Politicized Public Values: Mapping Value Convergence between the US Stem Cell Research and Abortion Popular Debates Alecia Rae Radatz, M.A. Research and Evaluation Specialist Center for Applied Behavioral Health Policy Arizona State University (602) 496-1345 alecia.radatz@asu.edu Erik Fisher, Ph.D. Assistant Director of International Activities Consortium for Science, Policy & Outcomes School of Government, Politics and Global Studies and CSPO Arizona State University (480) 965-9744 efisher1@asu.edu Politicized Public Values: Mapping Value Convergence between the US Stem Cell Research and Abortion Popular Debates Alecia Radatz and Erik Fisher Arizona State University Introduction The ability to accurately and comprehensively discern public values in a given science policy arena is crucial not only for designing programs and evaluating their outcomes, but also for assessing program capacities to achieve their stipulated non-economic public values (Bozeman & Sarewitz 2011). Public Value Mapping (PVM) is a maturing research program that aims to provide sure footing for each of these pragmatic yet potentially controversial objectives. The PVM program has to date developed a theoretical framework (Bozeman 2002, 2007; Bozeman & Sarewitz 2005), qualitative research methods, and a range of case studies that include several areas of science policy (e.g., Feeney & Bozeman 2007, Maricle 2011, Meyer 2011). It has also recently begun to supplement the case study approach with more quantitative methods for eliciting and analyzing a broad range of values across numerous stakeholders and extended time frames (Fisher et al. 2010). This paper continues to develop this approach by investigating its applicability to public science policy debates as they play out in mainstream news media, across diverse stakeholders and multiple interrelated policy arenas. It uses electronic content analysis to investigate underlying value structures in the stem cell research debate, and in the co-occurring abortion debate, as expressed in popular US newspaper articles during the administrations of W.J. Clinton and G.W. Bush. Accordingly, we examine over 3000 popular news media articles across well over a decade of debates in the United States about abortion and stem cell research in order to discern underlying value structures that are hypothesized to cut across both of these politicized and interacting policy arenas. In testing the applicability of quantitative PVM approaches both within and across wide-ranging and fluctuating popular discourses, we also test the scholarly claim that the abortion and stem cell policy arenas were inter-related. Quantitative PVM PVM methods have recently begun to expand, supplementing the case study approach with larger data sets and quantitative approaches. Fisher et al. (2010) analyzed over 1000 documents drawn from eight years of US nanotechnology (NANO) policy research and development (R&D) authorization, allocation and implementation efforts. They hypothesized that “the content of these…documents will reveal diverse public values, ordered in ways across the three levels of stakeholder subgroups that will be interpretable and theoretically meaningful” (ibid.). After extracting 84 search terms from the source material, they performed content analysis and principle component factor analysis of NANO-relevant congressional reports, National Science Foundation research allocations, and the abstracts of NSF-funded laboratory research projects. They found conceptually coherent and policy relevant “underlying value structures” that cut across these various stakeholder groups from 2000 to 2008. Specifically, they found that “public value articulations cluster into three major structures, each of which contain dual subclusters: Society and Economy, Security and Defense, and Energy and Environment” (Fisher et al. 2010). For instance, Security and Defense emerged as a factor structure that was comprised of the significantly co-referenced value terms “defense,” “military,” “DOD,” “weapon,” “armed forces,” and “soldier.” They conclude that the approach yields interpretable and theoretically meaningful value structures that emerge from a diverse set of documents produced across a multi-level network of research policy subgroups. It thus offers a basis for credible and potentially robust public value mapping of science and innovation policy. Three underlying factors reflect distinctive value themes that are evident elsewhere in related science policy discourse and that are found through alternative scholarly methods. This provides confirmatory evidence of the centrality of the emergent value structures (Fisher et al. 2010). This expanded analytic capacity allows the PVM research community to take into account a greater variety of policy actors and stakeholders. This has practical applications for policy makers and public administrators since underlying value structures can be used as credible baselines for policy planning, implementation and evaluation. Thus, it is desirable to continue to develop and refine the approach, in part to clarify the capacities and limitations of more quantitative approaches to public value domains. This budding analytical capacity also raises questions about how it is to approach a number of topics connected to the broad-based elicitation of public values. These topics include the breadth of stakeholder diversity and data sources that can be made sense of analytically. For instance, can popular debates—which are arguably less reliable sources for public values (Bozeman & Sarewitz 2011)—nevertheless produce stable and informative value discourses? Or is quantitative PVM only able to discover centrally important value structures from official policy documents and discourses? And given that popular debates may involve value conflicts, can PVM elicit clear and credible intelligence from sources rife with conflicting values and value attributions? Research Design In an attempt to further probe and develop the scholarly and practical utility of mapping public values over time across a range of stakeholders, we explore two general questions: (1) How well does the general approach transfer into wider domains (stakeholders, data sources, policy issue arenas), and (2) What can it reveal about the compositional nature of the underlying structures? To address the question of transferability, we explore the scope of applicability of quantitative PVM (qPVM) with respect to two dimensions: (1a) a wider diversity of stakeholder groups as represented in the popular press; and (1b) a multiplicity of issue areas, specifically abortion (ABORTION) and stem cell research (STEM). To address the question of composition, we explore qPVM’s ability to identify (2a) expected conflicts among values, due to polarized political debates; and (2b) expected fluctuations in value expressions over time, presumably in relation to political events. Transferability of the approach Fisher et al. (2010) demonstrate the feasibility of identifying underlying value structures common to multiple stakeholder groups in the policy process—Congress, the National Science Foundation, and federally funded laboratories—within nanotechnology research (NANO). Despite obvious organizational and cultural differences, these groups nevertheless share relatively stable institutional boundaries and take part in regularized informational flows. Can qPVM discern underlying value structures from sources that presumably cut across even more institutionally and culturally diverse stakeholder groups—such as might eventually be drawn from civil society, state and local government, or even the private sector? To investigate this question, we choose an entirely different data source whose content is thought to be more representative of diverse stakeholder discourses and more responsive to short term events: mainstream news media outlets. We examine popular news media sources in order to determine whether any emergent factor groups that are discernable also appear to correspond to meaningful underlying value structures as they do in NANO. The two separate policy arenas of ABORTION and STEM provide a means of testing the qPVM approach and our use of it for consistency, since we expect it to produce similar results in distinct issue areas. Specifically, we expect that, despite the differences in data sources, we will nevertheless find diverse factors or “factor groups” to emerge from within the separate policy arenas of ABORTION and STEM discussions. More importantly, we expect that the factor groups that do emerge are also conceptually coherent and relevant enough so as to constitute “underlying value structures” that credibly describe the policy discourse in question (see Hypothesis 1).1 Convergence and Composition of Value Structures We are also interested in what quantitative approaches to PVM can reveal about the meaning, reliability and composition of the underlying structures that we expect to find. What does qPVM capture and how can we better understand it? What might it fail to capture? Specifically, does it reveal anything about the complex, even conflicting relationships among public values that might exist within public policy deliberations? To investigate these questions, we determine whether discernable value structures can be identified not only within, but also across, the two policy arenas ABORTION and STEM that the scholarly literature claims to be interlinked. If they are interlinked because they involve or have come to involve similar value conflicts and political polarizations (as we show in the next section), we expect to find evidence of this in the form of convergence between ABORTION and STEM factor groups (see Hypothesis 2). We also investigate the potential convergence of ABORTION and STEM values over time, and in the process we explore the general composition of value structures over time. Do the components of the convergent value structures fluctuate over time in similar ways? Are the most prominent value terms also consistently prominent over time? We generate longitudinal “value maps” to look for convergence over time between ABORTION and STEM factor groups (see Hypothesis 3). Case Study Stem cell research represents a science policy that can be said to have entered the public sphere, in that it has been exposed to conflicting stakeholder values, and undergone policy cycle 1 We are aware that core public values are more durable than individual preferences and popular opinions, which can shift with events. Still, we are interested in to what extent more popular sources of discourse relate to public values, both in content and in structure. changing events as a result. Indeed, Fischbach (2004) notes the importance of this dynamic policy by claiming, “Few subjects in biomedical science have captured the imagination of both the scientific community as has the use of stem cells for the repair of damaged tissues” (Fischbach 2004, 1364). The purpose of this research is to identify and explore the public values associated by the mass media with stem cell research and abortion to understand this interest. Our hypotheses articulate potentially valuable areas for knowledge expansion within the stem cell research policy arena and public value mapping methodology. Our literature review and pilot study identified that the history of stem cell research is contentious and divisive, while finding evidence for diverse, coherent values. Background The history of stem cell research reveals a consistently active policy arena since the 1970s when embryos became available for experimentation in the United States. In 1975, an Ethics Advisory Board (EAB) was needed for approval for human embryo research federal funding. The EAB charter expired in 1980, but the law was never repealed that required EAB support for federal funding approval for human embryo research. The Republican Party was pervasive in the 1980’s political scene, and “by linking abortion with stem cell research, the anti-abortion lobby successfully placed a twenty-year moratorium on the use of federal funds for stem cell research” (Belew 2004, 506). By the 1990’s, political attention turned toward stem cell research and the policy landscape went into in constant fluctuation. President Clinton’s terms of office saw a variety of political decisions. In 1993, Congress passed the National Institutes of Health Revitalization Act under President Clinton’s stewardship. This act abolished the Ethical Advisory Board approval requirement for human embryo research, ending the twenty-year moratorium on federal funding for stem cell research. In 1995, President Clinton signed into law the Dickey-Wicker Amendment, which prohibited the Department of Health and Human Services from using federal funds to support certain kinds of embryonic research. This amendment to the National Institute of Health stated, "...none of the funds appropriated shall be used to support any activity involving: 1) the creation of a human embryo or embryos for research purposes; or 2) research in which a human embryo or embryos are destroyed, discarded, or knowingly subjected to risk of injury or death greater than that allowed for research on fetuses in utero under 45 C.F.R 46.208(a)(2) and section 498(b) of the Public Health Service Act (42 USC 289g(b)" (Korobkin 2006, 3). President Clinton created the National Bioethics Advisory Committee (NBAC) in 1996. NBAC examined topics involving human subjects and human stem cell research. In 1999, NBAC recommended that research involving the derivation and use of residual cells from human embryos from infertility treatment should be eligible for federal funding. With President Clinton’s support, NIH accepted proposals for research involving human embryonic stem cells, as long as the federal funding did not involve the actual derivation of embryos into stem cell lines. Existing stem cell lines could be used and the federal funding could go to the research involving these lines (Belew 2004; Dolgin 2004; Korobkin 2006; Snead 2005). By the early 2000’s, the debate on stem cell research shifted to discussion on the use of existing stem cell lines and the destruction of human embryos. In 2001, President Bush brought stem cell research to the forefront of the nation’s policy agenda and media agenda (Brossard, Kroepsch, & Nisbet 2003). In 2001, President Bush allowed federal funds to be used for research on existing human embryonic stem cells, as long as the stem cell lines met the conditions of being derived before August 9th, 2001 and that they were created for reproduction, but were no longer viable. Both pro-life supporters and pro-stem cell research supporters met this with criticism. The decision restricted federal funding for stem cell research through limiting resources, but also condoned embryonic stem cell research by allowing the research. President Bush also signed the Fetus Farming Prohibition Act, outlawing the trafficking of human fetuses with the intention of aborting them for their parts, and vetoed a bill that would allow federal funding for the destruction of human embryos. President Bush proposed a bill that would give additional funding for stem cell research, with the condition that the stem cells not be embryonic. Shortly into President Obama’s term of office, the restriction on existing stem cell federal funding was removed to include newer stem cell lines already created; however, with the Dickey-Wicker Amendment still in place, new stem cell lines could not be created with federal funds (Belew 2004; Snead 2005). The history of stem cell research reveals its association with a variety of values besides traditional science and research values. A 2001 Pew Research Center Poll indicated that 32% of the public felt that preserving the potential life of embryos should take priority in stem cell research policy decisions and another 56% of the respondents were in favor of stem cell research to help with health-related cures (Okie 2006). In that same year, President George W. Bush invoked a similar assortment of values when remarking on why he vetoed his first bill, “This bill would support the taking of innocent human life in the hope of finding medical benefits for others” (Okie 2006). Science policy, as it seems to do in the case of stem cell research, can situate itself in a host of moral, fiscal, medical, and other personal values. Stem cell research transformed amongst other political discussions. What makes the topic of stem cell research so intriguing is that there is an entire body of knowledge that is interested in the relationship between stem cell research and abortion, as evidence by Hinkley (2011), Belew (2004), Davis (2002), and Janosky (2002). Some articles have more defined stances. After examining 30 years of US history, Wertz (2002) claims, “Stem cell research in the United States is inevitably connected with the politics of abortion” (Wertz 2002, 674). In 1973, Roe v. Wade’s Supreme Court decision ruled that abortion is a private matter. Wertz (2002) recounts the anti-abortion backlash, which spread to oppose embryonic research. With this anti-abortion outcry, a temporary moratorium was placed on stem cell research. The moratorium was continued because the Department of Health and Human Services ruled in favor of the three (out of eighteen members) on the Human Fetal Tissue Transplantation Research Panel that claimed embryonic research would increase abortions (Wertz 2002). Other notable abortion policies do not directly relate to stem cell research. In 1992, the Supreme Court ruled that states are allowed to enact laws about pre-abortion counseling, waiting periods, and other pre-abortion requirements, as long as such laws do not place an undue burden on women. President Bush signed the Partial-Birth Abortion Act of 2003, and stated that partial-birth abortion “is widely regarded within the medical profession as unnecessary, not only cruel to the child, but harmful to the mother, and a violation of medical ethics” (Blomquist). Although not all abortion policy is directly related to stem cell research, similar stakeholders may invoke similar values across policy arenas. Stem cell research and abortion historically activated similar political interests (Wertz 2002; Nisbet, Brossard, Kroepsch 2003; Nisbet 2005). These two policy arenas also seemed to invoke, “common themes from previous political controversies over abortion and fetal transplantation, with many of the same political interests again doing battle across a political minefield” (Brossard, Kroepsch, & Nisbet 2003, 45). Dolgin (2004) and Janosky (2002) cite common political themes across abortion and stem cell research, and Belew (2003), Nisbet (2003) and Sneed (2005) note that a variety of stem cell themes, such as morality, become apparent in President George W. Bush’s terms of office. Stem cell research appears to represent one way in which science policy can be politicized and reinterpreted through the course of its policy cycle. Brossard, Kroepsch, and Nisbet (2003) find that the “the timing of the stem cell controversy coincided with President Bush’s first six months of office, setting the stage for familiar themes revolving around the implementation of campaign promises to influential supporters, anticipation of the president’s first big political test in office, and the president grappling with moral dilemmas that accompany the burden of power” (Brossard, Kroepsch, & Nisbet 2003, 43). Based on our literature review, abortion and stem cell research were hypothesized to have converging values, both internally and longitudinally. Pilot Study We conducted a pilot factor analysis study using 598 newspaper articles, across two policy arenas and two time periods. One hundred and fifty articles were sampled on STEM and ABORTION for President W.J. Clinton and President G.W. Bush’s terms of office from major US publications. Two readers examined more than one hundred articles, and 52 value terms were extracted during this process. The entire sample was coded for these values and an exploratory factor analysis was conducted for factor groups. Separate factor groups were identified for ABORTION and for STEM representing the terms of office of President Bill Clinton and President George W. Bush. Results indicated similar value structures across all four divisions (Clinton/STEM, Clinton/ABORTION, Bush/STEM, Bush/ABORTION). For STEM, articles within President Clinton’s term had factors that describe life/morality and society/economy; articles within President G. W. Bush’s term had factors that described science, society/economy, medical advancement, safety, and life. For ABORTION, articles within President Clinton’s term had factors, which included society/safety, ethics/morality, society/institutions, business, funding, and research. Articles from the Bush timeframe generated abortion factor groups that described the economy, medical advancement, society, life/morality, and laws. Results revealed value structures with internal sub-structures. We surmised that these terms could represent a combined, relatively coherent narrative made up of conflicting values. The pilot study confirmed intuitions that ABORTION and STEM have similar value structures, but also demanded more rigorous methods to generate and interpret the statistical outputs. The methodology was significantly expanded—leading to the creation of a dataset consisting of over 3000 documents—both to better understand these initial statistical outputs and to explore the capacity of quantitative public value mapping. Methodology We collected a total of 3520 popular news articles spanning a 16-year period of analysis. Sources were extracted from LexisNexis Academic newspaper database, using the newspaper category “US Publications.” Articles in this category represented newspapers, newsletters, and magazine articles that reported on stories that originated in the US 60% of the time. A search query was conducted for each year between 01/20/1993 and 01/19/2009. To construct a longitudinal dataset, sixteen different search queries (one for each year) were conducted to find articles with the term ‘stem cell’ in body of the article. An additional sixteen search queries were conducted with the search term ‘abortion.’ Articles were not included if they were not specific to US policy, were not written in the US, or appeared to be a duplicate file. For each search query, the 110 ‘most relevant2’ articles were saved for analysis. Ten random articles from each year and category were removed from the sample and used to identify value terms. When broken down, the search process generated 320 articles for value term identification, and 3200 articles for a statistical value analysis. Over three hundred articles were used to identify value terms. Each of the randomly selected articles was visually inspected by a coder for value-laden statements. Value terms were extracted from each statement. A word qualified as a value term if it met two criteria: it was conceptually relevant to at least one of the ABORTION and STEM discussions, and it was discussed by the source in a way that indicated that it was a term that was assigned worth rather than being merely a descriptive term. One hundred and five (105) value terms were identified and used for statistical analysis (Appendix A, Table 1). The remaining 3200 articles were analyzed using NVivo coding software. Each value term was uploaded into the system, and initial search queries were run to identify the number of times each value term was mentioned in each article. Search queries were set to identify both the original term and stem words derived from each term3. After each value term query, articles were checked for proper value identification and consistency. Any improper value identifications were removed from the dataset. The dataset was then simplified to make the article the unit of analysis, with each article coded for each value term as either a “0” for no occurrence of the value term or a “1” for occurrence of the value term. After constructing the dataset, the data were analyzed in three waves through SPSS statistical software. The data were first explored by tracking the aggregate number of articles of each value term across the entire the dataset. For each value term, ABORTION and STEM aggregate values were plotted against one another to identify any value statement convergence. A factor analysis was conducted to identify any emergent value structures within the ABORTION and the STEM discussions, respectively, across each article. Inspired by Fisher et al. (2010), the factor analysis was used to engage in data reduction, understand latent or underlying themes, and quantitatively examine the prevalence and composition of public value discourse. 2 “Most Relevant” is a LexisNexis search function selected to ensure that the articles saved were focused on stem cell research or abortion. 3 For instance, both “fair” and “fairness” would be included in the search. An exploratory factor analysis highlighted a number of factor groups for consideration. Several checks were done to identify factorability of the dataset, which included analyzing the anti-image correlation matrix diagonals and measures of sampling adequacy (Kaiser-Myer-Olkin and Bartlett’s test of sphericity). Any terms that did not meet the factorability checks and did not have a communality extraction above 0.4 were removed from the sample. The exploratory factor analysis was conducted again with the removed terms. A varimax rotation with a Kaiser normalization was also applied to the analysis to maximize the sum of variance for the squared loadings to create economical factor structures that could explain possible latent concepts (Fisher et al. 2010; Bentler and Leeuw 2011; Schneeweiss and Mathes 1995). The results of an exploratory factor analysis should identify any value terms that have a tendency to coexist in each article, generating a “factor group.” A factor group was excluded for consideration if it did not meet two criteria: it must have more than one term loading at 0.4 or higher, and it must have an eigenvalue greater than 1.0. All groups that met these two criteria were included in this analysis to identify the amount of variance explained and to investigate the internal composition of each factor group, especially where a factor group seemed to lack an intuitively obvious conceptual basis that might be indicative of value conflict. Value maps were generated to further explore the meaning and reliability of the factor analyses. For our methodology, we use 16-year longitudinal value maps to explain and make sense of value structures. For these maps, all the value terms that had been retained in a factor group were graphically and longitudinally analyzed. Each graph contained the value terms extracted for the value structure and displayed aggregate data on the amount of articles referencing the key term each year. These value terms were longitudinally graphed for the 16-year time frame. When plotting the individual value terms of the factor groups internally against one another, we identified possible trends or areas of potential political interest. Results Our research sought out examine three hypotheses: Value structures will emerge within each of the separate abortion and stem cell research policy arenas; value structures will converge between the abortion and stem cell research policy arenas; and converging value structure components will fluctuate over time in similar ways. Confirmation of the hypotheses varied, but demonstrated a need for qPVM. The methodology provided findings that supported the ability to identify coherent value structures, identification of convergent values across policy arenas, and the ability to map values longitudinally. Value Structures The exploratory factor analyses identified a relatively large number of factors or “factor groups” for ABORTION (19) and for STEM (15). Most importantly, most (if not all) of these are found to be both conceptually coherent and relevant to the policy arena in question. Thus, we determined them to be indicative of underlying value structures within the separate ABORTION and STEM popular discourses, supporting H1. The nineteen (19) ABORTION factor groups explain 47.5% of the variance of value terms in ABORTION documents; and the fifteen (15) STEM factor groups identified account for 32.3% of variance in STEM documents (Table 1). Sixty-two (62) unique value terms were identified in the value structures, with over thirty (30) value terms registering on value structures in both policy arenas. Table 1 ABORTION and STEM Factor Groups ABORTION 1. STEM 1. Business, Product, Market, Security, Investment 2. Competence, Economy, Trust, Investment, Product, Leadership Roe v. Wade, Decisiveness, Justice 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. 16. 17. 18. 19. Training, Education Partnership, Flexibility, Contribution Fund, Support, Restriction Challenge, Judge Moral, Ethics, Respect Baby, Mother Doctor, Fetus Safety, Regulation Change, Traditionalism, Exploration Government, Control Perfection, Accomplishment Understanding, Spirituality Health, Professionalism Market, Independence Science, Responsibility Father, Family, Accountability Usefulness, Determination. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. 11. 12. 13. 14. 15. Fund, Ethics, Moral, Support, Government, Restriction Mother, Father, Baby, Family, Doctor Professionalism, Education Safety, Effectiveness Knowledge, Understanding Economy, Reputation, Justice Control, Change, Acceptance Judge, Decisiveness Rationality, Accountability, Independence Success, Uniqueness Accomplishment, Reliability Training, Faith Spirituality, Fairness Dignity, Flexibility Factor groups were determined to have conceptual coherence if all terms in the group contributed to an articulable theme; they were determined to have relevance if this theme in turn invoked identifiable themes from the policy arena discourse in question. While we found most if not all of the groups fit these two criteria, we here only focus on a subset of ten (10) that did so, for reasons that will be clear in the next section when we claim that this same subset confirms our second hypothesis. The ten factor groups that fulfilled the two criteria (conceptual coherence and policy relevance) were determined to constitute “underlying value structures.” Six (6) were found in ABORTION and four (4) in STEM. For example, ABORTION Factor 1, which we termed Investment, contains terms that all conceptually relate to the professional, commercial, or parental viability and utility of abortion service and product providers; separate searches in “Google News” confirmed that these three forms of investment are present and often linked together in mainstream news stories about abortion. STEM Factor 2, which we termed Governance + Ethics, includes the value terms “fund,” “ethics,” “moral,” “support,” “restriction,” and “government” (Table 1). Each of these terms conceptually relates to the governance of stem cell research, whether it is to fund or restrict that research, or they relate to the moral and ethical basis for such governance. Clearly this conceptual theme relates closely to that of “Ethical Governance of Stem Cell Research,” which is central to the discussions in the stem cell policy arena. Value Structure Convergence While no underlying value structures were absolutely identical in the abortion and stem cell research media discourses, the six ABORTION value structures are noticeably similar to the four STEM value structures, both because of their general conceptual integrity and because they share 2-3 identical value terms. Additionally, we find four factor “subclusters” in STEM that also exhibit the “underlying value structure” criteria.4 Counting each subcluster separately, we identify a total of six (6) coherent and relevant underlying value structures that are common to both ABORTION and STEM policy arenas, supporting H2. The six structures are termed Investment, Justice, Governance, Ethics, Maternity and Paternity. In ABORTION, each of these six structures appears as its own factor group. In STEM, two are combined into slightly more complex factor groups (Governance + Ethics; Maternity +Paternity)(Table 2). Table 2 Identified Value Structures Across ABORTION and STEM Documents VALUE STRUCTURES ABORTION STEM Investment Competence, Economy, Trust, Investment, Product, Leadership Business, Product, Market, Security, Investment Justice Roe v. Wade, Decisiveness, Justice Judge, Decisiveness Governance & Ethics Fund, Ethics, Moral, Support, Government, Restriction Governance Fund, Support, Restriction Ethics Moral, Respect, Ethics Maternity & Paternity Mother, Father, Baby, Family, Doctor Maternity Baby, Mother Paternity Father, Family, Accountability Value Structure Convergence over Time By plotting the aggregate number of sources for each year and for each value term within the six convergent underlying value structures, a visual “value map” is created that demonstrates how the value discussion pertaining to a given factor group changes over time. Of the six convergent value structures between ABORTION and STEM arenas, we found minimal concrete visual evidence that their value term components fluctuated in similar ways. This finding does not support H3, since we find inconsistent fluctuations across policy arenas. 4 The four are: Governance and Ethics (subclusters of Governance + Ethics), and Maternity and Paternity (subclusters of Maternity+Paternity). Note that Fisher et al. (2010) found subclusters within all of their factors. Discussion Using a quantitative PVM similar approach to that pioneered by Fisher et al. (2010), we sought to determine whether we could identify value structures within popular discourses in the ABORTION and STEM policy arenas. Next, we sought to determine whether we could identify value structure convergence between popular discourses in the ABORTION and STEM policy arenas. Finally, plotting the results over time, we sought to determine whether we could identify convergence over time between the popular discourses in ABORTION and STEM arenas. Value Structures We found coherent and relevant factor groups, determined to qualify as underlying value structures, within each of the ABORTION and STEM value discourses, as we had expected. However, compared to Fisher et al. (2010), which identified three factors or factor groups for NANO, we found considerably more factor groups. This could be attributed to the informal source type of newspaper documents, our methodological process, or the nature of the policy arena STEM and ABORTION. The NANO factor groups also generally contained more value terms than the factor groups we found in ABORTION and STEM; indeed, thirteen of the factor groups in ABORTION and nine factor groups in STEM had fewer than three value terms in the factor group. Source type may influence values terms and factor groups. These documents were taken from a random sample of all US newspaper, newsletter, and magazine publications and are likely to represent coherent and refined, albeit diverging stakeholder goals. This media analysis utilizes a variety of sources across time that may be influenced by transitory events or overall national mood shifts. Understanding that reporting events is at least a portion of media’s role, having 19 value structures over 16 years that explain less than 50% of the variance is plausible. The ABORTION and STEM policy arenas may also appeal to a variety of values and employ diverse narratives from a variety of stakeholders and political interests, regardless of source type. We investigate Hypothesis 2 in order to confirm the scholarly claim that ABORTION and STEM politics were interrelated, and our results confirm this claim. The emergent value structures, while conceptually coherent, were nevertheless found to contain internally conflicting values (Appendix B). This can be explained in differing ways. For instance, STEM value structure Governance + Ethics (Factor 2 in Table 1) contains both the terms “support” and “restriction.” While these two terms are both in the overall conceptual domain of research policy and governance, they suggest opposing governance objectives. This is, as we would expect, from a polarized political debate about how and whether or not to fund embryonic stem cell research. We believe that these conflicting values within coherent value structures are indicative of the way in which media sources are composed: they describe events and attempt to discuss conflicting viewpoints (Shah, Lee, & McLeod 2008). In polarized political debates, we expect to find evidence of conflicting values; yet in qPVM, we also expect to find value coherent structures. How should we think about the tension between conflict and convergence? We tentatively conceptualize news media structurally coherent handling of value conflicts in terms of “value frames.” A frame is “a particular logic or organizing principle with which a given policy conflict is described in media reports, suggesting particular themes, interpretations, and terms by which such conflict should be understood” (Shah, Lee, and McLeod 2008, 696). In that we find evidence for both coherence and conflict, we suggest that media stories speak to multiple and polarized groups, and that the stories attempt to construct coherent narratives that nonetheless contain differing viewpoints and hence, oftentimes, conflicting terms. Value Structure Convergence As we expected based on the STEM literature and our pilot study, we found that some of the conceptually consistent and relevant value structures that were identified using factor analysis also converge. This is not surprising in that that the two policy arenas were perceived as interconnected. Specifically, we found evidence of this interconnectness in the convergence of six underlying value structures: Investment, Justice, Governance, Ethics, Maternity, and Paternity. These converging structures are unevenly distributed across the formal factor groups. Fisher et al. (2010) found subclusters within factor groups. We find this in two ABORTION cases of Governance and Ethics and Maternity and Paternity, but we also found that these STEM counterparts to these two value substructures each comprise its own individual factor. These convergences may suggest that similar stakeholders or interests may be involved in these policy arenas. These values may also suggest that general public values are consistently referenced in popular news media. To understand these value structures, a longitudinal value map must be created to understand if these values respond in similar and consistent ways over time. Value Structure Convergence over Time We did not find clear patterns in the frequency distribution of the components of those structures to. In other words, although ABORTION and STEM may organize their value structures in similar ways, they may not be invoked or responded to similarly. Although longitudinal value map findings do not support H3, since we find inconsistent fluctuations across policy arenas, several observations are potentially of interest. These “longitudinal value maps” demonstrate substantial variation over time in the frequency of grouped value terms for each policy arena (Appendix C). These value structure plots demonstrate interesting temporal findings, especially in the STEM media discourse. In the STEM Investment factor, there is a steady decline in the factor group until its value terms reached a low in 2001. There was a steady rise again in 2001, with a particular increase in 2008. In the complex value structure Governance and Ethics of STEM, the value terms generally increased since 2001. In the STEM complex value structure Maternity and Paternity, there was a general decrease in the value structure key terms after 1999. Furthermore, there is a sudden substantial increase in 2001 in the ABORTION Justice value structure. By historically attempting to understand these shifts, we can explore the meaning of these factor groups. Other observations from the longitudinal value maps include noting that “science” is more consistently employed as a value term in STEM discussions than in ABORTION, with the smallest difference being approximately a 400% discrepancy. In our sample, no more than 5% of the ABORTION articles each year referenced the value term “ethics,” whereas “ethics” was employed in over 50% of the articles in one year (2007) for STEM. After 2000, “ethics” was referenced in less than 20% of the STEM articles. Value terms such as “respect” and “practicality” were referenced in similar ways throughout the two policy media arenas. These results suggest that longitudinal plots may help identify value term discrepancies over time between policy arenas. As expected, several of the temporal fluctuations in the value maps do appear to correspond to salient events in US electoral politics. Furthermore, the STEM longitudinal value maps revealed some potential value trends and interesting historical time points. Brossard, Kroepsch, and Nisbet (2003), Cohen (2004), Korobkin (2006) identify a historical shift in the stem cell research debate, where policy advocates were discussing government restricting funding for unethical research. Although policy was in place for restriction of embryo research, President Bush pushed the matter to the top of the media agenda in 2001, and steadily continued his focus on STEM through supporting and vetoing bills, while also issuing presidential statements on his position. Broad Quantitative PVM Findings By mapping the value terms that registered in factor structures longitudinally, our results suggest several important findings. Our results indicate that value structures are not necessarily comprised of the most prevalently used value terms. Although the ABORTION value structure Investment accounts for the most amount of variance in the dataset, the highest number of articles referencing an Investment value term in a year is 7. The STEM Investment value structure, however, hovers at its lowest years around 15, with its highest number of references at 70 in 1993. Also, value structures do not necessarily posses value terms that respond similarly over time or are referenced at equal levels. Even though value terms register in a factor group, one value term may be referenced less than another. For instance, in the ABORTION value structure Governance, key terms “fund” and “restriction” are referenced almost half as much as the term “support.” This may imply that not all value terms were captured, or that some terms may be a component a larger value discussion. Finally, we suggest that longitudinal analysis is potentially informative of quantitative public value mapping. Regardless of source type, it is important to analyze whether the values elicited are a product of temporal influences, such as events or political stewardship. Quantitative PVM can help situate policy reception and feedback effects historically. From a political science perspective, we suggest that quantitative PVM can be applied and used as a systematic tool to understand public values in policy programs, values in wedge issues, and campaign values. We suggest it can be used to identify how discourse changes within a policy arena, and to help anticipate how discourse could change in the future. Conclusion Based on our literature review, abortion and stem cell research were hypothesized to have similar or converging values. Using quantitative PVM methods similar approach to those pioneered by Fisher et al. (2010), and based on an earlier pilot study, we sought to determine whether we could identify value structures within as well as across popular news media articles from the abortion and stem cell research policy arenas. We analyze over 3000 documents and confirm two of our three hypotheses. The results confirm that quantitative PVM may be used to elucidate coherent value structures both within and across diverse public policy arenas as they play out in popular debates. They also indicate that such value structures are potentially ambiguous and may “contain multitudes.” This in turn suggests that coherent value structures may nevertheless contain conflicting values and therefore may be indicative of broader value frames that contain competing value narratives. These findings provide further evidence of the ability of this expanded analytical capacity to provide credible intelligence to decision makers that can inform the design, implementation and evaluation of public programs. They also provide evidence of quantitative PVM’s ability to discern coherent value structures even in the midst of wideranging, shifting and contentious popular debates. WORKS CITED Belew, K. L. (2004). 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Acceptance Accessibility Accomplishment Accountability Accuracy Achievement Adaptability Advancement Approval Availability Awareness Baby Business Capability Carefulness Certainty Challenge Change Commitment Community Compassion Competence Consistency Contribution Control Cooperation Courage Creativity Credibility Decisiveness Determination Dignity Discovery Discretion Doctor 36. 37. 38. 39. 40. 41. 42. 43. 44. 45. 46. 47. 48. 49. 50. 51. 52. 53. 54. 55. 56. 57. 58. 59. 60. 61. 62. 63. 64. 65. 66. 67. 68. 69. 70. Economy Education Effectiveness Ethics Experience Exploration Fairness Faith Family Father Fetus Fidelity Flexibility Freedom Fund Government Growth Health Honesty Independence Integrity Intellect Investment Judge Justice Knowledge Leadership Legal Logic Market Moral Mother Partnership Perfection Persistence 71. Persuasive 72. Pluripotent 73. Practicality 74. Privacy 75. Product 76. Professionalism 77. Rationality 78. Regulation 79. Reliability 80. Reputation 81. Resolution 82. Resourcefulness 83. Respect 84. Responsibility 85. Restriction 86. Roe v. Wade 87. Safety 88. Science 89. Scientist 90. Security 91. Solidarity 92. Spirituality 93. Success 94. Support 95. Synergy 96. Teamwork 97. Testing 98. Traditionalism 99. Training 100. Trust 101. Understanding 102. Uniqueness 103. Usefulness 104. Virtue 105. Wealth Appendix B: Factor Loadings for the Exploratory Factor Analysis Appendix B, Table 1 Abortion Factor Group Loadings Factor Group Component Number 1 Competence 0.66 Economy 0.63 Trust 0.56 Investment 0.53 Product 0.47 Leadership 0.43 2 Roe v. Wade 0.80 Decisiveness 0.74 Justice 0.45 3 Training 0.64 Education 0.54 4 Partnership 0.66 Flexibility 0.63 Contribution 0.42 5 Fund 0.66 Support 0.57 Restriction 0.44 6 Challenge 0.74 Judge 0.54 7 Moral 0.65 Ethics 0.65 Respect 0.43 8 Baby 0.68 Mother 0.68 9 10 11 12 14 16 17 19 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 Doctor 0.70 Fetus 0.55 Safety 0.75 Regulation 0.67 Change 0.59 Traditionalism 0.44 Exploration 0.43 Government 0.59 Control 0.59 Perfection 0.66 Accomplishment 0.64 Understanding 0.69 Spirituality 0.50 Health 0.63 Professionalism 0.54 Market 0.73 Independence 0.42 Science 0.70 Responsibility 0.48 Father 0.52 Family 0.46 Accountability 0.43 Usefulness 0.79 Determination 0.41 Appendix B, Table 2 STEM Factor Group Loadings Factor Group Component Number 1 Business 0.657 Product 0.637 Market 0.618 Security 0.61 Investment 2 3 0.631 Ethics 0.599 Moral 0.54 Support 0.489 Government 0.431 Restriction 0.424 Mother 0.697 Father 0.619 Baby 0.595 Family 0.56 Doctor 0.467 Education 5 6 7 0.509 Fund Professionalism 4 0.627 0.58 Safety 0.703 Effectiveness 0.438 Knowledge 0.636 Understanding 0.512 Economy 0.652 Reputation 0.562 8 9 10 12 14 15 24 30 31 Justice 0.459 Control 0.592 Change 0.475 Acceptance 0.431 Judge 0.671 Decisiveness 0.558 Rationality 0.694 Accountability 0.498 Independence 0.415 Success 0.644 Uniqueness 0.569 Accomplishment 0.679 Reliability 0.546 Training 0.661 Faith 0.404 Spirituality 0.738 Fairness 0.467 Dignity 0.719 Flexibility 0.495 APPENDIX C: Longitudinal Value Mapping Plots