Economy Overview
Kern County
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set
Taft College
29 Emmons Park Drive
Taft, California 93268
661.763.7700
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
1
Parameters
Regions
68 items selected. See Appendix A for details.
Timeframe
2011 - 2015
Datarun
2015.2 – QCEW Employees, Non-QCEW Employees, Self-Employed, and Extended Proprietors
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
2
Economy Overview
* Highlighted areas show counties that contain the selected zip codes
Population (2015)
889,237
Jobs (2015)
417,005
Average Earnings (2015)
$47,886
Unemployed (4/2015)
N/A for ZIP Code Regions
Completions (2014)
5,439
GRP (2013)
$35,812,685,776
Exports (2013)
$63,447,395,103
Imports (2013)
$51,266,862,786
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
3
Population
889,237
5.7%
2015 Population
Population Growth for the Last 5 Years
2.3% of State
State Growth 4.7%
2015
Population
% of
Population
Under 5 years
76,993
8.7%
5 to 9 years
73,511
8.3%
10 to 14 years
71,850
8.1%
15 to 19 years
64,328
7.2%
20 to 24 years
75,196
8.5%
25 to 29 years
70,413
7.9%
30 to 34 years
63,809
7.2%
35 to 39 years
57,213
6.4%
40 to 44 years
52,839
5.9%
45 to 49 years
52,314
5.9%
50 to 54 years
52,520
5.9%
55 to 59 years
50,117
5.6%
60 to 64 years
41,056
4.6%
65 to 69 years
31,009
3.5%
70 to 74 years
22,223
2.5%
75 to 79 years
14,763
1.7%
80 to 84 years
10,089
1.1%
8,993
1.0%
Age Group
85 years and over
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
4
Jobs by Industry
417,005
Total Jobs (2015)
NAICS
Industry
2015 Jobs
11
Crop and Animal Production
66,192
21
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas
Extraction
14,318
22
Utilities
23
Construction
24,406
31
Manufacturing
16,642
42
Wholesale Trade
10,464
44
Retail Trade
39,737
48
Transportation and Warehousing
14,504
51
Information
52
Finance and Insurance
11,912
53
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
16,968
54
Professional, Scientific, and
Technical Services
17,147
55
Management of Companies and
Enterprises
3,840
56
Administrative and Support and
Waste Management and
Remediation Services
19,356
61
Educational Services
62
Health Care and Social Assistance
39,826
71
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
4,905
72
Accommodation and Food Services
24,780
81
Other Services (except Public
Administration)
20,360
90
Government
63,599
99
Unclassified Industry
1,411
2,776
3,267
595
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
5
Average Earnings by Industry
$47,886
Avg. Earnings (2015)
89% of Nation Avg.
Avg.
Earnings
(2015)
NAICS
Industry
11
Crop and Animal Production
$30,529
21
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction
$87,752
22
Utilities
23
Construction
$55,606
31
Manufacturing
$64,585
42
Wholesale Trade
$69,906
44
Retail Trade
$30,268
48
Transportation and Warehousing
$54,098
51
Information
$55,045
52
Finance and Insurance
$53,663
53
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
$30,337
54
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
$59,127
55
Management of Companies and Enterprises
$84,485
56
Administrative and Support and Waste
Management and Remediation Services
$31,151
61
Educational Services
$25,549
62
Health Care and Social Assistance
$46,423
71
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
$17,175
72
Accommodation and Food Services
$18,330
81
Other Services (except Public Administration)
$24,737
90
Government
$80,126
99
Unclassified Industry
$44,992
$138,501
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
6
Top Program Completions
CIP
Program
Completions (2014)
51
Health professions and related
programs
1,112
52
Business, management,
marketing, and related support
services
668
24
Liberal arts and sciences, general
studies and humanities
600
19
Family and consumer
sciences/human sciences
388
43
Homeland security, law
enforcement, firefighting and
related protective services
321
12
Personal and culinary services
271
42
Psychology
225
45
Social sciences
210
09
Communication, journalism, and
related programs
194
13
Education
178
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
7
Gross Regional Product (GRP)
$19,904,157,27 $13,671,520,87
$35,812,685,77
$2,237,007,630
3
3
6
Earnings (2013)
NAICS
Industry
11
Property Income (2013)
Taxes on Production
(2013)
GRP (2013)
% of Total
Crop and Animal
Production
$2,175,863,20
3.25
6%
21
Mining, Quarrying,
and Oil and Gas
Extraction
$4,991,975,49
9.58
14%
22
Utilities
$746,603,378.
37
2%
23
Construction
$1,843,132,98
4.79
5%
31
Manufacturing
$4,363,131,04
8.47
12%
42
Wholesale Trade
$1,568,039,10
6.97
4%
44
Retail Trade
$1,627,918,45
6.01
5%
48
Transportation and
Warehousing
$959,857,518.
86
3%
51
Information
$440,940,744.
34
1%
52
Finance and
Insurance
$1,115,284,46
9.74
3%
53
Real Estate and
Rental and Leasing
$1,872,758,27
9.31
5%
54
Professional,
Scientific, and
Technical Services
$1,210,000,06
7.65
3%
55
Management of
Companies and
Enterprises
$372,595,312.
72
1%
56
Administrative and
Support and Waste
Management and
Remediation
$913,973,432.
34
3%
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
Total GRP (2013)
8
NAICS
Industry
GRP (2013)
% of Total
Services
61
Educational Services
$94,305,061.2
0
0%
62
Health Care and
Social Assistance
$1,908,167,43
2.12
5%
71
Arts, Entertainment,
and Recreation
$125,612,079.
74
0%
72
Accommodation and
Food Services
$617,833,749.
11
2%
81
Other Services
(except Public
Administration)
$542,939,096.
85
2%
90
Government
$6,085,744,82
3.26
17%
Other Non-Industries
$2,236,010,03
1.66
6%
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
9
Region Exports
$63,447,395,103.54
Exports (2013)
78% of Supply
Exports
(2013)
NAICS
Industry
11
Crop and Animal Production
$4,382,230,23
6.39
21
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas
Extraction
$4,920,048,72
8.98
22
Utilities
$902,166,000.
56
23
Construction
$2,214,496,76
0.12
31
Manufacturing
$13,983,120,4
30.58
42
Wholesale Trade
$1,673,108,10
4.67
44
Retail Trade
$1,600,746,74
5.47
48
Transportation and Warehousing
$1,620,359,15
0.46
51
Information
$537,825,693.
09
52
Finance and Insurance
$1,448,917,08
8.98
53
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
$1,783,012,08
3.74
54
Professional, Scientific, and
Technical Services
$1,380,086,16
7.15
55
Management of Companies and
Enterprises
$532,187,483.
27
56
Administrative and Support and
Waste Management and
Remediation Services
$979,367,103.
02
61
Educational Services
$86,521,762.5
1
62
Health Care and Social Assistance
$1,787,967,54
6.87
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
10
Exports
(2013)
NAICS
Industry
71
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
$139,990,327.
87
72
Accommodation and Food Services
$724,401,416.
18
81
Other Services (except Public
Administration)
$620,033,366.
94
90
Government
$22,130,808,9
06.68
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
11
Region Imports
$51,266,862,785.8
$18,439,862,627.1
Imports (2013)
Locally Produced & Consumed (2013)
74% of Demand
26% of Demand
Imports
(2013)
NAICS
Industry
11
Crop and Animal Production
$581,449,360.
73
21
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas
Extraction
$2,636,349,25
6.10
22
Utilities
$638,955,084.
92
23
Construction
$1,798,255,78
9.53
31
Manufacturing
$7,952,215,63
1.08
42
Wholesale Trade
$2,224,115,30
6.91
44
Retail Trade
$1,838,904,94
4.69
48
Transportation and Warehousing
$1,417,745,70
2.34
51
Information
$2,130,706,20
1.27
52
Finance and Insurance
$3,185,381,23
0.51
53
Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
$2,634,173,23
2.81
54
Professional, Scientific, and
Technical Services
$2,758,069,27
6.77
55
Management of Companies and
Enterprises
$864,450,802.
58
56
Administrative and Support and
Waste Management and
Remediation Services
$862,475,174.
84
61
Educational Services
$606,767,294.
19
62
Health Care and Social Assistance
$2,542,877,06
8.23
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
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Imports
(2013)
NAICS
Industry
71
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
$424,755,399.
93
72
Accommodation and Food Services
$1,056,860,09
6.00
81
Other Services (except Public
Administration)
$727,401,298.
50
90
Government
$14,384,954,6
33.85
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
13
Regional Trends
Region
2011 Jobs
2015 Jobs
Change
% Change
●
Region
369,115
417,005
47,890
13.0%
●
Kern County, CA
369,115
417,005
47,890
13.0%
●
Tulare County, CA
186,879
196,330
9,451
5.1%
●
California
20,420,036
22,565,704
2,145,668
10.5%
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
14
Growing & Declining Occupations
Change in Jobs
(2011-2015)
Occupation
Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse
13,754
Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast
Food
1,533
Cashiers
1,331
Door-to-Door Sales Workers, News and Street Vendors, and
Related Workers
-89
Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners
-440
Childcare Workers
-934
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
15
Growing & Declining Industries
Change in Jobs
(2011-2015)
Industry
Farm Labor Contractors and Crew Leaders
14,363
Services for the Elderly and Persons with Disabilities
3,299
Limited-Service Restaurants
2,263
Specialty (except Psychiatric and Substance Abuse) Hospitals
-1,272
Discount Department Stores
-1,324
Private Households
-2,587
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
16
2015 Age Cohort Demographics
2015
2015 Percent
Population
Age Cohort
●
Under 20 years
286,682
32.2%
●
20 to 39 years
266,631
30.0%
●
40 to 59 years
207,790
23.4%
●
60 to 79 years
109,051
12.3%
●
80 years and over
19,082
2.1%
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
17
2015 Race/Ethnicity Demographics
Race/Ethnicity
2015
2015 Percent
Population
●
All Other Race/Ethnicities
72,519
8.2%
●
Asian, Non-Hispanic
38,256
4.3%
●
Black, Non-Hispanic
46,198
5.2%
●
White, Non-Hispanic
316,555
35.6%
●
White, Hispanic
415,709
46.7%
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
18
Top Regional Businesses
Business Name
Employees
Edwards Afb
15,978
Chevron Corp
10,976
Esparza Enterprises Inc
10,000
Naval Air Warfare Ctr
5,000
Grimmway Farms
5,000
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
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Appendix A - Regions
Code
Description
93203
Arvin, CA (in Kern county)
93205
Bodfish, CA (in Kern county)
93206
Buttonwillow, CA (in Kern county)
93215
Delano, CA (in Kern county)
93216
Delano, CA (in Kern county)
93220
Edison, CA (in Kern county)
93222
Pine Mountain Club, CA (in Kern county)
93224
Fellows, CA (in Kern county)
93225
Frazier Park, CA (in Kern county)
93226
Glennville, CA (in Kern county)
93238
Kernville, CA (in Kern county)
93240
Lake Isabella, CA (in Kern county)
93241
Lamont, CA (in Kern county)
93243
Lebec, CA (in Kern county)
93249
Lost Hills, CA (in Kern county)
93250
Mc Farland, CA (in Kern county)
93251
Mc Kittrick, CA (in Kern county)
93252
Maricopa, CA (in Kern county)
93255
Onyx, CA (in Kern county)
93263
Shafter, CA (in Kern county)
93268
Taft, CA (in Kern county)
93276
Tupman, CA (in Kern county)
93280
Wasco, CA (in Kern county)
93283
Weldon, CA (in Kern county)
93285
Wofford Heights, CA (in Kern county)
93287
Woody, CA (in Kern county)
93301
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
93302
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
93303
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
93304
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
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Code
Description
93305
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
93306
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
93307
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
93308
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
93309
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
93311
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
93312
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
93313
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
93314
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
93380
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
93383
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
93384
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
93385
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
93386
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
93387
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
93388
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
93389
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
93390
Bakersfield, CA (in Kern county)
93501
Mojave, CA (in Kern county)
93502
Mojave, CA (in Kern county)
93504
California City, CA (in Kern county)
93505
California City, CA (in Kern county)
93516
Boron, CA (in Kern county)
93518
Caliente, CA (in Kern county)
93519
Cantil, CA (in Kern county)
93523
Edwards, CA (in Kern county)
93524
Edwards, CA (in Kern county)
93527
Inyokern, CA (in Kern county)
93528
Johannesburg, CA (in Kern county)
93531
Keene, CA (in Kern county)
93554
Randsburg, CA (in Kern county)
93555
Ridgecrest, CA (in Kern county)
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
21
Code
Description
93556
Ridgecrest, CA (in Kern county)
93558
Red Mountain, CA (in Kern county)
93560
Rosamond, CA (in Kern county)
93561
Tehachapi, CA (in Kern county)
93581
Tehachapi, CA (in Kern county)
93596
Boron, CA (in Kern county)
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
22
Appendix B - Data Sources and
Calculations
Input-Output Data
The input-output model in this report is EMSI's gravitational flows multi-regional social account matrix model
(MR-SAM). It is based on data from the Census Bureau's Current Population Survey and American Community
Survey; as well as the Bureau of Economic Analysis' National Income and Product Accounts, Input-Output Make
and Use Tables, and Gross State Product data. In addition, several EMSI in-house data sets are used, as well
as data from Oak Ridge National Labs on the cost of transportation between counties.
Institution Data
The institution data in this report is taken directly from the national IPEDS database published by the U.S.
Department of Education's National Center for Education Statistics.
Completers Data
The completers data in this report is taken directly from the national IPEDS database published by the U.S.
Department of Education's National Center for Education Statistics.
Demographic Data
The demographic data in this report is compiled from several sources using a specialized process. Sources
include annual population estimates and population projections from the US Census Bureau, birth and mortality
rates from the US Health Department, and projected regional job growth.
Industry Data
EMSI industry data have various sources depending on the class of worker. (1) For QCEW Employees, EMSI
primarily uses the QCEW (Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages), with supplemental estimates from
County Business Patterns and Current Employment Statistics. (2) Non-QCEW employees data are based on a
number of sources including QCEW, Current Employment Statistics, County Business Patterns, BEA State and
Local Personal Income reports, the National Industry-Occupation Employment Matrix (NIOEM), the American
Community Survey, and Railroad Retirement Board statistics. (3) Self-Employed and Extended Proprietor
classes of worker data are primarily based on the American Community Survey, Nonemployer Statistics, and
BEA State and Local Personal Income Reports. Projections for QCEW and Non-QCEW Employees are informed
by NIOEM and long-term industry projections published by individual states.
Occupation Data
EMSI occupation employment data are based on final EMSI industry data and final EMSI staffing patterns. Wage
estimates are based on Occupational Employment Statistics (QCEW and Non-QCEW Employees classes of
worker) and the American Community Survey (Self-Employed and Extended Proprietors). Occupational wage
estimates also affected by county-level EMSI earnings by industry.
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
23
Infogroup Business-Level Data
Data for individual businesses is provided by Infogroup, which maintains a database of more than 16 million U.S.
business entities. Note that in aggregate it will not be consistent with EMSI labor market data due to differences
in definitions, methodology, coverage, and industry/geographic classification.
State Data Sources
This report uses state data from the following agencies: California Labor Market Information Department
EMSI Q2 2015 Data Set | www.economicmodeling.com
24