This file was created by scanning the printed publication. Errors identified by the software have been corrected; however, some errors may remain. Forest Health Assessment: Science to Policy Link-an Interesting Challenge1 Harry Hirvonen 2 Ahstract-The Canadian Forest Service has recently completed a national health assessment of Canada's major forests. This assessment is a major departure from historical reporting on forest health within Canada. A broad defmition of forest health is used which includes impacts on forest ecosystems from air pollution, land use activities as well as endemic influences such as insects and drough t. The national ecological classification of Canada is used as the reporting framework. The combination of an ecological reporting framework, a broad defmition of forest health, the need to link science with policy questions and the need to report in a concise, nontechnical manner created interesting challenges to the completion of the Assessment. Some of these challenges were sciencebased, some were philosophical and others were institutional. Canada is a forest nation with 45% of the country's landscape being forested. Canadians are stewards of 10% of the world's forests. These forest ecosystems form much of the ecological backbone of the country. They are a source of recreation, of inspiration, and of wealth to a large number of Canadians. Forests are essential in providing habitat, food and shelter to wildlife. Our forests are home to 140,000 wildlife species. The nation is also the world's largest exporter of forest products, contributing $32 billion to the country's balance of trade and providing 840,000 jobs to Canadians (Natural Resources Canada 1998). Without sustained healthy forests, Canada would be devastated environmentally, culturally, and economically. To maintain healthy forests, we have to understand how they function, their ecological interactions at various spatial scales and how these interactions are influenced by human intervention. We must draw on our collective scientific research and monitoring results and initiatives to determine what is happening, how it is occurring and why is it taking place. This synthesis and assessment of forest health is not an exacting science. Information is often drawn from disparate sources and is of varying rigour and quality. There are very few straightforward cause and effect relations. In fact, in the literature, there are often, divergent conclusions based on a similar data, reflecting the various interpretations placed on the source data. Ipaper presented at the North American Science Symposium: Toward a Unified Framework for Inventorying and Monitoring Forest Ecosystem Resources, Guadalajara, Mexico, November 1-6,1998. 2Harry Hirvonen is Science Advisor, Forest Health, Canadian Forest Service (CFS), Natural Resources Canada, located CFS Headquarters, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada 476 In the end, the assessment, with its inevitable imperfections must be communicated to Canadians in a credible, clear and concise manner. Otherwise, all the science and research behind the assessment is essentially for nought. Translation from science jargon to everyday language is always an interesting exercise. To put it mildly, determination of forest health is not straightforward. In 1997, the Forest Health Network, one ofthe ten Science and Technology Networks of the Canadian Forest Service, undertook this challenge with the view to publish, by the end of 1998, Canada's first national Forest Health Assessment. This Assessment is one of a family of products to be produced that communicates to various audiences, from the scientist to the school pupil, the status and change in the health of Canadian forests (Forest Health Network 1998). This paper focuses on the process and hurdles associated with producing this assessment. What Does Forest Health Really Mean? --------------------------------------In tracking and reporting on forest health, the first hurdle to overcome is the understanding of what forest health means. This term continues to be freely tossed around the global forest sector as ifits meaning is intuitive to all. It may be intuitive, but it is also hard to pin down. Existing views may differ widely (McLaughlin and Percy 1998; O'Laughlin et al. 1994). As examples, if one's primary purpose is timber production, forest health is an issue about dying or threatened trees, most often illustrated through management activities aimed at reducing insect and disease infestations. For wildlife specialists, it is largely about forest habitat, its availability and condition. Other perspectives may incorporate aesthetic, recreational or spiritual values to define forest health. These perspectives have value and validity, as long the limited focus is understood. Because of these varying concepts of forest health, efforts to define it are largely meaningless. The Canadian Council of Forest Ministers states that the Canadian forest sector, collectively, has the obligation to "maintain and enhance the long-term health of forest ecosystems for the benefit of all living things both nationally and globally while providing environmental, economic and social and cultural opportunities for the benefit of present and future generations." (Canadian Council of Forest Ministers 1998). This is a classic motherhood statement that sounds nice but really offers no direction. What it does imply is that forest health must be considered in a holistic sense considering all values of the forest ecosystem. The emphasis is on the forest ecosystem and not on anyone element. USDA Forest Service Proceedings RMRS-P-12. 1999 In this broad ecological context, we may view a healthy forest as one that maintains the qualities that society values including biodiversity, resiliency, wildlife habitat, aesthetic appeal and resource sustainability. (Forest Health Network 1998). Inherent in this perspective is a spatial connotation. Forest health is not viewed as a single tree issue or even a stand issue, but in a regional context. Certainly, if one's favourite urban tree is showing signs of decline, it may be very important; or, if a highly valued commercial plantation is ravaged by insects, it is an immediate concern. But stand health and single tree health are different from forest ecosystem health. The former are not really sustainability issues. Ecosystem "Sustainability" is both a long-term and regional concept. One must think not of species alone but of ecological cycles, interactions among ecosystems and changing dynamics over time. Forest health is also all about measuring, tracking and reporting on impacts on forest ecosystems from stressors. Stress, simply put, is an unusual load on the ecosystem. It may stem from natural factors such as drought or indigenous insects or from human-induced factors such as air pollution or land use. Normally, forest ecosystems are adapted to frequently occurring climatic and endemic biotic events and may even rely on these events to perpetuate themselves. Extreme natural events may result in irreversible harm to desirable forests, but our ability to foresee and mitigate these events is minimal. Human-induced stressors on forest ecosystems we can influence, alter and mitigate. Thus, this assessment concentrates on interactions between forest ecosystems and human influences. Such influences include air pollution, introduction of non-native species, and land use activities, including forest management. Resultant effects may be beneficial, negligible or harmful to the ecosystem. Impacts may occur directly on forest species, or indirectly through impacts on ecological processes such as nutrient cycling. They may alter life cycles of native insect and disease populations (Fleming and Volney 1995) or predispose ecosystems to decline from natural influences of wind, .drought and other climatic elements. What we are really striving for is to identify and document changes to forest health due to anthropogenic stress from those changes attributable to inherent natural variation. Forest Health Assessment: How We Went About It ----------------------------- forced to carry out these assessments without a true understanding of what a healthy forest ecosystem consists of in terms of measurable parameters. Without a baseline, the answer to the question: are things better or worse? is unclear. The assessment process, necessarily becomes more qualitative and often more intuitive then we would like. The synthesis tests the interpretive anq. comfort limits of scientists, who by nature, tend to be conservative and cautious with unproven cause/effect relationships. Policy analysts and decision-makers however, have immediate questions to answer from both the public and their political masters. Available science-based conclusions and results serve to provide direction as much as possible. Yet, the immediacy of the issue extends the meaning of "sciencebased" for these decision-makers. And perhaps rightly so, Our frontline people with the public do not have the luxury of waiting for incontrovertible proof of cause and effect. They do their best with what they have. We, as scientists, must actively participate in this "interpretive" process. If we collectively, as forest scientists, are not willing to make the link between science and policy, others, with their own agendas will do it for us. Basic Principles Three underlying principles served to direct our forest health assessment: • We must think, plan and act in terms of ecosystems. Political and other jurisdictional boundaries are not conducive to the assessment of any ecosystem as ecological interactions and relationships inevitably transcend these boundaries. • Natural disturbances or influences on forest ecosystems such as wildfire, native insects and diseases, and climatic events are essential to the health of forest ecosystems. They are the drivers of ecological sustainability. • Human activi ties impact on forest processes and ecological functions; some activities are benign, others could be devastating. Forest ecosystems considered as being minimally infl uenced by human activity are generally viewed as healthy. Our Approach 1) be able to discern changes in forest ecosystems caused by human interference from the natural ecological variability inherent in these systems. ii have a clear mental and measurable image, of a heal thy forest; in essence a benchmark by which to measure forest health. In the development ofthis assessment, it was necessary to define clearly what we meant by an "assessment." The term 'science assessment,' has become almost meaningless because of its ubiquitous attachment to a multiplicity of studies. It has been used for literature reviews, status reports and for comprehensive encyclopedias about given topic areas. Our task was to focus the exercise, to set out some guiding principles. The primary purpose was to communicate to an interested public the status and concerns regarding the health of Canada's major forest ecosystems. This clear, directed purpose meant that the language of the final report had to be nontechnical. In doing this, it also had to: Unfortunately, basic information or agreement on these conditions does not exist. Yet, strong pressure to assess the health of our forests is continuous from both the public and the decision-makers who must answer to this public. We are • provide an ecologically-based, concise synthesis of published results for a forest health issue of concern; • be effects-oriented addressing what is happening, why it is happening and how it is happening; and The Conundrum Under ideal assessment conditions, we would: USDA Forest Service Proceedings RMRS-P-12. 1999 477 • provide the link between science and policy. Policy is driven by public priorities and concerns. Issues high on the public agenda must become high on the agenda ofthe scientific community and addressed by that community. • had a limited target length of pages. This focuses the discussion, eliminates filler and forces the contributors to stick to their key messages. The 1998 national forest health assessment, in putting theory to practice: Regional Issue-Based _ _ _ _ __ • used the national ecological framework of Canada for reporting purposes: This ecological framework delineates the country into 15 ecological zones (ecozones) and hierarchical subdivisions (Ecological Stratification Working Group 1996). Nine ofthese ecozones have a substantial forest component. These nine ecozones served as the reporting framework for our national forest health assessment. Arbitrary, ecologically inappropriate, jurisdictional boundaries were ignored. This approach also emphasized the diversity of Canadian forests. Canadian forests are a mosaic of many forest ecosystem. The ecological framework points out the absurdity of discussing Canadian forests as a single entity. • concentrated on effects: Methodologies, status, philosophy, and general musings were left for other venues of communication and for other audiences. The authors were to provide the key messages with just enough dialogue around these messages to set the context. • was issue oriented. Issues such as, harvest of old growth, increase in plantations, biodiversity and acid rain are at the fore in the minds of the public. We had to address these and other forest health issues although our information base may have been limited. Ignoring discussion of these issues was not an option. If the assessment did not address these issues, at least in a cursory manner, the entire assessment would be suspect to a large segment of the public. • linked with monitoring and indicators, to the degree possible. The forest health assessment is all about tracking change over time and determination of the ecological impacts of any such change. This assessment considered, as general reference, the four ecological criteria of the initiative to develop Canadian Criteria and Indicators of sustainable forest management: conserving biological diversity, ecosystem condition and productivity, conserving soil and water resources and global ecological cycles (Canadian Council of Forest Ministers 1997). • relied on partnerships. Forest health is an issue that transcends the Canadian Forest Service. Except for the Territories, provincial agencies and private landowners, after all, are the land managers of most of Canada's forests. As well, several federal agencies have regulatory and general interest in our forest ecosystems. The breadth and depth of issues involve research and monitoring initiatives of all these organizations. Only through partnerships, can a national assessment of forest health be carried out. • used nontechnical language. The intended audience includes both those involved with policy and the general public. The use of science jargon has limited communicative value with these groups. No matter how good the message, if we cannot communicate it effectively, we have no message. 478 I do acknowledge that an issue perspective limits the opportunity to present forest health as a holistic concept. Important ecological interactions and impacts may be missed. Yet, the decision to proceed in this manner relates to one of communication. Despite inherent constraints, I feel that, through an issues approach, the Assessment becomes manageable and responds directly to both policy and public issues and concerns. The use of ecozones as a reporting framework allows for application of the ecological perspective to the synthesis. The use of the common headings of "changing atmospheric conditions," "changing landscape conditions," and "changing biodiversity" allows for national consistency, yet regional flexibility. Changing atmospheric conditions-Topic areas include effects from potential climate change, acid rain, tropospheric ozone (smog), and ultraviolet radiation. A major gap exists in that no information is available on the effects of toxic chemicals on forest ecosystems. The CFS, itself, does not have an active research program in this issue area. Effects from acid rain are drawn from the recently released report by the Canadian Forest Service 'Effects of Acidic Deposition on Canada's Forests' (Hall et al. 1998). Discussion on potential effects from ultraviolet radiation is based on the Canadian forest sector contribution to the report Ozone Science- A Canadian Perspective on the Changing Ozone Layer released as part of the 10 th Anniversary meetings ofthe Montreal Protocol on Ozone-depleting Substances held in Montreal in the Fall of 1997 (Wardle et al. 1997). Changing landscape conditions-Factors influencing changing landscape conditions include, harvesting regimes, regeneration after harvesting, fire and insect and disease infestations. For the latter, data are limited on human influence on cycles and intensity of infestation. Discussion focuses on impacts on commercial forest tree species. Fire is a major ecological factor in the evolution of Canadian forests. Data are sparse however, on fire severity and the ecological impacts of fire suppression. Key references include the 1996/ 1997 national State of the Forests Report produced by CFS, the forest health monitoring database ofCFS, the National Forestry Database of the Canadian Council of Forest Ministers and CFS Information Reports on the nature and extent of insect and disease infestations. Changing biodiversity-Indicators of biodiversity change include protected areas (area, but not representatively was available, which remains a major gap in information needed), threatened species and ecosystems and exotic or non-native species. Exotic species are of particular interest in assessing the health of Canadian Forests. They are generally aggressive, lacking natural enemies and may replace or reduce indigenous species within the forest. Certain species cause severe economic harm as they attack and kill or reduce the vigour of commercial forest species. USDA Forest Service Proceedings RMRS-P-12. 1999 Plantations, old growth and rare forest ecosystems were discussed as to their overall implications to forest health of specific ecozones. The Obstacles _ _ _ _ _ _ __ We have an acceptable concept of forest health. We can visualize what a forest health assessment is all about. On the surface, it seemed like a relatively straightforward task of carrying it out. It was not. The hurdles were many, some institutional and others practical, most of which resulted in interesting, ifnotfrustrating, bumps along the way. The key ones included: Monitoring ecological change for forest ecosystems-There is no capability in Canada to measure status and change over time within our forest ecosystems. Without an understanding of change, how can we determine natural fluctuation from a human-induced one? There is no valid basis for determination of whether things are getting better or worse. The lack of ecological monitoring data severely tested the interpretive limits of the assessment. Ecological framework-We must think, plan and act in terms of ecosystems. The problem is that much of the available background data, reports and related infrastructure is linked to institutional rather than ecological boundaries. This fact caused, and continues to cause, problems in the synthesis of forest health by ecozone. The compulsion to generalize-One hears on a regular basis that the forests of Canada are generally healthy. This statemen t may be true, but it is also meaningless. It ignores, albeit unintentionally, the diversity and mosaic of forest ecosystems that characterize our nation. We are not one forest, but many forests. Each has its own physical and biological characteristics and stressors wi th varying degrees of impact. Yet, ecological generalities relating to 'healthy forests' pervade our literature. These generalizations serve little else but to unobtrusive background, a sort of "ecological muzak." . This demand to generalize is fed, in part, by in terna tional sources requesting the state, condition and health of Canada's forests. Such requests inevitably seek an overall statement for the country. We must resist this; Canada is not a small country. We have ecoregions, the fine subdivisions of ecozones that are larger than many European countries (Ecological Stratification Working Group 1996). It is also fed, in part, by politicians and others who seek simplistic answers to complicated questions. Determination of forest health is not a mathematical problem having a yes or no answer. The country is too diverse for a national index or statement on forest health. We should not continue promulgate Canada as one large relatively homogenous forest. Striving for the bottom line: Historically, ecological scientists have been reluctant to deliver results clearly. Oftentimes, more effort is put on caveats than results. We are the masters of the waIDe. How do we become more proactive without sacrificing ecological integrity. More is required of risk modeling, of interpretation of results and of transmitting our collective experience. We must be willing USDA Forest Service Proceedings RMRS-P-12. 1999 to test the limits of quantitative evidence, contribute our professional judgement to the ecological debate and, dare I say it, make the best of qualitative evidence. Still, the issue of scientific rigour is one that the assessment was continually addressing. Communication-We must communicate results ofresearch and monitoring in a meaningful manner to the intended audience, which inevitably is the interested public. This task is part translation of scientific English and French to normal English and French and part the art of communication. The way I look at much of the forest research that we do is that, ifin the end, the value and results of this research cannot be communicated in a manner that my seventeen year old daughter understands then that research is of questionable value. The assessment is based on science but, in fact, has a healthy dose of art attached to it to facilitate communication. The Major Gaps _ _ _ _ _ __ Currently there is no capability in place in Canada to measure ecological change over time. There is an urgent need for a national ecological monitoring program. Without this CFS, and its provincial partners, cannot meet requirements imposed by Canadian Council of Forest Ministers to measure and tract ecological criteria and indicators of sustainable forest management. Neither can we meet our obligations for international reporting as required under the criteria and indicators of the Montreal Process for sustainable forest management within temperate and boreal countries. Canada lacks any field studies or monitoring programs to assess regional or nationwide risks of the nation's forests to tropospheric ozone and UV-B. Research has shown that several Canadian tree species are sensitive to UV-B episodes (Percy and Cameron 1997). As well, lakes and wetlands and associated wildlife within our forests have been adversely impacted by high levels ofUV-B or through the accumulative affect of UV-B with acid rain (Schindler et al. 1996). Research into the risk that toxic chemicals and heavy metals may impose to Canadian forest wildlife and ecosystems is very limited. Lack of published information prevent an assessment of these pollutants on Canadian forest ecosystems. Very little information exists on what one may consider as the inheren t biodiversi ty and ecological functions associated with what are considered as "healthy forest ecosystems." We need to define and establish such baseline data from which we could assess "change." We need to know whether our management activities are helping or hindering our progress towards ecological sustainability. Summary Determination of the health of Canadian forests is not an exact science. The definition of 'health' is more qualitative than quantitative. Rarely, will we be able to satisfy ourselves of direct human-induced cause and ecological effect. Risk and uncertainty will remain as constants in forest health assessment. 479 Currently, the state of nationwide forest health monitoring, and ecological monitoring in general, is inadequate for determination of ecosystem change over time. A national ecological monitoring program involving forest and nonforest land is a prerequisite to meet our national and international obligations on measuring and reporting progress towards sustainable development. Despite lack of consistent trend information for national reporting purposes, the status of the health of our forests, and predictions for the future are essential, and, in fact, demanded by public and decision-makers. This fact puts scientists in a dilemma. It forces science to its interpretive limit relying often on qualitative information and sketchy statistical validity for many issues of forest health. Yet, advice and interpretations must be provided even ifbased on less than solid evidence. Decisions will be made whether or not appropriate supporting information and advice are available. The initial conclusions presented in this paper serve to reflect the interdisciplinary nature of any science assessment even if it has a specific focus such as forest health. With diminishing funds and the complex nature of many of our environmental stressors, interdisciplinary and cooperative research and monitoring among provincial federal, industrial and university groups is essential. Interdisciplinary science is one requirement, communication of results is another. Ifwe, as scientists, cannot communicate our results and concerns in a manner that the public and decision-makers understand, our work is futile and exposed to cutbacks. Communication involves a couple of prerequisites. Firstly, we must relate information and advice in a manner and language understandable by our intended audience. The forest health program of the CFS is developing a family of products to reach a wide variety of audiences from peers to children. We are good at communicating with our peers, not so good with others. Remember, it is most often the "others" that determine our research and operating budgets. Basic and long-term research are both essential. What is needed is a continuing profile' from existing research and monitoring initiatives that address the short-term policy and public concerns. If properly carried out, long-term research would be buffered from constant scrutiny. We must remember that the synthesis and reporting of results from ecological research and monitoring to a broad audience is part science and part art and it is often the art portion that allows the science to continue. 480 Literature Citations ---------------------Canadian Council of Forest Ministers 1998. Sustainable Forests Canadian Commitment. Canadian Council of Forest Ministers 1997. Criteria and Indicators of Sustainable Forest Management in Canada - Technical Report 1997. Natural resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Ottawa, Canada. 137 p. Canadian Forest Service 1995. Criteria and Indicators for the Conservation and Sustainable Management of Temperate and Boreal Forests: The Montreal Process. Pamphlet. Natural Resources Canada, Ottawa. 27 p. Ecological Stratification Working Group. 1996. A National Ecological Framework for Canada. Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada, Centre for Land and Biological Resources Research, Research Branch; and Environment Canada, Environment Conservation Service, State of the Environment Directorate. Ottawa. 125 p. + map. Fleming, RA.; Volney, W.J.A. 1995. Effects of climate change on insect defoliator population processes in Canada's boreal forest: some plausible scenarios. Water, Air, and Soil Pollution 82: 445-454. Forest Health Network 1998. A Health Assessment of Canada's Forests - 1998. Natural Resources Canada, Canadian Forest Service, Information Report. In press. Hall, P.; Bowers, W.; Hirvonen, H.; Hogan, G.; Foster, N.; Morrison, 1.; Percy, K.; Cox, R; andArp, P.1998. Effects of acidic deposition on Canada's forests. Natural Resources Canada. Canadian Forest Service. Ottawa, Ontario. 23 p. McLaughlin, S; Percy, K. 1998. Forest health in North America: some perspectives on actual and potential roles of climate and air pollution. J. Air, Water and Soil Pollut. In press. Natural Resources Canada 1998. The State of Canada's Forests: The People's Forests 1997-1998. Canadian Forest Service, Ottawa, Canada 108 p. O'Laughlin, J.; Livingston, RL.; Thier, R; Thornton, J.; Toweill, D.; Morelan, L. 1994. Derming and measuring forest health. J. Sustainable Forestry. 2:1/2,65-85. Percy, K; Cameron, S. 1997. Chapter 5: Forests In: Wardle, D.J.; Kerr, J.B.; McElroy, C.T.; Francis, D.R 1997. Ozone science: A Canadian perspective on the changing ozone layer. Environment Canada, Downsview, Ontario, Canada. Pages 97-100. Schindler, D.W.; Curtis, P.J.; Parker, B.R; Stainton, M.P. 1996. Consequences of climate warming and lake acidification for UV-B penetration in North American boreal lakes. Nature, 379:705-708. Wardle, D.J.; Kerr, J.B.; McElroy, C.T.; Francis, D.R 1997. Ozone science: A Canadian perspective on the changing ozone layer. Environment Canada, Downsview, Ontario, Canada 119 p. USDA Forest Service Proceedings RMRS-P-12. 1999