Memorandum for the MCC Board TO: FROM: DATE: RE: Members of the MCC Board Sheila Herrling and Steve Radelet Center for Global Development MCA Monitor March 6, 2009 March 11th Board Meeting The March 11th meeting of the Board of Directors of the MCC is a critical moment for the MCC. This first gathering of the new Board provides an opportunity to publicly signal the beginnings of the new Administration’s plans for the MCC. Although the Board will be faced with immediate operational decisions regarding Armenia and Nicaragua, we hope the Board will also use this meeting to begin to develop its strategy on the future of the MCC and some of the changes necessary both to enhance the effectiveness of the model and to position the MCC in the larger U.S. foreign assistance landscape. The overarching goal for the MCC for the next phase of its operations should be to show demonstrable progress in reducing poverty through sustainable economic growth in its partner countries, and to do it as quickly and efficiently as possible. The new Board and MCC team face two key challenges. First, tensions and tradeoffs exist between different actions to show results quickly. For example, the desire for speed sometimes conflicts with the need for incorporating country ownership and building local capacity, and the desire for country ownership must be balanced with the need for achieving a threshold return on investment and proper fiduciary oversight. Second, the MCC faces a significant budget constraint which may force a decision either to reduce the number of eligible countries, or to reduce the size of each compact. Either choice could undermine the basic principles of the MCC. If the MCC retains the same selection process but chooses fewer countries, it could risk undermining the “MCC effect” if countries perceive that they may not be selected even if they pass the indicators test. If instead the MCC approves smaller compacts, it will undermine its ability to foster transformative change. The budget situation creates a difficult dilemma: the MCC’s ability to show results over time depends to a large degree on its budget, while at the same time its ability to gain support for its budget depends on its ability to show strong results on the ground. Since its inception, we have been closely monitoring the MCC and providing independent assessments and analysis of its progress as an innovative foreign aid agency through our “MCA Monitor” Initiative. In our most recent analysis, “From Innovation to Impact: Next Steps for the Millennium Challenge Corporation,” we propose a set of changes to enhance the model’s effectiveness, which are summarized on the attached page. We hope you will find the work of the MCA Monitor useful in your oversight role of the MCC. Please do not hesitate to get in touch with us if you have any questions. Enhancing the Effectiveness of the MCC: Key Next Steps 1. Seek authority for countries to implement concurrent compacts, rather than one large compact. This critical step would allow the MCC to enter into smaller and more manageable compacts, which would (1) speed the implementation process and accelerate achieving real results on the ground; (2) provide robust incentives for countries to maintain eligibility and strong implementation performance; (3) reduce the amount of upfront budget obligations per country, as funding would be required only for the components ready to roll out in the fiscal year; (4) and help to effectively transition current compacts that merit a second round of engagement. 2. Establish greater selectivity and stronger quality standards at every stage. For both budgetary and quality control reasons, the MCC will need to institute greater competition and, hence, greater selectivity at the country candidate stage, the country selection stage, and the compact design stage. That will mean selecting fewer new countries going forward, rejecting compact proposals without adequate returns on poverty reduction and income generation, and terminating country eligibility and funding when countries do not perform. 3. Focus exclusively on low-income rather than middle-income countries: With continued budgetary pressures, the MCC must allocate each additional dollar where it is most likely to achieve its over-arching goal of reducing poverty through sustainable growth. 4. Reorient the threshold program to better prepare countries for successful compact implementation. Threshold programs could incorporate design elements that would begin to build country capacity that would pave the way for faster and more successful compact implementation. This could be similar to an expanded 609g program, but the resources would be provided to countries before selection for full compact eligibility. With less funding, greater selectivity in threshold country eligibility will be required. A more radical option would be to eliminate the program entirely. 5. Use alternative financing methods smartly: The MCC should apply its innovation mantra to its financing terms, and consider (1) financing compact activities through the recipient government’s budget on a pilot basis in a subset of MCC countries with the best fiduciary systems, (2) providing finance to local government units or non-governmental organizations (such as local foundations) that could provide sub-grants to smaller NGOs, (3) more direct financing to private sector entities, or (4) co-financing infrastructure projects with private sector entities to more fully leverage MCC funds. 6. Strengthen outreach and communications approaches: The new administration will need to work closely with Congress to ensure that results are fully recognized; develop common objectives for the MCC and a set of shared expectations around how MCC (or an MCC-like approach) would achieve those objectives (including a reasonable disbursement rate for doing so); and build alliances and champions on the Hill for the MCC approach.