Exploring p g Hydrologic y g Similarity y in the Marmot Creek Basin By: Ken Snelgrove and Yanhzen Ou Memorial University of Newfoundland For: IP3 Third Annual Workshop Whitehorse, Yukon November 12-15, 2008 http//www.geography.ryerson.ca/wayne/thesis.htm Outline Marmot Creek Review of Last Years Presentation New Data Sources and the need for Hydrologic Similarity Topographic Index Calculation Evaporative Resistance Simulations using CLASS Potential Evapotranspiration Estimation using Penman-Monteith TOPMODEL Simulation and Genetic Algorithm Calibration Relations between Static Similarity Measures land cover vs. topographic index Future Work Marmot Creek Basin Located at latitude 50°57’N and longitude 115°10’W About 110km southwest of Calgary Marmot Creek Basin Total area : 9.5km2 Elevation: 1585-2805m, the mean value is 2112m, the difference of elevation is 1220m Marmot Creek Basin Three sub-basins: Twin Creek Middle Creek C bi C Cabin Creek k Marmot Creek Basin F Forest t Cover: C 60% Soil types: Brunisolic Grey Wooded Soils, podzolic soils, regosolic soils, alpine black soils, local gleysolic and organic soils (Stevenson (Stevenson, 1967(thesis)) Climate Characteristic: Mean annual precipitation—1080mm Average July temperature— 2 to 18°C Average January temperature — -6 to -18°C Streamflow Characteristic: Groundwater is the main source In midsummer, midsummer 70% derived from snow melting Mean Annual Runoff = 425 mm Data Collection Topographic Data Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) data– 90m Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) data – 1m Meteorological Data Hay Meadow Station Vista View Station 1437 Last Year in Re Review ie TOPMODEL P y Continuity: dS = 0 ((Steadyy Assumption) p ) d dt AR − Q = 0 I−O= Q = AR R c Q β Darcy’s Law: dh dx q(Dc) = K(Dc)tan(β ) Q = Tc tan(β ) q=K Transmissivity vs Depth To Problems: Precipitation Uniform I t t Instantaneous Redistribution R di t ib ti T = Toe−(s / m ) D s - soil moisture deficit T Last Year in Re Review ie AR = Q = Tc tan(β ) AR = Toe−( s / m ) c tan(β ) Ra = e−(s / m ) To tan(β ) a= ⎡ ⎛ R⎞ ⎛ a ⎞⎤ s = −m⎢ln⎜ ⎟ + ln⎜ ⎟⎥ T ( β ) tan( ⎝ ⎠⎦ ⎝ ⎠ ⎣ o ⎡ ⎛ R⎞ ⎤ s = −m⎢ln⎜ ⎟ + λ⎥ ⎣ ⎝ To ⎠ ⎦ A c flow accumulation ⎛ a ⎞ ln⎜ ⎟ - Topographic Index ⎝ tan((β ) ⎠ Simple Algebra λ - Average Topographic Index ⎡ ⎛ a ⎞ ⎤ si − s = −m⎢ln⎜ ⎟ − λ⎥ β ) tan( ⎝ ⎠i ⎣ ⎦ known from DEM TOPMODEL Linear Redistribution Equation ☺ Last Year in Re Review ie Topographic Index Distribution 0.14 Hydrologic Similarity via Slope Position 0.12 0.1 Moisture Distribution via Average Storage 0.08 0.06 Measurable Parameters [To, m, ln(a/tan(β))] 0.04 0.02 0 Group 1 Group 2 Group 3 Group 4 Topographic Index Topographic Index Marmot Creek Need For Hydrologic H drologic Similarity Similarit How will we summarize and utilize all the spatial data? 4 m Land Cover 1 m Topography Topographic Index What is topographic index? ln(a/tanβ) a is specific contributing area D8 tanβis ground surface slope Flo routing Flow ro ting algorithms Single flow direction algorithm(D8) Biflow direction algorithm g ((D∞)) D∞ Topographic Index Results 1-m DEM 90-m DEM D8 D∞ Topographic Index Results D8 The discrepancy of 1-meter resolution is obvious 90-meter 0.25 Relative freq quency No big difference between 90-meter resolution DEM 1-meter 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.00 -3 -1 1 3 5 Variable SFD BFD 0.20 0.00 8 10 12 14 17 19 21 23 4 6 8 10 12 14 Topographic Index Topographic p g p Index 1.2 1 .0 1 V a r ia b le SFD BFD 0 .8 0.8 1m/SFD 0.6 1m/BFD 04 0.4 0.2 CDF Frequency Distributions of ln(a/tanβ) D∞ 0 .6 0 .4 0 .2 0 -3 -1 1 3 5 8 10 12 14 17 19 21 23 Topographic Index 0 .0 2 4 6 8 10 12 T o p o g ra p h ic In d e x 14 16 Topographic Index Results Grid Size Algorithm g Variable Mean 90-meter D8 ln(a/tan β) 6.77 D D∞ l ( /t β) ln(a/tan 6 95 6.95 D8 ln(a/tan β) 3.05 D∞ ln(a/tan β) 4.50 1-meter D8 1-meter D∞ ln(a/tanβ) 90-meter DEM ln(a/tanβ) CLASS & Resistance Calcs What is CLASS? Canadian Land Surface Scheme is first developed in 1987 at the Meteorological Service What is the aim of CLASS To simulate the energy and water balances of vegetation, snow and soil Whatt is Wh i the th objective bj ti off CLASS simulation in this study? To simulate stomatal resistance and d aerodynamic d i resistance i t Schematic diagram of CLASS (from Verseghy, 2000) Stomatal Resistance Stomatal resistance is estimated as: r c,i = f 1(T air ) f 2(Δe) f 3(ψ s )r c,u ,i r c,u = r s,minκ e / ln[( K ↓ + K ↓1/ 2 / κ e) /( K ↓ exp(−κ eΛ) + K ↓1/ 2 / κ e)] = 250.0 T air ≥ 50°C , or , T air ≤ −5°C − 5°C < T air < 5°C = 1.0 /[1.0 − (5.0 − T air ) × 0.1] = 1.0 1 0 /[1.0 /[1 0 − (T air 40 0) × 0.1] 0 1] i − 40.0) f 2(Δe) = (Δe /10.0)cv 2 / cv1 40°C < T air i < 50°C cv1=cv2=1 Air Temperature, Tair (oC) Vapor pressure deficit, Δe (mb) cv 2 > 0 f(Δ Δe) cv 2 ≤ 0 f(ψ ψs) = 1/ exp(−cv1 Δe /10.0) f(Δe) 5°C ≤ T air ≤ 40°C f(Tair) f 1(T air ) = 1.0 f 3(ψ s ) = 1 + (ψ s / cψ 1)cψ 2 =1 For PET Calculation cψ1 =0.5, cψ2=0.5 Soil moisture suction, suction ψs (mb) cv1=1 cv2=-1 Vapor pressure deficit, deficit Δe (mb) Res lts Stomatal Resistance Results The estimate of stomatal resistance rc(s m m-1) 1600 1200 800 400 0 28-Oct Mean value is 267 s m-1 8-Oct Low in May-September, High in October 18-Sep Period from 9:00 a.m. to 5:30 p.m. 29-Aug 9-Aug 20-Jul 30-Jun 10-Jun 21-May 1-May 2007 (5.1-10.31) Aerodynamic Resistance What is aerodynamic resistance (ra)? The resistance encountered by fluxes of water vapor or heat or momentum along the path of transfer, which is from the source to a given reference air level above How does CLASS determine aerodynamic resistance? ra = 1 C Dva Where CD is the surface drag coefficient, and va is the wind speed Aerod namic Resistance (cont’d) Aerodynamic How to determine drag coefficient for heat and water vapour fluxes CD,E? C D ,E ⎡ ⎤⎡ ⎤ ⎢ ⎥⎢ ⎥ k k ⎥⎢ ⎥ Φ EΦ M =⎢ − − z z z z d ⎥⎢ d ⎥ ⎢ ln(( m ) ln(( m ) ⎢⎣ ⎥ ⎢ z 0, E ⎦ ⎣ z 0, M ⎥⎦ Where zm (m) is the reference height; zd (m) is the zero-plane displacement; k=0.04 k=0 04 is von Karman’s Karman s constant; z0,M 0 M (m) is the roughness length for momentum transfer; z0,E (m) is the roughness length for heat or vapor pressure transfer; ФM andФE are stability correction factors. Aerodynamic Resistance (cont’d) Is there another method to determine aerodynamic resistance? ⎡ z m− z d ⎤ )⎥ ⎢ ln( z0 ⎦ ⎣ r ah 0 = k 2v a 2 Is this method available under all the conditions? It is onlyy available under neutral condition. ФM = ФE =1 and z0,E = z0,M , these two methods are the same Aerodynamic Resistance Results The estimate of aerodynamic resistance 100 rah rah0 80 60 40 20 0 Period from 9:00 a.m. to 5:30 p.m. Mean valuMean value of rah is 20.52 s m-1 e of rah0 is 19.83 s m-1 Note: rc values average 270 s m-1 29/Oct 9/Oct 19/Sep 30/Aug 10/Aug 21/Jul 1/Jul 11/Jun 22/May 2/May 2007(5.1-10.31 Potential Evapotranspiration What is p potential evapotranspiration p p (PET)? ( ) PET expresses as the amount of water that could evaporate and transpire from a vegetated landscape without restrictions other than the atmospheric demand. How can we estimate PET? Lysimeters Eddy correlation Theoretical or empirical equation Multiplying standard pan evaporation data by a coefficient Which method do we use in this study? Penman-Monteith Equation Potential Evapotranspiration What is the Penman-Monteith Method? * e a = 0.611 ⋅ exp( 17.3 ⋅ T ) 37.3 T + 237.3 Δ ⋅ ( K + L ) + ρ a ⋅ c a ⋅ C at ⋅ e *a ⋅ (1 − W a ) PET = ρ w ⋅ λ v ⋅ [ Δ + γ ⋅ (1 + C a t / C can ) ] Δ= 2508.3 17.3 ⋅ T p( ) ⋅ exp( 2 T + 237.3 (T + 237.3) −3 λ v = 2.50 − 2.36 ×10 ⋅ T γ ≡ ca⋅P 0 .6 2 2 ⋅ λ C can = f s ⋅ LAI ⋅ C leaf v PET Results PET seasonal trends in 2007 PETe(mm day P y-1 ) 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Oct Highest g in July, y, lowest in October Sept Mean value is 10.52 mm day-1 Aug Jul Jun May 2007 ( 55 10) PET Res lts (cont’d) Results Aerodynamic resistance effect on PET 20 PET (mm da ay-1) PETe PETn 16 12 8 4 0 Sign test shows that PETe and PETn is not significant different PET is insensitive to aerodynamic resistance Mean value of rah is 20.52 s m-1 , the mean value of rc is 267s m-1 28-Oct 8-Oct 18-Sep 29-Aug 9-Aug 20-Jul 30-Jun 10-Jun 21-May 1-May 2007 (5 (5.1-10.31) 1 10 31) TOPMODEL What is TOPMODEL? A physically-based model based on the concept of variable source area Why we used TOPMODEL in this study? It can be used to predict streamflow, overland and subsurface flow, and soil moisture deficit with less parameters What is the objective for this study? To simulate runoff in the Marmot Creek catchment using TOPMODEL TOPMODEL (cont’d) How does TOPMODEL determine streamflow? ∑ ai p + ∑ ai si q streamflow= A A A −λ − + T 0e e s m where ai is specific area, p is precipitation, si is local soil moisture deficit, A is watershed area, T0 is saturated transmissivity, λ is the mean ln(a/tanβ) for the catchment, s is catchment-average saturation deficit, and m is parameter How does TOPMODEL determine soil moisture deficit (si)? s i = s + m[λ − ln( a )] tan β x TOPMODEL (cont’d) How many parameters involved in TOPMODEL? Parameter Name in theory Description Range SZM[m] m Transmissivity decay parameter 0.005-0.06 T0 [m2h-1] ln(T0) Effective lateral saturated transmissivity 0.1-8 TD [m h-1] td Unsaturated zone time delay 0.1-500 Channel velocity 100-10000 CHV [m h-1] CHV RV [m-2 h-1] RV Routing velocity 100-10000 SRMAX [m] SRmax Maximum allowable root zone storage 0.005-0.3 SR0[m] SR0 Initial root zone deficit 0.0-0.3 TOPMODEL (cont’d) How to calibrate the parameters? Genetic Algorithm How to evaluate the model efficiency? ) − ∑ (QOBS −Q QOBS i −QOBS Q Q QSIM i ) ∑ (Q m i EFF = 2 ∑ (QOBS i −QOBS m) 2 2 Where QOBSi is the observed streamflow streamflow, QSIMi is the simulated streamflow, and QOBSm is the mean of the observed streamflow. TOPMODEL Results The result of calibration Marmot Creek Basin (2007) 5.00E-05 Strreamflow (m/h) QSIM 4.00E-05 QOBS 3.00E-05 2.00E-05 1.00E-05 0.00E+00 The model efficiency value is 0.611 29-Octt Period of 20th August to 31st October in 2007 19-Octt 9-Oct 29-Sep p p 19-Sep 9-Sep 30-Aug g 20-Aug g 2007 (08.20-10.31) TOPMODEL Results (cont’d) Calibration results for 1-meter and 90-meter resolution DEM, DEM using D8 and D∞. 1 90 Flow SZM (m) T0 (m2h-1) SR0 (m) SRMAX (m) CHV (m h-1) RV (m-2h-1) Td (mh-1) EFF QSUB (%) D8 0.046 0.29 0.0015 0.0059 371.53 449.81 382.24 0.611 84.91 D∞ 0.046 0.29 0.0015 0.0059 371.53 449.81 382.24 0.583 86.4 D8 0 060 0.060 1 18 1.18 0 00006 0.00006 0 0060 0.0060 1725 00 1725.00 114 84 114.84 261 85 261.85 0 656 0.656 52 55 52.55 D∞ 0.060 1.18 0.00006 0.0060 1725.00 114.84 261.85 0.565 53.96 TOPMODEL Results (cont’d) The relation between soil moisture deficit(si) and t topographic hi index i d [ln(a/tanβ)] [l ( /t β)] on August 28th in 2007. Large value of ln(a/tanβ) indicates the locations within a watershed most likely to be saturated and produce overland flow Co er Classes Vs Topographic Inde Land Cover Index What are the procedures off land cover classification? f Images processing Calculation of vegetation index Land cover classification Which Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) is used in this study? ρ nir − ρ red NDVI = ρ nir + ρ red −1.0 ≤ NDVI ≤ 1.0 Where ρnir and ρred represent reflectance at the red and near infrared (NIR) wavelengths near-infrared wavelengths, respectively respectively. Land Cover Classes Vs Topographic Index How can we classify f the land cover? Using Decision tree approach Land d Cover C Classes Cl NDVI Rang R Snow or Water NDVI<0.1 Bare Ground 0.1≤ NDVI < 0.2 Grass 0.2≤ NDVI<0.3 Tree 0.3≤ NDVI <0.8 NDVI Calculation Results The results off NDVI calculation NDVI in this study area varies from -0.67 to 0.77, mean value is 0.29, in October 18th, 2003. 0.014 F requenc y 0.012 0.01 0.008 0.006 0.004 0.002 0 0.68 0.57 0.46 0.34 0.23 0.12 0.00 -0.11 -0.22 -0.33 -0.45 -0.56 -0.67 NDVI Co er Classification Res lts Land Cover Results The results off land cover classification f 0.6 52.7% F re q u e n c y 0.5 0.4 0.3 19.97% 0.2 11.21% 16.12% 0.1 0 1 2 3 Land Cover Classes 4 De eloping New Developing Ne Measures Meas res of Similarity Similarit NDVI - Land Cover Topographic Index - Terrain Future work Future Work Theme II - Parameterization Potential evapotranspiration estimates Topographic Index Calculation - scaling behavior Develop Similarity Estimates - terrain, topo, elevation, aspect Th Theme III - Prediction P di ti Implement TOPMODEL redistribution within CLASS Prediction of finer scale topography p g p y