United States Department of Agriculture File Code: Route To: Subject: To: Forest Service Region Seven Vegetation Mgmt. Sol. Enterprise Team 900 Highway 36, PO Box 767 Chester, CA 96020 (530) 258-2141 2141 (TDD available) (530) 310-4268 Voice Date: 01/26/2010 /2010 FY2009 Treated Stand Structure Monitoring Report for HFQLG Pilot Project Colin Dillingham,, HFQLG Monitoring Team Leader Overview of Treated Stand Structure Monitoring current status, prepared by Lauren Payne, Silviculturist and Executive Officer Officer, VMS Enterprise Team. Treated Stand Structure Monitoring (TSSM) data collection is ongoing to help address the following four implementation questions from the HFQLG Monitoring Plan. 1): Do Silviculture and fuel treatments meet California Spotted Owl Interim Direction, fuels, and other stand objectives? 2): Are the desired abundance and distribution of snags and logs achieved in DFPZs and Group Selections? 3): Does the implementation of silvicultural prescriptions produce or retain desired stand elements such as logs, canopy cover, large trees, and early seral stage? 4): Do silvicultural treatments meet California spotted owl interim direction, and fuel and stand objectives over time? The TSSM data is also aimed to provide quantitative measures to evaluate the following key stand attributes. These key stand attributes are related to the implementation questions listed above, which are shown in parenthesis. A. B. C. D. E. F. G. H. I. J. K. Has habitat for California Spotted Owl been maintained? (Q1, Q4) Has habitat for California Spotted Owl been enhanced? (Q1, Q4) Has habitat suitability for carnivores been maintained? (Q1, Q3) Has habitat suitability for carnivores been enhanced? (Q1, Q3) Hass the amount of early seral forage been maintained? (Q3) Has the amount of early seral forage been enhanced? (Q3) Has the number of snags > 15 inches DBH been maintained? (Q1, Q2) Has the number of snags > 15 inches DBH been increased? (Q1, Q2) Has the amount of logs > 20 inches in diameter been maintained? (Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4) Has the amount of logs > 20 inches in diameter been increased? (Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4) Do the fuel conditions meet the DFPZ requirements? Eg. Computed four-foot four flame height at 90-percentile le weather. (Q1, Q4) TSSM data includes measurements of average tree diameter, average canopy cover, cover surface fuel loading, snags, and understory vegetation for both pre pre- and post-treatment treatment conditions of randomly selected locations within stands treated under nder the HFQLG Pilot Project. The Caring for the Land and Serving People Printed on Recycled Paper United States Department of Agriculture Forest Service Region Seven Vegetation Mgmt. Sol. Enterprise Team 900 Highway 36, PO Box 767 Chester, CA 96020 (530) 258-2141 2141 (TDD available) (530) 310-4268 Voice methodology is based on monitoring procedures of the Forest Health Pilot except that some modifications have been made to measure understory vegetation attributes and canopy cover. The TSSM data set has also been used tto o help answer additional monitoring questions such as: 25): What is the effect of treatments on fire behavior and suppression suppression? 28): How do TES plant species respond to resource management activities? 31): Did new infestations of noxious weeds occur du during ring or following project implementation? implementation The results of these analyses are reported in the fire/fuels and botany reports separately. TSSM Data Collection Accomplishments for 2009 By 2009, all previously collected TSSM data had been migrated into the standardized National Common Stand Exam (CSE) database. The CSE database provides Agency-wide wide access to the raw field data and calculates some of the average stand attributes used for monitoring. Along with the CSE field measurements, the Forest Vegetation Simulator (FVS) program is used to calculate additional attributes,, such as the average basal area of certain sized trees, trees per acre of seedlings, the basal area of hardwoods, and the basal area and trees per acre of snags. A review was conducted by the HFQLG Monitoring Program Manager, VMS Enterprise, and PSW to determine and validate all stand measurements needed to help answer all monitoring questions related to stand characteristics and ffuel loadings. Based on this review, all ll exams through 2009 were run through the FVS model to calculate the desired stand attributes. While down wood measurements are collected and loaded into the CSE database, neither the CSE program nor FVS are currently ntly able to calculate the fuel loadings based on the sample design. The raw down wood data is currently being exported from CSE into an Excel spreadsheet to hand calculate fuel loadings. In 2009 an access database was developed and put into use to capture re the collected (CSE) data as well as FVS computations and down wood spreadsheet calculations. The access database is also being expanded to indicate what treatments were applied to the various sampled stands, as well as what Directives and project speci specific objectives apply to each treatment unit. There are currently three distinct planning intervals that represent some variation in management direction and objectives. They are: • 1999 – 2001; Herger-Feinstein Feinstein Quincy Library Group Act, Forest LRMPs and individual i project NEPA • 2001 – 2004; Herger-Feinstein Feinstein Quincy Library Group Act, 2001 Sierra Nevada Forest Plan Amendment,, Forest LRMPs and individual project NEPA • 2004 – Present; Herger-Feinstein Feinstein Quincy Library Group Act, 200 2004 Sierra Nevada Forest Plan Amendment,, Forest LRMPs and individual project NEPA Caring for the Land and Serving People Printed on Recycled Paper United States Department of Agriculture Forest Service Region Seven Vegetation Mgmt. Sol. Enterprise Team 900 Highway 36, PO Box 767 Chester, CA 96020 (530) 258-2141 2141 (TDD available) (530) 310-4268 Voice While the primary intent of the HFQLG TSSM monitoring is not to monitor effectiveness in meeting individual project objectives as identified above, it does seem imperative to include these considerations when en answering the HFQLG monitoring questions. 2009 Data Summary In 2009 TSSM data was collected on 7 stands prior to treatment, 21 stands one year after treatment, and 4 stands five years after treatment. To date, a total of 260 stand measurements have been collected since year 2001. TSSM data has been collected on a total of 159 prepre treatment stands, 91 post-one one year treatment stands, and 10 post post-five five year treatment stands. Of the pre-treatment treatment stands, 56 fall within the Eastside ecological zone, 6 fall within a transition zone, and 97 fall within the Westside eco ecological zone. Most of the monitoring in the Westside zone has occurred since 2006. Over 90% of the post post-one one year treatment data for Westside stands has been collected between 2008 2008-2009, 2009, and represents less than half (roughly 40%) of the prepre treatment stands nds monitored on the Westside to date. With the current sample size, particularly the number of post post-one one year treatment stands that have been monitored, broader and more comprehensive analysis is beginning to be conducted. This reflects an emphasis shift from data collection, compilation and processing, to data analysis and discussion. In 2009, TSSM analysis focused primarily on meeting fuels objectives and snag retention objectives (monitoring questions 1 and 2, above). Fuels and Fire Behavior All TSSM M data was loaded into the FVS program and the Fire and Fuels Extension (FFE) within FVS was used to calculate predicted flame lengths and other wildfire results based on local 90th percentile weather conditions. The results of projected fire behavior bas based ed on the TSSM data collected thus far are further described in the 2009 HFQLG Fire/Fuels Report. There are caveats to be considered when reviewing fire modeling and projected fire effects. While fire modeling can provide a means for comparison (for exam example pre-treatment versus post-one one year burn results), results should not be considered absolute without further local verification and model validation. For example, initial modeling results indicate a significant drop in stand mortality in post-one year stands, but reflects a much higher (over 70%) stand mortality than would be expected or has been observed in DFPZs that have experienced wildfire to date. Further discussion of the results of fuels treatments in meeting fuels objectives can be found in the th 2009 HFQLG Fire/Fuels Report. Snag Distribution and Retention Natural snag distribution is generally very irregular and clumpy. As such, individual stand monitoring is insufficient in intensity to determine snag frequency or change at the stand level. Caring for the Land and Serving People Printed on Recycled Paper United States Department of Agriculture Forest Service Region Seven Vegetation Mgmt. Sol. Enterprise Team 900 Highway 36, PO Box 767 Chester, CA 96020 (530) 258-2141 2141 (TDD available) (530) 310-4268 Voice However, with the large TSSM sample size at the landscape scale, trends are evident at a larger landscape scale. To date, monitoring results for 91 stands have been analyzed for snag retention comparing prepre treatment snag levels to post-one one year levels. Snags for this analysis are those that are a minimum of 15 inches in diameter diameter. Detailed analysis of the TSSM snag data collected to date is further discussed in a separate snag data analysis. Of particular note are summary statistics that indicate thus far roughly 12% of post post-one year treatment stands have the desired d level of snags, regardless of pre-treatment treatment snag levels. Desirable snag levels vary by ecologic ecological al zone and habitat prescription. From another perspective, stands were analyzed to see if pre pre-existing existing snag levels were retained regardless of whether theyy were at or below the desirable levels prior to treatment. Stands with no measured snags within pre-treatment treatment monitoring plots were not included in this analysis. On average, roughly one third (34.7%) of the treated stands retained snags at either the desirable d threshold, or at minimum did not fall below pre pre-treatment treatment levels. Conversely, this would indicate that much of the time, stands are not retaining snags after treatment, either at desirable levels or at the initial (less than desirable) levels pri prior to treatment. Again it should be noted that snag densities on an individual stand level is highly variable and consequently statistics provide little information at that scale scale.. Certain subsets of stands (for example those in the transition ecologica ecologicall zone, or the Westside zone where target snag levels are 8 per acre) also present a small sample size that may limit statistical inferences. With these considerations in mind, it is still very notable that monitoring to date indicates an overall decline in snags and that most treated stands do not contain snags at desirable levels. Executive Summary Treated Stand Structure Monitoring (TSSM) data collection continued in 2009 with a total of 7 pre-treatment units, 21 post-one one year and 4 post post-five five year treatment units being sampled. Since data collection began in 2001, a total of 260 TSSM data sets have been collected, including 159 pre-treatment units, 91 post-one one year units, and 10 post post-five five year units. Major strides were completed in consolidating monitoring results and data calculations into a comprehensive access database. Additional work was done to include project objectives to serve as monitoring parameters within the database. Close coordination was conducted with PSW and other resource groups to conduct further inin depth analysis of the TSSM data collected thus far. TSSM analysis this year focused primarily on the achievement of fire behavior objectives, noxious weed and snag retention objectives. The fire behavior and noxious weed analyses are presented under separate headings in this report. The analysis of snag retention to date indicates that snag objectives are not being met in most cases. Of 91 stands that were analyzed, roughly one third (34.7%) either met snag objectives or at minimum retained snags at pre pre-treatment treatment levels. Overall, only 12% of the stands met snag objectives one year after treatment. These statistics indicate that 1) there are frequently less than Caring for the Land and Serving People Printed on Recycled Paper United States Department of Agriculture Forest Service Region Seven Vegetation Mgmt. Sol. Enterprise Team 900 Highway 36, PO Box 767 Chester, CA 96020 (530) 258-2141 2141 (TDD available) (530) 310-4268 Voice desirable levels of snags prior to treatments and 2) in most cases snags are not being retained at desired levels as measured one year after treatment. Further ongoing ana analysis lysis will be conducted to determine causes and possible implications of these snag retention monitoring results. Table 1. Summary statistics for the number of snags per acre by zone and the target threshold for snags per acre. Zone Eastside Transition Westside Grand Total Snags per acre Threshold 3 3 4 4 8 # of surveys 48 2 2 31 8 Pretreatment Mean 2.8 4.7 8.7 2.8 5.0 Pre-treatment Standard Deviation 4.0 0.9 2.8 4.6 4.1 91 3.2 4.2 Post-treatment treatment Mean 0.8 4.0 1.4 1.6 2.4 Posttreatment Standard Deviation 1.6 1.8 1.9 3.3 3.6 1.3 2.6 Further data collection and analysis of canopy cover, large logs, and spotted owl habitat attributes is planned for 2010. Caring for the Land and Serving People Printed on Recycled Paper