Tonight Begin experimental design ? Krathwohl, Chapter 20 ? Experimental Design ? Experimental Design – Increases Internal Validity – Weakens External Validity HD FS 503: Research Methods Susan Hegland March 11, 2002 1 2 If HD FS Foundation gave you $100,000... Why study experimental design? Most of us enter HD FS to become interventionists, or change experts ? Most of us eventually need to evaluate programs designed to change something ? Finally, for the pure theorist/researcher: ? To understand something ...Try to change it! To demonstrate that a given program was effective in helping persons change... ? What would you implement? ? How would you show that this program was effective? ? ? 3 4 Introduction Basic Principles of Experiments I. Basic Principles of Experiments »tonight ? II. Complex Designs »next week Translating hypothesis to design Controlling for unwanted explanations ? Common control problems ? Common control solutions ? ? ? 5 6 1 General Methods of Control Remove and exclude Exclude all variables that could contaminate results ? Kostelnik (male) to control for additional male (observer) ? Remove and exclude ? Measurement and adjustment ? Spreading effect to control groups ? USE RANDOM ASSIGNMENT!!! ? – observing father-infant attachment in the home – Moved a TV box with red cellophane over hole – After 2 weeks, sat inside and observed fatherinfant interaction – Later: observed mother-infant interaction – e.g., in Transition study 7 ? Providing treatment to waiting list Spreading effect to control (comparison) groups Measurement and adjustment ? ? E.g., control for pretest scores, age Coleman (1982): controlled for SES; compared public and private schools Make sure that groups are similar on every dimension except treatment! ? Give placebo to control (“comparison”) group ? – Is this possible? ? Safest to covary for scores when groups don’t differ on the variable! ? More typically: analyze for the effect of any other variable as Independent Variable – pretest – “special” program and label – innocuous (and cheap) treatment – control for individual differences ? 9 Give alternate treatment (known to be effective) to comparison group USE RANDOM ASSIGNMENT! Randomly assign participants to treatment and control groups Why? ? Uncontrolled variables randomly distributed between treatment and control ? Controls for anticipated influences (e.g., income, education) ? Also controls for unanticipated influences 8 10 Independent Variable Designs 1: Case Study ? 2: One-group pretest-posttest ? 3: Nonequivalent control group ? 4: Pretest-posttest control group design ? 5: Posttest only control group design ? 11 12 2 1: Case study 2: One-group pretest-posttest X O O X O 13 14 4. Pretest-posttest control group design 3. Nonequivalent control group O X O R O X O O C O O C O 15 5. Posttest-only control group design R 16 Solomon four-group design X O C O R 17 O X O O C O X O C O 18 3 Solomon Four-group Design Factorial Designs Two or more categorical, independent variables (factors) ? Each factor is studied at two or more levels e.g. Pretest (yes, no), Training (yes, no) ? Goal: to determine whether factors combine to produce interaction effects ? If no interaction, effects can be studied one at a time (main effects) ? Treatment? Yes No Yes Group 1 Group 2 No Group 3 Group 4 Pretest? 19 Describe significant interaction and main effects Example: Solomon 4-group design Study of elementary school children learning child abuse prevention concepts (Tutty, 1992) ? Four groups ? Treatment? Yes No Yes Group 1 Group 2 No Group 3 Group 4 – 2 Treatment groups (experiment & no experiment) – 2 Pretest groups (pretest & no pretest) – Test for main effects (Experiment, Pretest) – Test for interaction (Experiment X Pretest) Pretest? 21 R X C X C 22 Figure 1: 2 x 2 C.K.A.Q. Posttest mean scores (N = 398) Explain each group 1. O 2. O 3. 4. 20 79 78 77 76 75 74 73 72 71 70 69 O O O O Experimental Control No Pretest 23 Pretest 24 4 Analyzed using a two-way ANOVA 2 X 2 Factorial Design (Tutty, 1992) Interaction F-term tests pretest sensitization ? If interaction is not significant, ? Source – pretest sensitization is a nonproblem – F comparing main effect of experimental group is examined ? If interaction term is significant – compare simple main effect means of unpretested experimental and control groups df Mean Square F-Ratio Probability Experiment 1 1771.10 6.23 0.013* Pretest 1 1.29 0.01 0.9400 Exp x Pretest 1 363.80 1.28 0.2600 394 284.50 Error 25 26 Interpretation ( Tutty, 1997) Common sources of confounding “There was no interaction between pretesting and the experimental condition, ? which indicated that the pretest did not sensitize participants so that they scored better on the posttest, ? a desirable finding which allows for further comparison of the four conditions, ? since those that were pretested did not have an unfair advantage.” ? When two or more variables co-occur, the impact of these variables cannot be separated: ? Motivation and ability ? Income and education ? Teacher and curriculum ? Maturation and learning ? Pretest and treatment 27 28 Common Control Problems: Threats to Internal Validity Obtrusiveness effects: treatment groups Retesting Regression to the mean ? Local history ? Mortality (attrition) ? Maturation ? Instrument decay (ceiling and floor effects) ? Selectivity (e.g., volunteer) ? Hawthorne effects Selective attrition: “guinea pig” ? Halo effect ? Novelty effect ? ? ? 29 30 5 Obtrusiveness effects: control groups Researcher expectancy effects ? John Henry (Avis) effects ? “All the boats float higher” ? Horizontal diffusion ? Demoralization ? Rosenthal effects – Pygmalion (My Fair Lady) effects ? Saved through double-blind procedures – Neither participants nor researchers know treatment group membership! – Very difficult to implement in human services 31 32 Field Research Challenges ? ? For each threat to validity Teaching to the test Selective attrition ? ? Give an example from HD FS Research Suggest a strategy to eliminate this threat – Retention of high ability students – Lower attrition in Treatment Schools ? All boats float higher – More resources available in control programs 33 34 6