USDA Forest Service Proceedings – RMRS-P-56 51. Using interpreted large scale aerial photo data to enhance satellite-based mapping and explore forest land definitions Tracey S. Frescino 1 , Gretchen G. Moisen 2 Abstract: The Interior-West, Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA), Nevada Photo-Based Inventory Pilot (NPIP), launched in 2004, involved acquisition, processing, and interpretation of large scale aerial photographs on a subset of FIA plots (both forest and nonforest) throughout the state of Nevada. Two objectives of the pilot were to use the interpreted photo data to enhance satellite-based mapping capabilities by providing training information at a moderate scale, and to refine definitions of forest land by facilitating explorations of forest land definition changes. This study examines the usefulness of NPIP data for fulfilling these objectives by exploring relationships between photo-interpreted information and FIA ground data with Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data using machine learning, Random Forests models. Photo-interpreted data were determined to be valuable training data for models using MODIS imagery, even in areas of low tree cover, and were found to be slightly more effective than using field data. Keywords: Nevada, photo interpretation, large scale photography (LSP), MODIS INTRODUCTION With increasing pressure for natural resource information and concurrent decreases in available funds, there is a need for exploring alternatives to the timeconsuming, high cost ground data traditionally collected by inventories, such as the USDA Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) program. In 2004, the InteriorWest FIA program launched the Nevada Photo-based Inventory Pilot (NPIP) to 1 United States Forest Service; Rocky Mountain Research Station; Forest Inventory and Analysis Program; 507 25th Street; Ogden, UT 84404 USA; tfrescino@fs.fed.us 2 United States Forest Service; Rocky Mountain Research Station; Forest Inventory and Analysis Program; 507 25th Street; Ogden, UT 84404 USA; gmoisen@fs.fed.us In: McWilliams, Will; Moisen, Gretchen; Czaplewski, Ray, comps. 2009. 2008 Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) Symposium; October 21-23, 2008: Park City, UT. Proc. RMRS-P-56CD. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station. 1 CD. USDA Forest Service Proceedings – RMRS-P-56 51. explore the use of GPS-controlled, large-scale aerial photography (LSP) for enhancing our existing inventory by complementing our field sample, augmenting our traditional FIA estimation process, providing strategic level information on nonforest lands not traditionally inventoried by FIA, and increasing efficiencies, particularly in the extensive, slow-growing woodland forests in the West. NPIP involved acquisition and processing of LSP on a subset of FIA plots (both forest and non-forest) throughout the state of Nevada during two consecutive field seasons. Nevada was a particularly good study area for several reasons: it was not yet funded for annual inventory (Gillespie 1999); it has the most incomplete and outdated periodic data in the Interior West; it is predominantly nonforest federal lands; and of the forested lands, it is mostly woodland forest types. The specific objectives of the pilot were as follows: • Exceed information requirements by providing strategic level information on all cover type groups in a consistent fashion. LSP provides an opportunity to characterize vegetated and non-vegetated cover types typically not sampled by FIA, such as shrublands and grasslands. • Speed up inventory timeline by producing meaningful estimates after 2 years of data collection, at a lower cost. The data from NPIP can supplement the sparse annual data collected in the state to produce more precise and timely estimates of field-based attributes, such as area by forest type, area by owner, and area by land class, as well as basal area by tree species group. • Reduce inventory costs in prefield and potentially in future field efforts particularly on marginal forest lands. IW-FIA’s ground sample is based on a priori interpretation of aerial digital imagery (e.g. DOQ). LSP provides higher resolution imagery and improved temporal control for making better decisions and thus, eliminating unnecessary field visits and reducing costs. • Enhance mapping capabilities by providing training information at a moderate scale. In the past, FIA map products have relied on the acre-size, FIA plot data for training moderate-scale, and satellite-based map products of forest attributes. NPIP photos offer the opportunity to collect training data at a scale that is comparable to the satellite imagery which should improve accuracy of these map products. • Provide data to evaluate forest land definition changes. FIA needs to define and account for all forest land in the U.S. in a consistent and efficient manner. NPIP photos can provide data to explore the impact of definitional changes of forest land on forest estimates, using criteria such as percentage of tree crown cover. The focus of this study is based on the last 2 objectives of the pilot: enhancing mapping capabilities and evaluate definitions of forest land. The study explores 2 USDA Forest Service Proceedings – RMRS-P-56 51. relationships between photo-interpreted information and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) data, examining photo data as compared to FIA field data and analyzing different thresholds of tree cover interpreted from the photo plots. This paper first describes the data available, photo, field, and MODIS imagery, and then how these data were used for addressing these 2 objectives. DATA Photo Data GPS-controlled LSP was collected in 2004 and 2005 in the state of Nevada, consisting of 28,629,728.6 hectares (70,745,600 acres) (http://dcnr.nv.gov/nrp01/land01.htm), including water but excluding 3,514,290 hectares (8,684,000 acres) of restricted air space. Nevada is less than 14 percent forested and of these forested lands, the dominant forest type is pinyon-juniper woodland type, covering approximately 7 million acres (Born et al. 1992). Other woodland types found in Nevada include Cercocarpus species and Gambel oak (Quercus gambelii). Timberlands cover less than 1 percent of the total forest land and include white fir, aspen, and limber pine with bristlecone pine, subalpine fir and Engelmann spruce (Picea engelmannii) at higher elevations and black cottonwood (Populus trichocarpa) in the riparian areas (Born et al. 1992). The sample survey design for NPIP follows the systematic sampling design of the national FIA program (Reams et al. 2005). The FIA program conducts a comprehensive inventory of forest lands across all ownerships in the United States. Permanently-established ground plots are measured annually based on a systematic sample of regularly spaced hexagons, each representing approximately 6000 acres. The plots are delineated into 5 panels, each panel represents 20 percent of the data and is measured on an annual cycle. In the western region, panels are divided again into subpanels; each subpanel representing half a panel or 10 percent of the data. A subpanel is measured every year over a ten year cycle. The state was pre-stratified into 3 initial strata using a pixel-based, 250-meter resolution map of predicted timberland forest, woodland forest, and nonforest areas (Figure 1; Blackard et al. 2004). All FIA locations (i.e., all 10 subpanels) within the timberland and woodland strata were photo-sampled, totaling 1,455 plots. In addition, one-tenth of the FIA locations (i.e., one subpanel) within the nonforest stratum were photo-sampled, totaling 877 plots, resulting in an overall total of 2,332 photo plots. 3 USDA Forest Service Proceedings – RMRS-P-56 51. Figure 1: Stratification map. In 2004, 395 locations were acquired by contract with the Remote Sensing Application Center (RSAC) using a direct-to-digital camera, DCS645C, with a 55-mm lens. Flights were flown 3,000 feet above ground with a 2,002-ft swath width, resulting in a 0.49-ft ground sample distance (GSD). In 2005, a contract through the USDA Aerial Photography Field Office (APFO) to Aerial Services, Inc. (ASI) provided photos for 1,937 locations. The ASI photography used natural color 9x9-inch film and a 6-inch lens. These plots were flown at a scale of 1:5,000 feet with a 3,750-ft swath width. Stereo triplicate photographs were acquired for all plots, converted to a digital Tagged Image File Format (TIFF), and geolocated to each FIA X-Y plot center location. The NPIP photo-interpreted plot sample design consisted of a dot grid sample within a 250 meter radius circle covering approximately 20 hectares (48 acres) of land. There were a total of 49 points per plot each representing about an acre size (Figure 2) with the center point of each plot straddling the FIA field plot center. Point generation and photo interpretation were accomplished using the Digital Mylar Image Sampler tool developed by the Remote Sensing Applications Center (RSAC) (Clark et al. 2004). Each point was assigned a value of condition class, defined as an area of homogenous vegetation having similar characteristics (USDA 2006), and an object class identifying the object in the photograph the point fell on, such as a tree or shrub (USDA 2006). 4 USDA Forest Service Proceedings – RMRS-P-56 51. Figure 2: NPIP plot sample design. The individual point data were summarized to plot level and condition level attributes. One attribute analyzed in this study was percent cover of live trees, calculated by summing the points that fell on live trees and dividing by the number of points per plot or condition, respectively. More details on photo sampling procedures are documented in Frescino et al., In Press. FIA Field Data As mentioned previously, the FIA sampling design is based on a nationally consistent and uniform spatial distribution of field plots divided into annual panels across the United States. In the Interior-West, where and when funding is available, a subpanel of data is measured each year, representing 10 percent of the total plots. In Nevada, 2 subpanels (20% of the entire sampling grid) of data were collected in years 2004 and 2005, totalling 1216 plots; of these, 381 plots sampled forest land. Live tree crown cover was measured using four 25-ft transects and included all live trees 1.0 inch and greater (USDA 2006). These data were collected at the condition level and summed to plot level. MODIS Data We used 16-day, cloud-free, composites of MODIS imagery for spring, summer, and fall of 2005. These included visible-red (RED) and near-infrared (NIR) bands and 2 vegetation indices, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and enhanced vegetation index (EVI). NDVI measures energy absorption of chlorophyll and cell wall reflectance in vegetation cover and is defined as (NIR – RED) / (NIR + RED) (Tucker 1979). NDVI is powerful in its reduction of multiplicative noise among bands but is sensitive to canopy background changes 5 USDA Forest Service Proceedings – RMRS-P-56 51. (Huete et al. 2002). EVI incorporates the blue visible spectral band, helping to reduce this sensitivity in background noise while improving sensitivity in high biomass regions. EVI is defined as G*(NIR – RED) / (NIR + C1*RED – C2*BLUE+ L), where BLUE is visible-blue band, C1 and C2 are aerosol resistance coefficients, G is a gain factor, and L is the canopy background adjustment factor (Huete et al 2002). METHODS Random Forests In meeting both our objectives of enhancing mapping capabilities and evaluating definitions of forest land, we used a machine learning algorithm, Random Forests (Breiman, 2001), to model relationships between response variables collected on photos or field plots, and the MODIS data. Random Forests is a classifier that generates multiple classification predictive models referred to as trees, and outputs the class that occurs most frequently. For each tree a random subset of the training data (approximately two thirds) is used to construct the tree, with the remaining data points used to construct out-of-bag (OOB) error estimates. For categorical responses, the OOB error is the average number of times the class was not correctly classified, yielding OOB estimates of percent correctly classified (PCC) and Kappa, an index that compares agreement against that which might be expected by chance. For a continuous response, the output includes the total percent variance explained, root mean square error (RMSE), and Pearson’s correlation (Cor). At each node of each tree, a random selection of predictors is chosen to determine the split. Random Forests will not overfit data, therefore the only penalty of increasing the number of trees is computation time. For this study, we used 500 trees to build the models and relied on the OOB error estimates to compare different models. Enhance Mapping Capabilities The first objective addressed in this paper was enhancing mapping capabilities by providing training information at a moderate scale, compatible with the MODIS data. Recent mapping efforts, regionally (Blackard et al. 2004; Ruefenacht et al. 2004) and nationally (Blackard, et al. 2008; Ruefenacht et al. 2008), have coupled FIA data with MODIS imagery with the assumption that the acre-size (4047 sq meter) FIA sample plot is representative of the 15-acre (250-sq 6 USDA Forest Service Proceedings – RMRS-P-56 51. meter) pixel size of MODIS. This mismatched scale has not previously been analyzed, thus the impact on the models and map products are unknown. The NPIP sample plot is 500 meters in diameter and therefore provides data for a sampled area that is thought to better match the area of the MODIS pixel. To understand this impact of scale better, we explored relationships between MODIS data and the compiled photo-interpreted data at both the plot and condition levels using Random Forests and compared the output from these models to output from models generated using FIA ground plot data. We focused on 2 different questions: 1. How does using photo plots as training data differ from using field plots as training data for generating models with MODIS imagery? 2. How does the cost of photos and field training data affect models with MODIS imagery? For the first question, we considered only those plots that met the following two conditions: 1) both field and photo data were available (hereafter referred to as collocated), and 2) both field and photo plots had only one condition. For the latter we assumed the homogeneity within the plots would minimize noise or model error and therefore the error we were seeing would be related to differences in scale. We modeled 4 different responses, 3 binary and 1 continuous: presence of forestland (F/NF); presence of pinyon-juniper forest type (PJ Type); presence of pinyon-juniper species (PJ Spp); and percent live tree cover. Forestland was defined as lands having 10 percent or greater cover of live trees; pinyon-juniper forest type included plots with a condition classified as pinyon-juniper; pinyonjuniper species included plots having at least one pinyon or juniper tree; and percent live tree cover ranged from 0 to 100 percent of live trees on the plot. The second question examined how the number of field plots and photo plots affected model error, where the number of plots was based on fixed cost scenarios. Here, we looked at percent live tree cover at plot- and condition- levels from both field and photo plots and modeled this data as a function of MODIS spectral information using Random Forests. The cost, per plot, of the NPIP inventory was approximately $300 (Table 1) compared to an estimated $1500 per FIA field plot. We analyzed 4 different cost scenarios based on these estimates, starting as high as $432,000 and halving the cost each time down to $54,000 (Figure 3). From the total number of available plots in each cost scenario, we examined plot level information of those plots having only one condition and condition-level information of conditions that covered 40 percent or greater area of a plot. These data were randomly selected with replacement for each cost scenario. We generated Random Forests models of live tree percent cover using plot and condition data for each scenario and compared the results of each model. 7 USDA Forest Service Proceedings – RMRS-P-56 51. Table 1: Cost and time constraints for the photo sampling components of NPIP. The costs of per plot estimates. Description Photo acquisition Photo-to-digital Hard copy printing (8x8) Geolocation Interpretation Quality control Cost $120 per triplicate (direct to digital) $20 (scanning) $5 (per image) Time constraints Photo acquisition should be initiated before the desired flight month. Local, professional photo shop. $5 $80 (includes field training) (average > one plot per hour) $30 (includes data compilation and editing and minimal field validation) Difficult to interpret more than 6 hours per day. Sharing tasks led to timing and feedback issues. General cost 1 Tb of computer storage space $2,000 (per each; two were purchased, one for back-up) Total $260 per plot + $4,000 storage space Figure 3: Number of plots used for each cost scenario. Cost1: $432,000; Cost2: $216,000; Cost3: $108,000, Cost4: $54,000 Evaluate Definitions of Forest Land The second objective addressed in this paper was evaluating definitions of forest land by facilitating explorations of forest land definition changes. Frequent 8 USDA Forest Service Proceedings – RMRS-P-56 51. discussions within FIA review the definition of forest land, including whether to base the definition on stocking or crown cover and what percent crown cover is appropriate for all users. For this objective, we explored what the potential would be to capture different percentages of crown cover using moderate scale imagery. Specifically, we looked at classification accuracies of percent live tree cover interpreted from LSP and MODIS spectral data at different thresholds of cover, 5%, 10%, 15%, 20%, 25%, and 30%. We again used the Random Forests to generate models of each threshold as a binary response and compared the percent correctly classified (PCC) and Kappa values calculated from the OOB error. RESULTS/DISCUSSION Enhancing Mapping Capabilities There were a total of 682 photo and field collocated plots having only one condition. For the photo plots, 118 of these were forested with 115 plots classified as pinyon-juniper forest type and the remaining 564 plots non-forested. Of the field plots, 114 were forested with 112 classified as pinyon-juniper forest type and the remaining 568 plots non-forested. The density, or probability distributions of percent live tree cover for the field and photo collocated, forested plots were very similar as shown in figure 4, with the photo tree cover generally a little higher than the field tree cover, overall. As expected, paired t-tests revealed similar results. a. b. Figure 4: Percent live tree cover for the field and photo collocated, forested plots. a. Density, or probability distributions. b. Scatterplot of photo versus field with 1:1 and regression lines. 9 USDA Forest Service Proceedings – RMRS-P-56 51. The OOB error rates for the field and photo predictions with binary responses are displayed in figure 5. In all cases, the models using photo data had a slightly lower error rate than the models using field data. The continuous response, percent live tree cover, showed similar results for the photo models with greater percent variance explained, a lower RMSE, and a higher correlation. The percent variance explained, RMSE, and correlation for the field model was 77.14, 6.30, and 0.88, relatively, whereas the photo model was 84.67, 5.99, and 0.92, relatively. Figure 6 shows the relationship between the predicted and observed values resulting from the field and photo models, where the observations were greater than zero. Although observed values equal to zero were included in model development, they were excluded from the graphs to get a better picture of the spread for the non-zero values. These results suggest an advantage using photo information at a similar scale as the MODIS pixel over using the acre-size field plot. Figure 5: The OOB error rate for Random Forests binary models for field and photo collocated single condition plots. 10 USDA Forest Service Proceedings – RMRS-P-56 51. Figure 6: The OOB error for Random Forests model of percent live tree cover for field and photo collocated single condition plots, where observed values are greater than zero. Table 2 shows the total number of plots used in each cost scenario, the number of single condition plots, and the number of conditions that covered greater that 40 percent of the plot area. Here, it is interesting to note the much higher number of training data available when using condition-level information, especially with the photo plots. The larger size of the photo plots is conducive to sampling more conditions. The results of the Random Forests models for percent live tree cover under all cost scenarios are displayed in figure 7. This figure shows the OOB variance explained from the photo plot-level (PHOTO-c1) and condition-level (PHOTOcnd) models along with the field plot-level (FIELD-c1) and condition-level (FIELD-cnd) models. Table 2: Number of plots used for comparing different cost scenarios. Cost Scenario 1 2 3 4 Cost $432,000 $216,000 $108,000 $ 54,000 Total 288 144 72 36 Field Single Condition Conditions >=40% Total 248 123 62 34 285 142 71 36 11 1440 720 360 180 Photo Single Conditions Condition >= 40% 613 306 154 70 1520 757 375 190 USDA Forest Service Proceedings – RMRS-P-56 51. Figure 7: OOB variance explained for percent live tree cover for four cost scenarios, and four plot selection criteria Overall, the models using photo data explained more variance than the models using field data at the both plot and condition levels. Cost scenario 1, having the highest cost ($432,000) had the highest percent variance explained in all cases, as would be expected. As the scenarios decreased in cost, or in the number of plots used, the variance explained in the models decreased as well. Using the conditionlevel information seemed to be more effective in each cost scenario with slightly higher percent variance explained in each case. Again, we see the photo data adding valuable information to our models, and at a much lower cost. We also see the positive affect of using condition-level data for training. Refine Definitions of Forest Land We used a total of 2328 photo plots from NPIP. Figure 8 shows the division of plots for each forest definition threshold. The OOB PCC and Kappa values resulting from fitting each of these five datasets in a binary forest/nonforest Random Forests model are shown in figure 9. The PCC and Kappa values are fairly high for cover thresholds at 5 percent up to 15 percent but then begin to decline at 20 percent. This result shows that there is potential to successfully model forestland at cover less than 20 percent. Further testing is needed to determine if this is a true effect or an artifact of the training data. 12 USDA Forest Service Proceedings – RMRS-P-56 51. Figure 8: The number of forest (blue) and nonforest (purple) plots by threshold used in the binary Random Forests models. Figure 9: OOB PCC and Kappa values from models of percent live tree cover at different thresholds. CONCLUSION Large scale aerial photography can provide valuable information as training data for mid-scale modeling and mapping efforts as a link between MODIS imagery and ground data and as auxiliary information for tree cover estimations, even at the lower extremes. Using the photo data to establish relationships with MODIS imagery was found to be slightly more effective than using field data 13 USDA Forest Service Proceedings – RMRS-P-56 51. according to the OOB error estimates from Random Forests models. This was true for the binary responses of forest presence, pinyon-juniper presence, and pinyonjuniper presence, as well as percent live tree cover. The cost scenario analysis showed the affect of using photo data versus field data for modeling percent tree cover at different costs. The photo interpretation data look promising as an alternative or ancillary data source for providing information at lower costs. It was also determined that the addition of conditionlevel information was valuable for increasing the variance explained in the models. LSP is also a valuable data source for generating spatial products of not only forest, but rangeland conditions including presence of shrub type and, more specifically, sage (Figure 10). Figure 10: Spatially-explicit maps generated from Random Forests models. a. Presence of shrub type. b. Presence of sage species. This paper was a start at analyzing the valuable data available from NPIP and the relationships with MODIS imagery. Further research is needed to investigate this relationship with MODIS (and other predictors) in more detail, as well as to continue exploring the use of condition-level information as training data. 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