Sacramento Mountain Wood Industry Summit March 31, 2016 New Mexico’s Forest Products Industry Steve Hayes, CF Eric Simmons Bureau of Business and Economic Research University of Montana BBER-who, what, where Overview of New Mexico’s forests and timber resource Current status of NM wood products Industry Logging utilization study Bureau of Business and Economic Research Who We Are The research and public service branch of the University of Montana School of Business Administration. Mission – serve the general public, business, labor, and government by providing an understanding of the economic environment in which We live and work. BBER What we do • State & local economic analysis • Survey research • Health care industry research • Manufacturing industry research Forest industry research Forest Industry Research • State-level industry analysis • Removals from inventory- Resource Planning Act Assessment & Timber Products Output (RPA-TPO) • Cost of forest management activities • Other related projects Key Factors Affecting the Region’s Forest Industry Timber Supply – Forest (timberland) area – Standing volume – Species mix – Growth & mortality New Mexico’s Forests Source: USDA Forest Service FIA Program 24.8 million acres of forests in New Mexico 4.3 million acres of productive, non-reserved timberland 63% National Forest 33% NIPF & Tribal 4% Other Public 20.5 million acres non-productive (82%) Tree Species by Area Forestland Species composition by acres <1% pinyon/juniper 6% Douglas fir Ponderosa pine 19% <1% 2% <1% <1% fir/spruce/mt hemlock 55% Other western softwood Elm/ash/cottonwood 3% aspen/birch Other hardwood 11% 4% Woodland hardwood Exotic hardwood Nonstocked Timberland Species composition by acres 2% 1% 0% 8% 19% 18% pinyon/juniper Douglas fir Ponderosa pine fir/spruce/mt hemlock 52% Other western softwood Elm/ash/cottonwood aspen/birch Key Factors Affecting the Region’s Forest Industry Timber Supply – Ownership & Availability Wood Products Demand New Mexico’s Timber Resource Inventory Volume 32 billion board feet Net annual growth 214 million board feet Annual removals <35 million board feet Sawtimber volume by ownership Forest service 29% Other federal 68% 3% <1% Source: USDA Forest Service FIA Program State and local Undifferentiated private Timberland species composition by sawtimber volume Douglas-fir 6% 3% Ponderosa Pine 21% 10% True fir 12% Engleman and other spruces 48% Other western softwoods Cottonwood and aspen Source: USDA Forest Service FIA Program New Mexico Timber Harvest Select Years 300 Million Board Feet(Scribner) 250 200 150 100 50 0 1966 1986 1997 2002 2007 2012 Harvest by Species Select Years 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% 1966 Ponderosa Pine 1986 Doulas-fir 1997 Other species 2002 True firs 2007 2012 Engelman Spruce Harvest by Ownership Select Years Million Board Feet (Scribner) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1997 2002 USFS Tribal 2007 Private 2012 State New Mexico Timber Harvest 28.8 MMBF harvest in 2012 – 50.3% NIPF & Tribal – 49.7% National Forest Sawlogs ~ 78% of total Harvest by Species and Product Type 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% 0% Sawlogs Vigas House logs Other products Ponderosa Pine Doulas-fir Other species True firs Lodgepole pine Engelman Spruce Key Factors Affecting the Region’s Forest Industry Timber Supply – Ownership & availability Wood Products Demand – Population – Housing Economic Impacts – Employment – Worker earnings New Mexico Primary Wood Products Industry Timber-processing facilities in New Mexico by mill type and volume of timber used 2012 Size Sawmills < 1 MMBF 11 6 17 >1 MMBF Total Vigas & Latillas 5 0 5 Other Total 6 0 6 22 6 28 County Lumber Bernalillo Catron Cibola Colfax Grant Lincoln Mora Otero Rio Arriba Sandoval San Miguel Santa Fe Taos 2012 Total 2007 Total 2002 Total 1997 Total 1986 Total 0 2 1 1 aOther Vigas and latillas Othera Total 0 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 6 2 3 2 3 2 28 24 36 44 41-46 1 1 1 1 1 4 2 2 1 2 1 17 12 21 22 26 2 1 1 1 1 5 5 8 15 5-10 6 7 7 7 10 products include posts, poles, house logs, firewood, pellets, shavings, erosion control products and bark products. US Housing & NM Wood, 1991-2014 Sources: U.S. Census Bureau; BBER; WWPA New Mexico Capacity and Timber Flow, 2012 28 active primary forest products facilities, vs. 24 in 2007 and 36 in 2002. Combined capacity of 61 MMBF Scribner annually (16 MMCF). 38% of capacity utilized. 59% in 2002. Net exporter (out of state) of 5.9 MMBF of sawlogs 2012. Changes in Capacity Declining timber harvest levels directly led to declining timber-processing capacity in the West. Declines were greatest in areas with greater dependence on/use of National Forest timber (e.g. Southwest). Capacity declined despite high product prices and high demand for wood products. Less capacity = less financial feasibility of forest management. New Mexico Sales and Product Flow, 2012 Millions of Dollars 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 New Mexico 4C Other products Board & shop Rockies Far west N east Vigas & Latillas Dimension & stud south N Other Central Timbers New Mexico Forest Industry Issues Need for consistent & predictable supply. Wild fire funding legislation. Market demand not reaching the region. Wood energy markets are slowly emerging. Restoring & re-vitalizing industry is important to all forest landowners. Change is needed! Contacting Us • Phone: (406) 243-5113 • Email: steve.hayes@business.umt.edu eric.simmons@business.umt.edu • Website: www.BBER.umt.edu