Herger-Feinstein Quincy Library Group Botany Monitoring Report - 2011 March 30, 2012 Contributors: Michelle Coppoletta, Associate Province Ecologist Colin Dillingham, HFQLG Monitoring Team Leader Kyle Merriam, Province Ecologist Jim Belsher-Howe, Botanist, Mt Hough Ranger District, Plumas National Forest Lynée Crawford, Botanist, Beckwourth Ranger District, Plumas National Forest Chris Christofferson, Botanist, Feather River Ranger District, Plumas National Forest Kirsten Bovee, Botanist, Lassen National Forest Allison Sanger, Botanist, Lassen National Forest Susan Urie, Botanist, Tahoe National Forest Table of Contents 1.0 PURPOSE ........................................................................................................................................... 1 2.0 METHODS .......................................................................................................................................... 1 2.1 MONITORING QUESTIONS ............................................................................................................ 1 2.2 SAMPLE SIZES ................................................................................................................................ 1 2.3 SAMPLE POOLS.............................................................................................................................. 2 3.0 RESULTS............................................................................................................................................. 3 3.1 IMPLEMENTATION MONITORING QUESTIONS ............................................................................. 3 3.2 EFFECTIVENESS MONITORING QUESTIONS .................................................................................. 7 4.0 KEY FINDINGS .................................................................................................................................. 15 4.1 SENSITIVE PLANT PROTECTION ................................................................................................... 15 4.2 SENSITIVE PLANT RESPONSE TO MANAGEMENT ACTIVITIES ..................................................... 16 4.3 NOXIOUS WEEDS......................................................................................................................... 16 1.0 PURPOSE The purpose of this report is to document the results of monitoring conducted between 2002 and 2011 by Lassen, Plumas, and Tahoe National Forest botanists and ecologists. Monitoring in 2011 included both implementation and effectiveness monitoring. Implementation monitoring of units treated in 2010 was conducted to determine if recommended mitigations and treatments were accomplished as planned. Effectiveness monitoring was completed to determine the response of Threatened, Endangered or Sensitive (TES) plants and noxious weeds to mitigations and HFQLG treatment activities. The intent of this monitoring effort is to highlight processes and actions that are successful; identify factors that need improvement; and provide Forest Service personnel and members of the public with information that will help guide adaptive management of botanical resources in the future. This annual monitoring is required under the Herger-Feinstein Quincy Library Group Forest Recovery Act (HFQLG). 2.0 METHODS The monitoring methodology described in the May 10, 2004 version of the HFQLG Monitoring Plan was used for implementation monitoring. A new comprehensive effectiveness monitoring plan was prepared on July 28, 2009 to assess whether HFQLG activities impact TES or special interest plant species. The HFQLG botany monitoring effort addresses the following questions: 2.1 MONITORING QUESTIONS Implementation Monitoring Questions Question 7: Were Threatened, Endangered and Sensitive (TES) plants surveyed and protected? Question 8: Were noxious weed introductions prevented and existing infestations suppressed? Effectiveness Monitoring Questions Question 28: How do TES plant species respond to resource management activities? Did new occurrences of TES plant species occur during or following project implementation? Question 29: Were existing infestations of noxious weeds eliminated or contained? Question 30: Were all new infestations of noxious weeds eliminated or did some become established? Question 31: Did new infestations of noxious weeds occur during or following project implementation? 2.2 SAMPLE SIZES In 1999, Linnea Hanson, Plumas National Forest Botanist, worked with PSW statisticians to develop a TES Plant Implementation Monitoring scheme to answer questions 7 and 8. They estimated that a sample size of 300 units would be required to achieve a 90 percent compliance rate and a 3.4 1 percent precision level. This large number of sampling units was too large to be feasibly implemented. In response, the sampling scheme was amended in 2008 by Jim Baldwin and Colin Dillingham (available online at: http://cdb.fs.usda.gov/content/dav/fs/NFS/Plumas/Program/ HFQLG/Monitoring/Statistics/Compliance_precision_20080512.xls). This scheme set an annual sample pool size of 60 units: 30 for TES and 30 for weeds (see below for more information). Statistical analyses of the monitoring data have been limited to effectiveness monitoring results. Observational data have also been evaluated to formulate general assessments of HFQLG implementation and effectiveness and to provide feedback to the public, botanists, and land managers. 2.3 SAMPLE POOLS The 2011 HFQLG Botany Monitoring program included both implementation and effectiveness monitoring. In 2011, six sample pools were developed to answer the implementation and effectiveness monitoring questions. Each sample pool had up to 30 project treatment units included. Table 1. Number of HFQLG project sites (i.e. timber sale harvest units) sampled to answer each monitoring question on an annual basis. The total number of units does not count units sampled in separate years to answer the same question. Monitoring Year Monitoring Question 7 8 28a* 28b* 29/30* 31* 2002 9 1 - - - - 2003 29 5 - 5 - 5 2004 26 11 - 1 8 1 2005 31 17 31 23 12 23 2006 28 9 7 5 8 5 2007 30 22 12 8 17 8 2008 16 27 6 47 16 47 2009 15 11 6 22 42 22 2010 15 19 7 15 10 15 2011 25 29 4 4 11 12 Total Number Units Sampled 224 151 73 130 124 138 * Number of units sampled for effectiveness monitoring only includes post-treatment sampling. Additional pre-treatment sampling efforts have been completed and will be included in the sample pool after post-treatment sampling is completed. Questions 28b and 31 utilize Treated Stand Structure Monitoring (TSSM) data. In addition, 19 randomly selected units were monitored in 2005 that were not part of the TSSM data set. Question 7 – Were TES plants surveyed and protected? This sample pool was developed by reviewing the entire list of units treated in 2010 and determining which of these treated units had mitigations for TES plants. All of the 25 available units were sampled under the HFQLG monitoring protocol in 2011. Question 8 – Were noxious weed introductions prevented and existing infestations suppressed? The sample pool was developed by reviewing the entire list of units treated in 2010 and determining which of these treated units had mitigations for 2 noxious weeds. There were 60 units with noxious weed control areas and/or mitigations; 29 units were randomly selected and monitored in 2011. Question 28a – How do TES plant species respond to resource management activities? Post-treatment effects were evaluated for Webber’s milkvetch (Astragalus webberi), sticky pyrrocoma (Pyrrocoma lucida), and Layne’s ragwort (Packera layneae). In addition, an analysis was completed on closed-lip penstemon monitoring data collected from five treatment units and two controls over a five year period. A large-scale summary of HFQLG botany effectiveness monitoring was also completed to identify lessons learned and to assist future monitoring efforts. Question 28b - Did new occurrences of TES species become established during or following project implementation? In 2011, data from the ongoing Treated Stand Structure Monitoring (TSSM) were used to answer this question. Four units, which did not have any TES plant occurrences prior to treatment, were examined after harvest to determine if any new TES plant occurrences had occurred in response to management activities. An additional eight units were revisited to complete the post-5 year monitoring. Question 29/30 – Were existing infestations of noxious weeds eliminated or contained? Were all new infestations of noxious weeds eliminated or did some become established? Units that had previous noxious weed implementation monitoring and/or units that had treatments for noxious weed species were included in the sample pool to answer questions 29 and 30. Eleven infestations were monitored in 2011. Question 31 – Did new infestations of noxious weeds occur during or following project implementation? Data from the ongoing Treated Stand Structure Monitoring (TSSM) were used to answer this question. Twelve units were monitored to collect posttreatment data in 2011; four units were visited to collect data one year after treatment and eight were revisited to collect data five years after treatment. Within units, data describing shrub, grass and herbaceous plant cover were recorded at 15 sampling plots per unit. TSSM field data collection protocols specify that percent cover data for noxious weeds are also recorded within plots. Plot-level percent cover data for noxious weed species were averaged for each TSSM unit to estimate percent cover of noxious weed species before and after treatment. 3.0 RESULTS 3.1 IMPLEMENTATION MONITORING QUESTIONS QUESTION #7 – Were TES plants surveyed and protected? The monitoring effort for Question 7 focused on evaluating the following questions: 1. Were protection measures adequately documented and identified on the ground? 3 2. Were control areas printed on contract maps? 3. Were protection measures for plant occurrences implemented? Table 2 provides a summary of the data collected to address the third question, which is considered the most critical element. As seen in the table below, 92 percent of the control areas monitored in 2011 were successfully protected. Table 2. Monitoring results of botany control areas in the HFQLG Pilot Project 2002 2003 2004 2005 Number Control Areas monitored 9 29 26 31 Percent of Control Areas successfully protected 89% 59% 88% 77% 2006 28 100% 2007 30 93% 2008 16 81% 2009 15 93% 2010 15 93% 2011 25 92% Year Of the 25 control areas monitored in 2011, 23 (92 percent) were protected as planned. The minimum level of protection required to be considered successful is 90 percent of control areas protected as planned; therefore, this objective was met. Two sites on the Almanor Ranger District of the Lassen NF were not protected (see Appendix C for details). Protection measures for a special interest species, hot rock daisy (Erigeron inornatus var. calidipetris), were identified in the 2003 Decision Memo for the project; however control areas were never explicitly designated. As a consequence, occurrences were not identified on the contract map, were not flagged on the ground, and were subsequently not avoided by project activities. Imprecise pre-treatment information makes it difficult to quantify the impact of the project activities on hot rock daisy individuals within the two control areas. Observations suggest that this species is able to tolerate disturbance; therefore the impact to these occurrences is thought to be moderate and the overall impact to this species small. Despite the protection failures described above, communication between botanists and contract administrators appears to be good overall. There is still a need to improve tracking of control areas, particularly for older projects. Continued coordination between the timber sale and service contract administrators and botanists also needs to occur to ensure that (a) control areas are clearly delineated on the ground, as well as on timber sale area and service contract maps, and (b) clearly understood by both botanists and timber sale and service contract administrators. 4 LESSONS LEARNED The following lessons have emerged from this monitoring effort and should be used to improve the ability to protect TES plants in the future: 1. Improve communication among specialists, planners, and contract and sale administrators. Communication between project administrators and botanists prior to project implementation provides an excellent opportunity for feedback between the planning and implementation stages. This is particularly critical on the Lassen NF, where botanists are stationed at the Supervisor’s Office and not on the districts. Field review of protection areas with both project administrators and botanists present should become standard practice. 2. Clearly communicate mitigation measures and Integrated Design Features (IDFs) in plant protection plans and planning documents. Botanists should prepare a sensitive plant protection plan with maps that clearly delineate areas to be protected. Copies should be provided to the project administrator, included in the project record, and maintained in the botany project files. Botanists should review older NEPA documents, Biological Evaluations, and Biological Assessments to determine if mitigation measures and IDFs are adequate and to ensure protection during project implementation. 3. Ensure that control areas are delineated both on the ground and on contract maps. A critical step is for the botanist and contract administrator to agree that contract maps adequately depict protection areas. Sale area and service contract maps should be routed to specialists prior to implementation. Botanists also need to verify that control areas are clearly delineated in the field with control area flagging. 4. Develop mitigation measures that can be feasibly implemented. Consider factors such as the unpredictable nature of prescribed fire when designing mitigation measures. Make sure control measures can be clearly communicated and understood by implementation staff and contractors. QUESTION #8 – Were noxious weed introductions prevented and existing infestations suppressed? Monitoring was conducted to determine if mitigation measures for noxious weeds occurred during project implementation. Summary results are provided in Table 3 below and unit specific 2011 monitoring information is provided in Appendix A. Administrators of timber sale and service contracts were contacted and questioned as to whether the contract clause 6.35 (equipment cleaned and weed free) was implemented. 5 Table 3. Results from noxious weed control measure monitoring within the HFQLG Pilot Project 2002 2003 2004 2005 Number of weed sites with treatment or avoidance objectives in sample pool 1 5 11 17 Percentage of weed sites with control measures implemented 0% 100% 55% 88% Percentage of projects with documented Equipment Cleaning 66% 100% 100% 93% 2006 9 100% 100% 2007 22 91% 100% 2008 27 89% 85% 2009 11 100% 100% 2010 19 95% 100% 2011 29 100% 100% Year Twenty nine sites with documented weed infestations were evaluated in 2011. All of the infestations were either treated and/or avoided during management activities. HFQLG projects have consistently implemented contract specifications related to equipment cleaning. Equipment cleaning was documented for all of the projects investigated in 2011. Projects reviewed include: the Fox Farm Defensible Fuel Profile Zone (DFPZ), Robbers Fuels Reduction DFPZ, Old Station Wildland Urban Interface (WUI), and Cabin projects on the Lassen NF; the Genesee Fuels Reduction and Black Oak Enhancement and Empire Vegetation Management projects on the Plumas NF; and the Dinkaroo Timber Sale, Jumbuck, and Billabong Timber Sale projects on the Tahoe NF. LESSONS LEARNED In general, mitigations designed to prevent new noxious weed introductions and to suppress existing infestations appear successful. Additional efforts may be required to reduce the potential for invasion of some highly invasive and difficult to treat weed species, such as musk thistle and medusahead. Although the 2011 monitoring results demonstrate high levels of compliance, it is always useful to reemphasize past lessons learned so that we can continue to prevent projectrelated negative impacts associated with noxious weed invasion. 1. Clearly communicate weed mitigation measures prior to project implementation. Communication between project administrators and botanists prior to project implementation provides an excellent opportunity for feedback between the planning and implementation stages of the project. Mitigation measures should be clearly described in planning documents and noxious weed reports. Field review of weed control areas with both project administrators and botanists present should become standard practice. 2. Ensure that noxious weed mitigations and control areas are clearly and accurately delineated both on the ground and on contract maps. Sale area and service contract maps need to be reviewed to ensure that the maps adequately communicate weed 6 mitigation sites. Botanists also need to verify that weed control areas are clearly delineated in the field with noxious weed flagging. 3. Review contract documentation to ensure that weed mitigation measures are incorporated. In all contracts, there is contractual language outlining how to add additional resource protection measures. Control areas can be added to an existing contract when needed. 3.2 EFFECTIVENESS MONITORING QUESTIONS QUESTION 28: How do TES plant species respond to resource management activities? Did new occurrences of TES plant species occur during or following project implementation? Table 4 presents a summary of TES effectiveness monitoring for the entire HFQLG Pilot Project area. Effectiveness monitoring was initiated in 2005, although the methodology changed in 2006. Tables that include specific 2011 results for Question 28 are included in Appendix A. Previous years efforts are summarized in corresponding annual reports. Table 4. Monitoring results of TES effectiveness monitoring in the HFQLG Pilot Project 2005 Number of treatment units with TES plant monitoring sites 31 Percent of monitored populations that had neutral or positive responses to HFQLG vegetation management activities1 2 97% 2006 7 86% 2007 12 75% 2008 6 83% 2009 6 100% 2010 7 100% 2011 4 100% Year 1. Results are preliminary and may include both anecdotal and statistically significant changes. Further data collection and analysis at the species level will be required before findings will be considered final. 2. Results presented for 2005 include monitoring of populations in protected control areas (i.e. many of the 2005 monitored sites were not actually treated by HFQLG vegetation management activities, rather the monitoring was conducted to ensure the populations within protected control areas were still present after implementation of the surrounding vegetation management activities). Question 28: Part A In 2011, post-treatment effects were evaluated for Webber’s milkvetch (Astragalus webberi), sticky pyrrocoma (Pyrrocoma lucida), Layne’s ragwort (Packera layneae), and closed-lip penstemon (Penstemon personatus). A large-scale summary of the HFQLG botany monitoring effort was also compiled to indentify monitoring lessons learned. The following results have been summarized from the preliminary monitoring reports provided as appendices (D-H) to this report. An analysis of sticky 7 Figure 1. Monitoring Packera layneae on serpentine soils, Plumas NF. pyrrocoma (Pyrrocoma lucida) data has not been conducted and will be completed after the next phase of data collection (post-3 year) is complete. Webber’s milkvetch (Astragalus webberi) Hand thinning and prescribed fire treatments significantly increased (p<0.001) the number of small Webber’s milkvetch plants within the treatment unit (Figure 2). Treatments that exposed bare ground, particularly through the construction of hand lines, were most effective at increasing Webber’s milkvetch density. Prescribed fire and hand thinning treatments alone did not significantly increase seed germination; like many other legume species, Webber’s milkvetch may require damage or removal of their hard outer seed coats to stimulate germination. Hand thinning did enhance Webber’s milkvetch growth (as indicated by stem number) by reducing canopy cover and enhancing light conditions in the understory. 140 Plant Number 120 100 80 60 Control 40 Treatment 20 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year Fig.2. Webber’s milkvetch density significantly increased in the treatment unit between 2008 and 2011; plant numbers did not change in the control plots (p<0.001). Future management for Webber’s milkvetch should focus on protecting established individuals while applying landscape level treatments that (a) expose bare ground to stimulate germination and (b) increase the amount of light that reaches the understory to promote growth of existing plants. Future reintroduction efforts should mechanically scarify the seeds (i.e. rub them between two layers of sandpaper) prior to planting in order to increase germination. Layne’s ragwort (Packera layneae) There were no significant changes in the density, size or reproductive potential of Layne’s ragwort after the prescribed burn, suggesting that this treatment had a neutral effect. However, the increase in the number of flowering plants within the control unit did not occur within the treatment unit. This suggests that there may have been some negative effects of the treatment on Layne’s ragwort such that it could not benefit from environmental conditions that promoted flowering in the control unit. It is possible that the prescribed fire could have negatively affected Layne’s ragwort and other 8 herbaceous species through direct effects of heat and flame contact. Many plants require the conditions created by fire, but can still be killed or injured by fire. The density of Layne’s ragwort was positively associated with bare ground and negatively associated with canopy closure. These results suggest that a prescribed burn, which can reduce surface fuels and reduce overstory canopy closure, may benefit this species by creating optimal habitat Figure 3. Layne’s ragwort on the Plumas NF conditions. Although monitoring will not be completed until 2013 (five years after the treatment), a few general recommendations can be made based on these data to improve habitat restoration efforts for Layne’s ragwort using prescribed fire. First, successful prescribed burning treatment should have sufficient intensity to create the kind of environmental conditions preferred by Layne’s ragwort, including (a) reduced surface fuels and exposed bare ground; and (b) reduced overstory canopy closure, which might also be achieved through thinning treatments. Second, consider creating control areas to protect existing Layne’s ragwort individuals from the direct effects of burning. Closed-lip penstemon (Penstemon personatus) Percent Change in PEPE Cover Sampling did not detect declines of great than 50 percent in P. personatus cover three years after treatment; therefore hand thinning, and pile burning, mechanical thinning, and group selection treatments are not considered detrimental to this species and no management action is required at this time. 275% 1 year after trt 225% 3 years after trt 175% Threshold Value 125% 75% 25% -25% -75% -125% Group Selection Mechanical Thin Hand thin/Pile Burn Control Figure 4. The percent change in P. personatus cover one and three years after treatment. The red line represents the management threshold, which is a decrease of 50% from the pre-treatment cover estimates. The error bars represent one-sided 90 percent confidence intervals 9 The only treatment unit to show a decline greater than the stated management objective was group selection unit Guard 442. The percent cover of P. personatus within this unit dropped by an estimated 57 percent in the first year following group selection thinning; however three years after treatment, the percent cover had rebounded to an estimated 21 percent more than the cover prior to treatment. This finding supports previous observations that P. personatus cover within units may decline in the first year or two following treatment, but is likely to rebound after year three to pretreatment levels. Thinning treatments did not result in a significant decline in P. personatus cover over time (p=0.06, α=0.1). The percent cover of P. personatus within treatments and controls did not differ significantly from their pre-treatment values one or three years after treatment (Figure 4). P. personatus cover was significantly and positively related to overstory canopy cover (p= 0.004, α=0.05), which suggests that in areas of similar duff and litter depth higher canopy cover will generally be associated with higher P. personatus cover. Question 28: Part B In 2011, data from the ongoing Treated Stand Structure monitoring (TSSM) were used to answer this question. At the end of the 2011 monitoring season, one-year post-treatment data were available for a total of 130 units; 23 of these units also had five-year post-treatment data. Of these, 111 were units that had been randomly selected according to TSSM monitoring protocol. Within TSM sampling units, plots were established and pre-treatment data recorded prior to project implementation. Post-treatment monitoring data were collected one-year after treatment within all 111 TSSM units, and five years post-treatment within 23 of the 111 units. In addition to the TSSM plots, a unique set of 19 units were monitored in 2005 and data were analyzed in the 2005 botany monitoring report. No new occurrences of TES plants were located following project implementation within any of the 130 units. LESSONS LEARNED Over the past seven years, botanists and ecologists from the Lassen, Plumas, and Tahoe National Forests have collected and analyzed data aimed at investigating the response of rare plants to prescribed fire, fuel reduction, and timber harvest activities implemented under the HFQLG Pilot Project. So far, data have been collected and analyzed for eight species and four different treatment types. Some of the overall lessons that have emerged from this effort are described below. 1. The response of individual species is often linked to the intensity of the treatment and the species’ ecology. The species monitored naturally inhabit open sites and/or have evolved with fire, which could explain why moderate to low intensity fire and timber harvest treatments had negligible (and in some cases beneficial) effects. In contrast, the response to high intensity fire or group selection harvest was variable, causing significant declines in two disturbance intolerant species and having no effect on those species that appear to thrive in disturbed sites. 2. Measuring environmental variables (such as canopy cover, fuel loads, duff depth, etc.) is important when trying to explain a plant’s response to specific treatments. Understanding a 10 species’ relationship to habitat variables, such as canopy cover, fuel loads, and duff depth, can be critical to designing effective habitat enhancement treatments for individual species. 3. Monitoring should occur over a long enough time period to capture any initial population declines, potential recovery to pre-treatment numbers, and natural variability. In many cases, if we had set our monitoring frame too short (i.e. limiting it to only one year after treatment), we might have made some incorrect assumptions about the species’ overall response. QUESTION 29: Were existing infestations of noxious weeds eliminated or contained? In 2011, eleven existing infestations of noxious weeds were assessed to address Question 29. These infestations included the following five noxious weed species: yellow starthistle (Centaurea solstitialis), Scotch broom (Cytisus scoparius), Klamathweed (Hypericum perforatum), perennial pepperweed (Lepidium latifolium), and medusahead (Taeniatherum caput-medusae). Of the 11 infestations monitored, ten were assessed by resurveying the entire infestation while the medusahead site was assessed by sampling a portion of the infestation. As seen in Figure 5 below, repeated treatments have generally been successful in eradicating small populations of noxious weeds. Of those monitored in 2011, 70 percent were eradicated and twenty percent were well contained. The only infestation that increased in response to treatments was one Scotch broom occurrence (CYSC 147 in Figure 5b) within the Empire project area. In 2007, mechanical equipment (i.e. a Skid steer) was used to pull out large broom plants; the resulting increase in numbers represents the flush of seedlings that followed the soil disturbance associated with the mechanical removal. Although the total number of individuals has increased at this site, the treatments are considered successful due to the elimination of flowering individuals and continuing eradication of seedlings. It is important to note that the data included in this report represent only those sites where eradication measures or control areas were prescribed; sites selected for treatment are generally limited to areas that have some probability of success (i.e. control methods are available for the target species and sites are small enough to control). As a consequence, larger infestations, which are not feasibly treated, were not assessed in 2011. In addition, these data do not capture infestations that have not been treated on an on-going basis. 11 Figure 5. Response of four noxious weed species to repeated treatments over time: (a) starthistle, (b) Scotch broom, (c) klamathweed, and (d) perennial pepperweed Medusahead was also monitored to determine the effect of mastication treatments on percent cover and frequency of this invasive grass. As expected, mastication treatments resulted in a significant decline (p = <0.0001; α= 0.5) in shrub cover. Within the treatment unit, shrub cover dropped from an average of 35 percent cover to just over one percent cover following treatment. However, even with this significant decrease in shrub cover, there was no significant increase in medusahead frequency or percent cover one year after mastication treatments. 2010 2011 Percent Cover 30 20 10 0 Control Mastication Figure 6. Change in medusahead frequency within treated and untreated plots. Table 5 presents a summary of weed effectiveness monitoring for the entire HFQLG Pilot Project area. Effectiveness monitoring was initiated in 2004. 12 Table 5. Monitoring results of weed effectiveness sites in the HFQLG Pilot Project 2004 Number of treatment units with weed monitoring sites 8 Percent of monitored weed sites that did not exhibit an increase in response to HFQLG vegetation management in concert with weed eradication measures or site avoidance* 63% 2005 12 100% 2006 8 63% 2007 17 94% 2008 16 75% 2009 42 95% 2010 11 91% 2011 11 91% Year * Results are preliminary and may include both anecdotal and statistically significant changes. Further data collection and analysis at the species level will be required before findings will be considered final. QUESTION 30: Were all new infestations of noxious weeds eliminated or did some become established? Two new weed infestations, which were discovered while monitoring treatment units in 2011, were promptly treated. Future effectiveness monitoring will determine if these treatments were effective at containing or eradicating these new infestations. LESSONS LEARNED Aggressive action prior to and through project implementation has generally been successful in eradicating small populations of noxious weeds as well as preventing new occurrences. Less success has been realized in larger populations or for species that are more difficult to eradicate. These efforts appear to be limiting noxious weed spread on the Lassen, Plumas and Tahoe National Forests. Additional efforts are needed to develop feasible methods of control for highly invasive species such as medusahead, Dalmatian toadflax, musk thistle, and yellow starthistle. QUESTION 31: Did new infestations of noxious weeds occur during or following project implementation? As of the end of the 2011 monitoring season, 111 units have been monitored for noxious weed introductions as part of the Treated Stand Structure Monitoring (TSSM) protocol. Prior to treatment, the protocol detected one invasive weed (cheatgrass) infestation within the sampling plots. The percent cover for this cheat grass infestation was estimated at two percent. Twenty six (24 percent) of the units had detectable invasive weed populations within the sampling plots after treatment (Table 6). Thirteen of these units were on the Lassen National Forest and 13 were on the Plumas National Forest. None of the detections occurred on the Tahoe National Forest. None of the species detected are currently considered high priority noxious weeds. While additional infestations have been observed within treated units, these detections are not included due to the lack of verifiable pre-treatment information. 13 Cheat grass was the most common species detected within the infested Treated Stand Structure Monitoring (TSSM) plots. The percent cover of this invasive grass has generally increased over time following treatment (see Table 6). There is a substantial amount of published research demonstrating that infestations of this undesirable, aggressive species can have substantial negative impacts on native plant populations, wildlife habitat value, ecosystem function, and fire behavior and frequency. Cheat grass typically increases following disturbances to soils, canopy cover, and native plant populations. This invasive species is not currently a CDFA-rated weed and is not considered a high priority for control on the three HFQLG pilot project forests. Monitoring data collected to date however, do suggest that HFQLG treatments are creating suitable habitat for this species and encouraging increases in spatial extent and percent cover. The most drastic measured increase in cheat grass was in Antelope Border units 13B and 15B after the Boulder wildfire burned through the units (Table 6). Other invasive species documented within treatment units include Klamathweed (one TSSM unit) and bull thistle (six TSSM units). Klamathweed and bull thistle are invasive non-native species that out-compete native plant species for water, nutrients, and space. Although cheat grass, Klamathweed, and bull thistle were the only invasive weed species recorded in the plots, the HFQLG monitoring efforts indicate a low level presence of yellow starthistle, medusahead (grass), and Scotch broom (shrub) within some of the monitoring units. These three species may or may not be associated with HFQLG activities and may have been present before the HFQLG treatments. In one instance during the 2008 monitoring effort, some musk thistle outside of the randomly located TSSM plots appeared to have been brought in when equipment was not cleaned. Table 6. Monitoring units with noxious weed infestations documented. Percent cover values are the average cover for that species across the entire unit area sampled. Plots that do not have 5-year post treatment data available are marked “n/a”. Forest District Eagle Lake Almanor Project Name Harvey Southside Southside Cherry Hill Blacks Ridge Lassen NF North Coble Hat Creek Pittville Plumas Beckwourth Cabin Last Chance Treatment Invasive Species Thin Thin Thin Thin Thin Thin Thin Thin Group Thin Group, underburn Cheat grass 2 Bull thistle Bull thistle Cheat grass Cheat grass Cheat grass Cheat grass Cheat grass Cheat grass Cheat grass Cheat grass 1 60 14 18 133 5 16 5 8 27068 29166 29181 Group, Thin Cheat grass Bull thistle Cheat grass 30115 471 10 Thin 14 Unit # Percent Cover 1-Year 5-Year Pre-Trt Post-Trt Post-Trt 0 0.7 n/a 0 2.7 n/a 0 2 n/a 0 2 n/a 0 10 n/a 0 3.3 n/a 2 2.7 n/a 0 0.7 n/a 0 6 7.3 0 3.3 1.3 0 1.3 2 0 0 0 0.7 1.5 1.3 0.7 n/a 4 NF Red Clover Feather River Mt Hough Brush Creek Antelope Border Guard Snake Waters 1 Thin Thin Thin Thin Thin Hand thin, pile burn Thin Thin Thin Thin Group Masticate Cheat grass Cheat grass Cheat grass Cheat grass Cheat grass 13 3 10 18 49 0 0 0 0 0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0 6 n/a n/a n/a 0.6 Klamathweed 24 0 0.7 n/a Cheat grass Cheat grass Cheat grass Bull Thistle Bull Thistle Bull thistle 13B 15A 15B 16 686 8D 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.7 3 0.2 0.1 0 7.3 2.7 26.7 n/a n/a 0.1 2 Cheatgrass is not listed by CDFA and is not actively treated by the Forest Service at this time. 2 Bull thistle and Klamathweed are listed as C-rated weeds by CDFA. The Forest Service does not actively treat occurrences of these species at this time. LESSONS LEARNED Despite noxious weed mitigations, HFQLG treatments have still resulted in new introductions of noxious weeds. This further emphasizes the need for inclusion of prevention measures, clear communication between botanists and implementation staff, aggressive treatment of new infestations, and ongoing containment of existing infestations. 4.0 KEY FINDINGS Botanical resources are monitored to determine (a) if recommended mitigations and treatments are implemented as planned and (b) the response of threatened, endangered, and Forest Service Sensitive (TES) plants and noxious weeds to HFQLG management actions. The intent of this monitoring effort is to highlight processes and actions that are successful; identify factors that need improvement; and provide Forest Service personnel and members of the public with information that will help guide adaptive management of botanical resources in the future. 4.1 SENSITIVE PLANT PROTECTION Of the 25 TES control areas monitored in 2011, 23 sites (or 92 percent) were protected as planned during HFQLG treatment implementation. Two sites were not protected during project implementation. Although protection measures were identified in the Decision Memo for the project, control areas were never explicitly designated. As a consequence, occurrences were not identified on the contract map, were not flagged on the ground, and were subsequently not avoided by project activities. The minimum level of protection required to be considered successful is 90 percent of control areas protected as planned; therefore, even though 100 percent compliance is considered optimal, this objective was met in 2011. Achievement of the optimum protection level will require continual improvements in communication between botanists and project implementation staff to ensure effective field identification, understanding, and avoidance of control areas. 15 4.2 SENSITIVE PLANT RESPONSE TO MANAGEMENT ACTIVITIES Over the past seven years, botanists and ecologists from the Lassen, Plumas, and Tahoe National Forests have collected and analyzed data aimed at investigating the response of rare plants to prescribed fire, fuel reduction, and timber harvest activities implemented under the HFQLG Pilot Project. A number of lessons have emerged from this effort. First, the response of individual species is often linked to the intensity of the treatment and the species’ ecology. The species monitored naturally inhabit open sites and/or have evolved with fire, which could explain why moderate to low intensity fire and timber harvest treatments had negligible (and in some cases beneficial) effects. In contrast, the response to high intensity fire or group selection harvest was variable, causing significant declines in two disturbance intolerant species and having no effect on those species that appear to thrive in disturbed sites. Second, measuring environmental variables (such as canopy cover, fuel loads, duff depth, etc.) is important when trying to explain a plant’s response to specific treatments. Third, monitoring should occur over a long enough time period to capture any initial population declines, potential recovery to pre-treatment numbers, and natural variability. 4.3 NOXIOUS WEEDS The objective of noxious weed monitoring is to determine if project-related activities and associated weed control and prevention measures are successful at limiting new introductions and containing or controlling existing infestations. Twenty nine sites with associated mitigation or control measures were evaluated in 2011. All of the infestations were either treated and/or avoided during management activities and had documented equipment cleaning during project implementation. To assess the effects of HFQLG treatments on noxious weeds, 119 treated stands were monitored with pre- and post treatment plots (15 plots per stand). At the end of the 2011 monitoring season, 26 units (or 24 percent) had invasive weed populations present one to five years after treatment; prior to treatment, only one unit had an invasive species recorded within the plots. These weed species, which include cheat grass, Klamathweed, and bull thistle, appear to increase in cover once established. Eleven infestations of noxious weeds were also assessed to evaluate the success of weed treatment measures. The species monitored included: yellow starthistle (Centaurea solstitialis), Scotch broom (Cytisus scoparius), klamathweed (Hypericum perforatum), perennial pepperweed (Lepidium latifolium), and medusahead (Taeniatherum caput-medusae). Overall, repeated weed treatments have generally been successful in eradicating small populations of noxious weeds. Of those monitored in 2011, 70 percent were eradicated and twenty percent were well contained. The only infestation that increased in response to treatments was one Scotch broom occurrence; this site was treated in 2007 with mechanical equipment (a Skid steer) and the resulting increase in number represents the flush of seedlings that followed the soil disturbance associated with mechanical removal. Aggressive action prior to and through project implementation has generally been successful in eradicating small populations of noxious weeds as well as preventing new occurrences; however less success has been realized in larger populations or for species that are more difficult to eradicate. 16 Additional efforts are needed to develop feasible methods of control for highly invasive species such as medusahead, Dalmatian toadflax, musk thistle, knapweeds, tall whitetop, Canada thistle, and yellow starthistle. 17 APPENDIX A The following tables represent summaries of all available data collected in 2011 for monitoring questions 7, 8, 28, 29 and 30. QUESTION #7 – Were TES plants surveyed and protected? Forest Sale Unit # Occurrence # Occurrence protected? SC 95 19 No SC 21, SC96 6 No Eblis 375 10 Yes Red Clover DFPZ Slapjack Slapjack Empire Vegetation Management Project 47 78 198 1 ASLE7_029c District Species Sale Name Almanor Erigeron inornatus var. calidipetris Robbers Fuels Reduction DFPZ Eagle Lake Astragalus pulsiferae var. suksdorfii Beckwourth Feather River Astragalus lentiformis TES TES Lassen NF Cypripedium montanum Empire Vegetation Management Project 4 Billabong Billabong 20 2 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes (see comment) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Dinkaroo 108 Yes Jumbuck 23 Yes Jumbuck 1 6 10 Yes Yes Yes Plumas NF LUDA_064B Mt Hough Lupinus dalesiae Tahoe NF CYMO2_015A CYMO2_015B CYMO2_015C LUDA_064A Sierraville LUDA_064C LUDA_064D LUDA_065E LUDA_066F LUDA_067G LUDA_068H fen spring Comments Contract map did not display ERINC as control areas. Site was not flagged on ground and not avoided by project activities. Occurrence flagged, avoided, displayed as Control Area on contract maps. Occurrence Protected Control Area for equipment Control Area for no piles on plants One pile was placed within the Control area, but was left unburned. Plants appear healthy and robust. control area for fen was protected control area for fen was protected There were no equipment tracks into fen. Two trees were removed by reaching in. No drag lines were present and fen was intact. Stream flow pattern crossed through the fen. Fen protected, but ten musk thistle plants were found in meadow and pulled. The headwaters of the fen were protected and the out flowing streams were naturally armored by small rocks. Protected during logging operations, but impacted by cattle. Protected during logging operations, but has been impacted by cattle. QUESTION #8 – Were noxious weed introductions prevented and existing infestations suppressed? Forest District Sale Name Sale Unit # Were prescribed mitigations followed? Hypericum perforatum Fox Farm DFPZ SC U 84 Yes Yes Lepidium latifolium Robbers Fuels Reduction DFPZ SC 78 Yes Yes Occurrence at 200 plants in 2003, 1,030 in 2004, 1,600 in 2005, 178 in 2007, 120 in 2008, 57 in 2009, 260 in 2010, and 50 in 2011. Occurrence contained, but not eliminated, with decreasing trend. Treatment effective. Occurrence at 30 clumps in 1998. No plants observed in 2004, 2010 or 2011. Occurrence eliminated. Treatment effective. Species (Required) Equipme nt cleaned? Almanor Lassen NF Cabin -- Yes Old Station WUI -- Yes Yes Yes n/a (underbur n) Yes Yes Control area, no plans to eradicate populations Yes Yes Control area, no plans to eradicate populations Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Hat Creek Lepidium latifolium Pittville DFPZ -- Cirsium arvense Clarks Aspen 62 Cytisus scoparius Empire Vegetation Management Project Plumas NF Imperial Mine Mt Hough Centaurea solstitialis Occurrence at 1 plant in 2005. No plants observed when monitored yearly since 2006. Occurrence eliminated. Treatment effective. n/a (hand thinning) Hypericum perforatum Beckwourth Comments Occurrence only partially inventoried; not contained and spreading along Highway 89. Spread a function of highway as vector; does not appear associated with project activities. Treatment not effective. Genesee WUI Fuels Reduction and Black Oak Enhancement 2 Yes Yes 1 Yes Yes Occurrence at 40 plants in 2003, 114 in 2004, 74 in 2005, 22 in 2006, 24 in 2007, 16 in 2008, 27 in 2009, and 8 in 2010. No plants observed in 2011. Occurrence contained with decreasing trend. Treatment effective. Starthistle infestation was not treated, but appears to have been avoided by project implementation. SA report showed vehicle washing. A new starthistle infestation was found in a disturbed landing within the unit where it was not previously mapped. Forest District Species (Required) Sale Name Billabong Dinkaroo Tahoe NF Sierraville Carduus nutans Jumbuck Sale Unit # Group 7-1 Were prescribed mitigations followed? Yes Group 6-3 Yes No CANU4 musk thistle found Group 6-4 Yes No CANU4 musk thistle found Group 12-6 Yes No CANU4 musk thistle found 90-02 Yes No CANU4 musk thistle found 90-06 Yes No CANU4 musk thistle found 92-01 Yes No CANU4 musk thistle found 92-03 Yes No CANU4 musk thistle found 6 Yes No CANU4 musk thistle found 10 Yes No CANU4 musk thistle found 14 Yes No CANU4 musk thistle found 15-1 Yes No CANU4 musk thistle found 22 Yes No CANU4 musk thistle found 26 Yes No CANU4 musk thistle found 27 Yes No CANU4 musk thistle found 33 Yes No CANU4 musk thistle found Equipment cleaned? Comments No CANU4 musk thistle found APPENDIX B: Botany Control Area Tracking Sheet Project Name: (See attached map for unit locations) Unit number Species Date Flag/Tag Completed Flag/tag Completed by GIS on contract Date field visit map with sale admin Field Visit Completed by APPENDIX C Review of Failure to Protect Botany Control Area FY2011 Lassen NF QLG Monitoring, Almanor Ranger District Hot rock daisy (Erigeron inornatus var. calidipetris) Occurrence numbers ERINC #6, ERINC #19 Overview of Plant Status Erigeron inornatus var. calidipetris (hot rock daisy) is a special interest plant on the Lassen National Forest and a California Native Plant Society List 4.3 species (uncommon in California, not very threatened in California). Though uncommon, this plant is locally abundant in the Swain Mountain/Bogard Buttes area of the Lassen National Forest, where 16 occurrences (with a total of 62 suboccurrences) are scattered across 60 square miles. This species is thought to tolerate moderate disturbance because it is often documented as colonizing old landings and skid trails. At the time the Robbers Fuels Reduction DFPZ biological evaluation was prepared, the species was inventoried when encountered and core areas were selected for protection during vegetation management activities. Review of Control Area Failure The Decision Memo for the Robbers Fuels Reduction DFPZ (Robbers) project was signed in 2003, and a Supplemental Information Report was signed in 2004. Botanical Protection Measures in the Decision Memo include, “Maintain two undisturbed core areas of hot rock daisy (Erigeron inornatus var. calidipetris) by flag and avoid methods. Allow disturbance in the remaining non-core areas within the project area.” Two occurrences of this species (ERINC #6, ERINC #19) were mapped within Robbers treatment units. ERINC #6 was first observed in 1995, and its largest suboccurrence was mapped as 62 acres, 95% of which was within treatment unit #95 of the Robbers project. ERINC #19 was first observed in 1999, and its largest suboccurrence was mapped as 14 acres, 40% of which was within treatment units #21 and #98. Specific portions of these occurrences were never explicitly designated as “core areas.” In addition, mapping of these species was highly imprecise when they were first described in the 1990s, and never remapped to improve accuracy. Treatment units #21, #95 and #98 were machine piled and pile burned in FY2010. ERINC #6 and ERINC #19 were not mapped on the contract map, were not flagged, and were not avoided by project activities. Significance of Impact to Species During a 2011 site visit to assess impacts of this control area failure, few plants were seen. We do not know, however, how many plants occurred at the site prior to disturbance because the sites had not been monitored since first documented, and the number of plants occurring even in 1995 and 1999 is unknown. Within the treatment units, disturbance to understory plants was patchy. As this species is thought to tolerate disturbance, the impact to these occurrences would be at most moderate, and the overall impact to this species is small. Lessons Learned 1. Improve Communication Between Botanists, Service Contract CORs and Sale Administrators Communication between project administrators and botanists provides an excellent opportunity for feedback between the planning stage and implementation stage prior to project implementation. This is critical on the Lassen NF, where botanists are stationed at the Supervisor’s Office and not on the districts. Field review of protection areas with both project administrators and botanists present should become standard practice. In this particular incident, the imprecise language from the 2003 Decision Memo also hindered communication of the intent of past botanists for protection of these occurrences. Improvements have been made over the past eight years to increase precision in how botany control measures are detailed in planning documents. 2. Collect Pre-Treatment Monitoring Data Rare plant occurrences slated for control area protection should be monitored prior to treatment so that if a control area failure occurs, impacts to the occurrence and the species as a whole can be better ascertained. In addition, occurrences should be GPSed to ensure that the control area coincides with the actual location and extent of the occurrence. The Lassen NF has GPSed many of its rare plant sites, but many older occurrences such as these, particularly of special interest plant species, remain imprecisely mapped. 3. Initiate and Maintain Plant Protection Plans The botanist should prepare a sensitive plant protection plan with maps of areas to be protected and provide a complete copy of the plan to the project administrator, file a copy in the project record and maintain a third copy in the botany project files. This would allow all parties involved easy access to knowledge of where protection areas are scheduled. 4. Specialists Review Contract Maps A critical step is for the botanist and contract administrator to agree that contract maps adequately depict where protection areas are scheduled. Sale area and service contract maps should be routed to specialists prior to implementation. APPENDIX D: Restoring Packera layneae on the Plumas N.F. using prescribed burning Kyle Merriam, Sierra Cascade Ecology Program INTRODUCTION Packera layneae (Layne’s butterweed) is a federally listed as threatened plant species found primarily on gabbro or serpentine soils in fire adapted chaparral and coniferous forest vegetation types. P. layneae is considered an early successional species, occurring in openings with exposed bare ground and low canopy cover, and thriving on disturbed sites (Figure 1). Figure 1.Typical Packera layneae habitat on serpentine soils, Plumas National Forest. Alteration of natural fire regimes is thought to have contributed to the decline of P. layneae (U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service 1996). In 2006, the Plumas National Forest (PNF) proposed a project to conduct a small prescribed burn within a portion of a P. layneae population to determine if a low intensity underburn might benefit this rare species. After several years of pre-treatment data collection, the PNF treated a portion of a P. layneae occurrence by prescribed burning in 2008. The remainder of the occurrence was not treated and used as a control. This report describes the effects of the prescribed burn on P. layneae after three years of post-treatment data collection. METHODS Study Site Packera layneae is known from western El Dorado, Tuolumne, and Yuba counties. The PNF population occurs on serpentine soils in Yuba County, within a ponderosa pine (Pinus ponderosa) and Douglas fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii) dominated plant community at 800-950 meters in elevation. Experimental Design and Data Collection In 2006, we located and permanently marked five circular plots in an area of the P. layneae occurrence to be burned. We also established five plots in a nearby control area. Plots were located randomly, with the only requirement being that they each contained at least 15 individual P. layneae plants. Five individual P. layneae plants were permanently marked within each plot, for a total of 25 permanently marked plants in the treatment area and 25 permanently marked plants in the control area. At each sampling time the size (height and width), stem number, flowering stem number, and flower number of each permanently marked plant were recorded. Within the circular plots, all P. layneae plants were tallied according to four size classes: < 1 centimeters (cm) tall, 1-5 cm tall, > 5 cm tall and non-flowering, and > 5 cm tall and flowering. Environmental data was also collected, including percent cover of herbaceous understory vegetation, moss, bare ground, litter, coarse woody debris, and rock. Canopy closure was measured using a spherical densiometer, and litter and duff depth were measured. Timing Pre-treatment data was collected in July of 2006 and 2007, and post-treatment data was collected in July of 2009, 2010 and 2011. Data will be collected again in 2013, five years after project implementation. Data Analysis Data were analyzed using the statistical software program SAS 9.3 (SAS Institute 2010). Treatment effects on P. layneae and environmental variables were evaluated with ANOVA, and linear regression analyses were used to identify relationships between environmental variables and P. layneae. RESULTS and DISCUSSION Most P. layneae plants in both the control and treatment area were in two size classes; 1-5 cm in height, or >5 cm in height and not flowering. We found very few P. layneae plants in the flowering stage or smaller than 1 cm in height (Figure 2). 60 Plant Number 50 40 Average of > 5 cm, Flowering 30 Average of >5 cm Non-FL 20 Average of 1-5 cm 10 Average of <1 cm 0 Treatment Control Before Treatment Control After Figure 2. P. layneae density by size class in control and treatment plots both before and after the prescribed burn. We found that total P. layneae density was not affected by the prescribed burn in 2008 (Figure 3). Plant numbers in individual size classes also did not change after the 2008 prescribed burn treatment. 120 Plant Density (#) 100 80 60 Control 40 Treatment Burn 20 0 2006 2007 2009 2010 2011 Year Figure 3. There was no statistically significant change in average P. layneae density in either control or treatment plots over the five year monitoring period. 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Control Treatment 2006 2007 Burn Flowering Plants # The number of flowering P. layneae plants in the treatment plots did not change after the prescribed burn in 2008, but the number of flowering plants in the control plots significantly increased during this time period between 2007 and 2009 (Figure 4). 2009 2010 2011 Year Figure 4. The average number of flowering P. layneae plants did not significantly change in treatment plots over the five year monitoring period, while flowering plant numbers increased between 2007 and 2009 in the control plots (p-value for year*treatment interaction term = 0.007) . The prescribed burn had no significant effects on the environmental variables measured, including the cover of bare ground, litter, coarse woody debris, rock, canopy closure and duff and litter depth. These results suggest that the prescribed burn treatment may have been too low in intensity to have significant effects on the environmental conditions of the P. layneae habitat (Figure 5). Figure 5. Prescribed fire effects in P. layneae habitat. The cover of herbaceous plant species did not change in the treatment plots after the burn, but there was a significant increase in herbaceous cover in control plots over the same time period (Figure 6). 30 Control 25 Treatment Cover (%) 20 15 10 0 2006 2007 Burn 5 2009 2010 Year Figure 6. The percent cover of understory vegetation was similar in control and treatment plots prior to the burn, but was significantly lower in treatment plots after the burn (p-value for year*treatment interaction term = 0.04). We found that P. layneae density was positively associated with the amount of bareground exposed, particularly for plants between 1-5 cm tall (Figure 7). 140 Plant Number Plant Number 120 100 80 60 40 R2=0.31, p<0.001 20 0 a 0 10 20 30 40 b Bareground Cover (%) 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 R2=0.76, p<0.0001 0 10 20 30 40 Bareground Cover (%) Figure 7. Both the total number of P. layneae plants (a) , and the number of 1-5 cm tall P. layneae plants (b) were positively associated with the cover of bare ground. The number of plants in the 1-5 cm tall size class was also higher in plots with less overstory canopy closure (Figure 8). 90 2 80 R =0.12, p=0.04 Plant Number 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 45 55 65 75 85 Overstory Canopy (%) 95 105 Figure 8. The number of P. layneae plants in the 1-5 cm-tall size class was negatively associated with the amount of overstory canopy closure. Other P. layneae characteristics, including flower and flowering stem number and plant size were not significantly associated with any of the environmental characteristics we measured. CONCLUSIONS There were no significant changes in P. layneae density, size or reproductive potential after the prescribed burn, suggesting this treatment had a neutral effect on P. layneae. However, increases in the number of flowering P. layneae plants observed in the control unit did not occur in the treatment unit. This suggests that there may have been some negative effects of the treatment on P. layneae such that it could not benefit from environmental conditions that promoted flowering in the control unit. Total herbaceous cover similarly remained unchanged in the treatment unit but increased in control plots over the monitoring period. It is possible that the prescribed fire could have negatively affected P. layneae and other herbaceous species through direct effects of heat and flame contact. Many plants require the conditions created by fire, but can still be killed or injured by fire. P. layneae density was positively associated with the bare ground and negatively associated with canopy closure. These results suggest that a prescribed burn which can reduce surface fuels and reduce overstory canopy closure may benefit P. layneae by creating the kind of habitat conditions this species prefers. The prescribed burn treatment we evaluated had no significant effect on these or any other environmental variables measured. Although we still have another monitoring period to complete in 2013 five years after the treatment, a few general recommendations can be made based on these data to improve habitat restoration efforts for P. layneae using prescribed fire. A successful prescribed burning treatment should: Have sufficient intensity to create the kind of environmental conditions preferred by P. layneae, including: o reducing surface fuels and exposing bare ground; and o reducing overstory canopy closure, which might also be achieved through thinning treatments. Consider creating control areas to protect existing P. layneae plants from the direct effects of burning. APPENDIX E: Summary of Weber’s Milkvetch HFQLG Monitoring (2008-2011) Kyle Merriam, Jim Belsher-Howe, and Michelle Coppoletta Introduction Astragalus webberi (Webber’s milk vetch) is a USDA Forest Service (USFS) sensitive species known from only 13 occurrences. The species range is limited to about 25 miles of the Indian Creek and East Branch North Fork Feather River drainages of Plumas County, California. It is included in the California Native Plant Society’s inventory of rare and endangered plants on list 1B.2 for species that are rare, threatened, or endangered in California and elsewhere. Seven occurrences have been tracked since the late 1980’s. These occurrences had an estimated total of 2,178 individuals in 1989, but by 2008 it was estimated that these numbers had declined by 22 percent (USFS 2008). All 13 occurrences of A. webberi are found in disturbed areas such as the sides of roads, cut banks, and skid trails with exposed soil and high light conditions (Fig. 1). A. webberi often co-occurs with other light requiring species such as oaks, shrubs and herbaceous understory species. Fig. 1. A. webberi plants growing in a road cut. Most occurrences are found in open, disturbed sites. Although the USFS has been conducting prescribed burning and thinning treatments to reduce fuel loads and restore forest health for several decades, rare plant populations are typically not included in project planning because of a lack of information on treatment effects and concerns over potentially extirpating rare populations. However, the decline of A. webberi on the Plumas National Forest has led USFS managers to consider taking a more active management approach. In 2008, the Plumas National Forest completed a hand thinning project within a portion of an A. webberi population, followed by a prescribed underburn conducted in 2010. The results of these first efforts to actively restore A. webberi populations are described here. Objectives The primary objectives of this study were to evaluate the effect of prescribed burning and thinning on A. webberi populations, and to quantify the environmental factors that promote Astragalus webberi size, density, flowering, and cover. Methods In June 2008 we established five circular plots within the proposed treatment unit, and four plots in an adjacent untreated area to serve as controls. Plots were re-sampled annually in late June from 2008 through 2011. Data collected included: • Number of A. webberi plants by size class based on stem number (<5 stems, 5-10 stems, and >10 stems); and flowering status (flowering/non-flowering); • Stem number and flowering status of five permanently marked plants in both the control and treatment units; • Ground cover including bare ground, rock, litter, coarse woody debris, moss, herbaceous plants, overstory canopy closure, and duff/litter depth; and • Species cover and composition. Treatments Three different management activities occurred in the treatment unit between 2008 and 2011. After pre-treatment data was collected in 2008, the area was thinned by hand crews in 2009 (Fig. 2). a b Fig.2. Example of pre-treatment conditions in the treatment unit in 2008 (a), and after hand thinning in 2009 (b). Surface fuels created during the hand thinning treatment were removed through pile burning in the fall of 2009, and hand lines were created by fire crews in preparation for the prescribed burning operation (Fig. 3). All existing A. webberi plants were avoided by these activities to minimize direct impacts, however small patches of ground disturbance were created throughout much of the treatment unit. Fig. 3.Hand line constructed in treatment unit in 2009 in preparation for the prescribed burn. In 2010, the treatment unit was prescribed burned (Fig. 4). The burn was conducted to avoid existing A. webberi plants. Fig. 4.Prescribed burning of treatment unit in 2010. The effect of the burn on A. webberi was evaluated in 2011. Post-treatment conditions in the treatment unit are shown in Figure 5. Fig. 5. Post-treatment conditions in treatment unit. Analysis Data were analyzed using SAS version 9.3. Differences in A. webberi density, cover, and stem number were evaluated by testing for a significant interaction effect between year and unit (treated vs. control) using two-way ANOVA. Relationships between environmental variables and plant cover, density and stem number were explored using linear regression. Results Cover and density. A. webberi cover did not change in either the control or treatment units between 2008 and 2011. The total number of A. webberi plants increased in the treatment unit every year, but not in the control unit (Fig. 6). This was the result of an increase in the number of plants with less than five stems. 140 Plant Number 120 100 80 60 Control 40 Treatment 20 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year Fig.6. A. webberi density significantly increased in the treatment unit between 2008 and 2011; plant numbers did not change in the control plots (p<0.001). The largest increase in A. webberi density occurred between 2009 and 2010 when hand lines were constructed to prepare the treatment unit for prescribed burning (Table 1). The second largest increase was recorded after the unit was hand thinned between 2008 and 2009. Plant numbers increased the least after implementation of the prescribed burn between 2010 and 2011. Table 1. A. webberi density in the treatment unit and treatment type implemented between 2008 and 2011. Year Plant Number Treatment % Increase 2008 Pre-Treatment 12 2009 Hand Thin 24 100 2010 Hand Lines 82 242 2011 Prescribed Burn 107 30 Stem and Flower Number. Although the total number of stems and the number of flowering stems of permanently tagged A. webberi plants varied between 2008 and 2011, the pattern of variation did not differ significantly between control and treatment units. This result suggests that variation in total stem number and flowering stem number was a response to climatic or other variables not associated with management activities in the treatment unit. Environmental Variables. Of all environmental variables measured, including the cover of bare ground, rock, litter, coarse woody debris, moss, herbaceous plants, as well as overstory canopy closure and duff depth, we found that only the amount of exposed bare ground was significantly associated with the density of A. webberi (Fig. 7). Plant Number (log) R2=0.44, p<0.01 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 0 2 4 6 8 Bare Ground Exposed (%) 10 Fig. 7. As the amount of exposed bare ground increased, so did the density of A. webberi plants. The average number of A. webberi stems per plant increased significantly in plots with less overstory canopy closure (Fig. 8). Stem Number 25 R2=0.12, p=0.03 20 15 10 5 0 70 80 90 Canopy Closure (%) 100 Fig. 8. As the amount of overstory canopy closure increased, the number of stems on A. webberi plants decreased. The amount of exposed bare ground varied over the four year monitoring period in the treatment unit but not in the control. However, the changes in bare ground were relatively small, varying from between two and nine percent of total ground cover (Fig. 9). 12 Bare Ground (%) 10 8 6 Control 4 Treatment 2 0 2008 -2 2009 2010 2011 Year Fig.5. Bare ground cover changed significantly in the treatment unit between 2008 and 2011, but did not change in the control plots (p<0.001). Conclusions and Management Implications Treatments conducted by the Plumas National Forest significantly increased the number of small A. webberi plants in the treatment unit. These plants likely germinated in response to the treatments. Bare ground cover was strongly related to the density of A. webberi. Treatments that exposed bare ground, particularly through the construction of hand lines, were most effective at increasing A. webberi density. Prescribed burning had a relatively small effect on the density of A. webberi. While A. webberi germination was stimulated by the exposure of bare ground, plant growth and size (as indicated by stem number), was enhanced by higher light conditions as a result of lower canopy closure. Future management should focus on protecting established individuals while applying landscape level treatments that: o Expose bare ground to stimulate germination of A. webberi (i.e. through the application of prescribed fire); and o Increase the amount of light that reaches the understory to promote growth of existing plants. Literature Cited USDA Forest Service. 2008. Conservation Assessment for Astragalus webberi. Prepared by Jim BelsherHowe, Mt. Hough Ranger District, Plumas National Forest. 27 pp. APPENDIX F: Investigating the effect of prescribed fire on Webber’s milkvetch (Astragalus webberi) germination Michelle Coppoletta, Jim Belsher-Howe, and Kyle Merriam Introduction Astragalus webberii is a geographically restricted legume species that is limited to 13 occurrences along a 25 mile stretch of the Indian Creek and East Branch North Fork Feather River drainages in Plumas County, California. Three occurrences are on lands managed exclusively by the Plumas NF, three are on the boundary of both private and Forest Service lands, and the remaining seven occurrences are on private lands. These occurrences support close to 2,000 individuals and cover approximately 10 acres. Webber's milk-vetch grows in a variety of habitats that range from open, rocky areas to moderately dense stands of hardwoods and conifers. It appears to require open conditions where the dominant trees are widely spaced and enough sun reaches the ground to maintain adequate shrub and understory plant cover (USDA 2009). Field observations suggest that Webber’s milk-vetch is tolerant of disturbance; most of the known occurrences are along highways, on stabilized cut-banks, or on the edge of the forest. Recent monitoring results also suggest that thinning treatments may be beneficial to Webber’s milk-vetch, as long as the treatments are applied at the appropriate scale and magnitude (Merriam et al. 2010). Overall, this species appears to be in decline; the number of individuals within seven of the occurrences has declined by 22 percent over the past 20 years (USDA 2009). Threats to this species include road maintenance and construction, trash dumping, vehicle parking, and timber harvest. Objectives The objective of this monitoring was to determine the effects of prescribed fire and hand thinning on Webber's milk-vetch germination. To frame our analysis, we focused on the following questions: 1. Do prescribed fire and hand thinning treatments increase Webber's milk-vetch germination one year after treatment? 2. Did pre-treatment fuel manipulations influence fire behavior and severity within individual plots? 3. Did collection year influence germination or seedling vigor? Methods Fifteen seed plots were established in June 2010 to evaluate the effect of prescribed fire and hand thinning on Astragalus webberi seed germination. Twelve 2 x 2 meter seed plots, with 100 seeds per plot, were established within the treatment unit and three were established in an adjacent untreated area. The treatment unit was hand-thinned and materials piled and Figure 1. Planting seed in plots burned in 2009. Prescribed fire treatments were implemented in October of 2010. Prior to burning, woody fuels were arranged within nine of the seed plots to test the effect of fuel loading on germination. The untreated area was not thinned or burned. Prior to burning, all woody fuels were removed from the plots, weighed, and then re-applied to simulate high (12.5 tons per acre), moderate (5 tons per acre), and low (no woody fuels) fuel loadings. Duff and litter depth was also measured for use as a covariate in the statistical analysis. Figure 2. Measuring woody fuels Figure 3. Plot treated during prescribed burn Flame length and rate of spread were used to calculate two measures of fire behavior (based on Rothermel and Deeming 1980): Byram’s fireline intensity (Btu/ft/s) – estimates the rate of heat energy released per unit time per units length of the fire front Heat per unit area (Btu/ft2) – estimates the total amount of heat released per unit area as the flaming front of the fire passes. In general, for the same fireline intensity, faster rates of spread will direct less heat to the site, while slower moving fires will concentrate more heat to the site. Statistical analysis A one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) was used to compare germination rates among (a) the five different treatments: hand thinned with no underburn, hand thinned and underburned (with three different fuel loads), and no treatment; (b) the three levels of fire severity: unburned, lightly burned, and moderately burned; and (c) the treated and untreated plots. Germination rates were transformed (arcsine) prior to analysis to meet the assumption of normality. A multivariate analysis of covariance (MANCOVA) was used to examine the variation in fire behavior within the nine burned plots. Pre-treatment fuel load was used as the predictor variable and the two measures of fire behavior, fireline intensity and heat per unit area, were included as correlated response variables. Duff and litter depth was also incorporated into the model as a covariate. Significance was determined using Wilks’ lambda. Post-treatment severity was assessed using the National Park Service’s Fire Monitoring Handbook (2003). Plots were assigned a value of two if they were moderately burned and three if they were lightly burned; no plots were found to be scorched (4) or heavily burned (1). Because post-treatment fire severity was divided into distinct categories, the effect of fuel load (high, medium, or low) was tested using Fisher’s exact test. Fisher’s exact test is used when you want to conduct a chi-square test, but one or more of your cells has an expected frequency of five or less. A multivariate analysis of variance (MANOVA) was used to examine the effect of collection year (2009 vs. 2010) on two measures of seedling vigor (height and leaf number). Significance was determined using Wilks’ lambda. Results 1. Do prescribed fire and hand thinning treatments increase Astragalus webberii germination one year after treatment? Prescribed fire and hand thinning treatments do not appear to increase Astragalus webberii germination one year after treatment. Germination was not significantly correlated with pre-treatment fuel load, fire behavior (i.e. fireline intensity or heat per unit area), or fire severity. In general, germination rates were low across all treatment types and ranged from 1.3 to 3.3 percent (Table 1, Figure 4). Table 1. Average number of seedlings and percent germination within treated and untreated plots . Treatment Type Hand thin, high fuels (12.5 tons/acre) Hand thin, moderate fuels (5 tons/acre) Hand thin, low fuels (no woody fuels) Hand thin, no burn No treatment - Control Sample Size (n) 3 3 3 3 3 Mean number Average Percent of seedlings Germination 3 (± 1) 2.7% (± 0.6%) 3 (± 3) 3% (± 2.6%) 1 (± 2) 1.3% (± 1.5%) 2 (± 1) 3.3% (± 1.5%) 3 (± 2) 1.7% (± 0.6%) Average Germination (%) 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 HT, High fuels HT, Moderate fuels HT, Low fuels HT, no burn No treatment Treatment Type Figure 4 . The average percent germination of seeds within plots that were hand thinned (HT), hand thinned and burned with varying fuel loads, and within plots that received no treatment (controls). 2. Did artificial fuel manipulations influence fire behavior and severity within individual plots? Pre-treatment fuel loadings did not have a significant effect on fire behavior, even with the variance associated with duff and litter removed. In order to more accurately examine this relationship, a larger study, with more replicates may be needed. Table 2. Measures of fire intensity and estimates of burn severity for plots treated with prescribed fire. All plots were hand thinned. Sample size for each plot was three. Treatment Type High fuel loads (12.5 tons/acre) Moderate fuel loads (5 tons/acre) Low fuel loads (no woody fuels) Fire behavior (averages) Fireline Intensity Heat per unit (Btu/ft2/s) area (Btu/ft2) Estimated burn severity Lightly burned Moderately burned (% plots) (% plots) 1.9 77.5 100 1.8 52.4 33 3.3 74.4 100 67 In contrast, fuel loadings did affect fire severity. All of the plots with high fuel loadings (12.5 tons per acre) resulted in moderately burned plots, while all of the plots with low fuel loadings (removal of all woody fuels) resulted in lightly burned plots. Plots with moderate fuel loadings (5 tons per acre) produced more mixed severity results. Burn Severity Index 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 Low Fuels Moderate Fuels (5 tons/acre) High fuels (12.5 tons/acre) Manipulated Fuel load Figure 5. Estimated burn severity (based on Fire Monitoring Handbook) in response to pre-treatment fuel loadings. Lower values represent higher severity; a value 2 of represents moderately burned and a value of 3 is lightly burned. 3. Did collection year influence germination? Seedling vigor (height or leaf number)? The year in which the seed were collected had no significant effect on germination or seedling vigor. Data are presented below in Table 3. Table 3. Summary of germination rate and seedling vigor for seed collected in 2009 and 2010. Seed Collection Year Percent Germination (averages) 2009 2010 2.4% (± 2.6%) 2.7% (± 2.3%) Seedling vigor Height (mm) 56 (±19) 48 (±18) Number of leaves 2.6 (±0.6) 2.8 (±0.7) Management implications Like many other legume species, the seeds of Astragalus webberii have a hard outer coat, which generally needs to be damaged or removed (i.e. scarified) in order to stimulate germination. The results of our monitoring suggest that habitat-level treatments, such as prescribed fire and hand thinning alone, are not enough to achieve desired germination rates; therefore future reintroduction efforts should mechanically scarify the seeds (i.e. rub them between two layers of sandpaper) prior to planting in order to increase germination. Although not statistically significant in this study, our findings suggest that pre-treatment manipulation of fuel loadings can be used to influence post-treatment burn severity. APPENDIX G: Investigating the impacts of thinning treatments on Penstemon personatus on the Plumas NF Michelle Coppoletta, Colin Dillingham, and Kyle Merriam Introduction Penstemon personatus (closed-throated beardtongue) is a rare species that is presently known from four counties in the northern portion of the Sierra Nevada mountain range. Most of the P. personatus occurrences (74 percent) are found within the boundary of the Plumas National Forest (NF) where this rhizomatous perennial occurs in 23 large but localized populations that vary in size from thousands of individuals to less than 10. P. personatus is currently designated as a Sensitive species by the USDA Forest Service (USDA Forest Service 2006). The California Native Figure 1. Penstemon personatus flower Plant Society lists P. personatus as a 1B.2 species, which indicates that it is fairly endangered in California (California Native Plant Society 2010). Past observations suggest that P. personatus may tolerate or even benefit from management activities that open up the forest canopy if ground disturbance is minimized (Hanson 1987, Urie, Tausch and Hanson 1989). In the past, these types of lower impact activities have included selective removal of scattered large trees, reduction of the canopy by 30 percent or less, and cable logging. In contrast, this species does not appear to tolerate high impact activities, which result in high levels of soil displacement or compaction (Hanson 1987, Coppoletta et al. 2010). In 2006, Plumas NF botanists and Sierra Cascade Province ecologists developed objectives to guide the P. personatus monitoring effort. The intent was to define management triggers (i.e. actions resulting from monitoring), which would guide the future management of P. personatus on the Plumas NF. The objectives and management response were defined as follows: Management Objective: To maintain P. personatus frequency or percent cover of at least half of the pre-treatment mean and to evaluate the significance of declines in P. personatus cover relative to untreated controls. Sampling Objective: To detect a 50 percent change in the frequency or percent cover of P. personatus with a 90 percent confidence that our estimated mean is within 10 percent of the true value. Management Response: If sampling detects a decline of greater than 50 percent in P. personatus cover or frequency after treatment, the treatment would be considered detrimental to P. personatus occurrences and would not be advised. We will also evaluate the significance of declines in P. personatus cover in comparison to untreated control plots. The following summary presents the results of an analysis of P. personatus percent cover data collected between 2006 and 2010. The objective of this monitoring effort and analysis was to determine the effects of different types of timber harvest activities on P. personatus cover and to assess whether the 2006 management objectives were met. To frame the analysis, we focused on the following questions: 1. Were the management objectives for P. personatus met? If not, are management actions required? 2. Do timber harvest treatments result in a decline in P. personatus cover? 3. Are environmental variables, such as overstory canopy and duff and litter depth, associated with P. personatus cover? Methodology In 2006, permanent monitoring transects were established at eleven sites within the HFQLG project area. Within sites, four to six parallel transects (200 feet in length) were positioned at a minimum of 50 feet apart, along a randomly located baseline. Pilot sampling conducted in 2006 (within the Waters 29 Unit) indicated that six transects were sufficient to meet our sampling objective, which was to detect a 50 percent change in the mean cover of P. personatus with a 90 percent confidence interval. Along each transect, P. personatus cover was measured using a line intercept methodology (described in Elzinga, Salzer and Willoughby 1998). Overstory canopy and duff/ litter depth were also measured at 20 foot intervals. All data were input into the QLG effectiveness monitoring database. Figure 2. Colin Dillingham in a group selection monitoring unit To date, pre and post-treatment monitoring have been conducted at eight sites. Treatments at these sites have included hand-thinning and pile burning (n=1); mechanical thinning (n=2); and group selection (n=2). Three P. personatus monitoring sites have received no treatment and are used as controls (see Table 1). Table 1. Results of P. personatus line intercept monitoring. The one-sided 90% confidence interval is included in parentheses. The threshold of concern is a decline of 50 percent from the pre-treatment cover. Treatment Group Selection Mechanical Thin Hand thin/Pile Burn Control Units Percent Change in PEPE Cover 1 yr post3 yrs posttreatment treatment Years in which Confidence Interval includes Threshold Value (decrease of 50%) Guard 442 (n=6) -57% (-73%) 21% (-28%) 1 year post Guard 845 (n=6) 184% (34%) 240% (105%) Guard 15 (n=4) 81%(-21%) Guard 16h (n=6) 33% (6%) 4% (-26%) Waters (n=6) 60% (20%) 134% (58%) Guard Control (n=5) 297% (46%) Lotts Control (n=5) 240% (46%) Treatment Units Percent Change in PEPE Cover Faggs Control (n=5) 281% (-109%) 204% (-103%) Years in which Confidence Interval includes Threshold Value (decrease 1 and 3 years post of 50%) Statistical Analysis The percent change in cover was investigated by comparing pre and post-treatment cover values over two time periods: (a) one year after treatment and (b) three years after treatment. For the control units, the change in cover was calculated using the first measurement value for comparison, rather than a pre-treatment value. One-sided 90 percent confidence intervals were calculated to investigate whether decreases in cover exceeded our stated management threshold (i.e. a decline of 50 percent from pre-treatment cover). The management objectives did not specify the level of analysis; therefore we evaluated changes within individual units as well as within treatment types. A generalized linear mixed model was used to analyze the effect of the different treatments on P. personatus cover within the first three years following treatment. Multiple linear regression was used to investigate the relationship between environmental variables (canopy cover and duff/litter depth), treatment, and P. personatus cover. Cover data were logit transformed for analysis. A value equal to half of the smallest non-zero value was added to all cover values to allow for the transformation of zero values. Data were analyzed using the statistical software programs SAS 9.3 (SAS Institute 2010) and R version 2.14.1 (The R Foundation for Statistical Computing 2011). Results Were the management objectives met? If not, are management actions required? Our stated management objective was to maintain P. personatus percent cover of at least half of the pre-treatment mean, and to evaluate the significance of declines in P. personatus cover relative to untreated controls. As seen in Figure 3, our management objective was met for all of the treatment units when analyzed over the entire monitoring period, which extended up to three years after treatment. The only treatment unit to show a decline greater than our stated management objective was group selection unit Guard 442. The percent cover of P. personatus within this unit dropped by an estimated 57 percent in the first year following group selection thinning; however three years after treatment, the percent cover had rebounded to an estimated 21 percent more than the cover prior to treatment. This result corresponds with both past observations (Castro 1991, Zebell, Castro and Dwerlkotte 1991, Dwerlkotte 1990) and recent P. personatus data analyses (Coppoletta et al. 2010); these observations and analyses found that P. personatus frequency tended to drop in the first year after logging and then rebound in year three to levels similar to pre-logging. This result is not surprising considering that plants can be directly impacted by equipment during treatment implementation or indirectly impacted by changing light conditions. These impacts may result in an initial decline in plant cover or frequency; however because P. personatus is rhizomatous, it is most likely able to recover to pre-treatment levels by re-sprouting a few years after treatment. Percent Change in PEPE Cover 275% 1 year after trt 3 years after trt Threshold Value 225% 175% 125% 75% 25% -25% -75% -125% Guard 442 Guard 845 Group Selection Guard 15 Guard 16h Mechanical Thin Waters Guard Control Hand thin/Pile Burn Lotts Control Faggs Control Control Figure 3. The percent change in P. personatus cover within units one and three years after treatment. The red line represents the management threshold, which is a decrease of 50% from the pre-treatment cover estimates. The error bars represent one-sided 90 percent confidence intervals. Percent Change in PEPE Cover The management objective was also met when the individual units were pooled and changes within treatments analyzed (Figure 4); none of the means (representing the estimated amount of change in cover) or 90 percent confidence intervals dipped below the threshold of concern, which represents a decrease of 50 percent from pre-treatment cover. 275% 225% 175% 1 year after trt 3 years after trt Threshold Value 125% 75% 25% -25% -75% -125% Group Selection Mechanical Thin Hand thin/Pile Burn Control Figure 4. The percent change in P. personatus cover one and three years after treatment. The red line represents the management threshold, which is a decrease of 50% from the pre-treatment cover estimates. The error bars represent one-sided 90 percent confidence intervals In the figure above, the confidence intervals for group selection (one year after treatment), mechanical thinning (three years after treatment), and the control (in the second year of monitoring) all include zero. This suggests that the difference between the percent cover of P. personatus at that time period and the pre-treatment cover was not significantly different (α=0.1). In contrast, all of the other estimates of change were significantly different from zero. Conclusions: Sampling did not detect declines of greater than 50 percent in P. personatus cover three years after treatment; therefore treatments are not considered detrimental to this species and no management action is required at this time. P. personatus cover within units may decline in the first year or two following treatment; however it has shown the ability to rebound after year three to pre-treatment levels. Do timber harvest treatments result in a decline in P. personatus cover? Thinning treatments did not result in a significant decline in P. personatus cover over time (p=0.06, α=0.1). The percent cover of P. personatus within treatments and controls did not differ significantly from their pre-treatment values one or three years after treatment (Figure 5). Average Percent Cover of PEPE 4.5 Group Selection 4.0 Hand thin/Pile Burn 3.5 Mechanical Thin 3.0 Control 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 PreTRT Post1 Years since treatment Post3 Figure 5. Percent cover of P. personatus prior to treatment and one and three years after treatment. Error bars represent standard error. Are environmental variables, such as overstory canopy and duff and litter depth, associated with P. personatus cover? P. personatus cover was significantly and positively related to overstory canopy cover (p= 0.004, α=0.05) when variables such as duff and litter depth were included in the model and held constant. This result suggests that within areas of similar duff and litter depth higher canopy cover will generally be associated with higher P. personatus cover. The partial regression plots in Figure 6 below allow us to investigate the association between P. personatus cover and each of the two explanatory variables, after accounting for the effects of the other variable. These plots show a positive and relatively linear relationship between overstory canopy and P. personatus cover. In contrast, duff and litter depth does not appear to have a significant effect on P. personatus cover, when canopy cover is held constant. 1.5 1.0 0.5 -0.5 0.0 Component+Residual(Logit_PEPE) 1.0 0.5 0.0 -0.5 Component+Residual(Logit_PEPE) 1.5 Component + Residual Plots 0.5 1.5 LN_Duff 2.5 -6 -4 -2 0 2 Logit_Canopy Figure 6. Partial regression plots showing the relative effect of (a) duff/litter and (b) canopy cover on P. personatus cover. Duff and litter values were log transformed. P. personatus and overstory canopy cover were logit transformed. It is important to note, that treatment (i.e. whether a site was treated or not) was significantly correlated to canopy cover (p=0.016, α=0.05); as we would expect, treated areas were associated with lower overstory canopy cover. Because of this correlation, this variable was not included in the final model. The R² value measures the amount of total variation in P. personatus cover that is described by its linear relationship with canopy cover or duff/litter depth. In our case, less than five percent of the total variation in the data were explained by the two habitat variables that we measured. This suggests that while overstory canopy and duff and litter depth may explain some of the variation that we see in P. personatus cover, there are likely other factors that we did not measure that may explain more of the variability in our data. Recommendations: Refine management objectives to add time dimension and to clarify the level of analysis. The current management objective states the following: Previous Management Objective: To maintain P. personatus frequency or percent cover of at least half of the pre-treatment mean and to evaluate the significance of declines in P. personatus cover relative to untreated controls. Refined Management Objectives: Evaluate the effect of management activities on P. personatus frequency and percent cover; Within treatments, maintain an average of at least half of the pre-treatment mean value (frequency or percent cover) over the first five years following treatment; and Evaluate the significance of declines in P. personatus relative to untreated controls. Complete post-treatment monitoring in order to achieve our goal of at least three sites within each treatment type; this will likely improve the experimental power of our design. Evaluate the line-intercept cover method as a viable method for detecting change in cover for P. personatus. The low percent cover of P. personatus makes the design extremely sensitive to very small changes; for example, if one plant is missed, it may result in a decrease of 25 percent of the total cover along the transect. Line-intercept is generally effective for species with dense canopies (i.e. shrubs or matted plants), but may not be as effective for species with sparse canopies such as P. personatus. The low percent cover of P. personatus also makes the design more susceptible to observer error (i.e. because the sighting line is not perpendicular to the tape or if wind causes the tape to shift). References California Native Plant Society. 2010. Inventory of Rare and Endangered Plants. February 11, 2010). Castro, B. 1991. Hardquartz Monitoring: Penstemon personatus; Analysis of data 1983-1990. USDA Forest Service, Plumas National Forest. Coppoletta, M., K. Merriam, C. Dillingham & L. Hanson. 2010. The effect of timber management activities on Penstemon personatus on the Plumas National Forest. USDA Forest Service. Dwerlkotte, R. 1990. 1990 Penstemon personatus monitoring summary for the Quincy Ranger District. USDA Forest Service, Plumas National Forest. Elzinga, C. L., D. W. Salzer & J. W. Willoughby. 1998. Measuring and Monitoring Plant Populations. BLM Technical Reference 1730-1, Denver, Colorado. Hanson, L. 1987. Species Management Guide for Penstemon persontaus. Urie, S., R. Tausch & L. Hanson. 1989. A Statistical Analysis of Penstemon personatus. USDA Forest Service. 2006. 2006 Sensitive Plant List, Pacific Southwest Region, Region 5. Letter from Regional Forester Weingardt. File Code: 2670. Dated July 27, 2006. Zebell, R., B. Castro & R. Dwerlkotte. 1991. Penstemon personatus frequency monitoring, 1980-1990 -Summary. USDA Forest Service, Plumas National Forest. APPENDIX H: The effects of mastication and prescribed fire on medusahead (Taeniatherum caput-medusae) cover and frequency Michelle Coppoletta, Sierra Cascade Ecology Program Over the past 20 years, managers of public lands in the western United States have witnessed an explosive spread of medusahead (Taeniatherum caput-medusae). This highly invasive grass is able to grow in a wide range of climatic conditions and has been documented in plant communities up to 7,000 feet in elevation. Medusahead is a species of significant concern on the Plumas NF because it occurs in relatively disturbed areas, such as roadsides and railroad tracks, where there is elevated risk of spread into un-invaded native plant communities. Even more problematic, is the fact that Figure 1. Medusahead inflorescences. most traditional treatment methods, such as manual removal, biological control, and chemical treatment are either impractical or ineffective. Studies that have investigated the use of prescribed fire to control medusahead have produced variable results. A number of studies have demonstrated that burning medusahead in late spring, prior to seed dispersal can significantly reduce infestations (Rice 2005). In contrast, prescribed burns initiated in the summer and fall, have not been effective due to the fact that the seeds have been dispersed and are on or above the soil where they are protected from the heat of the fire (Kan and Pollak 2000). Over the past six years, Plumas NF botanists have been testing a relatively new method of medusahead control: flaming with a propane torch. Results from these trials have demonstrated that spring flaming of small infestations can reduce the percent cover of medusahead by an average of 95 percent (Coppoletta 2006). The major limitation with this method is that it is extremely time intensive and is not considered practical or feasible for control of large medusahead infestations; however, these results do suggest that high intensity fire (such as that achieved with flaming) applied prior to seed set, could be an effective method of control for medusahead. On the Plumas NF, mastication is one method that is commonly used to mechanically treat small diameter trees and shrubs for fuel reduction. This treatment utilizes machinery to break up or “chew” live and standing biomass and convert them into surface fuels. In 2010, botanists on the Plumas NF targeted a large medusahead infestation within a proposed mastication unit, to answer the following questions: 1. Does the frequency and percent cover of medusahead change in response to mastication and prescribed fire treatments? 2. If so, is this change associated with (a) reduced shrub and tree cover or (b) masticated fuel loadings? METHODS Field Sampling Eighteen permanent monitoring transects were established in June of 2010 to evaluate the effect of mastication and prescribed fire on medusahead cover and frequency. Thirteen transects were established within the proposed treatment unit and five were established in an adjacent area where treatments will be excluded. The following data were collected along each transect before and after treatment: Frequency: Presence and absence of medusahead was recorded within a nested quadrat at five points along each transect. The size of the frequency quadrats were: (1) 10 x 10 cm; (2) 20 x 20 cm; and (3) 50 x 50 cm. Cover: Percent cover of medusahead, shrubs, and trees was estimated (using cover classes) within five 1m2 quadrats placed along each transect. Fuels: surface fuel measurements were collected after mastication treatments using the planar intercept (Brown’s transect) method along each medusahead transect. Fine (0-3”) woody debris was tallied, course (>3”) woody debris was tallied and measured, depth/litter depth was measured, and percent slope recorded. Mastication treatments occurred in the summer of 2010; landscape level changes can be seen in the photographs below (Figure 2). Figure 2. Monitoring transect before (left) and after (right) mastication treatment. Data Analysis One-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) was conducted to compare changes in medusahead frequency, medusahead cover, and shrub cover within the treatment unit and the control. Simple linear regression was used to evaluate the relationship between medusahead cover and overstory shrubs. Surface and ground fuel loads were calculated using equations developed for California forests (van Wagtendonk, et al. 1996). Descriptive statistics of surface and ground fuels by size class were calculated and used to compare with published fuel load estimates from other masticated areas within California (i.e. Kane et al. 2004). RESULTS Prior to treatment, the percent cover of medusahead in plots was negatively correlated with the amount of overstory shrub cover (p=0.0002, α= 0.05); plots with high shrub cover had lower medusahead cover. As expected, mastication treatments resulted in a significant decline (p = <0.0001; α= 0.05) in shrub cover. Within the treatment unit, shrub cover dropped from an average of 35 percent to just over one percent cover following treatment. Despite this decrease in shrub cover, there was no significant change in medusahead frequency or percent cover one year after treatment (Figure 3). 2010 2011 60 Percent Cover 50 40 30 20 10 0 Control Mastication Medusahead Control Mastication Shrubs Figure 3. Change in medusahead and shrub cover within treated and untreated plots. Error bars represent the standard error (SE). Other studies (i.e. Wagner et al. 2001, Young and Evans 1970) have observed time lags in medusahead invasion immediately following shrub removal; these delays are generally attributed to the presence of perennial grasses, which can initially suppress medusahead invasion. In our study, the potential lag in response is most likely due to the quantity of ground and surface fuels within the treatment unit, which may suppress medusahead germination or inhibit dispersal to areas of newly created suitable habitat. Calculated post-treatment estimates of fuel loading for woody fuels within the treatment unit and control are presented below in Table 1 and displayed in Figure 4. There was no significant difference between the treated unit or the control in total woody fuel loading or any of the fuel categories with the exception of the one-hour fuels; the treatment unit contained significantly more one-hour fuels than the control (p=0.02, α= 0.05). Table 1. Estimates of fuel loading for woody fuel classes within masticated treatment units and control. Unit n Treatment Control Fuel loadings (tons per acre) 1 hr 10 hr 100 hr 1000 hr Total Woody 13 0.6 (±0.1) 4.1(±1.1) 5.6 (±2) 1.8(±1) 12.2(±2.6) 5 0.3 (±0.1) 2.9 (± 2) 6.0(±3.8) 1.9(±1.1) 11.1(±6.3) 10.0 Control Fuel weight (tons/acre) 9.0 Treatment 8.0 7.0 6.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 1 hr 10 hr 100 hr 1000 hr Fuel Types Figure 4. Differences in fuel loadings between mastication unit and the control. The only significant difference was in the one hour fuel category. Error bars represent the Standard Error (SE). Total fuel loading after treatment was estimated at 12.2 (±2.6) tons per acre within the mastication unit. Post-mastication fuel loading was concentrated in the 10 and 100 hour fuel classes, which made up 34 and 46 percent of the total woody fuel load respectively. The total estimated fuel load is toward the lower range of estimated fuel loadings for masticated sites; for example, in their study of masticated sites in northern California and southwestern Oregon, Kane et al. (2006) obtained total woody fuel loadings that ranged between 6.8 and 28 tons per acre. NEXT STEPS The mastication unit will be treated with prescribed fire in 2012. Plots and transects will be reread to calculate medusahead frequency and percent cover for one to five years following treatment. Analysis will be conducted to determine the response of medusahead to treatments and to evaluate the effect of different fuel loadings on medusahead cover within individual plots. REFERENCES Coppoletta, M. 2006. Testing the effects of flaming as a method of medusahead (Taeniatherum caputmedusae) control on the Plumas National Forest. Pages 56-59 in Proceedings of the California Invasive Plant Council Symposium. Vol. 10. California Invasive Plant Council, Berkeley, CA. Kan, T., and O. Pollak. 2000. Taeniatherum caput-medusae (L.) Nevski. Pages 309-312 in R. Randall and M. Hoshovsky, editors. Invasive Plants of California’s Wildlands. University of California Press, Berkeley and Los Angeles, California. Kane, J.M., Knapp, E., Varner, JM. 2006. Variability in loading of mechanically masticated fuel beds in northern California and southwestern Oregon. RMRS-P-41, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Fort Collins, CO, pp. 341–350 Rice, P. 2005. Fire as a tool for controlling nonnative invasive plants. Center for Invasive Plant Management, Bozeman, MT. Van Wagdendonk JW, Benedict JM, Sydoriak WM. 1996. Physical Properties of Woody Fuel Particles of Sierra Nevada Conifers. International Journal of Wildland Fire 6: 117–123.