Building an ecologic-econom ic model to improve silvicultural m anagem ent practices in Matang (Malaysia) Quispe Zuniga Melissa R.1, Behara Satyanarayana2, Cyril Piou3, Uta Berger4, Hussain M ohd-Lokm an2, Ibrahim Sulong2 and Farid Dahdouh-Guebas56 1 Vrije U niversiteit Brussel -VUB, Pleinlaan 2, B-1050 Brussels, Belgium E-mail: m elissa.auispe.zuniqa@ vub.ac.be 2 Institute o f O ceanography and Environment-INOS, H igher In stitu tio n Centre o f Excellence (HICoE) in Marine Sciences, U niversiti Malaysia Terengganu-UMT, 210B0 Kuala Terengganu, Terengganu Daru Iman, Malaysia. 3 CIRAD, UPR Bioagresseurs : Analyse et Matrîse du Risque, M ontpellier F-B4B98, France 4 Institute o f Forest Growth and Forest C om puter Sciences, TU Dresden, PO Box 111 7, 01735 Tharandt, Germany 5 Laboratory o f Systems Ecology and Resource Management, D epartm ent o f Organism Biology, Faculty o f Sciences, Université de Bruxelles-ULB, Campus de la Plaine, Boulevard du Triom phe, B-1050 Brussels, Belgium 6 Laboratory o f Plant Biology and Nature Management, Mangrove Management Group, Faculty o f Sciences and Bio-engineering Sciences, Vrije U niversiteit Brussel-VUB, Pleinlaan 2, B-150 Brussels, Belgium Mangrove ecosystems are present in tropical coastlines and provide goods, services and econom ic o pp o rtu n itie s fo r local com m unities (Barbier et a i , 2011). Local people can use m angrove forests fo r tim b e r and fuelw ood, animals fo r consum ption {e.g. fish, crabs) and services {e.g. nursery grounds, breeding and feeding sites, and coastline protection) th a t m angrove forests provide (Barbier et a i , 2011). An excellent exam ple o f m anagem ent o f a mangrove fo re st is Matang Mangrove Forest Reserve (in Malaysia) th a t has been managed since 1908 by Perak Forestry D epartm ent fo r the production o f poles and fuelw ood (Chong, 2006). The need o f a m odel that includes socio-econom ic aspects as well as fo re st grow th in Matang is im p o rta n t fo r shaping future decisions, ensuring sustainable income sources fo r local people, and im proving the silvicultural m anagem ent practices (Fontalvo-Herazo et a i , 2011). The studies related to th is reserve have focused on ecological or econom ic aspects; however, cu rren tly there is no research th a t has considered the econom ic aspects in close relation to ecologie aspects. Therefore, the aim o f this m aster thesis is to build an ecologic-econom ic m odel th a t includes labor cost fo r d iffe re n t silviculture related activities, wood prices o f d iffe re n t qualities, benefits and costs o f n a tu ra l/silvicu ltu ra l stands, and possibly hidden environm ental benefits, and th a t can predict future su stain ab ility o f wood production under d iffe re n t scenarios o f ecologie or human impact. This on-going study is divided in three parts; the firs t part is the developm ent o f an individualbased m odel in NetLogo v5.0.4. program , using ODD (Overview, Design concepts and Details) Protocol (Railsback and Grimm , 2012) fo r the purpose o f m aking predictions, which are based on the co nd itio ns th a t are influenced by potential econom ic factors th a t can influence m angrove fo re st density. The second part consists o f a fie ld -co m po ne nt th a t w ill take place in February (2014), in Matang Mangrove Forest Reserve (Perak, Malaysia); th is part consists o f an econom ic survey involving the people who are part o f the m angrove wood trade. For th is reason the econom ic survey is divided in fo u r groups: consumers, harvesters, wholesalers, and fo rm a l actors (related to Forestry Departm ent). The th ird part w ill consist o f the calibration o f the developed m odel w ith the results o f the econom ic survey and the ecological results (forest density in Matang Mangrove Forest Reserve) th a t were made by Goessens (2011 ) in Matang. Finally, we hope th a t the ecologic-econom ic m odel w ill enable us to determ ine the possible fa m ily incomes in dependence o f changes in mangrove fo re st grow th and econom ic circum stances. The predictions can be used to im prove current and fu tu re m anagem ent practices durin g the decision m aking, p rotecting mangrove ecosystems and the livelihood o f local people w ho depend on the mangrove forest. References Barbier E.B., S.D. Hacker, C. Kennedy, E.W. Koch, A.C. Stier and B.R. Silliman. 2011. The value o f estuarine and coastal ecosystem services. Ecological M onographs 81 (2): 169-1 93. - 87 - Chong V.C. 2006. Sustainable u tiliza tio n and m anagem ent o f Mangrove ecosystems o f Malaysia. A quatic Ecosystem Health & Management 9(2):249-260. Fontalvo-Herazo M.L., C. Piou, J. Vogt, U. Saint-Paul and U. Berger. 2011. Sim ulating harvesting scenarios tow ards the sustainable use o f m angrove fo re st plantations. W etlands Ecology and Management 19(5): B97-407. Goessens A. 2011. Floral d ive rsity and d is trib u tio n in the mangroves t Matang, West Peninsular Malaysia, a fte r a century o f sustainable management. Master Thesis. 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