Whitebark Pine Field Chronicles Through the Years Connie Millar USDA Forest Service Pacific Southwest Research Station Albany and Lee Vining, California Collaborators: Bob Westfall, Matt Bokach, Lori & Alan Flint, Deb Rogers Whitebark Pine, Pinus albicaulis, in California Distribution: Klamath Mtns, S Cascades, Sierra Nevada, Great Basin Mtns 2000 m – 3700 m; Alpine & subalpine Griffin & Critchfield, 1976 Jepson eFlora Genetic Insights – Remember Allozymes? PiAl in 3 watersheds of the E Sierra; Upright trees vs. krummholz zones Genetic differentiation Among watersheds Between upright & krumm zones Among clumps within zones & sites Fst 0.004 0.051 0.334 Rogers, Millar, Westfall 1999 Krummholz: # Genotypes/Matt: 100% > 1, range 2-14, increasing w/ size; Relatedness among ramets: r = 0.32 Krummholz matts not clonal Krummholz: Genetic variation and # of individuals increased downwind within matts Cross-watershed homogenization Wind-pollinated, Bird or gravity planted Contours of genetic relationship within matt Tree Clusters: 72% had >1 genotype/cluster; range 1-6 28% were multi-branched trees (= single genotype, up to 15 stems) Diversity patterns among clumps similar to krumm, but relatedness higher; r = 0.6 (= twice krumm value) From tree-ring counts, most clumps contained multiple age classes e.g., among 7 stems, 3 distinct ages Not all stems in a cluster derived from multiple-seed cache Subsequent genetic study (unpub) of seedling to 1.5 m tall clusters showed pattern in # of genotypes: Seedling clusters: 3-6 Mid-sizes: 1-3 Large-sizes: 1-12 Initial cache less impt than subsequent planting? Iterative planting by birds? Black bears, by the way, do not depend on whitebark pine in CA – David Graber Pinyon nuts provide, tho! PiAl Responses to Climate Variability and Warming 1. No obvious attempts to recruit above treeline. Rather, adaptive changes in crown form (flagging followed krummholz PDO) flags & skirts upright trees Whitebark pine, a sublimely plastic subalpine species Millar, Westfall, et al. 2004 2. Krummholz growth rate doubled over 20th C, following temperature trend PiAl Responses to Climate Variability and Warming 3. Forest densification (Dolanc, Thorne, Safford 2012) 4. Infilling of formerly persistent snowfields (Millar, Westfall, et al. 2004) PiAl Responses to Climate Variability and Warming 5. Crown dieback and mortality due to lack of snow and cold exposure. Winter 2011-2012: many evergreen shrubs and PiAl Widespread in Sierra Nevada and Great Basin Ranges Also affected: Phyllodoce, Cassiope, Arctostaphylos, Chrysolepis affected PiAl Responses to Climate Variability and Warming 6. Bark beetle-related mortality events Whitebark pine (2007-2013) and Limber Pine (1988-1994) Events Drought Elevated Temperatures Mountain Pine Beetle Mistletoe Infection Blue-Stain Fungus + + + + = “Global-WarmingStyle Mortality” Event” Millar et al. 2007; 2012 Mortality in Both Whitebark and Limber Pine Glass Cr/Whitewing Mtn -N/NE slopes -Eastward on escarpment -Low elevation (2850-3000 m) -Little drainage from above -No white pine blister rust Hilton Cr Cyn June Mtn PiAl Mortality Stands had High Climatic Water Deficits; Mean for SN plots = 165; For all PiAl Mort Sites = 347 Stephenson 1990, 1998 Highest correlations of whitebark pine growth for trees that survived and those that died was to CWD (vs temp, ppt, PDSI): r = -0.46 Mortality acted as silvical agent, Limber pine mortality improving forest resilience event, Sierra Nevada Live trees remained 1988-1994 Stand mortality ~70% Stands thinned (co-dominants survived), less vulnerable to beetle outbreak Typical sparse old-growth stand Limber pine stands remained healthy during the 2007-2013 whitebark event in the same region Mortality acted as a geneticselection agent, improving adaptive fitness for warming 21st C climates Limber pine growth Live trees remain Millar, Westfall, et al. 2007, 2012 When variation exists for genes that affect climate fitness, including susceptibility to bark beetles via drought vulnerability, mortality moves the population toward genetic adaptation much more rapidly than without mortality directional selection for warmer climate S = .9 S = .1 # of gens from p0 = .01 to pt = .99 For s = .9 (mortality event), 4 gens For s = .1 (no mort), 175 gens Other PiAl mortality conditions for populations of whitebark pine around eastern CA: Similar environmental contexts but increasing extent of mortality northward: S Cascades and Warner Mtns Sierra Nevada, Burt Cyn, W Walker Sweetwater Mtns By 2013 Mortality Event Had Ended Around the Great Basin Despite Continuing Drought Whitebark pine, Sierra Nevada, E Fk Rock Cr Whitebark pine, Pine Forest Range, NV Whitebark pine, Drakes Pk, N Warner Mtns Whitebark pine, E Humboldt & Ruby Ranges, NV Possible Futures for Whitebark Pine in California #1 Recent mortality events portend increasing bark-beetle outbreaks at landscape scale Catastrophic Outcome? Why are north aspects, young, dense stands, at lower elevations vulnerable? Why is WPBR limited? #2: Recent mortality event is not the beginning of landscape-scale outbreaks, but example of future events Normative Disturbance? Whitebark pine stands increase in adaptedness to warm climates and bark beetles?