Smart Grids – Planning the Intelligent Utilities of the Future VIEWPOINT PAPER A Smarter Tomorrow A number of economic, social, political and market forces are pushing utilities to adopt a more intelligent approach to the generation and delivery of electricity. EDS, an HP company, examines how Smart Grids that combine the power of information technology with emerging capabilities of environmental technology will enable utilities to anticipate and shape consumer demand for electricity. Table of Contents Government 1 1 2 2 3 Utilities 3 Consumers 3 Introduction A Historical Perspective Green Drivers Getting Smart: Smart Power Creating Collaboratories Conclusion 4 4 Smart Grids – Planning the Intelligent Utilities of the Future EDS Viewpoint Paper Introduction Economics and ecology are creating a new utilities marketplace. Driven by the surging worldwide demand for electrical power, and challenged by the need to ensure stable supplies, to improve efficiency and to reduce the carbon footprints of their companies and customers, utilities are searching for a new and better business model. A number of economic, social, political and market forces are pushing utilities to adopt a more intelligent approach to the generation and delivery of electricity. The emerging Smart Grid encompasses far more than the traditional utility distribution network. Made possible by a new generation of embedded computing, advanced metering and data management technologies, Smart Grids will soon allow utilities to anticipate and shape consumer demand for electrical power. By managing the demand curve, utilities can achieve the important strategic goals of reducing consumption and meeting customer expectations, while creating a more sustainable and profitable long-term business model. In this viewpoint paper, EDS, an HP company, examines the demands of the coming Smart Grid environment. We analyze the requirements of the Smart Grid, and its implications for consumers, businesses and utilities. Finally, we explore how the convergence of information and ecological technologies will shape this new and promising utilities marketplace. A Historical Perspective While the fundamental structure of the electrical grid has remained virtually unchanged since Nikola Tesla won the “War of Currents” in the 1890s, the dramatic growth in global demand for electric power has radically changed how utilities must operate. In recent years, as developing economies plug millions of new businesses and consumers into the worldwide grid, global demand for electricity has skyrocketed. While utilities planet-wide generated 8,027.1 billion kilowatt hours of electricity in 1980, surging demand had more than doubled that number by 2006, when the world generated 18.2 billion kilowatt hours of electricity.1 That dramatic upsurge in electrical generation was driven by growing populations, by new power-hungry technologies and by improved living standards in many parts of the world. Not surprisingly, the highest growth rates in electricity Those macro trends have created a “perfect storm” for many utilities. Consumers have developed a big box consumer mentality wherein they believe they can consume as much low-cost electric power as they desire. Yet, while consumption and consumer expectations are at all-time highs, serious challenges now threaten power supplies the world over. From the price and availability of natural resources, to aging infrastructure and political, regulatory and market forces – utilities must confront a number of significant problems. Energy in general, and utility services in particular, will continue to greatly affect economic growth, security and living standards on both the national and international levels. How will utilities, consumers and governments respond to those challenges? At the very least, utilities must continue to invest in electrical generating capacity and other basic infrastructure. generation during those 25 years were seen in Central and But in our view, to meet these daunting generational South America, Asia, and in Middle Eastern countries where challenges, utilities and society at large must also accelerate populations were moving away from traditional rural or investments in the innovative technologies needed to bring agrarian lifestyles and toward societies defined by increased enhanced management, reliability and sustainability to the industry, growth and consumerism. global power grid. | 1 | EDS Viewpoint Paper Smart Grids – Planning the Intelligent Utilities of the Future Green Drivers A number of forces are pushing utilities toward a more reliable and sustainable approach to the business of electricity. As noted previously, the fundamental law of supply and demand is affecting price and availability worldwide. Utilities now struggle to balance base load demand against the more expensive infrastructure requirements of peak loads, with the latter accounting for 30 percent of cost for many companies. Given those realities, the economics of conservation become more provocative every business day. For most utilities, the average cost of generating a new kilowatt hour of electricity is 10 cents, while the cost of saving a kWh is just 1.7 cents. While alternative energy sources are attractive and continue to garner positive and sought-after press Those diverse constituencies now expect utilities to deliver reliable, affordable and environmentally sound electricity service. Getting Smart: Smart Power How can utilities meet those expectations? Forward-looking suppliers are already developing and deploying more intelligent ways to develop, generate and deliver electrical power. In this new utility marketplace – where economic and ecological challenges and opportunities converge – might be called Smart Power. fuel” by many utilities. Dubbed “Negawatt power” by Amory affordably combine the historic “obligation to serve” with a Lovins, the idea of investing in improved efficiency as a way new and equally compelling “need to conserve.” To achieve to reduce overall electric consumption is gaining support in this smarter, conservation-minded objective, utilities must the utilities sector. by necessity move beyond the limitations of demand The public is increasingly concerned about climate change and the environment, and those concerns are being expressed in the actions of lobbying groups, more active shareholders and the voting public. Governments the world over are responding with environmental policies that range from carbon emissions reduction targets to cap-and-trade schemes, sustainable procurement policies and energy-based requirements for electronics and other consumer products. Many consumers are prepared to pay a premium for eco-friendly products and services. Yet at the same time, those same consumers have embraced successive generations of power-hungry new user devices, applications and always-on services. At the corporate level, companies are now under pressure to reduce e-waste pollution and their overall carbon footprints, all while managing the rapid growth in power consumption by servers, data centers and other IT systems. Companies in virtually every industry must meet new and higher standards | “green sheen” as a key indicator of corporate responsibility. In this emerging Smart Power reality, utilities must learn to technological forces are now driving utilities to be green. 2 looking organizations now work to create and publicize their coverage, conservation is now seen as the undeniable “fifth In fact, a number of social, political, economic and | for reporting on a range of environmental activities. Forward- measurement (understanding demand as it happens) and toward the more complex and challenging realm of demand management (anticipating, shaping and reducing demand). Actually shaping the electricity demand curve, without overly impacting the Western lifestyle, will require utilities to employ more intelligent equipment, operations, transmission and utilization solutions. That in turn will force utilities to migrate from the electromechanical to the digital age and encourage them to consider megabytes as well as megawatts and to distribute information bits as well as atoms. This transformation, ultimately, will usher in the age of virtual presence, contextualized content and an accepted behind-the-scenes regimen of utility demand management. Smart Power will be defined by ubiquitous sensors and intelligent homes, smart meters and grids, and growing collaborative interconnections among consumers, businesses and the utilities that serve them. By combining the power of information technology with the emerging science of environmental technology, utilities can create a more intelligent and sustainable business model. Smart Grids – Planning the Intelligent Utilities of the Future EDS Viewpoint Paper Government sources of energy into a practical and economic energy mix. Governments around the world are currently planning or Utilities should encourage energy-into-the-plant solutions, making intelligent, green investments in utilities, infrastructure on-site generation and co-generation on the part of and other energy-related projects. commercial customers. Finally, utilities must focus on the “fifth fuel” of conservation by encouraging and managing In the United States, the Obama Administration’s New Energy smarter, reduced and nonpeak energy usage. for America plan envisions the creation of 5 million new jobs through a strategic $150 billion investment in clean Consumers energy systems, the domestic manufacture of 1 million Families and individuals also have a part to play in the plug-in hybrid cars by 2015, a cap-and-trade program to emerging Smart Power environment. reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 80 percent by 2050, and a goal of generating 25 percent of the nation’s To support the new era of energy demand management, electricity from renewable resources by the year 2025.2 consumers will accept a new generation of embedded sensors and controls that will help manage the use of Other global governments, nongovernmental organizations heating and air conditioning systems, washers and dryers, and international efforts are also focused on the need personal computers, and other electricity-using devices. to control energy and other types of consumption, to Personal energy plans, controlled by Smart Black Box units reduce carbon emissions and to create more practical and in the home, will allow consumers to set the broad outlines sustainable economies. of their electricity usage below which automated systems At the more localized level, governing agencies can ensure will ensure that customers receive safe, reliable power in that Public Utilities Commissions (PUCs) realign their focus the most efficient way possible. to encourage and require conservation, as opposed to the Imagine a world in which cars become rolling energy storage consumption-oriented policies of the past. Local, state, units (RESUs) that dramatically reduce carbon emissions, national and even international governing bodies can and while consuming, buffering and actually contributing to must encourage the creation of green jobs and economies, grid-based power supplies. Envision communities where often through positive policies such as tax incentives and businesses and residential households function as regional targeted infrastructure investments. generation and storage units (RGSUs) that leverage solar, Utilities wind and other power sources in an intelligent electrical network guided by nano-sensors and supercomputers. Utilities must also do their part to support and drive the coming green economy. Consumers can help reduce e-waste by disposing of PCs and other electronics properly and less frequently. Studies Electricity suppliers must focus on intelligently matching show that of the 205.5 million units of end-of-life computer energy supplies with consumer demand. To effectively shape products generated in 2007, 157.3 million units, or 82 percent, the demand curve, astute utility executives are beginning were disposed of primarily in landfills. Research also shows now to plan and deploy the systems needed to support the that lead, mercury, cadmium and brominated flame retardants coming Smart Grid and Energy Internet environments. are among the substances of concern in electronics. These Utilities should begin now to ramp up their learning curves substances are included for product performance charac- on Advanced Meter Infrastructure (AMI), nano-sensors, teristics but can cause problems if the products are not embedded intelligence and other emerging technologies. disposed of properly. Computer monitors typically contain At the same time that they continue to invest in additional an average of 4 lbs. of lead.3 capacity and distribution infrastructure, forward-looking utilities are moving aggressively to integrate renewable | 3 | EDS Viewpoint Paper Smart Grids – Planning the Intelligent Utilities of the Future At the DC level, companies can introduce liquid cooling, Utilities can apply this expertise and technology to meet a dehumidification, flywheel UPS and fifth light lighting number of strategic objectives. In the context of the emerging strategies to reduce energy usage. At the server, IT Smart Grid, utilities can leverage these capabilities to shape managers can use variable, deep sleep and other power- and manage end-user consumption while reducing CO2 saving modes to reduce energy usage and costs. Embedded levels emitted from electricity generation. Those same computing is optimizing equipment and lighting for optimal systems can help power suppliers ensure a stable and performance and reduced emissions. Companies can also secure supply of electricity, gas and water, while delivering help by virtualizing systems and activities where possible, the cost savings that allow utilities to invest in new by consolidating operations and by improving network initiatives designed to improve services, secure supplies and application performance through modernization, and ensure sustainability. rationalization and optimization. Other practical suggestions include increasing the time between hardware replacement cycles, the use of thin In today’s challenging marketplace, utilities must capture clients that have fewer moving parts, cascading high-end or maintain shares of deregulated markets and improve equipment downward to manage simpler tasks, and the the security of power supplies … all while reducing the proper disposal of obsolete systems. environmental impact associated with their businesses. Creating Collaboratories must address a number of fundamental requirements. capabilities of environmental technology. The resulting workable architecture and the deployment of a system capable of managing the massive volumes of data needed to support Smart Grids will enable utilities to anticipate and eventually shape consumer demand for electricity. That will, in turn, allow power suppliers to satisfy both their traditional obligation to serve and the new drive to conserve. an intelligent utilities infrastructure. Utilities must also But to create this more intelligent utility model – described address the crucial issues of implementation, integration by some as Smart Power – utilities must master and and long-term governance of the Smart Grid environment. leverage a new generation of embedded computing, AMI, Few utilities have or want to build the complex internal structures needed to plan and manage a Smart Grid environment. That is why many successful utilities have formed collaborative partnerships with “smart partners” capable of data and integration technologies. Utilities and governments worldwide must continue to invest in the innovation and infrastructure needed to plan, build and operate the Smart Grid environment. contributing the hardware, software, tools and automation By partnering with allies that understand the convergence needed to function in the coming Smart Power environment. of information and ecology, utilities can meet the seemingly EDS, an HP company, helps energy companies improve operations through advanced technology and business processes designed to improve energy management, drive privacy, security and safety, and enhance the customer focus and transformation of energy firms. HP offers technology solutions designed specifically for the utilities industry, global deployments and support for business technology software, established industry partnerships and environmentally focused best practices. | more intelligent operating structures that combine the power of information technology with the emerging formulation of a detailed business plan, the selection of a 4 To do that, forward-looking utilities now see the need for To create and operate the Smart Grids of the future, utilities Those requirements include preliminary planning and the | Conclusion contradictory goals of reducing consumption and meeting customer demands. In doing so, utilities can also create a more profitable and sustainable business model. Smart Grids – Planning the Intelligent Utilities of the Future EDS Viewpoint Paper ABOUT THE AUTHORS Jeff Wacker EDS, Director of Strategy Jeff Wacker is a director of Strategy for EDS, an HP company. He is also an EDS Fellow and an EDS Futurist. As a director of Strategy for EDS, Wacker is responsible for shaping the future goals of EDS through innovative and market-leading strategies focused on advanced and emerging capabilities. Currently, Wacker is working extensively with Eco 2.0 IT (Economically Sound Ecologically Sustainable Information Technology) and is a core member of EDS Environmental Sustainability initiatives. His presentation “Eco 2.0 – Achieving Both the Green and Gold Agendas” brings to light both the economic and environmental side to the Green phenomenon. Keeping with his role as futurist, Wacker continues to work with broad technology trends. His presentation “Five Technology Forces Changing The World” explores the impacts of Infotech, Biotech, Nanotech, Robotech and Envirotech on our personal as well as our business lives. Anthony Erickson EDS Global Utilities Industry Leader Anthony Erickson is Global Utilities Industry leader for EDS, an HP company. He is responsible for determining global strategy and key initiatives that allow EDS to provide innovative solutions to utility clients. His career has been focused on identifying new business opportunities and helping clients understand and integrate innovative technology solutions. Before joining EDS, Erickson led IBM’s Energy & Utilities sales for its Global Business Services division. He was responsible for managing a team of professionals who sold and serviced IBM’s Notes industry business solutions. He participated in developing IBM’s go-to-market strategy for solutions supporting the Intelligent 1 U.S. Department of Energy, Energy Information Utility Network, Enterprise Asset Management, Corporate Administration: World Total Net Electricity Generated Support Services and Customer Operations Transformation. Most Recent Annual Estimates, December 2008. 2 Change.gov, Office of the President-Elect Energy & Environmental Plan, December 2008. 3 United States Environmental Protection Agency e-Cycling 2008 Frequently Asked Questions. 4 Belady, C., In the Data Center. Power and Cooling Costs More than IT Equipment it Supports. 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