Corrigendum
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Sokolov, A. P. et al. “CORRIGENDUM.” J. Climate 23.8 (2010):
2230-2231. © 2010 American Meteorological Society
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/2009jcli3566.1
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American Meteorological Society
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Wed May 25 21:46:10 EDT 2016
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http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/62297
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2230
JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
VOLUME 23
CORRIGENDUM
A. P. SOKOLOV, P. H. STONE, C. E. FOREST,* R. PRINN, M. C. SAROFIM,1 M. WEBSTER,#
S. PALTSEV, AND C. A. SCHLOSSER
Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Massachusetts
Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts
D. KICKLIGHTER
The Ecosystems Center, Marine Biological Laboratory, Woods Hole, Massachusetts
S. DUTKIEWICZ, J. REILLY, AND C. WANG
Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Massachusetts
Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts
B. FELZER@ AND J. M. MELILLO
The Ecosystems Center, Marine Biological Laboratory, Woods Hole, Massachusetts
H. D. JACOBY
Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Massachusetts
Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts
(Manuscript received 7 December 2009, in final form 11 December 2009)
The simulations with economic uncertainty discussed in section 4b of Sokolov et al. (2009)
were, by mistake, carried out with the mean values of the input climate parameters instead
of the intended median values. While this mistake did not affect the resulting distributions of
atmospheric CO2 and radiative forcing, it led to an upward shift in the distributions for the
changes in surface air temperature (SAT) and sea level rise. Correct distributions are shown
in Table 1 and in the revised version of Fig. 11. The ratios of the percentiles to the mean
shown in Table 2 of Sokolov et al. (2009) did not change.
REFERENCE
Sokolov, A., and Coauthors, 2009: Probabilistic forecast for twenty-first-century climate based on uncertainties
in emissions (without policy) and climate parameters. J. Climate, 22, 5175–5204.
* Current affiliation: Department of Meteorology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania.
1 AAAS Science and Technology Policy Fellow, Washington, D.C.
# Current affiliation: Engineering Systems Division, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Massachusetts.
@ Current affiliation: Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Lehigh University, Bethlehem, Pennsylvania.
Corresponding author address: Andrei Sokolov, Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Massachusetts Institute of
Technology, 77 Massachusetts Ave., E40-431, Cambridge, MA 02139.
E-mail: sokolov@mit.edu
DOI: 10.1175/2009JCLI3566.1
Ó 2010 American Meteorological Society
15 APRIL 2010
CORRIGENDUM
TABLE 1. Percentiles for distributions of surface warming and
sea level rise for the last decade of the twenty-first century in the
ensembles with full, climate, and emission uncertainties.
SAT
Full uncertainty
Emission uncertainty
Climate uncertainty
5%
3.50
3.95
3.81
16.7%
4.12
4.42
4.22
50%
5.12
5.16
5.12
83.3%
6.42
6.04
6.04
95%
7.37
6.56
6.98
Sea level rise
Full uncertainty
Emission uncertainty
Climate uncertainty
5%
29
36
29
16.7%
35
39
35
50%
44
44
43
83.3%
55
49
53
95%
63
52
60
FIG. 11. Frequency distributions for (a) atmospheric CO2 concentrations, (b) radiative forcing due to greenhouse
gases (GHGs) and sulfate aerosol, (c) surface air temperature, and (d) total sea level rise in simulations with full
uncertainty (blue), climate uncertainty (green), and emissions uncertainty (red) averaged over 2041–50 (dashed
lines) and 2091–2100 (solid lines).
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