Adaptive Governance in the Headwaters: the Resilience and Law Project Barbara Cosens, University of Idaho College of Law, Waters of the West Lance Gunderson, Emory University, Environmental Sciences MTNCLIM 2014: Machida Session Social-Ecological System Resilience, Climate Change and Adaptive Water Governance Barbara Cosens, University of Idaho / Lance Gunderson, Emory University Craig Allen, Univ. Nebraska, SNR, USGS Anthony Arnold, University of Louisville Melinda Benson, University of New Mexico, Brian Chaffin, EPA National Risk Management Research Laboratory Robin Craig, University of Utah Daniel DeCaro, University of Louisville Alex Fremier, Washington State University Ahjond Garmestani, EPA National Risk Management Research Laboratory Hannah Gosnell, Oregon State University Olivia O. Green, EPA National Risk Management Research Laboratory J.B. Ruhl, Vanderbilt University Edella Schlager, University of Arizona Mark Stone, University of New Mexico National Science Foundation DBI-1052875 COLUMBIA STUDY BASINS: to assess ecological resilience to climate change and identify the role of law in preventing or facilitating adaptive governance ANACOSTIA KLAMATH MIDDLE RIO GRANDE PLATTE EVERGLADES Bridging: Three Concepts Ecological Resilience Changing Climate Adaptive Governance The Role of Law Ecological Resilience Source: Protecting and Enhancing Landscapes and Rural Communities, The Macaulay Land Use Research Institute http://www.macaulay.ac.uk/issues/ProtectionEnhancementofLandscapesRur alCommunitiesAims.php Rapid Resilience Assessment Variables • Diversity • Variability • Modularity • Innovation • Tight feedbacks • Natural and Engineered Infrastructure CRB RRA through time Diversity 6.0 4.0 Variability 2.0 Nat. and Eng. Services Innovation 0.0 Modularity Tight feedbacks Panarchy: Gunderson and Holling Source: The Sustainable Scale Project http://www.sustainablescale.org/ConceptualFramework/Un derstandingScale/MeasuringScale/Panarchy.aspx Governance • Governance: “the process of resolving trade-offs and of providing a vision and direction” . . ., management is the operationalization of this vision...”. • Governance includes laws, policies, regulation, institutions, and institutional structures that both enable and constrain the process of governing, but also the informal norms and interactions that influence decisions including those of private and nongovernmental actors. Adaptive Governance • Adaptive Governance enables society to navigate the dynamic, multi-scalar nature of social-ecological systems, and is an emergent phenomenon when the appropriate formal and informal organizations and institutions are present. • AWG Project Question: what is the role of law in preventing, triggering, and facilitating Adaptive Governance? Governance of Trajectories • Maintain desired trajectory/ threshold identified • Maintain desired trajectory/ resilience reduced • Transformation Diversity 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 Nat. and Eng. Services Innovatio n Variabilit y Modulari ty Tight feedback s Maintain desired trajectory/ threshold identified • The role of law in identifying thresholds – ESA: listing – CWA: WQS – Water allocation: conflict • Solutions – Tools for adaptive management – Collaborative processes – Participatory capacity Source: First People Maintain desired trajectory/ resilience reduced The Role of Law • Identify crossed thresholds CRB RRA through time – Species listing – Water quality exceeded – Water shortage • Restoration authority/mandate • Build capacity • Tools -- adaptive management Diversity 6.0 4.0 Variability 2.0 Nat. and Eng. Services Innovation 0.0 Modularity Tight feedbacks Transformation • • • • RRA Situation Assessment Adaptive Governance Beyond Adaptive Governance Impact of pine bark beetle near Los Alamos, New Mexico from southwesternclimatechange.org IUCN Protected Areas Workshop • Situation assessment – – – – – Uncertainty Complexity Conflict Scarcity Looming threshold • Governance assessment – Structure – Capacity – Process Source: World Wildlife Fund Governance Assessment • Structure – Redundant – Polycentric – Nested • Capacity – Adaptive – Participatory • Process – Legitimacy – Procedural justice/selfdetermination – Problem solving approach – Balance stability and flexibility Lessons for the Headwaters • The use of Resilience Assessment and Situation Assessment to identify the appropriate governance trajectory • Development of appropriate structure (networks), capacity, and processes to allow emergence of adaptive governance