7-3 Populations and Samples Warm Up Problem of the Day Lesson Presentation Lesson Quizzes 7-3 Populations and Samples Warm Up Solve. 1. 12 2 = n 5 9 n = 1113 5 2. 8n = –0.5 n = –0.0625 3. n – 9 = –14 n = –15 4. –16 = n – (–30) n = –46 7-3 Populations and Samples Problem of the Day Why are both products the same? 26 51 = 1,326 39 34 = 1,326 26 51 = (2 13) (3 17); 39 34 = (3 13) (2 17); They have the same factors: 2, 3, 13, and 17 7-3 Populations and Samples I can compare and analyze sampling methods. 7-3 Populations and Samples Vocabulary population sample random sample convenience sample biased sample 7-3 Populations and Samples In 2002, there were claims that Chronic Wasting Disease (CWD), or Mad Elk Disease, was spreading westward across North America. In order to verify claims such as these, the elk population had to be tested. When information is gathered about a group, such as the elk in North America, the entire group is called the population. Because testing each member of a large group can be difficult or impossible, researchers often study a part of the population, called a sample. 7-3 Populations and Samples For a random sample, members of the population are chosen at random. This gives every member of the population an equal chance of being chosen. A convenience sample is based on members of the population that are readily available, such as 30 elk in a wildlife preservation area. Helpful Hint A random sample is more likely to be representative of a population than a convenience sample is. 7-3 Populations and Samples Additional Example 1: Analyzing Sampling Methods Determine which sampling method will better represent the entire population. Justify your answer. Sampling method Maria surveys only the band students she knows personally. Jon writes each band student’s name on a card. He questions those students whose name he draws. Results 84% want blue uniforms 61% want blue uniforms Jon’s sample is a random sample, giving every band member equal chance to be surveyed, so it is the better method. 7-3 Populations and Samples Check It Out: Example 1 Determine which sampling method will better represent the entire population. Justify your answer. Sampling method Ferdinand surveys every other swimmer on the team. Anna-Maria questions the swimmers who are in her Biology class. Results 72% want practice early 50% want practice early Ferdinand’s sample is a random sample, giving results that better represent the entire swimming team, so it is the better method. 7-3 Populations and Samples A biased sample does not fairly represent the population. A study of 50 elk belonging to a breeder could be biased because the breeder’s elk might be less likely to have Mad Elk Disease than elk in the wild. 7-3 Populations and Samples Additional Example 2: Identifying Potentially Biased Samples Determine whether each sample may be biased. Explain. A. The mayor surveys 100 supporters at a rally about the most important issues to be addressed by the city council. The sample is biased. The supporters may have different ideas than those not at the rally. B. The principal sends out questionnaires to all of the students to find out what kind of music students prefer at dances. The sample is random. The students all have a chance to respond. 7-3 Populations and Samples Check It Out: Example 2 Determine whether each sample may be biased. Explain. A. The owner of a record shop surveys only customers over the age of 18 who shop at his store. This is not random. Customers under the age of 18 do not have a chance of being chosen. B. The teacher writes the name of each student on a piece of paper and questions the students whose names are drawn. This sampling method is random. Each student has an equal chance of being chosen. 7-3 Populations and Samples Additional Example 3: Verifying Claims Based on Statistical Data A principal of a school with 1,500 students estimates that about 400 students will attend a band festival on Saturday. A random sample of 25 students showed that 6 of them will attend. Determine whether the principal’s estimate is likely to be accurate. Set up a proportion to predict the total number of students that will attend. Students attending sample = Students attending # of Students sampled Student Population 7-3 Populations and Samples Additional Example 3 Continued 6 = x 25 1500 6 • 1500 = 25 • x Let x represent the number of actual students attending the band festival. The cross products are equal. 9000 = 25x Multiply. 9000 = 25x 25 25 Divide each side by 25 to isolate x. 360 = x The estimate is not accurate because the data shows that 360 students are likely to attend. 7-3 Populations and Samples Check It Out: Example 3 The owner of a large chain restaurant with 1,200 employees estimates that about 250 employees will ask for winter vacation. A random sample of 40 employees showed that 8 of them will ask for the time off. Determine whether the owner’s estimate is likely to be accurate. Set up a proportion to predict the total number of students that will attend. Employees surveyed for time off = Employees asking for time off # of Employees surveyed Total # of Employees 7-3 Populations and Samples Check It Out: Example 3 Continued 8 = x 40 1200 8 • 1200 = 40 • x Let x represent the number of actual employees asking for time off. The cross products are equal. 9600 = 40x Multiply. 9600 = 40x 40 40 Divide each side by 40 to isolate x. 240 = x The estimate is accurate because the data shows that 240 employees will ask for time off.