3700 San Martin Drive Baltimore, MD 21218 FAX (410) 338-4767 SPACE TELESCOPE SCIENCE INSTITUTE MEMORANDUM TO: FROM: DATE: SUBJECT: Rodger Doxsey, Denise Taylor, Bill Workman, Ian Jordan August 18, 2004 HST orbit availability after the STIS Suspend 1. Supplementary Orbit Recommendation Summary Following the STIS suspend on August 3, 2004, the anticipated unavailability of STIS in the remainder of Cycle 13 implies a dearth of orbits in the remainder of the Cycle 13 HST long range plan. This document provides an accounting of the orbits allocated to HST and an updated estimate of the number of orbits which would need to be filled by supplementary means. Issues related to a transition to Two-Gyro mode or the adequacy of the orbit allocation “tail” are not discussed in this memo. Table 1: Summary Recommedation for post-STIS TAC Orbit Re-Allocation Recommendation Considerations 80 orbits/wk 85 orbits/wk Total est_orbits until C13/C14 boundary (44 weeks) +3520 +3740 “Tail” to maintain efficiency (10 weeks) +800 +850 Subtotal orbits to plan for (Table 2) 4320 4590 Assumed HOPRs (2.5%) -108 -115 Remaining planned and anticipated orbits (Table 3) -2946 -2946 Subtotal orbits available for re-allocation: 1266 1529 STIS --> non-STIS transfer -176 +/- 105 -176 +/- 105 Total available for re-allocation with STIS transfers: 1090 +/- 105 1353 +/- 105 Operated by the Association of Universities for Research in Astronomy, Inc., for the National Aeronautics and Space Administration 2 2. Total Orbits to Plan for in the Remainder of Cycle 13. The total number of orbits which remain to be planned for is based upon the number of weeks which are planned to be filled. A “tail” is used to allow smooth and efficient transition between Cycles and adjust for inability to schedule all visits within Cycle boundaries due to constraints on some programs. The tail used here is the same tail length specified in the February 24 pre-TAC ODM orbit recommendation memo. Two different conceivable execution rates are specified. Table 2: Weeks available within Cycle 13 Boundary ( < 2005.185) 80 est_orbits/ wk 85 est_orbits/ wk Weeks remaining in current cycle (44 weeks) 3520 3740 “Tail” weeks at end of cycle (10 weeks): 800 850 Subtotal 4320 4590 3 3. Total Anticipated Orbits Remaining in Cycle 13:. Table 3: Unexecuted/anticipated Orbits Type Orbits Planned (with plan windows) 2300 Unplanned (without plan windows) 123 Calibration orbits (Phase 2s not in) 126 non-STIS Chandra allocated orbits (Phase 2s not in) 38 Engineering (2-Gyro Tests) 40 Directors Discretionary (100 orbits minus 7 orbits in-house) 93 Target of Opportunities 226 STIS --> non-STIS transfer 176 +/- 105 subtotal 3122 +/- 105 This section details the orbit totals which we know or which may need to be reserved for the remainder of Cycle 13. A number of uncertainties exist in recommendations on the number of orbits which should be substituted for the loss of STIS from the Cycle 13 TAC runners-up. Explicitly, those uncertainties are: • HST est_orbit execution rate may or may not increase with the loss of STIS. • Target of Opportunity activations are uncertain. • Number of STIS orbits transferrable to other instruments has not been finalized. This number represents a best guess of the possible lower limit on the number that will be actually transferred. The uncertainty value is based on the fact that a decision is pending on 131 orbits of the Filippenko ToO program (10182) as well as other programs identified in Paul G.’s aperture and spectal element triage. • DD allocation rate may change in a post-STIS environment. This document assumes that all DD time will be used. Also assumed is that all activations in the PANS ToO program will be used (10339 & 10340) and a significant fraction of the remaining non-STIS ToOs will be used (60%-100% of remainder used). A guestimate range for the number of STIS-to-non-STIS transfers is loosely based on a triage performed by the STIS team. 4 4. STIS Orbits Lost Approximately 1270 orbits of prime STIS GO visits will be lost, plus 224 orbits of unexecuted STIS Target of Opportunity visits, for an approximate total of 1494 orbits. Note that this number is comparable to the number of orbits computed available in the summary section based upon the higher execution rate.