Econ 302 Assignment 7 — Solution 1. Part (i): Suppose that the principal offers a flat wage of w. The first best problem is: max 0.2 × 1000000 − w subject to: (w)1/3 − 10 ≥ 10 w Clearly, the constraint binds at the optimum: w = (20)3 = $8000. By offering this wage the principal gets 200000 − 8000 = $192000 > 0. So the principal hires the salesman without moral hazard. Suppose that the principal offers a wage of w1 if the sale is successful, and a wage of w0 if the sale is not successful. The second best problem is: max 0.2 × (1000000 − w1 ) + 0.8(−w0 ) subject to: 0.2(w1 )1/3 + 0.8(w0 )1/3 − 10 ≥ (w0 )1/3 w1 ,w0 0.2(w1 )1/3 + 0.8(w0 )1/3 − 10 ≥ 10 The two constraints bind at the optimum, which gives two equations: 0.2(w1 )1/3 + 0.8(w0 )1/3 − 10 = (w0 )1/3 0.2(w1 )1/3 + 0.8(w0 )1/3 − 10 = 10 Solving these two equations gives (w1 )1/3 = 60, (w0 )1/3 = 10, or equivalently, w1 = $216000, w0 = $1000. By offering these wages, the principal gets 0.2 × (1000000 − 216000) + 0.8 × (−1000) = $156000 > 0. So the principal hires the salesman given moral hazard. Part (ii): Suppose that the principal offers a flat wage of w. The first best problem is: 1 max 0.1 × 1000000 − w subject to: (w)1/3 − 10 ≥ 10 w Clearly, the constraint binds at the optimum: w = (20)3 = $8000. By offering this wage the principal gets 100000 − 8000 = $92000 > 0. So the principal hires the salesman without moral hazard. Suppose that the principal offers a wage of w1 if the sale is successful, and a wage of w0 if the sale is not successful. The second best problem is: max 0.1 × (1000000 − w1 ) + 0.9(−w0 ) subject to: 0.1(w1 )1/3 + 0.9(w0 )1/3 − 10 ≥ (w0 )1/3 w1 ,w0 0.1(w1 )1/3 + 0.9(w0 )1/3 − 10 ≥ 10 The two constraints bind at the optimum, which gives two equations: 0.1(w1 )1/3 + 0.9(w0 )1/3 − 10 = (w0 )1/3 0.1(w1 )1/3 + 0.9(w0 )1/3 − 10 = 10 Solving these two equations gives (w1 )1/3 = 110, (w0 )1/3 = 10, or equivalently, w1 = $1331000, w0 = $1000. By offering these wages, the principal gets 0.1 × (1000000 − 1331000) + 0.9 × (−1000) = −$34000 < 0. So the principal does not hire the salesman given moral hazard. 2. Part i: Suppose everyone observes the quality of each car. 1. For sales of excellent cars to be feasible, we must have cE ≤ vE , and the feasible price range for an excellent car is from cE to vE . 2. For sales of good cars to be feasible, we must have cG ≤ vG , and the feasible price range for a good car is from cG to vG . 2 3. For sales of bad cars to be feasible, we must have cB ≤ vB , and the feasible price range for a bad car is from cB to vB . Part ii: Suppose no one observes car quality. For car sales to be feasible, we must have (cE + cG + cB )/3 ≤ (vE + vG + vB )/3, and the feasible price range for a car is from (cE + cG + cB )/3 to (vE + vG + vB )/3. Part iii: Suppose only sellers know the quality of each car. 1. For the sales of excellent cars to be feasible, we must have cE ≤ (vE + vG + vB )/3, and the feasible price range for an excellent car is from cE to (vE + vG + vB )/3. Notice that when the sales of excellent cars are feasible, the sales of good and bad cars are also feasible because cB < cG < cE . 2. For the sales of good cars to be feasible, either the sales of all cars are feasible (cE ≤ (vE + vG + vB )/3), or only the sales of good cars and bad cars are feasible and the excellent cars exit the market (cE > (vE + vG + vB )/3 and cG ≤ (vG + vB )/2). In the first case (when cE ≤ (vE + vG + vB )/3), the feasible price range for a good car is from cG to (vE + vG + vB )/3. In the second case (when cE > (vE + vG + vB )/3 and cG ≤ (vG + vB )/2), the feasible price range for a good car is from cG to (vG + vB )/2. 3. There are three cases when the sales of bad cars are feasible. First, when the sales of all cars are feasible (cE ≤ (vE + vG + vB )/3), the feasible price range for a bad car is from cB to (vE + vG + vB )/3. Second, when only the sales of good and bad cars are feasible (cE > (vE + vG + vB )/3 and cG ≤ (vG + vB )/2), the feasible price range for a bad car is from cB to (vG + vB )/2. And third, when only the sales of bad cars are feasible (cE > (vE + vG + vB )/3 and cG > (vG + vB )/2 and cB ≤ vB ), the feasible price range for a bad car is from cB to vB . 3. Part (i): see Figure 1. A perfect Bayesian equilibrium in pure strategy is: 1. Seller of good quality chooses G-Exit. 2. Seller of bad quality chooses B-2000. 3 Figure 1: problem 3 part i, seller proposes. 3. Buyer chooses (9K-No, 6K-No, 2K-Yes). 4. Buyer believes that P(G | 9K) ≤ 6/7, P(G | 6K) ≤ 3/7, and P(G | 2K) can be anything. (Show steps that lead to this equilibrium.) Part (ii): see Figure 2. The subgame perfect equilibrium in pure strategy is: 1. Seller of good quality chooses (G-9-Y, G-6-N, G-2-N). 2. Seller of bad quality chooses (B-9-Y, B-6-Y, B-2-Y). 3. Buyer chooses 2000. 4. Since an unskilled worker mixes between acquiring an education (with probability q) and acquiring no education (with probability 1 − q), we must have w1 − k = w0 . 4 Figure 2: problem 3 part ii, buyer proposes. But this means that w1 − c > w0 , which means that a skilled worker acquires an education (with probability 1). Thus, we have w0 = µ(s = 1 | e = 0) = 0. Moreover, w1 = µ(s = 1 | e = 1) = Thus, p . (1 − p)q + p p − k = 0, (1 − p)q + p i.e., p = k(1 − p)q + kp, i.e., q= p(1 − k) . k(1 − p) We must have 0 < q < 1, i.e., p < k < 1. In summary, when p < k < 1, a semi-separating equilibrium exists in which the unskilled worker acquires education with probability p(1−k) (and not acquires education with probak(1−p) p(1−k) bility 1 − k(1−p) ), the skilled workers acquires education with probability 1, and the wages are w0 = 0, w1 = k. 5