U53A-0702 Climate Mapping Challenges in Mountainous Regions Christopher Daly , Wayne Gibson, George Taylor, and Matt Doggett Spatial Climate Analysis Service Oregon State University Corvallis, Oregon daly@coas.oregonstate.edu Abstract Rain Shadows Cold Air Drainage and Inversions Mountainous regions encompass some of the most complex climates in the world. The presence of major topographic features, sometimes interacting with coastal effects, creates a myriad of spatially complex precipitation and temperature regimes. Typically, only a small number of these regimes are well-represented by surface observations. Therefore, producing accurate climate maps for these regions can be quite challenging. PRISM, a knowledgebased climate mapping system, was originally developed in 1991 to map precipitation in the mountainous western United States. Since then, it has been expanded and refined over time to model more climate variables and address more climatological processes, and its use has expanded worldwide. Model improvements have come primarily as a result of lessons learned through repeated applications of the model and peer-review of the results. This poster surveys some of the major climatological processes driving temperature and precipitation patterns in mountainous regions, and how PRISM accommodates these processes. These include elevational gradients, rain shadows, coastal influences, temperature inversions, and cold air drainage. PRISM Basics PRISM (Parameter-elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model) generates gridded estimates of climate parameters such as temperature and precipitation. The model is a moving-window regression of climate vs. elevation that is calculated for each grid cell in a digital elevation grid. Stations surrounding the grid cell provide data points for the regression. What makes PRISM unique is the extensive spatial climate knowledge base that calculates station weights upon entering the regression function. These weights are based on each station’s climatological similarity to the grid cell being estimated. Physiographic information such as coastal proximity and terrain orientation are provided to these weighting functions via additional gridded data. PRISM weighting functions currently account for spatial variations in climate due to: Mountains profoundly affect precipitation patterns in two ways: they amplify precipitation on their windward slopes by forcing moisture-laden air to rise; and limit precipitation on their leeward slopes by blocking low-level moisture and forcing air to descend. Mountains that present a steep and bulky profile to the prevailing air flow tend to have the greatest effect on precipitation patterns, while rolling hills that deviate little from the large-scale terrain pattern have the least. The Oregon Cascades are a good example of a significant rain shadow; mean annual precipitation drops from 2200 mm/yr at the crest of the Cascades, to only 350 mm/yr just down the hill to the east. The components of the PRISM knowledge base that play the greatest role in station weighting are elevation, terrain orientation, terrain profile, and moisture regime. Cold air drainage can occur throughout mountainous regions in all seasons, creating highly complex spatial patterns of temperature. In summer, minimum temperatures in sheltered valleys may be several degrees cooler than adjacent ridgetop locations, especially during clear, calm conditions. In winter, weak solar heating allows cold air drainage to dominate many areas of the western US, especially the interior, affecting both minimum and maximum temperatures. The components of the PRISM knowledge base that play the greatest role in station weighting are elevation, inversion layer, and topographic position. Coastal Terrain Effects • Elevation - digital elevation grid (DEM) • Terrain orientation - topographic facet (orientation) grids a six different scales • Terrain profile – effective terrain height grid • Moisture regime - PRISM straight-line storm trajectory model • Coastal proximity - PRISM coastal trajectory model • Inversion layers – potential inversion height grid • Cold air pooling – topographic index grid (e.g., valley, slope, ridgetop) Final Thoughts Example of a PRISM weighted regression function of mean April precipitation vs. Elevation for a DEM pixel in the Qing Ling Mountains, China. Mountains play a major role in the distribution of temperature in coastal regions. The central California coast is well-known for its extreme gradients in maximum temperature in summer, caused by the interaction of the warm land mass, complex terrain, and the adjacent cool Pacific Ocean. Terrain presents a significant obstacle to inland penetration of cool marine air, channeling it through valleys and passes, and sheltering other areas from its effects. The components of the PRISM knowledge base that play the greatest role in station weighting here are elevation, coastal proximity, and inversion layer. Coastal proximity is estimated with the PRISM coastal influence trajectory model. Accurate mapping of climate in mountainous regions is a complex process, requiring a large amount of information that defines the physiographic characteristics and similarities of various locations. Factors that must be accounted for include elevation, terrain orientation and profile to oncoming winds, topographic position (valley, slope or ridgetop), moisture regime, coastal proximity, and inversion height.. A new project to map 1971-2000 mean monthly temperature and precipitation at 800-m resolution over the US is now underway, funded by USDA-NRCS. The goal is for these maps to represent the current state of knowledge regarding the spatial patterns and magnitudes of climate in the US. To that end, a review of the draft maps will be performed before the final maps are produced and released in 2005. If you have station data sets to contribute or would like to be involved in the review process, please contact us.