North American Nonwovens Industry Outlook, 2013-2018 An INDA Report LIST OF FIGURES II Macro-Drivers and Industry Assumptions II-1 Relative Sizes of North American Economies ................................................... 5 II-2 Relative Sizes of North American Economies Globally ...................................... 6 II-3 Annual Growth of Real GDP in the United States ............................................ 8 II-4 Annual Growth of Real Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) in the United States ........................................................................................ 9 II-5 Annual Growth of Manufacturing Production in the United States ................ 10 II-6 Annual Growth of Real GDP in Canada ......................................................... 11 II-7 Annual Growth of Real GDP in Mexico .......................................................... 13 II-8 Annual Growth of Real GDP in North America by Country ............................ 14 II-9 Relative Sizes of North American Populations ................................................ 15 II-10 North American Population by Country ......................................................... 16 II-11 Total Number of Babies and Toddlers (0‒ 4 Years) by Country ....................... 18 II-12 Total Number Females (13‒ 51 Years) by Country.......................................... 19 II-13 Total Population and Elderly (65+ Years) by Country ..................................... 21 II-14 U.S./Canada Population, 2008...................................................................... 22 II-15 Mexico Population, 2008 ............................................................................... 22 II-16 U.S./Canada Population, 2013...................................................................... 23 II-17 Mexico Population, 2013 ............................................................................... 23 II-18 U.S./Canada Population, 2018f..................................................................... 23 II-19 Mexico Population, 2018f .............................................................................. 23 II-20 Canadian Dollar to U.S. Dollar Exchange Rate .............................................. 26 II-21 Annual Production of North American Crude Oil by Country ......................... 29 II-22 Crude Oil Prices ............................................................................................ 30 II-23 Natural Gas Prices, Historical View ............................................................... 32 II-24 Natural Gas Prices, U.S. Domestic Market..................................................... 33 January 2015 Page 1 North American Nonwovens Industry Outlook, 2013-2018 An INDA Report III North American Nonwoven Demand III-1 North American Nonwovens Market, Dollar Sales .......................................... 36 III-2 North American Nonwovens Market, Tonnage ............................................... 36 III-3 North American Nonwovens Market, Square Meters ...................................... 36 III-4 North American Nonwoven Material Consumption, 2013 ............................... 37 III-5 North American Nonwoven Material Consumption, CAGR ............................. 38 III-6 North American Nonwovens Square Meters Usage Market Sizes and Growth .......................................................................................................... 40 III-7 North American Nonwovens Tonnage Usage Market Sizes and Growth .......... 41 III-8 North American Disposable Nonwovens Market ............................................. 42 III-9 North American Disposable Nonwovens Dollar Sales to End Users Market Sizes and Growth .......................................................................................... 44 III-10 Disposable Nonwoven Material Consumption, 2013 ...................................... 45 III-11 Disposable Nonwoven Material Consumption, CAGR ..................................... 47 III-12 North American Disposable Nonwovens Square Meter Usage Market Sizes and Growth ................................................................................................... 48 III-13 North American Disposable Nonwovens Tonnage Usage Market Sizes and Growth .......................................................................................................... 49 III-14 North American Disposable Absorbent Hygiene Market ................................. 52 III-15 North American Disposable Consumer Absorbent Hygiene Market-CAGR ..... 54 III-16 Consumer Absorbent Hygiene Nonwoven Material Consumption, 2013 ......... 55 III-17 Total Number of U.S. Births .......................................................................... 56 III-18 Total Potential Children in Diapers, United States and Canada ..................... 57 III-19 Total Potential Children in Diapers, Mexico ................................................... 57 III-20 Disposable Baby Diaper and Training Pants Demand .................................... 58 III-21 Baby Diapers and Training Pants Nonwoven Material Consumption .............. 61 III-22 Adult Population (18–64 years and Non-Institutionalized 65+years) Total Population and Population Impacted by Incontinent Issues........................... 64 January 2015 Page 2 North American Nonwovens Industry Outlook, 2013-2018 An INDA Report III-23 Adult Population (18–64 years and Non-Institutionalized 65+ years) Impacted by Incontinent Issues and Product Usage ...................................... 65 III-24 North American Disposable Consumer Incontinence Market ......................... 67 III-25 Consumer Incontinence Product Material Consumption ................................ 69 III-26 Female Population (13-51 years) Total Population and Disposable Feminine Hygiene Product Usage .......................................... 70 III-27 Disposable Feminine Hygiene Product Demand ............................................. 71 III-28 Consumer Feminine Hygiene Product Material Consumption ........................ 73 III-29 Institutionalized Adult Population (65+ years) Total Population and Population Impacted by Incontinence Issues......................... 75 III-30 North American Disposable Institutional Incontinence Market ...................... 76 III-31 Institutional Absorbent Hygiene Product Material Consumption ................... 79 III-32 North American Disposable Wipes Market Dollar Sales to End Users, 2013 ........................................................................................... 81 III-33 North American Disposable Wipes Market Unit Sales to End Users, 2013 ........................................................................................... 81 III-34 North American Disposable Wipes Market ..................................................... 83 III-35 Wipes Nonwoven Material Consumption ........................................................ 84 III-36 North American Disposable Consumer Wipes Market, CAGR......................... 86 III-37 Consumer Wipes Nonwoven Material Consumption, 2013 ............................. 87 III-38 North American Baby Wipes Market .............................................................. 88 III-39 Baby Wipes Nonwoven Material Consumption ............................................... 90 III-40 North American Household Wipes Market, CAGR .......................................... 92 III-41 Household Wipes Nonwoven Material Consumption ...................................... 93 III-42 North American Personal Care Wipes Market ................................................ 98 III-43 Personal Care Wipes Nonwoven Material Consumption ................................. 99 III-44 North American Disposable Industrial/Institutional Wipes Market Unit Sales........................................................................................ 103 January 2015 Page 3 North American Nonwovens Industry Outlook, 2013-2018 III-45 An INDA Report North American Disposable Industrial/Institutional Wipes Market CAGR .............................................................................................. 105 III-46 Industrial/Institutional Wipes Nonwoven Material Consumption, 2013..................................................................................... 106 III-47 North American Disposable General Purpose Industrial/Commercial Wipes Market .......................................................... 107 III-48 General-Purpose Industrial/Commercial Wipes Nonwoven Material Consumption ................................................................................. 108 III-49 North American Disposable Specialty Industrial Wipes Market .................... 111 III-50 Specialty Industrial Wipes Nonwoven Material Consumption ...................... 112 III-51 North American Disposable Food Service Wipes Market .............................. 113 III-52 Food Service Wipes Nonwoven Material Consumption ................................. 115 III-53 North American Disposable Institutional: Healthcare/ Medical Wipes Market ................................................................................. 117 III-54 Healthcare/Medical Wipes Nonwoven Material Consumption ...................... 119 III-55 North American Filtration Market ................................................................ 123 III-56 Filtration Nonwoven Material Consumption ................................................. 125 III-57 North American Air Filtration Market, CAGR ............................................... 127 III-58 Air Filtration Nonwoven Material Consumption, 2013 ................................. 128 III-59 Transportation Air Filtration Nonwoven Material Consumption ................... 131 III-60 Commercial HVAC Air Filtration Nonwoven Material Consumption ............. 133 III-61 Residential HVAC Air Filtration Nonwoven Material Consumption ............... 135 III-62 Personal Protection Air Filtration Nonwoven Material Consumption ............ 137 III-63 Industrial Air Filtration Nonwoven Material Consumption ........................... 139 III-64 Vacuum Cleaner Bag Air Filtration Nonwoven Material Consumption ......... 141 III-65 Liquid Filtration Nonwoven Material Consumption, 2013 ............................ 144 III-66 Liquid Filtration Nonwoven Material Consumption, CAGR........................... 145 January 2015 Page 4 North American Nonwovens Industry Outlook, 2013-2018 An INDA Report III-67 North American Disposable Medical/Surgical Market.................................. 149 III-68 National and State Healthcare-Associated Infections Progress Report, 2013 ................................................................................. 154 III-69 North American Disposable Medical/Surgical Market, CAGR ...................... 156 III-70 Medical/Surgical Nonwoven Material Consumption, 2013........................... 157 III-71 Medical/Surgical Nonwoven Material Consumption, CAGR ......................... 158 III-72 Surgical Packs and Gowns Nonwoven Material Consumption ...................... 160 III-73 Medical and Surgical Other Apparel Nonwoven Material Consumption ........ 162 III-74 Medical and Surgical Sterile Packaging and Sterilization Wrap Nonwoven Material Consumption ....................................................... 164 III-75 Medical and Surgical Wound Care Nonwoven Material Consumption .......... 166 III-76 North American Disposable Personal Protective Equipment Market ............. 168 III-77 Disposable Personal Protective Equipment Nonwoven Material Consumption ................................................................................. 170 III-78 North American Other Disposable Applications Market ............................... 173 III-79 Other Disposable Applications Nonwoven Material Consumption ................ 174 III-80 North American Durable Nonwovens Market ............................................... 177 III-81 Durable Nonwoven Material Consumption, 2013 ......................................... 178 III-82 Durable Nonwoven Material Consumption, CAGR ....................................... 179 III-83 North American Durable Nonwovens Tonnage Usage Market Sizes and Growth ............................................................................ 180 III-84 North American Durable Nonwovens Square Meter Usage Market Sizes and Growth ............................................................................ 181 III-85 United States Value of Building Construction Put in Place .......................... 184 III-86 U.S. and Canada New Residential Starts, Annual Starts ............................. 186 III-87 U.S. and Canada New Residential Starts, CAGR .......................................... 187 III-88 U.S. Housing Sales ...................................................................................... 188 January 2015 Page 5 North American Nonwovens Industry Outlook, 2013-2018 An INDA Report III-89 U.S. Existing Home Sales ............................................................................ 189 III-90 United States Value of Nonresidential Building Construction Put in Place ................................................................................................. 190 III-91 Building Construction Nonwoven Material Consumption, 2013 ................... 191 III-92 Building Construction Nonwoven Material Consumption, CAGR ................. 192 III-93 Building Construction - Roofing Nonwoven Material Consumption .............. 196 III-94 Building Construction - Underlayment Nonwoven Material Consumption ... 199 III-95 Building Construction - Other Materials Nonwoven Material Consumption . 201 III-96 Geosynthetics Nonwoven Material Consumption, 2013 ............................... 203 III-97 Geosynthetics Nonwoven Material Consumption, CAGR .............................. 204 III-98 Geosynthetics – Civil Engineering Nonwoven Material Consumption, 2013..................................................................................... 205 III-99 Geosynthetics – Civil Engineering Nonwoven Material Consumption, CAGR ................................................................................... 213 III-100 Geosynthetics – Agriculture Nonwoven Material Consumption, 2013 .......... 215 III-101 Geosynthetics – Agriculture Nonwoven Material Consumption, CAGR ......... 217 III-102 Home and Office Furnishings Nonwoven Material Consumption, 2013 ........ 220 III-103 Home and Office Furnishings Nonwoven Material Consumption, CAGR ...... 221 III-104 Home and Office Furnishings - Floor Coverings Nonwoven Material Consumption, 2013 ....................................................................... 222 III-105 Home and Office Furnishings - Floor Coverings Nonwoven Material Consumption, CAGR ..................................................................... 225 III-106 Home and Office Furnishings - Bedding Nonwoven Material Consumption, 2013..................................................................................... 227 III-107 Home and Office Furnishings – Bedding Nonwoven Material Consumption, CAGR ..................................................................... 228 January 2015 Page 6 North American Nonwovens Industry Outlook, 2013-2018 An INDA Report III-108 Home and Office Furnishings - Upholstered Furniture Nonwoven Material Consumption ................................................................................. 231 III-109 Home and Office Furnishings - Other Furnishings Nonwoven Material Consumption, 2013 ....................................................................... 232 III-110 Home and Office Furnishings - Other Furnishings Nonwoven Material Consumption, CAGR ..................................................................... 234 III-111 Transportation Nonwoven Material Consumption, 2013 .............................. 237 III-112 Transportation Nonwoven Material Consumption, CAGR............................. 238 III-113 North American Vehicle Sales ...................................................................... 240 III-114 United States Automotive Snapshot ............................................................ 242 III-115 Transportation - Passenger Car and Light Truck/SUV/ Van Nonwoven Material Consumption ......................................................... 246 III-116 Transportation - Other Modes Nonwoven Material Consumption ................. 250 III-117 Apparel Nonwoven Material Consumption ................................................... 253 III-118 Other Disposable Applications Material Consumption ................................. 258 IV North American Nonwoven Supply IV-1 Capacity by Process..................................................................................... 259 IV-2 Capacity by Region ...................................................................................... 259 IV-3 North American Capacity ............................................................................ 260 IV-4 Capacity by Detailed Process ....................................................................... 262 IV-5 North American Capacity by Detailed Process ............................................. 263 IV-6 North American Capacity, Production and Operating Rate 2008 and 2013 ............................................................................................ 264 IV-7 North American Capacity, Production and Operating Rate 2008, 2013, 2018 ........................................................................................ 265 IV-8 U.S. Nonwoven Roll Goods Imports and Exports 1989–201 ......................... 266 January 2015 Page 7 North American Nonwovens Industry Outlook, 2013-2018 An INDA Report IV-9 U.S. Nonwoven Roll Goods Exports by Destination 2003–2013 ................... 267 IV-10 U.S. Nonwoven Roll Goods Exports to Mexico by Weight 2003–2013 ........... 268 IV-11 U.S. Nonwoven Roll Goods Exports to Canada by Weight 2003–2013 .......... 268 IV-12 U.S. Nonwoven Roll Goods Imports by Origin 2003–2013 ............................ 269 IV-13 U.S. Nonwoven Roll Goods Imports from Mexico by Weight 2003–2013 ....... 270 IV-14 U.S. Nonwoven Roll Goods Imports from Canada by Weight 2003–2013 ...... 270 IV-15 U.S. Nonwoven Roll Goods Exports by Region Destination 2003–2013 ........ 271 IV-16 U.S. Nonwoven Roll Goods Exports by Overseas Country Destination ......... 273 IV-17 U.S. Nonwoven Roll Goods Imports by Region of Origin 2003–2013............. 274 IV-18 U.S. Nonwoven Roll Goods Imports by Overseas Country of Origin .............. 276 IV-19 U.S. Nonwoven Roll Goods Imports from China by Weight 2003–2013 ........ 277 IV-20 2013 United States Nonwoven Rolled Goods Trade Flow.............................. 278 January 2015 Page 8 North American Nonwovens Industry Outlook, 2013-2018 An INDA Report LIST OF TABLES II Macro-Drivers and Industry Assumptions II-1 Annual Growth of Real GDP in North America by Country .............................. 14 III North American Nonwoven Demand III-1 North III-2 North American Disposable Nonwoven Markets Sales/Units ..................................................................................................... 43 III-3 North American Disposable Nonwoven Markets SQM/Tonnage ....................... 46 III-4 North American Absorbent Hygiene Market Sales/Units .................................. 53 III-5 Diaper Changes per Day by Age....................................................................... 58 III-6 North American Disposable Diaper and Training Pant American Nonwoven Market 39 ............................................................................................................. Market Profile Annual Growth Rates .............................................................. 59 III-7 Absorbent Hygiene Diaper and Training Pant Market Sales/Units ................... 59 III-8 Absorbent Hygiene Consumer Incontinence Market......................................... 68 III-9 Absorbent Hygiene Consumer Feminine Hygiene Market Sales/Units ............. 72 III-10 Institutional Absorbent Hygiene Market Sales/Units ..................................................................................................... 77 III-11 North American Disposable Wipes Market ....................................................... 82 III-12 North American Disposable Consumer Wipes Market Sales/Units................... 85 III-13 North American Disposable Baby Wipes Market Sales/Units ........................... 89 III-14 North American Disposable Household Wipes Market Sales/Units .................. 91 III-15 North American Disposable Personal Care Wipes Market Sales/Units ............. 97 III-16 North American Disposable Industrial/Institutional Wipes Market Sales/Units ............................................................................. 104 III-17 North American Disposable Specialty Industrial Wipes Market Sales/Units ................................................................................................... 110 III-18 North American Disposable Healthcare/Medical Wipes Market Sales/Units .. 116 January 2015 Page 9 North American Nonwovens Industry Outlook, 2013-2018 An INDA Report III-19 North American Filtration Market .................................................................. 122 III-20 North American Air Filtration Market Sales/Units ......................................... 126 III-21 North American Transportation Air Filtration Market Sales/Units ................. 130 III-22 North American Commercial HVAC Air Filtration Market Sales/Units ........... 132 III-23 North American Residential HVAC Air Filtration Market Sales/Units ............ 134 III-24 North American Personal Protection Air Filtration Market ............................. 136 III-25 North American Industrial Air Filtration Market Sales/Units......................... 138 III-26 North American Vacuum Cleaner Air Filtration Market Sales/Units .............. 140 III-27 North American Liquid Filtration Market ....................................................... 142 III-28 United States and Canada Healthcare Facility Usage .................................... 152 III-29 North American Disposable Medical/Surgical Market Sales/Units ................ 155 III-30 North American Surgical Packs and Gowns Market Sales/Units ................... 159 III-31 North American Medical and Surgical Other Apparel Market Sales/Units ..... 161 III-32 North American Medical and Surgical Sterile Packaging and Sterilization Wrap Market Sales/Units .......................................................... 163 III-33 North American Medical Surgical Wound Care Market Sales/Units ............... 166 III-34 North American Disposable Personal Protective Equipment Market Sales/Units ....................................................................................... 169 III-35 North American Other Disposable Applications Market Sales/Units .............. 173 III-36 North American Durable Nonwoven Markets ................................................. 176 III-37 North American Building Construction Market .............................................. 193 III-38 North American Building Construction – Roofing Market............................... 194 III-39 North American Building Construction – Underlayment Market .................... 198 III-40 North American Building Construction – Other Materials Market .................. 200 III-41 North American Geosynthetic Market SQM/Tonnage .................................... 203 III-42 North American Geosynthetic – Civil Engineering Market SQM/Tonnage ...... 214 III-43 North American Geosynthetic – Agriculture Market SQM/Tonnage................ 217 III-44 North American Home and Office Furnishings Market SQM/Tonnage ........... 219 III-45 North American Home and Office Furnishings – Floor Coverings Market SQM/Tonnage ................................................................................... 224 III-46 North American Mattress and Foundation Consumption Units...................... 226 January 2015 Page 10 North American Nonwovens Industry Outlook, 2013-2018 An INDA Report III-47 North American Home and Office Furnishings – Bedding Market SQM/Tonnage ..................................................................... 229 III-48 North American Home and Office Furnishings – Upholstered Furniture Market SQM/Tonnage ................................................................... 230 III-49 North American Home and Office Furnishings – Other Furnishings Market SQM/Tonnage ............................................................... 233 III-50 North American Transportation Market SQM/Tonnage ................................. 238 III-51 North American Automotive Market SQM/Tonnage ....................................... 247 III-52 North American Other Transportation Market SQM/Tonnage ........................ 249 III-53 North American Apparel Market .................................................................... 254 III-54 North American Other Disposables Applications Market................................ 255 IV North American Nonwoven Supply IV-1 North American Capacity CAGR by Process ................................................... 261 IV-2 North American Capacity, Production, and U.S. GDP .................................... 264 IV-3 Top 10 Overseas Importing Countries Comparison 2003 to 2013 .................. 275 January 2015 Page 11