Stagnation in student performance, can performance related pay be the solution? Danyun Zhou & Yanhan Cui (BSc. Economics 2013) Factandmotivation: Teachersface insufficient incentive toexerteffort In recent year, despite the high percentage of education spending in U.K., there has been stagnation in student performance measured both in standardised test scores and PISA test scores1. Such paradox boils down to the economic idea of moral hazard that teachers do not have enough incentive to exert efforts. In U.K. and many other OECD countries, teachers’ performance pay has been introduced as a potential solution. Teacher’seffectiveeffortimproves student performance Incentiveschemescanelicitmoreeffectiveeffortsfromteachers Incentiveschemescan improvestudentperformance Key question: CaninventiveschemessuchasPRP, improveteachers’effortineffectiveteaching? - The condition for introducing performance pay become - If the chosen level of t2 is large enough and/or the more stringent if two tasks are perfect substitutes (i.e., contribution of t2 to human capital is significant enough teacher can substitute coaching for effective teaching while to compensate for the loss of effective teaching, then keeping effort constant); performance pay should be introduced. - If coaching is more effective in improving test score (i.e., - The size of incentive should depend on how close g2>g1), teacher’s optimal choice is to put all effort in teachers’ performance reflect their contribution to coaching; students’ gain in human capital. - The overall effect of performance pay depends on the amount of effective teaching prior to the introduction of - Full incentive should be provided if p is a perfect measure of h (i.e., f1=g1and f2=g2), the further we are away from incentive and the technology of class room introduction (i.e., this condition, the more coaching will likely to be induced. the values of f1 and f2); Whatcanwelearnfromthemodel? - Substitutabilitymatters - Suppose t1 to be effective teaching and t2 to be coaching; - If effective teaching and coaching are not perfect substitutes, the condition for introducing performance pay (i.e., b>0) is weak: as long as one contributes to both h and p, the other task contributes to either or both, and neither task reduces h or p.); Effectiveness of PRP system: Problems with PRP system: PRP in EnglandandWales1999Initially positive effects on • Progression to the Upper Scale Performance Threshold system student performance were Annualextra bonusof £2000until retirement Upper Pay Scale with performance -related pay Thresholdtest observed, approximate 40% of Value added grade per child for eligible teacher. The evolution of students’• standardised test scores (Fig. 3) suggested these effects had diminished in later years. √ Teachersattoppointcan applytopassthe Performancethreshold became ‘automatic’ in later years, and reduced incentives within the Main scale. The programme has awarded a very high proportion of applications (97%), and transferred the incentive scheme into an unconditional pay rise for all eligible teachers. • The guidelines for execution of the programme were too complicated. Majority of teachers found that the policies in terms of performance measure and reward design were difficult to understand. MainPayScale Fig. 1 Teachers’remunerationsystemin Similarities to PRP in U.K.: • The system is applied to national level; Sweden1996• Local accountability is guaranteed. Target sample size: across all regions and Differences to PRP in U.K.: municipalities in Sweden. • The fixed ladders within teachers’ progression were abandoned; Reward design and performance measure: • Completely individual-based incentives • Ladders for progression remained in both Main and Upper Pay Scale in U.K. with no fixed ladder for teachers’ Implications on U.K.’s PRP reform: progression; • Highly decentralised system with local • Assign local accountability to school’s management level in terms of teacher’s accountability. performance maximisation. Results: • Each municipality developed its own • Include more direct measurement of student performance and progress in criteria for the performance evaluation; teachers’ appraisals. • Unclear link between performance and pay; • Provide relevant trainings to improve • Teachers reported negative impacts to evaluator’s assessment ability. their working environment; • Impose upper limits on the monetary • No improvements in Sweden’s PISA test value of incentive to avoid budgetary scores. concerns. What can we learn from other PRP schemes? CareerLadderEvaluationSystemin Similarities to PRP in U.K.: Tennessee,U.S.1985-1989 Scaled payment structure in which teachers apply for pay Targetsamplesize:79schoolsstatewide l l progression on an optional basis; Performance was assessed by principals against authorityapproved standards. Differences to PRP in U.K.: • Greater emphasis on teachers’ professional development • Teacher performance measurement is subjective in all components; (Atkinsonetal,2004,2009,MarsdenandBelfield,2007); • Trainings are provided to evaluators who need to pass tests beforehand and are subject to follow-up reliability checks. Results: • Large increases in mathematics scores; • No impact on reading scores. Implications: • Provision of compulsory training and follow-up reliability check for evaluator to ensure the quality of decisionmaking; • Incorporation of financial incentive with non-financial incentive (professional recognition) to reinforce teacher’s response. ComparisonandConclusions IsraelExperimentin2000-2001 Target sample size: 49 schools with matriculation rate ≤ 45%; Results: • Significant improvement in Math and English test scores from enhanced teaching methods; • No evidence found for score manipulation; • Students with weak performance prior to the programme achieved higher improvement. Differences to PRP (1999-) • Short-term experiment lasted only for one year; • Use student performance as the only measure of teacher performance; • Rewarded relative performance instead of absolute performance improvement; • Rewards are given in the form of one-off cash bonus. Implications: • Simplify performance measurement and increase the weight of objective measure to induce stronger responses by teachers; • Introduction of tournament among teachers to avoid a general pay rise and also reduce the scope of collusion and corruption. The effectiveness of PRP depends on : Suggestions for potential PRP reform in U.K. 1. Simplicity in the incentive design. Despite the variations in scheme design, the PRP was most effective in the case where reward and performance measurement was simple and straightforward; • Simplify performance criteria and the methods of assessment. Enable better understanding and induce stronger responses by teachers; 2. The degree of school’s autonomy. Local accountability improves efficiency of resources. But, decentralisation should be incorporated with government guidance for effective incentives; *Complexity: number of components in the performance measure ** Size of financial incentive: annual bonus valued in dollars *** Non-financial incentive: whether a payment scale is included and the extent to which it is used as a professional recognition. **** School Autonomy: Flexibility of incentive design at school level Similarities to PRP (1999-) • Student outcomes are (completely or partly) based on nation-wide exam graded by external independent examiners. 3. Non-financial incentives. The combination of financial and nonfinancial incentives reinforce teachers’ efforts. They also can mitigate deviations from effective teaching, as suggested by the multitasking model; 4. The extent of negative impacts. There are possibilities that teachers respond strategically by shifting efforts from effective teaching to other behaviours (e.g., cheating, teaching to test). However, such evidence was rarely found or examined in these studies. • Empower school with greater autonomy. Allow for more flexible criteria setting to meet local needs with authority guidance to avoid a complete decentralisation as in the case of Sweden; • Extend pure payment scale to a ‘career ladder’. as in the case of Tennessee to integrate non-financial incentives with financial incentives and therefore induce more effort and reduce distortion on behaviours; • Introduce fixed budget for rewards at school level. Place a limit on the number of teacher receiving reward; • Introduce relative performance pay. Enable faster pay progression for teachers with higher rankings; • Provide trainings and follow-up checks for reliability. Ensure the quality of principal’s judgment on subjective performance measure and prevent corruption if the extra costs associated are bearable; Ingeneral,despitetheheterogeneityinincentivedesign, rewards,measurementandcountry-specificcharacteristics, • Extend the pay progression to all teachers within Main Pay Scale. Abolish incremental progression by seniority and allow for progression weshouldhavesufficientevidencetobelievethereareat at various speed to avoid a general pay rise for all teachers. leastnon-negativeneteffectsofPRPonstudentperformance. Reference: 1: The ProgrammeforInternationalStudentAssessment (PISA)isaninternationaleducationstudylooking attheknowledgeandskills ofa15-year-oldstudentsinMathematics,ReadingandScience.Sincetheassessmentisnotdirectlylinkedtoanynationalcurriculum,it iswidely accepted asafairmeasureofhumancapital. 2. Figure explained and data source: Fig.1 Diminishing improvement in U.K.’s student performance from 2003-2014. Source: DofE gov.uk. 3.Papers: Multitaskingmodel:‘Theoptimaldesignofperformancepayineducation’;Neal2011 U.K. PRP (Atkinsonetal,2004,2009,MarsdenandBelfield,2007); Case1:“CareerLadderEvaluationSystem”inTennessee,U.S.(‘Doesmeritpayrewardgoodteachers?Evidencefromarandomizedexperiment’DeeandKeys2004) Case2:Randomised ExperimentinIsrael(‘Performance PayandTeacher’seffort,productivityand GradingEthics’Lavy 2009) Case3:Teachers’remunerationsysteminSweden(‘OECDReviewsofEvaluation andAssessmentinEducation SWEDEN’Nusche,Halász,Looney, Santiago andShewbridge,2011 TeacherPolicyReformsinSweden: TheCaseofIndividualised Pay’ Strath,2004)