Digital Lesson Linear Models and Scatter Plots A scatter plot represents data graphically using points plotted on a rectangular coordinate system. y Example: (x, y) (1, – 4) (2, – 2) 4 2 (3, – 1) x (4, 0) (5, 2) 2 4 6 –2 (6, 4) –4 Copyright © by Houghton Mifflin Company, Inc. All rights reserved. 2 Example: The average salary S (in millions of dollars) for professional baseball players from 1996 through 2002 is shown in the table. Let t = 6 represent the year 1996. Draw the scatter plot. Year 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Salary, S 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 Salary (in millions of dollars) S 2 1 t 4 8 Year (6 1996) Copyright © by Houghton Mifflin Company, Inc. All rights reserved. 3 Graphing Utility: Draw the scatter plot that describes the data. Year 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Salary, S 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 Stat Edit Menu: Stat Plot Menu: Zoom Menu: Copyright © by Houghton Mifflin Company, Inc. All rights reserved. 4 In a collection of ordered pairs (x, y), if y tends to increase as x increases, the collection has a positive correlation. If y tends to decrease as x increases, the collection has a negative correlation. y y y x x positive correlation negative correlation Copyright © by Houghton Mifflin Company, Inc. All rights reserved. no correlation x 5 Finding a linear model to represent the relationship described by a scatter pot is called fitting the line to data. Example: The table and scatter plot for the average salary S (in millions of dollars) for professional baseball players from 1996 through 2002 is shown. Let t = 6 represent the year 1996. Year Salary, S 1996 1.1 1997 1.3 1998 1.4 1999 1.6 2000 1.8 2001 2.1 2002 2.3 Copyright © by Houghton Mifflin Company, Inc. All rights reserved. 2 S 1 Find the equation of the line. 4 8 t Example continues. 6 Example continued: Year 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Salary, S 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 2 S (12, 2.3) 1 (6, 1.1) 4 8 t The equation of this line is S = 0.2t – 0.1. This line approximates the data. Copyright © by Houghton Mifflin Company, Inc. All rights reserved. 7 Graphing Utility: Find a linear model that describes the data. Year 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 Salary, S 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.3 Stat Edit: Stat Menu: A linear model for this data is S = 0.2t – 0.14. This equation is very close to the equation found using two data points. Copyright © by Houghton Mifflin Company, Inc. All rights reserved. 8 The correlation coefficient (or r-value) of the data gives the measure of how well the model fits the data. The closer |r| is to 1, the better the points can be described by a line. 2 0 r = 0.99 strong positive correlation 52.6 13 0 0 52.3 Copyright © by Houghton Mifflin Company, Inc. All rights reserved. r = – 0.93 negative correlation r = 0.66 weak correlation 100 13 50 90 50 9