International Call for Papers Learning from International Policy Change Chair: Huw Davies, Ph.D., M.A., M.Sc. Sunday, June 6 • 11:30 a.m.-1:00 p.m. • Managing the Workforce for a Changing Healthcare System: Lessons from the European Experiences Carl-Ardy Dubois, M.D., M.Sc., Ph.D., Martin McKee, M.D., Ph.D. Presented by: Carl-Ardy Dubois, M.D., M.Sc., Ph.D., Fellow, European Observatory on Health Care Systems, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT; Tel: 44 207 612 7811; Fax: 44 207.612.7812; E-mail: Carl-Ardy.Dubois@lshtm.ac.uk Research Objective: This paper forms part of a major study by the European Observatory on Health Care Systems that aims to establish to which extent current policies and practices related to the management of the healthcare workforce are aligned with the challenges facing healthcare systems. Two closely related objectives are firstly to document how healthcare systems in Europe are dealing with emerging workforce issues and secondly to identify what supportive strategies may be promoted to optimise the management of the workforce in the changing healthcare environment. Study Design: The approach used in this study is comparative. At one level, a series of common workforce issues are examined, drawing on an extensive range of information sources. At a second level, a set of comparative case studies are used to provide detailed accounts of how 10 selected European countries are dealing with issues related to key aspects of the workforce management: staffing and planning, education and training, performance management, labour relations, and regulation. Population Studied: The study covers European countries with a specific focus on the European Economic Area, the transition countries of Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), and Russia. Countries selected for the case studies include: United Kingdom, Germany, France, Norway, Spain, Netherlands, Poland, Lithuania, Malta, and Russia. Principal Findings: Across Europe, the processes of transition of health and health care are leading to fundamental alterations in the profile of healthcare workers, their workplaces, the content and the outcomes of their work. Explicit workforce policies are being increasingly incorporated into health policies and failure to do so, particularly in some transition countries of CEE, has hampered the capacity to achieve the health sector reforms. Wide-ranging initiatives are being developed by national governments with potential to bring significant changes in how the healthcare workforce is governed and managed. Recurrent failures of a traditionally fragmented and physician-oriented model of workforce planning have prompted, in many jurisdictions, a move towards more integrated approaches to planning. The processes of re-regulation of healthcare providers suggest a paradigmatic shift from professional self-regulation and macro-managerial controls towards a greater emphasis on public accountability and micro regulation. New patterns of flexibility go beyond the traditional focus on shift working and also draw increasingly upon innovative models of division of labour, changes in scope of practice, and redesign of the incentives. It appears that common pressures faced by different countries and institutional demands arising from the European integration are creating a commonality of patterns in many areas notably as regards education, training and recognition of professional qualifications. However, despite many similar features, the models of management of health workers in Europe show marked variability. In particular different approaches to labour relations reflect regulatory styles inherited from different institutional contexts. Conclusions: Effective workforce policies emerge as a critical component of health policy and a sine qua non for effective reform of the health sector. Countries may inform each other on appropriate and innovative strategies to cope with the challenging healthcare workforce issues. However, given the pervasive influence of institutional structures in each country, innovations that are primarily technical and relatively institution-free are likely to be more quickly transferred. Implications for Policy, Delivery or Practice: This study offers options to policy makers to improve healthcare outcomes through changes in the governance of health system personnel. Building a new healthcare workforce will require a comprehensive agenda, fundamental alterations in some existing models and experimentation of more creative options. Primary Funding Source: Budget of the European Observatory on Health Care Systems (Consortium of funders) and Canadian Health Services Research Foundation (CHSRF) • Organizational Turnaround: Lessons from a Study of 'Failing' Health Care Providers in England Naomi Fulop, B.Sc., M.P.H., Ph.D., Fiona Scheibl, B.A., Ph.D., Nigel Edwards, B.A., M.B.A., Gerasimos Protopsaltis, B.A., M.A. Presented by: Naomi Fulop, B.Sc., M.P.H., Ph.D., Senior Lecturer, Public Health and Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London, WC1E 7HT; Tel: +44 20 7927 2458; Fax: +44 20 7612 7843; E-mail: naomi.fulop@lshtm.ac.uk Research Objective: There is a large literature on management turnaround in the corporate sector, most of which focuses on strategies for dealing with survivalthreatening performance decline. However, in health care such literature is rare. With the public reporting of performance data such as the 'star ratings' system in the English NHS (a composite measure used to rank health care organisations), the question of how to address 'failing' health care organisations has come to the fore. Our objective was to study the markers for 'failure' and the approaches to management turnaround in health care organisations. In particular, the policy of 'franchising' in the English National Health Service (NHS), whereby the chief executive of a failing organisation is replaced, is examined Study Design: The study has two elements: in the first phase, five case studies were conducted with hospitals perceived as 'failing', prior to the introduction of the star rating system, where the management had been replaced. In the second phase, four of these five cases were followed up and a further four case studies added that had scored the lowest (zero stars) in the performance assessment system and had their management team replaced. These four cases were subject to intervention by teams from the Modernisation Agency, an agency of the English Department of Health charged with acting as 'a catalyst for change' to reform the NHS. Data were collected to examine the markers and responses to failure, strategies for turnaround, and the impact of these strategies. Data include semi-structured interviews with 99 key stakeholders both internal and external to the hospitals, analysis of local media coverage, and changes in 'star ratings' assessmen Population Studied: Nine acute hospitals in England perceived as 'failing' and where the top management team were replaced. Principal Findings: Common markers for failure included lack of clear management structures and processes; and a lack of engagement of clinicians in the management process. Initial external responses to failure were slow and limited to changes to the top management team. Subsequent responses included intervention by Modernisation Agency teams. Turnaround strategies included internal reorganisations to engage clinicians in management and introduce new management systems; attempts to change organisational culture; and a focus on relations with external stakeholders. Changes in the 'star ratings' assessment indicated that, in some cases, performance appeared to decline before it improve Conclusions: This study provides important new data on the markers for organisational failure in health care, on the impact of various responses, and the time taken to turn round failing health care organisations. Implications for Policy, Delivery or Practice: Reasons for organisational 'failure' in health care and how to respond have not been well understood. Responses require careful diagnosis and prescription, but it seems important not to delay too long before taking action. Changing the chief executive appears to be a necessary but not sufficient response. Organisational turnaround in complex health care organisations takes time, possibly longer than in nonprofessionally dominated organisations, and its sustainability in the long-term is questionable. Primary Funding Source: NHS Confederation • Market Reforms in Europe: Dynamics of Policy Fashion Michael Harrison, Ph.D. Presented by: Michael Harrison, Ph.D., Senior Research Scientist, CDOM, Agency For Healthcare Research and Quality, 540 Gaither Road, Rockville, MD 20850; Tel: 301.427.1434; E-mail: mharriso@ahrq.gov Research Objective: This paper presents a model of forces which lead to the fashion-like waxing and waning of health system reform policies. The model extends past studies of policy agenda setting and research on fashion in other areas, such as management. The model is used to account for the rapid rise and decline of support among European policy makers for using market forces to reform publicly-regulated health systems. Study Design: The model derives from qualitative analysis of 104 in-depth, semi-structured interviews conducted during the mid-1990s in the United Kingdom, Sweden, and the Netherlands. Respondents reported on the reforms’ development and impacts in their own organization and in other domains familiar to them. Site visits, consultations with local experts, published and unpublished documents and research reports provided additional data. Population Studied: Managers in public purchasing authorities and hospitals, politicians, physicians, nurses, researchers, and consultants. Principal Findings: After their initial enthusiasm and interest in the late 1980s and early 1990s, politicians in the countries studied quickly enacted ambitious quasi-market reforms, then grew less supportive of them, and began searching for other policy options. Proposals and policies for market-oriented reform moved through a cycle, involving (1) fashion setting, (2) policy formation and adoption, (3) implementation, and (4) feedback from implementation. During fashion setting proponents of reform drew inspiration from an international movement advocating deregulation and privatization of public services. Foreign – and particularly American -- fashion setters led the way. During policy formation and adoption, policy actors in each country developed local versions of managed competition, diffused program proposals, and forged supporting coalitions. Their policy discourse was largely enthusiastic and uncritical, and they paid little attention to dissenting voices. During policy implementation unforeseen difficulties and costs surfaced; actors who were uninvolved in earlier stages became vocal; discourse about reform became more reasoned and critical. Conflicts emerged among reform priorities and between the reforms and other widely-held values. Worst of all, the reforms did not quickly deliver the hoped-for-benefits. Disillusion set in, public and political support for the original programs dwindled, and the stage was set for further waves of policy fashion. Conclusions: Policy fashion appears to be unavoidable and does bring benefits, including experimentation and challenging taken-for-granted ideas. However, fashion leads policy makers and users to neglect analysis of the feasibility and implications of new policies. Nor does the fashion cycle provide much opportunity for learning and improvement of programs during implementation. Thus rapid adoption and abandonment of programs wastes resources, often leads to failure to achieve worthwhile policy objectives, burdens those responsible for implementation, and leaves them cynical about the prospects for meaningful system improvement. Implications for Policy, Delivery or Practice: Policy makers can take several steps to reduce these negative effects of the fashion cycle: Assure that people responsible for implementation also participate in policy formulation and planning; experiment with policy options before full-scale implementation; sponsor research and rapid feedback on the implementation of new policies; train and encourage people at all levels to engage in diagnostic and critical thinking about policies and their implementation • How Does the Quality of Medical Care Compare in Five Countries? Peter Hussey, B.A., Gerard Anderson, Ph.D., Robin Osborn, Vivienne McLaughlin, John Millar, M.D., Arnold Epstein, M.D. Presented by: Peter Hussey, B.A., Ph.D. Candidate, Health Policy and Management, Johns Hopkins School of Public Health, 624 N. Broadway, HH305, Baltimore, MD 21205; Tel: 410.955.7314; Fax: 410.955.2301; E-mail: pete@jhu.edu Research Objective: This study aimed to compare indicators of the quality of medical care across five countries. Despite significant interest in measuring and reporting quality of medical care in most industrialized countries, to date there have been little internationally comparable data available. International quality of medical care data will allow countries to compare their performance to other countries’, offering an alternative standard to expert recommendations. Study Design: The Commonwealth Fund International Working Group on Quality Indicators collected data on 22 indicators of medical care quality for Australia, Canada, England, New Zealand, and the United States. The indicators were selected by a panel of researchers and government officials using the following criteria: feasibility, scientific soundness, interpretability, actionability, and importance. The measures include 5-year cancer relative survival rates, 30-day case-fatality rates after acute myocardial infarction and stroke, the breast cancer screening rate, and the asthma mortality rate. Population Studied: The quality indicators were compared at the national level in Australia, Canada, New Zealand, the United Kingdom, and the United States. Principal Findings: The results show that none of the five countries consistently scores the best or worst on all of the indicators. In addition, each country has either the best or the worst score on at least one indicator. In other words, no country scores consistently the best or worst overall, and each country has at least one area of care where it could potentially learn from international experience. Each country also has an area where it could potentially teach others. While the United States often performs relatively well for this set of indicators, it is difficult to conclude that the U.S. is getting good value for its medical care dollar from these data. Conclusions: Previous U.S. research has shown that Americans receive, on average, 55% of the “gold standard” of experts’ recommended medical care. International comparisons provide a complementary, more realistic, set of benchmarks in addition to the “gold standard.” The comparisons on this set of quality indicators show that each country performs well in some areas and poorly in others compared to other countries. None of the countries approaches the “gold standard.” More work is clearly needed to expand the scope and depth of the indicator set in order to use it to judge overall health system performance, and further investment in data collection and international harmonization of indicators to allow valid international comparisons is necessary. Implications for Policy, Delivery or Practice: The results are intended to draw attention to potential opportunities to improve medical care in the five countries, raise questions about why some countries do well on some measures and others do poorly, provoke debate within countries about health care priorities and policies, and stimulate efforts to examine, refine, improve, and expand the data. Primary Funding Source: CWF • A Decade of Evidence-Based Prescription Drug Purchasing in British Columbia Steve Morgan, Ph.D., Ken Bassett, M.D. Ph.D., Barbara Mintzes, Ph.D. Presented by: Steve Morgan, Ph.D., Assistant Professor, Centre for Health Services and Policy Research, University of British Columbia, 429 - 2194 Health Sciences Mall, Vancouver, British Columbia V6T 1Z3; Tel: 604.822.7012; Fax: 604.822.5690; E-mail: morgan@chspr.ubc.ca Research Objective: 2004 marks the tenth anniversary of the Therapeutics Initiative (TI) at the University of British Columbia. The TI is an academic group that provides the provincial “PharmaCare” plan with the ongoing evidentiary support needed to implement and maintain restrictions on public subsidies until manufactures provide scientifically valid evidence of a comparative final health outcomes advantage. Such “outcomes-based drug coverage policies” are becomingly increasingly necessary with rapidly growing investment in the pharmaceutical component of modern health care systems. The aim of this project is to outline the program of outcomes-based drug coverage supported by the expert advice provided by the TI. Study Design: Telephone and in-person interviews were conducted with individuals that held senior decision-making positions in the BC PharmaCare program during the past decade. Based on these interviews and input from member of the TI, we constructed three case studies pertaining to drug coverage policies that were influenced by the evidence assessed, synthesized, and communicated by the Therapeutics Initiative. We describe the evolution of the decision-making framework, the role of the Therapeutics Initiative, and the impact on provincial drug costs and quality of care. Population Studied: Senior managers in the British Columbia Ministry of Health and academics at the University of British Columbia. Principal Findings: Decision makers in British Columbia have been rationing drug coverage based on scientific evidence of comparative health benefit for ten years. Evaluations of the policies described in our case studies indicate that they save PharmaCare at least $35 million annually (14 percent of program costs) without inducing adverse effects often associated with indiscriminate cost shifting. What distinguishes PharmaCare’s policies from those of other drug benefit providers is the consistent applications of high standards of evidence to funding decisions. Conclusions: Outcomes-based drug coverage helps to control expenditures while avoiding the financial inequities and adverse health impacts often associated with indiscriminate cost shifting. The outcomes-based decision-making framework places a burden of proof on manufacturers and creates a need for an objective review of the scientific evidence. Implementing and then maintaining outcomesbased policies therefore requires dedicated academic partners who support the decision-making process through ongoing communication and the regular provision of timely and defensible assessments. Implications for Policy, Delivery or Practice: The broad and rigorous application of the framework for outcomes-based drug coverage like that applied by BC PharmaCare could generate significant pharmaceutical savings without causing side effects associated with indiscriminate cost sharing policies. Substantive partnerships between committed decision makers and objective experts are vital to such policy success. Because of the inherent interdependence, the relationship between decision makers and academic advisors must be scrutinized and managed to ensure objectivity of an outcomes-based decision-making process. Primary Funding Source: CWF Related Posters Poster Session B Tuesday, June 8 • 7:30 a.m.-8:45 a.m. • Applying CAHPS Instruments in the Dutch Healthcare System to Track Consumer Experience and Improve Performance Onyebuchi Arah, M.D., D.Sc., Aldien Poll, M.Sc., Piet Stam, M.Sc., Han de Vries, M.Sc., Diana Delnoij, Ph.D., Niek Klazinga, M.D., Ph.D. Presented by: Onyebuchi Arah, M.D., D.Sc., NIHES Fellow, Social Medicine, Academic Medical Center of the University of Amsterdam, Meibergdreef 9, P.O. Box 22700, Amsterdam, 1100 DE; Tel: 0031.6.2857.1158; Fax: 0031.20.697.2316; E-mail: o.a.arah@amc.uva.nl Research Objective: To assess the potential applicability of translated Consumer Assessment of Health Plans Study (CAHPS) instruments for providing valid and meaningful healthcare consumer experience data within the context of the Dutch healthcare system Study Design: After extensive review of existing international and national consumer experience survey instruments, the United States CAHPS was selected for brevity, clarity and potential for use within the Dutch healthcare policy context. We examined the conceptual, item, and semantic equivalence of CAHPS in the Netherlands. Two instruments, ‘health plan’ and ‘hospital’ CAHPS, were translated into Dutch (a 67-item alg-NL-CAHPS and a 70-item NL-HCAHPS) and piloted. A third instrument (a 118-item DM-NL-QUOTE), aimed at diabetic patients, was also developed using CAHPS® principles, and was based on the Dutch validated QUOTE instrument. All three instruments were administered by mail, with two reminders, in accordance with the Dillman and the CAHPS Users’ Network recommendations. The surveys were conducted from October to December 2003. Population Studied: We surveyed three adult groups (1000 insured, 2 times 1000 hospital discharged patients, and 1000 insured who have diabetes mellitus) randomly sampled from the insured population of Agis, a major regional health insurer that covers some half a million people. Principal Findings: Initial evaluation suggests that the US CAHPS constructs are not alien to the Dutch situation. The response rates to the ‘health plan,’ ‘hospital,’ and ‘diabetes’ modules are 56%, 65%, and 72% respectively. The results of the psychometric and performance analyses are expected in March 2004. There has also been increased stakeholder and political interest during the pilot testing of the draft surveys. Conclusions: In the Dutch healthcare context, consumer experience data are playing an increasing role in the evaluation, decision making and contracting of the various stakeholders. First experience suggests that the CAHPS approach may be useful for the two purposes explored in this study: performance of the insurer (accountability) and performance of the providers of hospital and diabetes care (contracting). Cross-national learning involving the United States and the Netherlands has so far proven fruitful. Implications for Policy, Delivery or Practice: Consumer experiences with care are an important data source for evaluating the functioning of the healthcare system. Like in the USA, in the Netherlands, consumer experience data are used for various purposes. Recent policy reforms stimulate the use of consumer experience data: (a) to assess the functioning of health insurers in their role as contractors with providers; and (b) to provide consumers and insurers data on which to base their choice and contracting. Capturing the user’s perspective, as anticipated in this study, augments the technical performance indicators being developed in the Dutch healthcare system. However, the present configuration of the Dutch healthcare system limits consumer choice where insurers still contract with most providers. We assume that this will change given the planned reforms that envision an increased liberalization of the healthcare market by 2006. This study contributes to the necessary Dutch healthcare system renewal aimed at increasing transparency of the performance of insurers and providers. Primary Funding Source: Agis Health Insurance Company (who has no influence on research, data or publication) • Public Health Policy and Infant Nutrition Practices: A Comparative Study of International Environments for Breastfeeding Dana Lee Baker, Ph.D., Amber Ann Wagner, M.P.A. Candidate Presented by: Dana Lee Baker, Ph.D., Assistant Professor, Harry S Truman of Public Affairs, University of MissouriColumbia, 118 Middlebush Hall, Columbia, MO 65203; Tel: 573.882.0363; Fax: 573.884.4872; E-mail: bakerdan@missouri.edu Research Objective: In this paper, we conduct an international study of the relationships between breastfeeding practices, the public health and public policy infrastructures, and child health indicators. Our central research questions are: 1) What factors increase the likelihood that a nation will adopt strong pro-breastfeeding legislation?; 2) What factors influence aggregate breastfeeding practice? Study Design: To gain insight into these questions, we use regression analysis testing variables such as median breastfeeding duration, median age of introduction of complementary foods, female workforce participation, economic indicators, breastfeeding legislation, public health investment, parental leave policies and an index of government support of breastfeeding beyond legislation. Population Studied: General population Principal Findings: We have found intriguing correlations (and bases for international comparison) between national characteristics and the breastfeeding policies and practices of nations. Conclusions: Recent medical research has demonstrated tangible benefits including increased intelligence, improved immunities to childhood diseases and a decrease in the tendency to develop diseases later in life such as asthma and diabetes. Breastfeeding dramatically declined worldwide in the 1950s and 1960s. Significant work has been done recently in some nations in an attempt to change attitudes and practices. However, socio-cultural context and policy infrastructure remain influential today. Implications for Policy, Delivery or Practice: Breastfeeding is believed to be fundamental to better infant health and development. The results of this study help to demonstrate which policy levers and socio-economic characteristics tend to be most conducive to breastfeeding internationally. • Health Without Wealth Revisited Thomas Croghan, M.D., Aviva Ron, Sc.D., Amanda Beatty, MPAID, Ross Anthony, Ph.D. Presented by: Amanda Beatty, MPAID Research Objective: To assess determinants of health improvements in developing countries. Study Design: This qualitative policy analysis was divided into two phases. In the first, we conducted a literature review and analysis of secondary data to determine developing countries that had achieved “breakthrough” improvements in health status in spite of the constraints of low-economic status and low levels of health-related spending. In the second, we conducted pair-wise comparisons of three countries that had achieved breakthrough improvements in child mortality with three countries that had not. Population Studied: Principal Findings: Breakthrough improvements in health appear unrelated to country-level income, nutritional and educational attainment, health-related spending, poverty levels, economic growth, and economic and gender inequality, at least within the income band studied here. Conclusions: The path to improved health status in developing countries is not straightforward, and there is still much to learn. It appears that the breakthrough improvements in health observed in some countries can be achieved in spite of economic constraints, already significant attainment in education and nutrition status, and social and cultural barriers that may limit rapid changes in poverty and inequality. Implications for Policy, Delivery or Practice: The lack of progress in many nations, and the slowing progressing in others, toward reaching health-related Millennium Development Goals, including under-5 mortality, calls for an in-depth understanding of how improvement was achieved in the countries studied. Primary Funding Source: RAND Corporation, Private Donation • Regulatory Policy and the Supply of Ambulatory Services Martin Dlouhy, Ph.D. Presented by: Martin Dlouhy, Ph.D., Visiting Scholar, School of Public Health, University of California Berkeley, 140 Warren Hall, MC 7360, Berkeley, CA 97420; Tel: 510.643.1910; Fax: ; Email: dlouhy@uclink.berkeley.edu Research Objective: To evaluate the impact of regulation on the supply of ambulatory services and their geographical distribution in the Czech Republic during the health reforms 1990-2002. Study Design: The analysis of regulatory policy is based on the review of literature, the analysis of national legislation, and the quantitative analysis of trends in the supply and regional distribution of services. Four measures of inequality were used: the Gini coefficient, Robin Hood Index, the absolute and relative ranges. Population Studied: Ambulatory health providers in the Czech Republic 1990-2002. All data comes from the Institute of Health Information and Statistics of the Czech Republic. Principal Findings: Despite recommendations that excesive capacity should be reduced, after 12 years of reforms, there was 28.2% increase in the number of ambulatory physicians per capita and the number of contacts increased by 10.7%. The inequality measures do not show improvements in the regional distribution of services. For example, a quarter of ambulatory services in psychiatry is located in the capital. Conclusions: The deregulation introduced in 1992 can be seen as a failure. It caused an excessive expansion of services. The budgetary regulation introduced in 1997 led to a financial stability of health insurance system, but it did not have a great impact on the number and distribution of ambulatory physicians. The supply of ambulatory service is high, especially in the capital. Inequalities in the regional distribution were not removed by the regulation. Implications for Policy, Delivery or Practice: The combination of fee-for-service system, free contracting and privatization during 1992-1997 brought many problems, however, the budgeting during 1997-2002 just hid the problems by seeming financial balance in the sector and postponed their real solutions. The appropriate design of incentives, the active purchasing and contracting policies are needed. The fundamental system issues as managed care, quality assurance and other has to be also addressed by the regulation. Primary Funding Source: Fogarty International • An Examination of U.K. and U.S. Long Term Care Policies and the Effects on Family Expectations for Residential Care Practices Debra Dobbs, Ph.D. Presented by: Debra Dobbs, Ph.D., NRSA Post Doctoral Fellow, Sheps Center for Health Services Research, University of North Carolina Chapel Hill, 101 Conner Drive, Suite 302, Chapel Hill, NC 27599; Tel: 919.843.3084; Fax: 919.966.1634; E-mail: debra_dobbs@unc.edu Research Objective: The purpose of this qualitative study was to examine how cross national differences in the roles and responsibilities of the state (public) and the market (private organizations) with regard to provision of long term care, lead to differences in residential care practices and ultimately differences in family expectations for care. Study Design: Indepth structured interviews with family members about their expectations for care for their relatives residing in residential care settings and how these expectations were or were not met. Interview data was coded for similarities as well as differences in expectations between the U.K. and U.S. sample populations. Population Studied: A sample of 24 family members from five residential care homes (RCs) in Exeter in England and 25 family members from six RCs in Kansas in the U.S. were interviewed. Principal Findings: Similarities between the two samples included 1) the importance of choosing a setting that was homelike; and 2) having staff that delivered resident-centered care. In the U.K.,residents were not provided the option of private rooms or private toilets, which was problematic to family members. The differences in expectations were related to the differences in: 1) financing of residential care and aging in place; 2) the level of regulation of RC and state agency involvement and coordination of care; and 3) the degree of a medical model of care and staff qualifications. Conclusions: Similarities suggest that both nursing homes and residential care settings should create a homelike environment, including such things as private rooms and bathrooms, spaces for visiting, allowing own furniture, and flexible schedules for meals and baths. LTC facilities also need to focus on resident centered care to meet the growing consumer demand for this type of care. Aging in place is desired by both the U.K. and the U.S. sample of family members, but not as achievable in the U.S., because of the private pay system in place as compared to the largely publicly funded system in the U.K. Primary Care Teams play an important role in reducing staff workload in the U.K. sample, which may result in lower levels of staff turnover, as compared to U.S. sample. High turnover is expected and observed in the U.S. sample which is in sharp contrast to the U.K. sample, reasons for this are numerous - medical models of care, low status, minimal rewards and low prestige for direct care staff, no chances to advance in their jobs. Implications for Policy, Delivery or Practice: Clearly, both systems have their advantages and disadvantages. It would be ideal to borrow the best of both of the residential care systems to improve upon each. In both systems, nursing home providers need to do a better job of creating socially desireable environments and can learn from social models of care developed by the Assisted Living/Residential Care industry. Affordable residential care alternatives and mechanisms will need to be put into place in order for aging in place to be possible in the U.S. Health care career ladders and higher salaries for direct care staff in the U.S. may reduce turnover in this population. Primary Funding Source: AHRQ-NRSA funding • Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Surgery (CABG) Mortality and Length of Stay (LOS) in the United Kingdom Compared with the United States David Foster, Ph.D., M.P.H., Sivana Heller, M.D., M.P.H., Janet Young, M.D., MHSA, Phillip James Presented by: David Foster, Ph.D., M.P.H., Vice President, Clinical Informatics, Clinical Informatics, Solucient, LLC, 5400 Data Court, Suite 100, Ann Arbor, MI 48108; Tel: 734.669.7982; Fax: 734.930.7611; E-mail: dfoster@solucient.com Research Objective: To compare inpatient mortality and length of stay in coronary artery bypass graft patients in the United Kingdom with those of similar patients in the United States Study Design: Retrospective cohort using observational data. The diagnosis coding system used in the US is ICD-9-CM; the corresponding system in the UK is ICD-10. Therefore, we used a diagnosis grouping system from the US Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) that is applicable to both ICD-9-CM and ICD-10. This Clinical Classification Software (CCS) grouping methodology was used to create 10 diagnostic categories which covered more than 99% of both the US and UK CABG discharges. These diagnostic categories provided a mechanism for case-mix adjustment. Patient age, sex, number of diagnosis codes, and emergency versus routine admission were also used to adjust for potential confounding. Population Studied: Inpatients in the United Kingdom and in the United States who received a coronary artery bypass graft surgery in the second calendar quarter of 2002 through the first calendar quarter of 2003. There were 97,326 cases from the US, and 16,395 from the UK included in this study. Principal Findings: Unadjusted comparisons showed higher LOS and mortality rates for patients who received a CABG in the UK than for similar patients treated in the US. Adjusted CABG mortality and LOS are both significantly higher in the United Kingdom compared with patients in the United States. Patients who were admitted on an emergency basis were significantly more likely to die than routinely admitted patients, and female and older patients were significantly more likely to die during their stay than male and younger patients, respectively, regardless of country where treatment took place. Conclusions: Adjusted length of stay, and in-hospital mortality rates are significantly higher for similar patients undergoing CABG surgery in the UK versus the US during the time period under study. Implications for Policy, Delivery or Practice: Further international studies are needed to help explain why differences exist in mortality and LOS between patients who receive CABG in the UK versus those who receive this procedure in the US. Primary Funding Source: Sollucient, LLC • Recents Developments in Record Linkage in Health Services Research in Australia Cashel D'Arcy James Holman, MBBS, M.P.H., Ph.D., John Bass, Ph.D., Diane Rosman, M.Sc. Presented by: Cashel D'Arcy James Holman, MBBS, M.P.H., Ph.D., Professor of Public Health, School of Population Health, Centre for Health Services Research, The University of Western Australia, Perth, 6009; Tel: 61.8.9380.1251; Fax: 61.8.9380.1188; E-mail: darcy@sph.uwa.edu.au Research Objective: To develop a population-based system of linked administrative health records, research databases, genealogical information and biospecimen data. Study Design: The WA Record Linkage Project was firs established in 1995 and uses computerised probabilistic matching to provide links between over 30 major administrative and research databases concerning health status, service utilization and outcomes. The system is being expanded through the inclusion of cross-jurisdictional data on pharmaceutical and medical benefits held by the Australian Commonwealth Government and by the inclusion of family links and links to biospecimen data banks. Population Studied: The population of Western Australia, an Australian state of 1.8 million residents. Principal Findings: The paper will overview the design of the systems, applications to date (some 90 projects per year), progress with new development and anticipated benefits. Conclusions: Investment in research infrastructure of this type at the national or state level enables an otherwise impracticable and overly costly research agenda to proceed. Implications for Policy, Delivery or Practice: The WA Record Linkage Project and Family Connections Genealogical Database will support a wide range of population-based health services research and human genome epidemiology projects. Primary Funding Source: National Health & Medical REsearch Council of Austalia • Prostate-Specific Antigen, Digital Rectal Examination and Transrectal Ultrasonography: A Meta-Analysis for this Diagnostic Triad of Prostate Cancer in Korea in Symptomatic Men Jae Man Song, M.D., Ph.D., Chun-Bae Kim, M.D., Ph.D., Hyun Chul Chung, M.D.., Robert Kane, M.D., Ph.D. Presented by: Chun-Bae Kim, M.D., Ph.D., Visiting Scholar (Associate Professor), Clinical Outcomes Research Center (Departments of Preventive Medicine), University of Minnesota School of Pubic Health (Yonsei University Wonju College of Medicine), D-351 Mayo (Box 197), 420 Delaware Street, S.E., Minneapolis, MN 55455-0392; Tel: 612.625.7417; Fax: 612.624.8448; E-mail: kimxx360@umn.edu Research Objective: A meta-analysis was conducted using results in the Korean literature with a focus on sensitivity and specificity to determine whether prostate-specific antigen (PSA) or digital rectal examination (DRE) or transrectal ultrasonography (TRUS) provides the better diagnostic outcome in possible prostate cancer patients. Study Design: An extensive literature search of MedRIC database et al (1980 to 2003) using the medical subject headings “PSA”, “DRE”, and “TRUS”, as well as “prostate cancer”, was performed. For the quantitative meta-analysis process the methods of Hasselblad et al and SAS program were utilized. Population Studied: Of the 108 articles retrieved, 13 studies (2,029 patients) were selected for this meta-analysis. The criteria for quality evaluation were as follows: study subjects must have been compared clinically for suspected prostate cancer, and articles must include individual data about sensitivity, specificity, and predictive value for the diagnostic triad based on biopsy results as a reference standard. Principal Findings: The pooled sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value for PSA greater than 4ng/ml were 91.3%, 35.9%, 33.0%, and 92.3%, respectively; and for PSA greater than 10ng/ml were 77.3%, 67.5%, 44.1%, and 89.9%, respectively; and for DRE were 68.4%, 71.5%, 45.0%, and 86.9%, respectively; and for TRUS were 73.6%, 61.3%, 40.6%, and 86.6%, respectively. According to the results in a fixed effect model in PSA criteria, overall effect sizes for PSA4 and PSA10 were 0.8517 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.6694, 1.0340] and 1.0996 (95% CI: 0.9459, 1.2534). Also, according to the results using a random effect model in both DRE and TRUS criteria, overall effect sizes for DRE and TRUS were 0.8398 (95% CI: 0.7169, 0.9627) and 0.8002 (95% CI: 0.6714, 0.9289). Also, the results on positive predictive value for combination of PSA, DRE, and TRUS in detecting prostate cancer jumped further to 68.3% or 76.8%. Conclusions: In conclusion, this study suggests that prostatespecific antigen, digital rectal examination, and transrectal ultrasonography for the diagnosis of prostate cancer were not effective separately. Implications for Policy, Delivery or Practice: Therefore, we recommend that the urologists should use PSA together with DRE and TRUS to diagnose for prostate carcinoma in patients with primary lower urological symptoms. Primary Funding Source: Grant from the Korean Urological Association (2003) • Evaluating the Productivity and Manpower of Chinese Medicine Physicians in Taiwan Jwo-Leun Lee, Ph.D., Jim-Shoung Lai, Ph.D. Presented by: Jwo-Leun Lee, Ph.D., Associate Professor, Health Care Administration, China Medical University (Taiwan), 91 Hsueh Shih Road, Taichung, 404; Tel: 886.4.22053366 Ext. 7234; Fax: +886-4-22019901; E-mail: jllee@mail.cmu.edu.tw Research Objective: This study aims to evaluate the productivity of Chinese medicine physicians in Taiwan between 1992 and 2002, to construct a production function and to lead some suggestions on manpower policy. Study Design: A national sample of 208 and 291 Chinese medicine physicians is interviewed in 1992 and 2002, respectively. Diaries and questionnaires collect data. Population Studied: A total of 300 and 500 Chinese medicine physicians is sampled from the 1945 and 3617 practicing Chinese medicine physicians in Taiwan in 1992 and 2002, respectively. Principal Findings: The Chinese medicine physicians in 2002 are younger, more educated and better trained than those in 1992. Their practicing time is 44.2 hours per week, 83% of it spent on face-to-face contacting with patients, less by 10 hours for practicing but more by 3 hours for face-to-face contacting than 1992. There are 252 visits per week per physician, more than those in 1992 by 30%. The gross income is therefore estimated to be 16 thousand US dollars per month. For the clinics, there are 4.2 physicians in one clinic and 3 assistants for each physician, about twice of those in 1992. The capital input is estimated to be 9 thousand US dollars per physician. The net income is therefore estimated to be 7 thousand US dollars per month. In the production function, the elasticity of visits is estimated to be 0.43 for physician labor, 0.39 for assistant labor, and 0.12 for clinic size. Other factors include physician age, rate of the insured patients, and urbanization. Using the 1992 production function and 2002 variable values as a indicator of potential productivity, the production is increased by 30% between 1992 and 2002, but is still less than its potential productivity by 40%. Conclusions: It is suggested that Chinese medicine physicians should be increased by 1.7% to 3.8% annually, in which the former is the annual rate of Chinese medicine visits and the latter the annual rate of the number of Western medicine physicians in Taiwan. Yet both are less than the actual rate of 4.6% for the annual increasing rate of Chinese medicine physicians. Implications for Policy, Delivery or Practice: The Ministry of education and the Ministry of Health should consider a titer policy to control the number of Chinese medicine physicians in Taiwan. Primary Funding Source: Ministry of Health, Taiwan • Pharmaceutical Prices in Non-Industrialized Countries: New Tools for Measurement, Analysis, and Action Jeanne Madden, Ph.D., Andrew Creese, MA/M.Sc., Margaret Ewen, Dennis Ross-Degnan, ScD, WHO/HAI Working Group on Medicine Prices Presented by: Jeanne Madden, Ph.D., Instructor, Department of Ambulatory Care and Prevention, Harvard Medical School, 133 Brookline Avenue, 6th Floor, Boston, MA 02215; Tel: 617.509.9953; Fax: 617.859.8112; E-mail: jeanne_madden@hphc.org Research Objective: Pharmaceutical costs represent a larger share of health spending in poorer countries and are usually borne directly by patients. Drug prices are also a subject of growing political controversy worldwide, and pose many challenges to measurement and comparison. Few reliable data are publicly available. A collaborative effort between the World Health Organization and Health Action International helps local researchers gather price data and present informed analyses for policy making. Study Design: Field surveyors collect patient prices on 30 common essential drugs from private sector pharmacies, public clinics, and other facilities. Prices of the innovator brand and two generic equivalents for each drug are taken from at least 40 facilities. There is no independent assessment of drug quality, but only nationally registered drugs are included. Researchers enter price data in an interactive spreadsheet which produces primary analyses, including comparisons among products, product versions, sectors, and geographic regions. Product availability is also described. Information on international reference prices and local mark-up structures and wages contribute to an understanding of price patterns and their human impact. Reference prices used are international non-profit bulk generic wholesale. Population Studied: Investigators conducted drug price surveys in 10 pilot countries during 2001 and 2002: Armenia, Brazil, Cameroon, Ghana, India, Kenya, Peru, Philippines, South Africa, and Sri Lanka. Principal Findings: Results varied considerably along several dimensions. In Sri Lanka, median prices observed for the individual innovator brand drugs surveyed in private pharmacies ranged from 1 to 13 times the reference prices. Medians for the same drugs in their most sold generic versions ranged from 0.2 to 2 times the references. In Peru’s private sector, for matched pairs of innovator brands and generics, the ranges were 16 to 94 times the reference prices and 2 to 77 times, respectively. Taking the median of medians observed in Peru’s private sector, brand drugs cost about 3 times more than equivalent most-sold generics and 5 times more than the cheapest generic equivalents. In Ghana, generic hydrochlorothiazide and nifedipine were sold retail at 5 times and 9 times their respective reference prices. Nonetheless, an unskilled government employee would have spent half a day’s wage to pay for a month’s standard hypertension treatment with generic hydrochlorothiazide and 5 days’ wages for similar treatment with generic nifedipine. In US dollar terms, brand ranitidine cost almost 2.5 more in S. Africa than in Armenia, and generic ranitidine cost over 11 times more. One month’s ulcer treatment with either brand ranitidine or brand omeprazole cost about 2 months’ wages in several African countries. Conclusions: Comprehensive international price comparisons are difficult because of differing market shares and availability. However, large diffences in prices may be meaningful. Analyses of price components indicate that local mark-ups account for only a small portion of differences. Many drugs were found retail-priced at 50 to 100 times the references and far beyond patients’ ability to pay. Implications for Policy, Delivery or Practice: Governments and consumer groups can use data obtained with these methods to illuminate problems in markets for drugs. Opportunities to lower prices through generic substitution, improved procurement strategies, and taxation changes are evident. Primary Funding Source: Rockefeller Foundation and Dutch Foreign Aid • Welcome Home: How Mexican Migrants Miss Out on Retirement Benefits Sara Ross, MPA/ID, Daniel Polsky, M.P.P., Ph.D., José Pagán, Ph.D. Presented by: Daniel Polsky, M.P.P., Ph.D., Research Associate Professor, General Internal Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, 423 Guardian Drive, 12th Floor, Philadelphia, PA 19104-6021; Tel: 215.573.5752; Fax: 215.573.8778; E-mail: polsky@mail.med.upenn.edu Research Objective: Recent policy initiatives address the benefits afforded to the 8 million Mexican living in the United States. Because these migrant workers may not also maintain an engagement with the formal labor market in Mexico, they risk forgoing the retirement benefits offered to elderly Mexicans with sufficient years of work in Mexico. We explore how time spent in the US affects the probability that elderly Mexicans will receive retirement benefits. Study Design: We use logistic regression to analyze the effect of time spent in the US on two dependent variables: whether the respondent has health insurance and whether he/she has retirement pension benefits. We also evaluate the relationship between migration and three other dependent variables: whether the respondent had any doctor visits within the last year prior to the interview, whether the respondent would visit a formal health care provider for routine care, and the number of doctor visits within the last year. Population Studied: The study sample was drawn from the Mexican Health and Aging Survey (MHAS). The MHAS surveyed a representative sample of the 13 million Mexicans born prior to 1951 and their spouses or partners, regardless of age. For our sample, we include those over 65 who had ever worked. The sample size is 3,972. Principal Findings: While 53 percent of our sample receives health insurance benefits, the probability that a migrant has health insurance coverage is 4.3 percentage points lower. Moreover, differences in health care utilization between migrants and non-migrants arise due to the lack of health insurance coverage rather than due to unobserved factors related to the composition of the migrant and non-migrant groups. Fifteen percent of elders in the sample receive pension benefits. The probability of earning a pension increases by 1.2 percentage points if they spend time in the US. This result is driven almost wholly by Mexican elders who gain US citizenship or permanent resident status and earn US social security. Conclusions: The relative disadvantages experienced by Mexican elders who have a history of migration to the US—in terms of access to health insurance—highlight the challenges in extending retirement health insurance in the context of high labor mobility. While migrants are able to partly substitute US social security benefits for foregone Mexican social security, there is no analogous substitution available to migrants when it comes to health insurance. Implications for Policy, Delivery or Practice: Policy initiatives that aim to extend social security benefits to migrant workers should not overlook retirement health insurance. In the context of existing inequality in access to health care, migration to the US threatens to further reduce access to health care for aging Mexicans. Primary Funding Source: NIA • Resource Consumption and Operational Impact of SARS in Taiwan Hospitals Ming-Fong Chen, M.D., Ph.D., James Romeis, Ph.D., YuanTeh Lee, M.D., Ph.D. Presented by: James Romeis, Ph.D., Professor, Health Services Research, School of Public Health, Saint Louis University, 3545 Lafayette Avenue, #300, St Louis, MO 63104; Tel: 314.977.8148; Fax: 314.977.1674; E-mail: romeisjc@slu.edu Research Objective: To assess resource consumption and operational impact of SARS in Taiwan hospitals; discuss appropriate operational and financial assistance that health policy officials should provide to health care workers and hospitals. Study Design: Retrospective case-control, comparing claims data and operational data for National Taiwan University Hospital between April - June, 2002 [pre-SARS] with the comparable SARS period data. We also surveyed physician and nurse perceptions of their SARS-related workload intensity and complexity. Population Studied: 158 SARS patients compared to 527 pneumonia patients, controlling for gender, age and LOS Principal Findings: Average treatment costs for SARS patients were not higher than controls, although SARS patents that expired incurred higher treatment costs. At its peak, NTHU utilizaton rates decreased significantly: 71% inpatient, 63% outpatient and ED, 85% surgeries. Percieved intensity for MDs declined with experience but incresed for nurses. Conclusions: SARS caused severe financial and operational losses for NTHU and other Taiwan hospitals. These losses were not related to treatment costs but rather to externalities associated with decreased utilzation. It also caused significant burdens among treating MDs, but especially nurses. Implications for Policy, Delivery or Practice: Health policy officals need to consider financial and other forms of assitance for hospitals who treat epidemics similar to SARS or bio-terrorism. In societies with NHI such as, these mechanisms offset expected losses. In US hospitals, lossess associated with externalities, place providers in a conflict between mission, espertise and margin. • Does Trade Affect Children? Dov Rothman, Ph.D., David Levine, Ph.D. Presented by: Dov Rothman, Ph.D., Assistant Professor, Department of Health Policy and Management, Columbia University, 600 West 168th Street, 6th Floor, New York, NY 10032; Tel: 212.342.4521; E-mail: dbr2104@columbia.edu Research Objective: In this paper we ask whether openness to the international economy affects infant and child mortality. Study Design: We estimate the relationship between trade and infant and child mortality using cross-national data obtained from the World Bank’s World Development Indicators. Because a simple correlation between trade and a measure of children’s welfare does not necessarily reveal the causal effect of trade, we first estimate a “gravity” model of trade as a share of GDP. This uses exogenous geographical characteristics to predict how much countries trade. We then use the predicted geographic component of trade estimated from the gravity model to obtain a cross-sectional estimate of the effect of trade on children’s welfare. We also analyze the time series of a panel of nations. This approach allows us to estimate the relationship between trade and children’s welfare controlling for time-invariant factors that are specific to a nation. Because the predicted measures of trade used in the cross-sectional analysis are based on time-invariant geographical characteristics, our cross-sectional identification strategy is not appropriate for a longitudinal analysis. Thus, when using the panel we estimate a gravity model that includes the GDP of nearby potential trading partners. In this model, changes in our measure of predicted trade are largely driven by changes in GDP in nearby nations. Principal Findings: In the cross-section, we find that trade predicts lower infant mortality and lower child mortality. Our cross-sectional results imply that, for the average country, a 15percentage point increase in predicted trade as a share of GDP (an increase of about one standard deviation) corresponds to approximately 3 fewer infant deaths per 1000 births and 4 fewer infant deaths before age 5 per 1000 births. In the panel analysis, we also find that increases in trade as a share of GDP are associated with decreases in infant and child mortality rates. Conclusions: Our results suggest that trade does not have the dire consequences sometimes ascribed to it by critics of globalization. The general message of our findings is that trade has a small but favorable impact on infant and child mortality. Implications for Policy, Delivery or Practice: It is widely believed that openness to the international economy helps countries become wealthier. At the same time, some argue that openness to the international economy harms children, and so protest against trade. Our results do not support this policy position. Using relatively new econometric techniques, we find that – if anything – trade helps children. • Direct to Consumer Drug Advertising in New Zealand Lynne Eagle, Ph.D., Dean Smith, Ph.D., Lawrence Rose, Ph.D. Presented by: Dean Smith, Ph.D., Professor and Chair, Health Management & Policy, University of Michigan, 109 Observatory, Ann Arbor, MI 48109-2029; Tel: 734.936.1196; Fax: 734.764.4338; E-mail: deans@umich.edu Research Objective: To assess the effects of DTC advertising on patient and provider behavior in New Zealand, the only country aside from the USA that permits DTC advertising of drugs. Study Design: A random sample of members of each of three medical professional groups was obtained from a commercial database. A stratified random sample of adult consumers was drawn from the New Zealand Electoral roll. An eleven page, 64-item questionnaire was used, with many questions containing subsections. Questions used were developed from a range of sources, primarily the published literature and, with permission the 1999 and 2000 FDA studies and the 2002 Prevention Magazine consumer study. Population Studied: Physicians, pharmacists, nurses and consumers in New Zeland Principal Findings: Response rates: general practitioners 27%; pharmacists 29%; practice nurses 44%; and consumers 27.0%. GPs reported limited pressure to provide medications and that customers were as likely to receive an alternative medication or medical referral. Consultations with pharmacists and nurses were predominantly concerned with dosage and side effects issues. Attitudes towards customer requests for DTC medications were generally positive and similar across groups of medical professionals. However, there were concerns that DTC advertising does not convey sufficient information on the risks and negative effects of the medication. There was substantial variation in responses within each group of professionals, with some in support and others opposed to DTC advertising, but with the majority somewhat ambivalent. Overall consumer attitudes towards DTC advertising were mixed, with a clear recognition both of the information potential of the advertising, but also of its shortcomings in providing balanced information. Conclusions: Advertising was not seen either as placing a burden on medical practices or causing tension between patients and doctors. Implications for Policy, Delivery or Practice: Results of surveys in New Zealand paint a similar picture as those in the United States, but with the effects - both positive and negative - of, on average, half the magnitude. Primary Funding Source: Massey University’s Academy of Business Research Fund • What Factors Affect London Nurses’ Decisions to Leave Their Current Job and the Profession? David Barron, Ph.D., Elizabeth West, Ph.D., Rachel Reeves, Ph.D. Presented by: Elizabeth West, Ph.D., Lecturer, Public Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, G22 Kepple Street, London, E-mail: elizabeth.west@lshtm.ac.uk Research Objective: To investigate the relative importance of interpersonal experiences at work, quality of care, and satisfaction with pay and workload on nurses’ intention to leave nursing or their current job, controlling for age, gender, education and self-reported health. Study Design: A postal survey using a questionnaire that was initially developed in the US and adapted for use in UK acutecare settings by the authors. A multi-centre research ethics committee granted ethical permission for the study. We categorised respondents as “leavers” or “stayers” with regard to their current job and the nursing profession, and used logistic regression to estimate the effect of the independent variables hypothesised to influence their employment choices. Because respondents were grouped by hospital we used the Huber-White method of estimating the standard errors. Population Studied: Acute London hospitals were invited to participate in the study because they typically have higher turnover and vacancy rates than hospitals, and are more reliant on temporary staff and overseas nurses than are hospitals in other parts of the United Kingdom. Twenty hospitals, divided between inner (11) and outer (9) areas of the city agreed to participate. In the case of hospitals with less than 400 nurses we surveyed the entire complement of staff. In larger hospitals we drew a random sample of 300 nurses. After two reminders, 2880 (out of 6160) useable responses were returned, giving a response rate of 47%. Principal Findings: We investigated whether a selection of socio-demographic variables affected nurses’ employment decisions and found that men were more likely to express an intention to leave both their current job and the nursing profession than were women. The effect of age changes over the life course, but tends to fall year on year from the time that nurses join the profession and rises again after about 40. Those who rate themselves as having relatively good health are more likely to intend to stay in nursing and in their current job. Nurse assessed quality of care also has an impact on both kinds of career decisions, as does their assessment of their workload. High levels of satisfaction with pay lowers nurses’ intention to leave their current job, but have a much more significant negative impact on their intentions to leave the profession. The experience of having been verbally or physically abused by a patient or relative increases the likelihood that a nurse will seek to quit both job and profession. On the other hand, the perception that managers listen to nurses’ views has a strong effect on retention in the current job but is not significant in the model of quitting the profession. A feeling of being valued by the hospital and by society has an effect on nurses decisions to stay in the profession, but is barely significant in the models of the decision to leave the current job. Nurses who work in outer London hospitals are much less likely to intend to leave their current jobs than nurses who work in central London, but there are no significant differences between the two groups in terms of their intentions with regard to leaving the nursing profession. Conclusions: Nurses’ career decisions are complex and many different variables contribute to the decision to leave or stay. This study shows that controlling for personal characteristics such as age, gender and health, nurses consider not only the pay and conditions of the job, but also by the standards of care that they see being delivered to patients. Inter-personal relationships and the emotional climate in which nurses work also play a role in the decision-making process. Implications for Policy, Delivery or Practice: There are clear indications of the mechanisms by which a viscous circle of excessive workloads and declining standards could lead to more attrition, which would in turn increase the workload of remaining staff, and would threaten the quality of care. Having to work even harder might then prompt even those who would prefer to stay to seek another job. This study may have different implications for national policy makers and local managers. In the UK, where pay is mainly determined at a national level, these results suggest that increasing nurses’ satisfaction with pay would have a dramatic effect on their intentions to stay in the profession. National policy makers might also note that nurses who feel valued by society are more likely to be retained in the profession. Within individual organisations, these results suggest that taking steps to improve the quality of the emotional climate of the hospital would pay dividends in terms of lowering turnover and vacancy rates, which would probably also have a demonstrable impact on quality of care. Primary Funding Source: NHS R&D Programme Invited Papers The United States in a World Prescription Drug Market Chair: William Scanlon, Ph.D. Tuesday, June 8 • 11:15 a.m.-12:45 p.m. • Panelists: Gerard Anderson, Johns Hopkins University; Anna Cook, Mathematica Policy Research, Inc.; Panos Kanavos, London School of Economics and Political Science; Bruce Stuart, University of Maryland at Baltimore (no abstracts provided)