CONFERENCE DRAFT DRAFT: Do not quote or circulate without permission from the author or AcademyHealth, June 25, 2005 CONSUMER-DIRECTED CARE AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR STATE AND FEDERAL LONG-TERM CARE POLICY Randall Brown, Ph.D. Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. This paper was commissioned by The Commonwealth Fund for use at its 2005 Colloquium, Building Bridges: Making a Difference in Long-Term Care, held June 25, 2005. Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. INTRODUCTION Imagine that you are an 87-year old woman with limited mobility who lives alone, and have been receiving 20 hours per week of assistance from Medicaid (the maximum the state allows) with getting out of bed, bathing, housework, and meal preparation. The care is provided by a woman who works for a certified provider agency. Your daughter comes by every evening and weekend to help you with dinner and getting to bed. Without the agency’s help you would have to enter a nursing home (assisted living might provide enough help, but you can’t afford that, and Medicaid doesn’t pay for it). But occasionally your daughter has to work on the weekend, or is not feeling well herself, and it’s hard to find someone to take over then—sometimes you just have to fend for yourself, though the family worries that you’ll fall again or burn yourself. And sometimes the agency aide doesn’t show up, or comes late, so you have to lay in bed until you can get someone to come over. Even when she’s there, she just watches television most of the time. You’ve complained, and they sent you a different aide last time, but you’ve just gotten comfortable with the previous one doing such intimate care. The aides don’t know how to cook the spicy Mexican food that you are used to, and aren’t willing to try, so meals are a drudgery too. All this makes you feel miserable, powerless, and guilty as well, because your daughter is a wreck from worrying about you all the time and has to give up so much of her scarce free time to help you. Care provided through states’ Medicaid personal care benefits and their home and community based services (HCBS) waivers enables many people to remain in the community who would otherwise have to move to a nursing home or live alone in danger. While agencyprovided care is a godsend for many frail older people or younger adults with disabilities, and their families, for a sizable minority it leaves much to be desired, as the example above illustrates. For these consumers, the traditional agency-based approach to providing care is too rigid, allowing them too little choice about when, how, and by whom their care is provided, and what type of help is given. Furthermore, agencies frequently have trouble finding enough reliable, competent, and sensitive staff at the wages they can afford under Medicaid, especially in remote or high-crime areas. As a consequence, Medicaid spending on these services is inefficient, and leaves too much burden on unpaid family caregivers. When unpaid caregivers burn out from the emotional and physical toll of caregiving, consumers often have to enter a nursing home. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 1 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. To address these shortcomings, advocates for people with disabilities have pushed for, and states have moved toward, more consumer control over this care. States were prompted to consider this option in part by a 1999 Supreme Court decision (Olmstead), which ordered states to provide care to people with disabilities in a community setting if the consumer preferred that setting, the state found it appropriate, and the resources were available. Federal system change grants and the New Freedom Initiative gave states further incentive and resources to offer consumers more choice over their care and control over their lives. Every state now offers some form of consumer direction to at least some subgroup of Medicaid consumers.1 Infield (2004) in a report prepared for NASUA and CNCOA, reported that their survey of state Aging administrators found that states see consumer direction as effective and “simply the right thing to do.” While giving people with disabilities greater control over their own care and destiny is appealing, consumer direction raises a number of potential problems and questions about the safety of the beneficiary, potential fraud and abuse of the benefit, abuse of caregivers, and cost to the state. Until recently, there has been very little evidence on these issues. Furthermore, states wishing to adopt a consumer directed program for personal care or waiver services must make a great many operational decisions that have crucial implications for these concerns and for the political acceptability of the program to consumers, advocates, state government, and agencies. In this paper I provide an overview of the options for consumer directed care that are now available to consumers, present the available evidence on how well they work compared to the traditional system, and indicate some of the remaining questions and challenges for states 1 Benjamin (2001) suggests that three other factors heightened states’ interest in consumer direction—hopes that it might be less expensive than agency care, expectations that it would help address the workforce shortages that agencies faced, and movement away from a purely medical model of providing care for people with disabilities. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 2 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. wishing to make such options available. Until very recently, there was little hard evidence on the effects of consumer direction on consumers and caregivers, and no studies of how consumer direction affected costs to Medicaid. Thanks to the creativity and funding of the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and the Office of the Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation in U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (ASPE), and the waivers granted by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, a wealth of data and estimates are now available from the Cash and Counseling Demonstration and Evaluation.2 Given that Cash and Counseling is an innovative and particularly flexible form of consumer direction that is now expanding to 11 additional states, was tested with a rigorous experimental design, and covers 3 different states with different target populations, benefit levels, and rules, I draw most of the evidence presented from Mathematica Policy Research’s evaluation of that program. The evaluation provides estimates of program effects on consumers, caregivers, hired workers, and costs to Medicaid. CONSUMER DIRECTION TODAY IN THE US The term “consumer direction” when applied to personal care and HCBS means, at a minimum, that consumers of these services have some control over who delivers their care, and how and when it is delivered. However, there are many variations in how consumer directed plans are implemented. Programs differ in the target populations to which they are offered, the services that the consumer has some control over, whether consumers are given control over an allowance or just some input on who their workers will be and how they do their job, how much freedom the consumer has in deciding who they would hire and how such an allowance would be 2 The National Program Office at the University of Maryland and Boston College oversaw the development of the program, provided extensive technical assistance to the states, and oversaw the evaluation. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 3 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. spent, the wage rate paid to hired workers, how much assistance and oversight the state provides, and many other factors. The features of, and constraints on, consumer directed plans are dictated in part by the authority under which they exist. In states that offer personal care services under their state Medicaid plan, CMS expressly permits consumer-direction, but there are limitations on what this entails that can make it less attractive to many consumers and their prospective workers. First, the worker must be an independent Medicaid provider, meaning that they must meet the state’s licensure requirement and must either contract with the state or be hired by a Medicaid provider agency. Second, the state sets the wage rate to be paid. Third, the consumer cannot hire a legally liable relative. Fourth, consumers cannot use the benefit to manage a self-selected array of supplies, equipment, and services as they see fit, nor can they take some of the authorized benefit amount in cash to use for transportation or incidental expenses. More flexibility is allowed if the state obtains a 1915(c) waiver to provide HCBS, and that approach has just this year become even more flexible. This authorization also requires hired workers to be Medicaid certified, and until recently, did not allow hiring of legal liable relatives (but does now). However, it allows flexible uses of the benefit and allows the consumer to set the wage rate for the worker they hire. CMS’s Independence Plus initiative has made it easier for states to obtain 1915(c) waivers, previously a somewhat arduous process, by providing a template and technical assistance. As of January 2005, 11 states had obtained waivers under this template.3 3 This template defines, for the first time, the features that CMS requires for approval of the consumer directed option: a person centered approach, individualized budgets, fiscal intermediary services, support brokers directed by the consumer, a quality assurance and improvement system, and consumer protections like emergency back up and incident management. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 4 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. Consumer directed programs authorized under Section 1115 waivers offer even greater flexibility to states, including permission to hire legally liable relatives, to give cash directly to consumers, to loosen Medicaid eligibility requirements, and to waive the requirement that the state can pay only providers with Medicaid contracts. However, the program has to be budget neutral—that is, must cost no more than the state would have spent in the absence of the program over a five year period. Finally, the Cash and Counseling program offers a very specific type of consumer direction that features fewer constraints than those previously offered by earlier programs. The program was originally offered as a demonstration in three states—Arkansas, Florida, and New Jersey— and was authorized under 1115 waivers. The original states continue to offer Cash and Counseling options, and programs in 11 new states have been funded by the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and ASPE and are expected to begin enrolling consumers in 2005 and 2006. Cash and Counseling provides each consumer with an allowance, based on the hours of care or other services in their care plan, which they can use to hire workers, to purchase equipment or supplies, or to make modifications to their vehicle or home that enable them to live more independently. In order to receive the allowance, consumers must develop a spending plan for the allowance, and all expenditures are monitored against this plan. The consumers are allowed to receive the full allowance as cash if they can demonstrate the ability to perform all of the activities of an employer (write checks, withhold taxes, file social security contributions, etc.), but a fiscal intermediary or bookkeeper is offered to consumers to perform these functions, and virtually all consumers have chosen this option. Consumers are allowed to hire legally liable relatives in two of the states (Florida and New Jersey), and these workers need not contract with the state or be employed by an agency, nor meet any particular qualifications or training requirements. Counselors help the consumers develop an acceptable spending plan, monitor DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 5 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. consumers’ spending against these plans. States vary in whether counselors make decisions on whether requests to purchase items not in the spending plan are allowable. Consumers can receive modest amounts of the monthly allowance (10 to 20 percent, depending on the state) in cash to use for incidental expenses, and a substantial number of consumers do so. They also can save up funds over several months to purchase allowable items if they so desire. Consumers can appoint a representative to assist them with managing the allowance, making the program available to all consumers regardless of the nature and severity of their disabilities. Although there are no available estimates of the number of consumers currently directing their own care, and no definitive list of the programs currently being offered, it is clear that consumer direction is growing rapidly in the United States. Flanagan (2001) identified 139 consumer-directed programs operating in 2001, and many more have developed since then. Most of these programs were small, serving fewer than 1,000 individuals (42 percent served fewer than 500 consumers), but the California In-Home Supportive Services (IHSS) program enrolled about 250,000 consumers, and the 139 programs together served nearly 500,000 consumers. Substantially more consumers are enrolled in consumer directed care programs in 2005. EVIDENCE ON THE EFFECTS OF CONSUMER DIRECTION As noted above, while offering consumers more choice and control over their care seems attractive, states and policy makers have a number of concerns about consumer direction. The key questions regarding the effects of consumer directed programs are: • How much and in what ways does it actually improve the lives of consumers • Does it keep consumers safe • How does it affect the people who had been the primary informal caregivers DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 6 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. • How do the workers hired under consumer direction fare • How do Medicaid costs compare to what they would have been • How many and what type of beneficiaries are likely to be interested Very little evidence is available on the effects of consumer direction in general. The only thorough evaluations are the evaluation of California’s IHSS program (Benjamin and Matthias 2001; Benjamin 2001; Benjamin and Matthias 2004) and the Cash and Counseling evaluation of the three Cash and Counseling states described here. The two studies examine some of the same issues, but the programs differ substantially in a number of ways that could lead to quite different program effects. First, IHSS assigned consumers to the consumer directed and agency-directed models, whereas Cash and Counseling was a strictly voluntary program and the demonstration used random assignment. Second, the maximum monthly benefit provided in the IHSS program, equivalent to 283 hours of care (9 to 10 hours per day), far exceeded the maximum benefit provided by any of the three Cash and Counseling states. Third, the IHSS program did not include a counseling component. Fourth, consumers in the Cash and Counseling program had more flexibility in the use of their allowances (e.g., they could purchase other goods and services). Benjamin and Matthias’s (2001) study of 511 consumers directing their own care in the IHSS program and 584 receiving agency services showed that consumers under both models were satisfied with their care, but those in the consumer-directed model generally reported more positive outcomes, especially those who hired a family member. In general, those hiring their own worker reported a greater sense of security, wider choices, and greater satisfaction compared to those receiving care from agency providers. Benjamin and Matthias (2004) found that, relative to agency workers, workers hired under consumer direction received 30 percent lower wages and were less likely to receive fringe benefits. They had closer relationships with DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 7 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. the care recipient, but experienced more emotional strain. These differences were essentially driven by those directly hired workers who were related to the client. No data on the relative costs of the consumer directed and agency directed IHSS models were available. Benjamin (2001) refers to Cash and Counseling as the first opportunity to obtain rigorous estimates of the relative costs under the two systems. The Cash and Counseling evaluation is much more extensive than the IHSS studies, and features random assignment of interested eligible consumers into the treatment group, which had the opportunity to manage their own allowance, or the control group, which had to get care from agencies in the usual fashion. As noted above, it was implemented in three states, with different target populations, benefit levels, rules about hiring legally liable relatives, methods for calculating the allowance amount and funding the fiscal agent and counseling services, and methods for reassessment. Table 1 displays the features of the programs in the three states. While all of these features are important for understanding the impacts on consumers and costs and why they differ across states, three of particular significance to bear in mind when reviewing the results below are:4 • Arkansas allowed consumers who were eligible for but not already receiving services under the traditional program to enroll in Cash and Counseling, whereas Florida offered their program only to consumers already receiving waiver services, and New Jersey offered theirs only to consumers who already had been assessed by an agency. • Florida offered their program to children and non-elderly adults who were receiving service under the state’s waiver program for beneficiaries with developmental disabilities; the other states opened their programs to adults only, and targeted it primarily toward those with physical disabilities and functioning problems rather than cognitive problems. 4 For additional information about demonstration implementation in the three states, see Phillips and Schneider (2002, 2003, and 2004). DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 8 of 64 DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 9 of 64 HCBS waiver services, except case management/support coordination* Personal care Could not hire legally responsible relatives (such as spouses or parents) or representative Provider specific, ranging from 70 to 91 percent and averaging 86 percent across all enrollees $8 per hour in care plan multiplied by provider-specific adjustment factor Services included in calculating the allowance amount Hiring restrictions Care plan adjustment factor used in setting allowance Method for calculating allowance Claims history or adjustment factor multiplied by value of care plan. (Care plan always used for those with developmental disabilities. Also used care plan if claims history was not stable or if care plan value was at least $50 per month more than claims history.) 89 percent for elderly adults, 83 percent for adults with physical disabilities, 92 percent for children and adults with developmental disabilities None Elderly adults and nonelderly adults with physical disabilities, and children and adults with developmental disabilities who were receiving services under the HCBS waiver June 2000 to July 2002 (adults) and June 2000 to August 2001 (children) Florida—CDC Adults (elderly and nonelderly) with physical disabilities (may also have cognitive disabilities) who were eligible for the state plan Medicaid personal care program December 1998 to April 2001 Arkansas—IndependentChoices Eligible population Demonstration enrollment period Feature Value of care plan 10 minus percent setaside for fiscal agent and counseling services None Could not hire representative Personal care Adults (elderly and nonelderly) with physical disabilities who were already enrolled in the state plan Medicaid personal care program November 1999 to July 2002 New Jersey—Personal Preference Program KEY FEATURES OF CASH AND COUNSELING PROGRAMS, BY STATE TABLE 1 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 10 of 64 Agencies (for traditional program) and counselors (for allowance recipients) Demonstration enrollees could also participate in the HCBS waiver programs ElderChoices or Alternativesa Entity conducting reassessment Participation in other consumer-directed or home care programs For adults with developmental disabilities, the demonstration excluded some northern counties with a state-funded consumerdirected program. Support coordinators or case managers (for traditional program) and counselors (for allowance recipients) Fiscal agent fees paid for by schedule of fees charged to consumers (for example, $5 per check) Counseling paid for through existing Medicaid funding stream for case management and support coordination in traditional program. $829 (adults) and $831 (children) Florida—CDC Demonstration enrollees could not participate in HCBS waiver programs or a state-funded consumer-directed program. Agencies (for traditional program) and Medicaid nurses (for allowance recipients) Set aside 10 percent of care plan value to cover counseling services and some fiscal agent costs. From this pool of money, the state paid human services agencies a lump sum per consumer to complete a cash management plan and an hourly fee thereafter for consulting; state also paid fiscal agent for some tasks, such as the processing of employment-related forms. Consumers paid some fiscal agent fees (such as for cutting and stopping checks) $1,097 New Jersey—Personal Preference Program HCBS = home- and community-based services. *HCBS services covered under Florida’s waiver included behavioral therapy and personal care supplies, as well as personal care. ElderChoices provides nurse-supervised homemaker, chore, and respite services to nursing-home qualified elderly adults. Alternatives provides attendant care and environmental modifications to nonelderly adults and lets them choose and supervise caregivers. Among demonstration enrollees, 62 percent of the elderly participated in ElderChoices, and 9 percent of the nonelderly participated in Alternatives. Paid for through pool of money generated from difference between $12.36 per hour paid to agencies and $8.00 per hour rate at which allowance was cashed out. Originally, agencies were paid a per-client per-month rate for counseling and fiscal services, which was reduced at six-month intervals. Later in the demonstration, agencies were paid a fixed rate for developing a spending plan and then paid per client per month for counseling and fiscal services. Funding for fiscal agent and counseling services a $313 Arkansas—IndependentChoices Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. Median monthly prospective allowance of all demonstration enrollees Feature TABLE 1 (continued) Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. • Unlike the other two states, New Jersey did not apply a discount factor to the estimated value of the care plan in setting the allowance amount. The discount factor was intended to adjust the allowance downward to reflect the fact that consumers receiving agency services typically get somewhat less on average than is called for in their care plan. Consumers enrolled in the demonstration over about a two and one-half year period in each state, with Arkansas beginning in December 1998, New Jersey in late 1999, and Florida in June 2000. States each sought to enroll a target of about 2000 adult consumers; Florida also opened its program to children with developmental disabilities, and set a target of 1,000 children. States stopped enrolling beneficiaries into the evaluation when they reached their targets; unless they had not done so by July 2002, when all enrollment ended. New Jersey and Florida each fell about 10 percent short of their targets for adults. The Cash and Counseling Evaluation Design Wherever possible, program impacts were estimated by comparing outcomes for the entire treatment group to the entire control group, regardless of whether the treatment group consumer received the allowance or whether the control group received agency services.5 This intent-totreat approach underestimates the impacts on actual participants, so the results are conservative estimates of the program’s true impacts on those who receive an allowance. Separate estimates were obtained for elderly and non-elderly consumers within each of the three states, and for children in Florida. Data for the study came from telephone surveys of consumers, caregivers, and workers, and from Medicaid and Medicare claims data and from program records. Consumers volunteering 5 For some measures, such as satisfaction with the paid care received, only those receiving care could be analyzed. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 11 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. for the study were required to complete a baseline interview before being randomized. The data on consumers’ outcomes were obtained from followup surveys conducted 9 months after they enrolled. Data on their costs were obtained from Medicaid and Medicare claims data for the year after enrollment for all consumers, and for two years after enrollment for those enrolling during the first year of intake. Data on outcomes for the primary informal caregivers were obtained from a telephone survey of these individuals, who were identified by the consumers in the baseline interview. Data on workers were drawn from a survey of these individuals, who were identified by the consumers at the time of their 9-month followup interview. Both the informal caregiver and paid worker surveys were conducted about 10 months after the consumer enrolled in the study. The proportion of sample members completing the survey ranged from 80 to 92 percent for consumers, depending on the age group, and was typically about 5 percentage points higher for the treatment group than the control group. For the caregivers, response rates ranged from 72 to 90 percent, with a similar treatment-control differential. Rates were similar for the paid workers survey, but the treatment-control difference in rates were somewhat larger, as expected. Many consumers elected to have proxies respond for them, despite interviewers’ encouraging them to complete the interview themselves and assuring them that they could do so. Program impacts were estimated using logistic models for binary outcomes and regression models for the few continuous measures, such as Medicaid costs. We tested hypotheses about program effects by examining the statistical significance of the coefficient on treatment/control status in these models; only those outcomes for which this coefficient was significantly different from zero at the .05 level (for a two-tailed test) were considered to have been affected by the program. However, to make the magnitudes of effects easier to grasp, we have presented average predicted values for the outcomes over all sample members, first assuming they are in the treatment group and then assuming they are in the control group. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 12 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. Sample sizes were sufficiently large that we were confident of detecting true program impacts of any meaningful magnitude within any state-age group category. The minimum detectable effect at 80 percent power was about 10 percentage points for binary outcomes with a mean of .4 to .6, for any age group in any state except the smallest one (nonelderly adults in Arkansas) for which the detectable effect was about 12 percentage points. Detectable effects for total Medicaid costs were roughly 10 percent of the control group mean for all but the smallest group. We examined impacts separately for various subgroups, but sample sizes were generally too small to detect all but very large differences. Thus, only subgroups defined by age are presented, because of the long-standing question about the suitability of consumer direction for elderly adults. Enrollment and Participation in Cash and Counseling6 Relatively few (5 to 8 percent) of both younger and older eligible adult consumers in each of the states enrolled in the program, but the program attracted a higher proportion of children with disabilities, with 15 percent being enrolled by their parents. Eligibles receiving relatively large benefits in the traditional program, those who had been receiving PCS/HCBS services for a longer time, and those who were alive throughout the state’s 2½ year intake period were more likely to enroll in the program than eligibles without these characteristics. Enrollees were quite impaired, in all three states, as expected. Half to two-thirds of beneficiaries in any state-age group category needed help moving to or from a bed or chair. Over half the elderly respondents requested that a proxy complete the baseline interview for them due to poor health, cognitive problems, or difficulty communicating. 6 Most of the results presented in this section were drawn from Foster et al. (2005a), Schore and Phillips (2004), and Foster et al. (2005c and 2005d). See those reports for more detailed results and discussion of methodology. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 13 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. In each age group in each state, a substantial portion of the treatment group consumers never received an allowance (Table 2). The proportion that did receive an allowance to manage during their first year after enrollment ranged from only 42 percent for elderly adults in Florida to 89 percent of nonelderly adults in Arkansas. In Arkansas and New Jersey, the great majority of those receiving their allowance had started getting it by month 6, but about one-third of children and non-elderly adults in Florida (90 percent of whom had developmental disabilities) who received their allowance did not get it until 7 to 12 months after enrollment. The disparity across states was due to differences in recruitment and spending plan approval processes, as discussed later. Most beneficiaries (80 to 90 percent) who received an allowance used it to hire workers; few used it to modify their cars or homes. Consumers tended to hire mainly family members, but sizable proportions (22 to 42 percent) hired only individuals who were unrelated to them. The second most popular use for the allowance was purchase of equipment or supplies, typically communication devices or medical alert systems. Sizable proportions (30 to 60 percent) of each state-age group took part of their allowance (limited by the states) in cash to cover transportation costs and incidental expenses. Finally, while large proportions of program participants would recommend the program to others seeking more control over their care, a substantial proportion disenrolled from the program. Among treatment group members at 12 months after enrollment, 15 to 25 percent of each age group in each state had disenrolled voluntarily (except for Florida’s elderly, for which the rate was 38 percent).7 Nonetheless, over half the younger adults in each state and 70 percent of the children in Florida were still receiving allowances two years after enrollment. 7 This disenrollment rate is consistent with the low proportion of consumers who received an allowance. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 14 of 64 DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 15 of 64 86.0 87.5 89.3 89.3 371 67 291 359 441 1,775 Among Recipients, Started Allowance by End of (percent)b: Month 3 Month 6 Month 9 Month 12 Allowance Amount (dollars)c Mean Minimum Bottom quartile Median Top quartile Maximum 453 190 902 142 509 817 1,158 5,655 19.0 35.5 38.9 40.8 31.8 41.7 60+ 404 270 1,049 226 604 1,091 1,364 2,436 31.7 58.7 67.1 69.6 59.4 67.2 18 to 64 Schore and Phillips (2004), Foster et al. (2005c, 2005d). Calculated over only treatment group members who actually received the allowance. c b See Dale and Brown (2005). a A few sample members were missing one of the components (such as the discount rate) used to calculate the monthly prospective allowance. 456 262 1,929 93 753 1,465 2,596 28,298 13.8 42.8 54.0 57.9 54.8 57.5 18 to 59 Note: 501 356 1,212 50 418 870 1,663 5,600 21.8 53.9 65.9 71.1 68.3 71.1 3 to 17 31.3 55.0 62.7 64.0 54.6 64.1 65+ 467 294 1,066 181 608 1,097 1,413 2,354 New Jersey Medicaid claims for first row; program records from each demonstration state for all other entries. 725 585 310 29 216 301 414 2,017 79.3 81.5 82.1 83.2 60.0 81.7 65+ Florida Source: 279 240 71.0 Percent Receiving Allowance in Month 12a Sample Size (Treatment Group) All Recipients Only 88.8 Percent Receiving Allowance at Any Time in Year 1a 18 to 64 Arkansas MONTHS FROM RANDOM ASSIGNMENT TO START OF MONTHLY ALLOWANCE TABLE 2 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. Effects on Consumers’ Well-Being Treatment group members in Arkansas and New Jersey were substantially more likely than control group members in those two states to receive paid care. With one exception, treatment group members in all three states also were much more satisfied with the care they received. Elderly consumers in Florida were the sole exception with respect to satisfaction, as fewer than half the treatment group members received their allowances (continuing to rely instead on agency-supplied services).8 Treatment group members were generally more likely to receive paid personal care, but received comparable total hours (paid and unpaid) of care. Nine months after enrollment, for six of the seven state-age group combinations we examined, the treatment group was significantly more likely than the control group to be receiving paid personal assistance during the two-week reference period (Table 3). The difference was largest in Arkansas, where many beneficiaries faced limited access to services due to worker shortages, but it also was sizeable in New Jersey and in Florida (except in the case of elderly consumers). Ninety percent or more of both the treatment and control group members in every state and age group were receiving some unpaid assistance at nine months (not shown; see Carlson et al. 2005). By contrast, the total number of hours of care received was either no different for the treatment group than for the control group or, among younger adults in Arkansas and older adults in Florida, was significantly lower for the treatment group. The control group had a very large number of unpaid hours of care, accounting for 75 to 85 percent of their total hours of care. The treatment group also reported high levels of unpaid hours, but consistently less than the control group for consumers of all ages in all three states. The lower number of unpaid hours essentially 8 Results in this section are drawn from Foster et al. (2003), Carlson et al. (2005) and Foster et al. (2004). DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 16 of 64 DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 17 of 64 473 Sample Size 1,266 101.3 115.1 –13.8* (.036) 859 197.7 217.1 –19.4** (.009) 39.5 29.6 9.9** (<.001) 811 148.1 159.8 –11.7 (.130) 39.4 28.9 10.5** (<.001) 187.5 188.7 –1.2 (.878) 736 111.8 125.6 –13.7 (.109) 28.0 32.9 –4.9 (.140) 139.9 158.4 –18.6* (.042) 94.0 91.2 2.8 (.176) 60+ 682 106.5 116.7 –10.2 (.242) 38.8 33.2 5.6* (.023) 145.2 149.9 –4.7 (.612) 91.6 78.7 12.9** (<.001) 18 to 64 783 94.2 111.7 –17.6* (.034) 39.1 31.2 7.9** (<.001) 133.2 142.9 –9.7 (.283) 93.9 81.9 12.0** (<.001) 65+ *Significantly different from zero at the .05 level, two-tailed test. **Significantly different from zero at the .01 level, two-tailed test. Means predicted using ordinary least squares regression models. Analysis includes only those with complete data for every component of total hours (about 90 percent of the sample in each state). b Effects estimated by pooling the two adult age groups and including and age*treatment status interaction term in the model. Means were predicted using logit models. a Sample is restricted to consumers residing in the community at the time of the 9-month interview. Hours are measured over the two-week period preceding the interview. 73.6 96.8 –23.2** (.008) Unpaid Hoursb Treatment Control Difference p-Value 22.7 18.2 4.5** (.001) 237.2 246.8 –9.5 (.228) 76.4 64.2 12.2** (<.001) 18 to 59 Note: 23.1 23.0 0.2 (.959) Paid Hours of Careb Treatment Control Difference p-Value 124.0 133.3 –9.4 (.185) 79.3 65.1 14.2** (<.001) 3 to 17 New Jersey Nine-month evaluation interview conducted by Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. between September 1999 and March 2002 for Arkansas, March 2001 and May 2003 for Florida, and August 2000 and June 2003 for New Jersey. 96.7 119.8 –23.1* (.014) Total Hours of Careb Treatment Control Difference p-Value 94.2 78.8 15.4** (<.001) 65+ Florida Source: 94.5 67.8 26.7** (<.001) Percent Receiving Paid Assistancea Treatment Control Difference p-Value 18 to 64 Arkansas PAID AND UNPAID CARE RECEIVED, BY AGE GROUP TABLE 3 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. offset the higher number of paid hours observed for treatment group members in most state-age groups. Treatment group members were much more likely to have their needs met, and to be very satisfied with their care (Table 4). With the exception of elderly consumers in Florida, treatment group members were much less likely than control group members to report unmet needs, more likely to state that their caregivers performed reliably and appropriately, and more satisfied with the help they received. Relative to control group members, treatment group members had fewer remaining unmet needs for help with daily living activities, help around the house, and routine health care, and they reported much higher satisfaction with the way paid caregivers helped with those services. These differences reflect the treatment group’s higher reported rates of paid caregivers’ arriving on time and completing their work, and lower rates of being neglected, treated disrespectfully, or (in some instances) having things stolen from them. Elderly Florida consumers’ lack of improvement in unmet needs and dissatisfaction with their care appears to be due to the low proportion of treatment group members who actually participated in Cash and Counseling (that is, received their allowances). Among all treatment group recipients of paid care at nine months after enrollment, two-thirds or more of those in the other state and age groups were purchasing that assistance with their allowances, but only 4 in 10 elderly Florida consumers were doing so (Table 4, bottom row). As a result, any favorable program effects on elderly consumers in Florida who were receiving the allowance were not large enough to produce a statistically significant treatment-control group difference in the full sample of randomized consumers. The impacts on unmet needs and satisfaction with care were large, as signified by the double + signs in Table 4. Table 5 provides some illustrative estimates for representative outcomes in DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 18 of 64 DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 19 of 64 81 Percentage of Paid Care Recipients in Treatment Group Who Were Receiving Allowance at Nine Months 439 ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ Very Satisfied with Assistance: Help with daily living tasksa,f Help around house/communityb Routine health cared,f Transportation aidc Overall care arrangementsg Sample Size (Maximum) ++ ++ 1,048 74 + ++ ++ ++ ++ + ++ ++ ++ ++ + + ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ 65+ Paid Caregiver Behavior Neglected consumer Was rude or disrespectful Took something without askingf Gave unwanted helpf Consumer very satisfied with relationshipf Caregiver Reliability Always completed taskse Never arrived late Very satisfied with schedulef Easy to change schedule Unmet Needs for Help with: Daily livinga Household activitiesb Transportationc Routine health cared 18 to 64 Arkansas 796 76 ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ + ++ ++ + ++ 3 to 17 746 68 ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ + + + 18 to 59 Florida 625 41 + 60+ SUMMARY OF RESULTS ON SATISFACTION WITH AND QUALITY OF PAID CARE TABLE 4 637 67 ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ + ++ ++ ++ + ++ + 18 to 64 65 ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ + ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ 65+ 680 New Jersey Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 20 of 64 Nine-month evaluation interview conducted by Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. between September 1999 and March 2002 for Arkansas, March 2001 and May 2003 for Florida, and August 2000 and June 2003 for New Jersey. Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D +Signifies statistically significant treatment-control difference (p < .05) that favors the treatment group and is modest (less than 10 percentage points and less than half the size of the control group proportion or its complement). ++Signifies statistically significant treatment-control difference (p < .05) that favors the treatment group and is large (at least 10 percentage points or at least half the size of the control group proportion [pc] or its complement [1-pc]). Includes arrangements for unpaid and paid help with personal care, activities around the house and community, routine health care, community services, transportation, and for use of care-related equipment. g Effects were estimated by pooling the two adult age groups and including an age*treatment status interaction term in the model. f Routine health care includes help with medications, checking blood pressure, and doing exercises. This measure was derived from a survey question with a five-point scale. The binary variable shown here represents the most favorable rating (always). e d Transportation includes transportation to and from a physician’s office, shopping, school, work, and social and recreational activities. c Household activities include preparing meals, doing laundry, doing housework, and doing yard work. Help doing things around the house and community does not include help with transportation. b Daily living activities include eating, dressing, toileting, transferring, and bathing. a Source: TABLE 4 (continued) DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 21 of 64 25.8 41.0 –15.2** (.001) 10.5 29.5 –18.9** (<.001) 90.4 64.0 26.4** (<.001) 71.0 41.9 29.2** (<.001) Has Unmet Needs for Help with Daily Living Activitya Treatment Control Difference p-Value Paid Caregiver Was Rude or Disrespectful Treatment Control Difference p-Value Very Satisfied with Way Caregiver Helped Around House/Communityb Treatment Control Difference p-Value Very Satisfied with Overall Care Arrangementsc Treatment Control Difference p-Value 18 to 64 11.8 16.4 –4.7 (.051) 35.9 36.5 –0.7 (.823) 65+ 68.3 54.0 14.3** (<.001) 87.3 68.3 19.0** (<.001) Arkansas 56.4 26.8 29.7** (<.001) 85.3 73.1 12.3** (.001) 10.8 15.1 –4.3 (.097) 32.8 44.6 –11.8** (<.001) 3 to 17 68.2 48.0 20.2** (<.001) 85.4 70.9 14.5** (.001) 16.5 18.0 –1.4 (.671) 26.7 33.8 –7.1* (.014) 18 to 59 Florida 50.0 46.9 3.1 (.463) 70.4 66.1 4.3 (.351) 15.6 19.7 –4.1 (.228) 42.8 46.5 –3.7 (.336) 60+ UNMET NEEDS AND SATISFACTION RECEIVED WITH PAID CARE (Percent) TABLE 5 51.9 35.0 16.9** (<.001) 84.4 66.0 18.4** (<.001) 18.7 30.1 –11.4** (.002) 46.1 54.5 –8.4* (.028) 18 to 64 65+ 56.5 36.6 19.9** (<.001) 78.9 58.8 20.1** (<.001) 15.4 20.0 –4.6 (.130) 44.1 57.7 –13.7** (<.001) New Jersey Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 22 of 64 746 63.5 50.2 13.3** (.001) 18 to 59 625 35.9 27.9 8.0* (.049) 60+ 637 37.5 21.0 16.5*** (<.001) 18 to 64 680 47.1 25.3 21.9** (<.001) 65+ Help doing things around the house/community does not include help with transportation. *Significantly different from zero at the .05 level, two-tailed test. **Significantly different from zero at the .01 level, two-tailed test. Includes arrangements for unpaid and paid help with personal care, activities around the house and community, routine health care, community services, transportation, and for use of care-related equipment. c b Daily living activities include eating, dressing, toileting, transferring, and bathing. a Means were predicted using logit models. Sample sizes for some variables in this table were smaller because questions about paid caregiver behavior were asked only for those with such caregivers, and because of differences in item nonresponse. 796 51.9 28.7 23.2** (<.001) 3 to 17 New Jersey Note: 1,048 55.5 37.0 18.5** (<.001) 65+ Florida Nine-month evaluation interview conducted by Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. between September 1999 and March 2002 for Arkansas, March 2001 and May 2003 for Florida, and August 2000 and June 2003 for New Jersey. 439 43.4 22.9 20.5** (<.001) 18 to 64 Arkansas Source: Sample Size Very Satisfied with Life Treatment Control Difference p-Value TABLE 5 (continued) Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. each of the four categories of indicators of consumers’ satisfaction with services received. Despite the services and sizeable amounts of unpaid care received, one-third to one-half or more of enrollees reported unmet needs for help with personal care, help around the house, help with routine health care, and help with transportation. For most measures, Cash and Counseling enabled the treatment group to reduce those unmet needs by 10 to 40 percent below the incidence for the control group. The treatment-control differences in the proportion reporting that their caregivers were rude or disrespectful were less dramatic, but still significantly lower for the treatment group among younger adults in Arkansas and New Jersey, and of the same sizeable magnitude (as a proportion of the control group mean) across all three states for elderly consumers. The proportion reporting that they were very satisfied with the different types of care received, such as help around the house or help traveling around the community, and with their care overall was much higher for the treatment group in every state and age group with the exception of older adults in Florida. Many of the treatment-control differences were significant for all three age groups, but differences generally were larger for nonelderly adults and children than for older adults. As Table 5 illustrates, the treatment-control difference in the proportion of nonelderly adults in Arkansas and in Florida that was very satisfied with their care overall was more than 20 percentage points, but this difference was half that size or less among elderly adults in those states. (The estimated differences for the two age groups in New Jersey were comparable to each other.) Differences in the proportion who were dissatisfied with their care also favored treatment group members; thus, the explanation for the differences is not simply that treatment group members received better care, but that, compared with control group members, treatment group members were far less likely to consider the quality of their care to be unacceptable. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 23 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. Importantly, treatment group members were no more likely to suffer care-related health problems. None of the 11 measures of health problems or adverse events examined showed worse outcomes for the treatment group than the control group, for any state or age group.9 Furthermore, for nearly one-third of the 77 comparisons, the treatment group was significantly less likely to experience health problems. The significant differences were scattered across measures, age groups, and states, revealing no consistent pattern. For example, among the four representative measures presented in Table 6, we find the treatment group to be significantly less likely than the control group to have fallen (in New Jersey, for both age groups), to have contractures develop or worsen (for older beneficiaries in Arkansas and Florida), to have urinary tract infections (nonelderly in Florida), or to have bedsores develop or worsen (younger adults in Arkansas and New Jersey). The significant differences are sizeable, ranging from 20 to 50 percent of the control group means. Thus, concerns that consumer direction would place care recipients at greater risk of injury or illness related to the quality of their care are unwarranted in the Cash and Counseling model as implemented by the three demonstration states; in some instances, consumer direction may actually have reduced consumer’s’ risk of such problems. Finally, on what is perhaps the ultimate measure of the value of Cash and Counseling, we see that treatment group members were 25 to 90 percent (8 to 23 percentage points) more likely than control group members to report that they were very satisfied with how they were leading their lives, and generally half as likely to report that they were dissatisfied with their lives. The smallest of these overwhelmingly positive effects on consumers’ self-reported quality of life was for older adults in Florida, the group for which only 40 percent of treatment group members 9 Measures examined, in addition to the four shown in Table 6, included whether saw a doctor due to a fall; whether saw a doctor because of a cut, burn, or scald; whether injured while receiving paid help; whether shortness of breath developed or worsened; whether had a respiratory infection; whether current health was poor; and whether hospitalized or in a nursing home during the past two months (see Carlson et al. 2005 for all results). DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 24 of 64 DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 25 of 64 5.9 12.6 –6.7* (.012) 19.4 21.6 –2.2 (.560) Bedsores Developed/Worseneda,b Treatment Control Difference p-Value Had a Urinary Tract Infectionb Treatment Control Difference p-Value 696 19.5 21.5 –2.0 (.516) 7.9 9.3 –1.4 (.511) 20.0 21.9 –2.0 (.534) 17.5 19.7 –2.2 (.468) 60+ 668 16.6 19.4 –2.8 (.329) 9.0 13.0 –4.1 (.094) 24.5 28.1 –3.7 (.269) 18.7 28.0 –9.3** (.004) 18 to 64 742 15.7 15.8 –0.1 (.966) 7.2 7.1 0.1 (.970) 17.5 27.1 –9.6** (.002) 13.2 20.4 –7.2** (.009) 65+ *Significantly different from zero at the .05 level, two-tailed test. **Significantly different from zero at the .01 level, two-tailed test. For Florida children, impact could not be estimated from the logit model. Results presented are the unadjusted means and treatment-control differences. Effects were estimated by pooling the two adult age groups and including an age*treatment status interaction term in the model. b a Means were predicted using logit models. Sample sizes for some variables in this table were smaller because of differences in item nonresponse and skip patterns. 808 7.7 11.7 –4.0* (.043) 4.1 5.9 –1.8 (.252) 9.0 14.0 –5.0* (.021) 14.5 17.5 –3.0 (.235) 18 to 59 Note: 857 2.5 6.0 –3.5* (.011) 3.0 6.0 –3.0* (.033) 9.4 13.4 –4.0* (.049) 27.3 36.2 –8.9** (.004) 3 to 17 New Jersey Nine-month evaluation interview, conducted by Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. between September 1999 and March 2002 for Arkansas, March 2001 and May 2003 for Florida, and August 2000 and June 2003 for New Jersey. 1,164 18.2 21.0 –2.8 (.230) 7.5 6.8 0.7 (.640) 15.9 19.7 –3.9 (.089) 19.0 18.6 0.4 (.869) 65+ Florida Source: 462 26.0 25.2 0.8 (.826) Contractures Developed/Worsened Treatment Control Difference p-Value Sample Size 28.4 28.7 –0.4 (.931) Had a Fall Treatment Control Difference p-Value 18 to 64 Arkansas (Percent) CARE-RELATED HEALTH PROBLEMS AND EVENTS TABLE 6 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. received their Cash and Counseling allowance. Even among this group, however, the treatment group was significantly more likely (by nearly 30 percent of the control group mean) to report that it was “very satisfied.” These estimates are buttressed by the findings that half to two-thirds of allowance recipients in every age group in every state reported that the program “improved [their] lives a great deal,” and that more than 85 percent in any state or age group would recommend the program to others wanting more control over their personal care services (Schore and Phillips 2004; Foster et al. 2005c and 2005d). Thus, the message from the consumers’ perspective is clear—Cash and Counseling led to a major improvement in their care and overall well-being, in every state and age group. Effects on Unpaid Caregivers Under Cash and Counseling, many of the treatment group’s primary informal caregivers at baseline (29 percent for adults in Florida, 42 percent in New Jersey, and 56 percent in Arkansas) began receiving pay from consumers during the demonstration. This change in the consumercaregiver relationship affects how we interpret findings for both the paid workers and the unpaid workers. The findings are quite consistent across adult age groups for nearly all of the outcomes examined. Thus, each state’s results are for the primary informal caregivers of younger and older adults combined; results for children are presented separately.10 As expected, nearly all sample members’ primary informal caregivers were relatives (not shown). Children’s primary unpaid caregivers usually were their mothers. For younger adults, caregivers usually were parents. For older adults, the caregivers usually were daughters. In Arkansas and Florida, unpaid treatment group caregivers provided fewer total hours of care during the two weeks before the interview than did control group caregivers; in New Jersey, 10 Results in this section were drawn from reports on unpaid caregivers for adults (Foster et al. 2005e), unpaid caregivers for children (Foster et al. 2005b), and paid workers for all age groups (Dale et al. 2005). DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 26 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. this pattern was reversed (Table 7). In all three states, both treatment and control group caregivers reported providing more than 100 hours of care during the two most recent weeks at home before the survey, with live-in caregivers generally reporting twice as many hours as visiting caregivers. Compared with their respective control group caregivers, treatment group members in Arkansas reported nine percent fewer total hours of care, and those in Florida reported about seven percent fewer hours. In New Jersey, the treatment group’s average reported care hours exceeded the control group’s, by about nine percent. Although none of these estimates is significantly different from zero at the .05 level, all have p-values between .05 and .11, suggesting that the differences may be effects of the program, rather than chance. Separate analysis of this measure by age subgroups showed that this result for New Jersey was confined entirely to the caregivers (both visiting and live-in) of younger adults, who provided 20 hours more care than did corresponding control group caregivers during the reference period. Thus, although Cash and Counseling provided some relief for the primary unpaid caregivers in two states, the caregiving burden (as measured in hours) of unpaid caregivers for nonelderly adults in New Jersey increased, on average. In Florida, the total numbers of hours of care provided by the primary informal caregivers of children (usually the mothers) was similar for the treatment and control groups, as might be expected. In all three states, unpaid treatment group caregivers were much more satisfied than control group caregivers with the care that consumers received, and they worried less about it. Treatment group caregivers were 18 to 20 percentage points more likely than control group caregivers to say that they were “very satisfied” with their care recipients’ overall (paid and unpaid) care arrangements (Table 8). Furthermore, they were only half as likely as the control group caregivers to report being dissatisfied. (One-fifth to one-third of control group caregivers were dissatisfied with the beneficiary’s care.) Treatment group caregivers were consistently and DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 27 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D TABLE 7 HOURS OF CARE PROVIDED BY PRIMARY UNPAID CAREGIVERS Adults Outcome Children Arkansas Florida New Jersey Florida All Primary Caregivers Treatment Control Difference p-Value 106.6 117.0 –10.4 .089 123.7 132.7 –9.0 .111 123.2 113.3 9.9 .057 150.1 155.0 –4.9 .353 Among Live-in Caregivers Treatment Control Difference p-Value 140.1 153.0 –12.9* .035 139.5 149.3 –9.8 .069 148.4 140.1 8.3 .279 154.1 159.9 –5.8 .227 Among Visiting Caregivers Treatment Control Difference p-Value 61.9 68.9 –7.0 .164 48.9 54.0 –5.1 .676 84.8 72.5 12.3 .090 —a — — — 1,433 1,193 1,042 Number of Respondents Source: a 829 Survey of primary unpaid caregivers conducted by Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. See Foster et al. (2005b and 2005e). Only 30 of the primary unpaid caregivers for Florida children were visiting caregivers; hence, results are not presented for this small group. *Significantly different from zero at the .05 level, two-tailed test. **Significantly different from zero at the .01 level, two-tailed test. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 28 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D TABLE 8 PRIMARY UNPAID CAREGIVERS’ SATISFACTION WITH RECIPIENTS’ CARE (Percent) Adults Outcome Children Arkansas Florida New Jersey Florida Very Satisfied Treatment Control Difference p-Value 60.8 42.7 18.1 ** <.001 47.9 29.8 18.1 ** <.001 51.6 31.7 19.9 ** <.001 42.3 22.0 20.3** <.001 Dissatisfied Treatment Control Difference p-Value 9.1 22.8 -13.7 ** <.001 15.7 27.5 -11.8 ** <.001 13.3 32.2 -18.8 ** <.001 14.6 36.9 -22.4 ** <.001 Recipient Does Not Have Enough Help Treatment Control Difference p-Value 35.8 53.5 -17.6 ** <.001 47.8 60.5 -12.7 ** <.001 52.2 70.2 -18.0 ** <.001 47.2 64.7 -17.6 ** <.001 Recipient’s Safety Is at Risk Treatment Control Difference p-Value 39.3 53.4 -14.1 ** <.001 43.1 52.3 -9.2 ** .001 53.5 64.8 -11.3 ** <.001 43.5 57.3 -13.8 ** <.001 14.0 20.3 -6.3 ** .001 22.2 29.2 -7.0 ** .005 24.9 30.3 -5.5 ** .041 25.0 34.7 -9.7 ** .002 Level of Satisfaction with Care Recipient’s Overall Care Arrangements When Not with Care Recipient, Worries Quite a Lot that: Someone Will Take Recipient’s Belongings Treatment Control Difference p-Value Number of Respondents Source: 1,433 1,193 1,042 829 Survey of primary unpaid caregivers conducted by Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. See Foster et al. (2005b and 2005e). *Significantly different from zero at the .05 level, two-tailed test. **Significantly different from zero at the .01 level, two-tailed test. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 29 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. significantly less likely than control group caregivers to report worrying that (in their absence) consumers had insufficient care, were not safe, or would have things stolen from them. The observed differences were large and statistically significant in each state, ranging from 10 to 100 percent of the control group mean, for caregivers of adults and caregivers of children. Both ends of the spectrum of satisfaction were affected, with treatment group caregivers less likely to report that they “worried quite a lot” about these issues, and much more likely to report that they worried “rarely or not at all.” In addition to being more satisfied than control group caregivers about the care that consumers were receiving, treatment group caregivers fared better personally. They were significantly less likely than control group caregivers to say that caregiving limited their privacy or impeded their social lives, and (except in Florida) significantly less likely to say that caregiving caused severe emotional strain (Table 9). Again, these differences generally were large. The somewhat smaller differences in Florida may reflect the fact that almost all of Florida’s children and younger adults had developmental disabilities (potentially a more emotionally taxing group to care for), and that a lower proportion of treatment group adults in Florida than in either Arkansas or New Jersey ever received their cash allowances. Cash and Counseling also appeared to cause fewer work-related and financial problems for caregivers. About half of both treatment and control group caregivers in each state had jobs (other than caregiving), and a remarkable one-third of each group (one-half, for children’s caregivers) reported that caregiving forced them to quit their jobs or reduce their hours (not shown). Although the program had no effect on caregivers’ hours worked, in all three states, treatment group caregivers for adults were significantly less likely to report that they could not look for a job (or different job) because of caregiving responsibilities. They also were significantly less likely to say that caregiving caused them to miss or arrive late for work. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 30 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D TABLE 9 EMOTIONAL, PHYSICAL, AND FINANCIAL STRESS ON PRIMARY INFORMAL CAREGIVERS (Percent) Adults Outcome Children Arkansas Florida New Jersey Florida Caregiving Limits Privacy Treatment Control Difference p-Value 38.7 52.7 -14.1 ** <.001 52.3 57.1 -4.8 .084 41.1 50.5 -9.4 ** .001 61.0 65.9 -4.9 .125 Limits Free Time/Social Life Treatment Control Difference p-Value 52.5 63.8 -11.3 ** <.001 66.9 73.3 -6.5 ** .008 54.8 60.1 -5.3 .061 80.9 81.6 -0.7 .778 35.7 38.6 -2.9 .286 42.3 49.4 -7.1 * .017 39.4 41.6 -2.2 .495 Emotional Indicators Suffered Great Deal of Emotional Strain Due to Caregiving Treatment Control Difference p-Value 26.8 34.3 -7.5 ** .002 Financial Indicators Wanted to Look for a Job But Didn’t Treatment Control Difference p-Value 23.5 38.6 -15.1 ** <.001 35.1 41.8 -6.7 * .011 33.9 44.1 -10.3 ** <.001 52.7 57.0 -4.3 .192 Missed Work or Arrived Late Treatment Control Difference p-Value 48.6 60.6 -12.0 ** .001 60.9 67.1 -6.2 .095 53.6 65.8 -12.2 ** .002 84.0 82.6 1.4 .657 Experienced Great Deal of Financial Strain Treatment Control Difference p-Value 22.4 35.7 -13.3 ** <.001 29.9 38.9 -9.0 ** .001 DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE 30.0 38.6 -8.6 ** .001 43.7 55.6 -11.9 *** <.001 Page 31 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D TABLE 9 (continued) Adults Outcome Children Arkansas Florida New Jersey Florida Experienced Great Deal of Physical Strain Treatment Control Difference p-Value 23.0 32.0 -9.0 ** <.001 28.4 38.8 -10.4 ** <.001 31.7 41.8 -10.1 ** <.001 34.5 42.1 -7.6 * .020 Physical Health Has Suffered as Result of Caregiving Treatment Control Difference p-Value 23.6 34.3 -10.7 ** <.001 32.7 44.9 -12.2 ** <.001 30.7 40.3 -9.6 ** .001 41.8 55.4 -13.6 ** <.001 Current Health Is Fair/Poor Relative to Peers Treatment Control Difference p-Value 35.5 46.7 -11.2 ** <.001 31.8 39.6 -7.8 ** .004 30.3 42.3 -12.0 ** <.001 27.4 36.8 -9.4 ** .003 Very satisfied Treatment Control Difference p-Value 51.3 39.9 11.4 ** <.001 47.0 35.2 11.8 ** <.001 51.6 37.5 14.1 ** <.001 36.9 23.8 13.2 ** <.001 Dissatisfied Treatment Control Difference p-Value 13.1 23.2 -10.1 ** <.001 16.7 22.8 -6.1 ** .008 15.2 27.3 -12.2 ** <.001 16.7 31.1 -14.4 ** <.001 Number of Respondents 1,433 Physical Well-Being Indicators Overall Satisfaction with Life Source: 1,193 1,042 829 Survey of primary unpaid caregivers conducted by Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. Foster et al. (2005b and 2005e). *Significantly different from zero at the .05 level, two-tailed test. **Significantly different from zero at the .01 level, two-tailed test. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 32 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. Furthermore, treatment group caregivers for consumers in every state and every age group were significantly less likely than control group caregivers to report that they experienced a great deal of financial strain as a result of caregiving. Treatment group caregivers were substantially less likely than control group caregivers to report experiencing a high level of physical strain, and to have suffered physical health problems as a result of caregiving. They also were much less likely to rate their health as only “fair” or “poor.” All of these differences in physical well-being measures were large (20 to 30 percent of the control group mean, not shown), and highly consistent across states and age groups. These various differences favoring the Cash and Counseling group are reflected in the significantly greater proportion of treatment group caregivers reporting that they were “very satisfied” with their lives, and the significantly lower proportions reporting that they were dissatisfied. Whereas roughly one-fourth of all control group caregivers in each state were very or somewhat dissatisfied with their lives, the corresponding proportions for the treatment group caregivers ranged from 13 to 17 percent (not shown). Treatment group caregivers fared far better than control group caregivers for beneficiaries of all age groups and in all states, with one exception—treatment group caregivers for nonelderly adults in New Jersey (not shown; see Foster et al. 2005e). This subgroup was the only one in which the treatment group caregivers provided more total hours of care than did control group caregivers, and the only one in which there were no favorable effects on caregivers’ levels of physical, emotional, or financial strain. Thus, it appears that, if beneficiaries’ participation in Cash and Counseling leads to an increase in the total hours of care provided by the person who previously had provided the most unpaid care, the added burden of additional hours may offset some of the advantages that generally accrue to the primary unpaid caregivers of care recipients who manage their own care through Cash and Counseling. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 33 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. Effects on Paid Workers The great majority of directly hired workers had provided unpaid care to the consumers before the consumers had enrolled in Cash and Counseling, with more than one-third having been the primary unpaid caregiver prior to enrollment, and 40 to 50 percent living with the consumer (Table 10). About 30 to 40 percent of directly hired workers in each state had children, and 40 percent had jobs other than caregiving, suggesting that directly hired workers are vulnerable to stress caused by the many competing demands on their time. Hired workers were generally in the 40- to 64-year age range, like agency workers, but they were much more likely to be of the same race as their care recipients. Most of the workers were related to their care recipients; few (5 to 15 percent) did not know the care recipients prior to the demonstration.11 Directly hired workers received roughly similar wages as did agency workers, but they were much more satisfied with their pay. In Florida and New Jersey, treatment group consumers paid their directly hired workers 10 to 15 percent (about $1) more per hour on average than agency workers serving the control group were paid, whereas consumers in Arkansas paid about four percent less per hour than agency wages (Table 11). This result is the opposite of that observed in the IHSS program, where directly hired workers received substantially lower wages than agency workers. Almost no directly hired workers received fringe benefits in any of the Cash and Counseling states, but few agency workers did either. Directly hired workers were occasionally paid late, but rarely paid less than they were owed. In all three states, directly hired workers were twice as likely as agency workers to report that they were very satisfied with their compensation (Table 12) despite the similarity in wages. 11 See Dale et al. (2005) for complete results on the experiences of paid workers in Cash and Counseling. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 34 of 64 DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 35 of 64 Relationship to Consumer Related Not related; knew consumer before demonstration Did not know consumer before demonstration n.a. n.a. 16.4 5.4 n.a. 20.1** 39.7 78.3 51.3 47.0** 79.6** 34.2 57.7 7.5 0.7 51.7 35.6 90.7 Same Race as Consumer Family and Work Situation Married Has children Currently has job other than caregiving 37.1 54.5 8.2 0.3 Age 18 to 39 40 to 64 65 to 79 ≥80 Directly Hired Agency Workers Workers Arkansas Adults 15.8 25.8 58.4 40.3 50.2 29.9 83.6 25.2 62.4 11.7 0.7 Directly Hired Workers n.a. n.a. n.a. 21.2** 52.6 41.6** 60.2** ** 33.3 62.0 4.3 0.4 Agency Workers Florida Adults 10.0 19.1 70.9 42.1 51.4 40.4 84.4 35.9 58.9 5.0 0.3 Directly Hired Workers n.a. n.a. n.a. 22.6** 49.3 47.5 54.5** 34.7 61.7 2.3 1.3 Agency Workers New Jersey Adults CHARACTERISTICS OF PRIMARY PAID WORKERS (Percent) 20.7 25.7 53.6 50.7 50.9 54.5 86.7 44.1 47.8 7.2 0.9 Directly Hired Workers n.a. n.a. n.a. 39.5** 51.2 42.7** 72.1** 40.9 55.5 3.1 0.6 Agency Workers Florida Children Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. TABLE 10 DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 36 of 64 n.a. 84.4 391 Sample Size 308 n.a. n.a. n.a. Agency Workers 222 66.7 39.2 26.6 Directly Hired Workers 164 n.a. n.a. n.a. Agency Workers *Mean for directly hired workers different from that of agency workers at .10 level. **Mean for directly hired workers different from that of agency workers at .05 level. ***Mean for directly hired workers different from that of agency workers at .01 level. n.a. = not applicable for agency workers. A small proportion of agency workers (less than five percent) were related to consumers, lived with them, or provided unpaid care to them before the demonstration. Sample sizes vary slightly for each measure due to item nonresponse. 382 79.6 40.1 46.1 Directly Hired Workers Florida Children Note: 255 n.a. n.a. n.a. Agency Workers New Jersey Adults Survey of primary paid workers conducted by Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. between September 2000 and May 2003. See Dale et al. (2005). 298 69.7 46.3 35.2 Directly Hired Workers Florida Adults Source: 281 n.a. n.a. 39.4 44.5 Directly Hired Agency Workers Workers Arkansas Adults Living/Caregiving Arrangements Lives with consumer Is primary informal caregiver Provided consumer with informal care before demonstration TABLE 10 (continued) Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 37 of 64 391 Sample Size 298 10.26 3.5 7.3 29.2 5.1 19.9 26.5 46.4 255 9.03** 16.5** 21.2** n.a. n.a. 16.2** n.a. n.a. Agency Workersa 382 9.84 4.6 6.9 30.8 6.8 20.3 26.5 46.8 Directly Hired Workers 308 8.53** 24.2** 15.1** n.a. n.a. 18.9 n.a. n.a. Agency Workersa New Jersey Adults 222 11.81 1.0 7.5 29.8 2.8 18.6 21.2 39.7 Directly Hired Workers *Mean for directly hired workers different from that of agency workers at .05 level. **Mean for directly hired workers different from that of agency workers at .01 level. n.a. = not applicable. Only the handful of agency workers who were related to the consumer provided unpaid care to the consumer. Questions about being paid late or less than owed were not asked of agency workers. Among those living apart from consumer. 164 11.33 8.6** 7.1 n.a. n.a. 22.8* n.a. n.a. Agency Workersa Florida Children Responses for agency workers pertain only to the care the workers provided to the consumers who identified them during the ninemonth follow-up survey as their primary worker. b a 281 6.30** 20.6** 57.8** n.a. n.a. 11.7 n.a. n.a. Agency Workera Directly Hired Workers Florida Adults Survey of primary paidworkers Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. between September 2000 and May 2003. Dale et al. (2005). 6.07 1.6 5.8 35.1 6.7 Compensation Hourly wage (dollars) Received fringe benefits (percent) Paid for travel timeb (percent) Ever paid late (percent) Ever paid less than owed (percent) Source: 12.5 25.7 38.2 Hours of Care Provided per Week (Percent) Average paid hours Average unpaid hours Total hours Directly Hired Workers Arkansas Adults PRIMARY PAID WORKERS’ HOURS OF CARE PROVIDED AND COMPENSATION RECEIVED TABLE 11 Conumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 38 of 64 391 Sample Size 298 21.4 47.5 5.7 29.6 85.3 1.0 50.7 16.3 Directly Hired Workers 255 16.5 59.1** 4.3 33.9 82.6 2.4 22.9** 38.0** Agency Workers Florida Adults 382 29.2 40.2 3.7 28.4 79.3 1.3 41.4 16.9 Directly Hired Workers 308 18.9** 42.0 6.5 42..0** 69.9** 3.3 19.1** 41.8** Agency Workers New Jersey Adults 222 21.6 44.0 8.6 21.2 88.7 1.4 61.6 8.4 Directly Hired Workers 164 12.4* 51.2 *Mean for directly hired workers different from that of agency workers at .05 level. **Mean for directly hired workers different from that of agency workers at .01 level. 4.9 32.5* 84.7 2.5 23.0** 41.0** Agency Workers Florida Children Survey of primary paid workers conducted by Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. between September 2000 and May 2003. Dale et al. (2005). n.a. = not applicable for agency workers. Source: 22.4** 37.1 281 70.1** 1.4 3.6 60.2 15.1 Little or No Emotional Strain Consumer’s Family and Friends Needed to Be More Respectful Emotional Well-Being Great Deal of Physician Strain Suffered Any Injury 81.8 2.1 22.2** 37.5** Agency Workers 16.9 83.4 1.0 Working Conditions Overall Very satisfied Not satisfied Physical Well-Being 44.6 15.6 Wages and Fringe Benefits Very satisfied Not satisfied Satisfaction with: Directly Hired Workers Arkansas Adults PAID WORKERS’ STRESS AND SATISFACTION WITH WORKING CONDITIONS (Percent) TABLE 12 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. On other dimensions of their jobs, the two groups of paid workers reported similar, high rates of satisfaction. Only 50 to 70 percent of directly hired workers said that they received training on how to perform their jobs, compared with 95 percent or more of agency workers (not shown); however, the groups were equally likely to feel prepared to handle their responsibilities. Directly hired workers and agency workers experienced similar levels of physical strain and jobrelated injuries. Between 17 and 30 percent of directly hired workers reported “a great deal” of physical strain, although few (3 to 6 percent) reported being injured while providing care (Table 12). These rates are generally similar to rates reported by agency workers, although hired workers in New Jersey were significantly less likely than agency workers in that state to report high levels of physical strain. Hired workers in Arkansas were somewhat more likely than agency workers to report being injured, although the proportion was small, and the difference was reversed from the pattern for New Jersey. Furthermore, the difference in caregiving-related injuries in Arkansas disappeared when we used a regression model to control for the much larger total number of hours of care provided by the directly hired workers. Thus, we find no evidence that hired workers suffered more physical problems than is normal for the tasks they were performing and the hours of care provided, even though hired workers were much less likely to have received formal training than were agency workers. Directly hired workers in Arkansas and Florida were significantly more likely than agency workers in those states to report emotional strain (Table 12). They also were more likely to say that they received too little respect from the care recipients’ families and friends. Across states, 40 to 60 percent of the directly hired workers reported “some” or “a great deal” of emotional strain. Agency workers in both Arkansas and Florida reported lower levels of such stress than the directly hired workers. More than three-fourths of the hired workers in all three states felt very emotionally close to their care recipients (not shown), and they were no more likely than DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 39 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. agency workers to say that the care recipient should have shown more respect. However, they were much more likely to say that the care recipients’ families and friends needed to show them more respect. These differences appear to be due entirely to the familial relationship that most of the directly hired workers had with the beneficiaries whom they cared for. After pooling the data across states to yield adequate sample sizes, we see that directly hired workers who were not related to their care recipients reported rates of emotional strain and lack of respect from the care recipients’ families that are very similar to the rates reported by agency workers (Table 13). Their observed rates of these problems were significantly lower than those of directly hired workers who are related to the care recipients. Unrelated hired workers also received higher wages, were more likely to receive training, and provided far fewer unpaid hours of care than did related workers. Not surprisingly, it is the family dynamics and overall burden of care that appear to explain why hired workers had more emotional problems, rather than the fact that the worker was hired by a consumer instead of being employed by an agency. Effects of Cash and Counseling on Medicaid Costs The Cash and Counseling program was not designed to save money, but rather, to give consumers much greater control and flexibility over their care without costing Medicaid any more per month of benefits received than that care would have cost under the traditional agencybased model. In addition, states are likely to want to know how introduction of Cash and Counseling is likely to affect their total Medicaid costs for cashed out services, and whether the program leads to higher or lower costs for other Medicaid services. Finally, the sources of cost increases or savings are important, as higher treatment group costs resulting from the failure of the traditional program to serve the control group adequately may have different policy implications than higher costs resulting from program design issues. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 40 of 64 DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 41 of 64 41 279 18 2 17.0 59.1 12.0 9.29 41.5 83.0 320 19 7 18.9 56.8 13.0 9.11 42.5 83.3 ` 844 16 2 19.3 56.7 14.4 7.93 21.3 82.4 *Related workers different from unrelated workers at the .05 level, two-tailed test. **Related workers different from unrelated workers at the .01 level, two-tailed test. Data from all three states are combined here to provide adequate sample sizes for comparisons across subgroups of directly hired workers defined by their relationship to the consumer. a Sample sizes vary slightly for each measure due to item nonresponse. 751 22 48 31.7 41.5 19.5 7.63 48.8 85.4 Agency Workers Note: 347 17** 34** 34.6* 46.5** 19.0** 8.34** 46.3 82.1 All Unrelated Survey of primary paid workers conducted by Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. between September 2000 and May 2003. Dale et al. (2005). 404 14 12 27.4 40.9 19 53 53.0 14.5 7.98 47.1 84.4 40.8 22.9 8.64 45.5 80.0 Live-In Not Live-In All Related Not Live-In Source: Sample Sizea Hours of Care Provided (Number) Paid hours Unpaid hours Worker Well-Being (Percent) Little or no emotional strain Consumer needed to be more respectful Consumer’s family and friends needed to be more respectful Working Conditions Hourly wage (dollars) Satisfied with wages (percent) Satisfied with working conditions (percent) Live-In Unrelated Related Directly Hired Workers SELECTED PAID WORKER OUTCOMES, BY CONSUMER-WORKER RELATIONSHIP TABLE 13 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. We found that Medicaid costs for the costed-out services (personal care in Arkansas and New Jersey, and waiver services in Florida) were significantly and substantially higher for the treatment group than for the control group in each state for each age group (with the exception of elderly consumers in Florida), but that other Medicaid costs typically were at least somewhat lower for the treatment group. The treatment group’s personal care/waiver costs remained higher into the second year after enrollment, but the effects on other Medicaid costs were less consistent. Furthermore, the reasons why the treatment group’s personal care/waiver costs were higher differed among the three states. Each of the states have instituted important changes in their ongoing programs that are expected to reduce or eliminate the cost disparities between Cash and Counseling and agency-provided care.12 On average, Medicaid personal care/waiver costs were substantially higher for the treatment group than for the control group, in six of the seven state-age group combinations, and for both the first and second years after enrollment (Table 14). However, the magnitudes of the cost differences varied widely across the three states. In Arkansas, average personal care/waiver costs per treatment group member for all adults were double the average care costs per control group member in both years, compared with a difference of only about 15 percent in Florida in both years (and limited to nonelderly consumers). In New Jersey, average treatment-control personal care/waiver costs differed by 16 percent in year 1, but by 29 percent in year 2. The treatment-control cost differences were somewhat smaller for older adults than for both younger adults and children in each state in year 1. The absolute amounts of average personal care/waiver expenditures varied widely across the states, ranging during the first year from about 12 Results in this section are drawn from Dale and Brown (2005) for adults, and from Dale et al. (2004) for children in Florida. See also Dale et al. (2003). DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 42 of 64 DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 43 of 64 — Year 2 2,349 All adults Arkansas Florida 14,046 12,647 15,978 14,193 10,063 18,321 34.3** 26.2** +14.9** +14.9** +4.3 +20.2** — — –17.3** –8.7* –4.2 –16.7* — — 8,792 9,970 10,650 9,220 — — 8,743 8,339 7,530 10,432 Control Group Means (Dollars) — — 28.9** +15.9** +11.7** +21.1** 16,830 16,448 5,698 5,780 5,771 5,785 –13.3** –14.8** 6.0 –5.8 –5.1 –6.4 — — 10,861 12,540 8,757 16,829 — — –1.5 –5.8 –4.7 –6.7 New Jersey — — 10,582 10,688 9,822 12,862 — — 4.7 +14.3** +17.3** +9.8 Arkansas 30,877 29,095 21,676 19,973 15,833 24,106 8.4 3.0 12.5** +8.9** +0.9 +13.8** Florida — — 19,653 22,509 19,407 26,049 — — 12.1** +3.8 +4.3 +3.1 New Jersey Total Medicaid Costs **Treatment-control difference is significantly different from zero at the .05 level. Year 2 results were calculated for only those early enrollees for whom complete Medicaid claims data for their second year were available at the time the claims data were provided by the state. Early enrollees were those who enrolled in the demonstration before May 2000 in Arkansas, January 2002 in New Jersey, and October 2001 in Florida. See Table 15 for sample size. a New Jersey Other Medicaid Costs Effects as Percent of Control Group Mean Florida Medicaid claims data. See Dale and Brown (2005). — Year 2 Source: — Year 1 Children All adults (early cohort only)a 1,839 2,292 Ages 65+ Year 2 2,430 Ages 18 to 64 Year 1 Adults — Year 1 Children All adults (early cohort only)a +109.5** +96.0** All adults Year 2 +88.2** +123.7** Arkansas Personal Care Costs Ages 65+ Ages 18 to 64 Year 1 Adults Treatment-Control Differences in Cost as a Percentage of Control Group Costs MEDICAID COSTS FOR PERSONAL CARE AND OTHER SERVICES TABLE 14 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. $4,600 for all adult treatment group members in Arkansas, to $11,600 in New Jersey, and to $16,000 in Florida. Personal care/waiver costs were especially high in Florida for children ($16,000) and for nonelderly adults, 90 percent of whom had developmental disabilities ($22,000).13 The treatment group’s personal care/waiver costs were higher both because treatment group members were more likely than control group members to receive any paid care (in Arkansas and New Jersey) and because average Medicaid payments per month of benefits received were higher for the treatment group (in some cases). In all three states, nonelderly treatment group adults (and children in Florida) had significantly higher costs per recipient month than did nonelderly control group consumers; for elderly consumers, by contrast, cost per recipient month was significantly higher for the treatment group only in Arkansas. The significant differences ranged from 4 to 25 percent of the control group mean in year 1(Table 15). For policymakers, the important factor is perhaps how actual costs compare with the costs that would be expected, had consumers received the services to which they were entitled through the traditional system.14 To assess this issue, we calculated the ratio of the actual average Medicaid cost for the allowance (plus consultant costs) for treatment group members who received allowances to their average expected cost, computed from the number of hours or amounts in their care plans at enrollment. (In Arkansas and Florida, this calculation included multiplying the dollar value of the services authorized in the care plan services by the discount 13 Year 2 results could be estimated only on the earlier enrollees for whom claims data were available at the time the analysis was conducted. Sensitivity tests suggested that the year 1 results for the early cohort were not markedly different from those for the full sample. Thus, differences in results between year 1 and year 2 after enrollment are not due to the differences in the samples for the two periods (see Dale and Brown 2005). 14 Although the waiver’s budget neutrality provisions require that the Medicaid cost per recipient month for a defined set of core services (see Table 1) be no higher for the treatment than the control group over the life of the demonstration, that requirement need not be met during the first year. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 44 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D TABLE 15 COST PER RECIPIENT PER MONTH FOR PCS/WAIVER SERVICES (Dollars) Year 1 Year 2 Nonelderly Elderly All Adults Children All Adultsa Children Arkansas Treatment Control Difference p-Value 513 422 91** <.001 420 336 84** <.001 445 359 86** <.001 — — — — 467 369 98** <.001 — — — — Florida Treatment Control Difference p-Value 1,884 1,593 291** <.001 983 967 16 .509 1,460 1,292 168** <.001 1,378 1,099 279** <.001 1,814 1,630 184** <.001 1,660 1,251 409** <.001 New Jersey Treatment Control Difference p-Value 1,153 1,106 47* .043 1,170 1,172 -2 .926 1,164 1,140 25 .112 — — — — 1,264 1,219 45 .051 — — — — Sample Sizes Arkansas Florida New Jersey 556 913 813 1,452 904 917 2,008 1,817 1,730 — 1,002 — 1,312 1,424 1,447 — 1,002 — Source: Medicaid claims data. See Dale and Brown (2005) for adults and Dale et al. (2004) for children. a Year 2 results were calculated for only those early enrollees for whom complete Medicaid claims data for their second year were available at the time the claims data were provided by the state. Early enrollees were those who enrolled in the demonstration before May 2000 in Arkansas, January 2002 in New Jersey, and October 2001 in Florida. Year 2 data were available for all children in the study. PCS = personal care services. *Significantly different from zero at the .05 level, two-tailed test. **Significantly different from zero at the .01 level, two-tailed test. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 45 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. factor applicable to that individual. New Jersey did not discount the allowance.) We performed the same calculations for the control group and plotted the ratios of actual to expected costs for each of the first 24 months after enrollment (Figures 1a through 3c). In Arkansas and New Jersey, it was a failure of the agency system to deliver the authorized amounts of care to control group members that led to higher costs per recipient month for the treatment group compared with for the control group, whereas in Florida, the treatment group’s allowances were excessive for the consumers (adults and children) receiving services under the developmental disability waiver. For both adult age groups in both Arkansas and New Jersey, the plotted ratios show that allowance recipients in the treatment group received about what they were expected to get (ratios of about 1.0), but, with the exception of elderly beneficiaries in New Jersey, control group personal care/waiver recipients received less than the expected amounts. This finding was unexpected, because the care plans had been adjusted when determining the allowance amounts to account for historic gaps between care plan recommendations and the amount of care actually received. The shortfall was particularly sizeable in Arkansas, where control group recipients received only about 80 percent of the (already discounted) expected amounts. The pattern in Florida was quite different from the ones in both the other states, and it differed across age group as well. In each age group, the treatment group members who received allowances received more than had been expected based on their care plans (30 percent more for children, 20 percent more for adults younger than age 60, and 10 percent more for adults aged 60 or older). Among control group members, nonelderly waiver recipients received about what was expected, but older ones received more than expected. Thus, cost per recipient month was actually about the same for treatment group and control group members among Florida’s elderly care recipients, but substantially higher for the treatment group among younger care recipients. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 46 of 64 DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 47 of 64 Mean Actual / Mean Expected Costs 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 2 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Month Control Group Recipeints Allowance Recipients (including allowances and fiscal agent/counseling costs) Allowance Recipients (including allowances only) 3 Notes: The first month is excluded for allowance recipients, since the first allowance often was prorated. The care plan is discounted in calculating expected costs. 1 Figure 1a Arkansas's Ratios of Mean Actual to Mean Expected Cost Ratios for the Nonelderly Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 48 of 64 Mean Actual / Mean Expected Costs 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 Notes: 1 3 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 M onth 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Control Group Recipients Allowance Recipients (including allowances and fiscal agent/counseling costs) Allowance Recipients (including allowances only) 4 23 24 The first month is excluded for allowance recipients, since the first allowance often was prorated. The care plan is discounted in calculating expected costs. 2 Figure 1b Arkansas's Ratios of Mean Actual to Mean Expected Cost Ratios for the Elderly Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 49 of 64 Mean Actual Costs / Mean Expected Costs 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 10 11 12 13 M onth C ontrol G roup R ecipients 7 14 16 17 18 19 A llowance R ecipients 15 20 21 22 23 Notes: Early months are excluded for allowance recipients since few (less than 100) individuals had received full allowances. 1 Figure 2a New Jersey's Ratios of Mean Actual to Mean Expected Costs for the Nonelderly 24 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 50 of 64 Mean Actual Costs / Mean Expected Costs 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 2 3 4 5 6 7 9 10 11 13 M on th 12 C ontrol G roup R ecipients 8 14 16 17 18 19 A llow ance R ecipients 15 20 21 22 23 Notes: Early months are excluded for allowance recipients since few (less than 100) individuals had received full allowances. 1 Figure 2b New Jersey's Ratios of Mean Actual to Mean Expected Costs for the Elderly 24 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 51 of 64 Mean Actual Costs / Mean Expected Costs 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 12 13 M onth Control G roup R ecipients 9 14 16 17 18 19 A llowance R ecipients 15 20 21 22 Notes: Early months are excluded for allowance recipients since few (less than 100) individuals had received full allowances. 2 Figure 3a Florida's Ratios of Mean Actual to Mean Expected Costs for the Nonelderly Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D 23 24 DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 52 of 64 Mean Actual Costs / Mean Expected Costs 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 13 Month 12 Control Group Recipients 9 14 16 17 18 Allowance Recipients 15 19 20 21 22 Notes: Data for early months are excluded for allowance recipients since few (less than 50) individuals received full allowances. Baseline costs include the discounted care plan value plus expected fiscal agent and counseling costs. 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 Figure 3b Florida's Ratios of Mean Actual to Mean Expected Costs for the Elderly 23 24 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 53 of 64 Mean Spending / Monthly Care Plan 4 5 6 8 9 10 11 13 M on th 12 C ontrol G roup R ecipients 7 14 16 17 18 19 20 A llow ance R ecipients 15 21 22 D ata for early m onths are excluded for allow ance recip ients, as few er than 1 1 5 (or o ne-third o f allow ance recipients) received full allow ances. T he care plan is discounted in calculating expected costs. 3 N otes: 2 M ed icaid claim s d ata and care plan d ata. S ee D ale et al. (2004 ). 1 S ou rce: 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 F igu re 3c F lorid a's R atios of M ean A ctu al to M ean E xp ected C osts for C h ild ren 23 24 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. The treatment-control difference was even more striking for children. Whereas the treatment group’s average waiver costs were about 40 percent more than the average discounted amount in the baseline care plan, the control group had average waiver costs per month of benefits that were about 10 to 20 percent less than the average discounted care plan amount. This differential pattern across states and age groups in the ratio of actual to expected costs per month of benefits received for both treatment and control groups appears to be due to a number of unique factors. The failure of the traditional system to provide the benefit recipients with even the discounted level of services in Arkansas and, to a lesser degree, in the two other states for some age groups, appears likely to be due to worker shortages faced by agencies. Agencies seeking to maximize either profits or consumer satisfaction would surely have the incentive to provide all of the care for which a consumers has been authorized, if they could do so. The very high ratios of actual to expected costs for Florida’s Cash and Counseling participants were are under the developmental disabilities waiver (children and nonelderly adults) appear to be due to a coincidental increase in the availability of funds for this population. As we noted above, Florida intended to set the allowance amount for each consumer at the amount that Medicaid had been spending on waiver services for that specific consumer before he or she had enrolled, discounted by eight percent to reflect historic differences between actual costs and care plan amounts. However, that practice was not systematically followed for those under the developmental disability waiver in Florida; as a result of a substantial increase in state funding for the HCBS waiver programs serving people with developmental disabilities, care plans were being systematically revised upward during much of the demonstration period. Thus, when representatives for treatment group members in the developmental disabilities population met with state counselors to discuss the allowance amounts consumers would receive, those who DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 54 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. sought allowances higher than the amount that Medicaid had been spending on them were likely to have had a favorable reception. Counselors, following the mandate to increase spending for this population’s waiver services, may have suggested sizeable increases themselves. Control group members, on the other hand, would have had no reason to have their care plans reexamined during that period. Costs for Medicaid services other than the personal care or waiver services that the allowance was intended to replace were lower for the treatment group than for the control group in every state-age group category during the first year after enrollment. However, the differences were large and statistically significant only for younger adults in Arkansas and for children in Florida. For those two groups, other Medicaid costs were about 15 and 17 percent lower, respectively, for the treatment group. For all other age groups, the treatment groups’ costs were only about four to seven percent below those of the corresponding control group costs. The particular types of services for which costs were lower were primarily costs related to long-term care (not shown; see Dale and Brown 2005, Tables 4a to 7c) although this differed somewhat across states and age groups. The main cost reductions in Arkansas were for nursing facility, hospital, and home health care, and for ElderChoices (the supplementary waiver program covering additional personal care hours for older Medicaid beneficiaries beyond what was offered under the state’s personal care benefit). Medicaid costs for several other services (laboratory services, physician visits, and durable medical equipment) also were somewhat lower for the treatment group (for the nonelderly). In New Jersey, the treatment group had significantly lower nursing home expenditures and home health expenditures. For adults in Florida, the treatment group had slightly lower costs than did the control group for nursing home and inpatient care, but these differences were not statistically significant. For children, the major DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 55 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. source of the difference in non-waiver Medicaid costs was the treatment group’s nearly 30 percent lower cost for private duty nursing ($4,773, versus $6,639 for the control group). The second postenrollment year’s results followed a pattern similar to those of the first year; treatment-control differences in other Medicaid costs were statistically significant only for children in Florida and for adults in Arkansas.15 However, the magnitudes of some of the differences changed substantially; in Arkansas in year 2, other Medicaid costs for the treatment group were 17 percent below those for the control group, twice the difference observed during year 1. The treatment-control difference for adults in New Jersey changed in the opposite direction. White it was statistically insignificant in both years, the treatment group’s mean was six percent lower than the control group’s in year 1, whereas in year 2, it was six percent higher than the control group’s. For New Jersey adults and for children in Florida, the treatment-control differences in year 2 were similar to those observed in year 1. The treatment group’s lower cost for long-term care and other services partially offset its higher personal care/waiver costs, resulting in differences in total Medicaid costs that were statistically significant only for elderly consumers in Arkansas (17 percent) and for younger adults in Florida (14 percent) in the first year after enrollment. For four of the five other stateage group categories, treatment group costs were four percent or less above those of the control group (not shown). The results for most groups for the second postenrollment year are less encouraging. In both Florida and New Jersey, total Medicaid costs for all adults were significantly higher for treatment group members than for control group members, by about 12 percent. For children, 15 In Year 2, the treatment-control differences in other Medicaid costs were statistically significant for both the elderly group and the non-elderly group (not shown; see Dale and Brown 2005, Table A.2a). In year 1, the treatment-control difference for elderly consumers was not statistically significant. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 56 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. the treatment-control difference grew from only three percent of the control group mean in year 1 to eight percent (p = .082 in year 2). Only in Arkansas does the trend suggest that the treatment-control difference in total cost was shrinking over time—the significant 14 percent year 1 difference decreased to an insignificant 4.7 percent in year 2. The reason for the change in Cash and Counseling’s cost impacts from year 1 to year 2 is different for each state. In Arkansas, the treatment-control gap in total Medicaid costs narrowed because the unfavorable treatment-control difference in personal care costs decreased by about $500, while the favorable difference in other Medicaid costs (mostly for nursing home care) increased by $500. In New Jersey, the trend was exactly the opposite; the treatment group’s 16 percent higher personal care costs nearly doubled in year 2, to 29 percent, while the modest “savings” in other Medicaid services of about 6 percent in year 1 essentially disappeared in year 2. The somewhat less favorable year 2 results for children in Florida are due to the increase in the treatment-control difference in costs for waiver services. Finally, examination of Medicare costs and services showed no statistically significant treatment-control differences, for any state, in either year. This result was not surprising. Neither the states nor the national program office expected that offering consumers more flexibility in managing their personal care would lead to fewer hospitalizations or to fewer uses of the other acute care services covered under Medicare. One question raised by the cost results is whether the favorable effects of consumer direction on satisfaction and unmet needs are due largely to the states’ spending more per recipient per month for those in consumer direction? Sensitivity analysis in which we estimated effects on satisfaction and unmet needs controlling for the ratio of each consumer’s actual benefits received to the allowance amount that was offered to them when they applied to the program showed that program impacts were not due to this effect. Satisfaction was only weakly DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 57 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. related to this ratio, and program effects were very large, so despite the higher ratios for the treatment than the control group in most of the state-age group subgroups examined, program impacts were largely unaffected by controlling for this ratio. KEY POLICY AND PRACTICE ISSUES FOR THE FUTURE Consumer direction appears to be here to stay and growing. It is a program that appeals to both political conservatives and liberals, and has strong advocacy groups that enthusiastically support it. Favorable early findings from Cash and Counseling on the impacts on consumers led ASPE and RWJF to offer grants and technical assistance for 11 additional states to develop their own Cash and Counseling programs, and led the three demonstration states to continue offering the programs they developed for the demonstration. Other states are pursuing their own versions of consumer direction, with the assistance of CMS, which has relaxed some of the restrictions on consumer directed care options offered under 1915(c) waivers and is providing guidance to states on how to design their waivers to ensure their acceptability. Despite states’ march toward consumer direction, however, and the many lessons learned about consumer direction from the Cash and Counseling demonstration and its predecessors, there remain a number of concerns about the programs that will require ongoing monitoring and weighing of tradeoffs.16 • Cost. States’ Medicaid budgets are extremely tight, and cuts to Medicaid funding are being considered by Congress. This scenario makes it tempting to look toward consumer direction as a way to save money, given that states do not need to pay agency overhead if they provide allowances directly to consumers instead of providing agency care. However, so far Cash and Counseling has cost states more, not less, than the traditional system per month of service. States may be leery of adopting an option that increases their costs relative to what they would have been, regardless of the fact that the higher cost appear to be due to the failure of the 16 See Phillips et al. (2003) for detailed lessons learned about implementing a Cash and Counseling program. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 58 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. traditional system to provide authorized services to eligible beneficiaries. Many valuable lessons have been learned by the demonstration states about ways to control these costs (see Phillips et al. 2003; Dale and Brown 2005); states wishing to adopt a Cash and Counseling program but concerned about costs should take these lessons into account in designing and implementing their programs. Most importantly, perhaps, states should monitor the costs of personal care or HCBS relative to care plans on a routine basis, for both the consumer directed and traditional provider options. • Effects on Consumer Demand. Does offering a flexible spending allowance lead some eligible individuals to apply for PCS or waiver benefits who would not otherwise have done so (thereby increasing overall cost to the state)? In Arkansas, the fact that only one-third of control group members not already receiving Medicaid PCS at the time of enrollment received it in the year after enrollment suggests that Cash and Counseling may have had such an effect. However, Arkansas had expected, and hoped, that some of the Arkansans who enrolled would be beneficiaries who were unable to get agency care, due to their remote location or worker shortages. Thus, some increase in the number of people receiving PCS benefits was desired. Florida and New Jersey minimized the potential for such increases by limiting their programs to people who were already receiving agency services or had been assessed by an agency as eligible for them. Such restrictions can limit the amount of “induced demand” (at least until consumers learn about the consumer directed option), but are likely to defeat the laudable goal some states may have of increasing access to needed care. Ultimately, however, such concerns may be much ado about (virtually) nothing—the proportion of eligible beneficiaries that enrolled was low, despite aggressive efforts by the states to promote the program. Furthermore, the proportion of Arkansas’s program enrollees who were not already receiving Medicaid PCS services from agencies at the time they enrolled only briefly reached the state’s historic average of enrollees in a given year who are “new” recipients. Thus, it seems likely that offering an allowance instead of services will have negligible effects on the number of beneficiaries receiving PCS or HCBS services. • Hiring legally responsible relatives. Despite the finding that there were very few instances of fraud or abuse of the benefit, some states may still be opposed to allowing consumers to hire relatives who are legally responsible for the consumer (such as spouses, parents of minors, or other legal guardians). While paying people who are legally responsible for a beneficiary to provide care for them will strike some policy makers as inappropriate, the Cash and Counseling experience suggests that these individuals continue to provide large amounts of unpaid care. Eliminating them as potential paid workers is likely to mean that some interested consumers will not be able to find a worker who is acceptable to them, and therefore will not be able to participate. Furthermore, the lower levels of emotional, physical, and financial stress for primary informal caregivers (often legally responsible relatives) who become paid workers under the program may enable them to continue providing the large amounts of paid and unpaid care needed for the consumer to be able to remain in the community. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 59 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. • Allowing representatives to be hired workers. One issue states struggled with is whether an individual should be permitted to be both the representative (who may oversee use of the allowance) and a hired worker for a consumer. Ultimately, all three states decided against allowing this, except in unusual cases (such as a single parent of a young child). While offering some protection against fraud and abuse, this too severely constrains some consumers’ choices. • Hired relatives’ emotional stress. Cash and Counseling states provided relatively little support for the workers hired by consumers, and only about half of these workers received any training in how to carry out their tasks. Some modest amount of support, such as educational materials, videos, and referrals to support groups may help reduce the high levels of emotional stress many hired relatives experience. Counselors’ attention to the hired workers’ well-being as well as the consumers may also help reduce stress levels and address the problem of hired relatives feeling that they do not receive enough respect from other family members of the consumer. Finally, in addition to these and other particular concerns, a great many critical program design issues with important implications for consumers, caregivers, and policy makers must be worked out by states contemplating the adoption or expansion of consumer direction. These design issues include determining to whom the program should be offered, what services are cashed out, how the allowance amount is established initially and revised over time, what the allowance can be used for, who can be hired, how the allowance is accessed by consumers, the counselors’ role, how to select the fiscal intermediary and how much to pay for this service, whether and when to recoup allowance funds not spent by consumers, and monitoring of spending plans. For example, states must decide whether to offer consumer direction to: only participants in certain waiver programs or the state plan PCS, only current recipients of the cashed out services, elderly adults, children, those expected to die within six months, only people able to make decisions for themselves, and only consumers not participating in other waiver programs. In setting the allowance amounts, states must decide whether to base it on care received in the past, the care plan, a new assessment using a common assessment tool that is administered without the assessor knowing whether the consumer intends to choose agency or consumer directed care, how much to set aside to cover the cost of counseling and fiscal DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 60 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. intermediary activities, rules regarding unplanned reassessments, and whether to apply a discount factor to the care plan amount (and what to set it at). Rules regarding how the cash can be used and how much, if any, can be taken as cash must be established. AREAS FOR FUTURE RESEARCH While the Cash and Counseling demonstration has yielded important insight into many of the above issues concerning consumer direction, a number of key questions remain to be studied. These questions include both questions about the effects of consumer direction on consumers, caregivers, and costs, and questions about implementation. Among the questions about program effects are the following: • Does consumer direction improve quality only if the consumer hires a family member? • Would consumer direction work as well for Medicare home health care recipients? For individuals with substance abuse or mental health problems? What are the key factors that will influence whether the success of the program for consumers of PCS and HCBS can be replicated in these other settings? • How long do the effects of consumer direction last? Do they increase or decrease over time? • Are sizable reductions in other Medicaid costs for adults, especially long term care costs, realized only if a consumer can purchase more services? That is, is consumer control over how the funds are spent enough to reduce other Medicaid long term care costs, or does the average benefit level have to be higher than it would have been under the traditional model? • Why do some eligible beneficiaries never receive services through traditional PCS or HCBS waivers? That is, how much is participation in the PCS or HCBS program likely to increase solely because a consumer direction option is offered? • Does competition from consumer direction force agencies to do a better job than they are currently doing in order to retain consumers? What level of penetration into the market does consumer direction have to have before agencies make such a response? • What are the mechanisms that lead to fewer reported unmet needs and greater satisfaction despite total hours of care being lower under consumer direction? How much is due to greater efficiency of the human assistance versus better quality versus substitution of equipment or supplies for human assistance? DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 61 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. The operational issues about which more information is needed include the following: • How much and what types of contact between consumers and counselors is needed to ensure consumers’ safety from exploitation and inadequate care? • How important is the counselor’s role in hired workers’ satisfaction? (For example, is the finding that consumers in Cash and Counseling paid their workers slightly higher wages than agency workers in two states, whereas in IHSS consumers paid directly hired workers markedly less than agency workers, due to counselors’ influence?) • How can states ensure that consumers who want to self-direct get to do so? Arkansas was able to get a high proportion of program enrollees started with a cash allowance by requiring counselors to get a spending plan established within 45 days after a consumer enrolled. However, what, if anything, did the state sacrifice in terms of control over the acceptability of consumers’ spending plans? • What effect would worker registries have on the number of consumers likely to participate in a consumer directed option, and would they be worth the cost? That is, is the real value of consumer direction to consumers solely in being able to hire someone they already know and trust? • Will unions representing personal care workers insist on a role in consumer directed initiatives? Consumer direction is growing rapidly, providing a potential laboratory over the next few years for addressing these and other important research, policy, and operational issues. The challenge now that the Cash and Counseling demonstration has ended will be to find ways to develop and exploit the potential knowledge base from the new programs so that consumers, caregivers, and states can reap the sizeable benefits from consumer direction. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 62 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. REFERENCES Benjamin, A.E. “Consumer-Directed Services at Home: A New Model for Persons with Disabilities.” Health Affairs, vol. 20. no. 6, 2001, pp. 80-95. Benjamin, A.E., and Ruth E. Matthias. Age, Consumer Direction, and Outcomes of Supportive Services at Home." The Gerontologist, vol. 41, no. 5, 2001, pp. 632-642. Benjamin, A.E., and Ruth E. Matthias. "Work-Life Differences and Outcomes for Agency and Consumer-Directed Home Care Workers." The Gerontologist, vol. 44, 2004, pp. 479-488. Carlson, Barbara, Stacy Dale, Leslie Foster, Randall Brown, Barbara Phillips, and Jennifer Schore. “Effect of Consumer Direction on Adults’ Personal Care and Well-Being in Arkansas, New Jersey, and Florida.” Princeton, NJ: Mathematica Policy Research, Inc., 2005. Dale, Stacy, Randall Brown, Barbara Phillips, Jennifer Schore, and Barbara Lepidus Carlson. “The Effects Of Cash And Counseling On Personal Care Services And Medicaid Costs In Arkansas.” Health Affairs Web Exclusive, 10.1377/hlthaff.w3.566, November 19, 2003. Dale, Stacy, Randall Brown, and Barbara Phillips. “Medicaid Costs Under Consumer Direction for Florida Children with Developmental Disabilities.” Princeton, NJ: Mathematica Policy Research, Inc., 2004. Dale, Stacy, and Randall Brown. “The Effect of Cash and Counseling on Medicaid and Medicare Costs: Findings for Adults in Three States.” Princeton, NJ: Mathematica Policy Research, Inc., 2005. Dale, Stacy, Randall Brown, Barbara Phillips, and Barbara Carlson. “Experiences of Workers Hired Under Cash and Counseling: Findings from Arkansas, Florida, and New Jersey.” Princeton, NJ: Mathematica Policy Research, Inc., 2005. Flannagan, Susan. “An Inventory of Consumer-Directed Support Service Programs.” Overview of Key Program Characteristics. Presentation at the Cash and Counseling annual meeting, Arlington, VA, 2001. Foster, Leslie, Randall Brown, Barbara Phillips, Jennifer Schore, and Barbara Lepidus Carlson. “Improving The Quality Of Medicaid Personal Assistance Through Consumer Direction” Health Affairs Web Exclusive, 10.1377/hlthaff.w3.162, March 26, 2003. Foster, Leslie, Stacy Dale, Randall Brown, Barbara Phillips, Jennifer Schore, and Barbara Carlson. “Do Consumer-Directed Medicaid Support Services Work for Children with Developmental Disabilities.” Princeton, NJ: Mathematica Policy Research, Inc., 2004. Foster, Leslie, Randall Brown, and Rachel Shapiro. “Assessing the Appeal of the Cash and Counseling Demonstration in Arkansas, Florida, and New Jersey.” Princeton, NJ: Mathematica Policy Research, Inc., 2005a. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 63 of 64 Consumer-Directed Care and Its Implications for State and Federal Long-Term Care Policy Randall Brown, Ph.D. Foster, Leslie, Randall Brown, Barbara Phillips, and Barbara Carlson. “The Effect of Cash and Counseling on the Primary Informal Caregivers of Children with Developmental Disabilities.” Princeton, NJ: Mathematica Policy Research, Inc., 2005b. Foster, Leslie, Barbara Phillips, and Jennifer Schore. “Consumer and Consultant Experiences in the Florida Consumer Directed Care Program.” Princeton, NJ: Mathematica Policy Research, Inc., 2005c. Foster, Leslie, Barbara Phillips, and Jennifer Schore. “Consumer and Consultant Experiences in the New Jersey Personal Preference Program.” Draft report, Princeton, NJ: Mathematica Policy Research, Inc., 2005d. Foster, Leslie, Randall Brown, Barbara Phillips, and Barbara Lepidus Carlson. “How Cash and Counseling Affects Informal Caregivers: Findings from Three States.” Draft report, Princeton, NJ: Mathematica Policy Research, Inc., 2005e. Infield, Donna Lind. “States’ Experiencing Implementing Consumer-Directed Home and Community Services: Results of the 2004 Survey of State Administrators, Opinion Survey, and Telephone Interviews.” National Council on Aging and NASUA, 2004. Phillips, Barbara, Kevin Mahoney, Lori Simon-Rusinowitz, Sandra Barrett, William Ditto, Thomas Reimers, and Pamela Doty. Lessons from the Implementation of Cash and Counseling in Arkansas, Florida and New Jersey. Princeton, NJ: Mathematica Policy Research, Inc., 2003. Phillips, Barbara, and Barbara Schneider. “Moving to IndependentChoices: The Implementation of the Cash & Counseling Demonstration in Arkansas.” Princeton, NJ: Mathematica Policy Research, Inc., 2002. Phillips, Barbara, and Barbara Schneider. “Enabling Personal Preference: The Implementation of the Cash & Counseling Demonstration in New Jersey.” Princeton, NJ: Mathematica Policy Research, Inc., 2003. Phillips, Barbara, and Barbara Schneider. “Changing to Consumer-Directed Care: The Implementation of the Cash and Counseling Demonstration in Florida.” Princeton, NJ: Mathematica Policy Research, Inc., 2004. Schore, Jennifer, and Barbara Phillips. “Consumer and Counselor Experiences in the Arkansas IndependentChoices Program.” Princeton, NJ: Mathematica Policy Research, Inc., 2004. DRAFT: DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Page 64 of 64