Climate variability over California reflected in changes in sediment fluxes to tidal marshes in the San Francisco Bay over the past 3 millennia …or… Frances Malamud-Roam, Dept of Geography, UC Berkeley Lynn Ingram, Depts. of Geography and Earth & Planetary Sciences, UC Berkeley Karl Malamud-Roam, Contra Costa Mosquito and Vector Control District, Concord, CA Mud talks Watershed region of the San Francisco Estuary Mineral (detrital) sediments are collected from the catchment areas and transported by the two major river systems Sacramento River Drainage San Joaquin River Drainage Watershed region of the San Francisco Estuary … and deposited on the Estuary marsh surfaces Precipitation patterns over the Watershed North to South differences: timing is the same, but amount of precipitation and type differ. Timing of river flows also differs Proportion of Sacramento flows relative to San Joaquin flows: Fs/Fsj 1965–1977: 2.1 1977–1987: 1.7 Knowles, 2002 Runoff patterns over the Watershed North to South differences: amount and timing differ Oltmann, 1996 Questions 1. CALFED: For tidal marsh restoration and future maintenance, can we discern the relative percentage of the sediments feeding tidal marshes derived from the larger watershed vs. from local? 2. Climate: can we detect changes in North to South patterns reflected in the sediments delivered by these two major river systems? California Geology River basins drain different lithologies California Geology Bay Area: Franciscan River basins drain different lithologies Northern range: volcanic Southern range: granitic Simple mixing model for sediment sources Using elemental concentrations as geochemical fingerprints Inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ICPMS) & optical emissions spectrometry (ICP-OES) U.C. Davis ICP-MS Mn Ni Cu Zn Rb Sr Nb Mo Ba La Nd Sm Dy Yb Pb U Suspended sediment sample collection Results Suspended loads Elemental compositions of river sediments Results Suspended loads Elemental compositions of river sediments Discriminant Analysis 4 3 Local Watershed 2 San Joaquin Watershed 1 0 -1 Sacramento Sacramento Watershed Watershed -2 -3 -4 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Canonical1 Discriminant analysis 7 8 9 10 4 3 Local Watershed 2 San Joaquin Watershed 1 Bay Samples 0 -1 Sacramento Sacramento Watershed Watershed -2 Total n: 54 Misclassified: 3 % Misclassified: 5.66 -3 -4 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Canonical1 Discriminant analysis - Bay samples included 10 Marsh core sites Petaluma Marsh China Camp Marsh Results China Camp marsh core Stratigraphy Core stratigraphy Core stratigraphy Sum measured elements Core stratigraphy Sum measured elements Low Organics – high mineral content Results China Camp marsh core Stratigraphy End-member source contributions Results from core analyses: China Camp Down-core results showing the fraction of detrital sediments from each source to the marsh surface Results from core analyses: China Camp Expressed as deviations from mean/std deviation Results from core analyses: China Camp Comparing changes in source contributions from Sacramento valley and San Joaquin valley Vegetation history from China Camp core Marsh plant types C3 vs C4 plants Results from core analyses: China Camp At times in the past the two systems shift in the similar direction, and other times dissimilar Results from core analyses: China Camp Relatively fresh on the marsh and on other sites in the Bay (e.g., Goman and Wells, 2000) Elsewhere in California: Mono lake high stand (Stine, 1990) Pyramid lake and Owens lakes show evidence of cool, wet (Benson et al. 2002) Results from core analyses: China Camp Period of degraded marsh Other sites in Estuary show shift to more saline conditions (e.g., Byrne et al. 2001; Goman and Wells 2000). Mono lake low stand, later the first MCA drought (Stine, 1990, 1994), Results from core analyses: China Camp After ca 750 cal yr B.P. conditions freshen (Byrne et al 2001; Starratt 2004) Evidence of 2 floods between 850 - 450 cal yr B.P. Flood evidence elsewhere (Goman and Wells 2000, Ingram et al. 1996). Flood also in Sacramento Oxbow lake (Sullivan, 1982); Santa Barbara Basin (Schimmelmann 1998, 2003) River Reconstructions from tree rings Yrs A.D. Red line is San Joaquin Green line is Sacramento Earlier drought: good agreement with Meko reconstruction Later drought: not seen in marsh records. Results Petaluma marsh core End-member source contributions Petaluma core Moist period corresponding with Little Ice Age seen in other records Floods not as pronounced as China Camp record. Comparing records from the two marshes Local creeks show best agreement Local creeks CC (solid line) Petaluma (dashed) General agreement for Sacramento input San Joaquin has some inconsistency at ca 500-400 yr BP, and at ca 250 BP Sediment circulation in Bay NASA, RST, 2001 Differences between sites could be due to complex circulation patterns under different flow regimes Summary • Geochemical fingerprinting provides a method for distinguishing between the contributions of three potential end-member sources providing sediments to the San Francisco Bay tidal marshes • Using sediment fluxes to the Bay tidal marshes can be an important way to detect changes in the sediment loads and flows between the two major catchments of the San Francisco Bay estuary • China Camp marsh shows good agreement with other S.F. Bay and California records particularly for ca. 3,000 - 3,800 cal BP cool wet and early Medieval drought • Circulation patterns in the estuary will have an impact on the strength of the sediment flux signal at different marsh locations Acknowledgements Research Mentors: J. Collins, San Francisco Estuary Institute David Schoellhamer, U.S.G.S. Many thanks to: D.R. Powell, R. Byrne, B. Watson, G. Fitzsimmons, E. Prado, M. Goman, W. Yang, L. Reidy, M. Malamud, Interdisciplinary Center for Plasma Mass Spectrometry, UCD, and members of the B.A.S.K. (Bay Area Sea Kayakers) Funding support: CALFED Science/CA Sea Grant