Geographic Information Science and the Built Environment Presented at the 2014 ASHRAE Winter Conference Dr. Budhendra Bhaduri Corporate Research Fellow January 19, 2014 New York, NY Acknowledgement • People who do the real work – – – – – – – – – Eddie Bright Raju Vatsavai Anil Cheriyadat Amy Rose Marie Urban Steve Fernandez Mark Tuttle Devin White … and many others • People who make it possible – Department of Energy – Department of Defense – … any many more Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Overview of presentation • Background • Geospatial data driven computing – Modeling population distribution and dynamics • Energy and transportation – Bioenergy assurance • Crop monitoring from streaming data – Climate change science • Geovisualization • Challenges and Future directions Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Geographic data has driven innovation 1790 First US Census. 3.9 million people counted. 1810 1850 Census collects data on manufacturing, quantity, and value of products. Census collects data on taxation, churches, pauperism, and crime. 1890 1896 Punched-card tabulating machines are used to count 63 million people. Tabulating Machine Company (TMC) formed. 1911 1924 TMC becomes C-T-R (Computing-Tabulating-Recording) Company. C-T-R becomes International Business Machines (IBM) Corporation. 1963 1969 First use of the phrase “geographic information system”. First commercial GIS software companies formed. 1972 1985 NASA launches first earth observation satellite (Landsat 1). First GPS satellite launched. 2001 2004 Keyhole Corp. creates dynamic 3D mapping of geographic information. Google Earth initiates the “Web Wide World” and visual discovery. 20?? Intelligent Locational Awareness: Real time access to multidimensional information of locations, states, and environments of entities. Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Cross-disciplinary Approach will foster Innovation Philosophy Cognitive Science Mathematics Statistics Landscape Architecture Geography Climate Geospatial Information Science & Technology Geographic Information Science Applications of GI Science & Technology Geospatial Technology Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy National & Homeland Security Ecology Homeland Transportation Homeland Security Security Computer Science Physics Energy Information Science & Technology (Modified from GIS&T Body of Knowledge by AAG and UCGIS) Engineering Our energy challenges and solutions are often local to regional Energy savings potential is a macro-level (regional to national) phenomenon driven by individual socioeconomic behavior at the micro-level (local) Homes Work Useful insights will come from characterizing interactions among human, energy, and transportation networks Gas stations (regional) Shop Banks (state) Gas stations (regional) Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Cleaners Schools Homes Success of future strategies depends on understanding complexity and consequences of proposed systems in which energy, environment and mobility interests are simultaneously optimized Knowledge discovery through high resolution data and modeling Deforestation in Brazilian Amazonia * • Mesoscale circulation leading to more clouds and rain over cleared patches was validated using satellite data Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Wind turbines and energy policy ** • Turbine motor turbulence increases surface temperature and decreases humidity • Impact mitigated by low turbulence rotors that are economically more efficient * Baidya Roy and Avissar, 2002 ** Baidya Roy et al. 2004 Vehicular congestion and evacuation planning strategy • High resolution population data coupled with dynamic traffic assignment model improved congestion and evacuation time estimations A number of ongoing activities Population Assessment • Web service for LandScan population data • Population Density Tables portal Settlement and Damage Assessment • Dynamic computation for settlement mapping and damage assessment Collaborative Knowledge Discovery • Bioenergy KDF: Cyber platform for sharing data and resources • Sensorpedia: Wikipedia for sensors Transportation Analysis Energy Security Visualization (iGlobe) Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy • Routing and contingency analysis • Evacuation modeling • EARSS: Real time monitoring for the electric grid • Large scale biomass monitoring • Climate data analytics and visualization • Spatio-temporal data mining as a service ASHRAE TC 4.2 – Weather data Weather station cells based on closest geographical distance to ISH weather stations Average individual’s distance to nearest ISH weather station Location KML publicly available - http://go.usa.gov/ZV7G Station points, cell populations, Thiessen polygons via Platte Carree projection By: Eddie Bright, Yu (Joe) Huang, Jibo Sanyal, Joshua New Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy D (km) D (miles) World 34.5 21.4 S. Korea 12.2 7.6 Japan 17.4 10.8 USA 18.1 11.2 Europe 21.8 13.5 Canada 31.0 19.3 Iran 31.9 19.8 Mexico 35.2 21.9 Venezuela 39.5 24.5 China 40.2 25.0 Saudi Arabia 42.3 26.3 India 62.8 39.0 Brazil 62.8 39.0 LandScan Population Distribution and Dynamics Model and Database LandScan Global Census Gridded Night Day LandScan USA As the finest population distribution data ever produced for the world and the US, LandScan Global and LandScan USA Managed by UT-Battelle are the community standard for estimating population at risk for the Department of Energy Disparate data integration improving knowledge of population distribution and dynamics Population Road Railroads • Census Polygons • VMAP • 1:100K national railway network • TeleAtlas Multinet • Tract-totract worker • TIGER; flow • NTAD • BLS quarterly updates Land cover/ land use Slope • Geocover • DTED Academic institutions Prisons Hospitals Business employment • Department • National Jail • American • InfoUSA of Education Census Hospital • MODIS • LiDAR • Pitney Association Bowes • HSIP • HSIP • National • National (AHA) Schools Prisons Land Cover Elevation • Dunn and Bradstreet Data Data (NED) • ESRI (NLCD) • GDT • State GIS Night Day LandScan Global • Spatial resolution of 30 arc seconds (~1km) • Ambient population (average of 24 hours) • Remote sensing based global data modeling and mapping LandScan USA Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy • Spatial resolution of 3 arc seconds (~90m) • Nighttime and daytime population • Integration of infrastructure and activity databases Imagery • EarthViewer • Terra Server • Google Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy night day Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Spatial refinement of LandScan Global Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy HPC Based Imagery Analysis Moving from Modeling to Mapping Urban Urban Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy “Developed Land Cover” Examples Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Addis Ababa, Ethiopia 2 Xeon Quad core 2.4GHz CPUs + 4 Tesla GPUs + 48GB Image analyzed (0.3m) 40,000x40,000 pixels (800 sq. km) RGB bands Overall accuracy 93% Settlement class 89% Non-settlement class 94% Total processing time Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy 27 seconds Settlements are economic indicators Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Patterns in overhead imagery Higher Income Middle Income Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Lower Income Neighborhood mapping: From local interactions to global realizations •Unstructured Settlements •Lowest to lower middle income •Rural migrants •Very loosely structured •Historical ethnic quarters/neighborhoods •Poor residents currently being displaced in some areas with urban development/tourism Damascus, Syria Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy •Formal Urban Planning •Typical Urban Services •Middle to Upper Income Edge Orientation Distribution Unplanned Settlement 0.025 Probability 0.02 0.015 0.01 0.005 0 -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 theta 20 40 60 80 100 Edge Orientations Planned Settlement 0.045 0.04 Peakness in the distribution around edge orientations separated by 90 degrees is a good indicator for planned settlements. Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Probability 0.035 0.03 0.025 0.02 0.015 0.01 0.005 0 -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 theta 20 40 Edge Orientations 60 80 100 Line Length Distribution Parameters Image tiles representing different neighborhoods projected on the line length distribution parameter space. Low income neighborhood Middle income neighborhood Lognormal distribution parameter (variance) High income neighborhood Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Lognormal distribution parameter (mean) Length distribution parameters based on lines with local perpendicular support are promising features for separating regions with different socioeconomic attributes. Rapid Scene Analysis Play uavrun1output.avi Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Assessing Population Dynamics • Dynamic tracking of people and vehicle fleet movement from multisensor data – Video, cell phones, social media • Travel behavior modeling – Congestion and safety – Energy demand and supply • Feedback among climate, land use, and population distribution – Where will people go after displacement (hurricane evacuation to sea level rise) Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Population Dynamics Video Slide Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Critical infrastructure data development We develop and maintain spatially enabled, foundation level data for a number of critical infrastructures for research and operational communities. Hospitals Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Prisons Day-care Centers Rail lines/Rail points Solid Waste Landfills Mobile Home Parks Energy Data Layers U.S. mobile home parks database High within-class variation Need for scalable solutions Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Total Area: 9.827 million sq. km Covered by ≈ 9.8 Trillion pixels of resolution 1m x 1m Automated and scalable detection • Data: NAIP 1m imagery • 8423 samples of 300m x 300m patches • State of TX – Order of magnitude improvement compared to open source compilation Database point Detected point Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy • ~1500 points by manual compilation (9 manweeks) • ~15,000 points by automated detection (1 week) Online Detection of Anomaly, Change and Change Point from Space-Time Data Potere, D., Feierabend, N., Bright, E., Strahler, A. “Walmart from Space: A New Source for Land Cover Change Validation” Photogrametric Engineering and Remote Sensing. Vol 74. July 2008. Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Household Generation Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Worker Commute and Shoppers Flows •Worker commute modeled with LandScan USA •Shoppers commute using a double constraint interactive model Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Each Way to Work Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Scenario Based Insights On any working day: •Total work commute trips : 178,923 •Average travel time : 19.02 minutes (Census 2005-2007 travel time 21.1) •Total travel time : 3,403,545 minutes •Average travel distance : 11.43 miles •Total travel distance : 1,859,173 miles Under a scenario of 10% workers distributed over the entire county switching to more fuel efficient vehicles – Impacted efficiency is on 186,000 miles per trip per day • However, allocating that 10% to workers from the higher income groups impacts significantly more miles Family income level Difference with county average $50,000–$60,000 12% $60,000–$80,000 15% $80,000–$90,000 24% $90,000–$100,000 29% >$100,000 29% Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Energy Assurance Slide with Video Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy CoNNECT Video Slide Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy CoNNECT: focus on future homeowners What is the trend of my home energy use? What can I do to increase EE and reduce my energy usage? Are my utilities higher than my neighbors? How does my home compare with similar ones in the area? Am I getting the same results as others? Who can provide EERE services in my area? Uses Monthly and Smart Meter Data New User Registration Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Visual-SOLAR Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Hurricane Preparedness and Response Total population Significant damage (< 5 ft surge) 1,007,676 Catastrophic damage (5–20 ft surge) 1,513,871 DAMAGE Individual & Public Assistance Public Assistance Alabama 575,133 56,801 Mississippi 707,506 1,391,233 Louisiana 3,153,293 1,362,477 Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy FEMA Impacted Areas Source: FEMA Impacted Areas, August 31, 2005 TOTAL POPULATION SENIOR 100% 791,361 90,773 75% 1,594,806 187,677 50% 1,505,196 184,372 25% 1,701,593 224,279 Total 5,592,956 687,101 EARSS: Energy Awareness and Resiliency Standardized Services • Open energy (electric grid) status data – Interaction with DOE and community – Feasibility based on prior VERDE expertise and data-availability awareness • Geospatial standards for situational energy data – Web-feature service interfaces and representation standards – Leading to NGA data brokering (e.g., in GEOINT Online) • Enabling geospatial search and streaming-data analysis capability – Spatio-temporal queries relating to energy and infrastructure (including HIFLD data sets, etc.) – Determine “How does one pose such questions?” Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy EARSS: Hurricane Irene (8/26, 1625) Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy ORNL Support for FEMA: Hurricane Sandy • 96 hours before landfall published results from analytic models that predicted: • areas where power will be out, • how many people may be impacted, • forecasts of number of days it may take for power to be restored. • The restoration and outage information fed to the FEMA Geo-Portal and re-published to deployed personnel and analysts at DHS, to DOD’s Northcom, Health and Human Services, and DOE • Power outage projections were updated with each advisory from the National Hurricane Center based on the projected wind speed, debris, precipitation, and wind gusts • FEMA chaired a National Power Task Force to coordinate the common operating picture for power outage and restoration and re-published look ahead forecasts to the responding community: Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy