Relational Contracts and Organizational Capabilities R. Gibbons R. Henderson Working Paper 12-061 January 18, 2012 Copyright © 2012 by R. Gibbons and R. Henderson Working papers are in draft form. This working paper is distributed for purposes of comment and discussion only. It may not be reproduced without permission of the copyright holder. Copies of working papers are available from the author. RelationalContractsandOrganizationalCapabilities R.GibbonsandR.Henderson MITandHBS ForOrganizationScience Version:July18,2011 Abstract Alargeliteratureidentifiesuniqueorganizationalcapabilitiesasapotentsourceof competitiveadvantage,yetourknowledgeofwhycapabilitiesfailtodiffusemore rapidly—particularlyinsituationsinwhichcompetitorsapparentlyhavestrong incentivestoadoptthemandawelldevelopedunderstandingofhowtheywork— remainsincomplete.Inthispaperwesuggestthatcompetitivelysignificant capabilitiesoftenrestonmanagerialpracticesthatinturnrelyonrelational contracts(i.e.,informalagreementssustainedbytheshadowofthefuture).We arguethatoneofthereasonsthesepracticesmaybedifficulttocopyisthateffective relationalcontractsmustsolvethetwinproblemsofcredibilityandclarity,andthat whilecredibilitymightinprinciplebeinstantlyacquired,claritymaytaketimeto developandmayinteractwithcredibilityincomplexways,sothatrelational contractsmayoftenbedifficulttobuild. Acknowledgements:Wewouldparticularlyliketothankourresearchassistants, NancyBeaulieuandTommyWang,fortheiryearsofinvaluablesupportinour researchprogram.WearealsogratefultoourcolleaguesNelsonRepenningand JohnStermanandMITSloan’sProgramonInnovationinOrganizationsandMarkets fortheirsustainedintellectualandfinancialsupport.Thanksforcommentsonthis paperareduetotheeditorsofthisspecialissueandtoDavidGarvin,RanjayGulati, MauroGuillen,SimSitkin,BirgerWernerfeltandSidWinter,andtoseminar participantsatColumbiaGSB,HarvardBusinessSchool,KelloggGSM,London BusinessSchool,LSE,SydneyandTilburg. 1) RelationalContractsandOrganizationalCapabilities R.GibbonsandR.Henderson MITandHBS ForOrganizationScience Version:June15,2011 Introduction Itisnowwidelyacceptedthattherecanbepersistentperformancedifferences amongseeminglysimilarenterprises—betheyworkgroups,plants,orfirms(see Syverson(2011)forarecentsurvey).Thestrategyliteraturehaslongexploredthe possibilitythatsuchperformancedifferencesarisefromorganizationalcapabilities (e.g.,Wernerfelt,1984;Teece,PisanoandShuen,1997;EisenhardtandMartin, 2000;AnandandKhanna,2000;AralandWeill,2007).Oneofthecentralquestions raisedbythisresearchiswhysuchcapabilities—iftheyareindeedasourceof sustainedcompetitiveadvantage—donotdiffusemorerapidly. Theexistingliteraturehasproposedthreeanswerstothisquestion.First, incumbentmanagersmayhaveproblemsofperception—theydonotknowtheyare behindbecausetheircognitiveframesblindthemtonewopportunities(e.g., HendersonandClark,1990;Christensen,1997;TripsasandGavetti,2000).Second, managersmayhaveproblemsofinspiration—theyknowthey’rebehind,butthey don’tknowwhattodoaboutitbecausetheorganizationalpracticesunderlyingkey organizationalcapabilitiesinvolveeithertacitknowledge(e.g.,Winter,1987,1988) and/orcomplementarities(e.g.,Levinthal,1997;Rivkin,2000)andsoarehardto learnandcommunicate.Third,managersmayhaveproblemsofmotivation—they knowthey’rebehindandtheyknowwhattodo,buttheydon’tcarebecauselackof competitioninthemarket(orlackofincentivesinsidethefirm)givesthem insufficientincentivetoadoptnewpractices(e.g.,Reinganum,1989;BloomandVan Reenen,2007;Bresnahan,GreensteinandHenderson,2011). Whilepersuasiveinmanysettings,thesethreeanswerstotheproblemofslow diffusionarelesshelpfulinatleastoneimportantcase:settingswheremanagers acknowledgethattheyarebehindandarespendingheavilytocatchup,andwhere thereappearstobeindustry‐wideagreementaboutbestpractice.Forexample, therehavebeenmorethan300booksandthousandsofarticleswrittenabout Toyota,yetuntilquiterecentlymanyautomobilecompaniesappearedtohavegreat difficultyimitatingitspractices(PilandMacDuffie;1996).Similarlythepracticeof science‐drivendrugdiscoverywassurprisinglyslowtodiffuseacrossthe pharmaceuticalindustrydespitewidespreadagreementaboutitseffectiveness (Cockburn,Henderson&Stern,2000).Inthisessay,wearguethatsuchfailuresof diffusionmayarisefromdifficultiesinadministration—managersknowthey’re 1 behind,knowwhattodo,andaremotivatedtodoit,buttheycan’tgetthe organizationtogetitdone.1 Ourargumentisintwoparts.First,wesuggestthatmanyorganizational capabilitiesrestonmanagerialpracticesthatinturnrelyonrelationalcontracts—an economist’stermforcollaborationsustainedbytheshadowofthefuture,as opposedtoformalcontractsenforcedbycourts.Second,wesuggestthatmany relationalcontractsarehardtobuildandtorefine,andthatthisisoftenwhy managers“can’tgettheorganizationtogetitdone.” Tounpackthefirstpartofourargument—thatkeymanagerialpractices frequentlyrequirerelationalcontracts—weemphasizethatsuchpracticesinvolve actionsthatcannotbefullyspecifiedinadvance.Considerthefollowingthree exampleswedevelopbelow.First,LincolnElectric’senduringsuccessrestsinpart onthepaymentofbonusesthatbothmanagersandemployeesconsidertobe“fair,” butnomanualcandefineexactlywhatconstitutesafairbonusforaparticular workerinaparticularyear.Second,beyondcompensation,theToyotaproduction systemaskslineworkerstobecome“activeproblemsolvers,”butcannotdefinein advanceexactlywhichproblemstheymightfindorhowtheyshouldbesolved. Third,beyondmanufacturing,Merckasksitsresearcherstobehave“almostasif” theywereacademics,butwhatthismeansintermsofactualbehaviorshadtobe workedoutovermanyyearsandisstilldifficulttocommunicatetoday. Becausethesemanagerialpractices—eachofwhichisfundamentaltothe successofthesethreefirms—involveactionsthatcannotbespecifiedinadvance,it istypicallyimpossibletomotivatetheirperformanceviaformalcontracts(i.e., contractsthatattachobjectiveweightstoobjectivemeasures).2Instead,ifitis necessarytoprovidemotivationforpartiestotaketheseactions,itwillhavetobe donethroughinformalagreementsthatinvolvesubjectiveweightsorsubjective measures.Inthisessayweinterpretsuchinformalagreementsasrelational contracts.3 Ofcourse,theideathatrelationalcontractsarewidespreadandimportanthas alongpedigree,acrossmanydisciplinesandsettings:insociology,Macaulay(1963) studiedinformalrelationshipsbetweenfirms;inanthropology,Geertz(1962,1978) studiedrotatingcreditassociationsandbazaareconomies;andinpoliticalscience, Ostrom(1990)studiedcommunitiesofresourceusers.Morerecently,inthe 1WethankJanRivkinforbringinghis“four‘tion”labelstoourattention(andallowingustoadapt themforourownpurposeshere). 2Underspecialcircumstances,itmightbepossibletowriteformalcontractsbasedonoutcomes ratherthanonactionsandtherebymotivatethedesiredactions.Muchmoreoften,however, availableoutcomemeasuresarethemselvesincompleteandsoformalcontractsbasedonsuch measuresinducegaminginsteadofconsummateperformance.SeeGibbons(2005)forareview. 3Wedonotmeantoimplythatthepresenceofrelationalcontractsimpliesthatthefirmwillnotalso relyonformalcontracts.Indeedthetwoareoftencomplementary. 2 strategyliterature,manyauthorshavedrawnonrelatedideastoanalyzelong, productiverelationshipsbetweenfirms(e.g.,Dyer,1997;DyerandSingh,1998; PoppoandZenger,2002;GulatiandNickerson,2008). Closertoourfocusonthedevelopmentofmanagerialpracticeswithinfirms, thereisalsoalongtraditioninorganizationtheoryemphasizingtheimportanceof informalunderstandingswithinorganizations.Forexample,BlauandScott(1962: 6)arguedthat“Itisimpossibletounderstandthenatureofaformalorganization withoutinvestigatingthenetworksofinformalrelationsandtheunofficialnormsas wellastheformalhierarchyofauthorityandtheofficialbodyofrules,sincethe formallyinstitutedandtheinformalemergingpatternsareinextricably intertwined.”Indeed,somehavearguedthathigh‐performingorganizationsrely especiallyheavilyoninformalunderstandings,variouslydescribedasnormsor culturesorcontracts.Forexample,Barney(1986)suggestedthatanorganization’s culturecouldbeasourceofcompetitiveadvantage,Rousseau(1989,1995)studied psychologicalcontractsinorganizations,explicitlyenvisioningmanagersasparties tosomeofthem,andalongtraditioninthehuman‐resourcesliteraturehas documentedtheperformanceadvantagesofhigh‐commitmentworkpracticesand thesocialcontractsthatsustainthem(e.g.,Hoffer‐Gittell,2002;Lincolnand Kalleberg,1990;Kochanet.al.,1995). Toourknowledge,however,thisliteraturehasnotexplicitlylinkedtheseideas totheideathattheseinformalunderstandingsmaybeoneofthereasonsthat competitivelyimportantpracticesaresometimessurprisinglyslowtodiffuse.Much ofthecapabilitiesliterature,forexample,haseithermadetheimplicitassumption thatincentiveswithintheorganizationarealigned,sothattheadoptionofnew practicesisprimarilyaproblemofinformationtransmission,orhaslabeled “appropriateincentives”asadistinct,separablecapability.Similarly,whilemany writershavesuggestedthat“trust”mightbeanimportantsourceoforganizational performance(seeforexample,BachmannandZaheer,2006andZaheerand Venkatraman,1995),thisliteratureislargelysilentabouthowtrustisbuiltandso, asfarasweknow,hasnotstudiedhowdifficultiesinbuildingtrustmightbeakey sourceofcompetitiveadvantage. Hereweexplorethisconnectionexplicitly.Wearguethatmanyrelational contractsarehardtobuildandrefineandthisisoftenwhymanagers“can’tgetthe organizationtogetitdone.”Inparticular,wearguethatbuildingandrefining relationalcontractsrequiressolvingtwodistinctproblems:theproblemof credibilityandtheproblemofclarity.Webelievethateachoftheseproblemscanbe quitedifficultinisolationandthatincombinationtheymaycreateasubstantial barriertoimitation. Bytheproblemofcredibilitywemeantheproblemofpersuadingothersthat oneislikelytokeepone’spromises.Whilecredibilitymayderivefromvarious sources,includingwhattheliteraturehascalled“personal”or“institutional”trust (e.g.,ZaheerandVenkatramen,1995;Nooteboom,1996),inthisessaywefocus 3 insteadonastrictlyconsequentialistlogic,whereonekeepsone’spromisesbecause thingswillgobadlyotherwise.Somehavecalledthislogic“calculativetrust”(e.g., Williamson,1993;BarneyandHansen,1994;Nooteboom,1996),andRousseauet. al.(1998)callit“deterrence‐basedtrust.”Likemanyofthoseauthors,however,we seetheconsequentialistlogicasdistinctanddifferentfromtrust;,likeYamagishi andYamagishi(1994),wewouldpreferthislogictobelabeled“assurance”rather thantrust.4 Bytheproblemofclaritywemeantheproblemofcommunicatingthetermsof therelationalcontract.Theproblemofclarityislessdiscussedandperhapsless evidentthantheproblemofcredibility,butwebelievethatclarityisatleastas importantaconstraintonbuildingandrefiningrelationalcontracts.Inbrief,instead ofaskingwhetherotherswillbelieveone’spromises,wenowaskwhetherothers willunderstandone’spromises. Arichliteraturehassuggestedthatonereasonwhymanagerialpracticesmay beslowtodiffuseisthatknowledgeofsuchpracticesmaybetacitor“embedded” andhencedifficulttocommunicate(see,forexample,Winter’sworkcitedwiththe inspirationproblemabove).Buildingonthisliterature,wearguethatdevelopinga sharedunderstandingofarelationalcontractwillbeevenmoredifficultbecause thereismoretocommunicate.Wesuggestthatbuildingarelationalcontract requiresdevelopingasharedunderstandingofnotonlythenecessarytask knowledge(whateachpartyissupposedtodo)butalsothenecessaryrelational knowledge(whateachpartycoulddo,eithertobreakapromiseortopunish someonewhodid,andwhatthepayoffsfromallthesepossibleactionsare). Inadditiontothedifficultiesthattheseproblemsofcredibilityandclarity takenseparatelyposeforbuildingandrefiningrelationalcontracts,wehypothesize thatthebiggestdifficultiesmayarisefromtheinteractionoftheseproblems.For example,ifonepartyactsinawaythatisunexpectedbytheother,is miscommunicationtoblame,orgaming?Moregenerally,theimperfectalignmentof interestsunderlyingthecredibilityproblemcreatessignificantnewimpedimentsto thecommunicationnecessitatedbytheclarityproblem.5 Theoutlineoftheessayisasfollows.Tolayafoundation,webegininSection2 withabriefoverviewofrelationalcontracts.Inparticular,weprovidesomebasic modelsofwhencollaborationcanbesustainedbytheshadowofthefuture,andwe suggestthatthesemodelsarebroadlyconsistentwithevidencedrawnfrombothlab experimentsandfielddata. 4Infocusinghereonthequestionofcalculativetrustwedonotmeantoimplythatotherformsof trustareunimportant.Indeedoneofourhopesforthispaperisthatitmightcontributetothe ongoingdiscussionoftherelationshipamongdifferentformsoftrustandtheirevolutionovertime. 5SeeSpence’s(1973)signalingmodelandCrawfordandSobel’s(1982)cheap‐talkmodelforan introduction. 4 InSection3,wedevelopourhypothesisthatcompetitivelysignificant managementpracticesoftenrelyonrelationalcontractsbyexaminingthreefamiliar examples:subjectivebonusesatLincolnElectric,theproductionsystematToyota, andscience‐drivendrugdiscoveryatMerck.Ourgoalhereistwofold.First,wehope tomakecrediblethehypothesisthatsomecompetitivelyimportantmanagerial practicesarecruciallydependentonrelationalcontracts.Whilethisideamaybe familiarregardingsubjectivebonuses,itseemslessappreciatedregardingother managerialpractices.Second,webegintouseourdescriptionsofthesepracticesto illustratetheproblemofclarity—i.e.,theextensiveamountofinformationthatboth employeesandmanagersmustholdincommonifthenecessaryrelationalcontracts aretobeself‐enforcing. InSection4weexpandonthequestionofclarity.Webeginbydistinguishing between“taskknowledge”and“relationalknowledge”,suggestingthatmanyofthe samemechanismsthatmakeitdifficulttolearnhowtodonewtasksalsomakeit difficulttolearnabouttherelationalcontractsthatmightsupportthem.We illustratethisideathroughaccountsofmomentsatLincolnElectricandCredit Swissewhererelationalcontractsthreatenedtobreakdown,anddiscussanumber ofexperimentsandmodelsthatmayprovidebuildingblockstowardsatheoryof whyrelationalcontractsmaybehardtobuild.Finally,Section5concludes. 2) APrimeronRelationalContracts:TheoryandEvidence Inthissectionweprovideabriefintroductiontoeconomictheoryand evidenceonrelationalcontracts.Thetheory,inSection2.1,beginswiththesimplest caseandthensketchesseveralenrichments.Theevidence,inSection2.2,includes bothlabandfielddata. 2.1 Theory:CredibilityfromIncentiveCompatibility Thereisnowalargetheoreticalliteratureonhowrelationalcontractscan facilitateefficientbehaviors,bothontheirown(e.g.,Bull(1987),MacLeodand Malcomson(1989),Levin(2003),Fuchs(2007),andHalac(2011))andin combinationwithformalaspectsoforganizationsandcontracts(e.g.,Baker, Gibbons,andMurphy(1994,1999,2002,2011));seeMalcomson(2012)fora survey.AsdescribedintheIntroduction,theessentialintuitionisstraightforward andfamiliar:insomesettings,onekeepsone’spromisesbecausethingswillgo badlyotherwise. Kreps(1990)capturesthisintuitionusingthesimplegameshowninFigure1. AlthoughKrepscallsthisthe“TrustGame,”weemphasizethattherelational‐ contractsargumentisentirelyconsequentialist.Therefore,wewouldprefer “assurance”to“trust.”Inshort,whenspeakingoftrust,weadoptMarchandOlsen’s (1989)viewthat“[t]hecoreideaoftrustisthatitisnotbasedonanexpectationof itsjustification.Whentrustisjustifiedbyexpectationsofpositivereciprocal 5 consequences,itissimplyanotherversionofeconomicexchange”(p.27,emphasis added).Inthisessay,weareindeedconsidering“anotherversionofeconomic exchange.” Figure1:TheTrustGame Inaone‐shotversionofthisgame,player1’sinitialchoiceamountstoeither endingtherelationship(andsoreceivingapayoffofzero)ortrustingplayer2(and soreceivingapayoffof‐1,assumingthatplayer2wouldmaximize2’spayoffandso betray1’strust).Sincezeroexceeds‐1,player1shouldendtherelationship.Ifthe players’relationshipisongoing,however,verydifferentoutcomesarepossible. Aclassicformulationistomodelarelationshipbetweenplayer1andplayer2 asarepeatedgamethatisequallylikelytoendafteranyperiod.Theprobabilitythat thegamewillendinfluencestheinterestraterperperiodthattheplayersusein discountingtheirpayoffsacrossperiods.Iftheplayersarepatientenough(i.e.,ris sufficientlysmall,inpartbecausetheprobabilitythatthegamewillendis sufficientlysmall)thenthefollowing“trigger”strategiesareanequilibriumofthe repeatedgame. Player1:Inthefirstperiod,playTrust.Thereafter,ifallmovesinallprevious periodshavebeenTrustandHonor,playTrust;otherwise,playNot Trust. Player2:Ifgiventhemovethisperiod,playHonorifallmovesinallprevious periodshavebeenTrustandHonor;otherwise,playBetray. Thebroadermessagefromthisexampleisthatcooperationmaybeproneto defection,butinsomecircumstancesdefectioncanbemetwithenoughpunishment tomotivatecooperation.Tobegintogeneralizetheexample,imaginethatplayer2’s payoffs(perperiod)areCfromcooperation(generalizingthepayoff1above),D 6 fromdefection(generalizingthepayoff2above),andPfrompunishment (generalizingthepayoff0above),whereD>C>P.Thedecisionofwhetherto cooperateordefectthenamountstocomparingtwotime‐pathsofpayoffs:(C,C,C, ...)versus(D,P,P,P,...),asshowninFigure2. Figure2:PayoffsfromCooperationVersusDefectionandPunishment Thetime‐pathofcooperationyieldsahigherpresentvaluethanthetime‐pathof defectionif (1) 1 1 1 C D P , r r where1/risthepresentvalueofadollartobereceivedeveryperiod(untilthe gameends)startingnextperiod.Rearranging(1)yields (2) r CP , DC whichisoftenrestatedas:iftheplayersaresufficientlypatient(i.e.,ifrissufficiently closetozero)thenitisoptimaltocooperate,foregoingtheshort‐runtemptation(D –Cnow)forthelong‐termgain(C‐Pthereafter). Thisstylizedmodelnotonlyillustratesthemainideabehindrelational contractsbutalsosuggestssomelimitationsoftheapproach(atleastasithasbeen developedandappliedtodate).Oneseeminglimitationmightbethatwehavecast theplayers–and,morebroadly,thepartiestoanycontractofthistypeasbeing motivatedby“payoffs,”whichmayseemtoonarrow.Butwetakeabroadviewof suchpayoffs.Inparticular,wedonotmeantosuggestthatmoneyisthemost important—orevennecessarilyanimportant—sourceofmotivationinsidefirms.In Section3(wherewediscussrelationalcontractswithinorganizations),wetherefore conceiveof“payoffs”asincludingeverythingthatmightaffectanindividual’s experienceofhisorherjob,includingfactorssuchasjobassignment,degreeof 7 autonomy,statuswiththefirmorworkgroup,andotherintangiblessuchasfeelings ofbelongingorthatoneismakingadifference. Amoreseriouslimitationisthattheanalysisleadingto(1)considersonlythe payoffsfromcooperation,defection,andpunishment,takingforgrantednotonly thatthepartiesknowthesepayoffsbutalsothattheyknowwhatactionsconstitute cooperation,defection,andpunishment(suchasTrust,Honor,andBetrayinFigure 1).AswewillseeinthedetaileddescriptionsofmanagerialpracticesinSection3, takingitforgrantedthatthepartiesknowwhattheseactionsaremaybeaheroic assumption,especiallywhenthepartiesarejustbeginningtheirrelationship.For therestofthissection,however,wecontinuetomakethisassumption(thus implicitlyfocusingonsteady‐staterelationships,wherethepartieshavesubstantial sharedexperienceabouttheseactionsandtheirpayoffs). Toconcludethissub‐section,wesketchsomesimpleenrichmentsofthebasic theory,toprepareforthediscussionofevidenceinthenextsub‐section.First,and informally,Figure1couldbeenrichedinvariousways,suchasbyallowingtwo levelsofcooperation:fullandpartial.FullcooperationyieldspayoffCbuthas defectiontemptationD,asabove,whereastheanalogousvaluesforpartial cooperationarecandd,whereC>c>0andD>d>0.Givenplausibleassumptions aboutthesepayoffs,partiesthatarepatientenoughcansustainfullcooperation,as in(2),whereaspartiesthataresomewhatmoreimpatientcansustainonlypartial cooperation(and,asalways,partiesthataretooimpatientcannotsustainany cooperation). Second,andshiftingattentionfromcross‐sectionalcomparisonsacross relationshipstolongitudinalcomparisonswithinanongoingrelationship,imagine thatthereisnotonlyaprobabilitythatthegamewillendafteranyperiod,butalso anindependentprobabilityaftereachperiodthatthepayoffsinFigure2willchange permanentlyfrom(C,D,P)to(C,D,P),whereD>D.(Aparallelargumentholdsif thepayoffschangeto(C,D,P),whereP>P.)Ifthepartiesareimpatientenough that (3) CP r , D' C thencooperationwillendoncethepayoffschange.Nonetheless,ifthepartiesare nottooimpatient(i.e.,risbelowanupperboundnotshownin(3)),thenitisan equilibriumforthepartiestobeginthegamebycooperating,planningtocooperate untileitherthepayoffschangeorthegameends. Third,thepayoffsmightneitherbeconstantnorchangepermanently(asinthe firstenrichment),butinsteadfluctuaterandomlyacrossperiods.Thatis,suppose thatthepayoffsareindependentlyandidenticallydistributedovertimeandthatthe partiesobservethecurrentpayoffsbeforetakingactionseachperiod.Inperiodt, 8 thecurrentpayoffsfromcooperationanddefectionareCtandDt,andtheexpected futurepayoffsfromcooperationandpunishmentareE(Ct)andE(Pt),so(1)becomes (4) 1 1 Ct E(Ct ) Dt E(Pt ) . r r Inthissetting,ifthelong‐termgainofE(Ct)‐E(Pt)ineachfutureperiodoutweighs allpossiblerealizationsoftheshort‐runtemptationDt‐Ct,then(4)impliesthe criticalvalueofrbelowwhichthepartiescansustainpermanentcooperation despitefluctuatingpayoffs.Alternatively,ifthereareextremerealizationsofthe short‐runtemptationthatviolate(4)thencooperationwillendoncetheshort‐run temptationhitsahighenoughvalue,butifthepartiesarenottooimpatientthenitis anequilibriumtobeginbycooperating,planningtocooperateuntileitheran extremetemptationarrivesorthegameends. Finally,inthemostsophisticatedoftheseenrichments,wherethepartiesmust repeatedlyadjusttheircollaborationoverthecourseoftheirrelationship,suppose thattherearetwolevelsofcooperation(fullandpartial,withpayoffsC>candD> d,asabove)andthatthepayofffromdefectingonfullcooperationfluctuates randomlyacrossperiods(e.g.,Dtcanbeeitherhighorlow,DH>DL).Iftheparties areimpatientenoughthat (5) CP r , DH C thenthepartiescannotsustainfullcooperationinperiodswhenthedefectionpayoff ishigh.Ontheotherhand,ifthepartiesarenottooimpatient,thenitisan equilibriumforthepartiestoachievefullcooperationinperiodswhenthedefection payoffislowandpartialcooperationwhenitishigh.Strikingly,thereisevidencefor thissophisticatedbehavior(aswellastheothersdescribedhere),aswediscuss next. 2.2 EvidencefromtheLabandfromRelationshipsBetweenFirms Wenowbrieflyintroduceevidencethatmodelslikethesecaptureimportant aspectsofbehavior.Webeginwiththebasicmodel,summarizedbyequations(1) and(2),afterwhichweturntotheenrichments,summarizedbyequations(3) through(5).Inthissection,werestrictourattentiontolabexperimentsandtofield dataonrelationshipsbetweenfirms,savingdiscussionofrelationshipswithinfirms forSection3.Alltheevidencewedescribeisonlyillustrative;manyfurther examplescouldalsobegiven. 9 Condition(1)predictsthatcooperationislesslikelyasthereturnstodefection rise(i.e.,asDorPincreases).6Asevidenceinthisspirit,considerthefieldstudyby McMillanandWoodruff(1999)andthelabstudybyBrownandSerra‐Garcia (2010).McMillanandWoodruffuseasampleoffirmsinVietnamduring1995‐97to studytradecredit(i.e.,theextenttowhichabuyer’spaymentismadesignificantly afterthesupplierdeliversthegoods).Theyfindthatsuppliersgrantbuyersmore tradecreditiftherearefewersimilarsupplierswithin1kilometerandifthe supplier’smaincompetitorislocatedmorethan1kilometeraway(i.e.,when punishmentpayoffsarelowerforbuyers).Turningtolabevidence,Brownand Serra‐Garciaconductanexperimentthatvariesaborrower’sabilitytoexpropriate loanedfundsbyallowing(ornotallowing)theborrowertoreinvestfundsfollowing default.Theyfindthatthevolumeoftradedecreasesandthatborrowersaremore likelytodefault(ininitialperiods)whenexpropriationispossible(i.e.,when defectionpayoffsarehigher). Asdirectevidencefortheideathatcooperationismorelikelyinenvironments withlowerdiscountrates,aspredictedby(2),considertheexperimentbyDalBo (2005),whoconductsarepeatedPrisoners’Dilemmaandvariestheprobabilitythat thegamewillbecontinued.DalBofindsthathigherprobabilitiesofcontinuation (whichimplylowervaluesofr)leadtohigherratesofcooperation.Engle‐Warnick andSlonim(2004)providearelatedexperimentalfinding. Therearealsoindirectexamplesof(2),basedontheideathattheremaybe morethantwopartiesavailableanddifferentpairingsofpartiesmayoccurover time.Asableakbaselinecase,supposethattherearemanyparties,thatpairingsare randomeachperiod,andthateachpartyknowsonlyitsownexperience(i.e.,there isnoinformationaboutwhatotherpartiesdidwhileinotherpairings).Inthiscase, itislikelytotakemanyperiodsbeforeagivenpairmeetseachotheragain,soris highandcooperationisunlikely.Buttherearevariousalternativestothisbleak baselinecase,eachofwhichcanbeinterpretedasreducingrandsomaking(2) morelikelytohold,asfollows. Inlabstudies,BrownandZehnder(2007)allowpartiestochoosetheir partnerseachperiod,leadingtobothlong‐standingrelationshipsandimproved cooperation,andDuffyandOchs(2009)findgreatercooperationinfixedpairsthan inrandompairs.Usingfielddata,RobinsonandStuart(2007)studybiotechnology alliances,findingthatalliancepartnerswithcloserproximitytoeachotherinthe industrynetworkarelesslikelytouseequity(anduselessequitywhenitis involvedinthedeal)andusemorefundingpledgedupfrontratherthanfunding basedonmilestones.Similarresultsholdwheneitherofthefirmsismorecentralin theoverallnetwork(asdistinctfrommoreproximatetoitspartner).Thesefindings areconsistentwiththeideathatfirmsthataremoreproximate(andhencemore 6Forfixedparameters,either(1)holdsoritdoesnot,socooperationiseitherpossibleornot.Ifwe imaginedatawith,say,heterogeneousvaluesofC,however,thenanincreaseinDorPcanbesaidto reducethelikelihoodofcooperation,suchasinthesenseofaprobit. 10 likelytoencountereachother)ormorecentral(andhencemorelikelytohavetheir actionsvisibletoothers)arelesslikelytodefect. Turningfromcross‐sectionalevidencetolongitudinal,recalltheideathatan increaseinthedefectiontemptationcaninducedefection,asdiscussedin connectionwith(3)and(4).Inthisspirit,Guriev,Kolotilin,andSonin(forthcoming), studynationalizationsofforeign‐ownedoilassetsin161countriesfrom1960‐2006. Duringthisperiodtherewere98nationalizationsin42countries.Controllingfor countryfixedeffects,theyfindthatnationalizationismorelikelywhenoilpricesare high(i.e.,defectionpayoffsarehigh)andwhenpoliticalinstitutionsareweak(i.e., punishmentcostsarelow,sothepayoffduringpunishment,Pdiscussedwith(3),is high).Theseindependentvariables—theoilpriceandpoliticalinstitutions—maybe somewherebetweenthepermanentchangeenvisionedin(3)andthetemporary fluctuationenvisionedin(4). Finally,asevidenceonthesophisticatedbehaviorin(5),wheretheparties repeatedlyadjusttheircollaborationoverthecourseoftheirrelationship,consider RotembergandSaloner(1986),whostudyvariationsintheextentofcollusionover thebusinesscycle.Intheirmodel,fullcollusion(whereallfirmschargethe monopolyprice)producesmoderaterenegingtemptationsinlow‐demandperiods buthigherrenegingtemptationsinhigh‐demandperiods,sothecolludingfirmscan implementonlypartialcollusioninthehigh‐demandperiods,asdiscussedin connectionwith(5).Empirically,RotembergandSalonerstudybothprice‐cost marginsoverthebusinesscycleforavarietyofindustries,aswellasactualprice warsinspecificindustries,andinbothcasesfindevidencebroadlyconsistentwith theirtheory:marginsaresmallerinbooms(i.e.,cooperationisreducedatmoments whendefectiontemptationsarehigher). Toconcludethissection,werecaptheargumentwehavemadethusfar.First, repeated‐gamemodelsofcollaborationpredictthatcooperationcanoccurif defectioncanbemetwithsufficientpunishment(wherepunishmentoccursover time,sotheprospectofpunishmenthasagreaterimpactonparties’current decisionswhentheycaremoreaboutthefuture).Second,inbothlabstudiesand fielddataonrelationshipsbetweenfirms,thereareempiricalfindingsthatare consistentwithsuchmodels.Asnotedabove,however,boththemodelsandthe evidencewehavedescribedfocusontheproblemofcredibility(i.e.,whetherone actorshouldbelieveanother’spromises)andignoretheproblemofclarity(i.e., whetheroneactorcanunderstandanother’spromises).Theythusimplicitlyfocus onsteady‐staterelationships,wherethepartieshavesubstantialsharedexperience abouttheiractionsandpayoffs,andavoidtheproblemofhowthesesteady‐state relationshipscomeabout. Inthenextsection,weaddtwoaspectstoourargument.First,weconsider relationalcontractswithinfirmsratherthanbetween.Inparticular,wedescribe threeimportantmanagementpracticesthatweseeasrelyingcruciallyonrelational contracts.Second,weprovidesufficientlydetaileddescriptionsoftheserelational 11 contractswithinfirmstosuggestthatitcannothavebeeneasytodevelopashared understandingofexactlywhatthesecontractsentailed,thuslayingthegroundwork foramoreextendeddiscussionoftheproblemofclarityinsection4. 3) ManagerialPracticesandRelationalContracts Wenowdescribeimportantmanagerialpracticeswithinthreeleadingfirms: subjectivebonusesatLincolnElectric,theproductionsystematToyota,andscience‐ drivendrugdiscoveryatMerck.Ineachofthesesettings,wefocusonkeyactions thatwebelievecouldnotbemotivatedbyformalcontractsandthatwethus hypothesizearethesubjectofrelationalcontracts.WetreatLincolnbriefly,because itcorrespondsreasonablywelltothemodelinSection2.1,whereonepartyrelies ontheothertokeepitspromises,butwediscussToyotaandespeciallyMerckin moredetail,becausetheyillustratethemoretypicalandmoreinterestingcase whereeachpartyisrelyingontheother. Inadditiontopresentingaplausiblecasethatcompetitivelysignificant managerialpracticesrelyonrelationalcontracts,ourgoalinthesedescriptionsisto begintoillustratetheideathatbuildingarelationalcontractmayrequire addressingproblemsofclarityaswellasofcredibility.Weshowthattheserelational contractsrequirenotonlyahighleveloftaskknowledge—i.e.,oftheactionsthat constitutecooperation,butalsoagreatdealofrelationalknowledge—i.e.,ofthe payofftocooperationforeachparty,ofeachparty’sabilityandincentivetodefect, andoftheactionsandpayoffsthatconstitutepunishment.Section4buildsonthese descriptionstoexploretheproblemsinherentinbuildingrelationalcontractsin moredetail. LincolnElectricmakesarcwelders.Theirproductivity,innovation,and profitabilityhavemadethemarguablytheworld’sleaderintheirindustry,andtheir managementpracticeshavebroughtthemsubstantialscrutiny—fromFastandBerg (1975)throughHastings(1999)andbeyond.Forbrevity,wefocusonthefirm’s incentivescheme,whichinvolvesbothapiecerate(specifyingtherateofpayper taskcompleted)andasubjectivebonus(basedonfactorsthatcanbedifficultto measure,suchasdependability,quality,andideas/cooperation).SeeMilgromand Roberts(1995)fordescriptionsofhowLincoln’sotherpracticescomplementthe subjectivebonuswedescribe. Lincoln’sbonusisveryimportantforboththeworkersandthefirm:over severaldecades,theaveragebonustoanindividualwasapproximatelyaslargeas theindividual’stotalpiece‐ratepay(dependingonthepersonandtheyear)andthe averagebonuspoolwasabouthalfofthefirm’spre‐tax,pre‐bonusearnings(again withsubstantialvariationacrossyears).Crucially,however,neithertheindividual bonusreceivedbyaworkernortheaggregatepoolpaidbythefirmisdetermined byaformula(i.e.,anobjectiveweightattachedtoanobjectiveperformance measure).Instead,botharediscretionary. 12 InthelanguageofSection2,Lincoln’sworkersmayearnhighpayoffsfrom workinghard,asbonusescanapproachhalfoftotalcompensation,butsince paymentofthebonusisdiscretionary,Lincoln’smanagementcaninprincipledefect bypayingtoosmallabonusornoneatall.Severalformalmodelshaveexploredthe conditionsunderwhichsuchadiscretionarybonusplansatisfiesacredibility constraintsuchasequation(1)above.7Butthesemodelsignorethedegreetowhich suchcontractsmustalsosolveapotentiallysevereclarityproblem:Lincoln’s relationalcontractrestsonanumberofsharedunderstandingsthatmaywellbe difficulttoimitate.Forexample,thesizeofthebonusiscontingentnotonlyonthe productivityofanemployee,butalsoontheemployee’s“dependability,”the “quality”oftheirworkandthedegreetowhichtheycontributednewideasand “cooperated”intheimprovementoftheproductionprocess—noneofwhichiseasy todefineormeasure. Asimilarrelianceonrelationalcontracts—andanassociatedrelianceonthe developmentofanextensivesharedunderstandingofconceptsthatareintrinsically hardtodefinewithoutsharedexperience—isevidentinournextexample,from Toyota’sproductionsystem(TPS). ManyresearchershavedocumentedthattheTPSreliesoninnovative contributionsbytheworkforcethroughshop‐floorproblem‐solving(see,for example,Ohno,1995andWomack,JonesandRoos,1991).Thekindsofbehaviors askedoftheworkforceinclude“raiseproblemswhenyouseethem”and“bean effectivememberofproblem‐solvingteams.”Aswiththeaspectsofworker performancethatarerewardedinLincoln’ssubjectivebonus,weconjecturethat thesedesiredbehaviorsinToyota’sproductionsystemcannotbespecifiedprecisely enoughtobemeasuredandrewardedinaformalcontract. Asoneexample,akeydiscretionarybehavior(bybothworkersand supervisors)involvesthe“andoncord”(aropeontheassemblylinethat,when pulledbyaworker,sendsanalerttosupervisorsthattheremaybeaproblemonthe line).Ifthesupervisorfailstoresolvethepotentialproblem,thenpullingtheandon cordmayresultinstoppingtheline—anenormouslydisruptiveeventinmany continuous‐flowproductionsystems.Buildinganeffectiverelationalcontract aroundtheuseoftheandoncord—andaroundparticipationinproblemsolving morebroadly—requiresnotonlysolvingthecredibilityproblem,butalso developingasharedunderstandingofahostofsubjectiveideas.Forexample,both employeesandmanagersmustdevelopasharedunderstandingofquestionssuchas whichtypesofproblemsareworthpullingthecordforandhowsupervisorsshould respondinthosecasesinwhichthecordhasbeenpulledinappropriately.They mustalsolearnatwhatpoint,ifany,willsupervisorspenalizeworkers(financially 7SeeBull(1987),MacLeodandMalcomson(1989),andLevin(2003)forrepeated‐gamemodelsof suchrelationalincentivecontractsandBaker,Gibbons,andMurphy(1994)foratwo‐partpayplan likeLincoln’s,combininganobjectivepieceratewithadiscretionarybonus. 13 orsocially)formistakesinpullingthecord,andwhatkindsofrewardsare appropriatewhenthecordhasbeenusedwell. Noticethateventhissimplifieddiscussionoftheuseoftheandoncordraises animportantissuenotpresentintheTrustGameinSection2orinourdiscussionof Lincoln’sbonus.IntheTrustGame,Player1chooseswhethertotrustPlayer2,who thenchooseswhethertohonor/cooperateorbetray/defect.Likewise,inLincoln’s bonus,theworkerissubjecttothefirm’sdiscretionoverwhatbonustopay.With theandoncord,however,eachpartyisbeinggivendiscretionbytheother:the workertostopthelineandthemanagertoimplementworkersuggestionsandto supportproblemsolvingin“appropriate”ways.Wesuspectthatsuchmutual dependenceismoretherulethantheexception.Butinsuchsettings—whereboth partiescancooperate,defect,andpunish—evenmoreknowledgemustbeheldin commoniftherelationalcontractistobesustainable.Toillustratethismutual dependence,andmorebroadlythecomplexityoftheknowledgeonwhichrelational contractsoftenrely,Table1sketchessomeofthepotentialactionsbyworkersand managersthatmustbemutuallyunderstoodinordertobuildarelationalcontract aroundtheuseoftheandoncord. Table1:Cooperation,Defection,andPunishmentintheuseoftheAndoncordat Toyota. Worker Supervisor Cooperate Actions: 1.Pulltheandoncord whenyouseeaproblem 2.Offersuggestionson improvementstothe productionprocess(that mightmakeyourjob redundant) Defect Actions: 1a.Neverpulltheandon cord(outoffearofbeing punished) 1b.Pulltheandoncordto stopthelineandavoid workwhenthereisno trueproblem 2.Keepimprovements hiddenfromco‐workers andmanagers Actions: Actions: 1.Recognizepotential 1.Punishworkersfor problemwhenandoncord pullingandoncord(even pulledandaidinproblem‐ appropriately) solving 2.Cutworkforceonce 2.Implement theydiscoverpotential improvementswithout innovations necessarilycuttingjobs 3.Interfereinworkteams 3.Acceptauthorityof andoverridetheir workteamstomakesome decisions shop‐floordecisions Punish Actions(inresponseto perceiveddefectionby manager): 1.Sabotagethe manufacturingline 2.Pullandoncord frequently 3.Engageinabsenteeism Actions(inresponseto perceiveddefectionby worker): 1.Penalizeworkers (financiallyorsocially)for pullingandoncord 2.Removetheandoncord JustasourdiscussionofLincoln’sbonusignoredahostofcomplementary practicesthatsustainperformanceatLincoln,hereourdiscussionofToyota’sandon 14 cordfocusesononlyonesmallaspectoftheTPS.Nonetheless,eventhissmallaspect illustratestherangeofknowledgethatmayberequiredtobuildthenecessary relationalcontract.Furthermore,whiletheseissuesareimportantinmanufacturing settingssuchasLincolnandToyota,theyareperhapsevenmoreimportantin knowledge‐worksettings,whichweillustratenextbydiscussingscience‐driven drugdiscoveryatMerck. Formanydecades,pharmaceuticalresearchfirmsattemptedtodiscovernew drugsthroughalarge‐scaleprocessoftrialanderror.Forexample,several successfulpsychotropicdrugswerediscoveredbyputtinglargenumbersof potentiallybiologicallyactivecompoundsintodistressedratsandchemically tinkeringwiththefewcompoundsthatseemedtohavesomeeffectontherats’ behavior(Henderson,1994).Thisprocessofdrugdiscoveryreliedprimarilyonthe skillsofhighlytrainedmedicinalchemistswhocoulddesignandconstructchemical compoundsthatwerelikelytohavepharmacologicaleffects.Evenforvery successfuldrugs,however,thespecificbiochemicalmechanismsresponsibleforthe drug’stherapeuticeffectswereoftennotwellunderstood. Beginninginthe1980s,advancesinthescientificliteratureofferednew understandingsofthebiochemicalmechanismsunderlyingmanydiseases,makingit possiblefordrugcandidatestobetargetedatspecificmechanisms.Pharmaceutical firmsseekingtochangefromtheoldprocessofdrugdiscovery(large‐scaletrialand error)toanewone(basedonthemechanismsofdisease)neededtoundergo severalsignificantchanges(Henderson,1994).First,completelynewkindsof scientistshadtobehired,suchasmolecularbiologists.Second,thenewprocess requiredrichcommunicationacrossscientificdisciplinesandtherapeuticareas, whereastheoldprocesshadperformedwellwhenconductedindisciplinaryand functionalsilos.Finally(andmostimportant,forourpurposes),thenewprocess requiredthefirm’sscientistsnotonlytostaycurrentwiththepromising mechanismsbeingdiscoveredintheacademicliteraturebutalsotoconductsuch leading‐edgesciencethemselves,in‐house. Perhapsnotsurprisingly,stayingcurrentwiththeacademicliteratureinvolved morethansittinginthefirm’slabandreadingthejournals.Forexample,therewas greatvalueinalsoattendingconferences,butonetypicallycouldnotfully understand(or,insomecases,evenbeinvitedto)manyconferenceswithouthaving one’sownactiveresearchinthearea—aclassicinstanceof“absorptivecapacity” (CohenandLevinthal,1990).Asaresult,somepharmaceuticalfirmsencouraged theirscientiststopublish—eventhoughofcourseanultimategoalwastosecure patentsondrugcandidates.HendersonandCockburn(1994)callafirm“PROPUB”if anindividualscientist’scareerinsidethefirmdependedonthescientist’sstanding intheoutsidescientificcommunity,andtheyfindthatpatentoutputissignificantly greaterinPROPUBfirms(evenwithdummyvariablesfortherapeuticareaand firm). 15 Thisnewprocesshasbeenlabeled“science‐drivendrugdiscovery”(Cockburn, Henderson,andStern,2000).Notethatitisnotthemerepresenceofmoreor differentscientistswithinpharmaceuticalfirmsthatpromptsthislabel;forexample, thereweremanysyntheticchemistsinvolvedintheoldprocess.Rather,thelabel reflectsthefactthatthenewprocesswithinthefirmreliessoheavilyon interactionswithandassessmentsfromtheoutsidescientificcommunity.Itisthis roleforthescientificcommunity(andthepossibletensionofthisrolewiththe firm’sgoalofpatentsondrugcandidates)thatweexploreasafinalexampleofboth thepresenceofrelationalcontractsunderlyingkeymanagerialpracticesandthe difficultiesinbuildingarelationalcontract,asfollows. Firmspursuingscience‐drivendrugdiscoveryneededscientiststobehave almostasiftheywereacademicscientists—toexplorequestionsoffundamental scientificinterest,topublishintherefereedliterature,andtoattendacademic conferences.Atthesametime,however,thesescientistscouldnotactcompletely likeacademics.Theyhadtoalsotakeactionsthatincreasedthelikelihoodofthe discoveryofnewdrugs.Makingamajorscientificbreakthrough—evenwinninga Nobelprize—withoutsimultaneouslygeneratingknowledgethatcouldbequickly appliedtothesearchfornewdrugswouldnotconstitutefullsuccess.Thosefirms thatsuccessfullydevelopedthissharedunderstanding,ofwhomMerckisthemost wellknown,introducedmore“significant”drugsandgrewfasterthananyoftheir competitors,butthepracticewasrelativelyslowtodiffuseacrosstheindustry (Cockburn,HendersonandStern,2000). Weseescience‐drivendrugdiscoveryasacomplexmanagerialpracticethat cannotbesustainedwithoutarelationalcontract.Nomechanisticformulacouldtell aresearchsupervisorwhetheraparticularscientistwasappropriatelystraddling thefinelinebetweenbehavinglikeanacademicscientistandbehavinglikea commerciallyorienteddrughunter,andthusnoformalcontractalonecouldensure thatresearcherswerebehavingasthefirmdesired.Stayingconnectedtothe academicworldrequiredpublishinginthejournalsandattendingconferences—but noonecouldspecifyhowmanypapersascientistshouldpublishandwhich conferencesheorsheshouldattend,particularlywheneveryscientist’sresearch trajectorywaslikelytobedifferent.Whenwasgoingtoconferencesvitaltothe research,andwhenwasitconsumption?Andonthemanager’sside,whena scientisthadpublishedextensivelyinavitalnewfieldbutfailedtoreceivean increasedresearchbudget,washermanagerrenegingontherelationalcontractor respondingappropriatelytothefactthatthescientist’slabstillhadnotproduced anyplausibledrugcandidates? Table2sketchesourconceptionofcooperation,defection,andpunishmentfor thescientistandthemanagerintherelationalcontractunderlyingscience‐driven drugdiscovery.AswithLincoln’sbonusandToyota’sproductionsystemour descriptionhereisnecessarilypartial,butitnonethelessillustratestheextentand complexityoftheinformationthatmustbeunderstoodbyallpartiesifthe necessaryrelationalcontractistobeself‐enforcing. 16 Table2:Cooperation,Defection,andPunishmentinScience‐DrivenDrugDiscovery Scientist Cooperation Action:behavealmost likeanacademic scientist,butbesureto developuseful knowledgefor discoveringnewdrugs. Manager Action:rewardthe scientistwhodisplays high‐sciencebehavior evenifnonewdrugs result. Defection Action:eithershirk (representlackof resultsasunlucky research)orbehave likeanacademic scientist(pursue problemsfortheirown sake,buildexternal reputation) Punishment Action(inresponseto perceiveddefectionby manager,andperhaps dependingonnatureof thatdefection):behave likeanacademic scientist,orignore researchandbecomea drughunter Action:failtoincrease Action(inresponseto resourcesforscientists perceiveddefectionby whopublish;reward scientist,andperhaps onlythosewho dependingonnatureof producedrugs thatdefection):firethe scientist,orcutfunding 4) BuildingandRefiningRelationalContracts OurdescriptionsofsomeoftherelationalcontractsinplaceatLincoln Electric,ToyotaandMerckhavehighlightedboththatmanysignificantmanagerial practicesmayrelyonrelationalcontractsandthatthe“relationalknowledge”thatis requiredtosustainthesecontractsmaybeveryextensive. Inthissectionwebuildonthesetwoideastofocusmoresquarelyonthekey questionofwhyrelationalcontractsmaybehardtobuildandrefine—andhence hardtoimitate.Thethreecasesinsection3constitutesamplingonsuccess,inthe sensethatthoserelationalcontractsdidgetbuilt.Forasharperviewofthe difficultiestheclarityproblemcancreate,wenowsamplefromtheotherendofthe distribution,whenfailuretocommunicateandtheresultinglackofshared understandinginhibitedthedevelopmentorrefinementofrelationalcontracts. 4.1 BuildingClarity:TaskandRelationalKnowledge InourdescriptionsofLincoln,Toyota,andMerck,wesawthatdevelopinga sharedunderstandingofthedesiredbehaviorswasnoteasybecausetherewas uncertaintyaboutbothappropriateactionsand(althoughwedidnotemphasizeit asmuch)associatedpayoffs.WecanstatethesedifficultiesabstractlyusingFigures 1and2.ToparticipateintherelationalcontractinvolvingthoseFigures,player1 needstoknow(a)whatbehaviorsconstitutecooperationbyher(Trustratherthan NotTrust),(b)whatbehaviorsarethenavailabletoplayer2ascooperationor defectionbyhim(HonorandBetray,respectively),(c)whatpayoffsplayer2would receivefromthoseavailablebehaviors(1versus2inFigure1,orCversusDin 17 Figure2),and(d)whatpayoffsplayer1wouldreceiveifeveryonecooperates versusnot(1versus0inFigure1).8 Ofalltheactionsandpayoffsdescribedin(a)through(d),only(a)seemstous akintowhatissometimescalledtaskknowledge(i.e.,howoneshouldbehaveinthe organization),sowehereaftercall(b)through(d)theadditionalrelational knowledgeneededtoparticipateinarelationalcontract.Asnotedinthe Introduction,otherresearchtraditions(e.g.,Winter(1987,1988)ontacit knowledgeorLevinthal(1997),MilgromandRoberts(1995)andRivkin(2000)on complementarities)havemadeimportantstridesexploringthedifficultiesof learningandcommunicatingtaskknowledge.Ashardasitmaybetolearnor communicateone’sowntaskknowledgein(a),however,itmustbeatleastashard andpresumablyhardertolearnsomeoneelse’staskknowledgein(b),butplayer1 cannotparticipateintherelationalcontractwithoutthisunderstandingofplayer2’s availablebehaviors,aswellastheassociatedpayoffsin(c).Inthissense,thereis simplymore(anddifferentandprobablyharder)knowledgetolearnand communicateinthecaseofarelationalcontractthaninthecaseofone’sowntask knowledge.Notice,too,thatthetaskmaybefurthercomplicatedbythefactthatif allgoeswellandbothpartiescooperatewitheachother,eventsofftheequilibrium path—i.e.,thebehaviorsandpayoffsassociatedwithbothdefectionand punishment—cannotbeobservedbutmustbeinferred. Asonestrikingexampleofthedifficultyofcommunicatingrelational knowledge,wereconsiderLincolnElectric.Afterdecadesofhighproductivityand apparentlyappropriatebonusesintheirClevelandoperations,Lincolnexpanded overseas,withinitiallyverynegativeresults(Hastings,1999).Infact,earningsin Clevelandwereatrecordlevels,butoverseaslossesweresolargethatthecompany asawholewasinthered.Anewquestionthusaroseaboutwhatconstituteda“fair” bonusforClevelandworkers:shouldthebonusbebasedonClevelandprofitsoron thoseofthefirmasawhole?Naturally,whenthefirmhadoperationsonlyin Cleveland,thisdistinctionneverarose,butithadsuddenlybecomecrucial. Formally,therewasnowdeepambiguityaboutwhichofmanagement’sactions wouldbeconsidered“cooperation”. WeprovidetheresolutionofLincoln’sstoryinthenextsub‐section.Fornow wesimplynotethatevenalongstandingrelationalcontractmaynotentailshared understandingofallthedesiredbehaviorsinallthepossiblecircumstancesthat couldarise.Inasimilarspirit,EllisonandHolden(2009)analyzeamodelwherea principalattemptstoteachanagenthowtorespondtofluctuatingcircumstances. Formally,thetimingofeachperiodis:(1)theagentobservesthestateoftheworld, (2)theagentchoosesanaction,(3)theprincipalobservesthestateandsendsa messagetotheagent,and(4)bothpartiesreceiveacommonpayoffthatispositive iftheagentchoosetheappropriateactionforthestateandzerootherwise.The 8RecallfromSection2.1thatplayer1needstoknow(b)and(c)toassesswhetherplayer2will cooperate;ifso,player1thenneedstoknow(a)and(d)todecidewhethertocooperateherself. 18 novelassumptionintheEllison‐Holdenmodelisthattherearesomestatesofthe worldthatthepartiescannotdiscussuntiltheyhaveexperiencedthemtogether.In thissetting,therecanbemoreorlessusefulearlyrealizationsofthestate,allowing moreorlessusefulinstructionsfromtheprincipaltotheagent.Tothedegreethat thisphenomenonisrealitsuggeststhatthedevelopmentofrelationalcontractsmay besignificantlypath‐dependent,withsomestatesoftheworldenablingthecreation ofmuchmorerobustcontractsthanothers;seealsoourdiscussionofChassang (2010)below. Asasecondcaseaboutlackofsharedunderstanding,considerStewart’s (1993)accountofhowCreditSuisse,alargeEuropeanbank,boughttheUS investmentbankFirstBoston,takingthecompanyprivateunderthenameCSFirst Boston(CSFB).Roughlyspeaking,inthefirsttwoyearsthatCreditSuissecontrolled CSFB,allfirmsintheinvestment‐bankingindustryperformedpoorlyandemployees receivedbonusesthatwerelowerthanthehistoricalaveragebutcomparableto bonusespaidatotherinvestmentbanks.Inthethirdyear,however,CSFB performedbetterthanpreviouslyandyetworsethanitscompetitors,andCredit SuissepaidbonusesthatwereabovebonusesatCSFBinthefirsttwoyearsbut lowerthanthoseatotherfirmsinthethirdyear.Acrisisensued.Inbrief,CSFB assertedthatthebonuspolicyintheirindustrywasmatch‐the‐market,meaningthat bonusesshouldbecompetitivewithbonusesatothertop‐bracketfirms.Incontrast, theSwissassertedthatintheirindustrythebonuspolicywaspayforperformance, meaningthatabanker’sbonusdependedonhowheandhisbankperformed.Note thatthesetwopoliciesmakeidenticalpayprescriptionswhenallfirmsinthe industryhavethesameperformance,aswasbroadlytrueinthefirsttwoyears. Moregenerally,partieswithdifferentunderstandingsmaynotappreciatethatthis differenceexistsuntilkeyeventsoccur—withthefurthercomplicationthat behaviorbyonepartyduringsuchaneventmaybeintendedascooperationbut nonethelessbeviewedbytheotherasdefection. Forinspiringevidencethatdifferentgroupscanindeedreachdifferentshared understandingsinsimilarenvironments,considerthelabstudiesbyWeberand Camerer(2003)andSeltenandWarglien(2007).Bothexplorecommon‐interest games,wheretwoplayersreceivethesamepositivepayoffiftheysuccessfully coordinate,buttheyreceivenopayoffiftheyfailtocoordinate.Morespecifically,the playersareattemptingtobuildasharedlanguageduringrepetitionsofagamelike thefollowing:(1)player1observesthestateoftheworld,sS;(2)player1sendsa costlessmessagetoplayer2,mM;(3)player2choosesanactionaS;(4) payoffstoeachplayerareU(s,a)=1ifa=sandU(s,a)=0otherwise;(5)player2 observess.Thus,player1wouldliketosendamessagem(s)thattellsplayer2that thestateiss(sothatplayer2willthenchoosetheactiona=s).Theproblemisthat, atleastintheearlygoing,player2haslittlebasisforunderstandingplayer1’s messages. 19 Bothpapersfindthatdifferentpairsofplayersdevelopdifferentlanguages, eventhoughthesepairsareplayinginthesameenvironment(exceptforthe randomrealizationsofthestatesoftheworldovertime).Becausetheseare common‐interestgames,weinterprettheknowledgebeingcommunicatedastask knowledge,notrelationalknowledge.Inparticular,thereisnoconcernwith defectionorpunishmentinacommon‐interestsetting.Nonetheless,consistentwith thelargeliteratureonthedifficultiesofcommunicatingtacitknowledge,different pairsofplayerstakedifferentlengthsoftimetodevelopasharedunderstanding, anddifferentpairsholddifferentsharedunderstandingsoncetheyreachthem. Fromthislabevidence,wefinditonlyasmallstretchtoimaginethatsimilarforces couldcausereasonablepeopletoholddifferentunderstandingsinsituationslike thoseatLincolnorCSFB.Ofcourse,theissueatthesetwocompaniesinvolved bonuses,sothesewerenotcommon‐interestsettings;rather,theproblemof credibilityalsoarose,aswediscussnext. 4.2 TheDynamicsofCredibility Beyondthefactthatimplementingarelationalcontractrequires communicatingnotonlytaskknowledgebutalsorelationalknowledge,thereis anotherdifficultythatcomplicateslearningandcommunicatingarelationalcontract comparedtolearningandcommunicatingtaskknowledge:relationalcontractsare relevantonlywhengoalalignmentisimperfect.9Thus,whatevertheinformation thatneedstobecommunicated(taskand/orrelational),itmaynotbeinsomeone’s interesttorevealthatinformation.Instead,informationmightbewithheldor distorted.Thereisofcourseanenormouseconomicsliteratureontheseissues,and wenotethatdiscussionalongtheselinesstartedinorganizationtheorybefore informationeconomicsororganizationaleconomicsexisted,suchasinCyertand March(1963).10Thequestionweface,however,ishowimperfectalignmentof interestsaffectsparties’effortstobuildarelationalcontract(aspartofamanagerial practice). ReturningtoouraccountsofLincolnElectricandCreditSuisseFirstBoston,we findtwodifferentscenariosunfoldingafteralackofsharedunderstandingwas discovered.AtLincolnElectric,wherethequestionwaswhetherCleveland’s bonusesshouldbebasedonClevelandprofitsoronthoseofthefirmasawhole,the firmultimatelydecidedinfavoroftheformerprinciple(eventhoughdoingso 9 Thepartoforganizationaleconomicscalled“teamtheory,”initiatedbyMarschakandRadner (1972),canbeinterpretedasexploringinformationacquisition,communication,anddecision‐ makingwhenallpartieshavethesameinterests(butgatheringandcommunicatinginformationare costlyactivities).SeeGaricanoandVanZandt(2012)forarecentdiscussionofapproachesinthis vein. 10Forexample:“Where different parts of the organization have responsibility for different pieces of information relevant to a decision, we would expect some bias in information transmitted due to … attempts to manipulate information as a device for manipulating the decision. … [But] we cannot reasonably introduce the concept of communication bias without introducing its obvious corollary – ‘interpretive adjustment’” (pp. 79 and 85, Cyert and March, 1963). 20 requiredthefirmtoborrowinordertopaythebonus).AtCSFB,incontrast,CS stucktoitspolicyofpayforperformance(ratherthanthebankers’preferredpolicy ofmatchthemarket),leadingtothedepartureofmanyprominentbankers. Therearemanywaystorelatethedynamicsofthesecasestotheoriesofthe kindwehaveconsideredinthisessay.Ourpointhereisnottoendorseparticular theoreticalinterpretationsofthesetwocases,butrathertosurfacethegeneralissue thatthesecasespresent:howwillpartiesrespondwhenapossible misunderstandingsurfaces?Wenowsketchthreecomplementaryapproachesto thisissue,inthehopethatfurthertheoryandevidenceonthedynamicsof relationshipswillensue. Oneapproach,inthespiritofSection2.1,istoimaginethatthecritical momentsinthesecasescorrespondtosuddenchangesinpayoffs.Forexample, CreditSwissemayhavereachedapointwherethedefectiontemptation permanentlyincreasedfromDtoD,alongthelinesof(3),causingthebankto defect.(Toputthispointlessabstractly,itmaybethatwhattheSwisswantedall alongwasaglobalfinancialsupermarket,forwhichitneededaninvestmentbank, butnotnecessarilyatop‐bracketinvestmentbank,sotheygaveuponthelatter whenitspriceincreased.)ButthisandanyotheranalysisfromSection2.1assumes thatthepartieshaveasharedunderstandingofwhatactions(inwhatstates) constitutecooperationintheirrelationship,whereasthebankersatCSFBandtheir Swissownersapparentlydidnothavesuchasharedunderstanding.Wetherefore turntomodelswherethepartieshavesomethingtolearn. ManyauthorshaveenrichedthecredibilitymodelsfromSection2.1toinclude privateinformationaboutplayers’payoffs,sothatpartieslearnabouttheirpartners asanequilibriumprogresses;seeMacLeodandMalcomson(1988),Watson(1999, 2002),andHalac(2011),forexample.Asanillustration,inFigures1and2,suppose thatplayer1isuncertainaboutplayer2’sdiscountrate,whichplayer1believes couldbehigh(rH)orlow(rL).Inmodelslikethese,itcanbeoptimaltoterminatea relationshipafterlearningenoughbadnewsaboutone’spartner’stype(perhapsas atCS).Likewise,itcanbeoptimaltoenricharelationship,suchasmovingfrom partialtofullcooperation,afterlearningenoughgoodnewsaboutone’spartner’s type.Asaresult,onecouldimagineplayer2searchingforwaystosignalthatsheis thepatient(or“hightrust”)type,rL,soastoinducegreatercooperationfromplayer 1. Modelsoflearningaboutone’spartneroftensuggestempiricalapproaches basedonunmeasurablemanagerialattributes.Suchempiricalworkhasastrong tradition,fromatleastMundlak(1961)throughatleastBertrandandSchoar (2003).Butthereisanalternativeapproachthatalsoshedslightonperformance differences,basedonpath‐dependenceratherthanunmeasuredheterogeneity. Chassang(2010)offersonemodelinthisalternativespirit,inwhichaPrincipaland anAgentbuildarelationalcontract,asfollows. 21 In each period, the Principal first chooses whether to invest or not, where investingimposesacostkonthePrincipalbutdeliversabenefitbtotheAgent(and not investing delivers zero to both parties and ends that period). If the Principal doesinvestthendifferentactionsfromthefeasiblesetArandomlybecomeavailable thatperiod,andbothpartiesobservewhichactionsareavailablethatperiod. In the feasible set A there are two kinds of actions, unproductive and productive.AnunproductiveactioncostsnothingfortheAgenttotakebutproduces no output for the Principal, whereas a productive action costs c to take and producesagivenpositiveoutputwithprobabilityqandzerowithprobability1‐q.It iscommonknowledgewhatthenumberofproductiveactionsisandwhatagiven productiveactionproduceswhenitproducespositiveoutput,butinitiallyonlythe Agentknowswhichactionsaretheproductiveones. In the first period, to induce the Agent to take a productive action (if one is available)insteadofanunproductiveaction,thePrincipalthreatensnottoinvestin severalfutureperiodsifthisperiod’soutputiszero.Notethatthispunishmentwill occur on the equilibrium path, because a productive action could produce zero output. In this sense, learning (i.e., identifying a new action as productive) is expensive.Ontheotherhand,laterinthegame,ifanactionhasalreadyproduceda positive output then the Principal knows that the action is productive, so if the AgentnowtakesthisactionanditproduceszerooutputthenthePrincipaldoesnot needtopunishtheAgent. Because learning is expensive (in the sense of punishments, and also in the senseofopportunitycostafteratleastoneproductiveactionhasbeenidentified),it canbeoptimaltostoplearningbeforeallproductiveactionsareidentified.Because opportunitiestolearnarriverandomly,otherwiseidenticaldyadsmaystoplearning afteridentifyingdifferentsetsofproductiveactions.Thatis,eachdyadconvergesto a steady‐state relational contract, but different dyads can converge to different relationalcontractsthatproducevaryingdegreesofcooperation.Thus,Chassang’s model can produce persistent performance differences among otherwise similar dyadsbecauseofpath‐dependenceinbuildingarelationalcontract—verymuchin thespiritoftheadministrationproblemthatanimatedthisessay. 5) Conclusion Anextensiveliteraturehassuggestedthatorganizationalcapabilitiesare difficulttoimitatebothbecausetheyrequirethecommunicationoftaskknowledge thatisoftendeeplyembeddedinorganizationalroutinesandbecauseproblemsof complementarityandlocalsearchmeanthattheprocessesofincrementallearning thatcharacterizemanyorganizationsmakeitdifficulttocommunicatethis knowledge.Herewehaveattemptedtodevelopacomplementaryexplanationfor theoftenslowdiffusionofcompetitivelysignificantcapabilitiesbyfocusingonthe factthatmanykeymanagerialpracticesrelyonrelationalcontracts,andby 22 suggestingthatbuildingtheserelationalcontractsrequiresmovingbeyondtask knowledgetothedevelopmentof“relationalknowledge.”Wesuggestedthat relationalknowledgemaybesubstantiallymoredifficulttodevelopthantask knowledgebothbecausethereismuchmoreofitandbecauseitsacquisitionis complicatedbyincentiveproblems. Whilewehopethatthisargumentiscompellingasahypothesis,thereis clearlymuchthatremainstobedonetoproveitsvalidityanddetermineits boundaryconditions.Forexample,whileitiswellestablishedthatorganizationsare repletewithrelationalcontracts,andwhilewebelievethatmanycompetitively significantmanagerialpracticesrelyonrelationalcontracts,carefulempiricalwork thatputtheseideastothetestwouldclearlybeuseful.Similarly,empiricalwork thatexploredthedevelopmentofrelationalcontractsovertimeasanintegralpart ofthedevelopmentofmanagerialpracticeswouldalsobeofsignificantvalue.One approachmightbetobeginwithcarefulqualitativestudiesandthenprogressto moresystematic,potentiallysurvey‐basedworkthatcouldenablecomparisons acrossfirmsovertime. Wealsosuspectthattheseideas,iftheydoindeedproverobusttocareful empiricalinvestigation,mayhavesignificantimplicationsformanagerialaction.A considerableliteraturehasexploredtheprocessesthatenablefirmstobecome “learningorganizations”(see,forexample,Argote,1999andSenge,1993).One couldimagineacomplementaryfocusontheprocessesthatenablefirmstobuild relationalcontracts.Extensiveandcrediblecommunicationisalmostcertainly important,andwesuspectthatinmanycircumstancestheabilitytocommunicate convincinglythatoneisa“hightrust”typewouldbeveryuseful.Anotherpossibility isthatmanagerswhoexcelinthedevelopmentofrelationalcontractstake advantage—orperhapsevencreate—situationsthattestthelimitsofthecurrent contracttothentakeactionsthatrefinethecontract,suchasbycommunicating crediblyaboutotherwiseunrevealedpayoffsandpreferences.Similarlyitmightbe thecasethatsuccessfulmanagersdeveloptheabilitytochangerelationalcontracts withouttriggeringtheperceptionthattheyarerenegingonexistingagreements; KaplanandHenderson(2005)suggestthatthelatterperceptionmaybea significantbarriertoorganizationalchange. Anotherpotentialextensionoftheseideasistoexploretheirimplicationsfor theroleoforganizationalcultureandritual.Onepointofconnection,forexample, mayflowfromthefactthataneffectiverelationalcontracttendstoachieve cooperation,ratherthandefection.Asaresult,itmaybeeasytoforget(orfor newcomersnevertohaveobserved)whatsomeoneelse’sopportunitiesfor defectionmightbe,orhowtemptingtheseopportunitiesmightbe,orwhatsomeone else’sopportunitiesforpunishmentmightbe,orhoweffectivethesepunishments mightbe.Thissituationisakintoonewhere“meansbecomeends,”whereaperson orgroupforgetswhyitdoessomething,andinsteadremembersonlywhatitis currentlysupposedtodo,thusleavingitselfunpreparedtorespondtofluctuating 23 circumstances.Partiestoarelationalcontractthereforemighttellstories:toremind eachotherofwhatcouldoccur,andtosketchappropriatebehaviorifitdoes. Morebroadlywebelievethatourframingopensupsomeintriguingissuesas totherelationshipbetweenthedynamicsofconventionalrelationalcontracts(i.e., purely“calculative”trust)andotherformsofsocialcapital.Astheextensive literatureontrusthasdemonstrated,organizationsareshotthroughwithbeliefs andexpectationsderivedfrompersonalandsocialdynamicsthatgiverisetomany differentkindsoftrust.Wehopethatourattempttoclarifytheroleofrelational contractsmaycontributetothedevelopmentofabroaderunderstandingofthe relationshipamongdifferentformsoftrustandtheirrolewithinthefirm.Withinthe firm,forexample,arecalculativeandaffectiveand/orsocialtrustcomplementsor substitutes?Mightitbethecasethatfirmscharacterizedbyhighlevelsofpersonal trustfinditsignificantlyeasiertobuildandrefinenewrelationalcontracts? Organizationalresearchershavelongsuggestedthattheinformalstructuresof firmsarecriticallyimportanttotheirperformance—andthatinsomecircumstances high‐commitmentworkpracticesortheabilitytosustainhighlevelsoftrustmaybe verypowerful.Ourhopeisthatbylinkingtheseideastotheanalyticalconstructofa relationalcontractwewillbeabletocatalyzefurtherresearchintheareaand, ultimately,tosupportpracticingmanagersinbuildingeffectiveorganizations.If buildingrelationalcontractsisasimportantaswebelieveittobe,researchthat yieldsinsightintothemechanismsbehindtheirdevelopmentandthestrategic choicesonwhichtheyrestcouldmakeanimportantcontributiononawidevariety offronts. 24 References Anand,B.N.,T.Khanna.2000.DoFirmsLearntoCreateValue?theCaseofAlliances. StrategicManagementJournal21(3)295–315. Aral,S.,P.Weill.2007.ITassets,OrganizationalCapabilities,andFirmPerformance: HowResourceAllocationsandOrganizationalDifferencesExplainPerformance Variation.OrganizationScience18(5)763–780. 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