Identifying sustainable management strategies for near-natural temperate evergreen rainforest in southern Chile – a simulation experiment N. Rüger¹,*, Á.G. Gutiérrez², W.D. Kissling¹, J.J. Armesto²,³ and A. Huth¹ ¹ UFZ - Centre for Environmental Research Leipzig-Halle, Department of Ecological Modelling, P.O. Box 500 136, D-04301 Leipzig, Germany. * e-mail: nadja.rueger@ufz.de ² CMEB, Department of Ecology, Faculty of Sciences, University of Chile, Casilla 653, Santiago, Chile. ³ Centre for Advanced Studies in Ecology & Biodiversity, Catholic University of Chile, P.O. Box 114-D, Santiago CP 6513677, Chile. _______________________________________________________________________ Abstract Current forestry practices in southern Chile rely largely on the establishment of pure plantations of exotic tree species after clear-cutting and burning of native old-growth forests. There is little experience with silviculture of the species-rich native evergreen rainforests. Nevertheless, conservationists, forest scientists and foresters call for sustainable management of native forests to conserve its highly endemic biodiversity and protect ecosystem services. We apply the process-based forest growth model FORMIND to compare different management strategies in regard to their sustainability. FORMIND is an individual-based forest growth model that simulates the spatio-temporal dynamics of an uneven-aged mixed forest stand. For each logging scenario we determine a sustainability index that combines economic (amount and constancy of yield) and ecological (structural and compositional similarity of logged and unlogged forest) criteria. Results show that high-intensity logging (40-200 trees/ha) in long logging cycles (80-100 years) reaches highest sustainability values. We suggest that our simulation results can provide general guidelines for planning future sustainable management of native rainforests. _______________________________________________________________________ Introduction Temperate evergreen rainforest covers approximately 43000 km² restricted mainly to lowland and mid-elevation areas in the western margin of southern South America (Donoso 1989). This remote and isolated eco-region has been classified as one of the most vulnerable ecosystems of the world (Dinerstein et al. 1995). Large parts of these forests are severely threatened by conversion to pastures or pure plantations of Pinus radiata or Eucalyptus species. However, an initiative of Chilean foresters, biologists, and agronomists calls for sustainable management of the remaining native forests to recover and maintain the valuable ecological services that these forests provide (Lara et al. 2003). In the past, native forests, particularly evergreen rain forests, were regarded as too complex to be managed because of its species-rich canopy, uneven age structure, and high structural complexity. Consequently, few studies have addressed its potential for sustainable use (Donoso 1989). We apply the process-based forest growth model FORMIND to compare different logging strategies and to determine management options that combine high timber yield with low impact on forest structure and composition. FORMIND is an individual-based forest model that allows for the detailed analysis of long-term implications of different logging strategies. Similar modelling approaches have been applied to identify sustainable management options for species-rich uneven-aged tropical lowland rainforests (e.g. Vanclay 1994, Huth & Ditzer 2001, van Gardingen et al. 2003). To enable a relative ranking of different logging scenarios we define a sustainability index that includes both economic (amount and constancy of yield) and ecological criteria (compositional and structural similarity of logged forest to unlogged old-growth forest). A weight is attached to each criterion that can be adjusted according to preferences of stakeholders and decision makers. The sustainability index facilitates the determination of most suitable logging regimes according to given subjective priorities. This study aims to show that sustainable management of native species-rich forests in southcentral Chile is possible. We suggest that our simulation results can provide guidelines for future sustainable management, thereby providing opportunities for the conservation and use of native biodiversity in forests outside protected areas (Armesto et al. 1998). Methods Study area The model was parameterized for a coastal Valdivian temperate rainforest, as it occurs, for example, in northern Chiloé Island, Chile, and along the coastal range of Chilean Lake District (40-42°S). Floristically, this forest type is dominated by Eucryphia cordifolia (Cunnoniaceae), a relatively light demanding emergent tree species, Aextoxicon punctatum (only member of the endemic Aextoxicaceae) and Laureliopsis philippiana (Monimiaceae), two shade-tolerant tree species which form the main canopy. In addition, several myrtaceous tree species occur in the canopy and subcanopy. In the model, all myrtaceous species are treated as one species because they share similar ecological characteristics (high shadetolerance, low maximum height). More details on model parameterization and validation can be found in Rüger et al. (in prep.). The model The forest growth model FORMIND2.2 simulates the spatial and temporal dynamics of uneven-aged, mixed species forest stands (Köhler and Huth 1998; Köhler 2000). It simulates a forest (in annual time steps) of several hectares as a mosaic of interacting patches with a size of 20 m × 20 m, corresponding to the crown size of mature trees. Within the patches, all trees compete for light and space following the distance-independent gap model approach (Shugart 1998). The carbon balance of each individual tree is modelled explicitly, including the main physiological processes (photosynthesis and respiration). Allometric functions relate above-ground biomass, stem diameter, tree height, crown diameter and stem volume. Tree mortality can occur either through self-thinning in dense patches, senescence, or gap formation by large falling trees. Gap formation links neighbouring patches. Regeneration rates are effective rates regarding the recruitment of small trees at a diameter at breast height (dbh) threshold of 1 cm, with seed loss through predation and other processes already being implicitly incorporated. Logging scenarios We selected two logging strategies for analysis, which are part of current silvicultural protocols in the region (Lara & Donoso 1999); low and high intensity selective logging with a minimum cutting threshold of 50 cm dbh. Logging intensity is varied from 2 to 20 trees/ha (in steps of 2 trees/ha) and from 20 to 200 trees/ha (in steps of 20 trees/ha) for the low and high intensity logging scenarios, respectively. Time between two harvesting operations (logging cycle) was varied from 2 to 10 years (in steps of 2 years) and from 20 to 100 years (in steps of 20 years). We use inventory data from the study area described above as initial situation. Logging started after 100 years – to allow the model to reach steady state – and was performed over 400 years. We assume reduced-impact logging where falling trees are directed to existing gaps if possible. Additional vegetation damage due to skidding is considered to increase linearly with felling intensity from 5 to 23% for 2 to 20 logged trees/ha, and from 23 to 50% for 20 to 200 logged trees/ha. No damage occurs to trees > 50 cm dbh. Sustainability index The sustainability index (SI) combines five criteria, namely total yield (Y), constancy of yield (CV), an index of structural change (ISC), an index of compositional change (ICC), and leaf area index (LAI) for the stand. All five criteria are normalized in relation to the maximum value obtained from all logging scenarios (Ymax, CVmax, ISCmax, ICCmax) or the value of a 5 control scenario (LAICtrl), weighted (w1-5, ∑w i =1 SI = w1 i = 1 ), and finally summed up: Y CV ISC ICC LAI + w2 (1 − ) + w3 (1 − ) + w4 (1 − ) + w5 ( ) Ymax CVmax ISC max ICC max LAI Ctrl This results in SI values ranging from 0 to 1 with higher values indicating more sustainable logging scenarios. Y was calculated as the total logged stem volume over the entire logging period. CV was determined as the coefficient of variation of Y. ISC measures the change in mean numbers of trees in three diameter classes (5-50 cm, 50-100 cm, and >100 cm dbh) of a simulated logged forest in comparison to an unlogged forest. ICC indicates the change in ecological dominance of a logged forest in relation to an unlogged forest based on importance values of trees ≥ 5 cm dbh (i.e. the sum of relative basal area and relative density). LAI values are directly determined from model output and averaged over the simulation time 400-500. For more details see Rüger et al. (in prep.). Figure 1: Sustainability index (SI) of different selective logging scenarios varying in logging intensity and logging cycle. Results Under the chosen weighting of the five criteria (w1=2, w2-5=1), high-intensity logging (40-200 trees/ha) in long logging cycles (80-100 years) yield highest sustainability values (Fig. 1). Among the low-intensity logging scenarios those with relatively low intensities and long cycles reach highest sustainability values. Highest timber yield is obtained for high logging intensities (60-200 trees/ha) and logging cycles longer than 40 years (cf. Rüger et al. in prep.). Greatest structural and compositional similarity to unlogged forest is achieved for low logging intensities and long logging cycles (2 ind/ha every 10 years or 20 ind/ha every 100 years). To ensure the conservation of animal species that depend on old trees (> 100 cm dbh) as habitat (Diaz et al. 2005), it is recommended to explicitly leave some old trees in the forest since most studied logging scenarios fail to keep them. This effect has also been observed for commonly applied logging practises (Armesto et al. 1999). Mean LAI values seem sufficiently high (>2 m²/m²) in all logging scenarios to prevent soil erosion due to heavy rain that is typical for this area. Even directly after a logging operation they usually do not fall below 1 m²/m² (cf. Rüger et al. in prep.). Discussion We aimed at comparing currently used logging strategies with different logging intensities and logging cycles in terms of their sustainability. We measured sustainability of a logging scenario as a combination of amount and constancy of yield on the one hand, and ecological impact on forest structure and composition on the other hand. Maximum annual stem volume increments for the simulated logging scenarios range between 6.3 and 13.6 m³/ha. These values are considerably lower than estimates for single-species plantations of Nothofagus dombeyi that reached mean annual increments of up to 26 m³/ha (Donoso et al. 1993). However, despite this difference, our estimates show that the native old-growth forests can provide a valuable source for constant and sustainable timber harvest. For a wide range of logging intensities and cycles, sustainability values are very similar, because a surplus in yield is accompanied by a decrease in “naturalness” (similarity to an unlogged forest) of the forest. This means that the ultimate choice of a management strategy strongly depends on the decision makers’ priorities and goals. Nevertheless, high-intensity logging (40-200 trees/ha) with long logging cycles (80-100 years) seems to offer an acceptable compromise between economic and ecological criteria. FORMIND has proven to be a useful tool to study long-term implications of anthropogenic intervention in species-rich uneven-aged native forests. We suggest that our simulation results can provide guidelines for decisions about sustainable annual felling rates, maintaining low ecological impacts on forests, as demanded by Lara et al. (2003). Sustainable management of remaining native forests in coastal and lowland areas of south-central Chile can support the conservation of biodiversity outside protected areas. Reference Armesto, J.J.; Rozzi, R.; Smith-Ramirez, C. and Arroyo, M.T.K. (1998) Conservation targets in South American temperate forests, Science 282: 1271-1272. Armesto, J.J.; Franklin, J.F.; Arroyo, M.T.K. and Smith-Ramirez, C. (1999) El sistema de cosecha con “retención variable“: una alternativa de manejo para conciliar los objetivos de conservación y producción en los bosques nativos chilenos, In: Donoso, C. & A. Lara, (Eds). 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