The Relationship between Chronic Illness Care Quality and Current and F t Future Resource R Use: U A An application li ti of NCQA’s HEDIS Relative Resource Use (RRU) and Quality Measures Academy Health Annual Research Meeting June, 2010 Overall Project: Comparing Medicare Advantage Health Plan Efficiency with Medicare FFS using NCQA’s NCQA s HEDIS Relative Resource Use (RRU) Measures • Funding: RWJ Program on Changes in Health Care Financing and Organization (HCFO) • Grantee: University of Minnesota - Division of Health Policy and Management // Collaborator: NCQA • Project j Team: David Knutson,, MS ((PI); ); Beth Virnig, g, PhD (Co-PI); Schelomo Marmor, PhD candidate; Jessica Zeglin, MS // NCQA: Sarah Scholle, PhD; R b tS Robert Saunders, d PhD PhD; S Sally ll T Turbyville, b ill MS (Currently with the National Quality Forum) Today’s Presentation: Results from Phase One • Phase One Objective: Examine MA health plan performance characteristics and the relationship between quality and resource using health plan reported HEDIS quality and RRU measures for performance years 2007 and 2008 • Phase Two Objective: j Compare p resource use and q quality y of MA plans with Medicare FFS using health plan reported HEDIS quality and RRUs measures and quality and RRUs measures computed on a Medicare FFS claims using a national Chronic Care Warehouse (CCW) sample from 2007-2008 Presenter: Schelomo Marmor Research Objectives • Use of Healthcare Effectiveness Data and Information Set (HEDIS) quality measures and Relative Resource Use measure (RRUs) to determine the relationship l ti hi between b t quality lit and d costt for f Medicare patients with diabetes • To determine whether prior quality performance predicts future resource use Methods: Data and Analysis • Data/Population • Measures • Analysis Population • Data submitted by y Medicare managed g care p plans for reporting years 2007 and 2008 (based on 2006 and 2007 experience) • Three NCQA Comprehensive Diabetes Care HEDIS quality indicators- percentage of individuals with diabetes who had evidence of: (1) annual glycosyated hemoglobin (A1c) screening (2) low-density lipoprotein (LDL) screening (3) retinal eye exams performed Relative Resource Use (RRU) Measures • RRU measures, measures calculated by NCQA NCQA, for reporting plans for year 2007 and 2008 • RRU costs reported separately for: Evaluation and Management (EM) services Inpatient p Facility y ((IP)services ) Surgery Pharmacy services Analysis y • In total 141 plans reported HEDIS quality measures and RRUs for both 2007 and 2008 which had no more than one missing quality or RRU variable were included • Pearson and Spearman rank correlations were calculated for quality and RRU measures to determine the stability of the relationships across the measures in a given yyear g Analysis • A linear regression model was used to predict the relationship between quality in 2007 and resource use in 2008 • All models controlled for plan type, comorbidities and region • A sensitivity analysis confirmed that results were stable across a variety of minimum plan sizes Does HEDIS Qualityy Change g from Year to Year? Basic HEDIS Characteristics: 2007-2008 Median HEDIS Quality Measures: 141 Plans HbA1c Screening 2008 LDL-C screening 2007 Eye exams 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Median eligible plan size: 2,272 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Does Resource Use Change from Year to Year? Basic RRU Characteristics 2007-2008 Median RRU Measures: 141 Plans EM 2008 IP 2007 Surgery Pharmacy $0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 $350 Do HEDIS Quality y Measures Correlate? Results: Correlation Table 2007 2007 HEDIS Quality Measure (%) HbA1c Test 2007 HEDIS Q lit Quality Measure (%) HbA1c Test LDL-C Screen Eye Exam * p-value <0.0001 † p-value <0.05 LDL-C Screen Eye Exam 1 0.6964 1 0.7751* 0.7751 0.5673* 0.5673 1 Do RRU Measures Correlate? Results: Correlation Table 2008 Relative Resource Use Standard Cost 2008 (% PMPM) E&M Relative Resource Use Standard Cost 2008 ($ PMPM) E&M Surgery Pharmacy 1 IP 0.4279* 1 Surgery 0.3029† 0.2649† 1 0.0797 0.1429 -0.159 Pharmacy * p-value <0.0001 † p-value <0.05 IP 1 Does 2007 Quality Predict 2008 Resource Use? Results: Correlation Table 2007-2008 2007 2008 HEDIS Quality Measures 2007 (%) HbA1c LDL-C Eye Test Screen Exam HEDIS Quality Measures 2007 (%) Relative Resource Use Standard Cost 2008 ($ PMPM) Relative Resource Use Standard Cost 2008 (% PMPM) E&M IP Surgery Pharmacy HbA1c Test LDL-C Screen Eye Exam 1 E&M - 0.278† - 0.139 - 0.16 1 IP - 0.225† - 0.31† - 0.035 0.4279* 1 Surgery - 0.0366 - 0.021 0.167 0.30† 0.265† 1 Pharmacy - 0.0919 - 0.118 0.001 0.0797 0.1429 - 0.16 0.6964 1 0.7751* 0.5673* 1 * p-value <0.0001 † p-value <0.05 1 What Does a 1% increase in Quality Save PMPY for a Median Size Plan? Relationship between Previous Performance and Current Cost ($ PMPY per Percentage increase in test rate) 2007 Q Quality lit P Performance f T ti %) Testing 2008 C Costs t HbA1C LDL-C Eye EM $-8.16† $-9.84† $-1.92 IP $ $-22.32 $ $-61.92† $ $-13.20 Surgery $1.68 $-7.68 $-5.16 Pharmacy $5.52 $-12.96 $-6.36 ($ PMPY) * p-value <0.0001 † p-value <0.05 Conclusions • Higher quality in components of NCQA’s comprehensive diabetes care seems to predict lower subsequent resource use • Increases in rates of HbA1C and LDL-C testing appear to be most significantly associated with decreased resource use • Broader relationship between quality of care and resource use remains complex Policy Implications • The first explicit test of correlation between quality and cost points to highb t imperfect-correlation but i f t l ti b between t RRU and HEDIS Quality measures • Deeper understanding of the resource use inputs required for higher levels of quality and the potential impact on future resource use Next Steps • Geographical variation • Could there be a way to compare Medicare Advantage plans to – Fee F ffor S Service i – Medicaid – Commercial Plans For More Information Please contact: Dave Knutson Knutson, MS Email: dknutson@umn.edu @ Schelomo Marmor, M.P.H. E il marm0014@umn.edu Email: 0014@ d