Science and Implementation Forum: Assisted Migration Reforestation in Sierra Nevada Ecosystems April 16, 2015 9:00 am to 12:30 pm Tahoe National Forest Supervisor’s Office 631 Coyote Street Nevada City, California 95959 Remote Participation Available via Adobe Connect and AT&T: https://usfs.adobeconnect.com/tahoe/ 1-888-844-9904 Access code: 6588379 Forum Overview: The Tahoe National Forest, in cooperation with Region 5 Ecosystem Management and Pacific Southwest Research Station staffs (PSW), is pleased to host the first in a series of climate change adaptation forums. Implementation of assisted migration prescriptions for reforestation projects may be one of the most important resource management activities conducted by the Forest Service with the potential to affect adaptation and continued viability of ecosystem resources under changing climate regimes. Currently there is a lack of clear direction and consistency for implementing assisted migration reforestation prescriptions within and among National Forest units in the Sierra Nevada bioregion. The purpose of this forum is to facilitate awareness within the agency on the latest science on assisted migration and to develop a consistent approach to reforestation in the face of current and predicted climate change scenarios in the Sierra Nevada. The forum will include presentations on current science and implementation of assisted migration reforestation projects by District/Forest, Regional and PSW staffs within an interactive Q&A and web accessible format. Based on the discussions prompted by the presentations, questions and answers, a list of action items will be captured to move forward with development of consistent direction for assisted migration reforestation prescriptions and their implementation. Presentation Abstracts and Presenter Biographies: Hugh Safford Presentation Title: Managed Relocation of Species: Noah’s Ark or Pandora’s Box? Abstract: The Managed Relocation Working Group, an independent collection of more than 30 scientists, scholars, and policymakers, met between 2008 and 2012 to discuss in depth the implications and challenges of managed relocation (also known as assisted migration). Our group included ecologists, economists, social scientists, ethicists, legal experts, policy makers and others, from management and regulatory agencies, universities and research institutions, and non-governmental organizations. There is strong societal and scientific disagreement about the wisdom of engaging in managed relocation (MR) as an adaptation strategy, and our working group sought to identify and treat a series of fundamental questions related to its potential use. Our group included people initially strongly supportive of managed relocation, and others who were strongly opposed. Themes treated by the working group included (1) basic goals of MR; (2) identification of trigger conditions for the implementation of MR; (3) genetic considerations; (4) legal, policy, and ethical questions; (6) reconciling MR with existing conservation strategies; and (7) how to deal with community- and ecosystem- level interactions. One of the key outcomes of the working group’s deliberations was the development of four broad criteria for comparing strategies for conservation of a target species: (1) the risk of negative impact of climate change (or other anthropogenic disturbance) for the species of interest; (2) the risk of collateral effects of the strategy in consideration (e.g., on the recipient ecosystem of the MR action), (3) the feasibility of the strategy in question (“could we do this?”), and (4) the acceptability of the strategy (“should we do this?”). Although we did not agree on everything, our working group came to a consensus that a structured decision making process for managed relocation is necessary, and it should integrate ethical, legal, and scientific considerations in a way that is both deliberative and publicly transparent. There are too many cases of managed relocation/assisted migration gone awry: resource managers need standards, protocols, and guidelines for evaluating whether, when, how, and for whose benefit managed relocation might be implemented. Published Sources: Short summary of first workshop outcomes: Safford, H. D., Hellmann, J. J., McLachlan, J., Sax, D. F., and Schwartz, M. W. 2009. Managed relocation of species: Noah’s ark or Pandora’s box? Eos 90: 15. Summary of heuristic method for evaluating MR/AS tradeoffs: Richardson, D. M., J. J. Hellmann, J. McLachlan, D. F. Sax, M. W. Schwartz, J. Brennan, P. Gonzalez, T. Root, O. Sala, S. H. Schneider, D. Ashe, A. Camacho, J. R. Clark, R. Early, J. Etterson, D. Fielder, J. Gill, B. A. Minteer, S. Polasky, H. Safford, A. Thompson, and M. Vellend. 2009. Multidimensional evaluation of managed relocation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 106: 9721-9724. In-depth consideration of key MR/AS issues: Schwartz, M.W., Hellmann, J.J., McLachlan, J.M. , Sax, D.F., Borevitz, J.O., Brennan, J., Camacho, A.E. , Ceballos, G., Doremus, H., Early, R., Etterson, J.R., Gill, J., Gonzalez, P., Green, N., Hannah, L., Jamieson, D.W. , Javeline. D., Minteer, B.A., Odenbaugh, J., Polasky, S., Richardson, D.M., Root, T.L., Safford, H.D., Sala, O., Schneider, S.H., Thompson, A.R., Williams, J.W., Vellend, M., Vitt, P., and Zellmer, S. 2012. Managed relocation: integrating the scientific, regulatory and ethical challenges. Bioscience 62: 732-743 Biography: Hugh Safford is the Regional Ecologist for the USDA-Forest Service’s Pacific Southwest Region (California, Hawaii, Pacific Islands), and a member of the research faculty at the Department of Environmental Science and Policy, University of California-Davis. Safford’s areas of professional expertise are community and landscape ecology, climate change, disturbance ecology, and restoration ecology. Safford manages a staff of ecologists that provide expertise in vegetation and fire ecology, inventory, monitoring, and general applied science to resource management on the 18 National Forests in California. He is the manager of the Regional Research Natural Area program, the Sierra Nevada region leader for the California Fire Science Consortium, and a member of science advisory boards for a number of environmental collaboratives and NGOs. Safford was a member of the Managed Relocation Working Group between 2008 and 2012. Connie Millar Presentation Title: Overview of Assisted Migration as a Climate Adaptation Tool: Applications to Forestry Abstract: I will give an introduction and background on the concepts and use of assisted migration (AM) as a climate adaptation tool, contrasting applications for species rescue, ecosystem sustainability, and market-based resource management (e.g., timber). I contrast current approaches of AM to past reforestation and conservation practices, discuss benefits and risks of AM, review the 10-step implementation and monitoring process used in Canadian forestry programs, provide specific forestry examples of implementation, and discuss the latest USFS national policy and strategic considerations. I will conclude with comments on the debate and controversy that exists over AM in the conservation and public circles – awareness of which is important for resource managers. Biography: Connie Millar, Senior Scientist, PSW Research Station, Albany and Lee Vining, CA. Research scientist at PSW since 1986; research focuses on mountain ecosystems response to historic and ongoing climate change. Jessica Wright Title: Using provenance test data to inform seed transfer and within species assisted migration in the Tahoe Basin Authors: Jessica Wright, USFS; Aurore Bontemps, UC Davis; Johanna Schmitt, UC Davis. Abstract: The first step in any ecological restoration project involving the planting of trees is to select the source of seeds to be planted. This question has recently become more complex, with climate change- what is the optimal seed to plant, given that the climate is changing? Provenance tests can provide information for land managers on this question. These tests contain a number of tree sources (ie across the species range), planted in a common garden environment- or if multiple gardens are used, environments. Growth and performance can be assessed across years and sites, and compared to the climates of origin of the trees. Here we will present new analyses of provenance test data from a test established in 1984 in the Sierra Nevada at two planting sites, one at 2500 feet elevation, the other at 5000 feet. We will discuss the relationships between climate of origin and performance in the test sites. Biography: JESSICA WILCOX WRIGHT Pacific Southwest Research Station USDA- Forest Service 1731Research Park Drive Davis, CA 95618 jessicawright@fs.fed.us, 530-759-1742 a. Professional Preparation: University of California, Davis Evolution and Ecology Rutgers University Plant Biology Ph.D. Amherst College Biology (Magna cum Laude) B.A. Amherst College Music B.A. Post-doc, 2000-2005 2000 1994 1994 b. Appointments: Research Geneticist, USDA-Forest Service, Pacific Southwest Research Station, 2005- Present Post-doctoral scholar, UC Davis, with Maureen Stanton, 2000-2005. Arnaldo Ferreira Presentation Title: Identification of potential areas for successional shifts in forest composition under climate change. Abstract: Identification of potential areas sensitive to shifts of major forest types under climate change would be critical to restore resilience to our forest ecosystem. GIS-based models for climate change and vegetation distribution can be used to predict areas of potential successional changes in forest composition across the landscape. A better understanding of how climate change could alter the distribution and the composition of forests would impact ecological restoration, as well as resource allocation by the Forest Service. In this presentation we are proposing a strategy to implement assisted migration into our ecological restoration practices, thus building resilience of our forests to the effects of climate change on long-term forest health. Biography: Education Ph.D. in Forestry with emphasis in Genetics and Silviculture M.Sc. in Molecular Genetics B.Sc. in Agricultural Engineering Professional USDA Forest Service - Geneticist for the Pacific Southwest Region. Since 2011 CellFor Inc. - Forest Biotechnology Product Development Manager for South America. 20052011 MeadWestvaco - Forest Genetics and Biotechnology Manager for Rigesa Ltda in South America. 1998-2005 - Biotechnology Senior Research Specialist for Forest Research Laboratories in South Carolina, USA. 1995-1998 Northern Arizona University - Molecular Biology Research Staff. 1992-1995 Tom Blush (Co-Presenting with Arnaldo Ferreira) Biography: Education: M.S. in Wildland Resource Science, University of California B.S. in Forest Resources, University of Washington Professional: USDA Forest Service Pacific Southwest Region – Regional Geneticist. 2005-present Westvaco Corporation, Forest Research Summerville, South Carolina – Research Scientist. 1981-2005 Served as: - Lead Researcher, Clonal Development Program - Hardwood Tree Improvement Scientist - Seed Orchard Scientist Gary Cline Presentation Title: An overview of assisted migration on the Tahoe National Forest. Abstract: A discussion on the rationale for utilizing assisted migration in reforestation, the expected outcomes, and planned monitoring. Biography: Education Environmental Science – Sierra Nevada College Silviculture Institute – Univ. of Washington and Oregon State Univ. Professional District Culturist on the Yuba River R.D., TNF Silviculturist – Nevada City R.D., TNF Assistant Culturist – Truckee R.D. TNF Nursery Manager – Placerville Nursery, Eldorado NF