Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry, Vol. 27, No. 10, pp. 2076–2087, 2008 䉷 2008 SETAC Printed in the USA 0730-7268/08 $12.00 ⫹ .00 EXPOSURE AND EFFECTS ASSESSMENT OF RESIDENT MINK (MUSTELA VISON) EXPOSED TO POLYCHLORINATED DIBENZOFURANS AND OTHER DIOXIN-LIKE COMPOUNDS IN THE TITTABAWASSEE RIVER BASIN, MIDLAND, MICHIGAN, USA MATTHEW J. ZWIERNIK,*† DENISE P. KAY,‡ JEREMY MOORE,† KERRIE J. BECKETT,§ JONG SEONG KHIM,㛳 JOHN L. NEWSTED,‡ SHAUN A. ROARK,‡ and JOHN P. GIESY†㛳# †Department of Zoology, National Food Safety and Toxicology Center, 224 National Food Safety and Toxicology Building, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan 48824, USA ‡ENTRIX, 4295 Okemos Road, Okemos, Michigan 48864, USA §Woodlot Alternatives, 122 Main Street, Topsham, Maine 04086, USA 㛳Department of Biomedical Veterinary Sciences and Toxicology Centre, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan S7J 5B3, Canada #Department of Biology and Chemistry, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Special Administrative Region, China ( Received 7 September 2007; Accepted 12 March 2008) Abstract—Historically, sediments and floodplain soils of the Tittabawassee River (TR; MI, USA) have been contaminated with polychlorinated dibenzofurans (PCDFs), polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins (PCDDs), and polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs). Median concentrations of 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin equivalents (TEQs) based on 2006 World Health Organization tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin toxic equivalency factors (TEFs) in the diet of mink (Mustela vison) ranged from 6.8 ⫻ 10⫺1 ng TEQ/kg wet weight upstream of the primary source of PCDF to 3.1 ⫻ 101 ng TEQ/kg wet weight downstream. Estimates of toxicity reference values (TRVs) derived from laboratory studies with individual PCDDs/PCDFs and PCB congeners or mixtures of those congeners, as well as application of TEFs, were compared to site-specific measures of mink exposure. Hazard quotients based on exposures expressed as concentrations of TEQs in the 95th percentile of the mink diet or liver and the no-observable-adverse-effect TRVs were determined to be 1.7 and 8.6, respectively. The resident mink survey, however, including number of mink present, morphological measures, sex ratios, population age structure, and gross and histological tissue examination, indicated no observable adverse effects. This resulted for multiple reasons: First, the exposure estimate was conservative, and second, the predominantly PCDF congener mixture present in the TR appeared to be less potent than predicted from TEQs based on dose–response comparisons. Given this, there appears to be great uncertainty in comparing the measured concentrations of TEQs at this site to TRVs derived from different congeners or congener mixtures. Based on the lack of negative outcomes for any measurement endpoints examined, including jaw lesions, a sentinel indicator of possible adverse effects, and direct measures of effects on individual mink and their population, it was concluded that current concentrations of PCDDs/PCDFs were not causing adverse effects on resident mink of the TR. Keywords—Mink Jaw lesions Polychlorinated dibenzofurans 2,3,7,8-Tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin equivalents Hazard assessment oratory to 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (TCDD) and structurally related compounds have exhibited responses including reproductive and developmental toxicity, such as decreased litter size, growth of kits, reduced body weight, jaw lesions, and mortality [4–7]. Based on the measured concentrations of TCDD equivalents (TEQs) in some dietary items and the results of controlled laboratory studies with related chemicals, the mink population of the TR would have been expected to be affected at the population level. Yet, during preliminary work, mink frequently were sighted, and evidence in the form of tracks and scat indicates a substantial presence of mink on the TR. The present study was conducted in an effort to determine the reason for this apparent contradiction. Site-specific information, including dietary composition, concentrations of PCDDs/PCDFs in mink tissues and dietary items, mink abundance, and measures of mink individual health, were used in a multiple-lines-of-evidence approach to evaluate the potential of adverse effects to wild mink chronically exposed to these compounds in the TR basin. The potential for effects was predicted using a hazard assessment approach in which concentrations of TEQs in the diets and livers of mink from the TR were compared to toxicity reference values (TRVs). Measures of individual health, including body condition, age, body weight, and gross morphology, were re- INTRODUCTION The Tittabawassee River (TR) in central Michigan (USA) is the largest tributary of the Saginaw River, draining 5,426 km2 of mostly woodlands and agricultural lands. The TR and its tributaries, the Chippewa and Pine rivers, contribute nearly 50% of the total water discharge of the Saginaw River (Fig. 1). Midland (MI, USA) is a major industrial and population center on the TR, where significant concentrations of polychlorinated dibenzofurans (PCDFs) and polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins (PCDDs) have been found in sediments and floodplain soils, including some of the greatest concentrations reported [1]. The Michigan Department of Public Health has issued fish advisories based on elevated concentrations of PCDFs, PCDDs, and polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) in tissues of fish collected downstream of Midland. Mink (Mustela vison) are top mammalian predators, which consume great amounts of fish and are among the more sensitive species to the effects of PCDDs, PCDFs, and PCBs [2]. Thus, mink often are considered as a surrogate or sentinel species in ecological hazard assessments for river systems contaminated with these classes of chemicals [2,3]. Mink exposed in the lab* To whom correspondence may be addressed (zwiernik@msu.edu). Published on the Web 4/24/2008. 2076 Multiple-lines-of-evidence assessment for mink Environ. Toxicol. Chem. 27, 2008 2077 Fig. 1. Tittabawassee River (MI, USA) study and reference areas. 1 ⫽ Tittabawassee River (reference); 2 ⫽ Chippewa River (reference); 3 ⫽ Pine River (reference); 4 ⫽ Tittabawassee River (study area). corded for 48 field-collected mink. Tissue weights were measured for and histological examination performed on select tissues, including liver, brain, kidney, and jaw, with particular care given to evaluating the incidence of mandibular and maxillary squamous cell proliferation, which has been reported to be a sensitive response of mink to aryl hydrocarbon receptor (AhR)–active compounds that occur at exposures less than those required to cause effects on survival or growth of adults or kits [7]. The results of the predicted hazard for TR mink were then compared to the direct field measures of individual health and population dynamics, and the results are discussed relative to known uncertainties. MATERIALS AND METHODS Study area, habitat, and abundance The study area was located on the portion of the TR from the Dow Dam in Midland to the confluence of the Shiawassee River just upstream of Saginaw (MI, USA) (Fig. 1). Portions of the lower Chippewa and Pine rivers were used as reference areas. The quality of mink (M. vison) habitat was evaluated based on the habitat suitability index protocols developed and validated for the midwestern United States by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service [8]. Habitat suitability indices were de- termined within a 200-m segment that was randomly selected on each side of the river and centered approximately every 500 m at the top, middle, and bottom of the defined, 1.0-km reaches within the study and reference areas. The presence, relative abundance, and estimates of population were based on visual observations of mink, trapping data, and track surveys. Relative abundance was based on trapping data quantified in terms of success per unit effort. Estimates of population were determined by multiple years of track survey data. To focus on resident breeding adults and to minimize the influence of trapping adults during the previous winter, surveys of mink tracks and scat were preformed in mid-October of 2005 and 2006 after dispersion of kits and before breeding activity [9,10]. The river was divided into 1.0-km intervals, and results of population surveys are reported on a per-kilometer basis. Tracks or scat indicated the presence or absence of mink in each survey area. Photographic records were made of all tracks and scat along with Global Positioning System coordinates as well as time and date. A 100-m buffer zone at each end of the 1.0-km interval was excluded from potential survey site selection to decrease the chance of counting a single track set as a positive track sighting in multiple intervals. Track survey data are reported as both percentage occurrences for 2078 Environ. Toxicol. Chem. 27, 2008 M.J. Zwiernik et al. comparisons of relative abundance as well as an estimate of the number of mink per kilometer. It is reported that mink movement within a single activity period generally is less than 300 m [10]. Given the survey method and the conservative assumption that an individual mink would leave 300 m of shoreline tracks in any activity period, it is possible to determine the relationship between the numbers of track sets (i.e., mink) present within 1 km of shoreline and the frequency of positive track surveys (Eqn. 1): mink ⫽ 0.1515e 0.0318(% positive track surveys) km shoreline (1) Mink trapping and collection of mink prey items Forty-eight wild mink (22 from the study area and 26 from the reference areas) were collected throughout the TR drainage basin for assessments of stressor exposure, dietary composition, and overall condition. All mink and mink prey items were collected from within the 100-year floodplain. Animals collected in the present study were handled in accordance with guidelines established by the Michigan State University Institutional Animal Care and Use Committee. All prey items, with the exception of muskrats (Ondatra zibethicus), were collected at six predetermined biological sampling areas (BSAs). Each BSA included two 30- ⫻ 30-m grids proximal to the river bank, one for terrestrial sampling and one for aquatic sampling. Four study area BSAs were downstream of Midland, and two reference area BSAs were upstream. Study area BSA locations were selected based on maximal exposure potential given the available data and were located at the Caldwell boat launch, Tittabawassee Township Park, Freeland Festival Park, and Imerman Park, which were 5.3, 10, 10.9, and 17.7 km, respectively, downstream of the Dow Dam in Midland. The reference area BSAs were located on the TR at the city of Sanford (MI, USA), located 15 km upstream of Midland, and on an upstream tributary just downstream of the confluence of the Pine and Chippewa rivers at the Chippewa Nature Center in Midland. Reference area locations were selected based on congruency with study area habitat and available contaminant data. Mink and muskrats were caught using the same trap sets during the winters of 2003 to 2005 and were processed individually. Electrofishing and seining were used to collect composite samples of fish species preyed on by mink at each BSA. Small mammals were collected with Sherman and pitfall traps. Crayfish were collected with seines and modified minnow traps. Fish, small mammals, and crayfish were collected in September 2003. The latter two dietary items were sampled again in May and June of 2004. Three species of frogs— northern leopard (Rana pipiens), green (Lithobates clamitans), and gray tree frogs (Hyla versicolor)—were sampled by hand catching in June 2005. Excluding forage fish composites, whole bodies of all prey items were analyzed individually. The gastrointestinal (GI) tracts of small mammals were rinsed out, and pelts of muskrats were removed, before whole-body analysis. Mink necropsy Necropsies of mink were conducted by a board-certified veterinary pathologist at the Michigan State University Diagnostic Center for Population and Animal Health (Lansing, MI, USA) to determine overall condition, nutritional status, and presence of gross abnormalities. Gender, body mass, and body length, both including and excluding the tail, were determined for each mink. An upper and lower premolar tooth was used to age each mink by microscopic analysis of the tooth’s cementum annuli [11]. Livers were removed and the total mass determined, and livers were then apportioned for analysis. Two grams of liver were placed in a 10% formalin– saline solution (10% formalin in 0.9% sodium chloride) for subsequent histological examination. The remaining liver tissue was divided into three 10-g aliquots, placed in I-Chem威 jars (I-Chem, New Castle, DE, USA), and frozen at ⫺20⬚C for storage before quantification of PCDDs, PCDFs, and PCBs. Kidneys, GI tracts, and brains were removed and their masses determined. Contents of GI tracts were preserved for prey item identification. The baculum (os penis) was removed from males, and the uterus, including the horns and ovaries, was removed from females and preserved for subsequent examination. Uteri were examined grossly and histologically for implantation sites based on placental scaring using a Prussian blue histochemical technique. Signs of early embryonic death or late fetal death also were noted. In addition, ovaries were examined histologically for signs of ovulation and degree of follicular development. Heads were decalcified in Decal II solution (SurgiPath, Richmond, IL USA), and upper and lower jaws were examined histologically for mandibular and maxillary squamous epithelial cell proliferation as described previously [7]. Lesions were graded as mild, moderate, or severe based on the number and size of foci of squamous cell proliferation in the maxilla and mandible [7]. Mink diets Composition of the diet as estimated from contents of the GI tract were as described previously [12]. Prey items were identified to the lowest practical taxonomic classification and were grouped by species or genus. Mean values for occurrence, excluding plant material, were converted to biomass based on the site-specific mean weights for collected individual prey items (small mammals, shrew, crayfish, and frogs) or by comparisons to site-specific individuals (fish scales to fish scales) when possible. Mink tissue concentrations Concentrations of the seventeen 2,3,7,8-substituted PCDD and PCDF congeners as well as the AhR-active PCB congeners (PCBs 105, 114, 118, 123, 126, 156, 157, 167, 169, 189, 77, and 81) were measured in the diet and livers of 48 mink from within the TR basin. Individual congeners were identified and quantified by use of U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) methods 8290 and 1668 [13,14]. Sample matrix- and congener-specific limits of quantification were based on threefold the signal to noise ratios and were never greater than 1.0 ng/kg wet weight. When a congener was not detected at the limits of quantification, a proxy value of half the limit of quantification was used [12]. Surrogate values of zero or the full limit of quantification resulted in less than 0.5% variation in the calculation of concentrations of TEQs in liver tissue or dietary items. In addition to the individual congeners, the total concentrations of TEQs were calculated as the sum of the product of the concentration of each congener and the toxicity equivalency factor (TEF) assigned by the World Health Organization (WHO) [15] (Eqn. 2): TEQ ⫽ 冘 [(Congener · TEF ) ⫹ · · · ⫹ (Congener · TEF )] i→n i i n n (2) Environ. Toxicol. Chem. 27, 2008 Multiple-lines-of-evidence assessment for mink 2079 Table 1. Dietary and tissue-based toxicity reference values for mink normalized to the toxic equivalents (TEQs) of 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzop-dioxina Diet concentration (ng TEQ/kg food wet wt) Housatonic River feeding study Saginaw River feeding study Furan feeding study Dietary doseb (ng TEQ/kg body wt/d) Liver (ng TEQ/kg liver, wet wt) NOAEC LOAEC NOAEL LOAEL NOAEC LOAEC 12 57 26 50 NA 242 1.6 7.2 3.3 6.4 NA 31 50 78 NA 190 NA NA a TEQs calculated based on World Health Organization 2006 toxic equivalency factors [15]. Toxicity reference values are described in terms of the no-observable-adverse-effect concentration (NOAEC) and the lowest-observable-adverse-effect concentration (LOAEC). The actual concentration at which effects may occur lies between these values. NA ⫽ not available. b Dietary dose calculated based on 1 kg of body weight and a food consumption rate of 128 g/d [20]. where i → n is the concentration of the individual WHOidentified dioxin-like compound and the associated WHOidentified TEF. There can be non-AhR-mediated effects of some of these congeners, but it has been suggested that at the concentrations and relative proportions of congeners generally observed at contaminated sites, the critical mechanism (i.e., that which occurs at the least concentration of the entire mixture) will be the AhR-mediated effects [16,17]. Thus, to be conservative and to account for the variations in relative potencies and occurrences of congeners, the TEQ approach was used to compare concentrations of the PCDDs, PCDFs, and PCBs among matrices and locations and as well as to TRVs. Estimates of dietary exposure Estimates of daily contaminant exposure experienced by mink were calculated using a modification of the generalized exposure model presented by the U.S. EPA [18] (Eqn. 3): [冘 C · (P · NIR)]· AUF Estimates of potential effects n ADDpot ⫽ i⫽1 i i crystalball.com). This procedure, which is conceptually simple but computationally intense, involves repeatedly calculating the dietary concentration component of Equation 3, each time using a randomly sampled (with replacement) dietary item concentration from the data set for each dietary category. Thus, a distribution composed of more than 100,000 dietary concentrations was created, and the median and upper 95th percentile of the distribution were used to estimate the central tendency and upper end, respectively, of the daily dose using Equation 3. Monte Carlo simulations often are conducted in probabilistic risk assessments, but it is import to emphasize that the method used here is not a probabilistic approach. Resampling was performed only on real, measured data to estimate the daily dose rather than on a continuous distribution inferred from the measured data or a range of exposure parameters, as performed in a typical probabilistic approach. Thus, the approach employed here remains free from assumptions about the distribution of the data. (3) where ADDpot ⫽ potential average daily dose (ng/kg body wt/d), NIR⫽ body weight–normalized food ingestion rate (kg/ kg body wt/d), Ci ⫽ concentration of TEQs in dietary item i (ng/kg), Pi ⫽proportion of diet represented by dietary item i, and AUF ⫽ area use factor (unitless; foraging area/site area). To estimate the maximum possible exposure, it was assumed that the mink captured all prey items from within the TR and adjacent floodplain and, thus, that AUF ⫽ 1. Dietary exposure was estimated using the site-specific dietary composition according to U.S. EPA guidance, which recommends describing the variability of an exposure profile using a measure of ‘‘central tendency,’’ the mean or median, and a measure of the ‘‘high end,’’ represented by estimates expected to fall between the 90th and 99.9th percentiles of the exposure distribution [19]. The distribution of concentrations of congeners for some of the dietary items from the TR was right-skewed, violating the assumption of normality implicit in using the mean to describe central tendency. In other cases, data appeared to approximate either a normal or possibly uniform distribution, but in most cases, the sample size was not large enough to accurately determine the data distribution. Therefore, to estimate the central tendency and an upper-percentile exposure concentration without making potentially faulty assumptions about normality, a Monte Carlo (or resampling) approach was employed using Crystal Ball威 software (Oracle Crystal Ball Global Business Unit, Denver, CO, USA; http://www. The potential for adverse effects was determined by comparing either the concentration of TEQs in liver or diet to their respective TRV. Hazard quotients (HQs) were calculated based on concentrations of TEQs in the diet (Eqn. 4) or liver (Eqn. 5): HQ ⫽ ADDpot (ng TEQ/kg/d) dietary TRV (4) HQ ⫽ ng TEQ/kg tissue residue TRV (5) The TRVs used in the present study were derived from a rigorous assessment of the available literature regarding the effects of dioxin-like compounds on mink [17]. All the studies used in deriving the TRVs were conducted on mink [4,20– 22]. The studies available in the literature were evaluated based on criteria such as duration, sensitivity, and ecological relevance of the endpoints as well as similarity of the constituents in the study relative to those comprising the TEQs observed in mink from the TR. The three studies that were deemed to be most appropriate were chronic, controlled laboratory exposures in which mink were fed chow or fish from the Housatonic or Saginaw rivers that contained known concentrations of TEQs. The TRVs derived from these studies ranged from 1.2 ⫻ 101 to 5.7 ⫻ 101 ng TEQ/kg wet weight (diet) and from 5.0 ⫻ 101 to 2.4 ⫻ 102 ng TEQ/kg wet weight (diet) for the no-observable-adverse-effect level (NOAEL) and lowest-observable-adverse effect level (LOAEL), respectively (Table 1). Toxicity reference values based on concentrations in the liver 2080 Environ. Toxicol. Chem. 27, 2008 M.J. Zwiernik et al. Table 2. Measures of habitat suitability, relative abundance, and population density for the Tittabawassee River (MI, USA; study area) and upstream tributaries (reference areas)a Reference areas Chippewa River Habitat suitability (100 ⫽ optimal) Relative abundance (track/200 m/km shoreline) Relative abundance trapping success (mink/1,000 trap-nights) Population density (mink/km shoreline) a 71 Pine River Study area Tittabawassee River 67 transformed before conducting statistical analyses. The statistical significance of differences between sampling locations was evaluated with Tukey’s honestly significant difference test. When only comparing two groups of data, a Student’s t test with the Satterthwaite approximation was used to evaluate the significance of observed differences. Differences were considered to be statistically significant at p ⬍ 0.05. RESULTS 57 Habitat suitability and relative abundance 0.44 0.76 0.45 4.1 8.5 5.0 0.87 2.1 0.88 Data are presented as the mean values for three sampling years (2003, 2004, and 2005). were 5.0 ⫻ 101 to 7.8 ⫻ 101 and 1.9 ⫻ 102 ng TEQ/kg wet weight based on the no-observable-adverse effect concentration (NOAEC) and the lowest-observable-adverse-effect concentration (LOAEC), respectively. Statistical analyses All statistical analyses were performed using SAS威 software (Release 9.0; SAS Institute, Inc., Cary, NC, USA). Before the use of any parametric statistical methods, normality was evaluated using the Shapiro–Wilks test, whereas Levene’s test was used to examine the assumption of variance homogeneity. When data were not normally distributed, data were log-transformed before statistical analysis. Masses of individual organs were expressed as absolute values in terms of grams and as relative masses and expressed as a percentage of brain weight. When evaluating data from three or more locations, analysis of variance (general linear model procedure) was used to test for differences between mink morphological endpoints, including absolute and relative organ weights, whole-body weights, body length, and age, as well as for total TEQ measures related to PCDDs, PCDFs, and PCBs. Relative organ weight data as well as any other proportional data were arcsine The habitat suitability index measures indicated that suitable habitat existed to support mink throughout the TR basin. Habitat occupancy was then confirmed through direct visual confirmation and by measures of relative abundance that were not different between study and reference areas. Habitat suitability in the reference areas was slightly greater than that in the study area, but this resulted largely from a 3.5-km stretch of the study area containing urban development associated with the city of Freeland (MI, USA) (Table 2). Mink sign surveys found no statistical difference ( p ⱕ 0.05) in the percentage of transects containing mink sign either between years or between study and reference areas (Table 2). Similarly, no difference in trapping success was found based on unit effort between years or between study and reference areas. Measures of population status and reproductive potential The age and sex demographics of trapped mink were not different between study and reference areas (Table 3) or between years and were indicative of a stable, light to moderately harvested population [23]. Similarly, the reproductive potential of trapped mink in terms of embryo fertilization and uterine implantation rates also were not different between reference and study areas (Table 3). A greater number of male mink were captured per unit effort. This is consistent with commercial trapping efforts using the same methods in early winter. The increased incidence of captured males versus females is normal and likely an artifact of the sampling method, because males tend to cover greater areas in search of food and mates, thereby increasing their potential exposure to points of capture. The mean age and the juvenile to adult ratio were not different between sites. Reproductive potential was deemed to Table 3. Measures of condition of individual adult wild mink trapped in the Tittabawassee River basin (MI, USA)a Males Reference (n ⫽ 18) Study (n ⫽ 15) Body mass (g) Body length (cm) Liver mass (g) Brain wt (g) Ratio of liver to brain mass Age (years) Nutritional statusd Baculum length (mm)e Placental scarsf Ovary weight (g) Uterus weight (g) Sex ratio (M:F) 910 58.8 50.6 8.29 6.14 1.8 2.9 42.6 ⫾ 33 ⫾ 0.61 ⫾ 2.3 ⫾ 0.14 ⫾ 0.31 ⫾ 0.8 ⫾ 0.08 ⫾ 0.86 NA NA NA 2.25:1 ⫾ 56 ⫾ 1.1 ⫾ 4.7 ⫾ 0.20c ⫾ 0.53c ⫾ 1.1 ⫾ 0.10 ⫾ 0.77 NA NA NA (reference area) 962 58.7 55.7 8.05 7.21 2.2 3.0 42.7 Females pb Reference (n ⫽ 8) 0.414 0.922 0.348 0.329 0.090 0.734 0.380 0.952 NA NA NA ⫾ 26 ⫾ 1.0 ⫾ 1.1 ⫾ 0.15 ⫾ 0.22 ⫾ 0.7 ⫾ 0.25 NA 3.9 ⫾ 0.83 0.248 ⫾ 0.04 0.111 ⫾ 0.03 481 47.9 27.2 6.34 4.3 2.3 2.3 Study (n ⫽ 7) ⫾ 9.9 ⫾ 0.39 ⫾ 1.7 ⫾ 0.22 ⫾ 0.35 ⫾ 0.9 ⫾ 0.18 NA 4.3 ⫾ 1.1 0.325 ⫾ 0.05 0.152 ⫾ 0.04 2.41:1 (study area) 517 50.8 31.6 6.31 5.06 2.7 2.7 pb 0.235 0.023 0.069 0.924 0.103 0.327 0.160 NA 0.775 0.008 0.076 All measures are presented as the mean ⫾ standard error. Numbers in parentheses (n) for each location are the sample size. NA ⫽ not applicable. p values from Student’s t test with Scatterthwaite approximation to account for variance heterogeneity. c n ⫽ 14 (brain from one mink not suitable for analysis). d Average nutritional status value scale: 1 ⫽ poor; 4 ⫽ very good. e n ⫽ 13 (baculum from two mink lost during pelting process). f Average number of scars per female mink. a b Environ. Toxicol. Chem. 27, 2008 Multiple-lines-of-evidence assessment for mink Table 4. Dietary dioxin, furan, and polychlorinated biphenyl (PCB) concentrations in terms of 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo- p -dioxin equivalents (TEQs) for mink from the reference and study areas in the Tittabawassee River (MI, USA)a Diet concn. (ng TEQ/kg food wet wt)b Total TEQs ⌺Doxin TEQs ⌺Furan TEQs ⌺Nn-ortho PCB TEQs ⌺Mno-ortho PCB TEQs Reference area Study area 95th Median percentile 95th Median percentile 0.679 0.35 0.120 0.200 0.02 0.879 0.519 0.181 0.203 0.0163 30.8 4.44 21.7 2.47 0.233 56.8 5.63 44.5 18.0 1.72 a TEQs calculated based on World Health Organization 2006 toxic equivalency factors [15]. b Median and 95th percentile dietary concentrations were estimated by repeatedly resampling the measured concentrations in each dietary category and weighting in proportion to the dietary composition (Eqn. 3) to estimate the distribution of potential dietary concentrations. be normal, because no statistical difference was found in the number of fetus implant points between sites (placental scarring is indicative of the most recent reproductive cycle). PCDDs, PCDFs, PCBs, and TEQs in diet Based on contents of the mink GI tracts, the diet of mink trapped from the TR basin (converted from frequency of occurrence to kg wet wt) consisted primarily of fish (52%), followed by muskrats (19%), vegetation (9%), small mammals (8%), crayfish (8%), and amphibians (4%). Small mammals were further subdivided into shrew and nonshrew species. The subdivision was a response to the great disparity in measured contaminant body burdens of the two mammal categories and uncertainty associated with the site-specific dietary composition. Two approaches were used to conservatively estimate the proportions of shrews in the diets of resident mink. The first approach was based on previous mink dietary studies for the region, and the second was to assume that mink would con- 2081 sume shrews in proportion to their availability. For the two regional mink dietary composition studies, shrews were identified in 0 of 1,028 digestive tracts [24] and in 5 of 201 digestive tracts [25], resulting in a wet-weight percentage contribution by the mammalian portion of the diet of 0% and less than 3%, respectively. In a 43-year study of small-mammal population dynamics in Ontario (Canada), the shrew relative abundance was estimated to be 6% of the total diet [26]. The relative abundance study did not include mammals larger than a vole, so the percentage likely was an overestimate. When converted to wet weight based on prey mean mass and percentage consumption, these studies resulted in shrew mammalian contribution of 0, 3, and 6%, respectively; we selected 6% as a conservative estimate of shrews consumed as part of the mammalian dietary component. The estimated median and 95th percentile concentrations of TEQs in the diet of mink in the study area were approximately 45- and 65-fold greater, respectively, than those of the reference area (Table 4). The TEQ concentrations for dietary items ranged from 1.4 ⫻ 10⫺1 to 2.7 ⫻ 103 and from 1.4 ⫻ 10⫺1 to 1.4 ⫻ 101 ng TEQ/kg wet weight in the study and reference areas, respectively (Table 5). The estimated median ADDpot based on the site-specific prey item analysis and dietary composition, calculated using the food consumption rate (0.177 kg/d) and body weight (0.8 kg) recommended for wild mink in the Great Lakes region, was approximately 45-fold greater in the study area (7 ng TEQ/ kg/d) than in the reference area (0.15 ng TEQ/kg/d) [27]. PCDDs, PCDFs, PCBs, and TEQs in liver Polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins, PCDFs, and PCBs were detected in livers of all mink collected from the river basin regardless of location (Table 6). Concentrations of PCDDs, PCDFs, and total TEQs were significantly greater in the livers of mink from the study area than those from the upstream reference areas ( p ⬍ 0.001). Most of the difference resulted from 2,3,4,7,8-pentchlorodibenzofuran, which accounted for 56% of the total TEQs and occurred at concentrations approximately 86-fold greater in livers of mink from the study area. Polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins, PCDFs, non-ortho Table 5. Range of dietary item concentrations (ng 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin equivalents [TEQs]/kg wet wt) for dioxins and furans used in mink exposure estimatesa Reference area ⌺Dioxin and furan TEQs Forage fish Muskrat Terrestrial vegetation Crayfish Shrew Other small mammal Amphibian ⌺Polychlorinated biphenyl TEQs Forage fish Muskrat Terrestrial vegetation Crayfish Shrew Other small mammal Amphibian a Study area n Min. Max. n 2 9 9 5 14 41 29 0.431 0.0881 0.194 0.140 0.205 0.180 0.166 0.436 0.206 1.42 1.38 14.2 6.36 2.13 7 13 25 15 35 128 106 2 2 0 0 0 1 0 0.311 0.0677 0.375 0.0798 0.118 0.118 7 8 62 3 2 5 4 Min. 5.11 1.97 0.143 3.15 6.92 1.15 0.649 2.10 0.119 0.00693 0.706 0.0654 0.290 0.494 Max. 73.5 11.4 2.62 75.4 2738 242 348 37.4 3.54 0.00803 0.951 5.71 1.59 0.894 TEQs calculated based on World Health Organization 2006 toxic equivalency factors [15]. Samples were collected from one reference and four study biological sampling areas in the Tittabawassee River basin (MI, USA). 2082 Environ. Toxicol. Chem. 27, 2008 M.J. Zwiernik et al. Table 6. Concentrations of dioxins, furans, and polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) in terms of 2,3,7,8 tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin equivalents (TEQs) in mink liver collected from the reference and study areas in the Tittabawassee River (MI, USA)a Reference area Study area Class n Concentration n Concentration ⌺Dioxin ⌺Furan ⌺Non-ortho PCBs ⌺Mono-ortho PCBs Total TEQs 26 26 25 4.2 ⫾ 0.49 5.6 ⫾ 1.1 8.4 ⫾ 1.6 22 22 22 21 ⫾ 1.9 290 ⫾ 71 80 ⫾ 21 ⬍0.0001 0.0007 0.003 25 25 2.0 ⫾ 0.36 20 ⫾ 3.2 22 22 5.8 ⫾ 1.1 400 ⫾ 74 0.003 ⬍0.0001 pb a TEQs calculated based on World Health Organization 2006 toxic equivalency factors [15]. Liver concentration data are presented as the mean and standard error. Concentration data are given as ng TEQ/kg wet weight. Data represent the results from both male and female mink. b p values from Student’s t tests with a Scatterthwaite approximation to account for potential variance heterogeneity. PCBs, and mono-ortho PCBs contributed an average of 9, 63, 27, and 0%, respectively, of the total concentrations of TEQs in the livers of mink from the study area, whereas the relative contributions were 37, 22, 37, and 3%, respectively, for mink from the reference area. Individual condition Overall, all mink appeared to be in good condition (n ⫽ 48) (Table 3). Mink from the reference area (n ⫽ 26) were described as having adequate body condition, whereas mink from the study area (n ⫽ 22) had a slightly greater nutritional status based on pathologist interpretation of adipose tissue as a percentage of body mass, overall muscle tone, skin and coat condition, and overall tissue color and condition. This difference in body condition was noted especially for study area males (n ⫽ 15), which were reported as extremely large and muscular compared to reference animals. Although qualitatively noted, differences in quantified measures of adult condition were not statistically significant when study and reference areas were compared. No significant differences between sites were found for any of the following parameters: Absolute masses of whole bodies, brains, and livers, and relative masses of the three organs normalized to brain weight and expressed as percentages (Table 3). Slight but statistically significant increases, however, in body length without tails and uterine weight in females from the study area were found compared to the reference area mink ( p ⬍0.05) (Table 3). No significant differences were observed for body length in male mink, nor was a statistically significant difference found in baculum length between the study and reference areas. Additionally, gross and histological examination of organs found no abnormalities in liver, a tissue that is known to be sensitive to exposure to AhR-active compounds. Remarkable kidney tissue was noted both grossly and histologically for number of mink from both the reference area (2/26) and the study area (5/22) and was described as minimal to moderate multifocal interstitial infiltration of lymphocytes and plasma cells, which is suggestive of past bacterial infection. An additional abnormality that was observed histologically in 1 of the 26 mink collected from the reference area (RA-020) was mild squamous epithelial proliferation of the right and left maxillae. This condition was not identified in any of the 22 study area mink that had liver tissue TEQ concentrations that were between 2- to Fig. 2. Mink liver and dietary exposure hazard quotients for the study area on the Tittabawassee River (MI, USA) based on the sum of dioxins, furans, and polychlorinated biphenyls in terms of 2,3,7,8tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin equivalents. LOAEC ⫽ lowest-observable-adverse-effect concentration; NOAEC ⫽ no-observable-adverseeffect concentration. 35-fold greater. No other changes of diagnostic significance were found in any of the other mink. Neither the kidney nor the jaw abnormalities were determined to be contaminant related. Hazard estimates Potential for adverse effects was evaluated by use of a HQ approach. Hazard quotients were developed based on the concentrations of PCDDs/PCDFs expressed as concentrations of TEQs in the diet (ADDpot) or in livers of mink trapped from the TR. The exposure estimates were divided by TRVs, as either NOAELs or LOAELs, and expressed as HQs. The TRVs were derived from the results of controlled laboratory studies in which mink were fed individual congeners or mixtures of AhR congeners. The 5th percentile, median, and 95th percentile were used to represent a range of concentrations of TEQs in the liver and diet expressed as the ADDpot. Hazard quotients for the reference area were all less than 1.0 for both dietary exposure and liver residues. The range of dietary exposure– based HQs in the study area was from less than 1.0 for the 5th percentile (LOAEL) to 1.7 for the 95th percentile (NOAEL). The median study area dietary exposure HQs were less than 1.0 when calculated for both the NOAEL and LOAEL. Liver residue–based HQs in the study area ranged from less than 1.0 for the 5th percentile (LOAEC) to 8.6 for the 95th percentile (NOAEC). The liver residue–based HQs were 1.2 and 3.0 when the median concentrations were compared to the LOAEC and NOAEC, respectively (Fig. 2). DISCUSSION Multiple lines of evidence A multiple-lines-of-evidence approach for ecological risk assessment reduces uncertainty and provides the most accurate evaluation of potential hazard [28,29]. This approach can include various types of data (chemistry, bioassays, laboratory, and field measures) that are integrated into a conclusion that best describes the entire data set. The desired result is more Multiple-lines-of-evidence assessment for mink informed decisions. Streamlined assessments for mink often are inferred from limited data for a single line of evidence. For example, concentrations of contaminants in sediments and/ or fish may be compared to literature-derived toxicity values to determine the potential for effects. This relatively simplistic approach requires several assumptions with considerable uncertainty. Generally, the results of such an exercise are useful for screening out the possibility of risk but likely will not provide sufficient information or certainty for risk management decisions [30]. Site-specific empirical information can more directly measure cause–effect relationships; however, uncertainties also are associated with these data sets. For instance, in the present study, estimates for the relative abundance of mink may be inferred from two apparently unrelated lines of evidence (scat and track surveys, as compared to trapping success per unit effort). At first glance, the similarity between the two measures in terms of relative numbers in reference versus study areas would add strength to the conclusion that mink abundance does not appear to be different between the reference and study areas. In fact, both measures, despite their appearance of independence, likely underestimated mink abundance in the study area. This is because the water level in the river fluctuates by 10 to 75 cm between approximately 8 AM and approximately 5 PM as the result of hydroelectric generation, and this fluctuation likely eliminated near-shore tracks and scat. Similarly, there may be a bias in trapping success per unit effort, because this same daily fluctuation in water level made it difficult to maintain trap effectiveness over the duration of the set. The hydroelectric dams had little or no influence on water levels in the reference areas. Thus, the multiple-lines-of-evidence approach can be a useful tool, but spatial, temporal, and analytical uncertainties still need to be addressed. In the present study, extensive site-specific data were used in a multiple-lines-of-evidence approach to evaluate the potential for effects on wild mink chronically exposed to PCDFs, PCDDs, and PCBs in the TR basin. The approach considered the strengths and weaknesses of various measurement endpoints as well as the nature of the uncertainty associated with each to evaluate the overall potential for effects. Site-specific lines of evidence included dietary and tissue-based exposure assessments as well as assessment of the current status of the resident mink on both an individual and a population level. Direct measures of conditions of individual mink The primary contaminants of concern in the TR—PCDDs, PCDFs, and some PCB congeners—can act through a common mechanism of action, mediated by the AhR. Effects mediated through this mechanism include chronic, sublethal effects on mink [16,17], such as body condition, nutritional status, placental scaring, age, body mass, body length, liver mass, brain mass, ratio of liver to brain mass, and histological examinations of select tissues, including kidney, liver, lymph, brain, and jaw. In addition, some PCDDs, PCDFs, and PCB congeners have been found to affect the immune system of mammals, which could result in greater susceptibility to disease [31]. Abnormal values for these parameters can indicate poor condition, reduced growth, reduced survival of adults and kits, and reduced fertility and fecundity. All these parameters are ecologically relevant endpoints that could translate into reduced fitness and affect the robustness or sustainability of the population, which is the assessment endpoint of interest [2,4– 6]. The fact that no statistically significant or toxicologically Environ. Toxicol. Chem. 27, 2008 2083 adverse difference was found in any of the parameters measured between the study and reference areas, and that these parameters were similar to those otherwise reported for wild mink [18,32], indicates that the threshold for effects in individuals had not been reached. Baculum length is not affected by AhR-mediated mechanisms, but it has been reported to potentially be affected by exposure to some types of organochlorines [33]. Thus, even if differences in exposure to other classes of compounds existed between the study and reference areas, it was not reflected in differences of baculum length. Absolute and relative organ masses One effect of TCDD and structurally similar congeners of PCDDs, PCDFs, and PCBs observed in mink is enlargement of the liver, which has been suggested to result from adaptive hypertrophy associated with lipidosis, and fatty infiltration [34] and induction of mixed-function monooxygenase enzymes, such as cytochrome P4501A [35]. No differences were found in liver mass, either absolute or relative (to percentage of brain mass), between mink from the study and reference areas observed in the present study. This finding was contrary to those of previously conducted laboratory studies, which identified changes in absolute and relative liver mass for mink exposed to TEQ-based doses less than or equal those of the TR mink [34]. In one study of particular relevance, mink were fed fish collected just downstream of the TR study area in Saginaw Bay (Lake Huron, MI, USA). As would be expected, the physical connection of these water bodies resulted in mink exposure (fish) of very similar contaminant makeup. The notable exception was a shift in relative TEQ contribution from PCDFs in TR fish and dietary items to PCBs further downstream in Saginaw River and Saginaw Bay. The most dramatic shift in the percentage contribution to TEQs were for 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzofuran (TCDF), which declined from 11 to 2.5% of the total TEQs, and for PCB 126, which increased from 1 to 9%. For this Saginaw River–based laboratory study, the relative masses of liver and spleen, expressed as a percentage of brain mass, were greater in exposed than in unexposed mink. Increases in both the absolute and relative liver mass were observed in male mink fed a diet composed of similar Saginaw Bay fish for 18 months [36]. The absence of these responses in the TR mink, despite calculated TEQ exposure concentrations of equal or greater value, suggests that the different patterns of PCDDs/PCDFs and PCB congeners appear to result in different potencies based on dose response. Thus, even for these closely related exposures, the WHO TEF system does not appear to accurately predict effects. Body mass, length, and age Exposure to congeners that are structurally similar to TCDD has been reported to cause a dose-dependent decrease in body mass [22,31]. Concentrations of TEQs in the liver of mink from the TR exceed the concentration that has been associated with weight loss (wasting syndrome) [34]. Because the mean body mass of mink in the study area actually was greater than that in the reference area, we found no indication of wasting syndrome in the wild populations of mink on the TR. Again, this suggests that the difference in congener pattern making up the total concentration of TEQs does not cause the same magnitude of response as that predicted from studies with mixtures comprised of different PCDDs/PCDFs and PCB congeners. 2084 Environ. Toxicol. Chem. 27, 2008 M.J. Zwiernik et al. Histology Based on results reported in the literature [7,34,37], the concentrations of TEQs observed in the livers and diet of mink from the TR should have resulted in dose-dependent histological changes in liver and jaw tissues, but no such TEQ-related pathologies were observed. Adult female mink fed diets that included Saginaw Bay carp had enlarged and diffusely yellow livers [34]. Histologically, the livers of mink fed Saginaw Bay carp expressed various degrees of congestion, hepatocellular fatty changes, and scattered aggregates of lymphocytes [34]. Other studies have reported gross and cellular hepatic changes, including hepatic lipidosis, in mink exposed to PCBs [38–43]. None of these previously identified contaminant-related tissue variations were seen in adult TR basin mink. Abnormal kidney tissue was noted in 2 of 26 reference mink and in 5 of 22 study area TR basin mink. The tissue change was described as commonly occurring, minimal to moderate multifocal interstitial infiltration of lymphocytes and plasma cells, which is suggestive of previous bacterial infection. This abnormality is relatively common in both wild and ranch mink, and based on histological examination and dose– response considerations, it did not appear to be contaminant related. An even more sensitive histological endpoint related to AhR-active compounds is proliferation of mandibular and maxillary squamous epithelial cells. This histological response can be identified before other types of responses that may affect survival and, thus, can be thought of as a biomarker or indicator of exposure. Mink exposed to PCB 126 and TCDD at dietary concentrations of 2.4 ⫻ 104 and 2.4 ⫻ 103 ng/g feed wet weight, respectively, developed proliferation of mandibular and maxillary squamous epithelia [44–46]. These results were confirmed by another feeding study in which mink were fed diets containing PCB 126 [7], in which concentrations as low as 2.4 ⫻ 102 ng/kg feed wet weight (equivalent to 2.4 ⫻ 101 ng TEQ/kg feed wet wt), caused mandibular and maxillary squamous epithelia that was clinically detectable by loose and missing teeth [7]. During laboratory exposure to PCB 126, the incidence of the lesion at 24 ng TEQ/kg feed was greater than 50%. Only one individual of the 48 mink from the TR watershed that were examined exhibited the lesion, however, and this individual was from the upstream reference area. Mink trapped in the study area were exposed to approximately 31 ng TEQ/kg wet weight in their median diet, which is similar to the concentration of PCB 126 that causes the lesion. Because no lesions were observed in mink from the study area, the mixture of AhR-active congeners comprising the TEQs appears to be less potent than would be predicted based on the TEQs. This is consistent with the fact TCDF, which composes approximately 31% of the total predicted TEQs in the diet of mink inhabiting the study area, did not, under laboratory conditions, cause proliferation of mandibular and maxillary squamous epithelia at TEQ concentrations 100-fold less than the concentration of PCB 126. Furthermore, proliferation of squamous epithelia in the mandible and maxilla was detected in wild mink collected from the Kalamazoo River (MI, USA) Superfund site, where PCBs account for most of the TEQs [7]. An estimate of total PCBs consumed by mink inhabiting the Kalamazoo River ranged from 8.0 ⫻ 10⫺2 to 0.41 mg/kg body mass/d, corresponding to TEQ concentrations of 0.7 to 2.0 ng/kg body weight/d, respectively [12]. Fig. 3. Polychlorinated dibenzofurans and polychlorinated dibenzop-dioxins congener distributions comprising mammalian 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin equivalents (TEQs) in mink liver and sitespecific diet. BAF ⫽ bioaccumulation factor; TR ⫽ Tittabawasee River; WHO ⫽ World Health Organization. ⫽ other congeners; m ⫽ 1,2,3,4,7,8-hexachlorodibenzofuran; □ ⫽ 2,3,4,7,8-pentachlorodibenzofuran; u ⫽ 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzofuran; 䡵 ⫽ 1,2,3,7,8pentachlorodibenzodioxin; v ⫽ 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin. The jaw lesion results provide valuable insight regarding both the toxic potency of the TR exposure mixture and the conditions of individual resident mink. Jaw lesions are a very sensitive endpoint, and their occurrence at the histological level of identification does not adversely effect survival. Thus, the absence of this diagnostic jaw lesion provides additional confidence in the lines of evidence associated with direct measures for the condition of individual mink. The absence of jaw lesions and of any responses directly measured and associated with the condition of individual mink suggests that the fitness of mink is not being adversely affected. Additionally, the absence of a response for any of these direct measures of conditions of individual mink, including jaw lesions, at TEQ concentrations in excess of those at which a response would be predicted based on other AhR-active mixtures suggests that the mixture to which TR mink are exposed (primarily PCDFs) appears to be less potent than predicted. Thus, for mink from the TR, even with the more detailed site-specific information that is reported here, use of the TEQ approach with comparison to available TRVs overestimates the potential for adverse effects. Dietary exposure The dietary items consumed by mink on the TR were similar to those reported elsewhere for Michigan rivers [12,25,47]. Fish accounted for the greatest proportion of the site-specific diet. The proportion of fish in the TR mink diet was slightly greater than those reported by Millsap et al. [12] and Sealander [25] but slightly less than that reported by Alexander [47]. The estimated TR dietary composition is supported by the fact that the congener pattern in the site-specific diet matches what can be calculated for dietary exposure based on the residues measured in resident mink livers and published bioaccumulation factors (Fig. 3). Multiple-lines-of-evidence assessment for mink Exposure hazard assessment Hazard quotients based on concentrations of TEQs in both the diet and liver of resident TR basin mink were all between 0.0 and 0.5 in the reference. In the study area, hazard quotients were all less than 10, ranging from 9.5 ⫻ 10⫺1 to 1.7 for dietary exposure and from 3.0 to 8.7 for the tissue-based assessment. The large range of HQs is an artifact of the attempt to capture the uncertainties associated with both the exposure concentrations and the toxic potency of the contaminant mixture. The greatest HQs resulted from a comparison of the 95th percentile of the exposure estimate to a no-observed-adverse-effect TRV. The HQs in the lower range were based on the 5th percentile of dietary exposure estimates as compared to LOAELs. Direct measures of population status Relative abundance based on surveys and trapping success was not different between exposed and unexposed populations and correlated well with habitat suitability. The predicted population density for the study area was approximately 1.7 mink/ stream km, or three to six mink/breeding territory based on a defended male territory of 2 to 4.5 river km [10]. Great uncertainty is involved in population estimates, but it appears that the TR basin downstream of Midland exceeds the reported carrying capacity of 0.6 mink/km based on a similar Michigan stream with excellent habitat and sufficient food [18,48]. This conclusion is supported by population demographics, which are consistent with a stable, lightly harvested mink population [23] and are inconsistent with a mink population experiencing adverse effects from contaminants [49,50]. In all, each of these data sets indicates no population-level effects of the PCDDs/ PCDFs. Hazard to TR mink Based on multiple lines of evidence, we find little present potential for adverse effects to the resident mink of the TR basin. Direct measures of effects on individuals and the population all suggest that resident mink are in good condition and that the population is robust and sustainable. This was true for all the measurement endpoints, including those that have been shown under laboratory conditions to be affected by exposure to various AhR agonists, such as PCDDs/PCDFs. No biologically significant effects were observed for any of the endpoints measured in the present study between reference and study populations, and all parameters measured were within the range expected for a typical wild mink. This included measurements made at the level of the individual, including body mass, relative tissue masses, baculum length, gross pathology, liver and jaw histology, and fecundity, as measured by placental scarring, as well as estimates of the population density of mink inhabiting the study and reference areas. Indirect measures for the condition of individual mink, based on exposure calculations when compared to TRVs based on non-site-specific contaminant mixtures, do suggest the possibility of, albeit small, adverse effects; however, none of the responses for which the TRVs were established was seen among the sampled mink. This included jaw lesions that should occur at TEQ concentrations 10- to 100-fold less than measurement endpoints associated with possible adverse effects on individual survival and population status. The absence of a response for any of these direct measures for the condition of individual mink, including jaw lesions, at TEQ concentrations in excess of those at which a response would be predicted Environ. Toxicol. Chem. 27, 2008 2085 based on other AhR-active mixtures suggests that the mixture to which TR mink are exposed (primarily PCDFs) appears to be less potent than predicted based on TEFs. The exact reason for this is unknown; however, a recent laboratory feeding study suggests that TCDF, which is a major source of TR TEQs, is less potent than predicted and is metabolized more rapidly than other AhR-active compounds, such as TCDD and PCB 126 [51]. Thus, given this scenario, there appears to be significant uncertainty associated with the applicability of the presently available TRVs, resulting in a likely overestimate of hazard for TR mink. Even when HQs were calculated using this likely overestimate of potency and assumptions leading to maximal estimates of exposure (95th percentile), all the resulting HQs were less than 2.0 and 9.0 based on estimates of exposure in the diet or concentrations of TEQ measured in livers, respectively. Hazard quotients calculated using less conservative estimates of exposure (e.g., median) but conservative TRVs (based on the LOAEC or NOAEC) were all less than 1.0 when based on predicted dietary exposure and ranged between 1.2 and 3.0 when based on measured concentrations of TEQs in liver. Taken together, predicted and directly measured indicators of fitness of individual mink or robustness of their population do not suggest that significant potential exists for adverse effects because of exposure to PCDDs and PDCFs in the environment along the TR. The population is robust and either at or near carrying capacity. Acknowledgement—The authors thank all staff and students of the Michigan State University–Aquatic Toxicology Laboratory and field crew—namely, M. ‘‘Never’’ Fales, D. Tazelaar, T. Fredricks, R. Seston, S. Coefield, M. Nadeau, S. Plautz, M. Barker, J. van Dam, L. Williams, P. Bradley, M. Kramer, N. Ikeda, and M. Shotwell of ENTRIX. The authors also thank J. Dastyck and S. 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