C:\ Program Files\ CRHM\ QdroD QdfoD Qdro Qdfo SunMax global CalcHr Qsi calcsun hru_t hru_rh hru ea hru_ea hru_u hru_p hru_rain hru_snow hru_SunAct hru_tmax hru_tmin hru_tmean hru_eamean hru_umean hru_rhmean hru_newsnow t rh ea u p ppt Qsi Qso Qn Qln SunAct form_data obs net_rain net_snow intc p_evap intc p net cum_net netall Rn Qg Qs net_rn hru_ev ap transp_on evap The Cold Regions g Hydrological y g Model: A Simulation Platform for Physically Based Hydrology pb Objective To develop a hydrological cycle simulation system that: is distributed such that the water balance for selected surface areas can be computed; iis sensitive iti to t the th impacts i t off land l d use and d climate li t change; does not require the presence of a stream in each land unit; is flexible: can be compiled in various forms for specific ifi needs; d is suitable for testing individual process algorithms. DOES NOT REQUIRE CALIBRATION! H d l i lR Hydrological Response U Units it Sequential HRU – landscape connectivity HRU 1 HRU 2 HRU 3 outlfow Grouped HRU – must drain to stream Building g Physically-based, y y Distributed Hydrological Models A HRU has 3 groups of attributes biophysical structure - soils, vegetation, slope, elevation area elevation, hydrological state – snow water equivalent, snow internal energy, intercepted snow load, soil il moisture, i t water t ttable bl hydrological flux - snow transport, sublimation, p , melt discharge, g , infiltration,, evaporation, drainage, runoff Building g Physically-based, y y Distributed Hydrological Models Cold Regions Hydrological Model uses a library of physically-based hydrological and energy balance process modules; handles the following aspects of the modelling process: data pre-processing, module and model building, results analysis is easy to use: employs a Windows environment with p pull-down menus. Cold Regions g Hydrological y g Model DATA COMPONENT Preparation of spatial and meteorological data. Spatial p data ((e.g. g basin area,, elevation,, cover type) yp ) is analyzed using a Geographic Information System (GIS) interface that assists the user in basin delineation, characterization and parameterization of Hydrological Response Units (HRU). (HRU) Time-series meteorological data include air temperature, humidity, wind speed, precipitation and radiation. Adjustments for elevation (lapse rate), snowfall versus rainfall, interpolation between input observations ( (stations) ) Unit conversions to consistent SI units Cold Regions Hydrological Model MODEL COMPONENT Utilizes Windows-based series of pull-down menus li k d to linked t the th system t features. f t Modules, or process algorithms, are selected from the library and grouped together by the CRHM processor. Modules have a set order of execution with a common set of variables and parameters. Modules are created in C++ programming language. Macro modules can be created from within the model using a simple macro language. language Groups and Structures to Adapt to Real B i H Basin Hydrology d l Group. A collection of modules executed in sequence for all HRUs. HRUs collection of modules which can be used in place of specifying the individual modules. if g groups p are defined with same modules,, then can execute modules in parallel using different parameters or driving observations. If groups are defined as different ‘models’, it is possible to execute the models in parallel using identical parameters and driving observations to check different responses. Structure. A parallel collection of modules or Group assigned g to an HRU and run in sequence. q Comparison of algorithms Customization of model to HRU characteristics - diverse sets modules to be representative of the HRU and basin. D namic structural Dynamic str ct ral change due d e to e excess cess water ater or lack of itit. Groups A collection of modules executed in sequence for all HRUs. module Define group: Model incorporation: module module Group Group ‘A’ Module n Module i Group ‘B’ B’ Groups Group application: 1. If groups are defined with the same modules, it is possible to execute the models in parallel using different parameters or driving observations. 2. If groups are defined as different modules, it is possible to execute the models in parallel using id ti l parameters identical t and d driving d i i observations b ti to t check different responses. Groups E.g. estimate subsub-canopy SWE for forests of differing leafleaf-area area--index Structures Running g similar modules in p parallel e.g. snowmelt observation ebsm output snobal output msm output t t Structures Structure application pp : 1. Algorithm comparison. Intercomparison of algorithms with similar driving data and parameters 2. Mixed Land Use in Basin. Permits differing model structure for differing HRU (e.g. forest versus farmland 3. Dynamical Structural Change. Permits change in model structure in response to changing hydrological state (e.g. change grassland to a slough when leaving a drought). The decision about which module to use would be made by a preceding module based upon the availability of moisture moisture. Cold Regions Hydrological Model ANALYSIS COMPONENT Used to display, analyze and export results (Excel, ASCII). ) Statistical and graphical tools are used to analyze model performance, allowing for decisions to be made on the b t modelling best d lli approach. h Sensitivity-analysis tools are provided to optimize selected model p parameters and evaluate the effects of model parameters on simulation results. Mapping tools use ArcGIS files to map ouputs for geographical visualization. visualization CRHM Module Development DATA ASSIMILATION Data from multiple sites Interpolation to the HRUs PROCESSES SPATIAL PARAMETERS Basin and HRU parameters are set. (area, latitude, elevation, ground slope, aspect) Infiltration into soils (frozen and unfrozen) Snowmelt (prairie & forest) Radiation – level, slopes Evapotranspiration Snow transport Interception (snow & rain) S Sublimation (dynamic ( & static)) Soil moisture balance Sub-surface runoff Routing (hillslope & channel) Advection 2007 Modules Snobal-- layered physically based snow energy balance Snobal model ((Marks et al. 1998)) – unique q linkage g to PBSM Trees-- new forest energy and mass balance module. Trees Short and longwave radiation transfer Snow interception, sublimation, unloading Rainfall interception, p , drip, p, evaporation p Sub Sub--canopy turbulent transfer parameterisation Wamsley WindWind- wind speed correction for topography Evap - greater variety of evaporation models. Penman Penman-Monteith,, Bulk Transfer Monteith Trees ees Basic model schematic Effect of forest cover on snow accumulation and melt SnowMIP2 runs: Alptal, Switzerland: 2002--03 2002 open site forest site 2003--04 2003 CRHM Test - Yukon Modular structure HRU based INF = 5 ⋅ (1 − θp ) ⋅ SWE 0.584 INF = C ⋅ S 2.92 0 ⋅ (1 − S I ) 1.64 ⎛ 273.15 − TI ⎞ ⋅⎜ ⎟ ⎝ 273.15 ⎠ −0.45 ⋅ t0 0.44 M d lli A Modelling Approach h Aggregated vs. Distributed Basin Areal SWE NF, SF, and VB 2002 2003 180 250 160 Obs SWE Aggregated Distributed 120 200 SWE E [mm] SWE E [mm] 140 100 80 Obs SWE Aggregated Distributed 150 100 60 40 50 20 0 4/17/02 4/24/02 0 5/1/02 5/8/02 5/15/02 5/22/02 5/29/02 Time [days] 6/5/02 4/17/03 4/26/03 5/05/03 5/14/03 Time [days] 5/23/03 6/01/03 Basin discharge 2002 2003 1.0 Obs Aggregated Distributed 0.4 Q [m3/s] Q [m3/s] 0.8 0.5 0.6 04 0.4 Obs Aggregated Distributed 0.3 02 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 5/01/02 5/09/02 5/17/02 5/25/02 6/02/02 6/10/02 0.0 4/17/03 4/26/03 5/05/03 5/14/03 5/23/03 6/01/03 Time [days] Time [days] Conclusions Process algorithms can form the basis for physicallybased hydrological model structure and parameter selection Flexible model structure and physically based components t can lead l d tto appropriate i t and d robust b t hydrological simulation Errors in simulation identifyy g gaps p in understanding g of processes, structure or parameters A process based modular model is able to simulate key components of the cold regions hydrological cycle from an understanding of principles, and without calibration of parameters except for routing Modular models are relatively simple to update as our science advances.