Research Comparison of Risk Assessment Methodologies for Exposure of Mink to PCBs on the Kalamazoo River, Michigan S T E P H A N I E D . M I L L S A P , * ,†,§,⊥ A L A N L . B L A N K E N S H I P , §,|,⊥ PATRICK W. BRADLEY,§ P A U L D . J O N E S , ‡,§,⊥ D E N I S E K A Y , ‡ ARIANNE NEIGH,§ CYRUS PARK,§ K A R L D . S T R A U S E , §,| M A T T H E W J . Z W I E R N I K , §,⊥ A N D JOHN P. GIESY§ Department of Fisheries and Wildlife, Zoology Department, National Food Safety and Toxicology Center, and Center for Integrative Toxicology, Michigan State University, East Lansing, Michigan 48824, and ENTRIX, Inc. 4295 Okemos Road, Okemos, Michigan 48864 Risk assessments are generally based on exposures predicted by use of simple models of accumulation from abiotic compartments or the diet. The use of tissue-specific measurements of residue concentrations in wildlife tissues is more accurate and subject to less uncertainty, but these data are often not available. This report compares the results of two different site-specific approaches for assessing the risk of PCBs to mink residing along the Kalamazoo River, MI. The first approach was based on hepatic concentrations of PCBs and 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin equivalents (TEQs) of mink. The second approach was based on measured concentrations of both PCBs and TEQs in the diets of mink. For each of these methodologies, assessments were based on no observed adverse effect levels (NOAELs) or concentrations (NOAECs) and lowest observed adverse effect levels (LOAELs) or concentrations (LOAECs). Samples of mink (Mustela vison) and its diet were collected from within the Kalamazoo River Area of Concern (KRAOC) and an upstream reference area in the Fort Custer Recreation Area (FC). Hazard quotient (HQ) values were calculated based on congener-specific concentrations of PCBs or TEQs, several toxicity reference values (TRVs), and several assumed dietary compositions. Mean total hepatic concentrations of PCBs were 2.7 and 2.3 mg PCBs/kg, ww, in mink from the KRAOC and FC, respectively. HQs based on the LOAEC and mean hepatic PCB concentrations ranged from 0.37 to 0.87 at KRAOC and 0.31-0.73 at FC. HQs based on PCBs in the diet ranged from 0.20 to 1.8 at * Corresponding author phone: (734)692-7628; fax: (734)692-7603; e-mail: stephanie_millsap@fws.gov. Present address: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, 9311 Groh Rd., Grosse Ile, MI 48138. † Department of Fisheries and Wildlife, Michigan State University. ‡ Zoology Department, Michigan State University. § National Food Safety and Toxicology Center, Michigan State University. | Center for Integrative Toxicology, Michigan State University. ⊥ ENTRIX, Inc. 10.1021/es049600e CCC: $27.50 Published on Web 10/27/2004 2004 American Chemical Society KRAOC and from 0.04 to 0.35 at FC. Dietary HQs were less than 10-fold different than tissue-based HQs. Introduction There are two primary approaches for assessing risk to wildlife for persistent, bioaccumulative, and chronically toxic compounds such as polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) (1). The method used most often is the dietary-based approach, which predicts potential concentrations of the residue of concern by use of simple bioaccumulation models and concentrations of residues measured at lower levels of the food chain or in water, soil, or sediment (2). Assumptions regarding dietary composition are used to predict an average daily dose consumed by the species of interest. This estimated dose is then compared to dietary toxicity reference values (TRVs) (2). This technique, which is used when information on the tissue concentrations in receptors of concern cannot be collected, is limited by the accuracy of the assumptions used to predict accumulation. The uncertainty can be particularly great for complex mixtures such as PCBs, as individual PCB congeners exhibit differential accumulation, potential for metabolism, and toxicity. A major factor in applying dietary exposure models is the dietary composition used. The dietary composition is especially difficult to characterize for opportunistic predators such as the mink (Mustella vison), since the diet can vary seasonally and among habitats. Although mink are a semiaquatic predator, they can occupy a wide range of habitat types including estuaries, rivers, streams, and wetlands (3). The alternative and presumably more accurate method, the tissue-based approach measures the actual concentrations of the residues of interest in the tissues of the receptors of concern (1). The site-specific, tissue-specific residue concentrations are then compared to tissue-based TRVs derived from studies in which concentrations of residues were measured synoptically with responses. The tissue-based approach can relate the measured tissue concentrations to diet or sediment concentrations in order to determine appropriate remedial options. However, it might not always be possible to collect tissues of the receptors of concern, especially for animals, such as mink, that are difficult to sample because they are solitary, nocturnal, and have large territories (3). In other cases, the sensitive species to be protected may not be present at the location (4). While a lines of evidence approach, which considers both approaches, has been advocated by risk assessors, both methods are seldom applied at the same location. For this reason, the two methods were compared to determine how similar the predictions would be. In this study, the ranges of possible risk estimates were expressed as hazard quotients (HQs) based either on dietarybased (predicted) or tissue-based (measured) estimates of exposure. Estimated dietary concentrations and measured hepatic concentrations were compared to TRVs based on no observable adverse effect levels (NOAELs) for dietary comparisons and no observable adverse effect concentrations (NOAECs) for tissue-based comparisons. The HQ values based on the lowest observable adverse effect level (LOAEL) and lowest observable adverse effect concentration (LOAEC) were compared to NOAEL(C)-based HQs. HQ values predicted by use of both total PCBs and TEQs and a range of possible HQ values estimated by use of several different TRVs available in the literature were compared. Finally, potential VOL. 38, NO. 24, 2004 / ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY 9 6451 aryl hydrocarbon receptor (AhR) (17, 18). A congener-specific approach allows for the calculation of 2,3,7,8-TCDD equivalents (TEQs) by integrating the total concentrations and relative potencies of individual congeners identified in a mixture (19, 20). The use of TEQs has been advocated, but congener-specific information is not always available so it is not always possible to use this method. Therefore, the risks based on concentrations of PCBs and TEQs from the same data set were compared. Studies of mink diets, including those conducted on Michigan rivers and streams, indicate that mink are opportunistic feeders and eat a variety of food items (aquatic and terrestrial animals) (21-24). Additionally, their food habits vary by habitat type and season. Therefore, using only one standard dietary composition may not be appropriate for every site. The results of this field study were used to test the accuracy of the assumptions commonly made in ecological risk assessments based on minimal information and allows for the calibration of the more commonly used dietarybased, predictive approach to the tissue-based method based on actual tissue concentrations of PCBs. Methodology FIGURE 1. Map of the Kalamazoo River Area of Concern (KRAOC). The inset map of Michigan indicates the locations of the two counties in which the study was conducted. The KRAOC extends from Morrow Lake Dam to Lake Michigan. The mink collection area (MCA) in KRAOC is indicated by a box surrounding the river. The former Trowbridge (TB) impoundment is also located within the KRAOC. Fort Custer (FC) is the upstream reference area and is also indicated by a box surrounding the river. ranges of HQ values calculated from several assumptions about diet composition were compared. The range of risk values can be used to describe both the range and magnitude of possible risks, giving assessors an estimate of the uncertainty involved in these types of risk assessments. The mink was chosen as a receptor of concern because it is sensitive to PCBs, especially in terms of kit weight, litter size, and kit mortality (5-11). In addition, as a piscivorous top predator with a high rate of metabolism, it is likely to be the receptor most likely to receive the greatest exposure. This semiaquatic member of the family Mustelidae is commonly found along waterways throughout North America, including Michigan. For these reasons, mink have been selected as an ecological receptor for risk assessments at other sites, such as the Fox River (WI) (12), Clinch River (TN) (13), and Housatonic River (MA) (14), which are large riverine systems with PCBs as the contaminant of concern (COC). In addition, experimental data from mink PCB feeding studies have been used to assess risk to other mustelid species (15). The study was conducted on the main stem of the Kalamazoo River, which is located in southwestern Michigan (Figure 1). The Kalamazoo River is approximately 195 km long and flows northwest, entering Lake Michigan near Saugatuck, MI. In 1990, approximately 125 km of the Kalamazoo River was designated a Superfund site, referred to as the Kalamazoo River Area of Concern (KRAOC). The site extends from Morrow Dam in Kalamazoo County to Lake Michigan (Figure 1). The release of PCBs, the COC, resulted primarily from PCB-contaminated waste discharged from the recycling and processing of carbonless copy paper (16). Exposures and risks measured in the KRAOC were compared to those from an upstream, less PCB-contaminated site in the Fort Custer Recreational Area (FC). A congener-specific approach, including analysis of nonortho-substituted congeners, was utilized in this study since the most sensitive biological effects of PCBs have been attributed to planar congeners that resemble 2,3,7,8-tetrachlorodibenzo-p-dioxin (2,3,7,8-TCDD) and act through the 6452 9 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY / VOL. 38, NO. 24, 2004 Sample Collection. Samples of wild mink and their prey were collected throughout the KRAOC and FC during the winters of 2000 through 2002. Mink and muskrats (Ondatra zibethicus) were trapped in the same areas. Terrestrial small mammals were sampled in June/July 2000 and again in August/September 2000 at four locations within the Trowbridge (TB) area of KRAOC and three locations at FC. The TB area (Figure 1) is the largest of the four former impoundments (approximately 132 hectares of former sediments and approximately 70 hectares of existing impounded water), has the greatest estimated mass of PCBs, and has the greatest mean surficial concentration of PCBs in soils (∼11 mg/kg, dw) (16). Sampling occurred in a 35 × 35 m area in which alternating Sherman traps (Forestry Suppliers, Jackson, MS) and pitfall traps (#10 canning tins) were placed approximately 5 m apart. Concentrations of PCBs were measured in the following dietary items: eastern chipmunk (Tamias striatus), red squirrel (Tamiasciurus husdonicus), meadow vole (Microtus pennsylvanicus), deer mouse (Peromyscus maniculatus), white-footed mouse (Peromyscus leucopus), and meadow jumping mouse (Zapas hudsonius). Fish were collected by electro-fishing (Smith Root, Inc., Vancouver, WA) in early winter 2000 (11/9/99-12/3/00) at TB and FC. The following fish species were analyzed for PCB concentrations to use in the dietary assessment: carp (Cyprinus carpio) ranging in length of 46-56 cm, forage fish (collected based only on size, predominately Cyprinids, immature Catastomids and Centrarchids) all less than 23 cm long, smallmouth bass (Micropterus dolomieu) ranging in length from 31 to 51 cm, and suckers (Catostomus commersoni, Hypentelium nigricans, and Moxostoma erythrurum) ranging in length from 31 to 51 cm. Crayfish (Cambarus and Oronectes species) were collected by use of wire minnow traps between June and September, 2000 from areas adjacent to where small mammals were collected within TB and FC. Weights, lengths, visual health, sex, and species of potential prey items were recorded. For mink, the GI tract was removed and contents preserved for prey item identification. The baculum (os-penis) of male mink was removed, cleaned, and weighed. Liver tissue was removed for PCB analysis and histology, and a tooth was removed for dental cementum analysis to determine age. The jaws were also removed for histological analysis. Gross necropsies and liver histology were performed by board-certified pathologists at the Animal Health Diagnostics Laboratory (Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI), dental cementum analysis was performed by Matson’s Laboratory (Milltown, MT), and jaw histology was performed by Kerrie Beckett (Department of Animal Science, Michigan State University). Gut contents were removed from small mammals, and weights, lengths, visual health, and sex were determined. These and all remaining samples were wrapped whole in aluminum foil and then frozen until homogenization for chemical analysis. Samples were thawed and weighed, and the whole body was homogenized in a grinder (model 4732 SS; Hobart Corp., Troy, OH) which resulted in a coarse grind. The fur was removed from muskrats but not other mammals. This coarsely ground material was then further homogenized in a Waring Commercial Blender (model 36BL29, Waring Commercial Inc., New Hartford, CT), placed in cleaned glass jars (I-Chem, New Castle, DE), and stored at -20 °C until PCB analysis. Chemical Analysis. The extraction method used was based on EPA method 3540 (Soxhlet extraction). Briefly, a known quantity (approximately 5 g) of tissue was homogenized, extracted, and passed through a neutral/acidic silica gel column, and extract volume was reduced to 5 mL. All PCB congeners are numbered using IUPAC nomenclature. Surrogate standards, PCB 204 and PCB 30 (AccuStandard, New Haven CT), were added to all samples, blanks, and matrix spikes before extraction. The extract volume was reduced to 1.0 mL under a stream of nitrogen. An aliquot of 0.5 mL was transferred to a gas chromatograph (GC) vial for total PCB analysis, while the remaining 0.5 mL was subjected to carbon column chromatography for the separation of non-orthosubstituted (coplanar) PCB congeners. PCB congeners were quantified by use of a GC (PerkinElmer AutoSystem) equipped with a 63Ni electron capture detector (GC-ECD) according to previously published methods (25). A solution containing 100 individual PCB congeners was used as a standard. PCB congeners were identified by relative retention time and quantified by comparing peak areas to those of the appropriate peaks in the standard mixture. TurboChrom software (Perkin-Elmer, Boston, MA) was used to integrate the peaks. Concentrations of all resolved PCB congeners were summed to obtain total PCB concentrations. Non-ortho-substituted PCB congeners 77, 81, 126, and 169 were separated from coeluting congeners and interferences by carbon column chromatography (26). A mixture of radiolabeled 13C coplanar PCB congeners (77, 81, 126, and 169) (Cambridge Isotope Laboratories, Andover MA) was added to each extract as internal quantification standards. The volume of the final extract containing non-ortho coplanar PCB congeners was then reduced to 20 µL under a stream of nitrogen. The coplanar PCB fraction was analyzed by GC-mass spectrophotometer (Hewlett-Packard 5890 series II gas chromatograph equipped with a HP 5972 series mass selective detector) (Agilent Technologies, Foster City, CA). Non-orthosubstituted PCB congeners were identified by use of selected ion monitoring of the two ions of the molecular cluster. Congener concentrations were calculated based on ion ratios for the native and 13C internal standard congener. TEQ Computation. Concentrations of TEQs in mink livers were calculated by multiplying the concentration of individual PCB congeners by its respective World Health Organization toxic equivalency factors (TEF) (27). Total TEQ concentrations were determined by summing the concentrations of TEQs of PCB congeners 77, 81, 105, 118, 126, 156, 157, 167, and 169 (IUPAC nomenclature). When a congener was not detected, a surrogate value of one-half of the limit of quantification was multiplied by the TEF to calculate the congener-specific TEQs. PCB congeners 156 and 157 frequently coeluted with PCB congeners 171 and 200, respectively. In those instances, it was assumed that the entire concentration was due to the non-ortho-substituted (co- TABLE 1. Toxicity Reference Values (TRVs) Used To Calculate Hazard Quotients for Total PCBs and Total TEQs tissue-based TRVs (mg PCBs/kg) or (ng TEQs/kg) total PCBs total TEQs dietary-based TRVs (mg PCBs/kg bw/d) or (ng TEQs/kg bw/d) NOAEC LOAEC NOAEL LOAEL reference 6.0 3.1 56 71 7.3 3.1 220 270 0.12 0.17 1.7 1.1 0.35 0.23 0.41 7.7 4.5 2.4 (29) (28) (28) ( 8) ( 7) planar) congeners 156 and 157, providing the maximum estimate of TEQ concentration. By making this assumption PCB congener 157 contributed < 5% of the total concentration of TEQs, whereas PCB congener 156 contributed between < 0.01% and 50% of the total TEQ concentrations with a mean TEQ contribution of 10%. The relatively greater contribution of PCB congener 156 to the total concentration of TEQs in some samples occurred when absolute concentrations of total PCBs and total TEQs were both small. Toxicity Reference Values. TRVs were derived from multiple feeding studies to capture the range, variability, and associated uncertainties. TRVs were selected based on the following criteria: (1) close relatedness of the test species to the wildlife receptor of concern (in this case all studies are based on mink); (2) chronic duration of exposure which included sensitive life stages to evaluate potential developmental and reproductive effects; (3) measurement of ecologically relevant endpoints; and (4) minimal impact of cocontaminants. This last criterion is especially relevant to selection of appropriate TRVs. Presence of co-contaminants confounds one’s ability to assign causality to one particular contaminant. Similarly, in the case of mink feeding studies, many have been conducted with technical Aroclors, while others have been conducted with environmentally weathered mixtures. Selection of an Aroclor-based study may not reflect the actual toxicity of an environmentally weathered mixture and may thus contribute to uncertainty in the results. On the other hand, if TRVs are derived from an environmentally weathered PCB mixture, careful evaluation of the potential effects of co-contaminants is necessary. Dietary-Based PCB TRVs. The PCB-based dietary TRVs were derived from the results of two studies in which mink were fed PCBs in the diet under laboratory conditions (28, 29). First, Halbrook et al. (29) conducted a well-designed, chronic laboratory study, in which mink were fed fish containing environmentally weathered PCBs, at concentrations that are relevant to the KRAOC. From this study, TRVs based on the NOAEL and LOAEL were determined to be 1.0 and 1.9 mg/kg, ww (diet). The measurement endpoint used was a statistically significant (17%) decrease in male kit body weight at 6 weeks of age. When normalized to ingestion rate and body weight, the TRV values based on the NOAEL and LOAEL were 0.12 and 0.23 mg/kg BW/d, respectively (Table 1). The TRVs derived from the study conducted by Halbrook et al. (29) are strengthened by the fact that the dose intervals were very close together, there were three doses at which there were no observable adverse effects, and the effects of co-contaminants were minimal. A well-designed, chronic laboratory study in which mink were fed fish with environmentally weathered PCBs, at concentrations that are relevant to the KRAOC, was conducted by Bursian et al. (28). From this study, TRVs based on the NOAEL and LOAEL were determined to be 3.1 and 3.7 mg/kg, ww (diet), respectively. The measurement endpoints on which these TRVs were based were sensitive and ecologically relevant reproductive and developmental endpoints, VOL. 38, NO. 24, 2004 / ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY 9 6453 including reduced kit body weight after 3 wk and decreased kit survival after 6 wk. When normalized to ingestion rate and body weight, the NOAEL and LOAEL TRVs were 0.17 and 0.41 mg/kg bw/d, respectively (Table 1). The study, by Bursian et al. (28), is strengthened by the fact that the dose intervals were very close together, there were four doses at which there were no observable adverse effects, and the effect of cocontaminants were minimal. Tissue Residue-Based PCB TRVs. TRVs based on tissue residues of PCBs were calculated based on two studies (28, 29). A hepatic-based mink LOAEC of 7.3 mg PCBs/kg, ww was reported by Halbrook et al. (29). However, a hepaticbased NOAEC was not reported by the authors. The hepaticbased NOAEC was estimated from the NOAEC-based concentration in adipose tissue and the relationship between the PCB concentrations in adipose and liver at the LOAEC. The NOAEC was estimated to be 6.0 mg PCBs/kg, ww. In the study by Bursian et al. (28), the LOAEC and NOAEC were both reported to be 3.1 mg PCBs/kg, ww. Dietary-Based TEQ TRVs. TRVs based on TEQs were calculated from the results of three laboratory-based mink feeding studies (7, 8, 28). In the study by Bursian et al. (28), the NOAEL and LOAEL were determined to be 16.1 and 68.5 ng/kg, ww (diet), respectively. When normalized to ingestion rate and body weight, the TRVs based on the NOAEL and LOAEL were 1.7 and 7.7 ng TEQs/kg bw/d, respectively (Table 1). In a second study, Heaton et al. (8) reported TRVs based on decreased kit survivability and decreased weights of kits at 3 and 6 wk after whelping. There is some uncertainty concerning this study since co-contaminants (dioxins and furans) are known to be present. When the TRVs based on the NOAEL and LOAEL were recalculated based on the more recent WHO TEFs, they were determined to be 1.1 and 4.5 ng TEQs/kg bw/d, respectively (Table 1). The TRVs from Brunstrom et al. (7) were calculated using a study-specific normalized ingestion rate (NIR) to yield LOAEL and NOAEL TRVs of 2.4 and 0.35 ng TEQs/kg bw/d, respectively. However, the TRV based on the NOAEL corresponds to a 7-fold lesser concentration of TEQs than did the LOAEL and also has the greatest difference in dose range of the studies used. Tissue Residue-Based TEQ TRVs. The studies by Heaton et al. (8) and Bursian et al. (28) were utilized for determining tissue residue-based TRVs for TEQs. TRVs based on the NOAEC and LOAEC hepatic concentrations were determined to be 56 and 220 ng TEQs/kg, ww respectively (28). In a study by Heaton et al. (8), the TRVs based on concentrations of TEQs in the liver associated with the NOAEC and LOAEC were reported to be 71 and 270 ng TEQs/kg, ww respectively. Site-Specific Dietary Analysis. Stomachs and large intestines of mink were dissected from mink carcasses and stored frozen until analysis. The stomach was cut open and the contents were removed by squeezing through a stacking sieve (mesh numbers 5-230; Hubbard Scientific, Fort Collins, CO). After rinsing, the contents were dried at 90 °C for 24 h and identifiable contents separated and classified as bone, feathers, exoskeleton, hair, teeth, or scales (30). Dietary composition was expressed as percent frequency of mammal, fish, bird, and crayfish (31). In instances in which no identifiable components were found, it was recorded as unknown, and these individuals were not used to calculate the dietary composition for use with estimating dietary doses. Average Potential Daily Dose Calculations. Average potential daily dose (ADDpot) was used to estimate the total dose of PCBs and TEQs present in food ingested (3) (eq 1) ADDpot ) Σ(Ck × FRk × NIRk) (1) where Ck ) contaminant concentration in each prey item, FRk ) fraction of time spent on site, and NIRk ) normalized ingestion rate ) mean daily ingestion rate/mean body weight. 6454 9 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY / VOL. 38, NO. 24, 2004 Dietary exposure was estimated using three different assumptions of dietary composition. Results from the sitespecific dietary analysis represented what mink from the Kalamazoo River ate immediately prior to their capture. Due to the opportunistic nature of mink, two other dietary models were also chosen to estimate ADDpot. One assumed different proportions of dietary items based on literature values (32). The other assumed an equally opportunistic consumption of specified prey items. The proportion of prey in the literature-based diet represented only one study because it was a year-round study on a Michigan river and because it provided a maximum estimate of both fish and PCBs in diet compared to other studies (32). This literature-based diet consisted of 85% fish, 9% crayfish, and 6% small mammals. The equally opportunistic model gave equal weight (33.3%) to all three prey components. That model was chosen because it represents a median exposure of mink diet that can vary greatly, depending on prey availability. However, regardless of the model chosen, the portion of the diet that consisted of mammals was assumed to consist of 50% small mammals and 50% muskrat, while the fish portion of the diet was assumed to consist of 25% carp, 25% forage fish, 25% smallmouth bass, and 25% sucker. An additional assumption in all models was that the site use factor (FRk) was 100%. Therefore, it was assumed that mink captured all prey items from within the contaminated area. Concentrations of total PCBs and TEQs in site-specific prey items were then used to calculate the daily dose of PCBs and TEQs to mink from KRAOC and FC. Potential risks were estimated by use of an HQ approach (eq 2), in which the ADDpot for each dietary model was compared to appropriate TRVs for PCBs and TEQs from laboratory-based mink feeding studies (7, 8, 28, 29). HQ ) ADDpot (mg PCBs/kg/d or ng TEQs/kg/g) (2) dietary toxicity reference value Statistical Analysis. Normality was determined using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov one sample test using the Normal distribution with a mean of zero (0) and standard deviation of one (1). The test statistic was Lillifors Probability. If the value of Lillifors test was g 0.05, the data were considered to be normally distributed. Data that were normally distributed were compared using a t-test. If data did not exhibit a normal distribution, then a nonparametric version of the t-test was used. Therefore, if only two means were being compared, a Mann-Whitney U test was performed, and if there were more than 2 means being compared a KruskalWallis test would have been used. Correlations were performed using a Pearson Product Correlation. Results Mink. Nine male and one female mink were collected within the KRAOC. Three mink (two male and one female) were collected from FC, approximately 25 river kilometers upstream of the PCB-contaminated area. Male mink from the KRAOC had a mean (95% CI) weight of 1048 ( 150 g and a mean length of 40 cm. Male mink from FC had a mean weight of 990 ( 65 g and a mean length of 39 cm, respectively (Table 2). The female mink from FC weighed 390 g and was 34 cm long. All of the mink collected appeared to be in good condition and did not exhibit external or internal gross abnormalities. Baculum mass was not correlated to PCB concentrations (r2 ) 0.09, p ) 0.36), even after correction for mink body weight. Based on a histological examination, the livers of the mink were normal. Mink from KRAOC ranged in age from 1 to 3 y (average 1.6 y), and mink from FC ranged in age from juvenile (<1 y) to 2 y (average 1.2 y) (Table 2). There were five individuals that exhibited lesions in the squamous epithelium tissue in the jaw bones TABLE 2. Hepatic Total PCB Concentrations, Hepatic Total TEQ Concentrations, and Biological Data for Mink Collected from KRAOCa and FCb mink ID gender total PCBs (mg/kg ww) total TEQs (pg/g ww) lipid (%) age (years) baculum mass (g) body weight (g) jaw lesion KRAOC1 KRAOC2 KRAOC3 KRAOC4 KRAOC5 KRAOC6 KRAOC7 KRAOC8 KRAOC9 FC1 FC2 FC3_F male male male male male male male male male male male female 3.4 5.0 1.0 6.0 0.05 1.7 2.9 3.3 1.1 1.6 3.7 1.6 250 580 32 1300 31 25 330 210 21 52 200 76 4.5 4.2 12 7.7 5.2 4.0 3.1 3.6 3.0 4.0 4.2 1.9 2 1 1 3 1 1 1 2 2 0.5 1 2 0.35 0.28 0.39 0.33 0.37 0.23 0.33 0.47 0.44 0.23 0.22 N/A 1100 970 1000 1100 1000 790 990 1200 1300 1000 940 390 absent present absent present absent absent present present absent present absent absent a Kalamazoo River Area of Concern. b Fort Custer Recreation Area (Reference area). FIGURE 2. Mean total PCBs (mg/kg, ww with 95% confidence intervals) and total TEQs (ng/kg, ww) in mink liver tissue from Kalamazoo River Area of Concern (KRAOC) and Fort Custer (FC), an upstream reference area. Sample sizes and p-values (Student t-test) comparing mean PCB and TEQ concentrations between sites are also presented. (33), and three of these individuals also contained the greatest liver PCB concentrations (Table 2). Total PCB and TEQ Concentrations. Total concentrations of PCBs in livers of mink from the KRAOC ranged from 0.05 to 6.0 mg PCBs/kg, ww (mean 2.7 ( 1.3 mg PCBs/kg, ww). Total PCB concentrations in livers of mink from FC ranged from 1.6 to 3.7 mg PCBs/kg, ww (mean 2.3 ( 1.4 mg PCBs/kg, ww) (Figure 2). There were no significant differences in PCB concentrations between the sites (Student’s t-test unequal variance, p ) 0.33). Concentrations of total TEQs in mink liver from KRAOC ranged from 21 to 1300 ng TEQs/kg, ww (mean 300 ( 270 ng TEQs/kg, ww) (Figure 2), while total TEQs in mink liver from FC ranged from 52 to 200 ng TEQs/kg, ww (mean 110 ( 87 ng TEQs/kg, ww). There were no statistically significant differences in TEQ concentrations between sites (Student’s t-test unequal variance, p ) 0.10). Total concentrations of PCBs were significantly correlated with total concentrations of TEQs (r2 ) 0.76, p < 0.01). PCB 126 contributed the greatest amount of the TEQs at both locations with average contributions of 77% at KRAOC and 69% at FC (Figure 3). PCBs 118 and 156 were the next greatest contributors, but their relative rankings were different for the two sites. Concentrations of total PCBs at KRAOC ranged from 0.01 mg PCBs/kg, ww in muskrat as well as small mammals to 10 mg PCBs/kg, ww in smallmouth bass (Table 3). At FC, PCB concentrations in prey items ranged from 0.0014 mg PCBs/ kg, ww in small mammals to 2.4 mg PCBs/kg, ww in carp. PCB concentrations in prey items from KRAOC were significantly greater (Student t-test p < 0.05) than those from the upstream reference area at FC. FIGURE 3. Relative contribution of individual PCB congeners to total TEQ concentrations in livers of mink. The last two bars to the right of the figure represent the arithmetic mean contribution of individual congeners to total TEQs in livers of mink from the KRAOC (n ) 9) and FC (n ) 3), respectively. Concentrations of TEQs in prey items from KRAOC ranged from a minimum of 0.22 ng TEQs/kg, ww in small mammals to 111 ng TEQs/kg, ww in smallmouth bass, while those at FC ranged from 0.08 ng TEQs/kg, ww in small mammals to 47 ng TEQs/kg, ww in carp (Table 3). Prey items from TB contained significantly greater concentrations of TEQs than those from FC (Student t-test p < 0.05), with the exception of muskrat and carp, which were not statistically different (Student t-test p ) 0.24 and p ) 0.11, respectively). Site-Specific Diet Composition. No individual mink had more than one identifiable prey category in its gastrointestinal tract. One mink contained scales, five contained fur, one contained crayfish exoskeleton, and five contained no major components in their GI tract. This resulted in the following site-specific dietary composition for mink on the Kalamazoo River: 72% mammals, 14% fish, and 14% crayfish. Tissue-Based Risk Calculations. Hazard quotients (HQs) were calculated based on both LOAEC and NOAEC for total concentrations of PCBs and TEQs in livers (Table 4). Also, since two different TRVs were used, two values are presented for each combination of exposure measure. HQs based on the mean PCB concentrations in mink livers were all less than 1.0 based on both the LOAEC and NOAEC (Table 4). HQs based on the LOAEL of mean TEQ concentrations ranged from 1.1 to 1.4 and 0.39 to 0.49 for the KRAOC and FC, VOL. 38, NO. 24, 2004 / ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY 9 6455 TABLE 3. Total PCBs (mg PCBs/kg ww) and TEQs (ng TEQs/kg ww) in Prey Items Collected from Two Sites on the Kalamazoo Rivera KRAOC N mean sucker smallmouth bass carp forage fish crayfish muskrat small mammals 5 5 5 5 13 7 20 3.8 ( 2.3a 6.7 ( 2.6a 3.8 ( 2.3a 3.2 ( 1.3a 0.54 ( 0.53a 0.07 ( 0.03a 0.11 ( 0.13a sucker smallmouth bass carp forage fish crayfish muskrat small mammals 5 5 5 5 13 7 20 40 ( 27a 80 ( 25a 48 ( 20 38 ( 15a 6.7 ( 5.5a 1.4 ( 0.78 9.4 ( 20a FC range lipid (%) N mean range lipid (%) PCB Concentrations 0.42 -5.9 5.2 6 3.5-10 1.9 5 1.4 -7.1 3.7 5 1.9 -4.7 4.0 5 0.08 -1.9 0.84 4 0.01 -0.11 2.4 4 0.01 -0.55 4.8 17 0.79 ( 0.07 0.89 ( 0.30 1.1 ( 0.74 0.64 ( 0.21 0.06 ( 0.03 0.01 ( 0.01 0.02 ( 0.04 0.67-0.85 0.71-1.4 0.46-2.4 0.37-0.88 0.03-0.09 0.01-0.03 1.4 × 10-3 - 0.18 2.8 2.7 10 3.8 5.8 3.7 4.1 TEQ Concentrations 8.0 -80 5.2 6 40-111 1.9 5 29-77 3.7 5 15-54 4.0 5 1.8 -22 0.84 4 0.22 -2.3 2.4 4 0.3 -93 4.8 17 12 ( 1.3 17 ( 4.2 33 ( 16 9.9 ( 3.0 2.0 ( 1.3 5.9 ( 11 0.60 ( 0.57 10-13 14-22 8.8-47 6.0-13 0.36-3.4 0.17-23 0.08-1.9 2.8 2.7 10 3.8 5.8 3.7 4.1 a Indicates a statistical difference (p < 0.05) when comparing a prey item from KRAOC (Kalamazoo River Area of Concern) to FC (Fort Custer Recreation Area (Reference area)). TABLE 4. Tissue-Based Hazard Quotients (HQs) Calculated Using Total PCBs or Total TEQs Concentrations in Mink Livers Collected from the Kalamazoo Rivera total PCB HQs NOAEC KRAOCb mean (n)9) KRAOC upper 95% CL FCc mean (n)3) FC upper 95% CL 0.45-0.88 0.67-1.3 0.38-0.74 0.61-1.2 LOAEC 0.37-0.87 0.55-1.3 0.31-0.73 0.50-1.2 total TEQ HQs NOAEC 4.3-5.4 8.0-10 1.5-1.9 2.7-3.5 TABLE 5. Range of Average Potential Daily Doses (ADDpot), Based on Mean and the Upper 95% Confidence Limit (U95% CL) of Prey Items for Total PCBs (mg PCBs/kg bw/d) and TEQs (ng TEQs/kg w/d), at Both KRAOCdand FCe KRAOC LOAEC dietary models 1.1-1.4 2.1-2.6 0.39-0.49 0.71-0.89 mean U95% CL a The TRVs used to calculate HQs based on total PCBs are from feeding studies conducted by Halbrook et al. (29) and Bursian et al. (28). The TRVs used to calculate total HQs based on TEQs are based upon mink feeding studies conducted by Bursian et al. (28) and Heaton et al. (8). b Kalamazoo River Area of Concern. c Fort Custer Recreation Area (Reference area). respectively. HQ values based on the NOAEC for TEQs ranged from 4.3 to 5.4 and from 1.5 to 1.9 for the KRAOC and FC, respectively. Dietary-Based Risk Calculations. Dietary exposures (average daily doses) were reported as both concentrations of total PCBs and TEQs (Table 5). The rank order of ADDpot for the three different dietary models were literature-based > equally opportunistic > site-specific. The resulting dietarybased NOAEL and LOAEL HQs are presented as a range of values (Table 6), based on several TRV values. For both NOAEL and LOAEL-based HQs for PCBs, the TRVs derived from the laboratory feeding study by Bursian et al. (28) resulted in lesser HQs than those derived from the study by Halbrook et al. (29). Of the three studies used to calculate HQs based on TEQs, the TRV based on the study by Bursian et al. (28) resulted in the least HQs. Whereas, the TRVs based on the study by Brunström et al. (7) resulted in the greatest HQs, and the TRVs based on the study by Heaton et al. (8) resulted in intermediate HQs. Among the three diets assumed, mean LOAEL-based HQ values for PCBs ranged from 0.20 to 1.8 at KRAOC, while those based on concentrations in prey from FC ranged from 0.04 to 0.35. The NOAEL-based HQs ranged from 0.50 to 3.4 at KRAOC and from 0.09 to 0.68 at FC. LOAEL-based HQ values for TEQ concentrations ranged from 0.17 to 2.0 at KRAOC, while those based on concentrations at FC ranged from 0.07 to 0.71. The mean NOAEL-based HQs of TEQ concentrations from KRAOC and FC ranged from 0.79 to 14 6456 9 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY / VOL. 38, NO. 24, 2004 PCBs FC TEQs PCBs TEQs Site-Specifica 0.08 1.3 0.12 2.1 0.02 0.02 0.57 1.1 mean U95% CL Equally Opportunisticb 0.18 2.3 0.26 3.3 0.03 0.05 0.85 1.3 mean U95% CL Literature-Basedc 0.41 4.9 0.59 6.7 0.08 0.11 1.7 2.3 a Model is based on results from field collected mink GI tract contents. Model assumes that consumption of specified prey items is equal. c Model based upon one mink diet reported in the literature (32). d Kalamazoo River Area of Concern. e Fort Custer Recreation Area (Reference area). b and 0.34 to 4.9, respectively. Overall, there was relatively good agreement between HQ values based on total PCBs and those based on TEQs. Among locations, PCB-based HQs were 4-5-fold greater at TB than FC, while TEQ-based HQs were 2-3-fold greater at KRAOC than FC. Discussion Total PCB concentrations in mink liver tissue from both sites were similar to one another. The resulting HQs were less than 1.0 at both sites for both the LOAEC and NOAEC (Table 4). This suggests that adverse effects from PCBs were unlikely. However, there was more of a difference among sites when comparing TEQ concentrations in liver tissues, although this difference was not statistically significant. This may indicate an increased relative potency of the PCB exposure mixture at KRAOC compared to FC. The resulting TEQ-based HQs are greater than 1.0 at KRAOC for both the LOAEC and NOAEC, which indicates the potential for risk to mink. Additionally, the TEQ-based HQs for the NOAEC at FC would also suggest potential but relatively low level of risk to mink. There was considerable agreement among the four different feeding studies that were used to derive tissuebased and dietary-based TRVs. With the exception of the FIGURE 4. a. Comparison of tissue-based and dietary-based HQs at the Kalamazoo River Area of Concern (KRAOC) and Fort Custer (FC) calculated from LOAEC and LOAEL-based TRVs for PCBs and TEQs. The range in values is a result of using more than one TRV. Exact values for HQs are presented in Tables 4 and 6. b. Comparison of tissue-based and dietary-based HQs at the Kalamazoo River Area of Concern (KRAOC) and Fort Custer (FC) calculated from NOAEC and NOAEL-based TRVs for PCBs and TEQs. The range in values is a result of using more than one TRV. Exact values for HQs are presented in Tables 4 and 6. study by Brunström et al. (7), there was less than a 2.5-fold difference among TRVs. The dissimilarity of TRVs from the Brunström study is likely because it was designed to answer questions regarding effects of ortho vs non-ortho substituted PCB fractions. That study was not designed as a typical doseresponse study since there was a 7-fold difference in the LOAEL and NOAEL expressed as TEQs. There was also uncertainty associated with the NOAEC-based TRV from the study by Heaton et al. (8). That NOAEC was not directly based on a tested dose. Instead, it was estimated by taking the geometric mean of the control and lowest dose, which was the LOAEC. The experimental design that allows for an accurate estimate of the NOAEC is one that has a tight dosing interval and results in two tested doses being less than the LOAEC. The use of three different sets of assumptions of dietary composition encompasses a wide range of potential mink feeding habits and also provides a measure of uncertainty when estimating risk to mink. The greatest HQ values for mink on the Kalamazoo River were obtained by using the literature-based dietary model because of the greater proportion of the diet that was assumed to be fish and the fact that concentrations of both PCBs and TEQs were greater in fish than in other prey items. The Great Lakes Water Quality Initiative assumes that fish comprise 85% of a mink’s diet for deriving water quality criteria protective of mammals (34). However, site-specific determination of the mink diet on the Kalamazoo River suggests that during the winter the diet of mink is comprised predominantly of small mammals. This is similar to results from Sealander (23) who also reported a high percentage of mammals in the diet of male mink during winter. The determination of risk to mink due to PCB concentrations in prey items is dependent upon the dietary assumptions and which TRVs were used. At the KRAOC, LOAELbased HQs for total PCBs and TEQs, based on mean estimated VOL. 38, NO. 24, 2004 / ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY 9 6457 TABLE 6. Hazard Quotient (HQ) Values Based on Mean and the Upper 95% Confidence Limit (U95% CL) of Potential Average Daily Doses of Total PCBs and TEQs, When Assuming Three Different Dietary Compositions for Minka KRAOCb LOAEL NOAEL FCc LOAEL NOAEL PCB Based Dietary Models mean U95% CL 0.20-0.36 0.29-0.52 Site-Specific 0.50-0.70 0.04-0.07 0.71-1.0 0.05-0.10 0.09-0.13 0.13-0.18 mean U95% CL Equally Opportunistic 0.44-0.79 1.1-1.5 0.08-0.15 0.63-1.1 1.6-2.2 0.11-0.20 0.20-0.29 0.28-0.39 mean U95% CL 1.0-1.8 1.4-2.6 Literature-Based 2.4-3.4 0.20-0.35 3.5-4.9 0.26-0.47 0.48-0.68 0.64-0.90 Acknowledgments TEQ-Based Dietary Models mean U95% CL 0.17-0.56 0.27-0.86 Site-Specific 0.79-3.8 0.07-0.24 1.2-5.9 0.15-0.46 0.34-1.6 0.66-3.2 mean U95% CL Equally Opportunistic 0.30-0.97 1.4-6.7 0.11-0.35 0.43-1.4 2.0-9.5 0.17-0.54 0.50-2.4 0.77-3.7 mean U95% CL 0.64-2.0 0.88-2.8 Literature-Based 2.9-14 0.22-0.71 4.0-19 0.29-0.94 1.0-4.9 1.3-6.5 a The TRVs used to calculate HQs were based on feeding studies (7, 8, 28, 29). The range of calculated HQs is a result of using more than one TRV. b Kalamazoo River Area of Concern. c Fort Custer Recreation Area (Reference area). dietary exposure concentrations, are less than 1.0 for all dietary models except the literature-based model in which fish comprise 85% of the mink’s diet (Table 6). Thus, if fish comprise 85% or more of the mink’s diet, then exposure is potentially great enough to cause adverse reproductive effects in mink. If the most conservatively modeled diet (85% fish) is combined with the most conservative NOAEL-based dietary TRV, the mean PCB and TEQ-based HQs were 3.4 and 14, respectively. However, the most likely threshold for effects lay somewhere between the LOAEL and NOAEL. At FC, total PCBs pose minimal risk to mink regardless of the percentage of fish in the diet or which TRV was utilized. However, when the NOAEL TRVs for TEQs are utilized, there is potential for risk to mink at FC, based on the equally opportunistic and literature-based dietary models. The results of the two basic approaches to determining exposure in risk assessments were compared to determine the accuracy of predicted versus measured exposures. This comparison was done by comparing the range of resulting mean HQs from the two methods (Figure 4). Based on mean exposure, all dietary models resulted in HQs that were less 10-fold different than tissue-based HQs, and half of the dietary models were less than twice as different than their tissuebased HQ counterparts. There did not appear to be a large difference among the LOAEL(C)-based HQs for PCBs and TEQs (based on mean exposure) between the tissue-based and dietary-based approaches (Figure 4). For example, the LOAEL(C)-based maximum HQs for PCBs and TEQs were 1.8 for the dietary model and 1.4 for the tissue-based approach. The range of NOAEL(C)-based HQs was greater than the range of LOAEL(C)-based HQs for both tissue-based and dietary-based approaches, reflecting a greater uncertainty in the NOAEL(C)-based TRVs. Results from this study suggest that it would be appropriate to estimate risk based on either tissue-based or dietarybased methodologies. In the future, if researchers use a 6458 9 dietary-based approach to estimate risk to mink, site-specific data should be collected from a variety of potential prey items and incorporated into the assessment. Researchers could also attempt to reduce uncertainty in the dietary-based assessment by measuring availability of prey species, collecting only fish sizes that mink would likely capture and adding a seasonal component. At either site on the Kalamazoo River, there was no single dietary model that most closely approximated the exposure measured in liver tissue. When dietary-based methods are used for risk assessment, a variety of feeding assumptions should be used to evaluate the sensitivity of the dietary model. Risk assessors should clearly communicate how dietary assumptions impact risk calculations. Both approaches to assessing risk were in agreement that the degree of exposure to PCBs and TEQs was near the threshold for effects on reproduction in mink on the Kalamazoo River. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY / VOL. 38, NO. 24, 2004 Funding was provided through a grant from the Kalamazoo River Study Group to Michigan State University. Fish sampling was conducted with the assistance of Blasland, Bouck and Lee Inc. (Syracuse, NY), who provided electrofishing personnel and equipment. This research involved the assistance of the following people: Scott Fitzgerald necropsies; Steve Bursian - necropsies and equipment; Kevin Allen, Jim Burns, Dan Keith, Daniel Villeneuve, and Alan Zwiernik - trapping; Dr. K. Kannan, Dong-Hoon Khim, George Klemolin, and Jamie Kober - laboratory support and analysis; Ryan Holem - organizational support. Steve Bursian, Tom Burton, and Scott Winterstien reviewed the manuscript and provided valuable suggestions. Additional thanks to the MSU Kellogg Biological Station for housing and laboratory space during sample collection. Literature Cited (1) Fairbrother, A. Hum. Ecol. Risk Asses. 2003, 9, 1475-1491. (2) McDonald, B. G.; Wilcockson, J. B. Hum. Ecol. Risk Assess. 2003, 9, 1585-1594. (3) Environmental Factors Handbook; U.S. Environmental Protection Agency: Washington, DC, 1993. (4) Guidelines for ecological risk assessment; EPA/630/R-95/002F; U.S. Environmental Protection Agency: Washington, DC, 1998. (5) Aulerich, R. J.; Ringer, R. K.; Seagran, H. L.; Youatt, W. G. Can. J. Zool. 1971, 49 (5), 611-616. (6) Aulerich, R. J.; Ringer, R. K.; Iwamato, S. J. Reprod. Fertil. 1973, Suppl 19, 365-376. (7) Brunström, B.; Lund, B. 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