons Learned From These Studies … Impediments System Cost System Cost • Unserved Energy • Missing Wind/Solar Target • Higher Cost of Electricity • • • • • Lack of transmission Lack of control area cooperation Market rules / contracts constraints Unobservable DG – “behind the fence” Inflexible operation strategies during light load & high risk periods Success Factors Impediments Success Factors Renewables (%) • Wind Forecasting • Flexible Thermal fleet Faster quick starts Deeper turn-down Faster ramps • More spatial diversity of wind/solar • Grid-friendly wind and solar • Demand response ancillary services Policy and market structures … key to successful integration of wind and other renewables. Technology can help Copyright 2014 General Electric Company 11 Advanced NERC BAL-003.1 NERC PRC024 NERC VAR 001 - 003 FERC 661a Basic Performance Objectives Grid Requirements & Wind Technology Evolution LVRT Volt/VAR Control Adv Controls: Multi-Plant Weak Grid, SSCI, WindINERTIA Coordination Islanding WindFREE Detection Primary Reactive Frequency Control WindBoost/ WindRESERVE Control / AGC Contribution c.2003 Single W TGs Low Penetration Application Characteristics Large Farms c.2014 Multiple Farms High Penetration Higher functionality required for: larger farms, weaker systems, and grids with high wind penetration Copyright 2014 General Electric Company Critical Issues, Critical Decisions Energy Efficiency Demand Response Generation Mix Nuclear Retirements Flexible Gas Turbine Generation Coal Retirements Production Tax Credit Extensions Shared Reserves, Energy Imbalance Markets Market Structures & Policy Supply, Demand & Technology Issues Smart Grid Microgrid Shale Gas Carbon Rules Capacity Markets Energy Storage Reliabilitydriven rules (ramp, high availability, flexible) Mercury & Air Toxics Rule Coal Combustion Residuals Renewable Portfolio Standards Copyright 2014 General Electric Company Regulations & Trends Wind Study References California Energy Commission’s Intermittency Analysis Project Study “Appendix B - Impact of Intermittent Generation on Operation of California Power Grid” http://www.energy.ca.gov/2007publications/CEC-500-2007-081/CEC-500-2007-081-APB.PDF New York State Energy Research and Development Authority’s “The Effects of Integrating Wind Power on Transmission System Planning, Reliability, and Operations” http://www.nyserda.ny.gov/Program-Planning/Renewable-PortfolioStandard/~/media/Files/EDPPP/Energy%20and%20Environmental%20Markets/RPS/RPS%20Documents/wind-integrationreport.ashx Ontario Power Authority, Independent Electricity System Operator, Canadian Wind Energy Association’s “Ontario Wind Integration Study”: http://www.powerauthority.on.ca/sites/default/files/news/2321_OPA_Report_final.pdf Electrical Reliability Council of Texas, “Analysis of Wind Generation Impact on ERCOT Ancillary Services Requirements”: http://www.ercot.com/news/presentations/2008/Wind_Generation_Impact_on_Ancillary_Services_-_GE_Study.zip NREL, “Western Wind and Solar Integration Study: http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy10osti/47434.pdf http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy10osti/47781.pdf New England ISO “New England Wind Integration Study “ http://iso-ne.com/committees/comm_wkgrps/prtcpnts_comm/pac/reports/2010/index.html Hawaiian Electric Company, Hawaii Natural Energy Institute, “Oahu Wind Integration Study” http://www.hnei.hawaii.edu/sites/web41.its.hawaii.edu.www.hnei.hawaii.edu/files/story/2011/03/Oahu_Wind_Integration_Stu dy.pdf California ISO, “Frequency Response Study” Oct, 2011 http://www.caiso.com/Documents/Report-FrequencyResponseStudy.pdf Nova Scotia Power, Inc., “Nova Scotia Renewable Energy Study” Jun, 2013 https://www.nspower.ca/site/media/Parent/2013COSS_CA_DR-14_SUPPLEMENTAL_REISFinalReport_REDACTED.pdf Copyright 2014 General Electric Company Wind Study References (con’t) PJM Interconnection, LLC, “PJM Renewable Integration Study.” http://pjm.com/~/media/committees-groups/task-forces/irtf/postings/pris-executive-summary.ashx Full PJM PRIS Reports: http://www.pjm.com/committees-and-groups/task-forces/irtf/pris.aspx Hawaii Natural Energy Institute, GE Energy Consulting, National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Hawaiian Electric Company, Maui Electric Company, “Hawaii Solar Integration Study.” http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy13osti/57215.pdf Copyright 2014 General Electric Company