SAA-hiding Implications of Restrictive < 3-Gyro Modes Abstract: Two classifications of SAA-hiding are defined and discussed in terms of the potential impact on the HST LRP for restrictive (~80-degrees of ecliptic longitude availability) 2-Gyro modes. Strict geometric hiding ability of SAA-impacted orbits is shown to be dramatically impacted on top of the normal reduction in opportunities caused by the global shrinkage of the constraint windows. If heuristic SAA-hiding is impacted in the same proportion, then an approximate 28-orbit/week drop in calendar scheduling rates can be expected due to this effect in the SAA-impacted part of the day—alone--unless major changes to candidate selection is implemented. Even if candidate selection is modified, SAA-impacts during orbital viewing will eliminate usability of a significant fraction of SAA-impacted orbits. Large programs (> 100 orbits) on a single target must be relatively unrestricted by the users (e.g., relaxed orient ranges) and have a significant fraction of visits schedule as Sched-100 if they are to allow other programs time aboard the telescope. Introduction: Approximately half of all HST orbits are impacted by the SAA (intersect an SAA model contour). Being able to use these orbits in some fashion for science or calibration is critical for maximizing efficient use of HST whether under nominal 3-Gyro or sub-3-Gyro operations. "SAA-hiding" is an important concept in HST Science planning, so it is useful to briefly review and clarify terminology. What is "SAA-hiding"? One common way of stating the geometry of SAA-hiding is that the HST passage through the SAA is hidden in occultation. However there are other useful ways of describing the same occurrence. "Prime" SAA-hiding during a given orbit occurs when the spacecraft passes through the SAA and the observatory is pointing somewhere along the nadir-zenith circle (straight down, in the simplest case). A bit cruder way of stating this geometry is that the earth-longitude of an SAA-passage is approximately aligned with an RA opposite (180-degrees away from) of the target at which HST is pointing. "SAA-hiding" is often used in two contexts: "geometric SAA-hiding" is when the SAA passage occurs completely within the time of target occultation; and "heuristic SAA-hiding" or "LRP SAA-hiding” refers to how a visit schedules in the planning and scheduling system, such as in SPIKE or SPSS. To be a heuristic SAA-hider, a visit must stay within its TRANS estimated orbits while scheduling through SAA-impacted orbits. The distinction is one of whether the SAA can be geometrically hidden, i.e., completely contained within target occultation, for a given target, versus whether a visit--which may not completely fill the allotted orbital viewing, for example--can schedule compatibly with the SAA and not expand in total duration. The latter type of SAA-hiding does not have a unique proper name but we will refer to it as "heuristic SAA-hiding". In the every-day vocabulary of the LRP group, this type is usually referred to as simply "SAAhiding", but here we preserve an explicit distinction. The difference is important and its implications play a role in the discussions that follow. Visualization of Geometric SAA-hiding Each geometrical conceptualization of geometric SAA-hiding, as first introduced, is similar, and which ever is used, the same implication is derived when examining SAA-hiding for successive SAA-impacted orbits. With each revolution of HST around the earth, a finite amount of time passes, and correspondingly the earth rotates beneath. Approximately 96 minutes pass for a sidereal orbit--15 full sidereal orbits per day, with 24-degrees of earth longitude movement with respect to the stars. Just as important, about 103 minutes separate longitude passages--approximately 14 revolutions corresponding to about 25.7 degrees of rotation out of 360. Geometric SAAHiding SAA Passage Target Occultation SAA Passage occurs completely during target occultation. Figure 1: An illustration of Geometric SAA-hiding. Geometric SAA-hiding occurs when the entire SAA passage is in target occultation. To first approximation then, during each orbit or revolution of HST, the Right Ascension of a given longitude shifts by 1.6 hours (sidereal orbit) or 1.7 hours (HST revolution). Likewise, the RA of the SAA longitudes also shifts by this same amount in the direction of earth's rotation (increasing RA). From this, the prime-SAA hiding is seen to advance in RA throughout the day, orbit-by orbit, by about 1.7 hours of RA at a time. In order to use targets which provide "geometric SAA-hiding" throughout the SAA-impacted orbits, the scheduling system could sequence visits with approximate separations of 1.7 hours RA (if each visit were 1-orbit in length) throughout the SAA-impacted orbits. SAAhiding in this context—geometric SAA-hiding—depends upon the time of day as well as the target RA. Since SAA-impacted orbits constitute approximately half of all orbits, the geometric SAA-hiding target RAs sweep through half of the total sky (one hemisphere) each day. Heuristic SAA-hiders: a super-class of SAA-hiding All by itself, this would imply that one could not get "geometric SAA-hiding" for more than a few orbits consecutively for a given target. However, from a scheduling and planning perspective, the more important class of visits is "heuristic SAA-hiders". These visits are sometimes more than 1 or 2 orbits in length and can schedule within their TRANS estimated orbits during time windows that can extend several days or more. The reasons for this extended or "heuristic SAA-hiding" are multiple: 1) visits do not always fill orbital visibility during each orbit, 2) the geometry of orbital visibility is more complex in that orbit plane orientation, earth-sun season, and target declination are factors in whether or not a visit can schedule while the target is above the horizon, and 3) the alignment structure (indivisible scheduling segments) of a visit may allow scheduling "around" an SAA passage, allowing passages to occur during target visibility. Heuristic SAA-hiding Geometric SAA-hiding Figure 2: Venn diagram illustrating that geometric SAA-hiders are a subset of the more general LRP- or Heuristic SAA-hiders. The location of the hemisphere of geometric-SAA-hiding targets shifts with the orientation of the HST orbit-plane. HST's orbit precesses "backward" (opposite to Earth's rotation) with a sidereal period of 56-days. Correspondingly, with each passing day, the hemisphere of prime-hiding RAs rotates on the sky by about 6.4 degrees in a direction of decreasing RA. Over the course of one month, the selection of geometric SAA-hiding RAs sweeps over the entire sky, and after 2 months the hemispherical coverage repeats. After 5/6ths of a precession period, targets in an RA band about 4 hours wide (with higher RA values) become available as geometric SAA-hiders that were not available as geometric SAA-hiders during the previous precession cycle. Similarly, targets in the lower 4-hours of the geometric SAA-hiding band "drop out" of being able to geometrically hide the SAA. The reader should keep in mind that this characterization is true only for "geometric SAA-hiding", but geometric SAAhiding is not as important as "heuristic SAA-hiding" for telescope scheduling purposes. Review of Major “Restrictive” 2-Gyro Conditions. Under 2-gyro operations, the required geometries for maximum effective use of orbital visibility for science activities is such that targets are generally on the "West" side of the sun (instantaneous ecliptic longitudes lying in the "leading" hemisphere in the direction of earth's motion about the sun. Essentially, this required geometry instantaneously eliminates nearly half of the sky at any point during the year. These segments of the sky become available for target viewing only after earth has travelled around the sun such that a target once again is in the leading hemisphere of earth in its travel around the sun. The implications for the impact of 2-Gyro operations on the ability to schedule HST efficiently are quite dire if the worst-case projected restrictions come to pass. The 10-degree pointing uncertainty produces a number of further restrictions. 1) Operations within 90-degrees of the sun become impossible. Since roll uncertainty could also be as high as 10-degrees, violation of the +/-5 degrees of off-nominal role could occur while viewing a target within 90-degrees of the sun, therefore nearly another quarter of the sky becomes accessible at any given time of the year. Further, since HST would not be allowed to come closer than 10degrees to the 90-degree sun-line, the actual restriction would be no closer than 100-degrees, further reducing the viewing season for a given target. 2) This restriction would then also mean that regions within 10-degrees of the ecliptic poles would never be safely viewable. 3) Anti-solar avoidance. Under normal 3-gyro operations, HST is allowed to point at targets in the ecliptic plane at the anti-solar point, however since the sun must never strike HST's underside (due to the WPFC2 radiator shadowing restriction and potentially other restrictions), HST cannot point within 10degrees of the anti-sun in 2-Gyro because a worst case pointing-excursion could result in HST drifting in a direction to illuminate the underside. Combining all of these restrictions, the resulting instantaneously viewable segment of the sky resembles an 80-degree lemon slice with the top and bottom 10-degrees cut out along with a 10-degree radius "bite" out of one side at the antisun point. Implications for the LRP and Large Program Scheduling Until Cycle 12, the extent efficient observatory usage depended upon a relatively uniform distribution of targets around the sky was not fully appreciated. With the introduction of COSMOS (~270 Cycle 12 orbits) and the UDF-CDFIRGRAPES (~ 600 orbits)--all lying within 1-hour RA of each other--available observing opportunities were oversubscribed with no way of containing all 4 programs within Cycle boundaries and allowing other TAC-approved observations and calibrations to execute as well. With the introduction of less than 900 orbits on two targets in a single RA band, each with orient restrictions, the ability of HST to complete the observations of these targets within nominal Cycle boundaries was overwhelmed. Under 2-Gyro restrictive operations, the limits on ability to complete large programs looking at single or closely clustered targets will become even more restricted. The number of days in which a target is viewable with a substantial fraction of the nominal 3-Gyro science time still usable varies largely depending upon ecliptic latitude and HST orbit plane phase orientation, however peaks around 70-days. This target-viewing duration corresponds to the size of "lemon-slice" referred to earlier. If visits were nominally Sched-30 (only 30% of orbits usable), then a mere 21-day window could be expected. Statistically, there would likely be less than a 50% chance that the visits would be SAA-hiders during the constraint window, so even if nothing else were to schedule within the window, a 100-orbit, unrestricted (no links, no orients) program would consume nearly every available SAA-free orbit unless it could schedule in SAA-impacted orbits. Clearly, if large programs are to be completed, Sched-100 will be a requirement for the majority of the visits. Single-field programs significantly larger than 100orbits at high ecliptic latitudes would likely need to be unconstrained in orient or have a number of closely spaced orients at which parts are done. Poor Geometric SAA-hiding under Restrictive 2-Gyro The question addressed next is "how much of the SAA-impacted time can be filled with SAA-hiders under restrictive 2-Gyro?". At any given time during the HST precession cycle, roughly half of the sky's RAs have targets capable of geometric SAA-hiding, while only about a 22% slice of the sky is capable of providing targets under restrictive 2-Gyro within reach of HST's view. Figure 1 shows the HST field of regard (green) and geometric SAAhiding (red) regions of the sky over one synodic HST precession Cycle. The field of regard slowly increases in ecliptic longitude throughout the year (360 degrees/year) while the geometric SAA-hiding region shifts in decreasing RA much quicker (360 degrees every 56 days). Since the ecliptic coordinate system is tilted away from the earth’s equatorial coordinate system by about 23.5 degrees, a crude approximation of the sky overlaps can be obtained by a cut through some intermediate coordinate plane. When one does this, the overlap regions of ecliptic longitude and equatorial RAs can be plotted in a single figure with slices through the intermediate plane, yielding Figure 3 (and 4 and 5). The fraction of the red region covered by a green region at any time gives an estimate of the fraction of the SAA-impacted orbits that allow geometric SAA-hiding during the day. Table 1 provides a numerical estimate of the fraction of SAA-impacted orbits that can be geometrically hidden under the restrictive 2-Gyro scenario over a long period of time (integral numbers of precession Cycles). 1. 2. Geometric SAA-hiding Equatorial RAs during a day. Targets Available (Ecliptic Longitude Field of Regard.) 4. 3. Figure 3: Simplified HST Field of Regard and SAA-hiding under restrictive 2-Gyro operations. The geometric patters represent slices in a plane approximately mid-way between the ecliptic and equatorial planes. Table 1: Fraction of SAA-impacted orbits geometrically hideable. Panel Days Fraction of % orbs geom. %age Impacted Precession Cycle hidden Orbits Hidden 1. 13.5 0.28 0.44 0.123 2. 10.8 0.22 0.22 0.048 3. 13.5 0.28 0.00 0 4. 10.8 0.22 0.22 0.048 Total fraction of SAA-impacted orbits hidden: 0.22 Relaxed 2-Gyro SAA Hiding The aforementioned restrictive viewing zones are not the only possible ones that 2-Gyro operations may allow. A relaxed 2-Gyro set of constraints could allow observing to within 60-degrees of the sun. Rather than only an 80-degree slice of sky being available, the wedge opens up to approximately 120-degrees. The geometric SAA-hiding and HST field of regard for this situation are shown in Figure 4. 1. 2. Geometric SAA-hiding Equatorial RAs during a day. Targets Available (Ecliptic Longitude Field of Regard.) 4. Figure 4: Relaxed 2-Gyro SAA-Hiding geometry. 3. This geometry yields, as is to be expected, a larger percentage of SAA-impacted orbits which can be used as SAA-hiders. Table 2 provides an estimate of that fraction. Table 2: Fraction of SAA-impacted orbits geometrically hideable. Panel Days Fraction of % orbs geom. %age Impacted Precession Cycle hidden Orbits Hidden 1. 8.1 0.167 0.67 0.11 2. 10.8 0.33 0.33 0.11 3. 8.1 0167 0.00 0 4. 10.8 0.33 0.33 0.11 Total fraction of SAA-impacted orbits hidden: 0.33 Normal 3-Gyro SAA Hiding How does this compare with normal 3-Gyro operations? Figure 5 and Table 3 show the same concepts, except that the field of regard is represented as a 260degree slice of the sky (50-degree solar avoidance along the ecliptic). The Table computes in the same way the relative fraction of SAA-impacted orbits that can be hidden. Note the stark difference: 72% hidden under 3-Gyro, while only 22% hidden under 2-Gyro operations. Approximately 40-est_orbits are scheduled in the SAA-impacted orbits, under current nominal 3-Gyro operations. If heuristic hiding is reduced in proportion similar to geometric hiding (not yet shown) then this effect will produce a 40-est_orbits * (72%-22%)/72% = 28 est_orbit reduction in scheduling during restrictive 2-Gyro operations. Under relaxed 2-Gyro constraints, that reduction can be expected to be about 40-est_orbits * (72%33%)/72% = 22 est_orbits. 1. 2. Geometric SAA-hiding Equatorial RAs during a day. Targets Available (Ecliptic Longitude Field of Regard.) 4 . 3. Figure 5: Simplified HST Field of Regard and SAA-hiding under nominal 3-Gyro operations. Compare with Figures 3 and 4. Table 3: Fraction of SAA-impacted orbits Geometrically Hideable--3-Gyro Panel Days Fraction of % orbs geom. %age Impacted Precession Cycle hidden Orbits Hidden 1. 10.8 0.22 1.0 0.22 2. 15.5 0.28 0.72 0.20 3. 10.8 0.22 0.44 0.10 4. 15.5 0.28 0.72 0.20 Total fraction of SAA-impacted orbits hidden: 0.72 This analysis shows that less than a third of the current geometrically hideable SAA-impacted orbits under a simple model will be hideable under restrictive 2Gyro operations. However, it is worth noting the many drawbacks in this simple model. 1) Distribution of targets at many declinations and latitudes is not accounted for. This simple model only takes slices along the ecliptic for computing fractions of impacted orbits that are geometrically hidden. 2) 2-Gyro ecliptic pole "holes" are not accounted for. Targets near the ecliptic poles are unobservable, reducing the usability of the CVZ. 3) 3-Gyro ecliptic/orbit-pole targets are not accounted for. The solar avoidance "bite" is not as pronounced at higher ecliptic latitudes, and disappears altogether above |l| > 50-degrees, so the full ability to hide the north-point is not taken into account. 4) HST orbit pole orientation and precession are not fully accounted for. This is a more general statement of a number of the previous points. This analysis also was predicated on geometric SAA-hiding. The more important type of SAA-hiding from a scheduling and planning perspective is heuristic SAA-hiding. Under 3-Gyro operations there are more heuristic SAAhiders than geometric SAA-hiders (geometric SAA hiders can actually be thought of as a specific sub-class and subset of heuristic SAA-hiders). The relevant question then becomes, "how will heuristic SAA-hiding change under restrictive 2-Gyro operations?". Unfortunately, this question cannot currently be answered easily. However, it is worth noting that under 2-Gyro mode, many of the orbits where geometric hiding is not possible will be further degraded in usability. For example, an SAA-impact occurring during a target’s orbital viewing would likely require extended recovery time, effectively extending the impact of an SAA-passage on the orbital viewing time. Recommendations and Questions A study to determine what the effect of restrictive 2-Gyro operations will have on SAA-impacted orbit scheduling and examine options for maximizing their use is indicated if the restrictive constraints are likely to be required. Historically, maximizing the efficient use of HST has pivoted critically on the ability to use SAA-impacted orbits. If this is to continue, there are a number of questions that could be asked. Will 2-Gyro operations indeed drastically reduce the usability of SAA-impacted orbits under a normal candidate pool? What are the characteristics of the SAA-impacted orbits that will have low-usability? Will heuristic SAA-hiders be affected to a greater, lesser, or the same degree as geometric SAA-hiders. What kind of candidates would allow effective use of the low-utility SAA-impacted orbits? Can modified external calibrations take up the slack and use these orbits? Does a special selection of science candidates need to be sought? Are there nominally enough SNAP candidates that can indeed use these low-usability orbits? Will the pool of main science or SNAPs need to be rationed in a special manner to avoid exhausting candidates for these orbits at inappropriate times? Will changes to SPSS scheduling be required to enforce this? Should targets "lower" RAs in the field of regard be biased for scheduling over targets of higher RA? Will SPIKE handle this appropriately, or will codemodifications and a new planning procedure be required? Conclusions Restrictive 2-Gyro operations will dramatically reduce the amount of time available to complete large programs--indeed any program. The unrestricted constraint windows will shrink to roughly only 30% of that available under nominal 3-Gyro operations (for Sched-100 visits), in addition to the reduction in science activity time due to the added guide-star acquisition times. In addition to the proportional reduction in constraint window lengths affecting the SAAfree and SAA-impacted orbits, the demand placed on SAA-free orbits will increase in greater proportion because SAA-impacted orbits will have over 2/3rds fewer geometric SAA-hiding opportunities, during a given day, for their use. An enhanced pool of targets in particular latitude or declination bands may be required to allow these orbits to be used since their relative abundance will be quite high, perhaps as great as 25-30% of all telescope time. Draft Feb 8, 2004 ian jordan Update Feb 12, 2004