SA-05-10.pdf

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NORTHEAST
GEORGIA
Cooperative Extension Service
District Profile
Prepared by:
The Center for Agribusiness
and Economic Development
The University of Georgia • Athens, GA
Total Population
Northeast CES District
1,545,443
2010 Trend CAED
1,386,891
2004 Est.
1,278,266
2000
1,010,783
1990
1980
862,605
1970
719,217
1960
630,408
589,074
1950
562,524
1940
536,523
1930
0
500000
Primary data sources: U.S. Census Bureau, decennial censuses &
estimate; CAED (Center for Agribusiness & Economic Development).
1000000
1500000
Total Population: 2004
Northwest
Avg Co 140,105
Total 5,464,110
Southwest
Avg Co 22,059
Total 882,367
Georgia
Avg Co 55,531
Total 8,829,383
1,896 – 10,000
10,000 – 20,000
20,000 – 50,000
50,000 – 100,000
100,000 – 814,438
Northeast
Avg Co 34,672
Total 1,386,891
Southeast
Avg Co 27,400
Total 1,096,015
Primary data source: U.S. Census Bureau
Population Change: 1930-2000
30
Percentage Change
25
20
15
10
5
0
1930-40
1940-50
1950-60
U.S.
Primary data source: U.S. Census Bureau
1960-70
Georgia
1970-80
1980-90
1990-2000
NE District
Northeast total change 1930-2004 = 158.5%
Population Change: 2000-2004
Northwest
Avg Co 10.0%
Total 9.2%
Southwest
Avg Co 1.4%
Total 3.3%
GA Avg Co 6.0%
GA Total 7.8%
US 4.3%
LOSS
0 – 4.3%
4.3 – 7.8%
7.8 – 15.7%
15.7 – 34%
Northeast
Avg Co 8.1%
Total 8.5%
Southeast
Avg Co 4.4%
Total 4.3%
Primary data source: U.S. Census Bureau
Until 1960, natural increase (an excess of births over
Components
of
Population
Change:
2000-2004
deaths) accounted for virtually all of Georgia's growth.
Natural to
Increase
Net Migration*
Georgia is expected
rank 4th&among
50 states in the
number of persons gained through net internal migration
during the 30-yr. period of 1995 and 2025.
Area
Numerical
Change
# Natural
Increase
(BirthsDeaths)
Rate of
Natural
Increase
# Net
Migration
Rate of
Net
Migration
NE Dist Avg Co
2,716
825
3.4
1,904
14.5
NW Dist Avg Co
11,818
5,536
7.0
6,267
14.6
SE Dist Avg Co
1,124
729
5.3
408
4.8
SW Dist Avg Co
702
512
3.7
148
-1.0
GA Avg Co
4,041
1,878
4.8
2,156
8.2
GEORGIA Total
642,567
298,562
8.3
342,818
9.5
US Total
12,230,802
6,901,163
5.6
5,329,639
4.4
Primary data source:
U. S. Census Bureau
* Numerical change includes “residual” not represented in either NI or NM.
Average annual estimates of annual rates per 1,000 population
Northeast District Population Composition by Age
100%
65 +
45-64
20-44
5-19
<5
6.0
15.3
34.4
33.4
7.7
16.2
33.3
30.7
Change in
proportion
1990-2000
9.3
10.5
12.2
13.4
13.3
18.9
20.3
19.4
20.0
24.1
29.1
31.7
30.3
30.3
34.9
37.4
35.0
26.2
22.3
21.2
-1.1
-0.5
12.2
11.0
8.7
7.2
7.0
6.5
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
Primary data source:
U.S. Census Bureau
+4.1
-2.4
10.9
0%
-0.1
2000 Median Age
Avg GA Co = 35.1 yrs Avg NE Dist Co = 37.0 yrs
GA = 33.4 yrs
US = 35.3 yrs
Number of Youth Ages 0-17: 2003
Northwest
Avg Co 36,736
Total 1,432,717
Southwest
Avg Co 5,884
Total 235,349
Georgia
Avg Co 14,445
Total 2,296,759
421 – 2,568
2,569 – 4,308
4,309 – 6,466
6,467 – 16,600
16,601 – 205,526
Northeast
Avg Co 8,522
Total 340,879
Southeast
Avg Co 7,195
Total 287,814
Primary data source: U.S. Census Bureau
Percentage of Youth Ages 0-17: 2003
Northwest
Avg Co 26.5%
Total 26.7%
17.0 – 24.1%
24.1 – 25.7%
25.7 – 26.7%
26.7 – 27.8%
27.8 – 36.1%
Northeast
Avg Co 24.1%
Total 25.0%
Southwest
Avg Co 26.4%
Total 26.9%
Georgia
Avg Co 25.9%
Total 26.4%
US = 25.1%
Southeast
Avg Co 26.8%
Total 26.7%
Primary data source: U.S. Census Bureau
Population by Race and Ethnicity: 2003
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
White
NE Dist Total
GA Avg Co
Primary data source: U.S. Census Bureau
Black
Hispanic
NE Dist Avg Co
US Total
GA Total
Persons of Hispanic Origin may be of any race
so are not included in the pie chart.
Percentage Black Population: 2003
Northwest
Avg Co 21.2%
Total 28.9%
0.3 – 10.4%
10.4 – 24.0%
24.0 – 30.0%
30.0 – 42.4%
42.4 – 77.6%
Northeast
Avg Co 20.1%
Total 20.6%
Southwest
Avg Co 39.1%
Total 37.3%
Georgia
Avg Co 27.5%
Total 28.7%
US 12.8%
Southeast
Avg Co 29.6%
Total 31.3%
Primary data source: U.S. Census Bureau
Percentage Hispanic Population: 2003
Northwest
Avg Co 5.0%
Total 7.5%
Southwest
Avg Co 3.7%
Total 3.5%
Georgia
Avg Co 3.9%
Total 6.2%
US 13.7%
0.5 – 1.3%
1.3 – 2.0%
2.0 – 3.1%
3.1 – 6.1%
6.1 – 24.7%
Northeast
Avg Co 3.1%
Total 5.3%
Southeast
Avg Co 3.9%
Total 3.3%
Primary data source: U.S. Census Bureau
Selected Vital Statistics
2003 Rates
13.0
14.0
15.6
Total births per 1,000 pop
37.4
Unwed per 100 total births
42.2
38.1
32.1
Teen pregnancy per 1,000
females age 10-19
36.5
35.1
9.9
9.7
Deaths per 1,000 pop
7.6
Induced terminations per
1,000 females age 15-44
Low birth weight per 100
births
Infant deaths per 1,000 births
10.7
9.1
16.8
8.6
9.2
8.8
9.2
9.7
8.8
NE Dist Avg Co
GA Avg Co
GA Total
10-yr. rates 1994-2003
2003 NE Dist Avg Co Natality Data
491 total births, 189 unwed births
93 induced terminations
85 teen pregnancies
42 low-birth-weight babies
2003 NE Dist Avg Co Mortality Data
298 total deaths
4 infant deaths
Primary data source: GA Dept. Public Health
Highest Level of Educational Attainment: 2000
5.8
5.1
Grad or Prof Degree
Bachelor's degree
8.3
9.3
8.9
16.0
4.2
4.3
5.2
Associate degree
17.4
17.6
Some college, no degree
20.4
HS Grad
28.7
17.8
18.4
9th-12th no diploma
NE Dist Avg Co
GA Avg Co
Georgia
13.8
10.5
10.9
< 9th grade
34.9
34.9
7.6
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Percent of Persons Age 25+
NE District Avg Co
Not completing HS = 28.4%
Primary data source:
With a bachelor’s + degree = 15.2%
35
40
U.S. Census Bureau
Selected Public School Statistics
School Year 2002-03
55.6
51.6
50.0
57.4
58.1
Teachers w/adv degrees
College prep certif
71.5
62.3
60.3
63.2
Class '03 Completion
49.1
Econ. disadvantaged
45.1
55.8
13.6
13.3
12.2
Students w/disab
4.2
4.4
4.1
Retained in grade
NE Dist Avg Co
GA Avg Co
Georgia
15.6
14.8
13.8
Absent >15 days
5.1
5.8
5.5
HS Dropout rate
0
10
20
Primary data sources: Governor’s Office of Student
Achievement, and GA Dept. of Education
30
40
50
Percentage
60
70
80
NE Dist Avg Co
Enrollment, K-12 = 5,620
H.S. dropouts, grades 9-12 = 90
Expenditures per pupil = $7,148
Educationally Disadvantaged Students in Public Schools
(qualify for free/reduced lunch): 2002-03
Northwest
Avg Co 43.7%
Total 39.8%
Southwest
Avg Co 67.7%
Total 59.9%
Georgia
Avg Co 55.8%
Total 45.1%
8.7 – 31.1%
31.1 – 47.0%
47.0 – 60.8%
60.8 – 75.4%
75.4 – 94.9%
Northeast
Avg Co 49.1%
Total 46.4%
Southeast
Avg Co 62.3%
Total 56.5%
Primary data source:
GA Governor’s Office of Student Achievement
Per Capita Income: 1998-2003
$35,000
$30,000
$25,000
$20,000
$15,000
$10,000
$5,000
$0
1998
1999
NE Dist Avg Co
2000
2001
GA Avg Co
2003 PCI
NE Dist Avg Co. = $23,496
GA Avg Co = $22,879
2002
Georgia
2003
U.S.
Georgia Total= $29,000
U.S. = $31,472
Primary data source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, 5/05
% Change in Per Capita Income: 1998-2003
8
Percentage
6
4
2
0
-2
1998-99
1999-2000
2000-01
NE Dist Avg Co
Primary data source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, 5/05
2001-02
Georgia
2002-03
U.S.
Per Capita Income: 2003
$15,327 - $22,878 (<GA Avg Co)
$22,879 - $24,999
$25,000 - $28,999 (<GA Total)
$29,000 - $31,472
$31,473 - $48,647 (>US Total)
Northwest
Avg Co $25,774
Total $32,279
Southwest
Avg Co $21,747
Total $22,938
Georgia
Avg Co $22,879
Total $29,000
US $31,472
Northeast
Avg Co $23,496
Total $24,473
Southeast
Avg Co $20,572
Total $23,370
Primary data source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 5/05
Median Household Income
2002 Model-Based Estimates
$42,409
US
$42,359
GEORGIA
GA Avg Co
$34,153
NE Dist Avg Co
$36,126
$42,696
NW Dist Avg Co
$29,730
SE Dist Avg Co
$28,273
SW Dist Avg Co
$0
$9,000
Primary data source: U. S. Census Bureau
$18,000
$27,000
$36,000
$45,000
Female/Male Head Families, No Husband/Wife
Present, w/Related Children <18: 2000
Northwest
Avg Co 15.3%
Total 17.0%
6.3 – 12.8%
12.8 – 15.4%
15.4 – 19.4%
19.4 – 22.1%
22.1 – 30.6%
Northeast
Avg Co 14.8%
Total 15.7%
Southwest
Avg Co 21.4%
Total 21.4%
Georgia
Avg Co 17.6%
Total 17.5%
US = 15.4%
Southeast
Avg Co 18.9%
Total 18.9%
Primary data source: U.S. Census Bureau
Georgia Families by Structure: 1980-2000
53.7
50.2
49.8
Families w/children
79.8
76.3
73.3
Husband-wife
42.3
37.7
34.7
Husband-wife-children
16.9
18.7
20.6
Fem Hd-No husband
1980
1990
2000
10.2
10.7
12.2
Fem Hd-No Husbandw/chilren
0
10
20
30
40
50
Total Families
1980 = 1,426,645
1990 = 1,713,072
2000 = 2,111,647
60
70
80
Percent of Total FAMILIES
Primary data source: U.S. Census Bureau
Housing, 1-Unit Detached: 2000
Northwest
Avg Co 69.3%
Total 65.5%
28.7 - 56.5%
56.5 – 60.6%
60.6 – 64.2%
64.2 – 70.7%
70.7 – 86.5%
Northeast
Avg Co 66.7%
Total 66.2%
Southwest
Avg Co 59.0%
Total 60.8%
Georgia
Avg Co 63.1%
Total 64.2%
US = 60.3%
Southeast
Avg Co 57.5%
Total 58.7%
Primary data source: U.S. Census Bureau
Persons Below Poverty Level: 2002 Model-Based Estimates
Poverty threshold for a family of four = $18,392
Northwest
Avg Co 12.5 %
Southwest
Avg Co 20.4%
Georgia
Avg Co 16.5%
Total 13.0%
US 12.1%
4.4 – 10.9%
10.9 – 15.3%
15.3 – 19.6%
19.6 – 23.3%
23.3 – 30.2%
Northeast
Avg Co 13.8%
Southeast
Avg Co 19.1 %
Primary data source: U.S. Census Bureau
Related Children Ages 0-17 Below Poverty
2002 Model-Based Estimates
5.4 – 12.3%
12.3 – 17.7%
17.7 – 23.3%
23.3 – 28.6%
28.6 – 38.5%
Northwest
Avg Co 16.8%
Southwest
Avg Co 27.4%
Georgia
Avg Co 22.1%
Total 17.8%
US 16.7%
Northeast
Avg Co 19.1%
Southeast
Avg Co 25.2%
Primary data source: U.S. Census Bureau
Unemployment Rates
Rate per 100 in Labor Force
8
NE Dist Avg Co
Georgia
U. S.
6
4
2
0
1994
GA = 4.6
1995
1996
1997
US = 5.5
Primary data source: GA Dept. of Labor
1998
1999
2000
2004 Rates
GA Avg Co = 5.0
2001
2002
2003
2004
NE Dist Avg Co = 4.6
Commuting to Work: 2000
Percentage of:
51.6
54.5
58.5
48.4
45.5
Avg
41.5
Residents working in
county
Residents working out
of county
33.6
33.1
Workers coming into
county
41.8
77.4
77.1
77.5
Residents driving to
work alone
16.6
16.8
14.5
Residents carpooling
Residents working at
home
NE Dist Co
Avg GA Co
GA Total
2.7
2.3
2.8
NE GA District Avg. Co.
Mean travel time to work = 27.8 min.
Ratio of IN to OUT = .7
NE District Totals:
Resident workers 16+ = 576,693
Residents working in county = 335,728
Residents working out of county = 240,965
Total working in county = 517,128
Workers commuting into counties from elsewhere = 181,400
Primary data source:
U.S. Census Bureau
Components of NE District Gross Property Tax Digests: 2003
Total of Gross County Digests (40% value) = $1,018,847,198
46.4
Residential
40.0
20.6
20.4
Ag/Pref/Environ
6.2
11.2
13.4
Commercial
23.2
Industrial
Utility
Motor Vehicle
Mobile Home
Timber
6.1
8.3
7.4
5.4
5.6
3.8
8.3
9.5
7.9
1.3
1.6
0.5
0.8
1.2
0.2
Primary data source: GA Dept. of Revenue
NE Dist Avg Co
Avg. GA Co.
GA Total
50.7
Number of Farms: 2002
Northwest
Avg. Co. 334
Total 13,032
16 – 200
201 – 400
401 – 600
601 – 800
801 – 975
Northeast
Avg. Co. 341
Total 13,627
Southwest
Avg. Co. 273
Total 10,913
Georgia 49,311
Avg GA Co. 310
US 2,128,982
US Avg. State 42,580
Southeast
Avg. Co. 293
Total 11,739
Primary data source: U.S. Census of Agriculture
% of Land in Cropland & Forestland
23.1 – 68.7%
68.7 – 77.5%
77.5 – 83.4%
83.4 – 87.0%
87.0 – 98.0%
Northwest
Avg Co 67.4%
Total 68.6%
Northeast
Avg Co 79.5%
Total 80.6%
Southwest
Avg Co 80.9%
Total 80.7%
Georgia
Avg Co 77.3%
Total 78.5%
Southeast
Avg. Co. 81.3%
Total 81.9%
Primary data sources:
U.S. Census of Agriculture, 2002
Forest Statistics for Georgia, 1997
% of Total Value by Commodity Group
Fruits &
Nuts
0.4%
Poultry &
Eggs
74.8%
Other
Income
1.3%
Forestry &
Products
3.3%
Top Ten Commodities
Rest of
% by Value
Ornamental
Horticulture
5.3%
Vegetables
0.6%
Row &
Livestock & Forage
Aquaculture Crops
12.3%
2.1%
2004 Total
Farm Gate Value
NE Dist = $3.64 billion
GA = $10.28 billion
Northeast CES
District
Commodities
9.5%
Broilers
64.2%
Greenhouse
1.6%
Breeder
Pullet Unit
2.2%
Container
Nursery
2.3%
Horses Boarding,
training,
breeding
2.4%
Layers-Table
egg
production Dairy Timber
3.1% 3.2%
3.1%
Primary data source: Center for Agribusiness & Economic Development, UGA
LayersHatching egg
5.1%
Beef Cows
3.3%
2004 Total Farm Gate Value
Georgia
Avg Co $64.7 million
Total $10.3 billion
Fruits &
Nuts
0.4%
Other
Income
1.3%
Forestry &
Products
3.3%
$0 - $20,000,000
$20,000,000 - $45,000,000
$45,000,000 - $80,000,000
$80,000,000 - $200,000,000
$200,000,000 - $325,000,000
Northeast
Avg Co $91 million
Total $3.6 billion
NE District Total Value
by Commodity Group
Ornamental
Horticulture
5.3%
Vegetables
0.6%
Row &
Livestock & Forage
Aquaculture Crops
12.3%
2.1%
Primary data source: Center for Agribusiness & Economic Development, UGA
Poultry &
Eggs
74.8%
2004 Grower Farm Gate Value
(Total Farm Gate Value minus broiler-integrator)
Georgia
Avg Co $40.9 million
Total $6.5 billion
Northeast
Avg Co $38.3 million
Total $1.5 billion
NE District Top Commodities
% of Total GROWER Value
Container
Layers-Table
Breeder
Nursery
egg
LayersPullet Unit
2.3%
Horses
production
Hatching egg
2.2%
Boarding,
3.1%
5.1% Timber
training,
Greenhouse
3.2% Dairy
breeding
1.6%
Beef Cows 3.1%
Hay
2.4%
3.3%
Broilers
1.4%
6.3%
Field Nursery
1.3%
$0 - $15,000,000
$15,000,000 - $30,000,000
$30,000,000 - $50,000,000
$50,000,000 - $90,000,000
$90,000,000 - $185,500,000
Rest of
commodities
62.6%
HorsesRaised
1.0%
Quail
0.6%
Beef
Stockers
0.6%
Primary data source: Center for Agribusiness & Economic Development, UGA
This study was developed
to assist community leadership
with their future planning
and decision making.
Special Area Report
# 05 -10
May, 2005
Prepared for the Northeast District
Georgia Cooperative Extension Service
by John McKissick and Susan R. Boatright
Center for Agribusiness and Economic Development
College of Agricultural and Environmental Sciences
The University of Georgia • Athens, GA
Georgia Cooperative Extension Service
706-542-0760 • 706-542-8938
www.caed.uga.edu AND www.georgiastats.uga.edu
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