Ten-Year CIRMOUNT/MtnClim Anniversary An Introspective History Henry F. Diaz CU/CIRES and NOAA/ESRL 1995:Climatic Change at High Elevation Sites (September 11-16, 1995) Bruno Messerli, University of Bern Mountains of the World: Vulnerable Water Towers for the 21st Century. Bruno Messerli, Daniel Viviroli and Rolf Weingartner, Ambio, Special Report Number 13. The Royal Colloquium: Mountain Areas: A Global Resource (Nov., 2004) (pp. 29-34). Background organizing ideas connected to Bruno’s work “The complexities of the high mountain environments, in terms of the physical processes that are occurring today and have occurred in the past, require…international collaborative efforts, including standardization of objectives and methods, shared data banks, and identification of minimum needs.” “climate change can seriously affect water regimes in highlands as well as lowlands, which can pose problems with the quality and quantity of available freshwater resources for human consumption and agriculture, leading to an increase in the potential vulnerability of mountain people” The United Nations General Assembly proclaimed the year 2002 as the International Year of Mountains to “increase international awareness of the global importance of mountain ecosystems” “… the great variety of climates and particular combinations of ecosystems…have served as vast reserves of valuable resources – such as water, energy and biological diversity – as well as key centers of culture and recreation.” “Today, however, the rapid pace of globalization, urbanization and mass tourism are threatening mountain communities and the resources they depend on. Worldwide, mountain areas face increasing marginalization, economic decline and environmental degradation.” Wallace Stegner described the American West as “Living Space” Poet Thomas H. Ferrill evoked it as follows: “Here is a land where life is written in water The West is where the water was and is” Special Places Deserve Special Attention (There are 35 National Parks and National Monuments in the West) Beyond the Hundredth Meridian Where the Bluebird Sings to the Lemonade Springs A Land Where Life is Written in Water Literature that defines the essence and ethos of the western landscape Natural & Aesthetic Resources National Forest Lands Special Places Deserve Special Attention The American West is a region of high topographic complexity Contains Iconic Landscapes Patrimonial Status Bob Bailey defines 11 ecoregions in the American West 1. Temperate Steppe Division & a Mountain Subdivision 2. Tropical/Subtropical Desert Division & a Mountain Subdivision 3. Tropical/Subtropical Steppe Division & a Mountain Subdivision 4. Mediterranean Division & a Mountain Subdivision 5. Marine Division & a Mountain Subdivision 6. Temperate Desert Division CIRMOUNT & MTNCLIM: A Network formed by a collection of informed citizens who also happened to be scientists—the early years (2003-2005) PACLIM Session 2003 The main theme and special session of the 20th anniversary Pacific Climate Workshop, organized by a group interested in forming CIRMOUNT, was titled Integrated Climate Research in Mountains. April 6-9, 2003. MCSS 2004 The Mountain Climate Science Symposium was held to bring diverse disciplines together for a review of the latest mountain climate science and to vet the interest for a west-wide mountain climate consortium. Kings Beach, Lake Tahoe, CA, May 25-27, 2004. MTNCLIM 2005 The first in the series of CIRMOUNT-sponsored Mountain Climate Conferences, MTNCLIM 2005, was held at Chico Hot Springs, Pray, MT, March 1-4, 2005. Major themes included Drought, Water Resources, and Ecosystems; and Climate Variability: Adaptation, Mitigation, and Restoration. The Science Issues in 2004 Long-term observation from instrumental records and from paleoclimate records showed the West was warming rapidly, ecosystems were showing multiple signs of stresses, and water resources for all uses were being impacted by increasing scarcity The Science Issues in 2004 • 25+ years of climate research consistently points to unprecedented global warming from increasing atmospheric greenhouse gas concentration—due to human activities, mainly the burning of fossil fuels. Latest IPCC (2001) projections point to amplification of the surface warming with elevations. Bradley, R.S., F.T. Keimig, and H.F. Diaz, 2004: Projected temperature changes along the American Cordillera and the planned GCOS Network. Geophys. Res. Lett. 31(16), doi:10.1029/2004GL020229. Bradley, R.S., M. Vuille, H.F. Diaz, and W. Vergara, 2006: Threats to water supply in the Tropical Andes. Science, 312, 1755–1756. ~7 km Global warming, especially in the inter-tropical zone projected to be amplified in the vertical due to an enhanced hydrologic cycle. [ IPCC Reports 3, 4 & 5 ] CIRMOUNT & MTNCLIM—the middle years (2006-2010) The second CIRMOUNT-sponsored MTNCLIM Conference, MTNCLIM 2006, was held at Timberline Lodge, Mt Hood OR, 19-22 September, 2006. Major theme: Implications of climate variability and climate change in forest conservation and management. The third CIRMOUNT-sponsored MTNCLIM Conference, MTNCLIM 2008, was held in Silverton, Colorado, 9-12 June 2008. Major themes: Climate change, adapation, impact on western water resources The fourth CIRMOUNT-sponsored MTNCLIM Conference, MTNCLIM 2010, was held in Blue River, Oregon, June 7-10, 2010. Major themes: High -resolution climate monitoring and modeling; science outreach and communication; elevation dependent warming. Annual Special Sessions at the Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union in San Francisco AGU Session 2004 CIRMOUNT sponsored a special session entitled "Climate Challenges to Mountain Water Resources and Ecosystems" at the annual meeting of the American Geophysical Union, San Francisco, CA, December 13-17, 2004. AGU Session 2005 CIRMOUNT sponsored a special session entitled "Extreme Events in Western Mountain Climate, Resources, and Ecosystems" at the annual meeting of the American Geophysical Union, San Francisco, CA, December 5-9, 2005. AGU Session 2006 CIRMOUNT sponsored a special session entitled "Elevational Gradients and Mountain Climates, Resources, and Ecosystems" at the annual meeting of the American Geophysical Union, San Francisco, CA, December 11-15, 2006. AGU Session 2007 CIRMOUNT sponsored a special session entitled "Climate Change in High-Elevation Mountain Environments" at the annual meeting of the American Geophysical Union, San Francisco, CA, December 10-14, 2007. “Out of the growing recognition that the climate of the West is changing, and that impacts are rapidly emerging in the form of changes in streamflow patterns, plant phenology, ecosystem structure, wildfire regimes, and the like, a group of scientists representing a wide range of disciplines has developed an informal consortium to address these issues.” CIRMOUNT & MTNCLIM—the recent years (2011-2014) The fifth CIRMOUNT-sponsored MTNCLIM Conference, MTNCLIM 2012, was held in Estes Park, Colorado, October 1-4, 2012. Major themes: Mountain hydrology, climate change and ecosystem health. AGU Session 2012 CIRMOUNT sponsored an oral and poster session at the annual meeting of the American Geophysical Union, San Francisco, CA, December 3-7, 2012. Oral session entitled: Geomorphology, Ecology, and Climate Coupling in Mountain Environments. Poster session entitled: Climate change and drought AGU Session 2013 CIRMOUNT sponsored an oral and poster session at the annual meeting of the American Geophysical Union, San Francisco, CA, December 9-13, 2013. Session title: Climate Change and Wildfire: Drivers, Interactions and Consequences ☐ What 50 years have wrought 2014 Pop. Stats. (millions) 1960 AZ 6.63 1.32 CA CO NV NM UT Total 21.08 38.33 5.29 2.79 2.09 2.90 15.85 1.76 0.29 0.96 0.90 57.93 Situation in 2014—what was bad then is worse now Jan-July mean temp A drought index Quo vadimus? Optimistic about the future like Wallace Stegner? Or a future that repeats the failures of the past? From Ian Frazier’s Great Plains (1989) “This finally is the punch line of our two hundred years on the Great Plains: we trap out the beaver, subtract the Mandan, infect the Blackfeet and the Hidatsa and the Assiniboine, overdose the Arikara; call the land a desert and hurry across it to get to California and Oregon; suck up the buffalo, bones and all; kill off nations of elk and wolves and cranes and prairie chickens and prairie dogs; dig up the gold and rebury in vaults some place else; ruin the Sioux and Cheyenne and Arapaho and Crow and Kiowa and Comanche; kill Crazy Horse; kill Sitting Bull; harvest wave after wave of immigrants’ dreams and send the wised-up dreamers on their way; plow the topsoil until it blows to the ocean; ship out the wheat; ship out the cattle; dig up the earth itself and burn it in power plants and send the power down the line; dismiss the small farmers, empty the little towns; drill the oil and natural gas and pipe it away; dry up the rivers and springs, deep drill for irrigation water as the aquifer retreats.” Thank you!