Missouri’s Forest Resources, 2012 Research Note NRS-184 This publication provides an overview of forest resource attributes for Missouri based on an annual inventory conducted by the Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) program at the Northern Research Station of the U.S. Forest Service. These estimates, along with web-posted core tables, will be updated annually. For more information, please refer to page 5 of this report. Table 1. – Annual estimates, uncertainty, and change Figure 1. – Area of forest land and timberland. Figure 2. – Area of forest land by stand-size class of the top ten forest types, 2012. Figure 3. – Area of timberland by stand-size class and year, 1947-2012. 1 Table 2. – Top 10 tree species by statewide volume estimates, 2012. Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Species White oak Black oak Post oak Northern red oak Shortleaf pine Eastern redcedar Black walnut Scarlet oak Shagbark hickory American sycamore Other softwood species Other hardwood species All species Volume of live trees Change on forest land Sampling since 2007 (million cubic feet) error (%) (%) 4,132.8 2,870.7 2,111.5 1,016.1 932.0 730.2 686.5 605.4 574.8 442.2 14.0 6,804.1 20,920.1 2.8 3.2 3.6 5.6 6.8 5.1 6.3 6.3 6.1 12.5 63.3 2.4 1.1 3.0 -2.5 2.0 0.4 5.6 11.9 14.2 -7.9 7.3 16.1 47.4 13.4 5.9 Net volume of sawtimber trees on timberland (million board feet) 12,707.4 9,183.5 4,466.9 3,613.4 3,984.5 416.2 1,932.9 1,958.7 1,434.0 1,743.2 59.9 14,637.7 56,138.2 Change Sampling since 2006 error (%) (%) 3.5 3.9 4.7 6.7 7.3 11.7 8.2 7.3 8.5 13.8 69.4 3.8 1.7 Figure 4. – Growing stock volume on timberland by ownership category of the five largest (by area) forest-type groups, Missouri, 2012. Note: When available, sampling errors/bars provided in figures and tables represent 68 percent confidence intervals. 2 4.0 -3.7 0.3 -0.2 10.1 -63.6 14.3 -4.6 11.5 19.6 48.3 13.1 3.8 Growth on Reversions in Missouri’s Forest Land, 2007 and 2012 Missouri, like several other states in the region, has seen a change in estimates due to field visits to plots that were not visited in the previous inventory because they were classified as nonforest via aerial image interpretation. Most plots identified as nonforest are not visited in the field. Starting in 2006, there has been an increase in the number of plots requiring a field visit. Some of these situations involve recognition of potentially sufficient tree cover to warrant an on-site visit and in other cases the employment of new imagery allows the prescreening analyst to make the determination that the plot is forested. In this latter situation, we are recognizing forest land that had developed some time in the past, in many instances, prior to the previous inventory. In the analysis below, we examined the impact that field visits to heretofore unvisited plots has on growth of trees 5 inches in diameter and larger and its components. The growth impact is much more prominent as we are measuring growth on newly found trees as well as the “growth” influence from the new trees themselves. Small increases in forest area can have a large impact on growth estimates because the total tree volume on reverted land is counted as growth. Net growth is broken down into a number of components, including: Survivor growth — change in volume of live trees between inventories on land identified as forest in both inventories. Mortality — volume (negative) of live trees from the previous inventory that died before the current inventory. The land was forest in the previous inventory. Ingrowth — volume of trees that grew into a merchantable size (e.g., 5-inch diameter) since the previous inventory. The volume is not counted until the current inventory and the land is identified as forest in both inventories. Reversion — volume of live trees on land that is now forest but was previously nonforest. Diversion growth — change in volume of live trees between inventories on land that changed from forest to nonforest. Diversion only counts trees that remained present and living. Cut growth — increase in volume of live trees from the previous inventory that were cut before the current inventory. The land was forest in the previous inventory. Figure 5. – Components of growth for all species and 5 of the most prominent oak species on forest land in Missouri, 2007 and 2012. 3 Initially, we examined five of the most prominent oak species in the State (white oak/red oak/hickory being the largest forest-type group by far) (Fig. 5). The growth components from survivors and mortality were in proportion to the overall values for the State. This outcome was not unexpected as oak species constitute a high proportion of total volume in Missouri. What was notable, however, was the disproportionally small amount of growth due to reversions for the oak species compared to the total. Only white oak possessed a growth component due to reversions in proportion to the overall numbers for the State. This result led us to question which species were impacted by reversions. We examined all of the growth components for Missouri for the 2007 and 2012 inventories for all species. We looked at the reversion component as a percentage of total growth and ranked the top 25 species-year combinations, regardless of year (Fig. 6). Many species exhibited high reversion components across both years, but there were some species that only exhibited high proportions for one inventory or the other. We initially ranked the species and selected the top 25 by percentage of total growth attributable to reversions. Some species, such as Ailanthus, persimmon, or Ohio buckeye, contained such small numbers that any so-called “trends” should be suspect. We eliminated eight of those from consideration, leaving the species shown in Fig. 6. What is notable among these species is how many of them are not necessarily typical of intact upland forests but rather inhabitants of bottomland or otherwise mesic/hydric sites, such as silver maple, boxelder, sycamore, or cottonwood. Assuming that earlier imagery did not give evidence of sufficient forest cover, our estimates of reversion components, however delayed from the actual occurrence, suggest that some of the more prominent gains in Missouri forest land occurred at bottomland forest boundaries, rather than “filling in” the predominant upland forest land. Figure 6. – Selected species-year combinations (irrespective of year) of reversion components as a high percentage of net growth on forest land in Missouri, 2007 and 2012. 4 Citation for this Publication Moser, W.K.; Hansen, M.H.; Pugh, S.A.; Treiman, T.B. 2013. Missouri’s forest resources, 2012. Res. Note. NRS-184. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station. 5 p. FIA Program Information Bechtold, W.A.; Patterson, P.L., eds. 2005. The enhanced forest inventory and analysis program: national sampling design and estimation procedures. Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-80. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station. 85 p. Smith, W.B. 2002. Forest inventory and analysis: A national inventory and monitoring program. Environmental Pollution. 116: 233-242. USDA Forest Service 2012. Forest inventory and analysis national core field guide, Vol. 1: field data collection procedures for phase 2 plots, Ver. 6.0. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service. Available: http://www.fia.fs.fed.us/library/field-guides-methods-proc/. (Accessed March 11, 2013.) Additional Missouri Inventory Information Gansner, D.A. 1965. Missouri’s forests, 1959. Resour. Bull. CS-2. Columbus, OH: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Central States Forest Experiment Station. 53 p. Moser, W.K.; Hansen, M.H.; Treiman, T.B.; Jepson, E.; Leatherberry, E.C.; Liknes, G.; Perry, C.H.; Olson, C.L.; Piva, R.J.; Woodall, C.W.; Brand, G.J. 2007. Missouri’s forests 1999-2003, Part A. Resour. Bull. NRS-10. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station. 79 p. Raeker, G.; Moser, W.K.; Fleming J.; Morris, M.; Butler, B.; Kurtz, C.M.; Treiman, T.B. 2011. Missouri’s forests 2008. Resour. Bull. NRS-54. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station. 55 p. [DVD included]. Spencer, J.S., Jr.; Essex, B.L. 1976. Timber in Missouri, 1972. Resour. Bull. NC-30. St. Paul, MN: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, North Central Forest Experiment Station. 108 p. Spencer, J.S., Jr.; Roussopoulos, S.M.; Massengale, R.A. 1992. Missouri’s forest resource, 1989: an analysis. Resour. Bull. NC-139. St. Paul, MN: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, North Central Forest Experiment Station. 84 p. Treiman, T.; Tuttle, J.G.; Piva, R. 2008. Missouri timber industry-- an assessment of timber product output and use, 2006. Jefferson City, MO: Missouri Department of Conservation. 78 p. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service. 1948. Forest resources of Missouri, 1947. Forest Survey Release 6. Columbus, OH: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Central States Forest Experiment Station. 19 p. Contact Information Lead Analyst: W. Keith Moser, wkmoser@fs.fed.us Data processing/access: Chuck Barnett, (610) 557-4031, cjbarnett@fs.fed.us Estimates, tabular data, and maps from this report may be generated at: http://www.fia.fs.fed.us/tools-data/ The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs and activities on the basis of race, color, national origin, age, disability, and where applicable, sex, marital status, familial status, parental status, religion, sexual orientation, genetic information, political beliefs, reprisal, or because all or part of an individual’s income is derived from any public assistance program (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternate means for communication of program information (Braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact USDA’s TARGET Center at (202) 720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write to USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, 1400 Independence Avenue, S.W., Washington, DC 20250-9410, or call (800)795-3272 (voice) or (202)720-6382 (TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer. 5