VIRGINIA RAILWAY EXPRESS RECOMMENDED BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 2014 AND REVISED BUDGET FOR FISCAL YEAR 2013 DECEMBER 21, 2012 TABLE OF CONTENTS RECOMMENDED FY 2014 BUDGET Mission Statement 3 Fiscal Year 2014 Goals 3 Fiscal Year Performance Measures 3 Fiscal Year 2014 Budget Assumptions 4 Local Subsidy Calculation from Oct 2012 Survey 6 Source and Use Statement 7 FY 2014 Budget Worksheet 8 Proposed Capital Improvement Program FY 2014 – FY 2019 10 Six-year Financial Forecast Assumptions 18 Six-year Financial Forecast Worksheet 19 REVISED FY 2013 BUDGET Revised FY 2013 Budget Assumptions 20 Fiscal Year 2013 Revised Budget Worksheet 23 2 MISSION STATEMENT The Virginia Railway Express, a joint project of the Northern Virginia Transportation Commission and the Potomac and Rappahannock Transportation Commission, will provide safe, cost-effective, accessible, customer-responsive, reliable rail passenger service as an integral part of a balanced, intermodal regional transportation system. GOALS FOR FISCAL YEAR 2014 Achieve at least a 50 percent operating ratio (cost recovery). Operate trains on time at least 92 percent of time. Achieve at least 20,100 average daily ridership PERFORMANCE MEASURES FOR FISCAL YEAR 2014 MEASURE PERFORMANCE MEASURE TARGET Safety Injuries to Passengers On-Time Performance Percent On-time Each Month 92% Average Daily Seat Occupancy Utilization of Available Seating 90% Operating Ratio Ratio of Fare Income to Operating Costs 50% Ridership Growth Minimum Growth over Prior Year 2% 3 0 BUDGET ASSUMPTIONS FOR FISCAL YEAR 2014 Major Assumptions in FY 2014 Budget: 1. Subsidy level of $16,428,800; no increase from the FY 2013 subsidy. 2. State funding for operations is projected at below the FY 2013 amount. The state operating grant is budgeted at 23% below the FY 2013 state award (a reduction from $9.3M to $7.2M), as FY 2013 contained state one-time funds. The state capital match is budgeted at 50%. 3. Average daily ridership of 20,100 assumes a 30 revenue train operation and an overall 32 train schedule. 4. A 4% fare increase is proposed. Fare revenue is budgeted at $36.6M. 5. Keolis contract costs are budgeted at a net increase of $1.0M to reflect a CPI increase of 2.16% and the lengthening of one Fredericksburg and one Manassas train from FY 2013. 6. Amtrak costs for mid-day storage and services are increased by $362,000 to reflect current contract provisions and the estimated increase to the AAR index. 7. Fuel costs continue to be volatile. Projected costs are in the amount of $5.6M, based on a cost per gallon of $3.50. 8. Restoration of the $9.6M of track access funding for total grants of 83% of costs. Sources by Jurisdiction ($ in thousands) Jurisdiction Fairfax County Fredericksburg Manassas Manassas Park Prince William County Stafford County Spotsylvania County Alexandria Arlington Total FY 2013 FY 2014 Net $ 5,155,355 $ 4,747,685 $ (407,670) 421,616 427,728 6,112 777,205 757,804 (19,401) 526,460 574,709 48,249 5,687,222 5,748,203 60,981 2,347,707 2,529,281 181,574 1,183,444 1,313,600 130,156 133,894 133,894 195,897 195,897 $ 16,428,800 $ 16,428,800 $ - 4 Percent -7.9% 1.4% -2.5% 9.2% 1.1% 7.7% 11.0% 0.0% 0.0% Source and Use of Funds Fare Increase Subsidy Increase $ Number of Trains Average Daily Ridership Sources Fare Revenue $ Local Subsidy State Operating Grant State Capital Grant used for Debt and Other State Capital Grant used for Capital Programs Federal/State Capital Funding for Track Access Federal Capital Grant used for Debt and Other Federal Capital Grant used for Capital Programs Other Income Total Sources $ Uses Operating Expenses $ Debt Service Federal Capital Program Operating Reserve and Other Total Uses $ 4% 32 20,100 36,600,000 16,428,800 7,200,000 4,111,344 1,315,300 11,880,000 6,077,429 8,922,400 456,300 92,991,573 67,404,408 13,664,795 11,153,000 769,369 92,991,573 Six-Year Financial Plan The final FY 2014 budget recommendation includes a six-year financial plan as required by the Master Agreement. The six-year financial plan was reviewed with the CAO Budget Task Force. The VRE capital planning process reflects current priorities identified by the Operations Board as well as long-term planning assumptions through 2025 as outlined in the Phase II Strategic Plan, approved by the Operations Board in May 2004, and the Strategic Plan retreat in July 2011. The CIP is fiscally constrained and the program of projects is based on reasonably assumed funding only. Parking projects are assumed to be the responsibility of the jurisdiction, with VRE support and assistance, and are therefore not funded in the CIP. 5