The use of Q-methodology to understand public perspectives on forests’ contribution to climate change mitigation M. Nijnik Socio-Economic Research Programme, Macaulay Institute, Aberdeen, AB15 8QH, Scotland, UK, email: m.nijnik@macaulay.ac.uk __________________________________________________________________________________________ Extended abstract The research develops a Q-methodology decision-support tool to assist in establishing a common view toward climate change mitigation forest policies and to inform end-users on the most appropriate forest management decisions, particularly with regard to woodlands expansion. Q-method is a rigorous and systematic quantitative means for examining human subjectivity. By using sequential application of correlation and factor analysis it allows us to identify and assess subjective structures, attitudes and perspectives from the standpoint of the persons being observed (Stephenson, 1963; Brown, 1996). The method provides insights into respondents’ preferences, identifies important criteria of respondents’ perspectives and explains factors influencing attitudinal diversity through analyzing the respondents’ socio-economic background. The main concern of the Q-method is not with how many people believe such-and-such, but why and how people believe in what they do. The method therefore allows for a rather simple data set, and its factor analytical tool makes it possible to analyse the interviews, even when the respondents have not explicitly revealed their opinions. Though the body of literature on Q-method is growing, the subset of forestry related research employing it is rather small. The methodology has been used e.g. to define attitudes toward agrarian reform (Peritore, 1990), to understand participant perspectives in national forest management (Steelman and Maguire, 1999), and to measure attitudinal diversity of forest policy actors (Nijnik and Oskam, 2004). The following basic features distinguish Q-method from standard survey analysis (Ranalysis) (McKeown and Thomas, 1988; Barry and Proops, 1999; Nijnik and Oskam, 2004): • Whilst R-analysis is concerned with patterns across objective variables (gender, age, etc) and yields statistically generalizable results, Q-analysis deals with patterns of subjective perspectives across individuals and it results in typologies of perspectives that prevail in a given situation; • With R-method, correlation summarizes the relationships among the traits and then factor analysis denotes the clusters of traits. Q-method allows individual responses to be collated and correlated; correlation summarises the views among people, and resulting factors represent points of view. • Q-method employs small number of respondents, because most of the data derives from how much information is implicit in each participant’s Q sort. As few as twelve respondents can generate statistically meaningful results, in terms of the range of implicit discourses uncovered, and a single person surveys are used in certain cases. The research involves the following steps. Firstly, the existing attitudes are analyzed through interviews. After pre-testing of the questionnaire, and then improving both the statements and the procedure, more of the respondents are asked to rank order the responses by placing the statements in the normal distribution chart. Each respondent is requested to distribute the statements (their numbers) across boxes in the chart, according to his or her agreement/disagreement with each of the statements. The diversity of the opinions across the respondents is important. The respondents rank each Q-statement on the scale ranging, for instance, +5 through -5, where "plus five" indicates a complete agreement and "minus five" indicates a complete disagreement with the statement, with zero indicating a neutral attitude to it. The statements include various economic, environmental and social dimensions of forest’s contribution to climate change mitigation. After the respondents had ranked the statements across the normal distribution, which encouraged them to consider the relationships among the statements more systematically, the output data are assessed, using the sequential application of multiple regression and factor analysis. Factor analysis reduced the dimensionality of the data by creating a few new uncorrelated choice variables (a set of factors or typical Q-sorts) which have captured the common essence of the several individual Q-sorts. The research therefore identifies the groups of people with their views (dominant attitudes towards forests’ contribution to climate change alleviation), according to the orientation of the blocks of statements. Then, the distinguishing statements across the factors are analysed, and social discourses uncovered by the statistical analysis are given. Finally, factors influencing attitudinal diversity are defined and explained. Statistically analysed socio-economic background of the respondents (gender; age; education; occupation etc. revealed in course of the survey) is considered to elucidate its influences on the perceptions. The research is in progress, and seen as a contribution to a broad discussion on climate change which is going on in the UK, and on opportunities of climate change mitigation through forestry (including by using wood as a substitute for fossil fuels). It is anticipated that the use of Q-method in this particular setting will enable us: -to clarify important internal and external constituencies of climate change mitigation forestry policy decisions; -provide sharper insights into the preferred management directions (e.g. concerning renewable energy); -identify criteria of climate change mitigation solutions that are important to people; outline areas of consensus and conflict between the participants’ opinions, as well as between political and public perceptions. This consultation with the public would provide a better understanding of people’s perspectives on the role and place of forestry projects in climate change alleviation. The research would lead to a number of conclusions, with the view of offering some insights into the connection between the policy of woodlands development promoted in the UK and public attitudes towards forests’ contribution to climate change mitigation. Reference Barry, J. and Proops, J. 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