This file was created by scanning the printed publication. Errors identified by the software have been corrected; however, some errors may remain. Contents Page Introduction and Overview ...................................................................................................................... 1 E. Durant McArthur Introduction: shrubland ecosystem dynamics in a changing environment ........................... 3 Julio L. Betancourt Long- and short-term climate influences on southwestern shrublands ................................ 5 Kris Havstad William Schlesinger Reflections on a century of rangeland research in the Jornada Basin of New Mexico .......................................................................................................... 10 E. Durant McArthur Jeff E. Ott Potential natural vegetation in the 17 conterminous western United States ...................................................................................................................... 16 Vegetation Dynamics ............................................................................................................................. 29 John A. Ludwig Stephen G. Marsden Predicting shifts in Australian shrublands with changing climates and land uses ..................................................................................................................... 31 Jack D. Brotherson Elevational relationships of introduced woody species on the islands of Lanai and Hawaii ............................................................................................................ 36 M. H. Nichols L. J. Lane R. Gibbons Time series analysis of data for raingauge networks in the Southwest ........................................................................................................................... 43 Laura Foster Huenneke Shrublands and grasslands of the Jornada Long-Term Ecological Research Site: desertification and plant community structure in the northern Chihuahuan Desert ........................................................................................ 48 A. L. Hild Winterfat shrubland boundary dynamics under different grazing histories ................................................................................................................. 51 D. B. Wester Kimball T. Harper Renee Van Buren Stanley G. Kitchen Invasion of alien annuals and ecological consequences in salt desert shrublands of western Utah .......................................................................... 58 Scott C. Walker David K. Mann E. Durant McArthur Plant community changes over 54 years within the Great Basin Experimental Range, Manti-La Sal National Forest ........................................................... 66 Lakhdar Benkobi Daniel W. Uresk Seral stage classification and monitoring model for big sagebrush/ western wheatgrass/blue grama habitat ............................................................................. 69 Steven O. Link Gregg M. Petrie Lee E. Rogers Estimating latent heat flux in the shrub-steppe using Iysimeter and satellite data ................................................................................................................ 74 Donald G. Vickrey Albert J. Peters Mapping plains-mesa grasslands of New Mexico using high temporal resolution satellite data ....................................................................................................... 81 Marlen D. Eve Albert J. Peters Using high temporal resolution satellite data to assess shrub control effectiveness ........................................................................................................... 88 Management and Restoration Options ................................................................................................ 95 Robin J. Tausch Past changes, present and future impacts, and the assessment of community or ecosystem condition .................................................................................... 97 Page Stanley G. Kitchen Derek B. Hall Community stability in a salt-desert shrubland grazed by sheep: the Desert Experimental Range story .................................................................................... 102 T. L. A. Ruha J. D. Landsberg R. E. Martin Influence of fire on understory shrub vegetation in ponderosa pine stands .......... '" .......................................................................................................... 108 M.lshaque R. F. Beck R. L. Steiner Ecology of two Acacia species in Chihuahuan Desert rangeland .................................... 114 Gary L. McBryde C. Wayne Hanselka Modeling mixed brush rangeland to determine economic characteristics of managing a Mexico-U.S. watershed ............................................................................ 119 Richard Stevens Scott C. Walker Juniper-pinyon population dynamics over 30 years following anchor chaining ................................................................................................................ 125 Hossein Heydari Bruce A. Roundy Carolyn Watson Steven E. Smith Bruce Munda Mark Pater Summer establishment of four Sonoran Desert shrubs using line source sprinkler irrigation '" .............................................................................................. 129 Thorsten Wiegand Suzanne J. Milton A simulation model for shrubland ecosystem dynamics in arid Karoo, South Africa .......................................................................................................... 135 L. L. Cadwell J. L. Downs C. M. Phelps J. J. Nugent L. Marsh L. Fitzner Sagebrush restoration in the shrub-steppe of south-central Washington ........................ 143 Thomas A. Eddy Ecotonal dynamics of high-bush blackberry in eastern Kansas ....................................... 146 Carl L. Wambolt Myles J. Watts High stocking rate potential for controlling Wyoming big sagebrush ................................ 148 Stephan A. Nelle Management and use of browse in the Edwards Plateau of Texas ................................. 151 Dana L. Quinney Marj McHenry Jay Weaver Restoration of native shrubland in a military training area using hand-broadcasting of seed ............................................................................................... 156 Jamey Thompson Laura F. Huenneke" Nurse plant associations in the Chihuahuan Desert shrublands ...................................... 158 Susan C. Garvin Susan E. Meyer Stephanie L. Carlson Seed germination studies in Atrip/ex confertifolia (Torr. & Frem.) Wats ........................... 165 D. Carl Freeman John M. Emlen John H. Graham Robert L. Mara Mary Tracy C. L. Alados Developmental instability as a bioindicator of ecosystem health ..................................... 170 Page John M. Emlen D. Carl Freeman J. M. Escos C. l. Alados Interaction assessment: predicting the impact of alternate range management actions ........................................................................................................ 178 Matthew Fidelibus Raymond Franson David Bainbridge Spacing patterns in Mojave Desert trees and shrubs ....................................................... 182 Ecophysiology ...................................................................................................................................... 187 H. Wayne Polley Hyrum B. Johnson Herman S. Mayeux Charles R. Tischler Impacts of rising CO2 concentration on water use efficiency of woody grassland invaders ................................................................................................ 189 Walter G. Whitford Ernesto Martinez-Meza Amrita de Soyza Morphological variation in creosotebush, Larrea tridentata: effects on ecosystem properties ....................................................................................... 195 Stanley D. Smith Anna Sal a Dale A. Devitt James R. Cleverly Evapotranspiration from a saltcedar-dominated desert floodplain: a scaling approach ........................................................................................................... 199 R. l. Pendleton S. D. Nelson R. l. Rodriguez Do soil factors determine the distribution of spineless hopsage (Grayia brandege/)? ......................................................................................................... 205 Tom Monaco Bruce N. Smith Dan Hemming Lee D. Hansen Stephen B. Monsen Stephanie l. Carlson Dark respiration comparisons of forbs and grasses from common gardens .............................................................................................................. 210 Vincent P. Gutschick Physiological control of evapotranspiration by shrubs: scaling measurements from leaf to stand with the aid of comprehensive models ................................................ 214 Amrita G. de Soyza Walter G. Whitford Ross A. Virginia James F. Reynolds Effects of summer drought on the water relations, physiology, and growth of large and small plants of Prosopis gJanduJosa and Larrea tridentata ........................... 220 Keith T. Killingbeck Tracking environmental change with the desert shrub ocotillo (Fouquieria spJendens): prospects and pitfalls ................................................................. 224 Joneen S. Cockman Rex Pieper Dennis Clason Arroyo-riparian shrub diversity along a transition zone between the Sacramento Mountains and Tularosa Basin, New Mexico ............................................... 230 R. E. Estell E. l. Fredrickson D. M. Anderson K. M. Havstad M. D. Remmenga Tarbush leaf surface terpene profile in relation to mammalian herbivory ........................................................................................................................... 237 Page Trista L. Hoffman Carl L. Wambolt Growth response of Wyoming big sagebrush to heavy browsing by wild ungulates .............................................................................................................. 242 Charles R. Tischler H. Wayne Polley Hyrum B. Johnson Herman S. Mayeux Effects of elevated concentrations of carbon dioxide on seedling growth of mesquite and huisache ..................................................................................... 246 J. Ross Wight Clayton L. Hanson Gerald N. Flerchinger Energy balance dynamics within a shrub-dominated watershed ..................................... 249 Jerry R. Barrow Bobby D. McCaslin Role of microbes in resource management in arid ecosystems ....................................... 253 Judith Lancaster David Mouat Robert Kuehl Walter Whitford David Rapport Time series satellite data to identify vegetation response to stress as an indicator of ecosystem health ...................................................................................... 255 Mohamed Jabbes Douglas Johnson Paul Doescher Evaluation of root growth of selected Medicago and Hedysarum species .......................................................................................................... 262 Field Trip ............................................................................................................................................... 267 Kris Havstad Reldon Beck Research in the Jornada Basin of southern New Mexico: a field tour .............................. 269