a PewResearchCenter project CONFLICTING VIEWS IN A DIVIDED WORLD 2006 1615 L Street, NW, Suite 700 Washington, DC 20036 t 202.419.4350 f 202.419.4399 www.pewglobal.org © The Pew Research Center How Global Publics View: Muslim-Western Relations Global Issues U.S. Role in the World Asian Rivalries a PewResearchCenter project a PewResearchCenter project CONFLICTING VIEWS IN A DIVIDED WORLD 2006 How Global Publics View: Muslim-Western Relations Global Issues U.S. Role in the World Asian Rivalries 1615 L Street, NW, Suite 700 Washington, DC 20036 t 202.419.4350 f 202.419.4399 www.pewglobal.org a PewResearchCenter project China Egypt France Germany Great Britain India Indonesia Japan Jordan Nigeria Pakistan Russia Spain Turkey United States CONFLICTING VIEWS IN A DIVIDED WORLD 2006 How Global Publics View: Muslim-Western Relations Global Issues U.S. Role in the World Asian Rivalries 1615 L Street, NW, Suite 700 Washington, DC 20036 t 202.419.4350 • f 202.419.4399 www.pewglobal.org This volume contains the following 2006 Pew Global Attitudes reports: America’s Image Slips, But Allies Share U.S. Concerns Over Iran, Hamas No Global Warming Alarm in the U.S., China June 13, 2006 The Great Divide: How Westerners and Muslims View Each Other Europe’s Muslims More Moderate June 22, 2006 Muslims in Europe: Economic Worries Top Concerns About Religious and Cultural Identity Few Signs of Backlash From Western Europeans July 6, 2006 Publics of Asian Powers Hold Negative Views of One Another China’s Neighbors Worry About Its Growing Military Strength September 21, 2006 Additional commentaries based on the 2006 survey can be found at pewglobal.org. ii FOREWORD The Pew Global Attitudes Project begins its sixth year of conducting innovative survey research abroad with a renewed commitment to continue providing independent and unbiased measures of public attitudes. Since its inception in 2001, more than 100,000 people in 50 countries have been interviewed in Global Attitudes surveys. Together, these polls have produced 17 major reports by project staff as well as thousands of news stories, analyses and data-driven commentaries. The subjects of the surveys have been as timely and wide-ranging as the news itself: globalization, terrorism, views on democracy, attitudes toward women, climate change, bird flu as well as an in-depth look in 2006 at relations between the Muslim World and the West, a topic that gained new urgency after the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks and has not receded in importance. The results have consistently made news and shaped policy. They stand as a unique resource for journalists, policymakers and citizens seeking unbiased data to help them understand what unites and divides people living in different countries and in different cultures. These surveys have provided solid answers to basic questions about how ordinary people are responding to the major developments that followed the end of the Cold War and the shock of September 11. In important ways, these surveys have put a human face on the world by allowing individuals to talk about their distinctive problems, their personal hopes and their own greatest fears. As a consequence, the Global Attitudes Project has given ordinary citizens a strong public voice on the issues that currently confront world leaders. These studies attract attention in the media and among policymakers, evidence of the quality and utility of the data. Members of the project team have testified about the survey findings to Congress as well as briefed key officials in the State Department, foreign diplomats and their staffs, and members of the intelligence community. In just the first month after its release, the findings of the 2006 Global Attitudes Project were reported in more than 250 print and broadcast news stories and opinion columns, including in-depth articles in the International Herald Tribune, the project’s international newspaper partner, as well as in the Washington Post, New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, Christian Science Monitor newspapers, the Economist magazine and broadcasts on BBC, CNN, PBS and other major broadcast news networks. More broadly, this notice by newsmakers reflects the special place that the Global Attitudes Project has come to occupy as an honest broker of information and ideas. iii The project is co-chaired by former Secretary of State Madeleine K. Albright and former Sen. John Danforth of Missouri. Together with Andrew Kohut and his talented staff at the Pew Research Center, they chart the course of the project. This project has been primarily funded by the Pew Charitable Trusts with a supplemental grant from the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation in 2002 to expand the study to include more poor countries, an area of particular interest to Hewlett. The world is constantly changing. And the Global Attitudes Project is committed to changing with it by exploring new topics, seeking new partners and initiating richer conversations in new corners of the world. But the mission remains the same as it was when Secretary Albright described it in her introduction to the first Pew Global Attitudes report in 2002: To conduct surveys of the highest professional quality that are “informative, thought provoking and useful” to journalists, policymakers, scholars and the public in countries around the world. iv CONFLICTING VIEWS IN A DIVIDED WORLD 2006 Table of Contents Foreword ...................................................................................................................... iii Introduction: 2006 Pew Global Attitudes Poll............................................................ vii About the Pew Global Attitudes Project...................................................................... xi America’s Image Slips, But Allies Share U.S. Concerns Over Iran, Hamas................ 1 The Great Divide: How Westerners And Muslims View Each Other ........................ 27 Muslims In Europe: Economic Worries Top Concerns About Religious And Cultural Identity .......................................................................................................... 67 Publics Of Asian Powers Hold Negative Views Of One Another.............................. 85 Methodological Appendix .......................................................................................... 95 Topline Questionnaire................................................................................................T-1 v vi Introduction: 2006 Pew Global Attitudes Poll The 2006 Global Attitudes survey is the seventh in an ongoing series of international polls designed to provide journalists, policymakers, and the public with objective data on the issues and trends shaping the world. Since its inception in 2001, the project has examined a range of topics, including America’s image abroad, globalization, democracy, and terrorism. This year’s study – conducted in the wake of the controversial cartoon portrayals of Muhammad, a major terrorist attack in London and continuing bloodshed in Iraq and Afghanistan – explored the great divide between the West and the Muslim World. For the first time, the project also featured a comparative study of Muslims in Western Europe – a previously ignored group that the survey suggests may be key to better relations between the Islamic World and the West. It also included the third poll conducted by The Pew Global Attitudes Project in China, a reflection of the project’s ongoing commitment to doing groundbreaking work. A companion survey in Japan allowed Global Attitudes analysts to explore the animosity that still exists between these two economic superpowers and traditional adversaries. Surveys in India and Pakistan allowed analysts to examine relations between these two historic enemies. A total of 16,710 adults in 15 countries were interviewed as part of the 2006 Global Attitudes survey. The latest round of polls contained important but disquieting news for Americans. The global image of the United States has not improved since it fell precipitously following the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq. At the same time, support for the war on terrorism continues to erode – even among close U.S. allies like Japan. In only two of the 15 countries surveyed – India and Russia – do majorities currently support the U.S.-led campaign against terrorism. The survey clearly identified the causes of this antipathy. The war in Iraq continues to drag down opinions of the U.S. Majorities in 10 of 14 countries said the war in Iraq has made the world a more dangerous place. Even in Great Britain, America’s most important ally, twice as many Britons say the war has made the world more dangerous than say it has made the world safer. These negative views are not directed merely toward U.S. policies or political leaders but also toward the American people, a change in attitude first detected in an earlier Global Attitudes survey. In Spain, for example, slightly more than a third (37%) feel favorably toward Americans, down from 55% last year. These disapproving opinions do not arise simply out of inattention or naïve anti-Americanism. Instead, they are a reaction to U.S. foreign policy, especially the war in Iraq. News accounts of U.S. prisoner abuses at Abu Ghraib and Guantanamo shape these negative views of the U.S. vii among our allies – particularly in Western Europe and Japan, where the publics are paying more attention to news accounts of these abuses than are Americans. The survey highlighted fundamental differences that divide Islam from the West. Westerners and Muslims are sharply critical of one another – Westerners see Muslims as fanatical, violent, and not tolerant. On the other side of this cultural divide, Muslims see Westerners as selfish, immoral, and greedy – as well as violent and fanatical. Muslim publics have an aggrieved view of the West – they blame U.S. and Western policies for their lack of prosperity. Muslims feel more embittered toward the West and its people than those in the West feel about Muslims. The latest surveys also contained some hopeful news. Support for terrorism has declined among many Muslim publics in recent years – especially in Jordan, Pakistan and Indonesia. But at the same time, sizable minorities in major Muslim countries say suicide bombing is sometimes justified. Even among Europe’s Muslims, one-in-seven feel suicide bombings against civilian targets are defensible. The survey also found fundamental disagreement between the West and Muslim publics that could complicate current diplomatic initiatives. For example, large majorities of Muslims in the Middle East view the election victory of the Hamas Party in Palestine as a positive development – a view shared by relatively few Westerners. Similarly, the surveys also found that neighboring Arab Sunni publics express comparatively little worry about Iran developing a nuclear weapon. The disparity between these views and those in countries outside the region suggest efforts by the United Nations to block Iran’s atomic weapons program may be viewed as excessive or hostile by significant numbers of Sunnis in the region. And despite growing concern over Iran’s nuclear ambitions, the U.S. presence in Iraq is cited at least as often as Iran – and in many countries much more often – as a threat to world peace. Even in Great Britain, Spain and Russia, the U.S. is seen as a bigger danger than Iran. Broad skepticism fills the cultural divide between the West and the Muslim world. The survey found that Westerners are wary of Muslim values. They also are less optimistic about prospects for democracy in Muslim countries than Muslims. In some instances, these pessimistic views may be more motivated by fears and suspicions than by facts. For example, Westerners see more support for al Qaeda in the Muslim world than the survey found in Islamic countries. viii Muslims and Westerners also are deeply divided over how the other culture treats women. Each side believes the other is not respectful of women. But the surveys of European Muslims also suggest that they see the quality of life for Muslim women as being better in the West. The surveys of European Muslims produced perhaps the most hopeful news. European Muslims side with Islamic moderates, not fundamentalists, and the overwhelming majority reject extreme tactics like suicide bombing as a way to win political objectives. These Muslims express more temperate views of Westerners than those in the Middle East or Asia. A majority also express favorable opinions of Christians and have less negative views of Jews. These surveys of European Muslims were done in partnership with the Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life. But importantly, the surveys found that Islamic identity is strong among Europe’s Muslims. Most self identify as Muslims, rather than with a European nationality. Still, Muslims in Europe worry about their future, and they are more concerned about unemployment than cultural or religious issues. No single European point of view about the Muslim experience emerges from these surveys. British Muslims are the most anxious; they express the most concern about the future and about extremism – a finding that foreshadowed the foiled plot by Muslim terrorists in Great Britain to bomb airliners bound for the United States. Global Attitudes surveys in Asia raised fresh concerns about the fragile relationships that exist between traditional rivals in this critical region. Roughly seven-in-ten Japanese express an unfavorable view of China and an equal number of Chinese dislike Japan. Similarly, most Indians have an unfavorable view of Pakistan and most Pakistanis hold negative views about India. The Chinese and Japanese publics also hold very different views of their common neighbor, North Korea. Nearly all Japanese have a negative opinion of Kim Jong Il’s country, while in China attitudes toward North Korea tend to be favorable. Majorities in both countries have a positive opinion of South Korea, although a significant minority of Japanese sees the country in a negative light. Together, the 2006 surveys continued the tradition of the Pew Global Attitudes Project to engage the world on significant issues by providing unbiased analyses of public opinion. ix x About the Pew Global Attitudes Project The Pew Global Attitudes Project is a series of worldwide public opinion surveys encompassing a broad array of subjects ranging from people’s assessments of their own lives to their views about the current state of the world and important issues of the day. The Pew Global Attitudes Project is co-chaired by former U.S. Secretary of State Madeleine K. Albright, currently principal, the Albright Group LLC, and by former Senator John C. Danforth, currently partner, Bryan Cave LLP. The project is directed by Andrew Kohut, president of the Pew Research Center, a nonpartisan “fact tank” in Washington, DC, that provides information on the issues, attitudes and trends shaping America and the world. The Pew Global Attitudes Project is Pew Global Attitudes Project Public Opinion Surveys principally funded by The Pew Charitable Trusts. Sample Interviews Survey Summer 2002 Since its inception in 2001, the Pew Global Attitudes Project has surveyed more than 100,000 people in 50 countries. The project has released 17 major reports, as well as numerous commentaries and other releases, on topics including attitudes towards the U.S. and American foreign policy, globalization, democratization, and terrorism. 44 Nations 38,263 November 2002 6 Nations 6,056 March 2003 9 Nations 5,520 21 Publics* 15,948 9 Nations 7,765 May 2005 17 Nations 17,766 Spring 2006 15 Nations 16,710 May 2003 March 2004 * Includes Palestinian Authority About the 2006 Pew Global Attitudes Survey Results for the 2006 survey are based on telephone and face-to-face interviews with 16,710 adults in 15 countries, including oversamples of Muslims in four European countries. The surveys of European Muslims were conducted in partnership with the Pew Forum on Religion & Public Life, another project of the Pew Research Center, which works to promote a deeper understanding of issues at the intersection of religion and public affairs. Interviewing was conducted during the Spring of 2006 under the direction of Princeton Survey Research Associates International. All surveys are based on national samples except in China, India, and Pakistan, where the samples were disproportionately or exclusively urban. See the Methodological Appendix for more details about the survey. xi The following countries were included in the survey: United States France Germany Great Britain Spain Russia Japan China Egypt Indonesia Jordan Pakistan Turkey India Nigeria The project is led by Pew Research Center President Andrew Kohut. The Pew Global Attitudes Project team includes Bruce Stokes, international economics columnist at the National Journal; Mary McIntosh, president of Princeton Survey Research Associates International; and Wendy Sherman, principal at The Albright Group LLC; as well as the Pew Research Center’s Richard Wike, Elizabeth Mueller Gross, Rich Morin, Juliana Horowitz, Paul Taylor, Jodie T. Allen, Carroll Doherty, Michael Dimock, and other Pew Research Center staff. The International Herald Tribune, the project’s international newspaper partner, conducted interviews that were included as part of the June 22, 2006 report. For the 2006 survey, the project team consulted with survey and policy experts, regional and academic experts, and policymakers. Their expertise provided tremendous guidance in shaping the survey. Findings from the project are also analyzed in America Against the World: How We Are Different and Why We Are Disliked, a recent book by Andrew Kohut and Bruce Stokes, published by Times Books. xii RELEASED: TUESDAY, JUNE 13, 2006, 2:00 PM EDT No Global Warming Alarm in the U.S., China AMERICA’S IMAGE SLIPS, BUT ALLIES SHARE U.S. CONCERNS OVER IRAN, HAMAS 15-Nation Pew Global Attitudes Survey 1 2 No Global Warming Alarm in the U.S., China AMERICA’S IMAGE SLIPS, BUT ALLIES SHARE U.S. CONCERNS OVER IRAN, HAMAS A merica’s global image has again slipped and support for the war on terrorism has declined even among close U.S. allies like Japan. The war in Iraq is a continuing drag on opinions of the United States, not only in predominantly Muslim countries but in Europe and Asia as well. And despite growing concern over Iran’s nuclear ambitions, the U.S. presence in Iraq is cited at least as often as Iran – and in many countries much more often – as a danger to world peace. A year ago, anti-Americanism had shown some signs of abating, in part because of the positive feelings generated by U.S. aid for tsunami victims in Indonesia and elsewhere. But favorable opinions of the United States have Favorable Opinions of the U.S. fallen in most of the 15 countries surveyed. Only about a quarter of the Spanish public 1999/ 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 (23%) expresses positive views of the U.S., % % % % % % Great Britain 83 75 70 58 55 56 down from 41% last year; America’s image France 62 63 43 37 43 39 also has declined significantly in India (from Germany 78 61 45 38 41 37 Spain 50 -38 -41 23 71% to 56%) and Indonesia (from 38% to Russia 37 61 36 47 52 43 30%). Yet the survey shows that Americans and the publics of major U.S. allies share common concerns, not only over the possible nuclear threat posed by Iran but also over the recent victory by the Hamas Party in Palestinian elections. In contrast, the predominantly Muslim populations surveyed generally are less worried about both of these developments. Indonesia Egypt Pakistan Jordan Turkey 75 -23 -52 61 -10 25 30 15 -13 1 15 --21 5 30 38 -23 21 23 30 30 27 15 12 Nigeria 46 -- 61 -- -- 62 Japan India China 77 --- 72 54 -- ---- ---- -71 42 63 56 47 1999/2000 survey trends provided by the Office of Research, U.S. Department of State Nearly half of Americans (46%) view the current government in Iran as a “great danger” to stability in the Middle East and to world peace, up from 26% in 2003. Concern over Iran also has risen sharply in Western Europe, especially Germany. Currently 51% of Germans see Iran as a great danger to world peace, compared with just 18% three years ago. 3 Opposition to Iran developing nuclear weapons is nearly unanimous in Germany, Japan, France, and Great Britain, as well as in the U.S. Opinion in predominantly Muslim countries varies widely: solid majorities in Turkey (61%) and Indonesia (59%) oppose Iran acquiring nuclear weapons, but people in Egypt and Jordan are divided, and most Pakistanis (52%) favor Iran acquiring nuclear weapons. In addition, more people in major industrialized nations than in Muslim countries believe that Iran wants a nuclear program to develop weapons, not nuclear energy. Iran Acquiring Nuclear Weapons? Oppose Favor U.S. 92 3 Germany 97 3 Great Britain 89 5 France 92 7 Russia 82 11 Japan 95 4 China 52 18 India 59 25 Divisions between the West and Muslim Nigeria 66 28 nations in opinions of the Hamas Party’s victory are even wider. Fully 71% of Germans and 69% of the Turkey 61 23 French feel the Hamas triumph will be bad for the 59 30 Indonesia Palestinian people, among those who are aware of the Egypt 42 44 issue. Somewhat fewer Americans (50%) express this 42 45 Jordan Pakistan 15 52 view, although just 20% think the Hamas triumph will be a good thing for the Palestinians. Among major U.S. allies, only the British are divided on Hamas’ election – 34% say it will be bad, while 32% take a positive Hamas Victory for the Palestinian People… view. By contrast, large majorities in Pakistan (87%), Egypt (76%), Jordan (68%), and Indonesia (61%) feel that the Hamas Party victory will be good for the Palestinian people, among those who had heard about the election. In addition, the Muslim publics surveyed generally feel the Hamas triumph will increase chances of a fair settlement of the Mideast conflict – a view that is roundly rejected in the West. The latest survey by the Pew Global Attitudes Project, conducted among nearly 17,000 people in the United States and 14 other nations from March 31-May 14, finds that the U.S.-led war on terror draws majority support in just two countries – India and Russia. In India, support for the U.S.- 4 Good Bad % % United States 20 50 DK % 30 Great Britain Spain France Germany 32 28 24 11 34 47 69 71 34 25 7 17 Russia 24 32 44 Pakistan Egypt Jordan Indonesia Turkey 87 76 68 61 44 4 13 16 23 23 9 11 16 16 33 India Nigeria 48 47 30 39 22 14 Based on those who heard about Hamas victory in Palestinian elections led war on terror has increased significantly over the past year – from 52% to 65% – even though opinions of the U.S. have grown more negative over that period. But in most other countries, support for the war on terror is either flat or has declined. In Japan, barely a quarter of respondents (26%) now favor the U.S.-led war on terror, down from 61% in the summer of 2002. Only about four-in-ten Indonesians (39%) back the war on terror, compared with 50% a year ago. And in Spain, the site of a devastating terrorist attack two years ago, four times as many people oppose the war on terror as support it (76% vs. 19%). The survey shows that the Iraq war continues to exact a toll on America’s overall image and on support for the struggle against terrorism. Majorities in 10 of 14 foreign countries surveyed say that the war in Iraq has made the world a more dangerous place. In Great Britain, America’s most important ally in Iraq, 60% say the war has made the world more dangerous, while just half that number (30%) feel it has made the world safer. Moreover, even as concerns about Iran have increased, somewhat more Britons believe that the U.S. military presence in Iraq represents a great danger to stability in the Middle East and world peace than say that about the current government in Iran (by 41%34%). In Spain, fully 56% say the U.S. military presence in Iraq is a great danger to the stability of the Middle East and world peace; just 38% regard the current government in Iran in the same way. Among America’s traditional allies, Germany is the only country where more people say Iran is a great danger than offer the same view of the U.S. military presence in Iraq (by 51%-40%). Dangers to World Peace IsraeliNorth Palestinian Korea conflict % % 34 43 % saying ‘great danger’ U.S. Iran % 46 US in Iraq % 31 Great Britain France Germany Spain 34 31 51 38 41 36 40 56 19 16 23 21 45 35 51 52 Russia 20 45 10 41 Indonesia Egypt Jordan Turkey Pakistan 7 14 19 16 4 31 56 58 60 28 4 14 18 6 8 33 68 67 42 22 Nigeria 15 25 11 27 Japan India China 29 8 22 29 15 31 46 6 11 40 13 27 Opinions about threats to global peace also reflect regional concerns. While solid majorities in Jordan and Egypt see America’s presence in Iraq as a great danger, even higher percentages in these countries view the IsraelPalestinian conflict as a great danger to regional stability and world peace. The Japanese are particularly concerned about North Korea – 46% say the government there represents a great danger to world peace. Those concerns are not shared nearly as much in China, which borders North Korea; just 11% of Chinese feel that the current government in Pyongyang poses a great danger to Asian stability and world peace. 5 International News Stories People Have -- and Have Not -- Heard About The bird flu disease Global warming Iran nuclear dispute Abu Ghraib/ Guantanamo abuses Hamas election 92 91 83 76 58 Germany France Britain Spain Russia 100 100 97 99 98 95 97 100 93 80 91 82 84 73 69 98 88 90 90 58 85 83 67 68 52 Jordan Egypt Turkey Indones. Pakistan 98 96 97 99 82 48 47 75 35 12 96 93 68 55 37 79 80 68 28 21 97 98 56 31 20 Nigeria 98 42 56 22 27 Japan China India 99 93 99 99 78 57 83 37 50 88 38 23 75 27 21 U.S. Percent w ho have heard of each new s item The survey finds sizable gaps in public attentiveness to major issues and events. In this regard, the extraordinarily high level of attentiveness to bird flu disease is significant. More than 90% of the publics in 14 of 15 countries polled say they have heard of the disease; the only exception is Pakistan, where 82% say they are aware of the disease. But attentiveness to other widely covered issues and events varies widely. There is nearly universal awareness of global warming in major industrialized countries; in addition, 80% of Russians and 78% of Chinese say they have heard of global warming. Yet global warming has drawn scant attention in Muslim countries, with the exception of Turkey (75%). And in India, just 57% say they have heard of global warming. Reports about U.S. prison abuses at Abu Ghraib and Guantanamo have attracted broad attention in Western Europe and Japan – more attention, in fact, than in the United States. Roughly three-quarters of Americans (76%) say they have heard of the prison abuses, compared with about 90% or more in the four Western European countries and Japan. Among predominantly Muslim countries, large majorities in Egypt (80%), Jordan (79%), and Turkey (68%) say they have heard of the reports of prison abuse. But in Indonesia, Pakistan, and among Muslims in Nigeria, most people have not heard of this issue. Moreover, just 38% of Chinese and 23% of Indians say they are aware of the prison abuse story. 6 While there is extensive interest in bird flu, public alarm over the spread of the disease has been mostly limited to Asia. Nearly two-thirds of Indonesians (65%) say they are very worried that they themselves or a family member will be exposed to the bird flu; bird flu worries also are extensive in India (57% very worried), Nigeria (57%), and Russia (56%). But the disease has generated far less concern in Western Europe and the United States. Only about one-in-ten Americans (13%) say they are very worried about the bird flu; similar levels of concern are evident in France (13%), Germany (10%), and Great Britain (9%). Global Warming Concerns A great A fair Only a little/ deal amount Not at all DK % % % % United States 19 34 47 1 Great Britain Spain France Germany 26 51 46 30 41 34 41 34 32 14 14 36 1 2 0 1 Russia 34 31 34 * Indonesia Egypt Jordan Turkey Pakistan 28 24 26 41 31 48 51 40 29 25 23 23 34 23 39 1 1 * 8 5 Nigeria 45 33 20 2 Japan 66 27 7 0 India 65 20 13 2 There also is a substantial gap in concern China 20 41 37 2 over global warming – roughly two-thirds of Based on those who have heard about the “environmental problem of global warming.” Japanese (66%) and Indians (65%) say they personally worry a great deal about global warming. Roughly half of the populations of Spain (51%) and France (46%) also express great concern over global warming, based on those who have heard about the issue. But there is no evidence of alarm over global warming in either the United States or China – the two largest producers of greenhouse gases. Just 19% of Americans and 20% of the Chinese who have heard of the issue say they worry a lot about global warming – the lowest percentages in the 15 countries surveyed. Moreover, nearly half of Americans (47%) and somewhat fewer Chinese (37%) express little or no concern about the problem. The survey finds the most publics surveyed are dissatisfied with national conditions. But China is a notable exception – 81% of Chinese say they are satisfied with the way things are going in their country, up from 72% in 2005. Majorities in only two other countries – Egypt (55%) and Jordan (53%) – express satisfaction with national conditions. 7 Chinese Optimism, Western Discontent Satisfied w/ state of nation 2003 2004 2005 2006 % % % % United States 50 39 39 29 China 48* -- 72 81 Egypt Jordan Spain Turkey Pakistan Great Britain -42 45 19 29 46 -59 -40 54 38 -69 51 41 57 44 55 53 50 40 35 35 Russia India Germany Japan Indonesia France Nigeria 28 9* 25 12* 15 44 19 26 -20 --32 -- 23 41 25 -35 28 -- 32 31 29 27 26 20 7 *Summer 2002 Only about three-in-ten Americans (29%) say they are satisfied with the way things are going in the U.S., down from 39% last year and 50% in 2003. Levels of national satisfaction in France have followed a similar downward trajectory – from 44% in 2003 to just 20% today. Public discontent is even higher in Nigeria, which has been wracked by internal strife. Just 7% of Nigerians have a positive view of the state of the nation, compared with 93% who express a negative opinion. Other Major Findings ● There has been a marked change in views of the Middle East conflict in both Germany and France. In both countries, increasing numbers sympathize with Israel; Germans now side with Israel over the Palestinians by about two-to-one (37%-18%). ● German Chancellor Angela Merkel is enormously popular in France as well as in Germany. Fully 80% of the French express at least some confidence in Merkel. ● Positive views of the American people – along with the U.S. – have declined in Spain. Just 37% of the Spanish feel favorably toward Americans, down from 55% last year. ● Turks are increasingly turning away from the war on terror. More than three-quarters of Turks (77%) oppose the U.S.-led war on terror, up from 56% in 2004. ● Negative views of France have increased over the past year, especially in Muslim countries. In Turkey, 61% feel unfavorably toward France, up from 51% last year. 8 I. AMERICA’S IMAGE AND U.S. FOREIGN POLICY W ith America’s image declining in many parts of the world, favorability ratings for the United States continue to trail those of other major countries. In Europe, as well as predominantly Muslim countries, the U.S. is generally less popular than Germany, France, Japan, and China. However, the U.S. fares somewhat better in Asia; in fact, Indians rate the U.S. higher than Germany, France, or China and only slightly below Japan. However, America’s favorability rating has dropped 15 points in India since last year. Favorability Ratings of... United States Germany France Japan China Rating in... U.S. 77 66 52 66 52 Britain 56 74 59 68 65 France 39 89 68 83 60 Germany 37 65 72 70 57 Spain 23 72 66 65 45 Russia 43 77 74 73 63 Egypt 30 62 60 63 63 Indonesia 30 56 52 78 62 Pakistan 27 31 25 43 69 Jordan 15 44 46 46 49 Turkey 12 43 18 46 33 Nigeria 62 59 59 64 59 Japan 63 78 72 77 28 India 56 47 46 60 47 China 47 54 59 21 94 Percent w ho rate each nation very or somew hat favorably. Meanwhile, Japan and China, two neighboring Asian rivals with long histories of conflict, hold very negative opinions of one another. Slightly more than a quarter of Japanese (28%) have a positive opinion of China, and even fewer Chinese (21%) have a favorable view of Japan. On the other hand, traditional European rivals Germany and France rate one another quite positively; in fact, both rate the other country more favorably than their own. 9 In Western Europe, attitudes toward America remain considerably more negative than they were in 2002, prior to the Iraq war. 1 However, in a reversal of recent patterns, this year young people in France and Germany are more likely to have a favorable opinion of the U.S. than are their older counterparts. Over the last year, positive assessments of the U.S. have increased among French and German 18-34 year-olds, while declining among those age 35 and older. Nigerians Split Over U.S. In Nigeria, Christians and Muslims hold starkly different opinions of the U.S., and America’s relatively high overall rating – 62% favorable – masks deep divisions between the country’s two main religious groups. Roughly nine-in-ten (89%) Nigerian Christians have a favorable view of the U.S., compared with only 32% of Nigerian Muslims. Nigerian Views of Major Countries Percent favorable among Christians Muslims 89 68 69 65 48 58 52 61 58 32 This gap has grown slightly since 2003, when America’s favorability was 85% among Christians and 38% among Muslims. Christians US and Muslims have quite different views of other countries as well, but these two groups are especially polarized over the U.S., with Christians holding a more positive view of the U.S. than of other countries and Muslims having a more negative view of America than of other countries. France’s Image Slips Turmoil in France over the last year – riots by immigrants and others last fall, as well as protests in February through April of this year over an attempt to change French labor law – appears to have taken a toll on France’s image. In every country where trends are available – with one exception – the image of France has declined significantly since 2005, including double digit 1 No pre-Iraq war data is available from Spain. 10 Germany France Japan China Less Favorable Views of France % favorable 2005 2006 % % United States 46 52 Change +6 Germany France Spain Great Britain 78 74 74 71 72 68 66 59 -6 -6 -8 -12 Russia 83 74 -9 Egypt Indonesia Jordan Pakistan Turkey -68 50 32 30 60 52 46 25 18 --16 -4 -7 -12 Nigeria -- 59 -- Japan China India -65 55 72 59 46 --6 -9 falls in Indonesia (from 68% to 52% favorable), Turkey (from 30% to 18%), and Great Britain (from 71% to 59%). The lone exception is the U.S., where 52% now have a favorable impression of France, still below the pre-Iraq War level of 79% in February 2002, but up from 46% last year. France is considerably more popular now among Americans than in May 2003, when only 29% gave France a favorable grade. Americans More Favorable The improved attitudes in the U.S. toward France are part of a broader trend – the American public’s feelings about other major countries are also more positive than in 2005. Germany, China, and Japan also receive more positive assessments from the American people. American Views of Major Countries Percent favorable 2005 66 63 60 46 A narrow majority of Americans (52%) now have a favorable opinion of China, up from 43% last year. And the already strong favorability rating for Germany has also improved, jumping from 60% in 2005 to 66% this year. Japan’s rating has also grown from 63% to 66%; however, this is not a statistically significant change. Germany 2006 66 52 France 52 43 Japan China Favorable Opinion of Americans Views of the American People % very/somewhat favorable Opinions of the American people have 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % % % % % declined, in some cases substantially, since 2002. Great Britain 83 80 73 70 69 France 71 58 53 64 65 Nonetheless, publics around the world continue to Germany 70 67 68 65 66 have a more positive opinion of the American people Spain -47 -55 37 than they do of the United States. In seven of the 14 Russia 67 65 64 61 57 foreign countries surveyed, at least half of Jordan 53 18 21 34 38 Indonesia 65 56 -46 36 respondents have a favorable impression of Egypt ----36 Americans; in contrast, four countries give the U.S. Pakistan 17 38 25 22 27 Turkey 31 32 32 23 17 positive marks. Americans remain relatively popular Nigeria -67 --56 in Britain, France, and Germany; however in Spain, Japan 73 ---82 the image of Americans has plummeted, dropping India 58 --71 67 from 55% favorable last year to 37% this year. On China ---43 49 this issue, the Spanish public is now more similar to Muslim countries than to its Western European neighbors. 11 Although Americans are still unpopular in the five predominantly Muslim countries, there have been slight, but significant, improvements in Jordan and Pakistan. These are balanced, however, by declines among Indonesians and Turks. In Turkey – a longstanding NATO ally – fewer than one-in-five (17%) have a favorable opinion of Americans. Perceptions of the American people have grown more negative in Nigeria since 2003, however almost all of the decline has taken place among the country’s Muslim population – in 2003 48% of Muslims had a favorable impression of Americans; three years later only 23% view Americans favorably. Meanwhile, Nigerian Christians continue to hold Americans in extraordinarily high regard (88% favorable in 2003, 86% favorable today). Americans are relatively well-liked in the three Asian countries we surveyed, with 82% of Japanese giving the American people favorable marks, up from 73% in 2002. Americans remain popular in India (67% favorable), and in China the favorability rating for Americans has increased six points to 49%. Bush Even Less Popular in Europe While the past year has been a difficult one for President Bush domestically, his troubles are also reflected in international public opinion. Confidence in Bush to do the right thing in world affairs has dropped in seven of the 11 countries In Europe, Confidence where trend data from 2005 is available. Opinion of in Bush Falls Further Bush has continued to decline in European countries, while Muslims publics remain strongly opposed to the % with a lot/some confidence in Bush’s international leadership American president. At 3%, Turkey now registers the 2001 2003 2005 2006 % % % % lowest level of confidence in President Bush. The United States -78 62 50 country with the largest drop in confidence for Bush over Great Britain 30 51 38 30 the last year, however, is the U.S.; 62% had a lot or some Germany 51 33 30 25 France 20 20 25 15 confidence in Bush last year, compared to 50% this year. Bush receives relatively low marks compared to the other European leaders tested on the survey – Great Britain’s Tony Blair, France’s Jacque Chirac, Germany’s Angela Merkel, and Russia’s Vladimir Putin – although there are some exceptions. For example, Bush is the highest rated leader in India and Nigeria. In the latter, Bush’s popularity is overwhelmingly driven by the country’s Christian population (82% a lot or some confidence among Christians, 19% among Muslims). 12 Spain -- 26 18 7 Russia -- 8 28 21 Indonesia Pakistan Jordan Egypt Turkey ------ 8 5 1 -8 20 10 1 -8 20 10 7 8 3 Nigeria -- 50 -- 52 India China Japan ---- ---- 54 --- 56 34 32 Confidence In World Leaders... Bush Blair Chirac Merkel Putin Rating in... U.S. 50 66 31 38 33 Britain 30 58 37 51 33 Germany 25 51 67 77 50 France 15 44 56 80 24 Spain 7 19 26 37 10 Russia 21 31 44 40 75 Indonesia 20 23 30 Not asked 21 Pakistan 10 6 13 Not asked 7 Egypt 8 6 47 Not asked 19 Jordan 7 4 51 Not asked 14 Turkey 3 7 5 11 9 Nigeria 52 46 37 Not asked 26 India 56 41 29 Not asked 36 50 40 China 34 34 43 Not asked Japan 32 58 56 Not asked Percent saying they have "a lot" or "some" confidence in each leader to do the right thing regarding w orld affairs Tony Blair remains extremely popular among the American people, as two-in-three have confidence that he will do the right thing in world affairs. Despite being a left-of-center political figure in Britain, Blair is especially popular among Republicans (88% a lot or some confidence), although majorities of Democrats (55%) and independents (63%) also have confidence in the British prime minister. However, Americans place little trust in either Chirac or Putin. Meanwhile, despite two trips to the U.S. since her election as Germany’s first female chancellor, a plurality (39%) of Americans declined to offer an opinion of Merkel. Among Germans, however, she is extremely popular – 77% of Germans have confidence in her ability to handle international affairs. 13 Waning Support for the War on Terrorism Nearly five years after the Sept. 11, 2001 attacks, international support for the U.S.-led war on terrorism continues to wane. Outside of the U.S. only two countries – India and Russia – register majority support for the war on terror, and it remains particularly unpopular in predominantly Muslim countries, although support has risen eight points since last year among Pakistanis, whose government is a key partner in efforts to combat Al Qaeda. Among several of America’s traditional allies, support has fallen steeply since 2002, and it has virtually collapsed in two countries, Spain and Japan. In the former, the percentage who favor U.S. efforts against terrorism now stands at 19%, down from 63% in 2003, while among Japanese it has tumbled from 61% in 2002 to 26% today. Ongoing Concerns About Iraq As was true last year, publics from a variety of regions believe the war in Iraq has generated more instability in the world. In ten of fifteen countries, a majority say the war has made the world more dangerous. The French public is the most likely to believe this, followed by Jordan, Turkey, and Egypt. Meanwhile, the U.S. is the only country in which a majority – although a narrow one (51%) – believes the war has made the world a safer place, although pluralities in India and Nigeria also think the war has made the world safer. International opinion on the future of Iraq is generally gloomy. Majorities in most countries surveyed believe that efforts to establish a stable democratic government in Iraq will ultimately fail. Pessimism is strongest in Spain, Turkey, Germany, Jordan, and Egypt – in all five countries, more than six-in-ten respondents believe efforts to establish democracy will definitely or probably fail. 14 Falling Support for U.S.-led War on Terror 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 % % % % % Britain 69 63 63 51 49 France 75 60 50 51 43 Germany 70 60 55 50 47 Spain -63 -26 19 Russia 73 51 73 55 52 Jordan Indonesia Egypt Pakistan Turkey 13 31 -20 30 2 23 -16 22 12 --16 37 12 50 -22 17 16 39 10 30 14 Nigeria -- 60 -- -- 49 Japan India China 61 65 -- ---- ---- -52 -- 26 65 19 War in Iraq to Remove Saddam Made the World... A safer place More dangerous U.S. 51 37 France 20 76 Spain 7 68 Germany 21 66 Great Britain 30 60 Russia 17 44 Japan 26 61 China 8 44 India 41 34 Nigeria 41 32 Jordan 16 74 Turkey 8 70 Egypt 10 70 Indonesia 12 54 Pakistan 11 52 However, a narrow majority in Great Britain, the country with the second largest military contingent in Iraq, believe these efforts will ultimately succeed. Even greater numbers of Indians and Nigerians believe democracy will be established in Iraq. American public opinion also tends to be somewhat optimistic about the future of Iraq, with 54% saying efforts to establish a stable democratic government will be successful, up from 49% in March of this year, but down from 60% in July 2005. Views on this issue are driven at least in part by party affiliation – 76% of Republicans believe the war will end in success, compared with only 39% of Democrats and 52% of independents. 15 Efforts to Establish Democracy in Iraq Will... Fail Succeed U.S. 39 54 Great Britain 43 52 France 57 43 Germany 64 33 Spain 68 18 Russia 58 17 India 19 59 Japan 55 38 China 41 19 Nigeria 18 72 Pakistan 24 38 Jordan 66 34 Indonesia 52 33 Egypt 63 32 Turkey 64 17 II. IRAN AND THE NUCLEAR QUESTION B eyond the immediate issue of Iran’s nuclear program, there is widespread sentiment – especially in the West – that countries that do not have nuclear weapons should be prevented from developing them. Overwhelming majorities in Germany (91%), Japan (87%) and France (85%) say non-nuclear countries should be prevented from developing nuclear weapons. Roughly three-quarters in Great Britain (77%), the Stop Countries from United States (74%), and Russia (73%) also say that countries Developing Nuclear that do not have nuclear weapons should be prevented from Weapons? developing such weapons. Attitudes in Muslim countries on halting nuclear weapons proliferation divide along about the same lines as opinions on Iran’s nuclear program. A narrow majority in Jordan (53%), 50% of Pakistanis, and 44% of Egyptians say non-nuclear countries should not be stopped in their attempts to develop nuclear weapons; comparable percentages in all three countries say they favor Iran acquiring nuclear weapons. Most Indonesians (61%) and Turks (58%) say countries that do not possess nuclear weapons should be prevented from developing them. Majorities in these countries also expressed opposition to Iran’s acquisition of nuclear weapons. United States Yes % 74 No % 19 DK % 8 Germany France Spain Great Britain 91 85 84 77 7 15 10 17 2 * 6 7 Russia 73 19 8 Indonesia Turkey Egypt Jordan Pakistan 61 58 41 32 31 30 26 44 53 50 10 16 14 16 19 Nigeria 65 30 5 Japan India China 87 51 49 10 35 22 3 14 29 Divided Over Iran Publics in Muslim and non-Muslim countries have deeply divided opinions about Iran – its nuclear program, its government, even the country itself. Solid majorities in four of the five predominantly Muslim countries express favorable opinions of Iran. In contrast, large majorities in most major industrialized countries – as well as pluralities in India and China – view Iran negatively. More than three-quarters of Indonesians (77%) and nearly as many Pakistanis (72%) have favorable opinions of Iran. Smaller majorities in Egypt (59%) and Turkey (53%) also express positive views. Jordan is the only Muslim country surveyed where the public is divided – 49% express positive opinions of Iran and 51% negative ones. Nigerians’ views of Iran underscore the divide over Iran between Muslims and nonMuslims. Overall opinion in Nigeria, where Muslims constitute about half the population, is 16 evenly split (43% favorable/44% unfavorable). However, there are huge differences between the country’s Muslim and Christian populations; more than three-quarters of Nigeria’s Muslims (78%) express favorable views of Iran, compared with just 10% of Nigerian Christians. In three of four Western European countries surveyed – Germany, France and Spain – two-thirds or more express negative opinions of Iran. The lone exception is Great Britain, where unfavorable opinions of Iran outnumber favorable ones by a slight margin (39%-34%). Most Americans (57%) view Iran negatively, though the percentage expressing unfavorable opinions has fallen significantly from the recent past. In a February 2006 survey by the Gallup Organization 86% had an unfavorable view of Iran; that is fairly consistent with findings from Gallup surveys dating to 2002. Little Confidence in Ahmadinejad While publics in most Muslim countries have high regard for the country of Iran, they voice more negative opinions of its president. Roughly two-thirds in both Egypt (68%) and Jordan (65%) say they have little or no confidence in Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to “do the right thing” in world affairs. In Turkey, 41% say they have no confidence in the Ahmadinejad, while only a quarter of Turks say they have a lot or some confidence in the Iranian president. Indonesia (48%) and Nigeria (40%) are the only countries surveyed where pluralities say they have at least some confidence in Ahmadinejad. In Nigeria, views of the Iranian leader – like those of the country itself – are split along religious lines. While 69% of 17 Views of Iran Unfavorable Favorable U.S. 57 25 Russia 38 43 Great Britain 39 34 Spain 66 23 France 77 22 Germany 82 12 India 49 31 China 48 26 Japan 68 24 Nigeria 44 43 Indonesia 16 77 Pakistan 10 72 Egypt 39 59 Turkey 35 53 Jordan 51 49 Confidence in Iran’s President* A lot/ Not too Some much None % % % Great Britain 16 21 39 France 11 28 57 Germany 11 18 60 Spain 4 16 53 DK % 24 4 10 27 Russia 15 26 18 42 Indonesia Pakistan Egypt Turkey Jordan 48 32 26 25 22 19 8 42 8 43 4 17 25 41 27 29 44 7 26 9 Nigeria 40 16 21 23 *Confidence in Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to do the right thing regarding world affairs. This question was not asked in the United States, India, Japan or China. Nigeria’s Muslims say they have confidence in Iran’s president, just 13% of the country’s Christians share that view. Western Europeans express even less confidence in Ahmadinejad than do the publics of Muslim countries. Majorities in Germany (60%), France (57%) and Spain (53%) say they have no confidence in the Iranian leader. Opinion of Iran’s president is less negative in Great Britain; still, 39% say they have no confidence and 21% not too much confidence in Ahmadinejad. More See Iran as Danger An increasing number in the U.S., as well as in Western Europe and Russia, believe that the government of Iran represents a danger to Mideast stability and world peace. Nearly half of Americans (46%) now say that the Iranian government poses a great danger to global peace; three years ago, just 26% expressed this opinion. The shift has been even more dramatic among Western European publics; 51% of Germans believe the current government in Tehran is a great danger to world peace, up from 18% in Iran’s Government: How Much of a Danger to Region and World? May 2003. In Spain, France and Great Britain, the percentage of people who see Iran as a great Great Moderate Small or danger danger No danger DK danger has roughly tripled compared with three % % % % years ago. United States 46 34 11 9 Fewer Russians than Americans or Western Europeans think the government of Iran represents a serious danger (20%). However, about half of Russians (52%) say Iran poses a great or at least a moderate danger to regional stability and world peace. In May 2003, just 17% of Russians thought that Iran represented at least a moderate danger. Iran’s government is viewed as far less dangerous by publics in the predominantly Muslim countries surveyed. Nonetheless, 19% of Jordanians say the government of Iran represents a great danger – and 25% a moderate danger – to stability in the Middle East and world peace; in May 2003, just 16% viewed Iran as a great or moderate danger. Opinion on this issue has been more stable in Turkey, Indonesia, and Pakistan. In 18 May 2003 26 45 21 8 Germany May 2003 Spain May 2003 Great Britain May 2003 France May 2003 Russia May 2003 51 18 38 11 34 11 31 11 20 8 34 47 26 31 36 43 47 37 32 9 10 28 18 38 16 34 21 48 26 50 5 8 18 20 14 12 1 4 22 33 Japan China India 29 22 8 41 28 21 26 18 35 5 33 36 Nigeria May 2003 15 24 23 17 39 47 23 13 Jordan May 2003 Turkey May 2003 Egypt Indonesia May 2003 Pakistan May 2003 19 6 16 11 14 7 9 4 3 25 10 19 17 20 29 18 12 6 56 66 38 50 61 52 63 37 57 1 18 27 22 4 13 10 47 34 each of these countries, as well as in Egypt, no more than about a third believes that the Iranian government poses a great or moderate danger to peace and stability. Iran’s Nuclear Goal – Weapons In the Middle East and major industrialized countries, overwhelming numbers of citizens say they have heard of the dispute over Iran’s nuclear program. But this is not the case in other countries. A majority in China (54%) has not heard of the issue, and substantial minorities in Pakistan (45%), Indonesia (41%), and Nigeria (40%) also are unaware of the Iran nuclear controversy. The dominant opinion among those who have heard about the nuclear dispute – in Muslim and non-Muslim countries alike – is that Iran wants to develop nuclear weapons, either as its sole objective or along with developing nuclear energy. In major industrialized countries, with the exception of Great Britain, large majorities express the opinion that the goal of Iran’s nuclear program is nuclear weapons; relatively few volunteer that Tehran has the dual goals of weapons and energy. The idea that Iran seeks both weapons and energy is a much more prevalent view in other countries. In Egypt, 30% think that Iran’s aim is nuclear weapons, while about as many (28%) think the goal of its nuclear program is both weapons and energy. Relatively high percentages in Jordan and Turkey (28% in each) also volunteer that Iran wants to develop both weapons and energy from its nuclear program. Goals of Iran’s Nuclear Program* Nuclear Nuclear Both weapons energy (VOL) DK % % % % United States 72 9 10 9 France Germany Spain Great Britain 74 71 65 49 20 16 10 21 5 7 14 14 1 7 11 17 Russia 44 20 27 10 Turkey Jordan Indonesia Egypt Pakistan 38 38 33 30 26 21 24 44 32 30 28 28 18 28 23 13 10 4 9 21 Nigeria 53 23 16 8 Japan India China 72 40 36 16 37 25 8 13 19 4 10 20 * Based on those who have heard about the dispute over Iran’s nuclear program. More than four-in-ten Indonesians (44%) say the goal of Iran’s nuclear program is energy – the highest percentage of the 15 nations surveyed. Still, somewhat more Indonesians (a combined 51%) say Iran’s goal is either to develop nuclear weapons (33%), or volunteer that it wants both weapons and energy (18%). 19 What Would Iran Do? There is no consensus about what Iran would be likely to do if it in fact develops nuclear weapons. But Americans and Western Europeans generally believe that two cataclysmic scenarios are likely – that Iran would provide nuclear weapons to terrorist organizations, and that it would attack Israel. Large majorities in the U.S. and Western Europe, as well as about half of Japanese (52%), say that if Iran develops nuclear weapons it would be likely to provide them to terrorist groups. An Iranian attack on Israel also is viewed as likely by most Americans and Western Europeans. What If Iran Develops Nuclear Weapons? Percent saying Iran is likely to: Give Use -------To attack------weapons to them only US or Muslim terrorists defensively lsrael Europe nations % % % % % United States 80 24 74 63 60 France Germany Great Britain Spain 78 71 64 62 54 35 37 33 63 65 53 60 48 53 48 66 51 40 40 40 Russia 53 72 37 46 26 The publics in predominantly Turkey 36 55 51 48 29 Muslim countries mostly believe a Indonesia 23 80 49 50 11 Jordan 19 67 65 51 20 nuclear-armed Iran would use such Egypt 17 57 61 43 15 weapons for defensive purposes only. Pakistan 7 55 13 19 9 Fully 80% of Indonesians and smaller Nigeria 49 37 45 55 15 majorities in other Muslim countries say Japan 52 25 43 36 39 India 33 43 35 36 24 Iran is likely to use nuclear weapons China 29 55 31 34 20 only in its own defense. In addition, relatively small minorities in all five Muslim countries surveyed feel that Iran is likely to pass along nuclear weapons to terrorists. At the same time, however, more than six-in-ten in Jordan (65%) and Egypt (61%) say that if Iran develops nuclear weapons, it would be likely to attack Israel; about half of Turks (51%) and Indonesians (49%) agree. And in Jordan and Egypt, in particular, sizable minorities favor Iran actually acquiring nuclear weapons (45% and 44%, respectively). There also is a widespread belief, in Muslim and non-Muslim countries alike, that a nuclear-armed Iran is likely to attack the United States or European nations. Two-thirds of Spaniards (66%) and nearly as many Americans (63%) say such an attack is likely. Roughly half of the respondents in France, Germany and Britain – as well as in Turkey, Indonesia and Jordan – say an attack by Iran on the U.S. or Europe is likely. 20 In both Pakistan and China, relatively large percentages declined to offer opinions on possible actions by Iran, if it were to develop nuclear weapons. In each country, just 37% have heard of the dispute over Iran’s nuclear program; that is by far the lowest level of awareness among the 15 countries surveyed. 21 III. GLOBAL CONCERNS AND ISSUES P ublic attentiveness to major global events and issues is typically higher in major industrialized countries than in less developed countries. But awareness of news developments varies widely, by country and by issue. The German public consistently expresses broad familiarity with events and issues. While attention to reports of abuses at Abu Ghraib and Guantanamo is high across all major industrialized countries, nearly every German interviewed (98%) says they have heard of the prison abuse. That compares with about 90% in other Western European countries and Japan, and 76% in the U.S. Among Muslim publics, sizable majorities in Egypt (80%), Jordan (79%), and Turkey (68%) have heard of the prison abuse reports. But public attentiveness is far lower in Indonesia (28%) and Pakistan (21%). For the most part, Americans are Public Attentiveness Varies Greatly – significantly less aware of events and issues By Country and Issue than are the publics in Germany and other Germany US China Pakistan % saying major industrialized countries. And as is ‘heard of’… % % % % Abu Ghraib and typically the case with news interest among 98 76 38 21 Guantanamo Americans, there are significant gender and Global warming 95 91 78 12 age differences in attentiveness. For Iran nuclear 91 83 37 37 instance, 83% of men say they have heard dispute of the abuse reports at Abu Ghraib and Hamas election 85 58 27 20 victory Guantanamo, compared with 69% of U.S. earthquake 66 69 31 85 women. Just 57% of young people under aid to Pakistan age 30 have heard of these reports; in other age categories, 75% or more have heard of the prison abuse reports. The Chinese public is broadly aware of the bird flu (93%) and global warming (78%) but not of events in the Middle East. Only about four-in-ten Chinese say they have heard of reports of abuse at Abu Ghraib and Guantanamo (38%) and the Iran nuclear dispute (37%), and even fewer have heard of the Hamas Party’s victory in the Palestinian election (27%). Pakistanis show little familiarity with global and even some regional developments. Just 12% of Pakistanis say they have heard of global warming, and only 37% are aware of the nuclear dispute in neighboring Iran. But one recent development that has drawn broad interest in Pakistan – aside from bird flu – is the U.S. aid program for the country in response to last fall’s 22 earthquake. Fully 85% of Pakistanis have heard of the American assistance program. That compares with 69% of Americans and nearly as many Germans (66%). Global Warming Americans express relatively little concern over global warming, especially when compared with publics of other major nations. Barely half of the Americans who have heard of global warming say they personally worry about the issue a great deal (19%) or a fair amount (34%). Nearly as many say they worry only a little (26%) or not at all (21%). The Japanese express the highest level of concern over global warming among the publics of major industrialized nations. Fully 66% of Japanese say they worry about this a great deal, while another 27% say they worry a fair amount. In France, a combined 87% express a great deal (46%) or fair amount (41%) of concern. Roughly the same percentage in Spain (85%) says they worry at least a fair amount about global warming. Smaller percentages in Great Britain (67%) and Germany (64%) voice significant concern about global warming. Global Warming Concerns Divide Allies*… Personally worry… Great deal/ Little/ fair amount not at all % % Japan 93 7 France 87 14 Spain 85 14 Great Britain 67 32 Germany 64 36 United States 53 47 The American public is deeply divided politically in And the concerns over global warming. Only about a third of American Public* Republicans (34%) say they worry a great deal (10%) or a fair In the U.S…. % % Republican 34 65 amount (24%) over global warming, based on those who have Democrat 66 32 heard about the issue. About two-thirds of Democrats (66%) and Independent 57 42 57% of independents express at least a fair amount of concern * Based on those who have heard about global warming over global warming. Roughly four-in-ten white evangelical Protestants (41%) express have at least a fair amount of concern about global warming; that compares with 53% of white mainline Protestants, and 64% of seculars. 23 More Sympathy for Israel In past Global Attitudes surveys, the American public’s strong pro-Israel stance set it apart from other countries. But that has changed as Germans, in particular, have become much more sympathetic to Israel in its dispute with the Palestinians. Mideast Sympathies (Vol) (Vol) Israel Palestinians Both Neither DK % % % % % United States 48 13 4 14 21 Nearly four-in-ten Germans (37%) say they sympathize with Israel in the Mideast conflict compared with 18% who sympathize with the Palestinians. In March 2004, Germans’ sympathies were evenly divided (24% Israel, 24% Palestinians). Germany Great Britain France Spain Russia 37 24 38 9 21 18 29 38 32 16 4 5 9 16 12 31 22 12 34 37 11 19 4 9 14 China Japan India 7 25 20 23 23 22 12 8 19 15 29 11 42 16 27 Nigeria 29 35 18 6 12 Indonesia Egypt Jordan Turkey Pakistan 4 2 1 5 6 72 97 97 63 59 5 1 1 2 7 12 * 1 16 6 7 * * 14 23 The French also have become more sympathetic to Israel. Four years ago, French respondents sympathized with the Palestinians over Israel by roughly two-to-one (36% to 19%). Today, identical percentages sympathize with each side in the Israel-Palestinian dispute. Among Western European countries, the Spanish stand out for their strong support for the Palestinians. Roughly a third of Spanish (32%) say they sympathize more with the Palestinians, compared with just 9% who feel more sympathetically to Israel. The Muslim publics surveyed continue to overwhelmingly side with the Palestinians. Turks sympathize with the Palestinians over Israel by 63% to 5%, which reflects almost no change since 2004. And virtually all Jordanians and Egyptians (97% each) say they sympathize with the Palestinians. 24 Growing Share of Europeans Tilt to Israel Sympathize more with… Israel Palestinians % % U.S. 48 13 2004 46 12 2002 41 13 France 2004 2002 38 20 19 38 28 36 Germany 2004 2002 37 24 24 18 24 26 Britain 2004 2002 24 22 17 29 28 28 U.N. Ratings In most countries, opinions of the United Nations have been stable in recent years. But the publics in Turkey and Russia, in particular, have grown more negative toward the world body. Just 29% of Turks express favorable opinions of the U.N., down from 51% in March 2004. Fewer Russians also feel favorably toward the U.N.; 49% now, compared with 60% in March 2004. Positive ratings of the U.N. also have declined somewhat in Great Britain since 2004 – from 74% to 65%. The American public’s view of the U.N. has been falling for several years. As recently as September 2001, before the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, 77% expressed a favorable opinion of the United Nations; today, just 51% do, although that represents a slight improvement from last fall (48% in October 2005). Opinions of the U.N. Fav Unfav % % U.S. 51 38 2005 48 39 DK % 11 France 2004 Germany 2004 Britain 2004 Spain Russia 2004 72 67 68 71 65 74 60 49 60 28 30 25 23 23 18 30 29 18 * 3 7 6 11 7 10 22 21 Indonesia Egypt Pakistan 2004 Jordan 2004 Turkey 2004 78 49 42 35 30 21 29 51 18 51 22 27 69 73 51 35 4 * 36 38 1 6 20 14 Opinions of the U.N. in the Muslim countries surveyed Nigeria 68 26 7 vary widely. More than three-quarters of Indonesians (78%) 56 36 7 express positive views of the U.N., but Egyptians are almost Japan China 53 25 22 evenly divided (49% favorable/51% unfavorable). The U.N.’s India 39 35 26 image in Turkey has plummeted, but positive views of this institution have increased modestly in Jordan (to 30% from 21% in 2004) and Pakistan (to 42% from 35%). Dubai Ports Debate The controversy earlier this year over an Arab-owned company possibly running U.S. ports stirred considerable public anger in the U.S. But it did not resonate widely in predominantly Muslim countries. Just 45% in Egypt, 36% in Jordan, and significantly smaller numbers in other Muslim countries, say they have heard of the ports debate. However, Muslims who have been following the debate largely believe that American opposition to the ports deal reflected prejudice against Arabs, rather than reasonable concerns over port security. By 69%-13%, Egyptians feel U.S. opposition to the ports proposal was based on prejudice rather than reasonable security concerns, and opinion is comparable in Jordan (72% prejudice/23% reasonable concerns). 25 26 RELEASED: THURSDAY, JUNE 22, 2006, 2:00 PM EDT Europe’s Muslims More Moderate THE GREAT DIVIDE: HOW WESTERNERS AND MUSLIMS VIEW EACH OTHER 13-Nation Pew Global Attitudes Survey 27 28 Europe’s Muslims More Moderate THE GREAT DIVIDE: HOW WESTERNERS AND MUSLIMS VIEW EACH OTHER A fter a year marked by riots over cartoon portrayals of Muhammad, a major terrorist attack in London, and continuing wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, most Muslims and Westerners are convinced that relations between them are generally bad these days. Many in the West see Muslims as fanatical, violent, and as lacking tolerance. Meanwhile, Muslims in the Middle East and Asia generally see Westerners as selfish, immoral and greedy – as well as violent and fanatical. A rare point of agreement between Westerners and Muslims is that both believe that Muslim nations should be more economically prosperous than they are today. But they gauge the problem quite differently. Muslim publics have an aggrieved view of the West – they are much more likely than Americans or Western Europeans to blame Western policies for their own lack of prosperity. For their part, Western publics instead point to government corruption, lack of education and Islamic fundamentalism as the biggest obstacles to Muslim prosperity. Nothing highlights the divide between Muslims and the West more clearly than their responses to the uproar this past winter over cartoon depictions of Muhammad. Most people in Jordan, Egypt, Indonesia and Turkey blame the controversy on Western nations’ disrespect for the Islamic religion. In contrast, majorities of Americans and Western Europeans who have heard of the controversy say Muslims’ intolerance to different points of view is more to blame. Relations Between Muslims and Westerners Generally good Generally bad U.S. 32 55 Germany France Spain Great Britain Russia 23 70 33 66 14 61 28 61 18 53 British Muslims German Muslims French Muslims Spanish Muslims 23 29 41 49 62 60 58 23 Turkey Egypt 14 31 39 39 30 64 58 54 53 25 Jordan Indonesia Pakistan Nigerian Muslims Nigerian Christians 10 77 24 52 The chasm between Muslims and the West is also seen in judgments about how the other civilization treats women. Western publics, by lopsided margins, do not think of Muslims as 29 “respectful of women.” But half or more in four of the five Muslim publics surveyed say the same thing about people in the West. Yet despite the deep attitudinal divide between Western and Muslim publics, the latest Pew Global Attitudes survey also finds that the views of each toward the other are far from uniformly negative. For example, even in the wake of the tumultuous events of the past year, solid majorities in France, Great Britain and the U.S. retain overall favorable opinions of Muslims. However, positive opinions of Muslims have declined sharply in Spain over the past year (from 46% to 29%), and more modestly in Great Britain (from 72% to 63%). For the most part, Muslim publics feel more embittered toward the West and its people than vice versa. Muslim opinions about the West and its people have worsened over the past year and by overwhelming margins, Muslims blame Westerners for the strained relationship between the two sides. But there are some positive indicators as well, including the fact that in most Muslim countries surveyed there has been a decline in support for terrorism. The survey by the Pew Global Attitudes Project was conducted in 13 countries, including the United States, from March 31-May 14, 2006. 2 It includes special oversamples of Muslim minorities living in Great Britain, France, Germany and Spain. In many ways, the views of Europe’s Muslims represent a middle ground between the way Western publics and Muslims in the Middle East and Asia view each other. While Europe’s Muslim minorities are about as likely as Muslims elsewhere to see relations between Westerners and Muslims as generally bad, they more often associate positive attributes to Westerners – including tolerance, generosity, and respect for women. And in a number of respects Muslims in Europe are less inclined to see a clash of civilizations than are some of the general publics surveyed in Europe. Notably, they are less likely than non-Muslims in Europe to believe that there is a conflict between modernity and being a devout Muslim. 2 In addition, some questions were asked in China and Japan. 30 Are Muslims ‘Respectful of Women’? Non-Muslims in… Great Britain France U.S. Germany Spain Yes* % 26 23 19 17 12 No % 59 77 69 80 83 Are Westerners? Muslims in... Spain France Germany Great Britain % 82 77 73 49 % 13 23 22 44 Turkey Egypt Indonesia Jordan Pakistan 42 40 38 38 22 39 52 50 53 52 * Percentage who associate characteristic with Muslims/people in Western countries. Solid majorities of the general publics in Germany and Spain say that there is a natural conflict between being a devout Muslim and living in a modern society. But most Muslims in both of those countries disagree. And in France, the scene of recent riots in heavily Muslim areas, large percentages of both the general public and the Muslim minority population feel there is no conflict in being a devout Muslim and living in a modern society. The survey shows both hopeful and troubling signs with respect to Muslim support for terrorism and the viability of democracy in Muslim countries. In Jordan, Pakistan and Indonesia, there have been substantial declines in the percentages saying suicide bombings and other forms of violence against civilian targets can be justified to defend Islam against its enemies. The shift has been especially dramatic in Jordan, likely in response to the devastating terrorist attack in Amman last year; 29% of Jordanians view suicide attacks as often or sometimes justified, down from 57% in May 2005. Is There a Conflict Between Being a Devout Muslim and Living in a Modern Society? No conflict Yes, conflict U.S. 42 40 Germany Spain 26 70 36 58 Russia Great Britain 30 56 France British Muslims 35 54 74 26 49 47 57 36 German Muslims Confidence in Osama bin Laden also has 72 28 French Muslims fallen in most Muslim countries in recent years. 71 25 Spanish Muslims This is especially the case in Jordan, where just 24% express at least some confidence in bin Laden now, Pakistan 17 47 52 43 Indonesia compared with 60% a year ago. A sizable number of 63 34 Jordan Pakistanis (38%) continue to say they have at least Turkey 60 29 some confidence in the al Qaeda leader to do the 70 28 Egypt right thing regarding world affairs, but significantly fewer do so now than in May 2005 (51%). Nigerian Christians 34 41 64 33 Nigerian Muslims However, Nigeria’s Muslims represent a conspicuous exception to this trend; 61% of Nigeria’s Muslims say they have at least some confidence in bin Laden, up from 44% in 2003. The belief that terrorism is justifiable in the defense of Islam, while less extensive than in previous surveys, still has a sizable number of adherents. Among Nigeria’s Muslim population, for instance, nearly half (46%) feel that suicide bombings can be justified often or sometimes in the defense of Islam. Even among Europe’s Muslim minorities, roughly one-in-seven in France, Spain, and Great Britain feel that suicide bombings against civilian targets can at least sometimes be justified to defend Islam against its enemies. 31 Anti-Jewish sentiment remains overwhelming in predominantly Muslim countries. There also is considerable support for the Hamas Party, which recently was victorious in the Palestinian elections. Majorities in most Muslim countries say that the Hamas Party’s victory will be helpful to a fair settlement between Israel and the Palestinians – a view that is roundly rejected by Western publics (see “America’s Image Slips, But Allies Share U.S. Concerns over Iran, Hamas,” June 13, 2006). Support for Suicide Bombing Violence against civilian targets in order to defend Islam can be justified…* Often/ Sometimes Rarely Never DK % % % % French Muslims 16 19 64 1=100 Spanish Muslims 16 9 69 7=101 British Muslims 15 9 70 6=100 German Muslims 7 6 83 3=99 Jordan Spring 2005 Summer 2002 29 57 43 28 31 22 43 11 26 *=100 1=100 8= 99 Egypt 28 25 45 3=101 Turkey Spring 2005 March 2004 Summer 2002 17 14 15 13 9 6 9 7 61 66 67 64 14=101 13=99 9=100 14= 98 In one of the survey’s most striking Pakistan 14 8 69 8=99 findings, majorities in Indonesia, Turkey, Spring 2005 25 19 46 10=100 March 2004 41 8 35 16=100 Egypt, and Jordan say that they do not Summer 2002 33 5 38 23= 99 believe groups of Arabs carried out the Indonesia 10 18 71 1=100 Spring 2005 15 18 66 1=100 Sept. 11, 2001 terrorist attacks. The Summer 2002 27 16 54 3=100 percentage of Turks expressing disbelief Nigerian Muslims 46 23 28 3=100 that Arabs carried out the 9/11 attacks has *Asked of Muslims only. increased from 43% in a 2002 Gallup survey to 59% currently. And this attitude is not limited to Muslims in predominantly Muslim Did Arabs Carry Out countries – 56% of British Muslims say they do not 9/11 Attacks?* believe Arabs carried out the terror attacks against Yes No the U.S., compared with just 17% who do. British Muslims But Muslim opinion on most issues is not monolithic, and there are some apparent anomalies in Muslims’ views of the West and its people. While large percentages in nearly every Muslim country attribute several negative traits to Westerners – including violence, immorality and selfishness – solid majorities in Indonesia, Jordan and Nigeria express favorable opinions of Christians. Moreover, there is enduring belief in democracy among Muslim publics, which contrasts 32 French Muslims German Muslims Spanish Muslims Indonesia Egypt Turkey 17 56 48 46 35 44 33 35 16 65 32 59 Jordan 16 59 39 53 Pakistan 15 41 Nigerian Muslims 42 47 *Asked of Muslims only. sharply with the skepticism many Westerners express about whether democracy can take root in the Muslim world. Pluralities or majorities in every Muslim country surveyed say that democracy is not just for the West and can work in their countries. But Western publics are divided – majorities in Germany and Spain say democracy is a Western way of doing things that would not work in most Muslim countries. Most of the French and British, and about half of Americans, say democracy can work in Muslim countries. Overall, the Germans and Spanish express much more negative views of both Muslims and Arabs than do the French, British or Americans. Just 36% in Germany, and 29% in Spain, express favorable opinions of Muslims; comparable numbers in the two countries have positive impressions of Arabs (39% and 33%, respectively). In France, Great Britain and the U.S., solid majorities say they have favorable opinions of Muslims, and about the same numbers have positive views of Arabs. These differences are reflected as well in opinions about negative traits associated with Muslims. Roughly eight-in-ten Spanish (83%) and Germans (78%) say they associate Muslims with being fanatical. But that view is less prevalent in France (50%), Great Britain (48%) and the U.S. (43%). Prospects for Democracy in Muslim Countries Democracy can work well… In most Muslim countries U.S. 49 Great Britain France Germany Spain 60 59 42 37 German Muslims 80 French Muslims British Muslims 59 Spanish Muslims 57 76 In your country Jordan Indonesia Egypt Pakistan Turkey 74 70 65 50 44 In many ways, the views of Europe’s Muslims are distinct from those of both Western publics and Muslims in the Middle East and Asia. Most European Muslims express favorable opinions of Christians, and while their views of Jews are less positive than those of Western publics, they are far more positive than those of Muslim publics. And in France, a large majority of Muslims (71%) say they have favorable opinions of Jews. Moreover, while publics in largely Muslim countries generally view Westerners as violent and immoral, this view is not nearly as prevalent among Muslims in France, Spain and Germany. British Muslims however, are the most critical of the four minority publics studied – and they come closer to views of Muslims around the world in their opinions of Westerners. 33 Negative Traits Muslims and Non-Muslims See in One Another Negative Characteristics Muslims Associate with People in Western Countries * Arrogant Selfish Indonesia 81 Nigeria 74 Jordan 73 Indonesia Turkey British Muslims 69 67 Turkey British Muslims Egypt 63 German Muslims 57 Nigeria 56 Pakistan French Muslims Spanish Muslims Violent Jordan 81 72 Egypt 75 67 64 Nigeria 74 Turkey 70 Pakistan 53 Indonesia 64 Egypt Jordan 49 48 British Muslims Pakistan 52 49 54 51 German Muslims 48 German Muslims 34 French Muslims 45 French Muslims 29 50 Spanish Muslims 43 Spanish Muslims 24 Negative Characteristics Non-Muslims Associate with Muslims * Fanatical Spain 83 Germany Nigeria India Violent Arrogant Nigeria 73 India 58 78 India 67 Nigeria 55 74 73 Spain Russia 60 59 Russia Spain 51 42 Russia 72 Germany 52 France 38 France Great Britain 50 45 41 Great Britain U.S. 35 48 U.S. France U.S. 43 Great Britain 32 Germany 28 Spanish Muslims 0 Spanish Muslims Spanish Muslims 0 Spanish Spanish Muslims Spanish Muslims European countries. *Top threeMuslims traits of six negative traits tested. Lighter shading indicates Muslim subpopulations within Western In Pakistan, the percentage of Don't Know/Refused responses ranges from 28% to 31% on these characteristics. Nigerian Muslims asked about "people in Western countries," Nigerian non-Muslims asked about "Muslims." 34 0 35 Other Major Findings ● Concerns over Islamic extremism are widely shared in Western publics and Muslim publics alike. But an exception is China, where 59% express little or no concern over Islamic extremism. ● Muslims differ over whether there is a struggle in their country between Islamic fundamentalists and groups wanting to modernize society. But solid majorities of those who perceive such a struggle side with the modernizers. ● Fully 41% of the general public in Spain says most or many Muslims in their country support Islamic extremists. But just 12% of Spain’s Muslims say most or many of the country’s Muslims support extremists like al Qaeda. ● Nearly four-in-ten Germans (37%), and 29% of Americans, say there is a natural conflict between being a devout Christian and living in a modern society. 35 Roadmap to the Report The first section of the report analyzes how people in predominantly Muslim countries and non-Muslim countries view each other. This section examines the positive and negative characteristics Muslims associate with Westerners – including Muslim minorities in four Western European countries – and the traits that non-Muslims associate with Muslims. Section II focuses on opinions about the state of relations between the West and Muslims. It also explores reasons people give for Muslim nations’ lack of prosperity, attitudes to the recent controversy over cartoon depictions of Muhammad, and Muslim opinions on whether Arabs carried out the Sept. 11, 2001 terrorist attacks. Section III deals with the opinions of Muslim publics as to whether they see a struggle in their countries between modernizers and Islamic fundamentalists, the concerns that Muslims and non-Muslims alike share over the rise of Islamic extremism, and Muslim views on terrorism and Osama bin Laden. The report includes excerpts from interviews conducted by the International Herald Tribune in selected countries to illustrate some of the themes covered by the survey. These interviews were conducted separately from the Pew Global Attitudes Project. The bulk of the interviews are with Muslims. 36 I. MUSLIMS AND THE WEST – HOW EACH SEES THE OTHER T o explore how Westerners and Muslims see one another, we asked two batteries of questions. One is a simple favorability rating that focuses on religious and ethnic groupings; respondents were asked whether they have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Muslims, Christians, Arabs and Jews. The second asked about a series of 11 character traits (greedy, fanatical, honest, tolerant, etc.); respondents in the West were asked if they associate these traits with Muslims, and Muslims were asked if they associate these traits with people living in the West. The favorability measures show a troubled relationship between Westerners and Muslims, but the overall picture is more mixed than unremittingly negative. With only a few exceptions, attitudes among Western publics (toward Muslims) and Muslims (toward Christians) have remained fairly stable over the past few years. Among Western publics surveyed, Spain stands out as the only one where positive views of Muslims have shown a steep decline – from 46% in 2005 to 29% currently. Spanish opinions of Jews – and of the United States and the American people – also have fallen sharply over the past year. (For more on global opinions of the U.S. and Americans, see “America’s Image Slips, But Allies Share U.S. Concerns Over Iran, Hamas,” June 13, 2006). Similarly, there has not been a major change in how most Muslim publics view Christians, with the exception of Turkey. In Turkey, positive opinions of Christians have fallen from 31% in 2004 to 16% currently. Over that period, favorable views among Turks of both the U.S. and Americans have shown comparable declines. 37 Rating of Christians, Muslims, and Jews Christians Muslims Rating in… % % United States 88 54 2005 87 57 2004 84 48 Jews % 77 77 77 Russia 2005 2004 Great Britain 2005 2004 France 2005 2004 Germany 2005 2004 Spain 2005 90 92 93 88 85 84 87 84 84 79 83 75 79 80 59 55 53 63 72 67 65 64 64 36 40 41 29 46 59 63 65 74 78 76 86 82 81 69 67 63 45 58 Indonesia 2005 Jordan 2005 Pakistan 2005 2004 Turkey 2005 2004 64 58 61 58 27 22 24 16 21 31 97 99 93 99 94 94 97 88 83 88 17 13 1 0 6 5 3 15 18 27 India 2005 50 61 41 46 22 28 Percent who say they have a very or somewhat favorable opinion. Voices from Egypt Reporting by the International Herald Tribune* “There is a combination of reasons for lack of prosperity in certain areas. You cannot exclude the external factor. The Arab-Israeli conflict played a role in hindering economic development, but you cannot blame only the outside factor. There are other domestic factors, like deterioration of education, bad economic policy planning. It is a combination of factors. There has been foreign exploitation but we should not exaggerate that. Many countries were dependent on the role of the central government in the economy but discovered recently that it does not help the economy. We should blame the wrong economic orientation. Now many countries are giving the private sector more space. But the main reasons for lack of prosperity are lack of qualified human resources and deterioration of the education system.” --- Muhammad Kamal, a senior leader in the ruling National Democratic Party “In the Arab and Islamic worlds and on the Western side, we have not done enough to try to approach each other to explain our position to one another. We have not tried to have a coherent dialogue. This is a mistake that we both share. One of the examples of the lack of proper dialogue was the recent question of caricature of the prophet. The West looked at this issue from the perspective of freedom of expression and was not ready to listen to the view in relation to how this was insulting to us. Many people in the Islamic and Arab worlds also asked for dialogue, but some reacted in a violent way which was counterproductive.” --- Hesham Youssef, chief of staff of the secretary general's office, Arab League “Muslims are responsible for their lack of prosperity. Muslims do not follow the teachings of their religion. If they work hard, cooperate and pay their charity there will be no poor government. But rich people are selfish. Governments are corrupt and they do not do any good planning to benefit from their countries' wealth…. Western foreign policy is also to blame. We see them coming here occupying our countries, taking the oil. Muslim countries are rich in natural resources, enjoy the best weather. That is why Western governments want to control us and take over our wealth. Look what they did in Iraq, Afghanistan, and what they are doing now in Sudan. They just want an excuse to interfere in Sudan and stay there and never leave.” --- Abeer Ali Muhmmad, 38, fitness trainer, Giza “I believe the American foreign policy is responsible for the greedy image. They support dictatorships because they want their oil. But on the other hand I do not believe Western people are intolerant. We see them engaged in humanitarian causes. While many Westerners took to the street to protest wars or mistreatment of minorities, people in Egypt or other Muslim places do not do anything.” --- Mohsen Hamed Hassan, 43, physician, Cairo *Interviews were conducted by Abeer Allam. 38 Europe’s Muslims More Positive A bright spot in Muslim-Christian relations is found in the attitudes of Muslims living in the West. By lopsided margins (91% among Muslims in France; 82% in Spain; 71% in Great Britain; and 69% in Germany), Muslims in Western Europe express favorable opinions of Christians. Muslims in Western Europe have considerably more positive views of Christians than do Muslims living in Muslim countries. And in Spain and Germany, Muslims feel much more favorably toward Christians than the majority populations feel toward Muslims. Favorable Ratings of... Muslims Rating in... Roughly eight-in-ten Spanish Muslims (82%) express positive views of Christians, but just 29% of the general public in Spain expresses positive opinions of Muslims. The gap is substantial, though somewhat smaller, in views of how German Muslims regard Christians and how the German public sees Muslims (69% vs. 36%). U.S. 54 France 65 Great Britain 63 Russia 59 Germany 36 Spain 29 Christians French Muslims 91 Spanish Muslims 82 British Muslims 71 German Muslims 69 Indonesia 64 In the West, attitudes toward Arabs Jordan 61 are mixed and track closely with attitudes Egypt 48 toward Muslims. The British, however, Pakistan 27 hold somewhat less positive views of Arabs Turkey 16 than Muslims (56% favorable for Arabs vs. 63% for Muslims). In the Muslim world, attitudes toward Arabs are strongly positive, with the exception of Turkey, a nation with a history of tensions with its Arab neighbors. There, attitudes towards Arabs are fairly evenly divided (46% favorable/40% unfavorable). 39 Voices from France Reporting by the International Herald Tribune* “It's true that relations are bad, but to go from there to saying who's wrong? I think everyone bears some responsibility. On the Muslim side, it's too much religion, religion, religion, and they don't want to open up to others. Personally, I think Muslims are a bit aggressive and they neither accept nor respect the religion of others. As though everything has to go their way. In the end, the others don't respect them either. No one is making an effort.” --- Jeannine Pilé, 33, housewife and mother “There are a lot of people who don't like each other, Europeans and Muslims, because of religion, but that's not always why. There are a lot of Muslims who are much more open, who don't pray regularly -- that's what I see in France. What happens in other countries I don't know. From what I see it's half and half in France. There are some who are super-cool, who are not practicing, who are very open to France, and others who are less. I would say half and half.” --- Wahid Chekhar, 34, actor “When you see your Muslim friends on a daily basis you don't think that relations with Muslims are bad. But if all you do is watch television, most of what you see are extreme examples of Islam. Islam is not the religion of terror. But people are afraid of terrorism and too often religion is mixed up in the debate.” --- Pierre-Etienne Issoulie, 22, architect, Paris “The blame lies neither with your average Muslim or your average Westerner, but with extremists. Look at the conflict in Israel and Palestine. In this conflict extremists are making decisions on both sides. French people, like other Westerners, sometimes make the mistake of thinking of Islam and Muslims as something linked to extremism and terrorism. At the same time you have disadvantaged French Muslims, who identify with Muslims in Palestine, Iraq and Afghanistan. All this has created a lack of comprehension and communication between Muslims and the West.” --- Dalil Boubakeur, president of France's Muslim Council and head of the Paris Mosque “The cultural, social and political reference point for Muslims is traditionally the village, religion, and the community, not the individual, as in the West. For Muslims, individuality is often seen as individualism which, if it's misunderstood, can be perceived as a form of selfishness. If many French people see Muslims as intolerant it is because the images they get from the Muslim world are unfortunately often associated with fanaticism, group violence and discrimination against women.” --- Azouz Begag, minister for equal opportunity, French government *Interviews were conducted by Katrin Bennhold and Avis Bohlen. 40 Opinions of Jews Approval ratings for Jews remain strongly positive throughout the West, with the exception of Spain, where the favorability number has dropped to 45% from 58% a year ago. In the Muslim world, attitudes toward Jews remain starkly negative, including virtually unanimous unfavorable ratings of 98% in Jordan and 97% in Egypt. Muslims living in Western countries have a more moderate view of Jews – still more negative than positive, but not nearly by the lopsided margins that prevail in Muslim countries. The Muslims in France are a special case: 71% have a positive view of Jews. This is the only Muslim population or sub-population surveyed whose opinion of Jews is more favorable than not. Favorable Ratings of… Jews Rating in... U.S. 77 France 86 Great Britain 74 Germany 69 Russia 59 Spain 45 French Muslims 71 German Muslims 38 British Muslims 32 Spanish Muslims 28 Character Traits: Muslims View Westerners To look more closely into the nature and Indonesia 17 nuance of the civilization divide, we asked nonTurkey 15 Muslims to state whether they associate each of Pakistan 6 11 different character traits with Muslims – and Egypt 2 we asked Muslims the same set of questions about Jordan 1 Westerners. The character battery includes five positive traits (generous, honest, devout, tolerant and respectful of women) and six negative ones (violent, greedy, fanatical, selfish, immoral and arrogant). In general, Muslims living in predominantly Muslim nations delivered much more critical judgments about Westerners than non-Muslims gave regarding Muslims. (In this case, Muslims in Nigeria, who constitute nearly half of the country’s population, are included as a Muslim public). With just a handful of exceptions, majorities or pluralities of each Muslim public associate all of the negative traits on the survey – and none of the positive traits – with Westerners. 41 Voices from Germany Reporting by the International Herald Tribune* “It is difficult to speak about who is guilty. The Western world lacks an understanding of the Muslim world. You can't blame the Muslim world. The regimes are authoritarian. The state structures are very strong. Relations are also poor for another reason. Attempts at integrating Muslims in Germany have been inadequate. There is insufficient support for integration. In some ways, some Muslims remain susceptible to propaganda and fundamentalism. Another reason is what happened in Spain and the UK. The terrorists were home grown. It is very worrying.” --- Andreas von Radetzky, 50, taxi driver, houseman and teacher, Berlin “Being a Muslim and a Westerner are not necessarily mutually exclusive. The problem is: we need more middle-class Muslims in the West. Successful middle-class Muslims should be winning the respect of other Westerners, but instead their accomplishments compete in shaping public opinion against violence, honor killings and forced marriages, which is how Islam is often portrayed in Western countries. The negative, inaccurate stereotypes of Islam overwhelm the positive opinions other Westerners should be forming about their everyday Muslim neighbors, like the other parents at the kindergarten, the local banker, policeman or shopkeeper.” --- Cem Ozdemir, 40, member of European Parliament for Germany's Green party “Yes, we are egocentric. But that is about individualism. It can be positive; it can be negative. Clans don't exist for us. The social structures are less rigid than before. We are much more mobile. Regarding tolerance, generally, they [the Muslims] are not tolerant. But then, which religion is? It is about having respect for how we live, without imposing it on others. Education and integration is the key. Being able to speak German is essential for integration and understanding the culture and values. Learning the language is so important. Yet so many live in tightly organized families who do not speak German.” --- Stefanie Mates, 42, psychotherapist, Berlin “Modern European societies put a high emphasis on the individual and its liberties. This contrasts sharply with the much more community-oriented value system of many Muslims. This cleavage is a result of substantial differences with regard to the degree of secularization of the different groups in West European societies. In general, a functioning religious belief system (of any of the three religious offsprings of the Near East) tends to prefer community orientation to individualism. The same holds true the other way round: in a strongly individualistic society the upholding of community-oriented values and habits unavoidably provokes the reproach of intolerance.” --- Heinz Kramer, 61, head of the Islamic Studies department at the German Institute for Security Studies, Berlin *Interviews were conducted by Judy Dempsey. 42 In particular, pluralities in all of the predominantly Muslim countries surveyed associate Westerners with being greedy, arrogant, immoral, selfish and violent. And solid majorities in Jordan, Turkey and Egypt – as well as a plurality of Muslims in Nigeria – view Westerners as being fanatical. Negative Characteristics Associated with Westerners (Muslim Respondents) Arrogant Selfish Violent Indonesia 81 Nigeria 74 Jordan 81 Jordan 73 Indonesia 72 Egypt 75 Turkey 69 Turkey 67 Nigeria 74 British Muslims 67 British Muslims 64 Turkey 70 Egypt 63 Pakistan 53 Indonesia 64 German Muslims 57 Egypt 49 British Muslims 52 Nigeria 56 Jordan 48 Pakistan 49 Pakistan 54 German Muslims 48 German Muslims 34 French Muslims 51 French Muslims 45 French Muslims 29 Spanish Muslims 50 Spanish Muslims 43 Spanish Muslims 24 Immoral Greedy Fanatical Indonesia 76 Nigeria 65 Jordan 68 Jordan 73 Egypt 64 Turkey 67 Egypt 70 Jordan 62 Egypt 61 Turkey 67 Indonesia 60 Nigeria 49 British Muslims 63 Turkey 59 British Muslims 44 Nigeria 48 British Muslims 57 Indonesia 41 Pakistan 44 Pakistan 45 German Muslims 38 German Muslims 39 German Muslims 32 French Muslims 26 Spanish Muslims 38 French Muslims 30 Pakistan 24 French Muslims 31 Spanish Muslims 29 Spanish Muslims 21 Lighter shading indicates Muslim subpopulations in Western European countries. In Pakistan, the percentage of Don't Know/Refuse responses ranges from 28% to 42% on these characteristics. 43 Voices from Great Britain Reporting by the International Herald Tribune* “It's hard to pin the blame on anyone. The problem with the Muslims in Britain, certainly the South Asian community, is they came from very low social backgrounds, from villages in Pakistan. The gap between civilizations was so great that they could not meaningfully integrate. The second generation born and gone to school here, and they suffer from a quite serious inferiority complex. Here are these young men, full of energy and aspirations, but it takes a while to integrate into the upper echelons of any society. I think there are a lot of frustrations among a group which feels it has not been able to get where it could have or should have.” --- Ali Abbas, 31, an economist who migrated from Pakistan “Relations are bad, for two reasons, one political, one spiritual. The political one is all about oil. The East has the oil and the West hasn't. They want it. Our countries are very weak. Iraq has made a big difference to opinion, particularly in Britain. They want to bring the oil price down. It's all about greed. As for the spiritual aspects, I respect Christianity and Judaism absolutely but they are heading towards secularism. There is not enough respect for the spiritual side of life. People in this country describe themselves as Christian, but then you ask them, when was the last time you went to church?” --- Hojjat Ramzy, 52, is an Iranian-born Muslim chaplain for Sunni Muslim in Oxford “My perception is that when you get down and talk to people there isn't a great clash of civilizations. Particularly from a women's point of view. I have just come back from Saudi Arabia and I was struck by the fact that women have so much in common in what they want to change…. In my early twenties I simply blamed the West for dividing countries against each other, but in my thirties and forties I have seen more about the reality of government and I now feel that these countries haven't done themselves many favors.” --- Baroness Pola Uddin, 46, born in what is now Bangladesh and the first Muslim woman member of the House of Lords “After the bombings on 7 July last year I was surprised by how fantastic Londoners were, and how many people were able to look beyond what had happened. Of course it's not a perfect society, but I was expecting the backlash to be a lot worse…Where we are at the moment? We have two sides that don't understand each other particularly well. And I think both are equally responsible. I think the Muslims need to be introspective and look at their community from within and put their house in order. We do have a serious issue in terms of the miseducation of youth about Islamic practices, what's acceptable and what is not. We have to look at the importation of foreign imams. For me a lot of the misunderstanding comes from social and economic problems, for example up north it's a totally different situation from London. ” --- Shahedah Vawda, 33, a health scientist originally from South Africa *Interviews were conducted by John Morrison. 44 By the same token, in judging positive traits Muslim publics find little good to say about Westerners. A narrow majority of Nigeria’s Muslims (52%) say they associate Westerners with being generous. But that is very much an exception: otherwise, minorities of the Muslim publics surveyed associate the following traits with people who live in the West – generous, honest, devout, and tolerant. Also, fewer than half in all six Muslim publics surveyed say they associate Westerners with respect toward women. For the most part, Western European Muslims surveyed express very different – and more positive – views of Westerners than do Muslims in Muslim countries (including Nigeria). Majorities or near majorities of Muslims living in Great Britain, France, Germany and Spain view Westerners as generous, honest, tolerant and respectful of women. Similarly, minorities of Muslims in these countries associate Westerners with being violent, greedy, fanatical, and immoral. However, Muslims in Western Europe do tend to see Westerners as selfish, with half or more Muslims in the four European nations saying they associate this trait with Westerners. Positive Characteristics Associated with Westerners (Muslim Respondents) Respectful of Women Tolerant Generous Spanish Muslims 82 French Muslims 70 Spanish Muslims 70 French Muslims 77 Spanish Muslims 69 French Muslims 65 56 German Muslims 62 52 British Muslims 48 34 German Muslims British Muslims 73 British Muslims 49 Turkey 42 German Muslims 45 Indonesia Nigeria 41 Indonesia 30 Nigeria 30 Egypt 40 Egypt 27 Egypt 28 Indonesia 38 Pakistan 24 Jordan 28 Jordan 38 22 Jordan 20 Turkey 27 Turkey 15 Pakistan 13 Pakistan Nigeria Honest Devout Spanish Muslims 66 Turkey 39 German Muslims 56 British Muslims 37 French Muslims 51 Germany Muslims 36 British Muslims 42 Nigeria 36 Jordan 41 Indonesia 35 Egypt 32 Egypt 29 Nigeria 27 French Muslims 26 Turkey 23 Spanish Muslims 26 Pakistan 21 Pakistan 21 Indonesia 20 Jordan 19 Lighter shading indicates Muslim subpopulations in Western European countries. In Pakistan, the percentage of Don't Know/Refuse responses ranges from 26% to 36% on these characteristics. 45 Voices from India Reporting by the International Herald Tribune* “Everyone is selfish. No use calling them [Muslims] selfish alone. They are poor, so there is no doubt they are aggressive. Maybe that can be considered selfishness, but did you provide them food? If you don't provide them social security, then they may turn out to be anti-social.” --- Chunibhai Vaidya, 88, a social worker in Ahmedabad and a Hindu “America and other countries are trying to make this picture of Islam. Nowadays, we keep hearing the news. Always there is some news about Islamic terrorism. The media is in the hands of Israel and America, and they have planned to prove that Islam is terrorism. In India, there are regular blasts in Kashmir, so the Indians feel insecure. And they feel that if we support Islam, then maybe we will get overrun, so it's better to oppose Islam and support America.” --- Mohammad Arif, 40, owner of a small printing business and a Muslim “The major cause of all these problems is the political community in India. The second problem is the lack of literacy in the Muslim community. If you have a community that is not well-educated in general, if they're not getting jobs, what do they do? They have to live. They have to take care of the family. So they come out and fight. That's why people see them like this.” --- Manish Goenka, 31, heads the marketing division for a company that produces speech-recognition software in Mumbai “The whole relationship between communities is undergoing a transformation. Muslims are feeling part of a larger Muslim whole rather than a distinct Indianness. The relationship between communities in India is not under threat. But it is under pressure, because of these various developments. Democracy was doing a good job in India. It was the free play and strengthening of the democratic structure which has made people feel more comfortable and settled. And that is under pressure” --- Wajahat Habibullah, 60, a retired senior bureaucrat. He is a Muslim and a well-known authority on Kashmir *Interviews were conducted by Anand Giridharadas. 46 The Muslim minority population of Great Britain is an exception to this pattern. Across the full battery of questions, they have much more negative views of Westerners than do the Muslim minorities of Germany, France and Spain. Meanwhile, among those three countries, the Muslims in France and Spain have somewhat more positive views of Westerners than do Muslims in Germany. Character Traits: Non-Muslims View Muslims People in non-Muslim countries, including India and Russia as well as the U.S. and Western Europe, have mixed opinions of the characteristics associated with Muslims. Majorities of the general populations in all of the non-Muslim countries surveyed say they see Muslims as devout. Solid majorities of the French and Nigeria’s non-Muslim population also associate Muslims with being generous; far lower percentages in other non-Muslim countries agree. Positive Characteristics Associated with Muslims (Non-Muslim Respondents) Devout Spain Germany 86 85 France Great Britain 64 56 Great Britain 84 Germany Russia 81 Nigeria France U.S. 69 67 Nigeria 65 56 Russia India Generous Honest France Nigeria 63 55 52 Germany 40 46 Great Britain 34 U.S. Spain 44 43 India Spain 31 29 India 35 22 U.S. Russia 26 24 Tolerant Respectful of Women* France 45 Nigeria 57 Great Britain Great Britain 26 Russia 35 33 France 23 India 29 U.S. 19 U.S. 28 Nigeria 27 21 20 Germany Spain 17 12 Germany Spain * Not asked in India and Russia. But fewer than half in each of the non-Muslim publics associate Muslims with being tolerant. And with the exception of Nigeria, small minorities say they associate Muslims with respect for women. This is even in the case among the French, who generally have a more positive view of Muslims than do other Western publics. 47 Voices from Indonesia Reporting by the International Herald Tribune* “World politicians and the media are mostly to blame for the bad relationship between the West and Muslim countries. But especially Western politicians from superpower countries because they often issue double-standard regulations that hurt Muslims -- i.e. the Gulf War, the Iraq invasion, Israel and Palestine, etc. And the Western media often aggravates these conflicts with disproportionate and biased news coverage.” --- Rahmawati Husein, 40, professor, Yogyakarta “The main cause of this poor relationship is because the West connects Islam to terrorism. But my feeling is that the relationship is beginning to change in Indonesia. This might be in part because the U.S. foreign policy toward Indonesia recently has been to look at Indonesia, being a large Muslim country, as a friend and strategic partner instead of an enemy and a threat. It is changing now because there is a lot of cooperation between many U.S. agencies with Muslim organizations, like my organization, in Indonesia. We have been working together. We are now engaged in a partnership.” --- Din Syamsuddin, chairman of Muhammidiyah, Indonesia's second largest Muslim organization, Jakarta “What I have learned since I was a kid was that there have always been wars between Muslims and Christians or Catholics. They are labeled as religious wars. But the truth is that these wars were fought, and are fought, for political and economic interests. The religion is not the problem, it's the people behind the religion. In my opinion, both Muslims and Westerners contributed equally to worsen the misunderstanding between the two groups. Unfortunately, religion has always been politicized for political and economical interests…In my opinion, if Muslims nations want to be more prosperous, they have to stop using violence as a solution and start building business. Islam needs to change in order to achieve glory.” --- Imam Karyadi Aryant, 25, fashion designer, Yogyakarta “In the Quran, Allah said to Muhammad, "I won't change somebody's fate unless they're trying" -meaning, if Muslims want to be more prosperous, they must be willing to learn from the past, be open to criticism, be willing to learn new things and also help each other. There should be a stronger Muslim international organization that promotes bonds between Muslim countries, which would function like the United Nations. I know that capitalism adds to the deterioration of developing countries, but I'm ashamed to always use that as an excuse.” --- Atiyatul Izzah, 21, university student, Yogyakarta. *Interviews were conducted by Peter Gelling. 48 On the negative side, majorities in five of eight non-Muslim publics surveyed associate Muslims with being fanatical and violent. But there are divisions of opinions about both of these characteristics. Several countries in the survey, by lopsided margins, associate Muslims with fanaticism, led by Spain (83%) and Germany (78%). Opinion in France, Great Britain and the U.S. is more evenly balanced, though half of the French and nearly as many Americans (43%) say they see Muslims as fanatical. Negative Characteristics Associated with Muslims (Non-Muslim Respondents) Violent Fanatical Arrogant Spain 83 Nigeria 73 India 58 Germany 78 74 India 67 60 Nigeria 55 51 Nigeria India 73 Spain Russia 59 Russia Spain Russia France 72 50 Germany U.S. 52 45 France Great Britain Great Britain 48 43 France Great Britain 41 32 U.S. Germany U.S. Greedy Selfish India Nigeria 64 48 42 38 35 35 28 Immoral India Nigeria 55 40 India Nigeria 50 43 Russia 48 Spain 34 Germany 26 Germany Spain 44 43 Russia U.S. 33 24 Russia Spain 25 21 Great Britain 30 27 27 Great Britain 17 14 10 U.S. France Great Britain 19 18 16 France U.S. Germany France 49 Voices from Jordan Reporting by the International Herald Tribune* “There is no prosperity because the United States has seized all our products, all our oil, and all our wealth. All of it goes to the United States and the West. It is not about the internal politics. Look at Saddam, you see what happened to him -- did he come out with anything? No, it is the politics of the strong, the way the West deals with us.” --- Hassan Omar Abdel Rahman, 70, unemployed, former pharmacist “Generation after generation, we have seen the presence of Israel and the absolute Western endorsement of Israel, with absolutely no support for us. Even if they do give us some aid, it is at the cost of our dignity, our existence. It is conditional. This of course generates a certain feeling for the people here that even if they do give us something, which they can afford to do since they have wealth, still, it is the strong dominating the weak. And this makes people here feel a certain injustice. When the weak lose hope that the strong may support them, it creates a kind of bitterness and hatred for the stronger party.” --- Nadia Abou Darwish, 50, housewife and former high school teacher “I blame the people in the West definitely. The media portrays Islam as terrorism. So definitely the people who watch these things and don't mingle with Arabs, they will come to think that Arabs are terrorists. So the media definitely plays a role. When something blows up in Israel, all over the world, they show them saying, 'Look what the Arabs did to us.’” --- Reem Sandarussi, 26, advertising account manager “Yes, Muslims are against the west. But why? I believe the reason is this -- it is a sort of reflection of Muslim dissatisfaction with the western foreign policies, especially on two issues: the Palestinian issue and now Iraq. These are the apparent issues, which people talk about day and night. And which the news focuses on day and night. And they come to the eyes and ears of the audience, of the Muslims who have been surveyed, daily in the bloodiest way -- its killing, women screaming and yelling, and soldiers frowning. So what they hate is American foreign policy and they see the Europeans as sort of succumbing to the Americans.” --- Adnan Abu Odeh, 73, former political adviser to King Hussein “This is primarily the responsibility of the ruling regimes. Corruption has proliferated in some of these countries…There is an absence of national oversight and in some countries there is stealing and embezzlement in every meaning of the word. This is why we find these tragic economic conditions and this corruption that is gnawing at the bones of most of the Muslim countries.” --- Saleh Al Kallab, 59, newspaper columnist and former Jordanian minister of information *Interviews were conducted by Mona El-Naggar. 50 Muslims Much More Critical On average, Muslims in predominantly Muslim countries are more likely to associate Westerners with multiple negative traits than vice versa. Indeed, 82% of Jordanians, and nearly as many Indonesians, Turks, Nigerian Muslims and Egyptians ascribe three or more negative characteristics to Westerners. In contrast, far fewer European Muslims – with the notable exception of British Muslims – link three or more negative traits to Westerners. Among non-Muslim publics, 63% in Nigeria and 53% in Spain associate Muslims with three or more negative characteristics. But other non-Muslim publics are less critical of Muslims. In France, the U.S. and Great Britain, only about a third of respondents in each country associate Muslims with three or more negative characteristics; comparable percentages in each ascribe none of the negative characteristics listed to Muslims. 51 Muslims More Critical of Westerners Than Vice Versa # of negative traits ascribed to Westerners by Muslims in… Great Britain Germany Spain France 3+ % 69 47 38 37 1-2 % 21 34 36 47 0 % 10 20 26 16 Jordan Indonesia Turkey Nigeria Egypt 82 80 75 74 73 15 17 13 19 18 3 4 12 7 9 Ascribed to Muslims by non-Muslims in… Nigeria Spain Germany France U.S. Great Britain 3+ % 63 53 46 35 35 30 1-2 % 27 38 40 33 31 36 0 % 10 10 15 32 34 34 Respondents were read a list of six negative traits. For each, Muslims were asked whether they associate it with Westerners, while non-Muslims were asked whether they associate it with Muslims. Voices from Nigeria Reporting by the International Herald Tribune* “Yes, it's true that the relationship between Muslims and Westerners is that of mutual mistrust. If you follow the issues, you begin to see that the Westerners are always plotting one discriminatory policy or the other against Muslims. This was the situation even before September 11, but it only became more pronounced after September 11. I am a Muslim, I will defend my faith and practice my faith no matter what, but I also recognize the fact that the next has the right to practice and defend his faith. So, you see, I'm not a fundamentalist even though I love my religion. But when they call all Muslims terrorists and call us fundamentalists or fanatics and then begin to oppress us in the name of fighting terrorism, then you see people reacting in desperate ways including violence. So, these violent people are actually a creation of the West. After all, we all know that America necessitated the creation of al-Qaeda and similar groups.” --- Murtala Mohammed, 28, university student, Political Science, University of Jos “It is true that relations between Muslims around the world and the West have not been particularly warm in recent times. And the reason is simple: Sept 11 pitched the West against the Muslim world. Al-Qaeda became a synonym for Islam and America's so-called war on terror effectively – and some will say conveniently - became a war on Islam. Muslims are generally labeled 'fundamentalist' and 'terrorist' and this provides them an excuse to persecute Muslims. I can tell you that if I travel to say, London, for instance, because my name is Saleh, they will take time and be thorough in clearing me through the immigrations because as far as they are concerned, I could be concealing a bomb somewhere. That is how bad it is.” --- Saleh Bayeri, 43, a politician/Muslim community leader in Jos, Plateau State, central Nigeria “We have learned in Nigeria that if a country is poor, it's because of the political and economic systems it chooses. You cannot sincerely blame the West for every problem in the Muslim countries. If they adopt democracy…and if they adopt the right economic policies, they will overcome poverty.” --- Lumumba Dah Adeh, 44, special assistant to President Obasanjo on legislative matters “It's so easy and convenient to simply say Muslims think Westerners are fanatical and vice versa, but it's more complex than that. I am a Muslim and I don't consider Westerners or Christians for that matter as fanatical. The elite simply take advantage of the poverty and ignorance of their people and manipulate them for their own gains. Otherwise, these people are busy trying to survive and hardly have time to spare for forming perceptions about foreigners.” --- Abdul Oroh, 46, deputy chair, Nigerian House of Representatives Committee on Human Rights *Interviews were conducted by Senan Murray. 52 II. THE RIFT BETWEEN MUSLIMS AND THE WEST: CAUSES AND CONSEQUENCES M uslims and Westerners agree that relations between them are generally bad, but disagree about who is to blame. Strong majorities in the Muslim world blame the West, while Western publics are more divided. Roughly eight-in-ten Turks (79%) who say relations between Muslims and people in the West are bad say that Westerners are mostly to blame for this. Smaller but still sizable majorities in Indonesia (64%), Jordan (61%), Pakistan (60%) and Egypt (56%) also say Westerners are largely to blame for the poor state of relations (based on those who say relations are generally bad). On this question, as on many others, the division in Nigeria between its Christian and Muslim population is striking. Majorities of both Muslims (77%) and Christians (52%) agree that relations between Muslims and the West are poor. But 69% of Christian Nigerians blame Muslims, while an even greater percentage of Muslim Nigerians (83%) blame Westerners. General Agreement That Relations are Bad; Disagreement Over Who is to Blame ------------Who is mostly to blame for bad relations?**-----------Western Both Neither Jews Don’t Muslims people (vol.) (vol.) (vol.) know % % % % % % 33 26 22 8 0 11 United States % saying relations are bad* % 55 Germany France Spain Great Britain Russia 70 66 61 61 53 39 47 32 25 35 17 28 10 27 25 27 19 52 33 28 6 2 4 6 3 0 0 1 1 1 10 4 1 8 7 British Muslims German Muslims French Muslims Spanish Muslims 62 60 58 23 11 6 21 5 48 46 52 28 28 35 21 40 5 3 3 13 1 0 0 4 7 11 3 10 Turkey Egypt Jordan Indonesia Pakistan 64 58 54 53 25 7 1 3 4 14 79 56 61 64 60 8 16 7 15 7 1 5 * 1 * 1 22 28 10 9 4 2 1 7 9 Nigerian Muslims Nigerian Christians 77 52 1 69 83 10 11 16 1 3 1 * 2 2 * % saying relations these days between Muslims around the world and people in western countries are bad. ** asked only of those who say relations are bad. 53 Voices from Pakistan Reporting by the International Herald Tribune* “ I think we have always been keen to take credit for building bridges between Islam and the West. That's probably why we feel it's important to have good relations because we feel that is the only bargaining chip we have to gain international significance -- as a moderate Islamic state that enjoys good relations with the U.S. and Western Europe.” --- Muhammad Adnan, 37, government employee, Islamabad “I don’t think the relations are good at all. Look, on the state level, I don't think we stand anywhere, but on a person-to-person interaction it's much better. First of all, we need to take into account that even if relations are good, they are good on our side, not from the Western side. They perceive Muslims as terrorists. Secondly, the West has an expansionist policy and they want to get hold of this portion of the world. And it's the rule of nature that you befriend people who are similar to you. They can't treat Muslims equally and will never be friends with us.” --- Sadia Omar, 34, housewife, Rawalpindi “The majority of Pakistanis feel that the causes of their bad relations with the West are: the West's support to Israel; and Western nations' indifference to the Kashmiri's sufferings at the hands of Indian security forces. Pakistanis generally have a more moderate and positive attitude toward the West given the orientation of the country toward the West since its inception. More than 70 percent of Pakistan's trade is with the West.” --- Fazal-ur-Rahman, 46, director of the East Asia Institute of Strategic Studies, Islamabad “Most of the Muslim countries are gripped by dictatorships or they are kingdoms. Societies have not functioned properly, are dysfunctional. I think lack of progress in science is a key factor too. Muslims lag far behind in science and technology and this hinders their capability to flourish. We have the raw materials, we have the labor but we do not have the technology. Then, there is corruption, nepotism. Also, there is a feeling that West is exploiting our resources and we are incapacitated to counter Western domination.” --- Muhammad Nasir, 24, student of international relations, Islamabad “Most Muslim nations severely lag behind in anything even remotely close to education. Add to that the fact that most governments have done nothing rather than bleed the country dry through corruption as a right of passage, not much is going to happen to increase any sort of prosperity, be it economic or otherwise.” --- Reem Khan, 25, writer/magazine editor, Lahore *Interviews were conducted by Salman Masood. 54 In Jordan and Egypt, majorities blame the West generally for bad relations, but about a quarter of the respondents offer up a more specific source of tension. Fully 28% of Jordanians and 22% of Egyptians volunteer that “Jews” are mostly to blame for bad relations, although Jews were not mentioned in the question. Western publics have mixed views of which side is to blame for the poor relationship between Muslims and people in the West. A third of Americans say Muslims are mostly to blame for this, but 26% point to Western people, while 22% volunteer that both sides are to blame. British opinion divides along similar lines: a third of the British who see relations as poor blame both sides; 27% blame Westerners; and 25% think that people in Western countries are mostly to blame. Among Western publics, the French and Germans are most likely to blame Muslims for the bad relationship. But in both countries, fewer than half of those who see relations between the West and Muslims as bad mostly blame Muslims for this (47% in France, 39% in Germany). Europe’s Muslim minorities generally feel Westerners are responsible for the rift between Muslims and the West, but this view is less widespread than in predominantly Muslim countries. Spain’s Muslims stand out because an unusually high percentage (49%) says that relations between the West and Muslims are good; just 23% of Spanish Muslim say that relations are bad. Why Aren’t Muslim Nations More Prosperous? Muslims and Westerners agree that Muslim nations should be doing better economically. This view is expressed by strong majorities throughout the West and overwhelming percentages of Muslims. Russia is the only country surveyed where fewer than half (45%) say that Muslim countries should be more economically prosperous, although a relatively small majority in the U.S. (56%) also expresses this view. Consensus breaks down, however, over what is most responsible for Muslim nations’ lack of prosperity. There are differences among Muslim and non-Muslim publics alike, although Muslims are much more likely to blame U.S. and Western policies than are non-Muslim publics. Two-thirds of Jordanians (66%) and 59% of Egyptians who say Muslim nations should be more economically prosperous say Western policies are primarily responsible, or next most responsible, for the lack of prosperity. Nearly half of those in Turkey (48%) and Indonesia (47%) who say Muslim nations should be more prosperous also say Western policies are to blame; however, somewhat more Turks (55%) see lack of education in the Muslim world as the main obstacle to Muslim prosperity, while Indonesians most often mention government corruption in Muslim nations as being mainly responsible for Muslims’ lack of prosperity (52%). But only 55 Voices from Russia Reporting by the International Herald Tribune* “When a pedestrian and car crash, who to blame? Even if pedestrian did something wrong, the driver always wrong because he is stronger. When weak and strong collide, the strong one is wrong. We should have built a system where there is no conflict. The strong West is to blame. To be concrete, the thing is that the West built such a system of relations that leads people to work the same, let's say, in the Arab world and West, but consumption in Western world is many times higher. This egotistical national policy worked as normal colonial policy 100 years ago, but in the modern global world it doesn't work.” --- Sergei Markov, 48, director of the Institute of Political Studies and deputy chairman of the Public Chamber Commission on International Cooperation and Public Diplomacy “As always in such situations probably both sides have grievances against the other, painful historical memory. If one speaks of conflicts on the territory of the former Soviet Union, I think these are echoes of Stalin's policies. It's hard to speak of the whole world, of U.S. policies. Here, I think Chechnya is the result of horrible Stalin deportation of people. Hatred from their side because of this. There wasn't a bad attitude to them before the first and second Chechen war.” --- Karina Cherniak, 57, Orthodox Church youth worker, Moscow “Many Muslim countries are located in good geographical conditions. They have either oil, or natural resources. Those rulers who are in these countries, they simply don't work for the good of the people. The people get impoverished because of this. They don't spiritually develop the people. If they did, they would understand that people could be just and loyal everywhere. The authorities there don't distribute resources, don't encourage spiritual growth. Those who are in power, who are close to resources, they encircle themselves in wealth. There are children, very poor people, no attention is paid to them.” --- Tamara Kantayeva, 49, Chechen refugee in Moscow, school teacher “I think the situation is to blame. Determining who is more or less to blame is a favorite pastime in the West and in the Muslim East and each blames the other. I think the situation is to blame. Both sides were not ready for this. There's no doubt that radicalism will grow. Reform in the Muslim world on a nationalist basis has failed. The nationalist basis has failed and been replaced by Islam. In the process of globalization, the Muslim world has lost to the West. What is happening is compensation. We can't repeat your path, so we'll build our own. We don't like that you crush Muslims in Iraq, Iran and Palestine. This is a symmetrical answer. What we're observing is an inferiority complex. We can't catch up with you, so we'll punish you.” --- Aleksei Malashenko, 55, scholar-in-residence, Carnegie Moscow Center, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace *Interviews were conducted by Sophia Kishkovsky. 56 about a quarter of Pakistanis (24%) blame U.S. and other Western policies, while 60% blame Muslims’ lack of education. Notably, solid majorities of Muslims in Spain, Great Britain and France who say Muslim nations should be more economically prosperous believe government corruption in Muslim nations is largely responsible for the lack of prosperity. German Muslims generally attribute the economic weakness of Muslim nations to a lack of education among Muslims. What is Most Responsible for Muslim Nations’ Lack of Prosperity?* United States Government corruption % 58 Lack of education % 51 U.S. & Western policies % 14 Islamic fundamentalism % 32 Lack of democracy % 28 Great Britain Spain France Germany Russia 51 50 41 40 23 35 29 38 48 49 22 33 27 20 36 32 42 43 53 41 32 34 48 28 31 Spanish Muslims British Muslims French Muslims German Muslims 64 63 57 29 23 52 32 65 46 36 48 33 6 10 21 19 20 21 40 36 Indonesia Egypt Jordan Pakistan Turkey 52 49 45 40 22 41 29 28 60 55 47 59 66 24 48 11 14 19 10 9 37 32 28 27 35 * Percent who named each item, from a list of five choices, as most or second most responsible. Based on those who say Muslim nations should be more prosperous. Western publics differ over what is mostly responsible for Muslim nations’ lack of prosperity. Germans most often blame Islamic fundamentalism (53%), while a plurality of French (48%) see the lack of democracy in the Muslim world as mainly responsible. Americans generally believe government corruption is to blame for Muslim nations’ failure to prosper (58%), although 51% point to a lack of education in the Muslim world. A narrow majority in Great Britain (51%) also views Muslim government corruption is largely responsible for Muslim nations’ poor economic fortunes. 57 Voices from Spain Reporting by the International Herald Tribune* “Westerners can seem very individualist to Muslims. Spain is actually one of the countries where family and friends matter most compared to other places in Europe. But the idea is still that you have to succeed on your own. Muslims are always looking out for others. They are always offering you something. They offer you food even if they're hungry, they offer you their bed even if they have only one. The idea is that what you give to others you get back in return many times over.” --- Amira Ruíz, 24, student in international business from Barcelona who converted from Catholicism to Islam a year ago “Spain has the same GNP as all the Arab countries combined. Most of them reached independence two generations ago, so it is difficult to blame the Western world, or imperialism, for the economic stagnation. Their sociological system, their laws, their education are to blame. It is a pity because if you know them you realize that from the human point of view their potential is enormous.” --- Inocencio Arias, Spain's consul general in Los Angeles and its former ambassador to the United Nations “The Muslim world hasn't been able to organize its societies in a modern way. Our governments lack a clear separation of powers in the modern sense, for example. Assistance from the West would be more effective if it did not come with so many strings attached. They often ask us to change our culture to get more assistance. They want us to adopt democracy, to give religion less prominence. But Muslim countries are not willing to give up their culture.” --- Ahmed el Abdellaoui, 40, a translator who lives in Madrid but is originally from Morocco “The Muslim community here is very isolated, so they don't understand the rest of Spain, and Spaniards don't understand them. Perceptions are based mostly on stereotypes.” --- Zaida Díaz, 33, an accountant from Madrid “Some people in Spain want to forget that we were a Muslim country for nearly 800 years. But you cannot deny your roots, and we all have Islamic roots.” --- Manuela Aparicio, 58, a publishing executive in Madrid *Interviews were conducted by Renwick McLean. 58 Seeing the World Differently: The Cartoon Controversy With just a few exceptions, there is broad public awareness of the dispute over publication of cartoons with the image of the prophet Muhammad. In most populations surveyed, more than 80% had heard of the controversy, and this figure rises to more than 90% in Jordan, Egypt, and among Muslims in Great Britain, Germany and France. But in the U.S., just 65% had heard of the dispute, and in China only 23% were aware of the issue. By wide margins, Westerners who had heard of the controversy believe that Muslim intolerance is principally to blame for the controversy, while Muslims, by even more lopsided majorities, see Western disrespect for the Islamic religion as the root of the problem. The clashing points of view are seen clearly in Nigeria, where 81% of Muslims blame the controversy on Western disrespect and 63% of Christians say Muslim intolerance is to blame. On this issue, unlike many others, Europe’s Muslim minorities share the perspective of their fellow Muslims in Muslim nations. Among those who are aware of the dispute, more than seven-in-ten Muslims in Spain (80%), France (79%), Great Britain (73%) and Germany (71%) say Western disrespect for Islam spurred the conflict. Controversy over Cartoons of Muhammad: What's to Blame?* Muslim intolerance U.S. Western disrespect 60 20 Russia France Germany Spain Great Britain 34 67 62 53 59 30 28 26 21 19 Spanish Muslims French Muslims British Muslims German Muslims 5 19 9 15 80 79 73 71 4 3 5 8 90 87 86 84 Jordan Egypt Indonesia Turkey Nigerian Muslims Nigerian Christ. 6 81 63 22 India 33 53 * Based on those w ho heard about the controversy. 59 Voices from Turkey Reporting by the International Herald Tribune* “Westerners do not like us and we do not like them either. We cannot catch up with their lifestyle because our moral values are different. We belong to different worlds, different traditions. We have all seen what they have done in Iraq; they simply do not have conscience.” --- Hasan Karaer, 42, head waiter at a local restaurant in Istanbul “It is enough to look at the economic imbalances to see why people think badly about Westerners. United States, France, England, Germany and many other countries have become what they are by exploiting either the natural resources or manpower of other countries. Therefore, Westerners, in this ongoing system based on exploitation, will always remain selfish and greedy.” --- Ozlem Ozer, 30, assistant architect, Istanbul “Muslim Eastern countries consider materialism as a bad thing but for a better future they have to respect individualism more. So, there is confusion there. In their eyes, individualism is not good in itself but not all communitarian values are good either. Communitarian lifestyles are oppressive on people…The Eastern people have to be more critical of themselves. This can also be partly a way of expressing jealousy for the economic welfare in the West. Westerners may be labeled as greedy and selfish because they are richer.” --- Volkan Aytar, 35, program officer, Turkish Economic and Social Studies Foundation “The level of socio-economic and human development is much lower when it comes to Muslim countries. And in the human development comparison between man and woman, there is also a large gender gap. Another reason why Muslim countries are not doing as well as their Western counterparts is that in many Muslim countries the social and political relations evolve around family and kinship, which makes it difficult to develop trust and cooperate with other global and domestic businesses. Because the level of trust and the level of social capital are low, it prevents proper, stable production and professional business. They tend to form business relations with family companies and this creates problems…. Such companies cannot expand and form international global and business connections.” --- Prof. Nilufer Narli, sociologist, Vice President of Bahcesehir University in Istanbul “Of course they [Muslims] will be poor. How many of them are educated people? What are they actually producing? Most of the people here try to live beyond their means, in debt most of the time. In Saudi Arabia and Gulf countries they wouldn't have been so rich if they hadn't had any petrol resources. Name me a single Muslim country that has become rich by hardworking. You cannot.” --- Mustafa Umranyildizli, 39, taxi driver, Istanbul *Interviews were conducted by Sebnem Arsu. 60 While Westerners are firm in their view that Muslims are to blame for the controversy, they are not without sympathy for Muslims who were offended by the cartoons. About half the respondents in Great Britain and roughly four-in-ten in the United States, Germany and France voice such sympathy. But just 17% of the Spanish say they are sympathetic, while 79% say they are not. As might be expected, large majorities of Muslims – in predominantly Muslim countries as well as Europe – say they sympathize with the Muslims who were offended by the cartoons. Feelings of sympathy with those offended by the cartoons are especially widespread in Jordan (99%) and Egypt (98%). Percent Sympathetic to Muslims Offended by Cartoons of Muhammad* U.S. 42 Great Britain 52 Germany 44 Russia 44 France 38 Spain 17 British Muslims 92 Spanish Muslims 84 French Muslims 82 German Muslims 61 *Based on those w ho heard about the Seeing the World Differently: 9/11 controversy. The question is w orded: Perhaps the most dramatic measure of the "Regardless of how you feel about the protests, w ere you sympathetic to Muslims w ho w ere gulf that separates Muslims from the Western world offended by these cartoons, or not?" comes in their response to this question: Do you believe that groups of Arabs carried out the attacks against the United States on Sept. 11, 2001? By wide margins, Muslims living in Muslim countries say they do not believe this to be the case. The least skeptical Muslim nation is Jordan; even there, a majority (53%) says they do not believe Arabs carried out the attacks. The most skeptical nation is Indonesia, where 65% say they do not believe it and just 16% say they do, with the remaining 20% expressing no opinion. In Turkey, nearly as many (59%) say they do not believe that groups of Arabs carried out the Sept. 11 attacks, while 16% say they did. In 2002, a much bigger share of the Turkish public – 46% – said they believed that Arabs were responsible for Sept. 11, according to a Gallup survey. Roughly four-in-ten Pakistanis (41%) say they do not believe groups of Arabs carried out the 9/11 attacks, compared with 5% who think they did; 44% of Pakistanis declined to respond. The Muslim minorities of France, Germany and Spain are fairly evenly divided over whether Arabs did, or did not, carry out the Sept.11 attacks, while opinion among British Muslims is similar to views in predominantly Muslim countries. By 56%-17%, British Muslims do not believe Arabs were responsible for the 9/11 attacks. 61 III. ISLAM, MODERNITY AND TERRORISM I n most Western countries, the prevailing view among non-Muslims is that there is a conflict between being a devout Muslim and living in a modern society. But Muslims generally disagree – including Muslims who live in major European countries. These contrasting views are particularly noteworthy in Germany and Spain. Fully 70% of the general public in Germany says there is a conflict between being a devout Muslim and living in a modern society; 57% of German Muslims see no such conflict. In Spain, 58% of the general public says devout faith in Islam is incompatible with modern life; an even higher percentage of Spain’s Muslims (71%) disagree. In France, however, comparably large majorities of the general public (74%) and French Muslims (72%) say there is no conflict between being a devout Muslim and living in a modern society. This is one of several indicators suggesting there has not been a backlash among the French to the rioting this past year by Muslim youths in the outskirts of Paris and elsewhere in the country. In a similar vein, the Pew Global Attitudes survey asked people in five predominantly Muslim countries whether or not they believe there is a struggle between groups who want to modernize their country and Islamic fundamentalists. The responses are mixed. In Turkey, 58% say there is a struggle between modernizers and Islamic fundamentalists, and nearly as many Indonesians (50%) agree. But solid majorities in Jordan and Egypt see no such struggle; in Pakistan, a relatively large number (50%) declined to offer an opinion. Among those who believe there is a struggle, more people identify with the modernizers than the Islamic fundamentalists. In Turkey, for instance, 39% of the public identifies with the modernizers; just 9% identify with the Islamic fundamentalists. Muslim Opinion on the Struggle Between Modernizers and Islamic Fundamentalists See no struggle % -------See struggle------and identify with… Modernizers Fundamentalists % % Jordan 69 16 6 Egypt 60 20 8 Indonesia 40 31 13 Turkey 23 39 9 Pakistan* 14 22 12 The survey also asked people in *In Pakistan, a high percentage of respondents (50%) did not non-Muslim countries whether or not respond. they see a conflict between being a devout Christian and living in a modern society. Majorities in all countries – as well as majorities 62 of Muslims in four European countries – say they see no conflict. However, a relatively large minority of Germans (37%) sees a conflict between being a devout Christian and living in a modern society. Islamic Extremism Concerns The rise of Islamic extremism is a concern to people in most Muslim and nonMuslim countries alike. These concerns are most pronounced in a handful of countries – including Germany, India and Great Britain – where 50% or more say they are very concerned about the rise of Islamic extremism. In the U.S., 46% say they are very concerned, while another 33% say they are somewhat concerned over the global rise of Islamic extremism. Concerns over Islamic extremism have remained fairly stable since last year in most of the countries for which trends are available. In Russia, however, there has been a sharp decline in intense concern over the past year; currently, 38% of Russians say they are very concerned about the rise of Islamic extremism around the world, down from 51% a year ago. Concern About the Rise of Islamic Extremism in the World Very concerned Somew hat concerned 79 U.S. 93 Germany 89 France 84 Great Britain 77 Spain 73 Russia 77 British Muslims 73 French Muslims Spanish Muslims 60 German Muslims 58 Pakistan 71 Indonesia 67 Jordan 60 Egypt Turkey By and large, the Muslim publics surveyed also express fairly extensive concern Nigerian Muslims over Islamic extremism. Turkey is an exception Nigerian Christians to this pattern – just 39% of Turks say they are very or somewhat concerned about this. India Majorities of Muslims in four Western European Japan countries also express at least some concern China 18 about Islamic extremism. But worries are most intense in Great Britain, where 52% of Muslims there say they are very concerned about the spread of Islamic extremism. 54 39 57 47 85 82 Amid this global sea of concern, China stands out as an island of relative calm. Just 3% of Chinese say they are very concerned about the rise of Islamic extremism around the world, 63 while another 15% say they are somewhat concerned. This is by far the lowest level of concern among the 21 populations asked this question. Bin Laden and al Qaeda Osama bin Laden remains a pariah in the West, and support for the al Qaeda leader has eroded in several Muslim countries in recent years. In Jordan, confidence in bin Laden has plummeted since May 2005. A year ago, 25% of Jordanians said they had a lot of confidence in bin Laden to “do the right thing regarding world affairs,” while another 35% said they had some confidence. Today, almost no Jordanians (fewer than 1%) express a lot of confidence in bin Laden, and 24% say they have some confidence in him. In Pakistan, confidence in bin Laden also has fallen, though not quite as dramatically. In May 2005, a majority of Pakistanis (51%) expressed at least some confidence in bin Laden; that number has declined to 38% in the current survey. Most Have Little or No Confidence in bin Laden A lot/some confidence Not too much/no confidence at all French Muslims German Muslims Spanish Muslims British Muslims 5 7 16 14 Turkey Jordan Egypt Indonesia Pakistan 24 26 33 38 Nigerian Muslims 93 83 75 68 4 79 74 71 52 30 61 33 To be sure, bin Laden still has followers in the Muslim world. Fully 61% of Muslims in Nigeria express a lot of confidence (33%) or some confidence (28%) in bin Laden; that represents a significant increase from May 2003 (44%). Bin Laden’s standing in Pakistan has eroded, but more Pakistanis still express at least some confidence in bin Laden than say they have little or no confidence in him (by 38% to 30%). And a third of Indonesians continue to express at least some confidence in the al Qaeda leader. Among European Muslims, only about one-in-twenty Muslims in Germany and France express even some confidence in bin Laden to do the right thing in world affairs. But that figure rises to 14% among Muslims in Great Britain, and 16% of Spanish Muslims. 64 As for al Qaeda and groups like it, opinion is mixed in the Muslim world about how much support they attract. Large majorities in Jordan, Egypt and Indonesia say they draw just some or very few supporters. But a majority of Muslims in Nigeria (56%) say many or most Muslims there support al Qaeda and similar groups. About a third of Pakistanis (35%) say such extremists groups have the support of most or many of the people in that country. Among people living in the West, majorities of Muslims and non-Muslims alike say they believe these extremist groups have very limited following among Muslims in their countries. But Spain is very much an exception. Fewer than half of the Spanish (46%) say Islamic extremists draw support from just some or very few Spanish Muslims; nearly as many (41%) say that most or many of Spain’s Muslims support such groups. By comparison, just 12% of Spanish Muslims say that many or most of the country’s Muslims support al Qaeda and similar groups. In India and Russia as well, fairly large percentages of the general publics say many or most Muslims there support Islamic extremists (41% and 28%, respectively). How Many Muslims in Your Country Support Islamic Extremists Like Al Qaeda? Many Most 19 U.S. 41 Spain Russia 28 France 20 Great Britain 20 Germany 18 British Muslims 12 Spanish Muslims 12 German Muslims 12 French Muslims 9 Pakistan 35 Egypt Jordan 22 18 Indonesia 14 Turkey 13 Nigerian Muslims Nigerian Christians India 56 35 41 In non-Muslim countries, respondents w ere asked how many Muslims in their country support Islamic extremists like al Qaeda. In Muslim countries, respondents w ere asked how many people in their country do so. 65 66 RELEASED: THURSDAY, JULY 6, 2006, 2:00 PM EDT Few Signs of Backlash From Western Europeans MUSLIMS IN EUROPE: ECONOMIC WORRIES TOP CONCERNS ABOUT RELIGIOUS AND CULTURAL IDENTITY 13-Nation Pew Global Attitudes Survey 67 68 Few Signs of Backlash From Western Europeans MUSLIMS IN EUROPE: ECONOMIC WORRIES TOP CONCERNS ABOUT RELIGIOUS AND CULTURAL IDENTITY Muslims in Europe worry about their future, but their concern is more economic than religious or cultural. And while there are some signs of tension between Europe’s majority populations and its Muslim minorities, Muslims More Concerned About Unemployment Muslims there do not generally believe Than Religious and Cultural Issues that most Europeans are hostile toward ------- Muslims in ------people of their faith. Still, over a third of Great GerBritain France many Spain Muslims in France and one-in-four in % % % % % very worried about… Spain say they have had a bad Unemployment 46 52 56 55 experience as a result of their religion or Islamic extremism 44 30 23 22 ethnicity. Decline of religion 45 21 18 18 Influence of pop culture Modern roles for women 44 22 17 16 18 9 17 10 However, there is little evidence of a widespread backlash against Muslim immigrants among the general publics in Great Britain, France, Germany, and Spain. Majorities continue to express concerns about rising Islamic identity and extremism, but those worries have not intensified in most of the countries surveyed over the past 12 months; a turbulent period that included the London subway bombings, the French riots, and the Danish cartoon controversy. Opinions held by Muslims in Europe – as well as opinions about Muslims among Europe’s majority populations – vary significantly by country. No clear European point of view emerges with regard to the Muslim experience, either among Muslims or in the majority populations on many issues. Most notably, France shows no signs of a backlash in response to last year’s riots. In fact, a counter trend seems to have emerged with slightly more French people saying that immigration from the Middle East and North Africa is a good thing than did so a year ago. The French public is also more inclined this year to say that Muslims living in France want to adopt French customs – a view held by an 69 No Evidence of Backlash Against Muslim Immigrants General public in… Spain May, 2005 Immigration from Middle East and North Africa is a… Bad Good thing DK thing % % % 62 33 5 67 26 7 France May, 2005 Nov, 2002 58 53 44 41 45 53 1 2 3 Great Britain May, 2005 Nov, 2002 57 61 53 32 30 40 11 10 7 Germany May, 2005 Nov, 2002 34 34 33 59 57 59 7 9 8 overwhelming majority of Muslims in France. Nor do German and British publics express any increase in negative views of immigrants – although, unlike the French, they are not more positive toward immigrants this year. Meanwhile, the Spanish public’s view toward immigrants has grown slightly more negative over the last year. But in Britain worries about Islamic extremism are intense among both the general public and the Muslim minority population as well. Concerns about the problem rose markedly this year among the general public. And worries about extremism within the British Muslim community are greater than in France, Germany, and Spain. Very Concerned About Islamic Extremism in Your Country? 2005 2006 General public in… Great Britain 42 34 Germany 35 40 35 Spain 43 30 32 France The survey by the Pew Global Attitudes Project was conducted in 13 countries, including the United Muslims in… States, from March 31-May 14, 2006. 3 It includes 43 Great Britain special oversamples of Muslim minorities living in 26 France Great Britain, France, Germany, and Spain. The poll 23 finds that Muslims themselves are generally positive Germany about conditions in their host nation. In fact, they are 21 Spain more positive than the general publics in all four European countries about the way things are going in their countries. However, many Muslims, especially in Britain, worry about the future of Muslims in their country. The greatest concern among Muslim minorities in all four countries is unemployment. Islamic extremism emerges as the number-two worry generally, a concern shared by Western publics as well as Muslims in Egypt, Jordan, and Pakistan. The decline in the importance of religion, adoption of modern roles by women, and influences of popular culture upon youth are generally lower-ranked concerns. Overall, British Muslims express the greatest level of concern about the issues tested. 3 Experiences of Muslims in Europe Muslims in… Germany Great Britain France Spain Europeans hostile to Muslims? Yes* % 51 42 39 31 Had a bad personal experience? Yes % 19 28 37 25 *% saying most or many Europeans are hostile toward Muslims. The principal countries surveyed for this report were Great Britain, France, Germany, Spain, Egypt, Indonesia, Jordan, Pakistan, Turkey, Nigeria, India, Russia, and the United States, with most of the findings coming from the four western European countries. In addition, a few findings are presented from China and Japan. 70 The majority of European Muslims do not see many or most Europeans as hostile towards Muslims. But substantial numbers of Muslims do perceive such hostility. This belief is most widespread in Germany, where more than half of both Muslims and the general public see many or most Germans as hostile toward Muslims. At the same time, however, German Muslims are the least likely to report personal experiences with discrimination. German Muslims are also far more inclined than those elsewhere in Europe to see new immigrants as wanting to be distinct – 52% take this view – and German nationals overwhelmingly (76%) share this view. In contrast, in France, 78% of Muslims say that Muslims there want to adopt French customs, though 53% of the general public feels that French Muslims want to remain distinct. European Muslims show signs of favoring a moderate version of Islam. With the exception of Spanish Muslims, they tend to see a struggle being waged between moderates and Islamic fundamentalists. Among those who see an ongoing conflict, substantial majorities in all four countries say they generally side with the moderates. Most French and British Muslims think women are better off in their countries than in most Muslim countries. About half of German and Spanish Muslims agree, and very few think women actually have it better in most Muslim countries. Moreover, most are not concerned about Muslim women in Europe taking on modern roles in society (although substantial minorities worry about this). What Do You Consider Yourself First? A citizen of your country A Muslim / A Christian Muslims in… Great Britain Spain Germany France Pakistan Jordan Egypt Turkey 7 81 3 69 13 66 42 46 6 87 21 67 23 59 19 51 Indonesia 39 36 Nigeria 25 71 Christians in... United States Germany Great Britain Russia France Spain 48 42 59 33 59 24 63 16 Religion is central to the identity of 83 14 European Muslims. With the exception of 60 14 Muslims in France, they tend to identify Nigeria 43 53 themselves primarily as Muslim rather than as British, Spanish, or German. In France, Muslims are split almost evenly on this question. The level of Muslim identification in Britain, Spain, and Germany is similar to that in Pakistan, Nigeria, and Jordan, and even higher than levels in Egypt, Turkey, and Indonesia. By contrast the general populations in Western Europe are far more 71 secular in outlook. Roughly six-in-ten in Spain, Germany, and Britain identify primarily with their country rather than their religion, as do more than eight-in-ten in France. Americans, however, split about evenly on this question: 42% say they first think of themselves as Christians versus 48% who think of themselves primarily as Americans – a divide close to that found among French Muslims. Muslims in Europe are most sharply distinguished from the majority populations on opinions about external issues – America, the war on terrorism, Iran, the Middle East. 4 European Muslims give the United States lower favorability ratings than do general publics in Europe, and in particular, they give the American people lower ratings. The war on terror is extremely unpopular among minority Muslim populations – German Muslims register the highest level of support, at 31%. Contrasting Opinions of Americans General public in... Great Britain 69 Germany 66 France 65 Spain 37 % favorab le opinion Muslims in... France 48 Germany 44 Great Britain 39 Spain 33 While Iran is viewed unfavorably in Western Europe and the United States, it receives very positive marks from British and Spanish Muslims, while French and German Muslims are divided. European Muslims take a much more positive view of the Hamas victory in the Palestinian elections in January than do the majority populations, and perhaps not surprisingly, they are also much more likely to side with Palestinians in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. In general, European Muslim opinions on external issues are quite similar to those expressed in predominantly Muslim countries. About This Report The report’s detailed findings are presented below. A description of the Pew Global Attitudes Project can be found at the end of the report, along with a summary of the survey’s methodology and complete topline results. 4 For more on the opinions of Muslims in Europe on these issues, see the table “Views of European Muslims Compared to Those in Predominantly Muslim Countries” at the end of this report. 72 Little Anti-Muslim Backlash Despite concerns about an anti-Muslim backlash in the wake of a string of highly publicized events involving Muslims living in Europe – subway bombings in London, controversy over Danish cartoons depicting Muhammad, rioting by Muslim youth in France – most Muslims living in Europe do not feel that most or even many Europeans are hostile toward people of their faith. Indeed, European Muslims are, in general, more satisfied with national conditions than are the general publics of these countries. Substantial majorities of Muslims living in the European countries surveyed say that in the last two years they have not had any personally bad experience attributable to their race, ethnicity or religion. In France, however, where riots last fall pitted Muslim youth against French police, 37% of Muslims report a bad encounter, while in Britain 28% report being the target of discrimination. How Many Europeans Are Hostile Toward Muslims? Just some/very few Many/most Germany 34 63 Spain 35 60 France Great Britain 45 56 Russia* 54 38 German Muslims 43 51 British Muslims French Muslims 52 42 Spanish Muslims 64 31 Egypt Pakistan 37 63 Turkey Jordan 35 57 Indonesia 57 36 Nigerian Muslims Nigerian Christians 43 50 56 40 60 39 17 61 49 50 49 28 * In Russia the question w as asked about "Russians" instead of "Europeans." Muslims in Spain are the least concerned about European anti-Muslim sentiment – fewer than a third (31%) say most or many Europeans have hostile attitudes compared with 64% who see only some or very few as hostile. In Great Britain, 42% of Muslims judge that many or most of their European hosts are unfriendly, while in France, 39% of resident Muslims share that view. Only in Germany does a narrow 51%majority of resident Muslims view most (22%) or many (29%) Europeans as hostile. In some of the European host countries surveyed, the general public agrees precisely with these assessments. In Great Britain, 40% of the public sees most or many of their fellow countrymen as hostile to Muslims compared with 42% of British Muslims taking that view; in Germany, 63% of the larger public agrees with the 51% of Muslims who see most or many of their hosts as hostile. But in France a considerably larger number among the public (56%) see substantial hostility toward Muslims than do Muslims themselves (39%). And in Spain, nearly twice as many in the overall population (60%) see most or many Europeans as hostile to Muslims as do Spanish Muslim, only 31% of whom share that view. 73 One of the biggest perception gaps exists in Nigeria. There 28% of Christians say most or many Europeans are hostile toward Muslims, compared with 50% of Nigerian Muslims who believe this. Muslims in the Mideast and Asia judge European hostility to be considerably more widespread than do European Muslims. As many as 63% in Egypt, 61% in Pakistan, 57% in Turkey and 50% in Jordan say that most or many Europeans are hostile to Muslims. Immigrants Mostly Still Welcome The poll finds little evidence of a general rise in anti-immigration sentiment. With the continuing exception of Germany, majorities in the European countries surveyed say it is a “good thing” that people from the Middle East and North Africa came to work in their countries. These levels of acceptance are essentially unchanged from those recorded a year earlier. However, in France a somewhat Germans Most Opposed to Immigration greater percentage now call such Mideast and North Eastern European immigration a good thing, while in African Immigration Immigration Good Bad Bad Good Spain a somewhat smaller percentage General thing thing Diff. thing thing Diff. say it is good. public in… % % % % Spain France Great Britain Germany 62 58 57 34 33 41 32 59 +29 +17 +25 -25 60 58 58 36 35 41 31 59 +25 +17 +27 -23 Germany is the outlier in this regard with only 34% of Germans Muslims in… calling immigration from the Middle Spain 85 10 75 16 +75 +59 East and North Africa a good thing France 83 17 74 26 +66 +48 Great Britain 75 14 68 19 +61 +49 compared with 59% who deem it a 42 30 Germany 46 60 -4 -30 bad thing. However, Germans are no more welcoming to those migrating from Eastern Europe; only 36% call such immigration a good thing. Across the board, immigrants from Eastern Europe are no more and no less welcome than those from predominantly Muslim countries. In Great Britain, Spain, and France, as in Germany, the numbers among the general public calling immigration from Eastern Europe a good thing are virtually identical to those expressing approval of immigrants from the Middle East and North Africa. More European Muslims approve of immigration from the Middle East and North Africa into the country where they now reside than do the general populations of those countries. Among Muslims in Great Britain, fully 75% call such immigration a good thing; in France, 83% and in Spain, 85%. Germany again is the exception, with Muslims there splitting 42%-46% on the good-bad question, although the 42% of Muslim approvers is still significantly higher than the 34% of the general public that agrees with that judgment. 74 Concerns About the Future Although most European Muslims are satisfied with the general direction of the countries they live in, large majorities are still concerned about the future of Muslims in their country. British Muslims are the most concerned – eight-in-ten (80%) are at least somewhat concerned including about half (49%) who are very concerned. French Muslims follow closely behind in their anxiety, with 72% saying they are either very (38%) or somewhat (34%) concerned. The numbers of Muslims very concerned about the future are somewhat lower in Germany (28%) and Spain (30%) although substantial majorities in both countries say they are at least somewhat worried as they look ahead. Of the issues tested in the survey, unemployment is the biggest concern of European Muslims, with majorities in the mid-50% range in France, Germany and Spain and a 46%-plurality in Britain saying they are very worried about joblessness. In addition, between a quarter and a third of the remaining Muslim samples express at least some concern on this issue. How Concerned Are You About the Future of Muslims in Your Country? Very concerned Somewhat concerned Muslims in... Great Britain France Spain 31 49 38 30 34 39 Germany 31 28 Muslims in Britain emerge as the most worried on every other issue tested, with 45% very worried about the decline of the importance of religion among their co-religionists, 44% very concerned about the influence of the secular culture (movies, music and television) on their youth, and, to a lesser but still leading degree, the adoption of modern roles in society by Muslim women (22% very concerned). Elsewhere in Europe these issues – especially the emergence of women – engender intense concern among relatively few Muslims. In fact, not only is the entry of women Quality of Life for Muslim Women into modern roles of little or no concern to in the West most European Muslims, it is apparently About Better Worse the same DK welcomed by many. About six-in-ten British Muslims in… % % % % and French Muslims, and about half of France 62 16 21 * Great Britain 58 13 25 4 German and Spanish Muslims, believe the Germany 50 17 31 2 quality of life is better for women in their Spain 46 16 36 2 countries than in most Muslim countries. In all four countries, the share of Muslims saying women in their countries are worse off is less than 20%. Muslim women in Europe are slightly more likely than men to see the quality of life as better for women in their country than in most Muslim countries. However, in Spain Muslim women were considerably more likely than men to believe this. 75 Extremism among European Muslims is a common source of worry among Muslim minorities in Europe. In particular, Muslims in Great Britain are very concerned. As many express concerns about this (44%) as are very worried about unemployment. Extremism is of somewhat less concern in France (30% very worried), Germany (23%) and Spain (22%), although in all these countries more than four-in-ten Muslims say they are at least somewhat concerned. Blending In Most Europeans doubt that Muslims coming into their countries want to adopt their national customs and way of life. Substantial majorities in Germany (76%), Great Britain (64%), Spain (67%) and Russia (69%) say that Muslims in their country want to remain distinct from the larger society. Fewer French, but still a 53%-majority, agree. However, the percentage of the general public in France that believes newly arrived Muslims want to blend into the French way of life has increased significantly since last year. In the 2005 survey only 36% of the French public said that Muslims want to adopt the French way of life while 59% said they want to remain distinct; now 46% say adopt, 53% say remain distinct. Muslims in Your Country Mostly Want to... Be distinct from society Adopt national customs U.S. 44 33 France 53 46 Great Britain 64 22 Spain Germany 67 21 Russia 76 17 69 10 French Muslims 21 78 Spanish Muslims 27 53 British Muslims 35 41 German Muslims 52 30 48 43 India For their part, Muslims in France, Great Britain, and Spain are substantially more likely than their general publics to say that Muslims want to adopt the customs and way of life of the country into which they immigrate. Indeed, nearly eight-in-ten French Muslims (78%) believe this. Again, Germany is different: Only 30% of German Muslims think Muslims coming into that country today want to assimilate – most say they want to be separate and most Germans agree. 76 Islamic Identification Perceptions of the strength of Islamic identity among Muslims have changed little over the year. Substantial majorities in both Western Europe and the United States continue to believe Muslims in their country have a very or fairly strong sense of Islamic identity. European Muslims’ perceptions largely match those of the general public, with the exception of Germany. While 84% of the German public sees Muslims having a strong Islamic identity, only 46% of Muslims living in Germany agree. As to whether that sense of Islamic identity is increasing, strong majorities among the general publics in Great Britain (69%), France (68%), and Germany (72% – up from 66% in 2005) say that it is (as do 69% in India and 56% in Russia). In Spain, however, only a 46%-plurality sees an intensifying Islamic identity – a view shared by Muslims in that country. Muslims in Great Britain, however, are the most likely of all groups sampled to see a strengthening of Islamic identity with fully 77% agreeing. In France and Germany, by contrast, the proportion of Muslims who see Islamic identity intensifying (58% and 54%, respectively) is smaller than among the general public. European Muslims who think Islamic identity is growing tend to consider it a good thing. This is especially so in Great Britain, where 86% say the perceived intensifying trend is a good thing, and Spain where 75% agree. Most Westerners (as well as Indians) strongly disagree. Among those in the French general public who see Islamic identity on the rise, 87% call it a bad thing; in Germany, 83% say so; in Spain (82%); in India, 78%. 77 Sense of Islamic Identity Among Mulims in Your Country Not too/Not at all strong Very/Fairly strong U.S. 26 59 Germany 12 84 Great Britain 10 79 Spain 13 79 France 23 76 Russia 34 44 French Muslims 25 75 British Muslims 25 72 Spanish Muslims 32 64 German Muslims 49 46 India 13 82 Is Islamic Identity Among Muslims in Your Country Growing? No Yes U.S. 34 47 Germany 22 72 Great Britain 17 69 France 31 68 Russia 21 56 Spain 37 46 British Muslims 19 77 French Muslims 42 58 German Muslims 38 54 Spanish Muslim 41 46 India 25 69 For those in the United States, Western Europe, Russia and India who see growing Islamic identity as a bad thing, the primary concern cited is that it may lead to violence. However, many are also worried that it may keep Muslims from integrating into the larger society. For Muslims in Germany who see growing Islamic identity as worrisome, concern about retarding integration is paramount for 58%, while fewer than one-in-five worry about violence. Among French Muslims, concerns are spilt between violence (40%) and integration (45%). In most countries, an attendant loss of freedom tended to be of lesser concern. 5 Is Growing Islamic Identity Good or Bad? Bad Good U.S. 46 37 Great Britain 59 27 Russia 54 24 Spain 82 13 Germany 83 11 France 87 11 British Muslims Spanish Muslims 9 14 86 75 For guidance on religious matters, Muslims in French Muslims 38 59 37 48 Europe, as well as in most of the larger Islamic world, German Muslims turn to their local Imam, as well as to national and India 78 21 international religious leaders. Local religious leaders are especially consulted in Nigeria, where 64% of * Based on those w ho think there is a grow ing Muslims see them as the most trustworthy source of sense of Islamic identity among Muslims in their guidance; in Indonesia, where 60% do so; and in country. Pakistan and Great Britain where more than four-in-ten Muslims do so. The only countries in which large numbers – about one-in-four – turn first to religious leaders on television are the two Arab countries, Egypt and Jordan. Self-Perceptions Large percentages of Muslims in Europe say they think of themselves first as a Muslim rather than as a citizen of their country. The tendency is strongest in Great Britain where 81% in the Muslim oversample self-identify as Muslim rather than British, while in Spain 69% do so and in Germany 66%. In sharp contrast, Muslims living in France are far less likely to identify first with their faith rather their nationality. While a 46%-plurality identifies first as a Muslim, a nearly equal 42% see themselves as primarily French, while an additional 10% say both equally. The levels seen in Britain, Spain, and Germany are comparable to those seen in most of the predominantly Muslim countries surveyed. In Pakistan, 87% primarily identify as Muslims; in Jordan, 67% do so. In Nigeria, 71% of Muslims see themselves as Muslims first, whereas a smaller 53%-majority of Christians primarily identify with their faith. 5 In Great Britain and Spain the numbers of Muslims saying that growing Islamic identity is a bad thing are too small to produce statistically reliable distinctions on the primary cause for that concern. 78 In Turkey a slight 51%-majority now selfidentifies as Muslim rather than Turkish, although this is a substantial rise from the 43% who did so in 2005. Among Muslim countries in the survey, only in Indonesia does the public split 39%-36% between primary national and religious identity, with 25% selecting both equally. Percent Who See Themselves as Muslims First 2005 79 2006 87 63 67 43 By contrast, Christians in European countries overwhelmingly self-identify with their respective nationalities rather than with their faith. And in India, fully 90% of the public selfidentifies as Indian rather than Hindu. Pakistan Jordan 51 39 36 Turkey Indonesia Indeed, among non-Muslim nations, the United States is the outlier in terms of religious self-identification with the public closely split on Concern About the Rise of Islamic the question of primary identification. Fully 42% of Extremism in Your Country? U.S. Christians say they think of themselves as Not too/At all concerned Christians first rather than as Americans, compared Very/Somewhat concerned with 48% who self-identify primarily as Americans; an additional 7% say both equally. U.S. 24 72 Concern About Islamic Extremism The poll found no overall rise in concern about extremism among the general publics of nations with Muslim minorities. The percentage of the general public very worried about Islamic extremism was greater this year in the U.S., Britain, and Germany; however, it was unchanged in France and considerably lower in Spain and Russia. Germans are the most concerned about rising Islamic extremism in their country with 82% of the general public saying they are very (40%) or somewhat (42%) concerned. However, concern was nearly as high a year ago when 78% of Germans expressed such concern including 35% who then said they were very concerned. 79 Germany Great Britain France Russia Spain 17 82 22 77 24 76 22 74 32 66 British Muslims French Muslims German Muslims Spanish Muslims 29 41 44 49 69 59 53 46 Pakistan Jordan Egypt Turkey Indonesia 8 30 30 39 54 74 69 68 46 43 Nigerian Muslims Nigerian Christians 49 49 India 12 85 39 61 Great Britain, however, has seen an increase in worries about Islamic extremism over the last year, with 77% of the public now saying they are very (42%) or somewhat (35%) concerned. Strikingly, these concerns are largely shared by Muslims living in Britain, among whom 43% say they are very concerned and 26% say they are somewhat concerned. In France, despite that country’s recent experience with riots, worry about Islamic extremism has remained essentially stable over the last year (76% of the public is at least somewhat concerned including 30% very concerned). And in Spain and Russia, such concerns have declined considerably. As in Great Britain, most Muslims in France and Germany are also worried about extremism. However, Muslims in Spain are divided on this issue, with 46% expressing at least some concern and 49% expressing little or no concern. By contrast, in the predominantly Muslim countries of Egypt, Pakistan, and Jordan large majorities (68%, 74%, and 69%, respectively) are very or somewhat concerned about the rise of Islamic extremism in those countries. And in India, with its substantial Muslim minority, 85% of the predominately Hindu public expresses such concern, essentially the same number as did so last year. In Nigeria the level of concern is somewhat lower – a small majority (54%) of the public worries about Islamic extremism there. Muslims in Nigeria are significantly more likely than Christians to be concerned about Islamic extremism. Consistent with these concerns, majorities or pluralities of Muslims in Britain (58%), France (56%), and Germany (49%) believe there is a struggle in their country between moderates and Islamic fundamentalists. Again, Spanish Muslims differ from their European counterparts, with a majority (65%) saying they do not see such a struggle, a view they share with 60% of Nigerian Muslims. Most Seeing Struggle Side With Moderates Muslims in… Great Britain France Germany Spain Nigeria See a struggle* % 58 56 49 21 36 ---and identify with--FundaModerates mentalists % % 38 15 50 6 36 7 14 4 18 17 * Think there is a struggle in (survey country) between In all four European countries – and moderate Muslims and Islamic fundamentalists. especially in France – those who do see a struggle heavily side with the moderates. In Nigeria, however, Muslims split evenly on this question. 80 Riots & Protests Awareness of last year’s riots in France is relatively high among both the general publics and Muslim minorities in Western Europe, ranging among the general population from 91% in Germany to 78% in Spain and among Muslims from 86% in Germany to 63% in Britain. In Japan, 89% had heard the news. Those who had heard about the riots were less numerous in the United States (55%) and in the Muslim world. In Turkey, 61% had heard about the riots, in Jordan 47%. But awareness levels in other Muslim countries ranged downward from 35% in Egypt, to 23% in Nigeria, 18% in Indonesia and 11% in Pakistan. Percent Heard About Youth Riots in France* United States 55 Germany Great Britain Spain Russia 91 80 78 67 German Muslims Spanish Muslims British Muslims 86 69 63 Turkey Jordan Egypt Indonesia Pakistan 61 47 35 18 11 Nigerian Christ. Nigerian Musl. 31 15 By and large, European Muslims – Japan 89 China 27 irrespective of their views about the riots per se – India 26 say they are sympathetic to the youths from * Not asked in France. immigrant and working class suburbs in France who felt frustrated by their place in French society. Muslims in Great Britain are most sympathetic Sympathetic With Youth Who (75% so indicate) followed by those in France and Rioted in France? Spain (63% of Muslims in both countries). In No Yes Germany, however, more among the general public (64%) express sympathy than among the U.S. 44 48 predominantly Turkish Muslims in that country, 53% Germany 32 64 of whom say they sympathize with the frustrations of Great Britain 26 62 French youth. In general, Western publics are divided on this issue – only 37% of the Spanish public sympathizes with the French youth. And despite more positive French views on many related issues this year, only 46% of the French general public takes the side of the country’s alienated young. 81 Russia France Spain 34 57 British Muslims 17 75 Spanish Muslims French Muslims German Muslims 30 63 54 46 57 37 36 63 38 53 * Based on those w ho heard about the riots; asked of all in France. Regarding publication of cartoons featuring the prophet Mohammad in a Danish newspaper, the most common way in which people heard about the controversy that ensued was through television, although in Nigeria people were more likely to hear of it via radio or through family and friends. Few in any country mentioned a church or mosque or the internet as the source of their awareness. 82 Views of European Muslims Compared to Publics in Predominantly Muslim Countries Direction of country Satisfied Dissatisfied Don’t know/Refused Muslims in… General publics in… Gr. Brit. France Ger. Spain Egypt Turk. Indon. Pak. Jordan % % % % % % % % % 51 33 44 76 55 40 26 35 53 38 67 52 19 42 56 73 58 44 11 * 4 5 2 4 1 7 3 Rating of U.S. Favorable Unfavorable Don’t Know/Refused 23 65 14 30 69 1 24 67 10 19 76 5 30 69 1 12 76 12 30 67 4 27 56 17 15 85 * Rating of Americans Favorable Unfavorable Don’t Know/Refused 39 43 18 48 51 2 44 46 11 33 54 13 36 63 1 17 69 14 36 60 5 27 52 20 38 61 1 Rating of Iran Favorable Unfavorable Don’t Know/Refused 71 10 20 48 51 1 40 44 15 68 24 7 59 39 1 53 35 12 77 16 7 72 10 18 49 51 1 U.S. war on terrorism Favor Oppose Don’t know/Refused 13 77 10 21 78 1 31 62 7 12 83 5 10 82 8 14 77 9 39 57 4 30 50 19 16 74 11 Mideast sympathies Israel Palestinians Both (VOL.) Neither (VOL.) Don’t Know/Refused 3 75 4 8 10 6 78 8 7 2 14 50 4 22 10 2 75 7 11 4 2 97 1 * * 5 63 2 16 14 4 72 5 12 7 6 59 7 6 23 1 97 1 1 * Hamas victory* Good for Palestinians Bad for Palestinians Don’t know/Refused 56 18 26 44 46 10 32 37 32 57 22 21 76 13 11 44 23 33 61 23 16 87 4 9 68 16 16 Iranian nuclear weapons** Favor Oppose Don’t know/Refused 40 41 19 29 71 1 14 78 9 ---- 44 42 14 23 61 16 30 59 11 52 15 32 45 42 12 * Asked only of those who have heard about the Hamas victory. ** Not asked in Spain. 83 84 RELEASED: THURSDAY, SEPTEMBER 21, 2006, 2:00 PM EDT China’s Neighbors Worry About Its Growing Military Strength PUBLICS OF ASIAN POWERS HOLD NEGATIVE VIEWS OF ONE ANOTHER 6-Nation Pew Global Attitudes Survey 85 86 China’s Neighbors Worry About Its Growing Military Strength PUBLICS OF ASIAN POWERS HOLD NEGATIVE VIEWS OF ONE ANOTHER There is a good deal of dislike, if not outright hostility, in how the publics of major Asian countries view their neighbors. The deepest divides exist between traditional rivals – roughly seven-in-ten Japanese express an unfavorable view of China and an equal number of Chinese dislike Japan. Similarly, most Indians have an unfavorable view of Pakistan and most Pakistanis hold negative views about India. But there are other divisions as well. Both the Chinese and Japanese express generally unfavorable views of Pakistan, while the Chinese tend to feel negatively toward India as well. Hostility Among Asian Neighbors Favorability rating of… China Japan India Pakistan China % % % % Favorable 94 28 47 69 Unfavorable 5 71 39 7 Japan Favorable Unfavorable 21 70 77 22 60 25 43 16 India Favorable Unfavorable 33 43 65 28 --- 33 50 Pakistan Favorable Unfavorable 33 42 33 49 23 67 --- Anxiety about the growing strength of United States Favorable 47 63 56 27 China’s military is nearly universal in Japan. That Unfavorable 43 35 28 56 concern is shared with others among China’s neighbors – large majorities in both Russia and India see this as a threatening trend. The Chinese, however, have a very different view: 95% say their rising military might is a good thing. In China, much of the antipathy toward Japan is rooted in history – overwhelmingly, the Chinese believe Japan has yet to atone for its militaristic past. Eight-in-ten Chinese (81%) believe Japan has not apologized sufficiently for its military actions during the 1930s and 1940s. And departing Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi’s repeated visits to the Yasukuni Shrine, a controversial Shinto shrine that memorializes Japan’s war dead, including Class A World War II war criminals, are viewed very negatively in China. 87 Fears About China's Growing Military Power Good thing Japan Russia India China Bad thing 3 12 26 95 93 76 63 3 The latest survey by the Pew Global Attitudes Project – conducted in China, India, Japan, Pakistan, Russia, and the United States, from March 31-May 14, 2006 6 – finds that the Japanese and Chinese tend to associate a number of negative characteristics with one another, and tend not to see certain positive traits in one another. Both publics consider the other competitive, as well as greedy and arrogant; neither sees the other as honest or generous. Has Japan Apologized Sufficiently for Its Military Action in World War II? Yes No No apology necessary 81 40 44 14 4 3 Japan China The Chinese and Japanese publics also hold very different views of their common neighbor, North Korea. Nearly all Japanese have a negative opinion of Kim Jong Il’s country, while in China attitudes toward North Korea tend to be favorable. Majorities in both countries have a positive opinion of South Korea, although a significant minority of Japanese sees the country in a negative light. Other Major Findings • A solid majority of the Indian public believes China will replace the U.S. as the world’s dominant superpower at some point in the next 50 years. However, only minorities among the Chinese, Japanese, and Russians agree, as do 43% of Americans, • As Koizumi prepares to step down, he remains quite popular at home; however he is decidedly unpopular in China. • The Chinese have very positive feelings about hosting the 2008 Summer Olympics, and they overwhelmingly believe the Games will help improve China’s international reputation. • In China, a strong majority believes most people are better off now, even if some are rich and some are still poor. 6 These six countries are part of a larger 15-country survey conducted by the Pew Global Attitudes Project. Some data from Indonesia is also included as part of this report. See pewglobal.org for previous reports and other data from this survey. 88 The Rise of China China’s economy generates much less concern in Some Concern About China's the region than does its military. Still, half of Indians Growing Economic Power (50%) consider China’s growing economy a bad thing for Good thing Bad thing their country, up significantly from 36% in 2005. Roughly four-in-ten Russians (39%) have a negative view India 40 50 of China’s economic strength, a figure basically 48 39 Russia unchanged from last year. Just over a quarter of Japanese Japan 68 28 (28%) take a negative view – a perhaps surprisingly low 95 2 China percentage, given the overall negativity of Japanese views toward China. Unsurprisingly, the Chinese themselves see their economic growth in a very positive light. There is no consensus about the future Few See China Replacing U.S. as balance of power between the U.S. and China. Dominant Power in the Near Future Asked when, if ever, China will replace the U.S. as Will happen in… Will not the world’s leading superpower, relatively few 10 yrs 20 yrs 50 yrs replace DK respondents think such a transition will take place in % % % % % the next ten years, although a third (32%) of Indians India 32 24 9 24 12 U.S. 11 22 10 47 9 do believe this. If the time frame is extended to the Russia 10 17 13 45 15 next 20 or next 50 years, however, many more Japan 7 19 13 59 3 people see China ascending to this role. Indeed, China 4 13 20 34 29 43% of Americans and 37% of Chinese join 65% of Indians in saying China will replace the U.S. as the world’s dominant power either in the next 10, 20, or 50 years. Japan is the only country in which a majority (59%) says China will never supplant the U.S. Antipathy Between China and Japan Few Chinese and Japanese have a positive impression of the other country. Only one-infive Chinese (21%) have a favorable view of Japan. Meanwhile, 28% of Japanese have a positive opinion of China, down considerably from 2002 when over half (55%) viewed China favorably. Moreover, the Chinese and Japanese tend to associate negative characteristics with the people of the other country. In particular, both countries consider the other competitive, greedy, and arrogant. The Japanese are especially likely to say the Chinese are nationalistic and selfish, while the Chinese tend to see the Japanese as male-dominated. 89 On the positive side, majorities in both countries see the other’s citizens as hardworking. And most Chinese see the Japanese as inventive and modern, although far fewer Japanese see the Chinese this way. In both China and Japan, relatively few characterize people from the other country as sophisticated, tolerant, honest, or generous. Chinese and Japanese See Negative Traits in One Another Competitive Male-dominated Arrogant Greedy Selfish Nationalistic Violent Hardworking Rude Chinese view of Japanese % 74 72 69 68 67 66 65 61 57 Japanese view of Chinese % 84 62 66 69 75 82 50 64 52 Despite the negative views the Chinese and Japanese have about one another, in neither Inventive 68 45 Modern 68 29 country does a majority see the other as an Sophisticated 42 20 adversary – about a third of both the Chinese Tolerant 22 27 (33%) and Japanese (31%) think of the other Honest 15 23 Generous 9 20 country in this way. However, in Japan, 53% consider China a serious problem, and 34% of Chinese say the same about Japan. In both countries, relatively few say the other is not much of a problem (16% in China, 15% in Japan). When asked which country in the world poses the greatest danger to their country, most Chinese (58%) say the U.S., while 22% name Japan. The Japanese are roughly divided between those who consider China the biggest threat (39%) and those who feel that North Korea (35%) presents the greatest danger to their country. Nearly Japanese and Chinese Have Little one-in-five (18%) Japanese think the U.S. poses the Confidence in Each Other’s Leader greatest threat to Japan. Rating Koizumi and Hu Outgoing Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi remains relatively popular at home, as 61% of Japanese have a lot or some confidence in him to do the right thing in world affairs. In China, however, Koizumi receives low marks – 58% say they have either not too much or no confidence in the Japanese leader. The Japanese reciprocate by giving China’s leader an even more negative rating – 71% say they have either not too much or no confidence in Chinese President Hu Jintao. 90 Japan A lot/some confidence Not too much/no confidence Don’t know Hu % 25 71 4 Koizumi % 61 38 1 China A lot/some confidence Not too much/no confidence Don’t know ---- 10 58 32 Indonesia A lot/some confidence Not too much/no confidence Don’t know 37 33 30 48 26 26 India A lot/some confidence Not too much/no confidence Don’t know 24 37 39 30 30 40 Russia A lot/some confidence Not too much/no confidence Don’t know 39 25 36 ---- Elsewhere, 48% of Indonesians have a lot or some confidence in Koizumi, compared with only 26% who have not too much or no confidence in the Japanese leader. They are more divided over Hu: 37% say they have at least some confidence, while 33% have not too much or none. Indians are divided between those who generally have confidence in Koizumi (30%) and those who do not (30%). Their views about Hu are more negative, with 37% saying they have little or no confidence and 24% voicing at least some confidence in the Chinese leader. The Legacy of World War II The belief that Japan has not sufficiently apologized for its military actions in the 1930s and 1940s is widely held in China, but nearly half of the Japanese public also thinks their country has not atoned for World War II. The opinion that Japan’s apology has not been adequate is particularly common among Japanese women (47%) and less common among Japanese age 65 and over (33%). Has Japan Apologized Sufficiently for World War II? Total Yes No % % 40 44 No apology necessary % 14 DK % 2 Men Women 41 39 40 47 18 10 1 4 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ 37 42 36 44 48 42 53 33 15 11 10 20 1 4 1 3 Japanese respondents only. An ongoing flashpoint for tensions between the two Asian powers has been Prime Minister Koizumi’s regular visits to the Yasukuni Shrine. Chinese opposition to these visits is overwhelming (78% oppose), while the Japanese are divided – 52% support the visits and 45% oppose them. In Japan, opinions about the Prime Minister’s shrine visits are strongly correlated with how people feel about Koizumi in general: 66% of Koizumi's Visit to Yasukuni Shrine those who have a lot or some confidence in him Support Oppose support his trips to Yasukuni, compared with only 30% of those who have little or no confidence in 78 him. 52 45 To many observers, the shrine visits call to mind Japan’s militaristic past, but the Japanese 4 public shows no signs of abandoning the China Japan country’s post-WWII pacifism. Two-thirds (67%) oppose changing Article 9 of the Japanese constitution, written in 1947, which prevents the country from using warfare as an instrument of foreign policy, and at least in theory, prohibits the establishment of an official military. 7 7 Article 9 has generally been interpreted to allow for “self-defense” forces, hence the establishment of the Japanese Self Defense Forces (JSDF). 91 Culture and the Economy Both the Japanese and Chinese are extremely proud of their distinctive cultures. Large and growing majorities in both countries agree with the statement “Our people are not perfect, but our culture is superior to others.” In Japan, 83% agree with this sentiment, up from 73% in 2002. Three-in-four Chinese (75%) say they agree, up from 66% four years ago. 8 Views on Culture and the Economy Agree % 75 66 Disagree % 21 29 DK % 4 5 Japan Summer, 2002 83 73 17 25 * 2 Our way of life needs to be protected against foreign influence. China Summer, 2002 69 64 25 31 6 5 Japan Summer, 2002 78 63 21 35 1 2 Our people are not perfect but our culture is superior to others. China Summer, 2002 Most people have a better life now, even though some are rich and some are still poor. China There is also a strong sense in 77 22 2 both countries that their cultures must be protected against outside influences. In Japan, 78% agree with the statement “Our way of life needs to be protected against foreign influence,” a significant increase from four years ago, when 63% felt this way. Nearly seven-in-ten (69%) Chinese agree with this statement, up slightly from 64% in 2002. 9 While they may have reservations about the impact of globalization on their culture, the Chinese overwhelmingly embrace the free market reforms that have transformed their country in recent years, even if those reforms have created economic disparities. Fully 77% agree that “Most people have a better life now, even though some are rich and some are still poor.” Differing Views About Korea With near unanimity, the Japanese public takes a dim view of North Korea – 97% have a negative opinion of their communist neighbor across the Sea of Japan. In China, however, about half of the public (51%) has a positive view of North Korea and just 31% have an unfavorable view. The Japanese also feel much more threatened by Kim Jong Il’s regime than do the Chinese – 46% of Japanese consider the North Korean government a great danger to stability in Asia and world peace, compared with only 11% in China. 10 8 The 2002 Pew Global Attitudes survey revealed that agreement with this statement is common in different parts of the world. Indeed, majorities agreed in 36 of 43 countries where this question was asked. 9 In 2002, majorities agreed with this statement in all 43 countries where the question was asked. 10 For more on this question, see “America’s Image Slips, But Allies Share U.S. Concerns Over Iran, Hamas; No Global Warming Alarm in the U.S., China,” Pew Global Attitudes Project, June 13, 2006. 92 South Korea also receives more favorable marks in China than in Japan. Fully 64% of Chinese have a favorable view of South Korea, while only 18% have a negative view. Meanwhile, most (56%) Japanese also have a positive view of South Korea, but a significant minority (43%) sees the country negatively. Japan and China also differ over the likelihood of Korean unification. The vast majority of Japanese (71%) say North and South Korea will not be unified in the near future, while 25% think they will. In China, a plurality (39%) say the two Koreas will be unified sometime soon, while 26% say this will not take place, and roughly one-in-three (35%) are unable to offer an opinion. Olympic Fever in China The Chinese public is enthusiastic about hosting the 2008 Summer Olympics. Almost unanimously, they believe the Olympics will be a good thing for China (97% good thing, 1% bad thing). And more than nine-in-ten (93%) say the Olympics will help China’s image around the world, while 1% believe the international spotlight will hurt their country’s image, and 3% say it will have no impact. Chinese and Japanese Divided over North Korea Rating of North Korea Favorable Unfavorable 97 51 31 3 China Japan Rating of South Korea Favorable 64 Unfavorable 56 43 18 China Japan Of course, the Olympics are already receiving a great deal of attention in China, but a plurality (43%) of Chinese say that it is the right amount of attention. Another 21% say not enough attention is being devoted to the Olympics, while one-quarter (25%) think there is too much focus on the 2008 Games. U.S.-India Relations Diplomatic relations between the U.S. and India have grown closer over the last few years, as evidenced by President Bush’s trip to India earlier this year, as well as the recent nuclear agreement between the two countries. 11 And these growing ties are reflected in Indian public opinion: 70% of Indians believe relations between their country and the U.S. have improved in recent years, and those who think relations have improved overwhelmingly consider this a good thing. 11 Under the agreement, the U.S. and India would cooperate on civilian nuclear technology, and the U.S. would essentially recognize India’s status as a nuclear power. The agreement has not yet received congressional approval in the U.S. 93 Meanwhile, four-in-ten (43%) Pakistanis say U.S.-India relations have gotten better, and they are divided over whether this is a positive development. Only 16% of Pakistanis think relations between the U.S. and neighboring India have not improved; 42% are unable to offer an opinion. Most Indians (62%) have heard about the nuclear agreement between the U.S. and their country, while only 25% of Pakistanis are aware of this. In India, three-quarters (75%) of those who have heard of the nuclear deal approve of it, while in Pakistan the reverse is true – roughly three-quarters (73%) of those who are aware of the deal oppose it. Have Relations Improved Between the U.S. and… Indian opinion Improved Good thing Bad thing Neither Don’t know Not improved Don’t know Pakistani opinion Improved Good thing Bad thing Neither Don’t know Not improved Don’t know India % 70 64 4 2 * 20 10 43 21 18 3 1 16 42 Pakistan % 40 26 12 1 1 41 19 49 41 5 3 1 20 30 U.S.-Pakistani Relations There is no consensus in Pakistan about the direction of U.S.-Pakistani relations – roughly half (49%) say relations have improved in recent years, while 20% believe they have not improved and 30% offer no opinion. The overwhelming majority of those who believe relations have grown stronger believe this is a positive development. Indians are divided over whether U.S.-Pakistani relations have strengthened in recent years – 40% say they have, 41% believe they have not, and 19% are not sure. Those who think relations have improved tend to consider this a positive trend. 94 Methodological Appendix ABOUT THE 2006 GLOBAL ATTITUDES SURVEY Results for the survey are based on telephone and face-to-face interviews conducted under the direction of Princeton Survey Research Associates International. All surveys are based on national samples except in China, India, and Pakistan, where the samples were disproportionately or exclusively urban. The table below shows the margin of sampling error based on all interviews conducted in that country. For results based on the full sample in a given country, one can say with 95% confidence that the error attributable to sampling and other random effects is plus or minus the margin of error. In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls. Country: Sample design: Mode: Languages: Fieldwork dates: Sample size: Great Britain Probability Telephone adults 18 plus English, Urdu, and Arabic April 4-26, 2006 902 including a 412 Muslim oversample; sample is weighted to be representative of the general population Margin of Error: 6% Representative: Telephone households Country: Sample design: Mode: Languages: Fieldwork dates: Sample size: Country: Sample design: Country: Sample design: Mode: Languages: Fieldwork dates: Sample size: France Quota Telephone adults 18 plus French April 5-19, 2006 905 including a 400 Muslim oversample; sample is weighted to be representative of the general population Margin of Error: 4% Representative: Telephone households Germany Probability Telephone adults 18 plus German and Turkish April 5-27, 2006 902 including a 413 Muslim oversample; sample is weighted to be representative of the general population Margin of Error: 6% Representative: Telephone households China Probability sample in six cities and surrounding rural areas – Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Xinxiang, Jinzhong, and Luzhou Mode: Face-to-face adults 18 to 60 Languages: Chinese (dialects: Mandarin, Beijingese, Cantonese, Sichun, Hubei, Dongbei, Shanghaiese) Fieldwork dates: April 7-18, 2006 Sample size: 2180 Margin of Error: 2% Representative: Disproportionately urban Country: Sample design: Mode: Languages: Fieldwork dates: Sample size: Margin of Error: Representative: Country: Sample design: Mode: Languages: India Probability Face-to-face adults 18-64 Hindi, Gujarati, Tamil, Kannada, Bengali Fieldwork dates: April 15-May 3, 2006 Sample size: 2029 Margin of Error: 2% Representative: Urban only Egypt Probability Face-to-face adults 18 plus Arabic April 5-27, 2006 1000 3% Adult population 95 Country: Sample design: Mode: Languages: Fieldwork dates: Sample size: Margin of Error: Representative: Indonesia Probability Face-to-face adults 18 plus Bahasa Indonesia April 8-30, 2006 1022 3% Eighteen provinces representing 87% of population Country: Sample design: Mode: Languages Fieldwork dates: Sample size: Margin of Error: Representative: Japan Probability Telephone adults 18 plus Japanese March 31-April 21, 2006 500 5% Telephone households Country: Sample design: Mode: Languages: Fieldwork dates: Sample size: Margin of Error: Representative: Jordan Probability Face-to-face adults 18 plus Arabic April 5-27, 2006 1000 3% Adult population Country: Sample design: Mode: Languages: Fieldwork dates: Sample size: Margin of Error: Representative: Nigeria Probability Face-to-face adults 18 plus Yoruba, Igbo, Hausa, and English April 20-29, 2006 1000 3% Adult population Country: Sample design: Mode: Languages: Fieldwork dates: Sample size: Margin of Error: Representative: Pakistan Probability Face-to-face adults 18 plus Urdu April 7-28, 2006 1277 3% Disproportionately urban Country: Sample design Mode: Languages: Fieldwork dates: Sample size: Margin of Error: Representative: Russia Probability Face-to-face adults 18 plus Russian April 6-16, 2006 1000 3% Adult population Country: Sample design: Mode: Languages: Fieldwork dates: Sample size: Spain Probability Face-to-face adults 18 plus Spanish and Arabic April 7-May 4, 2006 979 including a 402 Muslim oversample; sample is weighted to be representative of the general population Margin of Error: 4% Representative: Adult population 96 Country: Sample design: Mode: Languages: Fieldwork dates: Sample size: Margin of Error: Representative: Turkey Probability Face-to-face adults 18 plus Turkish April 1-25, 2006 1013 3% Adult population Country: Sample design: Mode: Languages: Fieldwork dates: Sample size: Margin of Error: Representative: United States Probability Telephone adults 18 plus English May 2-14, 2006 1001 3% Telephone households in continental U.S. Pew Global Attitudes Project: Spring 2006 Survey 15 Nation Survey –FINAL TOPLINE– United States – May 2-14, 2006 (N=1001) Russia – April 6-16, 2006 (N=1000) Nigeria – April 20-29, 2006 (N=1000) China – April 7-18, 2006 (N=2180) Japan – March 31 – April 21, 2006 (N=500) India – April 15 – May 3, 2006 (N=2029) Turkey – April 1-25, 2006 (N=1013) Indonesia – April 8-30, 2006 (N=1022) Pakistan – April 7-28, 2006 (N=1277) Jordan – April 5-27, 2006 (N=1000) Egypt – April 5-27, 2006 (N=1000) Great Britain – April 4-26, 2006 (N=902, includes N=412 Muslim oversample)* France – April 5-19, 2006 (N=905, includes N=400 Muslim oversample) Germany – April 5-27, 2006 (N=902, includes N=413 Muslim oversample) Spain – April 7 – May 4, 2006 (N=979, includes N=402 Muslim oversample) * General population data from Great Britain, France, Germany, and Spain includes the Muslim oversamples, but is weighted to be representative of the general population. NOTE: Data based on national samples except in China, India, and Pakistan where the samples were disproportionately or exclusively urban. See Methodological Appendix for details. Previous versions of the topline were released with each of the four 2006 reports. Q.1 Now thinking about (survey country), overall, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in our country today? Don’t know/ Dissatisfied Refused Satisfied United States 29 65 6=100 May, 2005 39 57 4=100 March, 2004 39 55 6=100 April 8, 2003 50 41 9=100 Summer, 2002 41 55 4=100 Great Britain (GP) 35 58 6=99 May, 2005 44 51 5=100 March, 2004 38 58 4=100 May, 2003 46 49 5=100 March, 2003 30 63 7=100 Summer, 2002 32 64 4=100 Great Britain (Muslims) 51 38 11=100 France (GP) 20 80 1=101 May, 2005 28 71 *=99 March, 2004 32 68 *=100 May, 2003 44 56 *=100 March, 2003 31 67 2=100 Summer, 2002 32 67 1=100 France (Muslims) 33 67 *=100 Germany (GP) 29 67 5=101 May, 2005 25 73 2=100 March, 2004 20 78 2=100 May, 2003 25 73 2=100 March, 2003 18 79 3=100 Summer, 2002 31 66 2=99 Germany (Muslims) 44 52 4=100 T-1 Q.1 CONTINUED… Spain (GP) May, 2005 May, 2003 March, 2003 Spain (Muslims) Russia May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 March, 2003 Summer, 2002 Egypt Turkey May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 March, 2003 Summer, 2002 Indonesia May, 2005 May, 2003 Summer, 2002 India May, 2005 Summer, 2002 Pakistan May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 Summer, 2002 Jordan May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 Summer, 2002 Nigeria (GP) 12 May, 2003 Nigeria (Christians) May, 2003 Nigeria (Muslims) May, 2003 China May, 2005 Summer, 2002 Japan Summer, 2002 12 Dissatisfied 46 44 52 47 19 62 71 69 64 58 71 42 56 55 58 79 81 93 73 64 85 92 67 57 83 58 39 41 67 39 44 30 30 56 78 93 80 95 80 92 80 13 19 33 72 86 Satisfied 50 51 45 41 76 32 23 26 28 35 20 55 40 41 40 19 18 4 26 35 15 7 31 41 9 35 57 54 29 49 53 69 59 42 21 7 19 5 20 8 19 81 72 48 27 12 Don’t know/ Refused 4=100 5=100 3=100 12=100 5=100 7=101 6=100 5=100 9=101 7=100 9=100 2=99 4=100 4=100 2=100 2=100 2=101 3=100 1=100 1=100 1=101 1=100 1=99 2=100 8=100 7=100 4=100 5=100 4=100 13=101 3=100 1=100 11=100 2=100 1=100 *=100 *=99 0=100 0=100 *=100 1=100 6=100 10=101 19=100 1=100 2=100 The Nigeria sample includes 514 Christians and 468 Muslims. The general population sample is weighted to reflect the demographic characteristics of the population. T-2 Q.2 Please tell me if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable opinion of (INSERT)? [READ ITEMS a. AND b. FIRST, FOLLOWED BY ROTATING ITEMS c. THRU k.] --- FAVORABLE --Some Very what Total a. The United States United States May, 2005 Great Britain (GP) May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 March, 2003 Summer, 2002 Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 March, 2003 Summer, 2002 France (Muslims) Germany (GP) May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 March, 2003 Summer, 2002 Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) May, 2005 May, 2003 March, 2003 Spain (Muslims) Russia May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 March, 2003 Summer, 2002 Egypt Turkey May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 March, 2003 Summer, 2002 77 83 56 55 58 70 48 75 23 39 43 37 43 31 63 30 37 41 38 45 25 61 24 23 41 38 14 19 43 52 47 36 28 61 30 12 23 30 15 12 30 49 50 11 13 15 18 14 27 6 2 3 6 9 6 9 4 2 4 3 6 4 9 4 4 14 8 3 4 9 9 9 11 4 8 5 2 4 6 2 3 6 T-3 28 33 45 42 43 52 34 48 17 37 40 31 34 25 54 26 35 37 35 39 21 52 20 19 27 30 11 15 34 43 38 25 24 53 25 10 19 24 13 9 24 --- UNFAVORABLE --Some Total Very what 17 14 33 38 34 26 40 16 65 60 57 62 57 67 34 69 60 54 59 54 71 35 67 73 50 56 74 76 47 40 44 55 68 33 69 76 67 63 83 84 55 7 4 13 11 10 12 16 4 47 17 15 20 19 22 8 31 14 10 10 12 30 4 42 36 16 27 39 55 19 10 15 23 25 6 36 67 54 45 68 67 42 10 10 20 27 24 14 24 12 18 43 42 42 38 45 26 38 46 44 49 42 41 31 25 37 34 29 35 21 28 30 29 32 43 27 33 9 13 18 15 17 13 Don’t know/ Refused 5=99 3=100 11=100 7=100 8=100 5=101 11=99 9=100 14=102 1=100 *=100 1=100 *=100 2=100 2=99 1=100 3=100 5=100 3=100 1=100 4=100 4=100 10=101 5=101 9=100 6=100 12=100 5=100 10=100 8=100 10=101 9=100 4=100 6=100 1=100 12=100 10=100 7=100 3=101 5=101 15=100 Q.2 CONTINUED… Indonesia May, 2005 May, 2003 Summer, 2002 India May, 2005 Summer, 2002 Pakistan May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 Summer, 2002 Jordan May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 Summer, 2002 Nigeria (GP) May, 2003 Nigeria (Christians) May, 2003 Nigeria (Muslims) May, 2003 China May, 2005 Japan Summer, 2002 b. Americans United States May, 2005 Great Britain (GP) May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 Summer, 2002 Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 Summer, 2002 France (Muslims) Germany (GP) May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 Summer, 2002 Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) May, 2005 May, 2003 Spain (Muslims) --- FAVORABLE --Some Very what Total 30 7 23 38 6 32 15 2 13 61 5 56 56 18 38 71 29 42 54 22 32 27 7 20 23 6 17 21 4 17 13 3 10 10 2 8 15 6 9 21 9 12 5 2 3 1 * 1 25 6 19 62 34 28 61 31 30 89 55 34 85 49 36 32 11 21 38 14 24 47 9 38 42 5 37 63 8 55 72 13 59 85 88 69 70 73 80 83 39 65 64 53 58 71 48 66 65 68 67 70 44 37 55 47 33 53 49 20 18 21 27 25 7 5 5 5 13 10 7 5 8 9 15 12 11 4 16 11 6 T-4 32 39 49 52 52 53 58 32 60 59 48 45 61 41 61 57 59 52 58 33 33 39 36 27 ---UNFAVORABLE --Some Total Very what 67 25 42 57 17 40 83 48 35 36 9 27 28 14 14 17 9 8 27 16 11 56 42 14 60 48 12 61 50 11 81 71 10 69 58 11 85 55 30 80 59 21 93 67 26 99 83 16 75 57 18 36 16 20 36 21 15 8 3 5 13 5 8 67 31 36 59 37 22 43 6 37 53 13 40 35 6 29 26 3 23 9 9 21 22 19 15 11 43 35 36 43 42 26 51 26 24 25 29 23 46 51 30 41 54 3 1 5 4 5 5 3 25 8 7 13 13 5 15 4 4 5 7 3 28 18 8 16 34 6 8 16 18 14 10 8 18 27 29 30 29 21 36 22 20 20 22 20 18 33 22 25 20 Don’t know/ Refused 4=101 5=100 1=99 3=100 16=100 12=100 19=100 17=100 17=100 18=100 6=100 20=99 *=100 0=101 1=99 0=100 *=100 2=100 2=99 4=101 2=100 1=100 3=100 10=100 5=100 3=101 2=100 7=101 2=99 10=100 8=100 8=100 5=100 8=102 18=100 *=100 *=100 3=99 *=100 3=100 2=101 8=100 11=100 6=99 4=100 7=100 11=101 11=99 15=100 13=101 13=100 Q.2 CONTINUED… Russia May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 Summer, 2002 Egypt Turkey March, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 Summer, 2002 Indonesia May, 2005 May, 2003 Summer, 2002 India May, 2005 Summer, 2002 Pakistan May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 Summer, 2002 Jordan May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 Summer, 2002 Nigeria (GP) May, 2003 Nigeria (Christians) May, 2003 Nigeria (Muslims) May, 2003 China May, 2005 Japan Summer, 2002 c. China United States May, 2005 Great Britain (GP) May, 2005 Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) May, 2005 France (Muslims) Germany (GP) May, 2005 Germany (Muslims) --- FAVORABLE --Some Very what Total 57 11 46 61 10 51 64 13 51 65 17 48 67 9 58 36 8 28 17 2 15 23 4 19 32 6 26 32 5 27 31 5 26 36 6 30 46 8 38 56 6 50 65 5 60 67 23 44 71 28 43 58 24 34 27 5 22 22 5 17 25 5 20 38 8 30 17 3 14 38 2 36 34 9 25 21 4 17 18 3 15 53 21 32 56 28 28 67 32 35 86 45 41 88 50 38 23 9 14 48 16 32 49 6 43 43 5 38 82 16 66 73 10 63 52 43 65 65 61 60 58 76 57 46 61 12 9 10 13 21 7 6 23 6 5 18 T-5 40 34 55 52 40 53 52 53 51 41 43 --- UNFAVORABLE --Some Total Very what 34 11 23 29 6 23 26 8 18 25 7 18 24 3 21 63 33 30 69 55 14 63 46 17 53 32 21 60 43 17 50 38 12 60 18 42 46 9 37 42 11 31 32 7 25 26 12 14 18 9 9 23 15 8 52 34 18 55 41 14 47 34 13 51 40 11 62 50 12 61 30 31 66 39 27 73 33 40 82 46 36 46 29 17 40 19 21 29 17 12 9 4 5 10 4 6 75 36 39 47 29 18 39 5 34 49 11 38 16 3 13 24 2 22 29 35 14 17 9 41 42 24 34 37 19 10 13 3 3 3 12 13 9 5 4 7 19 22 11 14 6 29 29 15 29 33 12 Don’t know/ Refused 10=101 11=101 11=101 10=100 9=100 1=100 14=100 14=100 15=100 8=100 19=100 5=101 8=100 2=100 3=100 7=100 11=100 19=100 20=99 22=99 27=99 11=100 21=100 1=100 0=100 6=100 *=100 1=100 4=100 3=99 6=101 2=100 3=101 5=100 12=100 8=100 2=100 3=100 19=100 22=100 21=100 18=100 29=99 *=101 *=100 1=101 10=101 16=99 20=100 Q.2 CONTINUED… Spain (GP) May, 2005 Spain (Muslims) Russia May, 2005 Summer, 2002 Egypt Turkey May, 2005 Indonesia May, 2005 Summer, 2002 India May, 2005 Pakistan May, 2005 Jordan May, 2005 Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China May, 2005 Japan Summer, 2002 d. Germany United States May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 February, 2002 13 August, 1998 Great Britain (GP) May, 2005 Summer, 2002 Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) May, 2005 Summer, 2002 France (Muslims) Germany (GP) May, 2005 Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) May, 2005 Spain (Muslims) 13 --- FAVORABLE --Some Very what Total 45 5 40 57 18 39 51 9 42 63 14 49 60 11 49 71 12 59 63 20 43 33 7 26 40 9 31 62 11 51 73 16 57 68 4 64 47 12 35 56 15 41 69 47 22 79 56 23 49 8 41 43 6 37 59 14 45 61 18 43 58 9 49 94 58 36 88 53 35 28 3 25 55 8 47 66 60 50 44 83 65 74 75 68 45 89 89 88 91 65 64 71 72 77 74 20 15 8 8 22 13 20 18 18 9 20 18 13 25 12 10 29 58 27 17 46 45 42 36 61 52 54 57 50 36 69 71 75 66 53 54 42 14 50 57 --- UNFAVORABLE --Some Total Very what 38 12 26 21 5 16 26 12 14 27 7 20 28 6 22 18 2 16 32 12 20 43 32 11 39 24 15 31 3 28 25 2 23 30 6 24 39 22 17 21 8 13 7 3 4 4 2 2 46 10 36 53 18 35 32 9 23 25 7 18 39 10 29 5 1 4 9 1 8 71 22 49 42 7 35 13 17 28 41 11 19 12 12 17 22 11 11 7 10 33 34 25 15 10 15 4 4 9 15 3 5 3 2 5 9 3 3 1 3 8 6 9 4 2 6 9 13 19 26 8 14 9 10 12 13 8 8 6 7 25 28 16 11 8 9 Don’t know/ Refused 18=101 23=101 23=100 10=100 12=100 11=100 6=101 24=100 21=100 6=99 2=100 2=100 13=99 23=100 23=99 17=100 5=100 5=101 10=101 14=100 4=101 2=101 2=99 1=100 3=100 21=100 23=100 23=101 15=100 6=100 16=100 14=100 13=100 16=101 33=100 *=100 *=100 4=99 *=101 2=100 1=99 4=100 13=100 14=101 11=100 The February 2002 numbers are from a Gallup survey, and the question wording was: “I’d like your overall opinion of some foreign countries. First, is our overall opinion of Germany very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable, or very unfavorable?” T-6 Q.2 CONTINUED… Russia May, 2005 Egypt Turkey May, 2005 Indonesia May, 2005 India May, 2005 Pakistan May, 2005 Jordan May, 2005 Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China May, 2005 Japan e. France United States May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 February, 2002 Great Britain (GP) May, 2005 Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) May, 2005 France (Muslims) Germany (GP) May, 2005 Summer, 2002 Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) May, 2005 Spain (Muslims) Russia May, 2005 Egypt Turkey May, 2005 Indonesia May, 2005 India May, 2005 Pakistan May, 2005 --- FAVORABLE --Some what Total Very 77 22 55 79 21 58 62 27 35 43 8 35 48 12 36 56 8 48 71 15 56 47 11 36 56 17 39 31 8 23 36 11 25 44 6 38 36 2 34 59 18 41 68 26 42 48 9 39 54 8 46 58 9 49 78 13 65 52 46 33 29 79 59 71 41 68 74 78 72 78 82 44 66 74 76 74 83 60 18 30 52 68 46 55 25 32 15 11 8 8 23 14 18 8 13 20 30 10 12 14 12 13 25 25 21 22 27 3 7 8 15 10 16 5 10 T-7 37 35 25 21 56 45 53 33 55 54 48 62 66 68 32 53 49 51 53 61 33 15 23 44 53 36 39 20 22 --- UNFAVORABLE --Some Total Very what 14 4 10 13 3 10 33 18 15 41 28 13 40 25 15 27 5 22 12 2 10 32 13 19 14 6 8 21 10 11 24 12 12 54 18 36 59 29 30 30 10 20 17 6 11 45 14 31 26 3 23 32 6 26 18 1 17 30 33 49 60 16 32 22 39 31 26 21 22 13 11 43 27 15 19 15 6 36 61 51 30 15 31 14 24 26 12 14 24 36 3 11 7 23 7 7 7 3 3 1 21 6 3 7 3 1 15 46 35 6 2 15 5 12 14 18 19 25 24 13 21 15 16 24 19 14 19 10 10 22 21 12 12 12 5 21 15 16 24 13 16 9 12 12 Don’t know/ Refused 9=100 8=100 5=100 15=100 12=100 17=100 17=100 21=100 29=99 48=100 40=100 2=100 4=100 12=101 15=100 7=100 20=100 11=101 5=101 19=101 21=100 18=100 11=100 5=100 9=100 7=100 19=99 0=99 0=100 0=99 6=100 9=100 7=100 13=100 7=100 11=100 5=100 12=101 11=100 5=101 21=100 19=100 17=99 17=100 23=100 31=100 50=99 42=100 Q.2 CONTINUED… Jordan May, 2005 Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China May, 2005 Japan f. Japan United States May, 2005 August, 1998 Great Britain (GP) May, 2005 Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) May, 2005 France (Muslims) Germany (GP) May, 2005 Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) May, 2005 Spain (Muslims) Russia May, 2005 Egypt Turkey May, 2005 Indonesia May, 2005 India May, 2005 Pakistan May, 2005 Jordan May, 2005 Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China May, 2005 Japan --- FAVORABLE --Some Very what Total 46 9 37 50 9 41 59 16 43 65 22 43 52 8 44 59 12 47 65 11 54 72 7 65 66 63 62 68 69 57 83 76 86 70 64 67 65 66 58 73 75 63 46 55 78 85 60 66 43 49 46 46 64 69 58 21 17 77 22 17 9 15 14 18 13 10 29 10 9 27 14 22 11 24 23 22 15 21 22 32 23 28 18 21 7 11 18 25 10 2 3 27 T-8 44 46 53 53 55 39 70 66 57 60 55 40 51 44 47 49 52 41 31 34 56 53 37 38 25 28 39 35 46 44 48 19 14 50 --- UNFAVORABLE --Some Total Very what 53 21 32 49 23 26 28 8 20 18 5 13 41 13 28 22 2 20 25 6 19 24 2 22 14 16 23 9 11 12 17 23 13 14 18 13 18 12 18 17 16 31 32 26 16 11 25 11 16 18 50 49 26 17 37 70 76 22 5 5 8 3 3 6 5 6 6 2 2 4 5 3 10 5 3 13 24 18 3 2 11 4 8 10 13 21 7 6 9 29 43 2 9 11 15 6 8 6 12 17 7 12 16 9 13 9 8 12 13 18 8 8 13 9 14 7 8 8 37 28 19 11 28 41 33 20 Don’t know/ Refused 1=100 1=100 13=100 17=100 8=101 19=100 11=101 4=100 21=101 21=100 15=100 24=101 20=100 31=100 *=100 1=100 1=100 16=100 18=100 20=100 17=100 22=100 23=99 10=100 10=101 5=99 22=100 19=100 6=100 4=100 16=101 23=100 41=100 32=99 4=100 6=101 10=100 14=100 5=100 10=101 7=100 1=100 Q.2 CONTINUED… --- FAVORABLE --Some Very what Total --- UNFAVORABLE --Some Total Very what Don’t know/ Refused g. Jews United States May, 2005 March, 2004 Mid-July, 2003 June, 2003 March, 2002 Mid-Nov., 2001 March, 2001 Sept., 2000 (RVs) June, 1997 Great Britain (GP) May, 2005 March, 2004 Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) May, 2005 March, 2004 1991 14 France (Muslims) Germany (GP) May, 2005 March, 2004 1991 Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) May, 2005 Spain (Muslims) Russia May, 2005 March, 2004 1992 1991 Egypt Turkey May, 2005 March, 2004 Indonesia May, 2005 India May, 2005 Pakistan May, 2005 March, 2004 Jordan May, 2005 14 77 77 77 72 79 74 75 72 77 82 74 78 76 32 86 82 81 72 71 69 67 63 52 38 45 58 28 59 63 65 65 58 2 15 18 27 17 13 22 28 6 5 3 1 0 40 37 36 20 25 18 24 16 27 26 22 24 23 4 12 18 28 14 15 13 11 10 5 10 6 18 4 15 15 18 11 9 0 1 4 6 3 2 4 6 1 * 1 * 0 37 40 41 52 54 56 51 56 50 56 52 54 53 28 74 64 53 58 56 56 56 53 47 28 39 40 24 44 48 47 54 49 2 14 14 21 14 11 18 22 5 5 2 1 0 5 7 8 9 8 9 7 10 8 9 7 6 9 47 13 16 11 14 28 22 21 20 24 44 39 20 60 30 26 25 22 26 97 65 60 49 72 76 39 17 71 74 80 98 100 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 3 2 3 33 3 3 3 3 9 5 5 4 6 31 14 6 37 9 7 8 7 8 82 50 44 32 39 36 24 7 62 64 73 96 99 3 5 6 6 6 7 5 8 5 7 4 4 6 14 10 13 8 11 19 17 16 16 18 13 25 14 23 21 19 17 15 18 15 15 16 17 33 40 15 10 9 10 7 2 1 17=99 16=100 15=100 19=100 13=100 17=100 18=100 18=100 15=100 9=100 19=100 15=99 15=100 22=101 1=100 2=100 8=100 14=100 1=100 10=101 12=100 17=100 24=100 18=100 17=101 22=100 12=100 11=100 11=100 10=100 13=100 16=100 *=99 20=100 23=101 23=99 11=100 12=101 40=101 56=101 23=100 21=100 17=100 1=100 0=100 In 1991, the introduction for the favorability rating of Jews in France, Germany, and Russia was worded, respectively, “I’d like you to rate some different groups of people in (Western Europe/Germany/Russia) according to how you feel about them.” T-9 Q.2 CONTINUED… Nigeria Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) Japan h. Christians United States May, 2005 March, 2004 Great Britain (GP) May, 2005 March, 2004 Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) May, 2005 March, 2004 France (Muslims) Germany (GP) May, 2005 March, 2004 Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) May, 2005 Spain (Muslims) Russia May, 2005 March, 2004 Egypt Turkey May, 2005 March, 2004 Indonesia May, 2005 India May, 2005 Pakistan May, 2005 March, 2004 Jordan May, 2005 Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) Japan i. Muslims United States May, 2005 March, 2004 Mid-July, 2003 June, 2003 March, 2002 --- FAVORABLE --Some Very what Total 28 9 19 43 15 28 11 2 9 42 5 37 --- UNFAVORABLE --Some Total Very what 52 27 25 30 13 17 76 43 33 42 6 36 Don’t know/ Refused 20=100 26=99 13=100 16=100 88 87 84 88 85 84 71 87 84 84 91 79 83 75 69 79 80 82 90 92 93 48 16 21 31 64 58 50 61 27 22 24 61 58 79 95 63 57 62 56 55 46 37 36 19 23 24 34 27 23 21 15 23 25 32 16 48 44 44 6 2 5 6 20 17 16 20 4 2 4 11 10 45 78 9 6 26 31 29 42 48 48 52 64 60 50 64 56 62 60 46 54 48 66 42 48 49 42 14 16 25 44 41 34 41 23 20 20 50 48 34 17 54 51 5 6 6 5 6 6 16 13 15 9 8 17 13 16 24 15 10 12 6 3 3 51 69 63 52 32 38 36 19 54 58 62 38 41 20 5 36 36 1 2 1 1 1 1 9 3 4 2 3 3 1 3 10 5 3 5 2 1 1 11 54 46 33 7 9 19 8 39 41 45 11 12 7 2 12 6 4 4 5 4 5 5 7 10 11 7 5 14 12 13 14 10 7 7 4 2 2 40 15 17 19 25 29 17 11 15 17 17 27 29 13 3 24 30 6=99 7=100 10=100 8=101 9=100 9=99 13=100 *=100 1=100 6=99 1=100 4=100 4=100 9=100 6=99 6=100 10=100 6=100 5=101 5=100 4=100 1=100 15=100 16=100 17=100 4=100 4=100 15=101 20=100 19=100 20=100 15=101 1=100 1=100 1=100 *=100 1=100 6=99 54 57 48 47 50 47 19 18 13 9 12 7 35 39 35 38 38 40 24 22 32 31 30 29 10 8 14 12 10 11 14 14 18 19 20 18 22=100 21=100 20=100 22=100 20=100 24=100 T-10 Q.2 CONTINUED… Great Britain (GP) May, 2005 March, 2004 Great Britain (Muslim) France (GP) May, 2005 March, 2004 1991 (N. Africans) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) May, 2005 March, 2004 1991 (Turks) Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) May, 2005 Spain (Muslims) Russia May, 2005 March, 2004 Egypt Turkey May, 2005 March, 2004 Indonesia March, 2004 India March, 2004 Pakistan May, 2005 March, 2004 Jordan May, 2005 Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China May, 2005 Japan --- FAVORABLE --Some Very what Total 63 14 49 72 18 54 67 18 49 86 55 31 65 7 58 64 9 55 64 16 48 49 7 42 91 46 45 36 4 32 40 4 36 41 5 36 35 3 32 83 44 39 29 4 25 46 14 32 94 53 41 59 17 42 55 14 41 53 15 38 95 84 11 88 74 14 83 61 22 88 66 22 97 78 19 99 85 14 41 10 31 46 15 31 94 84 10 94 88 6 97 87 10 93 89 4 99 95 4 66 48 18 36 8 28 98 92 6 23 1 22 20 2 18 23 2 21 --- UNFAVORABLE --Some Total Very what 20 8 12 14 5 9 18 6 12 9 2 7 35 12 23 34 13 21 29 9 20 42 12 30 9 4 5 54 15 39 47 11 36 46 11 35 46 14 32 14 3 11 62 27 35 37 13 24 4 1 3 33 9 24 36 10 26 38 15 23 4 1 3 8 5 3 11 5 6 9 3 6 2 * 2 1 * 1 51 32 19 43 25 18 2 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 7 1 6 1 * 1 31 18 13 58 34 24 1 * 1 49 9 40 50 15 35 66 16 50 Don’t know/ Refused 17=100 14=100 16=101 5=100 *=100 2=100 7=100 9=100 0=100 10=100 13=100 13=100 19=100 3=100 10=101 17=100 2=100 9=101 10=101 11=100 1=100 4=100 5=99 3=100 1=100 *=100 9=101 12=101 3=99 4=100 1=100 *=100 0=100 3=100 6=100 *=99 28=100 30=100 11=100 j. Iran United States Feb., 2006 15 Feb., 2004 March, 2003 Feb., 2002 August, 1998 March, 1996 Aug., 1991 Aug., 1989 15 25 7 17 13 11 11 6 13 5 8 1 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 The 1989, 1991, and 2002-2006 trends from Gallup. T-11 17 6 14 11 9 10 5 12 4 57 86 77 79 84 75 84 79 89 31 46 31 31 38 40 46 35 62 26 40 46 48 46 35 38 44 27 19=101 7=100 6=100 8=100 5=100 14=100 10=100 9=100 6=100 Q.2 CONTINUED… --- FAVORABLE --Some what Total Very Great Britain (GP) 34 3 31 Great Britain (Muslims) 71 30 41 France (GP) 22 1 21 France (Muslims) 48 11 37 Germany (GP) 12 1 11 Germany (Muslims) 40 13 27 Spain (GP) 23 3 20 Spain (Muslims) 68 24 44 Russia 43 10 33 Egypt 59 13 46 Turkey 53 18 35 Indonesia 77 22 55 India 31 7 24 Pakistan 72 41 31 Jordan 49 12 37 Nigeria (GP) 43 19 24 Nigeria (Christians) 10 2 8 Nigeria (Muslims) 78 38 40 China 26 2 24 Japan 24 3 21 k. The United Nations United States Late October, 2005 March, 2004 Early Sept., 2001 Aug., 1999 June, 1999 Early Sept., 1998 Sept., 1997 Feb., 1996 June, 1995 Feb., 1995 July, 1994 May, 1993 May, 1990 Great Britain (GP) March, 2004 Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) March, 2004 France (Muslims) Germany (GP) March, 2004 1991 Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia March, 2004 1991 Egypt 51 48 55 77 76 70 69 64 65 67 62 76 73 70 65 74 38 72 67 59 68 71 83 58 60 42 49 60 80 49 15 9 14 23 19 19 14 11 19 14 13 21 21 15 16 22 9 10 10 11 13 21 21 15 11 8 11 13 21 11 T-12 36 39 41 54 57 51 55 53 46 53 49 55 52 55 49 52 29 62 57 48 55 50 62 43 49 34 38 47 59 38 --- UNFAVORABLE --Some Total Very what 39 15 24 10 3 7 77 30 47 51 15 36 82 32 50 44 21 23 66 32 34 24 10 14 38 9 29 39 9 30 35 20 15 16 2 14 49 29 20 10 4 6 51 18 33 44 25 19 70 46 24 4 13 17 48 8 40 68 15 53 38 39 35 18 19 23 23 28 29 28 26 19 17 19 23 18 47 28 30 40 25 23 10 32 30 43 29 18 4 51 19 15 15 6 5 7 7 9 9 8 8 5 4 6 8 4 27 8 6 15 4 3 3 11 8 28 9 5 1 24 19 24 20 12 14 16 16 19 20 20 18 14 13 13 15 14 20 20 24 25 21 20 7 21 22 15 20 13 3 27 Don’t know/ Refused 28=101 20=101 *=99 1=100 6=100 15=99 11=100 7=99 20=101 1=99 12=100 7=100 20=100 18=100 1=101 14=101 20=100 5=100 26=100 8=100 11=100 13=100 10=100 5=100 5=100 7=100 8=100 8=100 6=100 5=100 12=100 5=100 10=100 11=100 11=99 7=99 16=101 *=100 3=100 1=100 7=100 6=100 7=100 10=100 10=100 15=100 22=100 21=99 16=100 *=100 Q.2 CONTINUED… Turkey March, 2004 Indonesia India Pakistan March, 2004 Jordan March, 2004 Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China Japan l. Arabs United States Oct., 2001 16 March, 1993 Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia Egypt Turkey Indonesia India Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China Japan 16 --- FAVORABLE --Some Very what Total 29 5 24 51 13 38 78 30 48 39 9 30 42 18 24 35 9 26 30 6 24 21 6 15 68 24 44 82 33 49 53 14 39 53 8 45 56 8 48 50 54 39 56 65 68 84 39 45 33 85 45 90 46 84 30 78 76 51 16 90 29 38 14 9 7 9 26 8 31 1 10 4 35 11 40 13 33 6 52 28 28 4 54 2 4 Trends from 2001 and 1993 from Gallup. T-13 36 45 32 47 39 60 53 38 35 29 50 34 50 33 51 24 26 48 23 12 36 27 34 --- UNFAVORABLE --Some Total Very what 51 32 19 35 19 16 18 2 16 35 19 16 22 11 11 27 17 10 69 36 33 73 47 26 26 7 19 10 4 6 44 10 34 25 3 22 36 5 31 30 37 32 19 20 31 16 51 48 58 12 34 10 40 12 49 6 23 39 68 7 45 44 10 12 12 3 7 9 4 9 20 24 5 8 2 25 1 30 2 1 23 42 2 7 7 20 25 20 16 13 22 12 42 28 34 7 26 8 15 11 19 4 22 16 26 5 38 37 Don’t know/ Refused 20=100 14=100 4=100 26=100 36=100 38=100 1=100 6=100 7=101 8=100 4=101 22=100 7=99 21=101 9=100 29=100 25=100 15=100 1=100 0=100 9=99 8=101 9=100 3=100 22=101 *=100 13=99 4=100 21=100 17=101 1=100 10=100 16=100 3=100 26=100 19=101 Q.2 CONTINUED… --- FAVORABLE --Some Very what Total --- UNFAVORABLE --Some Total Very what Don’t know/ Refused m. South Korea China Japan 64 56 10 6 54 50 18 43 2 9 16 34 18=100 1=100 n. North Korea China Japan 51 3 5 * 46 3 31 97 4 78 27 19 18=100 1=101 33 33 65 9 2 8 24 31 57 50 43 28 32 5 2 18 38 26 17=100 24=100 7=100 p. Pakistan India China Japan 23 33 33 4 2 2 19 31 31 67 42 49 48 5 6 19 37 43 10=100 26=101 19=101 q. Australia China Japan 60 89 14 19 46 70 19 8 2 1 17 7 20=99 3=100 o. India Pakistan China Japan Q.3 Which of the following phrases comes closer to describing your view? I favor the U.S.-led efforts to fight terrorism, OR I oppose the U.S.-led efforts to fight terrorism. Favor United States 73 May, 2005 76 March, 2004 81 Summer, 2002 89 Great Britain (GP) 49 May, 2005 51 March, 2004 63 May, 2003 63 Summer, 2002 69 Great Britain (Muslims) 13 France (GP) 43 May, 2005 51 March, 2004 50 May, 2003 60 Summer, 2002 75 France (Muslims) 21 Germany (GP) 47 May, 2005 50 March, 2004 55 May, 2003 60 Summer, 2002 70 Germany (Muslims) 31 Oppose 19 18 13 8 42 40 30 30 23 77 57 48 47 39 23 78 50 45 43 35 25 62 T-14 Don’t know/ Refused 8=100 6=100 6=100 3=100 10=101 9=100 7=100 7=100 8=100 10=100 1=101 1=100 3=100 1=100 3=101 1=100 3=100 5=100 2=100 5=100 5=100 7=100 Q.3 CONTINUED… Spain (GP) May, 2005 May, 2003 Spain (Muslims) Russia May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 Summer, 2002 Egypt Turkey May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 Summer, 2002 Indonesia May, 2005 May, 2003 Summer, 2002 India May, 2005 Summer, 2002 Pakistan May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 Summer, 2002 Jordan May, 2005 March, 2004 May, 2003 Summer, 2002 Nigeria (GP) May, 2003 Nigeria (Christians) May, 2003 Nigeria (Muslims) May, 2003 China Japan Summer, 2002 Q.4 Favor 19 26 63 12 52 55 73 51 73 10 14 17 37 22 30 39 50 23 31 65 52 65 30 22 16 16 20 16 12 12 2 13 49 60 77 87 19 36 19 26 61 Oppose 76 67 32 83 35 34 20 28 16 82 77 71 56 71 58 57 42 72 64 30 41 10 50 52 60 74 45 74 86 78 97 85 47 36 19 11 77 59 63 72 32 Don’t know/ Refused 5=100 7=100 5=100 5=100 13=100 11=100 7=100 21=100 11=100 8=100 9=100 12=100 7=100 7=100 12=100 4=100 8=100 5=100 5=100 5=100 7=100 25=100 19=99 26=100 25=101 10=100 35=100 11=100 1=99 10=100 1=100 2=100 4=100 4=100 4=100 2=100 3=99 5=100 18=100 2=100 7=100 Do you think it’s a good thing or a bad thing that people (INSERT) come to live and work in this country? a. From the Middle East and North Africa Good thing Great Britain (GP) 57 May, 2005 61 November, 2002 53 Great Britain (Muslims) 75 Bad thing 32 30 40 14 T-15 Don’t know/ Refused 11=100 10=101 7=100 12=101 Q.4a CONTINUED… France (GP) May, 2005 November, 2002 France (Muslims) Germany (GP) May, 2005 November, 2002 Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) May, 2005 Spain (Muslims) b. Good thing 58 53 44 83 34 34 33 42 62 67 85 Don’t know/ Refused 1=100 2=100 3=100 1=101 7=100 9=100 8=100 13=101 5=100 7=100 5=100 Bad thing 31 28 41 19 41 47 50 26 59 60 53 60 35 22 16 Don’t know/ Refused 11=100 10=100 6=100 13=100 1=100 1=100 3=100 1=101 6=101 9=100 8=100 10=100 5=100 6=100 9=100 From East European countries Good thing Great Britain (GP) 58 May, 2005 62 November, 2002 53 Great Britain (Muslims) 68 France (GP) 58 May, 2005 52 November, 2002 47 France (Muslims) 74 Germany (GP) 36 May, 2005 31 November, 2002 39 Germany (Muslims) 30 Spain (GP) 60 May, 2005 72 Spain (Muslims) 75 Q.5 Bad thing 41 45 53 17 59 57 59 46 33 26 10 Now on a different subject, some people feel that democracy is a Western way of doing things that would not work in most Muslim countries – others think that democracy is not just for the West and can work well in most Muslim countries. Which comes closer to your opinion? Democracy would not work United States 37 Great Britain (GP) 30 Great Britain (Muslims) 29 France (GP) 41 France (Muslims) 23 Germany (GP) 54 Germany (Muslims) 16 Spain (GP) 55 Spain (Muslims) 31 India 26 T-16 Democracy would work well 49 60 59 59 76 42 80 37 57 57 Don’t know/ Refused 14=100 10=100 12=100 1=101 1=100 4=100 4=100 8=100 11=99 17=100 Q.5b Some feel that we should rely on a democratic form of government to solve our country's problems. Others feel that we should rely on a leader with a strong hand to solve our country's problems. Which comes closer to your opinion? Russia May, 2005 Summer, 2002 1991 Q.5c Democratic government 29 28 21 51 Strong leader 61 66 70 39 Don’t know/ Refused 10=100 6=100 9=100 10=100 Some people in our country feel that democracy is a Western way of doing things that would not work here – others think that democracy is not just for the West and can work well here. Which comes closer to your opinion? Western way Egypt 31 Turkey 38 May, 2005 38 May, 2003 37 Summer, 2002 43 1999 17(U.S. State Dept.) 59 Indonesia 23 May, 2005 16 May, 2003 53 Summer, 2002 25 1999 (U.S. State Dept.) 22 Pakistan 16 May, 2005 18 May, 2003 28 Summer, 2002 15 1999 (U.S. State Dept.) 13 Jordan 21 May, 2005 19 May, 2003 25 Summer, 2002 34 Nigeria (GP) 19 May, 2003 21 Nigeria (Christians) 22 May, 2003 23 Nigeria (Muslims) 16 May, 2003 20 Can work here 65 44 48 50 43 30 70 77 41 64 67 50 43 57 44 39 74 80 69 63 79 75 76 75 83 75 Don’t know/ Refused 4=100 18=100 14=100 14=101 14=100 11=100 7=100 7=100 6=100 11=100 12=101 34=100 39=100 15=100 41=100 49=101 5=100 1=100 7=101 3=100 2=100 3=99 2=100 2=100 1=100 5=100 IF CHRISTIAN ASK ‘CHRISTIAN’, IF MUSLIM ASK ‘MUSLIM’, IF HINDU ASK ‘HINDU’: Q.6 Do you think of yourself first as (name of country’s people) or first as a (Muslim/Christian/Hindu)? United States Great Britain France Germany 17 Country’s People 48 59 83 59 Religion 42 24 14 33 Both equally Other Don’t know/ (VOL) (VOL) Refused 7 1 2=100 8 7 2=100 3 * *=100 8 1 *=100 1999 trends provided by the Office of Research, U.S. Department of State. T-17 (N) (N=820) (N=215) (N=325) (N=285) Q.6 CONTINUED… Country’s People Spain 60 Russia 63 Nigeria 43 Great Britain (Muslims) 7 France (Muslims) 42 Germany (Muslims) 13 Spain (Muslims) 3 Egypt 23 Turkey 19 May 2005 29 Indonesia 39 May 2005 35 Pakistan 6 May 2005 7 Jordan 21 May 2005 23 Nigeria 25 India 90 Religion 14 16 53 81 46 66 69 59 51 43 36 39 87 79 67 63 71 10 Both equally Other Don’t know/ (VOL) (VOL) Refused 21 4 1=100 20 1 1=101 3 0 1=100 8 1 3=100 10 * 2=100 9 8 3=100 25 2 *=99 18 * 0=100 30 * *=100 27 1=100 25 0 0=100 26 *=100 7 * 0=100 13 1=100 12 0=100 13 *=99 2 * 2=100 * 0 *=100 (N) (N=786) (N=790) (N=514) (N=412) (N=400) (N=413) (N=402) (N=936) (N=1001) (N=909) (N=1233) (N=972) (N=468) (N=1720) ASK ALL: Q.7 Do you think that relations these days between Muslims around the world and people in Western countries such as the United States and Europe are generally good or generally bad? Generally good United States 32 Great Britain (GP) 28 Great Britain (Muslims) 23 France (GP) 33 France (Muslims) 41 Germany (GP) 23 Germany (Muslims) 29 Spain (GP) 14 Spain (Muslims) 49 18 Russia 18 Egypt 31 Turkey 14 Indonesia 39 Pakistan 30 Jordan 39 Nigeria (GP) 17 Nigeria (Christians) 24 Nigeria (Muslims) 10 18 Generally bad 55 61 62 66 58 70 60 61 23 53 58 64 53 25 54 63 52 77 Neither (VOL) 1 3 9 1 * 3 7 21 27 20 10 13 2 6 6 10 10 10 Don’t know/ Refused 12=100 6=100 7=100 1=101 0=99 4=100 4=100 4=100 2=101 9=100 1=100 9=100 6=100 39=100 1=100 10=100 15=101 3=100 In Russia the question wording included “in Western countries such as the United States and Europe, including Russia…” T-18 ASK IF RELATIONS GENERALLY BAD (Q7=2) Q.8 Who do you think is mostly to blame for this, Muslims or people in Western countries? Muslims United States 33 Great Britain (GP) 25 Great Britain (Muslims) 11 France (GP) 47 France (Muslims) 21 Germany (GP) 39 Germany (Muslims) 6 Spain (GP) 32 Spain (Muslims) 5 Russia 35 Egypt 1 Turkey 7 Indonesia 4 Pakistan 14 Jordan 3 Nigeria (GP) 30 Nigeria (Christians) 69 Nigeria (Muslims) 1 Western people 26 27 48 28 52 17 46 10 28 25 56 79 64 60 61 52 10 83 Both (VOL) 22 33 28 19 21 27 35 52 40 28 16 8 15 7 7 13 16 11 Neither (VOL) 8 6 5 2 3 6 3 4 13 3 5 1 1 * * 2 3 1 Jews Don’t know/ (VOL) Refused (N) 0 11=100 (N=566) 1 8=100 (N=545) 1 7=100 (N=256) 0 4=100 (N=566) 0 3=100 (N=228) 0 10=99 (N=296) 0 11=101 (N=256) 1 1=100 (N=444) 4 10=100 (N=91) 1 7=99 (N=531) 22 2=102 (N=537) 1 4=100 (N=647) 10 7=101 (N=523) 9 9=99 (N=345) 28 1=100 (N=539) 1 2=100 (N=635) * 2=100 (N=267) 1 2=99 (N=359) ASK ALL: Q.9 In your opinion, how many Europeans do you think are hostile toward Muslims – would you say most, many, just some or very few? Just Very Don’t know/ Many some few Refused Most Great Britain (GP) 15 25 38 18 4=100 Great Britain (Muslims) 24 18 34 18 6=100 France (GP) 19 37 28 17 *=101 France (Muslims) 18 21 32 28 1=100 Germany (GP) 18 45 27 7 3=100 Germany (Muslims) 22 29 22 21 7=101 Spain (GP) 26 34 27 8 5=100 Spain (Muslims) 10 21 32 32 6=101 12 26 40 14 8=100 Russia 19 Egypt 30 33 30 7 1=101 Turkey 20 37 26 9 7=99 Indonesia 10 26 40 17 7=100 Pakistan 38 23 10 7 21=99 Jordan 22 28 36 13 1=100 Nigeria (GP) 11 27 26 20 16=100 Nigeria (Christians) 9 19 22 27 23=100 Nigeria (Muslims) 14 36 30 13 7=100 19 In Russia the question was worded: “…how many Russians do you think are hostile toward Muslims…” T-19 Q.9b In your opinion, how many Americans do you think are hostile toward Muslims – would you say most, many, just some or very few? Just Very Don’t know/ Many some few Refused Most United States 13 26 37 19 6=100 Egypt 26 31 28 15 1=101 Turkey 26 35 23 8 8=100 Indonesia 14 29 35 17 6=101 Pakistan 35 24 14 6 21=100 Jordan 21 30 30 18 1=100 Nigeria (GP) 15 28 25 18 15=101 Nigeria (Christians) 11 17 23 26 22=99 Nigeria (Muslims) 19 40 26 9 5=99 Q.10 All things considered, do you think that Muslim nations should be more economically prosperous than they are today, or don’t you think so? United States Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia Egypt Turkey Indonesia Pakistan Jordan Nigeria 20 (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) Yes, should be 56 70 83 86 94 73 89 81 84 45 83 90 91 87 85 95 92 98 No, should not be 19 10 9 13 6 16 8 12 9 31 14 3 5 4 14 5 7 2 Don’t know/ Refused 24=99 20=100 8=100 1=100 1=101 11=100 4=101 8=101 7=100 24=100 3=100 7=100 4=100 9=100 1=100 1=101 1=100 0=100 ASK IF THINKS MUSLIM NATIONS SHOULD BE MORE PROSPEROUS (Q.10=1): Q.11 What is most responsible for Muslim nations’ lack of prosperity? (READ LIST, ROTATE) Is it the policies of the U.S. and other western nations, the lack of democracy in the Muslim world, the lack of education in the Muslim world, Islamic fundamentalism, or corruption in the government of Muslim nations? US/West Lack of policies democracy United States 6 13 Great Britain (GP) 7 15 Great Britain (Muslims) 17 7 France (GP) 14 24 France (Muslims) 27 16 Germany (GP) 9 10 20 Lack of Islamic Govt education fundamentalism corruption 21 15 37 18 18 30 27 5 37 19 22 21 16 9 31 29 34 15 Other (VOL) 2 1 1 * 0 1 DK/Ref 6=100 11=100 6=100 *=100 1=100 3=101 (N) (N=571) (N=672) (N=345) (N=806) (N=373) (N=736) Nigeria question wording reads: “All things considered, do you think that Nigeria should be more economically prosperous than it is today, or don’t you think so?” T-20 Q.11 CONTINUED… Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia Egypt Turkey Indonesia Pakistan Jordan US/West Lack of policies democracy 16 18 20 14 31 9 21 16 39 21 32 17 32 16 14 14 43 18 Lack of Islamic Govt education fundamentalism corruption 40 9 11 13 22 28 12 1 35 27 23 9 16 5 16 29 4 8 19 4 28 37 3 17 13 9 16 Other (VOL) 2 1 3 1 1 1 1 3 1 DK/Ref 4=100 2=100 8=99 4=101 1=99 9=100 2=102 13=101 *=100 Nigeria 21 (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) US/West Lack of policies democracy 2 14 1 16 3 12 Lack of education 8 7 10 Other (VOL) 2 1 3 DK/Ref (N) *=99 (N=948) *=99 (N=471) *=101 (N=459) Conflict Govt among groups corruption 7 66 5 69 9 64 (N) (N=375) (N=804) (N=335) (N=453) (N=832) (N=911) (N=919) (N=1132) (N=845) ASK IF THINKS MUSLIM NATIONS SHOULD BE MORE PROSPEROUS (Q.10=1): Q.12 What is SECOND most responsible for Muslim nations’ lack of prosperity? (READ LIST, ROTATE) Is it the policies of the U.S. and other western nations, the lack of democracy in the Muslim world, the lack of education in the Muslim world, Islamic fundamentalism, or corruption in the government of Muslim nations? US/West Lack of policies democracy United States 8 15 Great Britain (GP) 15 17 Great Britain (Muslims) 19 15 France (GP) 13 24 France (Muslims) 20 24 Germany (GP) 11 18 Germany (Muslims) 17 18 Spain (GP) 13 21 Spain (Muslims) 15 11 Russia 15 15 Egypt 20 11 Turkey 16 18 Indonesia 15 21 Pakistan 10 13 Jordan 23 10 Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) 21 US/West Lack of policies democracy 4 24 2 31 5 18 Lack of Islamic Govt education fundamentalism corruption 29 17 21 17 14 22 25 5 26 19 21 20 16 12 26 19 20 26 25 10 18 16 20 22 12 5 29 22 18 14 13 9 33 26 5 15 22 7 24 23 7 24 15 10 29 Other (VOL) 1 1 1 1 * 1 2 3 7 2 10 2 1 2 4 DK/ Ref 9=100 15=101 10=101 1=100 2=100 6=101 10=100 7=100 22=101 13=99 5=101 18=100 10=100 21=100 8=99 (N) (N=571) (N=672) (N=345) (N=806) (N=373) (N=736) (N=375) (N=804) (N=335) (N=453) (N=832) (N=911) (N=919) (N=1132) (N=845) Lack of Conflicts education among groups 15 25 13 27 18 23 Other (VOL) 5 2 8 DK/ Ref 3=100 3=99 2=100 (N) (N=948) (N=471) (N=459) Govt corruption 24 21 26 For Nigeria in Q11 and Q12 the question wording reads: “What is most responsible [and second most responsible] for Nigeria’s lack of prosperity? Is it the policies of the U.S. and other western nations, the weakness of democracy in Nigeria, the lack of education in Nigeria, corruption in the Nigerian government, or conflict among ethic and religious groups in Nigeria?” T-21 NOTE: IN US, RUSSIA AND THE EUROPEAN COUNTRIES Q.13 AND Q.14 WERE ROTATED ASK ALL: Q.13 Do you think there is a natural conflict between being a devout Muslim and living in a modern society, or don’t you think so? United States Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia Egypt Turkey Indonesia Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) Q.14 Yes, conflict 29 24 22 14 23 37 27 26 18 24 Don’t know/ Refused 18=100 11=100 4=100 0=100 *=100 4=100 7=100 6=100 4=100 15=100 2=100 11=100 5=100 36=100 3=100 15=100 25=100 3=100 No conflict 62 70 65 86 77 61 64 72 74 64 Don’t know/ Refused 9=100 6=100 13=100 0=100 1=101 3=101 10=101 3=101 8=100 12=100 Do you think most Muslims coming to our country today want to adopt (survey country) customs and way of life or do you think that they want to be distinct from the larger (survey country) society? 22 Adopt customs United States 33 May, 2005 32 Great Britain (GP) 22 May, 2005 19 Great Britain (Muslims) 41 22 No conflict 42 35 49 74 72 26 57 36 71 30 70 60 52 17 63 48 34 64 Do you think there is a natural conflict between being a devout Christian and living in a modern society, or don’t you think so? United States Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia Q.15 Yes, conflict 40 54 47 26 28 70 36 58 25 56 28 29 43 47 34 37 41 33 Want to be distinct 44 49 64 61 35 Both (VOL) 6 6 6 12 12 In Russia and India, the question was worded “…Muslims in our country...” T-22 Don’t know/ Refused 16=99 13=100 7=99 9=101 12=100 Q.15 CONTINUED… Adopt customs 46 36 78 17 9 30 21 20 53 10 12 43 28 France (GP) May, 2005 France (Muslims) Germany (GP) May, 2005 Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) May, 2005 Spain (Muslims) Russia May, 2005 India May, 2005 Q.16 Both (VOL) * 4 1 4 1 9 7 8 16 13 9 5 5 Don’t know/ Refused 1=100 1=100 1=101 3=100 2=100 10=101 4=99 4=100 5=101 9=101 8=101 4=100 6=100 In your opinion, how strong a sense of Islamic identity do Muslims in our country have - very strong, fairly strong, not too strong, or not strong at all? United States May, 2005 Great Britain (GP) May, 2005 Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) May, 2005 France (Muslims) Germany (GP) May, 2005 Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) May, 2005 Spain (Muslims) Russia May, 2005 India May, 2005 Q.17 Want to be distinct 53 59 21 76 88 52 67 68 27 69 72 48 61 Very strong 21 20 31 29 28 14 19 17 39 33 18 35 30 24 13 10 49 38 Fairly strong 38 45 48 51 44 62 63 58 45 41 28 44 44 40 31 35 33 39 Not too strong 20 17 8 8 19 18 13 17 10 14 35 11 12 28 29 31 11 13 Not strong at all 6 5 2 2 6 5 4 8 2 4 14 2 2 4 5 5 2 3 Don’t know/ Refused 15=100 13=100 10=99 10=100 3=100 1=100 1=100 1=101 3=99 7=99 5=100 9=101 12=100 4=100 23=101 20=101 5=100 7=100 In your opinion, these days do you think there is a growing sense of Islamic identity among Muslims in our country or don’t you think so? United States May, 2005 Great Britain (GP) May, 2005 Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) May, 2005 France (Muslims) Germany (GP) May, 2005 Germany (Muslims) Yes 47 50 69 63 77 68 70 58 72 66 54 No 34 30 17 21 19 31 29 42 22 27 38 T-23 DK/Refused 20=101 20=100 14=100 16=100 5=101 1=100 1=100 0=100 6=100 7=100 8=100 Q.17 CONTINUED… Spain (GP) May, 2005 Spain (Muslims) Russia May, 2005 India Yes 46 47 46 56 55 69 No 37 35 41 21 21 25 DK/Refused 17=100 18=100 13=100 22=99 24=100 6=100 May, 2005 64 28 8=100 ASK IF THINKS GROWING SENSE OF ISLAMIC IDENTITY (Q17=1): Q.18 Do you think this is a good thing or a bad thing for our country? Good thing United States 37 May, 2005 42 Great Britain (GP) 27 May, 2005 31 Great Britain (Muslims) 86 France (GP) 11 May, 2005 9 France (Muslims) 59 Germany (GP) 11 May, 2005 10 Germany (Muslims) 48 Spain (GP) 13 May, 2005 16 Spain (Muslims) 75 Russia 24 May, 2005 23 India 21 May, 2005 21 Bad thing 46 48 59 56 9 87 89 38 83 85 37 82 76 14 54 61 78 77 Don’t know/ Refused 17=100 10=100 15=101 13=100 5=100 2=100 2=100 3=100 6=100 5=100 16=101 5=100 8=100 11=100 23=101 16=100 2=101 2=100 (N) (N=485) (N=646) (N=314) (N=576) (N=232) (N=576) (N=225) (N=452) (N=187) (N=562) (N=1408) ASK IF GROWING ISLAMIC IDENTITY IS A BAD THING (Q18=2): Q.19 Which one of the following worries you most about Islamic identity in our country today? (READ LIST) It can lead to violence; it can lead to a loss of personal freedoms; it will prevent Muslims from integrating into our society. 23 United States May, 2005 Great Britain (GP) May, 2005 France (GP) May, 2005 France (Muslims) Germany (GP) May, 2005 Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) May, 2005 23 Lead to violence 48 47 38 30 50 50 40 50 41 19 48 48 Loss of freedoms 20 23 8 12 17 25 15 8 12 12 5 18 Prevent integration 27 23 49 54 33 25 45 42 46 58 41 30 Due to small sample sizes data are not reported for British Muslims and Spanish Muslims. T-24 Don’t know/ Refused 5=100 7=100 5=100 4=100 *=100 *=100 0=100 *=100 1=100 11=100 6=100 4=100 (N) (N=236) (N=217) (N=392) (N=89) (N=379) (N=87) (N=244) Q.19 CONTINUED… Russia May, 2005 India May, 2005 Lead to violence 54 66 68 57 Loss of freedoms 18 11 22 22 Prevent integration 17 18 8 13 Don’t know/ Refused (N) 11=100 (N=301) 5=100 2=100 (N=1095) 8=100 ASK ALL: Q.20 How concerned, if at all, are you about the rise of Islamic extremism in our country these days? Are you very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned or not at all concerned about the rise of Islamic extremism in our country these days? Very concerned United States 38 May, 2005 31 Great Britain (GP) 42 May, 2005 34 Great Britain (Muslims) 43 France (GP) 30 May, 2005 32 France (Muslims) 26 Germany (GP) 40 May, 2005 35 Germany (Muslims) 23 Spain (GP) 35 May, 2005 43 Spain (Muslims) 21 Russia 40 May, 2005 52 Egypt 29 Turkey 18 Indonesia 16 India 51 May, 2005 48 Pakistan 50 Jordan 33 Nigeria (GP) 25 Nigeria (Christians) 26 Nigeria (Muslims) 25 Q.21 Somewhat Not too concerned concerned 34 16 39 19 35 17 36 22 26 16 46 16 41 18 33 20 42 11 43 14 30 16 31 22 34 15 25 24 34 13 32 9 39 19 28 18 27 37 34 8 36 9 24 4 36 22 29 24 23 25 36 23 Not at all Don’t know/ concerned Refused 8 4=100 9 3=101 5 1=100 6 2=100 13 3=101 8 *=100 8 *=99 21 *=100 6 1=100 7 1=100 28 3=100 10 2=100 7 1=100 25 6=101 9 4=100 4 3=100 11 2=100 21 16=101 17 3=100 4 3=100 4 3=100 4 18=100 8 1=100 21 1=100 24 2=100 16 *=100 How concerned, if at all, are you about the rise of Islamic extremism around the WORLD these days? Are you very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned or not at all concerned about the rise of Islamic extremism around the world these days? Very concerned United States 46 May, 2005 42 Great Britain (GP) 50 May, 2005 43 Great Britain (Muslims) 52 France (GP) 48 May, 2005 46 France (Muslims) 35 Somewhat Not too concerned concerned 33 11 37 11 34 9 37 14 25 10 41 7 43 8 38 14 T-25 Not at all Don’t know/ concerned Refused 6 5=101 6 4=100 3 3=99 4 1=99 10 4=101 4 0=100 3 *=100 13 0=100 Q.21 CONTINUED… Germany (GP) May, 2005 Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) May, 2005 Spain (Muslims) Russia May, 2005 Egypt Turkey Indonesia India May, 2005 Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China Japan Very Somewhat Not too concerned concerned concerned 55 38 4 48 39 8 29 29 15 39 38 15 45 37 10 29 31 19 38 35 13 51 33 8 23 31 28 15 24 21 30 37 26 51 34 8 46 36 10 42 29 4 30 30 26 24 28 24 24 23 25 24 33 23 3 15 39 34 48 15 Not at all Don’t know/ concerned Refused 3 1=101 4 1=100 22 5=100 6 2=100 6 2=100 19 3=101 9 4=99 4 4=100 16 2=100 22 18=100 7 1=101 4 3=100 5 3=100 5 19=99 12 1=99 22 3=101 25 3=100 18 2=100 20 23=100 3 1=101 ASK NON-MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘MUSLIMS’. ASK MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘PEOPLE IN WESTERN COUNTRIES’ EXCEPT IN INDIA ASK MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘HINDUS’: Q.22 Which of these characteristics do you associate with (Muslims / people in Western countries such as the United States and Europe)? The first is (INSERT). Do you associate this with (Muslims / people in Western countries) or not? Yes, No, Don’t know/ do not associate Refused (N) associate a. Generous ASKED OF NON-MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘MUSLIMS’: United States 26 Great Britain 34 France 63 Germany 40 Spain 29 Russia 24 India 31 Nigeria 55 24=100 35=100 0=100 16=100 20=100 20=101 9=100 11=100 (N=994) (N=490) (N=505) (N=489) (N=577) (N=942) (N=1905) (N=532) ASKED OF MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘PEOPLE IN WESTERN COUNTRIES’: Great Britain (Muslims) 56 37 7=100 France (Muslims) 70 30 0=100 Germany (Muslims) 45 47 8=100 Spain (Muslims) 69 23 8=100 Egypt 27 68 5=100 Turkey 15 68 17=100 Indonesia 30 65 6=101 Pakistan 24 42 34=100 Jordan 20 78 3=101 Nigeria 52 47 1=100 (N=412) (N=400) (N=413) (N=402) (N=936) (N=1001) (N=909) (N=1233) (N=972) (N=468) T-26 50 31 37 44 51 57 60 34 Q.22 CONTINUED… Yes, associate b. No, do not associate Don’t know/ Refused (N) Violent ASKED OF NON-MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘MUSLIMS’: United States 45 Great Britain 32 France 41 Germany 52 Spain 60 Russia 59 India 67 Nigeria 73 13=100 14=100 *=100 7=100 10=100 14=101 6=99 5=100 (N=994) (N=490) (N=505) (N=489) (N=577) (N=942) (N=1905) (N=532) ASKED OF MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘PEOPLE IN WESTERN COUNTRIES’: Great Britain (Muslims) 52 39 9=100 France (Muslims) 29 71 0=100 Germany (Muslims) 34 60 6=100 Spain (Muslims) 24 71 6=101 Egypt 75 22 3=100 Turkey 70 19 11=100 Indonesia 64 30 6=100 Pakistan 49 22 28=99 Jordan 81 18 2=101 Nigeria 74 25 1=100 (N=412) (N=400) (N=413) (N=402) (N=936) (N=1001) (N=909) (N=1233) (N=972) (N=468) c. 42 54 59 41 30 28 26 22 Greedy ASKED OF NON-MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘MUSLIMS’: United States 24 Great Britain 17 France 10 Germany 14 Spain 34 Russia 33 India 55 Nigeria 40 16=100 13=100 1=100 12=100 20=100 22=99 11=100 12=99 (N=994) (N=490) (N=505) (N=489) (N=577) (N=942) (N=1905) (N=532) ASKED OF MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘PEOPLE IN WESTERN COUNTRIES’: Great Britain (Muslims) 63 30 7=100 France (Muslims) 31 66 3=100 Germany (Muslims) 39 51 10=100 Spain (Muslims) 38 49 12=99 Egypt 70 26 4=100 Turkey 67 18 14=99 Indonesia 76 19 5=100 Pakistan 44 24 31=99 Jordan 73 24 3=100 Nigeria 48 49 3=100 (N=412) (N=400) (N=413) (N=402) (N=936) (N=1001) (N=909) (N=1233) (N=972) (N=468) T-27 60 70 89 74 46 44 34 47 Q.22 CONTINUED… Yes, associate d. No, Don’t know/ do not associate Refused (N) Fanatical ASKED OF NON-MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘MUSLIMS’: United States 43 Great Britain 48 France 50 Germany 78 Spain 83 Russia 72 India 73 Nigeria 74 41 40 50 19 10 17 21 20 16=100 13=101 *=100 3=100 6=99 12=101 6=100 6=100 (N=994) (N=490) (N=505) (N=489) (N=577) (N=942) (N=1905) (N=532) ASKED OF MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘PEOPLE IN WESTERN COUNTRIES’: Great Britain (Muslims) 44 45 11=100 France (Muslims) 26 73 1=100 Germany (Muslims) 38 54 9=101 Spain (Muslims) 21 72 7=100 Egypt 61 33 6=100 Turkey 67 14 20=101 Indonesia 41 48 11=100 Pakistan 24 35 42=101 Jordan 68 29 3=100 Nigeria 49 45 6=100 (N=412) (N=400) (N=413) (N=402) (N=936) (N=1001) (N=909) (N=1233) (N=972) (N=468) NO ITEM e. f. Honest ASKED OF NON-MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘MUSLIMS’: United States 44 Great Britain 56 France 64 Germany 52 Spain 43 Russia 22 India 35 Nigeria 46 20=100 22=100 1=100 15=100 22=100 20=100 9=100 12=100 (N=994) (N=490) (N=505) (N=489) (N=577) (N=942) (N=1905) (N=532) ASKED OF MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘PEOPLE IN WESTERN COUNTRIES’: Great Britain (Muslims) 42 50 8=100 France (Muslims) 51 49 *=100 Germany (Muslims) 56 33 11=100 Spain (Muslims) 66 22 12=100 Egypt 32 64 4=100 Turkey 23 61 16=100 Indonesia 20 69 11=100 Pakistan 21 47 32=100 Jordan 41 54 5=100 Nigeria 27 72 2=101 (N=412) (N=400) (N=413) (N=402) (N=936) (N=1001) (N=909) (N=1233) (N=972) (N=468) T-28 36 22 35 33 35 58 56 42 Q.22 CONTINUED… Yes, associate g. No, do not associate Don’t know/ Refused (N) Selfish ASKED OF NON-MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘MUSLIMS’: United States 27 Great Britain 30 France 27 Germany 44 Spain 43 Russia 48 India 64 Nigeria 48 17=100 20=101 1=100 10=100 20=100 20=100 9=100 12=100 (N=994) (N=490) (N=505) (N=489) (N=577) (N=942) (N=1905) (N=532) ASKED OF MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘PEOPLE IN WESTERN COUNTRIES’: Great Britain (Muslims) 67 23 10=100 France (Muslims) 51 49 0=100 Germany (Muslims) 57 35 9=101 Spain (Muslims) 50 39 11=100 Egypt 63 32 5=100 Turkey 69 15 16=100 Indonesia 81 15 4=100 Pakistan 54 16 29=99 Jordan 73 22 5=100 Nigeria 56 43 2=101 (N=412) (N=400) (N=413) (N=402) (N=936) (N=1001) (N=909) (N=1233) (N=972) (N=468) h. 56 51 72 46 37 32 27 40 Devout ASKED OF NON-MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘MUSLIMS’: United States 67 Great Britain 84 France 69 Germany 85 Spain 86 Russia 81 India 56 Nigeria 65 18 8 29 13 8 11 36 27 14=99 8=100 2=100 2=100 6=100 8=100 7=99 9=101 ASKED OF MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘PEOPLE IN WESTERN COUNTRIES’: Great Britain (Muslims) 37 46 17=100 France (Muslims) 26 70 3=99 Germany (Muslims) 36 54 10=100 Spain (Muslims) 26 62 12=100 Egypt 29 65 7=101 Turkey 39 45 16=100 Indonesia 35 53 12=100 Pakistan 21 42 36=99 Jordan 19 72 9=100 Nigeria 36 59 5=100 T-29 (N=994) (N=490) (N=505) (N=489) (N=577) (N=942) (N=1905) (N=532) (N=412) (N=400) (N=413) (N=402) (N=936) (N=1001) (N=909) (N=1233) (N=972) (N=468) Q.22 CONTINUED… Yes, associate i. No, do not associate Don’t know/ Refused (N) Immoral ASKED OF NON-MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘MUSLIMS’: United States 19 Great Britain 16 France 18 Germany 26 Spain 21 Russia 25 India 50 Nigeria 43 16=100 17=99 1=100 5=100 18=100 24=100 13=101 15=100 (N=994) (N=490) (N=505) (N=489) (N=577) (N=942) (N=1905) (N=532) ASKED OF MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘PEOPLE IN WESTERN COUNTRIES’: Great Britain (Muslims) 57 29 14=100 France (Muslims) 30 65 5=100 Germany (Muslims) 32 57 11=100 Spain (Muslims) 29 57 14=100 Egypt 64 30 6=100 Turkey 59 22 19=100 Indonesia 60 33 7=100 Pakistan 45 23 32=100 Jordan 62 33 5=100 Nigeria 65 32 3=100 (N=412) (N=400) (N=413) (N=402) (N=936) (N=1001) (N=909) (N=1233) (N=972) (N=468) j. 65 66 81 69 61 51 38 42 Arrogant ASKED OF NON-MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘MUSLIMS’: United States 35 Great Britain 35 France 38 Germany 28 Spain 42 Russia 51 India 58 Nigeria 55 12=100 11=100 *=99 6=100 16=100 18=100 10=100 10=100 (N=994) (N=490) (N=505) (N=489) (N=577) (N=942) (N=1905) (N=532) ASKED OF MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘PEOPLE IN WESTERN COUNTRIES’: Great Britain (Muslims) 64 28 8=100 France (Muslims) 45 53 2=100 Germany (Muslims) 48 46 7=101 Spain (Muslims) 43 44 13=100 Egypt 49 45 7=101 Turkey 67 17 17=101 Indonesia 72 24 4=100 Pakistan 53 16 31=100 Jordan 48 48 5=101 Nigeria 74 25 1=100 (N=412) (N=400) (N=413) (N=402) (N=936) (N=1001) (N=909) (N=1233) (N=972) (N=468) T-30 53 54 61 66 42 31 32 35 Q.22 CONTINUED… Yes, associate k. No, do not associate Don’t know/ Refused (N) Tolerant ASKED OF NON-MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘MUSLIMS’: United States 28 Great Britain 35 France 45 Germany 21 Spain 20 Russia 33 India 29 Nigeria 27 15=101 14=100 *=100 5=101 10=100 17=100 8=101 6=100 (N=994) (N=490) (N=505) (N=489) (N=577) (N=942) (N=1905) (N=532) ASKED OF MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘PEOPLE IN WESTERN COUNTRIES’: Great Britain (Muslims) 48 43 9=100 France (Muslims) 65 34 *=99 Germany (Muslims) 62 33 5=100 Spain (Muslims) 70 22 8=100 Egypt 28 65 7=100 Turkey 27 56 17=100 Pakistan 13 51 36=100 Indonesia 34 60 6=100 Jordan 28 66 5=99 Nigeria 30 69 2=101 (N=412) (N=400) (N=413) (N=402) (N=936) (N=1001) (N=909) (N=1233) (N=972) (N=468) l. 58 51 55 75 70 50 64 67 Respectful of women ASKED OF NON-MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘MUSLIMS’: United States 19 Great Britain 26 France 23 Germany 17 Spain 12 Nigeria 57 69 59 77 80 83 33 12=100 15=100 *=100 3=100 5=100 10=100 ASKED OF MUSLIMS ABOUT ‘PEOPLE IN WESTERN COUNTRIES’: Great Britain (Muslims) 49 44 7=100 France (Muslims) 77 23 0=100 Germany (Muslims) 73 22 5=100 Spain (Muslims) 82 13 5=100 Egypt 40 52 8=100 Turkey 42 39 19=100 Indonesia 38 50 12=100 Pakistan 22 52 26=100 Jordan 38 53 9=100 Nigeria 41 55 5=101 T-31 (N=994) (N=490) (N=505) (N=489) (N=577) (N=532) (N=412) (N=400) (N=413) (N=402) (N=936) (N=1001) (N=909) (N=1233) (N=972) (N=468) ASK THE CHINESE ABOUT THE JAPANESE AND THE JAPANESE ABOUT THE CHINESE: ASIA22 Which of these characteristics do you associate with (the Chinese, the Japanese)? The first is (INSERT). Do you associate this with (the Chinese, the Japanese) or not? a. Generous China Japan Yes, associate 9 20 No, do not associate 76 76 b. Violent China Japan 65 50 23 47 12=100 4=101 Greedy China Japan 68 69 18 28 14=100 2=99 Honest China Japan 15 23 67 71 18=100 6=100 Selfish China Japan 67 75 20 22 13=100 3=100 Arrogant China Japan 69 66 17 31 14=100 3=100 Tolerant China Japan 22 27 60 68 18=100 6=101 Hardworking China Japan 61 64 26 34 14=101 2=100 Rude China Japan 57 52 27 43 15=99 5=100 c. d. e. f. g. h. i. j. k. l. Don’t know/ Refused 16=101 3=99 Sophisticated China Japan 42 20 35 76 23=100 4=100 Inventive China Japan 68 45 19 52 13=100 3=100 Nationalistic China Japan 66 82 17 17 17=100 1=100 68 29 19 69 13=100 2=100 m. Modern China Japan T-32 ASIA22 CONTINUED… n. o. Yes, associate No, do not associate Don’t know/ Refused Competitive China Japan 74 84 13 15 13=100 1=100 Male-dominated China Japan 72 62 13 34 15=100 5=101 ASK ALL: Q.23 Do you think there is a struggle in (survey country) between groups who want to modernize the country and Islamic fundamentalists or don’t you think so? Egypt Turkey Indonesia Pakistan Jordan Yes, a struggle 29 58 50 36 25 No, not a struggle 60 23 40 14 69 Don’t know/ Refused 11=100 19=100 10=100 50=100 6=100 ASK IF THINKS THERE IS A STRUGGLE (Q.23=1): Q.23b Which side do you identify with more in this struggle, the groups who want to modernize the country or Islamic fundamentalists? Egypt Turkey Indonesia Pakistan Jordan Groups wanting Islamic to modernize fundamentalists 70 27 67 16 61 26 60 34 63 24 Don’t know/ Refused 3=100 18=101 12=99 6=100 12=99 (N) (N=271) (N=588) (N=507) (N=519) (N=254) ASK MUSLIMS ONLY: Q.24 How concerned, if at all, are you about the future of Muslims in this country – very concerned, somewhat concerned, not too concerned, or not at all concerned? Very concerned Great Britain (Muslims) 49 France (Muslims) 38 Germany (Muslims) 28 Spain (Muslims) 30 Somewhat concerned 31 34 31 39 Not too concerned 12 14 15 20 Not at all Don’t know/ concerned Refused 7 2=101 14 *=100 25 2=101 9 2=100 ASK MUSLIMS ONLY: Q.25 Overall, do you think that the quality of life for Muslim women in (survey country) is better, worse, or about the same as the quality of life for women in most Muslim countries? Great Britain (Muslims) France (Muslims) Germany (Muslims) Spain (Muslims) Better 58 62 50 46 Worse 13 16 17 16 T-33 About the same 25 21 31 36 Don’t know/ Refused 4=100 *=99 2=100 2=100 ASK MUSLIMS ONLY: Q.26 Please tell me how worried you are about each the following issues related to Muslims living in (survey country). The first one is [READ ITEM]. Are you very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not at all worried about [READ ITEM, ROTATE]? Very Somewhat worried worried a. b. c. d. e. Not too worried Not at all worried Don’t know/ Refused A decline in the importance of religion among (survey country’s) Muslims Great Britain (Muslims) 45 France (Muslims) 21 Germany (Muslims) 18 Spain (Muslims) 18 28 36 26 29 15 20 16 21 9 23 37 30 2=99 *=100 3=100 2=100 Muslim women in (survey country) taking on modern roles in society Great Britain (Muslims) 22 France (Muslims) 16 Germany (Muslim) 9 Spain (Muslims) 10 22 30 11 22 27 18 16 20 27 34 58 45 2=100 2=100 6=100 2=99 The influence of music, movies, and television on Muslim youth in (survey country) Great Britain (Muslims) 44 France (Muslims) 17 Germany (Muslims) 18 Spain (Muslims) 17 26 25 27 21 19 22 14 19 9 36 39 41 2=100 0=100 2=100 2=100 Unemployment among (survey country) Muslims Great Britain (Muslims) France (Muslims) Germany (Muslims) Spain (Muslims) 46 52 56 55 32 32 25 28 13 9 8 10 6 7 9 7 4=101 0=100 3=100 1=101 Extremism among (survey country) Muslims Great Britain (Muslims) France (Muslims) Germany (Muslims) Spain (Muslims) 44 30 23 22 26 35 30 24 15 17 16 22 11 19 24 29 4=100 *=101 7=100 3=100 ASK MUSLIMS ONLY IN EUROPEAN COUNTRIES AND ASK ALL IN NIGERIA: Q.27 Do you think there is a struggle in (survey country) between moderate Muslims and Islamic fundamentalists or don’t you think so? Don’t know/ No Refused Yes Great Britain (Muslims) 58 35 7=100 France (Muslims) 56 43 1=100 German (Muslims) 49 40 12=101 Spain (Muslims) 21 65 14=100 Nigeria (GP) 35 45 20=100 Nigeria (Christians) 35 33 33=101 Nigeria (Muslims) 36 60 4=100 T-34 ASK IF THINKS THERE IS A STRUGGLE (Q27=1) Q.28 Which side do you identify with more in this struggle, moderate Muslims or Islamic fundamentalists? Moderate Islamic Don’t know/ Refused (N) Muslims fundamentalists Great Britain (Muslims) 66 25 9=100 (N=242) France (Muslims) 89 10 1=100 (N=219) German (Muslims) 75 14 12=101 (N=193) Spain (Muslims) 68 18 14=100 (N=84) Nigeria (GP) 49 47 4=100 (N=352) Nigeria (Christians) 48 47 6=101 (N=178) Nigeria (Muslims) 49 49 2=100 (N=168) ASK MUSLIMS ONLY: Q.29 Some people think that suicide bombing and other forms of violence against civilian targets are justified in order to defend Islam from its enemies. Other people believe that, no matter what the reason, this kind of violence is never justified. Do you personally feel that this kind of violence is often justified to defend Islam, sometimes justified, rarely justified, or never justified? Often justified Great Britain (Muslims) 3 France (Muslims) 6 Germany (Muslims) 1 Spain (Muslims) 6 Egypt 8 Turkey 3 May, 2005 3 March, 2004 6 Summer, 2002 4 Indonesia 2 May, 2005 2 Summer, 2002 5 Pakistan 7 May, 2005 12 March, 2004 27 Summer, 2002 19 Jordan 5 May, 2005 24 Summer, 2002 15 Nigeria 8 Sometimes justified 12 10 6 10 20 14 11 9 9 8 13 22 7 13 14 14 24 33 28 38 Rarely justified 9 19 6 9 25 9 6 9 7 18 18 16 8 19 8 5 28 31 22 23 Never justified 70 64 83 69 45 61 66 67 64 71 66 54 69 46 35 38 43 11 26 28 Don’t know/ Refused 6=100 1=100 3=99 7=101 3=101 14=101 13=99 9=100 14=98 1=100 1=100 3=100 8=99 10=100 16=100 23=99 *=100 1=100 8=99 3=100 (N) (N=412) (N=400) (N=413) (N=402) (N=936) (N=1001) (N=909) (N=1233) (N=972) (N=468) IN EGYPT, TURKEY, INDONESIA, PAKISTAN, AND JORDAN, ASK ABOUT ‘PEOPLE.’ ELSEWHERE ASK ABOUT ‘MUSLIMS’. Q.30 In your opinion, how many (Muslims/people) in our country support Islamic extremists like al Qaeda – would you say most, many, just some or very few? Most United States 8 Great Britain (GP) 9 Great Britain (Muslims) 6 France (GP) 6 France (Muslims) 4 Germany (GP) 4 Germany (Muslims) 5 Many 11 11 6 14 5 14 7 T-35 Just some 31 31 19 37 18 48 16 Very few 39 41 54 43 71 29 50 Don’t know/ Refused 13=102 8=100 15=100 *=100 2=100 4=99 21=99 Q.30 CONTINUED… Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia Egypt Turkey Indonesia India Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) Most 15 4 8 6 2 3 16 14 2 11 10 12 Many 26 8 20 16 11 11 25 21 16 34 25 44 Just some 30 22 32 30 23 39 33 17 33 24 19 28 Very few 16 46 28 46 42 35 17 15 46 14 16 12 Don’t know/ Refused 13=100 20=100 13=101 3=101 22=100 12=100 9=100 33=100 3=100 18=10 30=100 4=100 Q. 30a In your opinion, how many Muslims around the world support Islamic extremists like al Qaeda – would you say most, many, just some or very few? China Japan Most 2 9 Many 11 34 Just some 26 48 Very Don’t know/ few Refused 17 44=100 7 2=100 ASK MUSLIMS ONLY: Q.31 In the last two years, have you personally had a bad experience due to your race, ethnicity, or religion, or hasn’t this happened to you? Don’t know/ No Refused Yes Great Britain (Muslims) 28 72 *=100 France (Muslims) 37 63 0=100 German y (Muslims) 19 81 *=100 Spain (Muslims) 25 74 1=100 ASK ALL: Q.32 Have you heard about last year’s riots by youths from immigrant and working class suburbs in France and elsewhere? [NOT ASKED IN FRANCE] Yes, have heard United States 55 Great Britain (GP) 80 Great Britain (Muslims) 63 Germany (GP) 91 Germany (Muslims) 86 Spain (GP) 78 Spain (Muslims) 69 Russia 67 Egypt 35 Turkey 61 Indonesia 18 India 26 Pakistan 11 Jordan 47 No, haven’t heard 44 20 36 8 14 20 30 28 63 34 72 54 65 50 T-36 Don’t know/ Refused 1=100 0=100 1=100 1=100 0=100 2=100 1=100 4=99 2=100 5=100 11=101 20=100 24=100 3=100 Q.32 CONTINUED… Yes, have heard Nigeria (GP) 23 Nigeria (Christians) 31 Nigeria (Muslims) 15 China 27 Japan 89 No, haven’t heard 71 63 80 63 11 Don’t know/ Refused 6=100 7=101 6=101 11=101 0=100 ASK IF HEARD ABOUT RIOTS (Q32=1) Q.33 Regardless of how you feel about the riots, were you sympathetic to the youths from immigrant and working class suburbs in France who felt frustrated by their place in French society, or not? 24 Yes, No, sympathetic not sympathetic United States 48 44 Great Britain (GP) 62 26 Great Britain (Muslims) 75 17 France (GP) 46 54 France (Muslims) 63 36 Germany (GP) 64 32 Germany (Muslims) 53 38 Spain (GP) 37 57 Spain (Muslims) 63 30 Russia 57 34 Don’t know/ Refused 8=100 12=100 8=100 *=100 *=99 4=100 9=100 6=100 6=99 10=101 (N) (N=704) (N=650) (N=257) (N=905) (N=400) (N=815) (N=355) (N=731) (N=280) (N=674) ASK ALL: Q.34 Have you heard about the dispute about the publication of cartoons with the image of the prophet Muhammad? Yes, No, Don’t know/ Refused have heard haven’t heard United States 65 34 1=100 Great Britain (GP) 88 12 0=100 Great Britain (Muslims) 96 4 0=100 France (GP) 86 14 0=100 France (Muslims) 93 7 0=100 Germany (GP) 91 9 0=100 Germany (Muslims) 96 4 0=100 Spain (GP) 84 15 1=100 Spain (Muslims) 80 19 1=100 Russia 71 26 3=100 Egypt 98 2 *=100 Turkey 89 8 3=100 Indonesia 75 21 4=100 India 44 42 14=100 Pakistan 87 8 5=100 Jordan 99 1 *=100 Nigeria (GP) 79 19 2=100 Nigeria (Christians) 69 27 4=100 Nigeria (Muslims) 91 8 1=100 China 23 67 10=100 Japan 64 36 *=100 24 In France, this question was asked of all respondents. T-37 ASK IF HEARD OF MUHAMMAD CARTOON (Q34=1): Q.35 How did you first hear about this controversy? (READ) From a friend/ On the On From a family radio television newspaper member United States 11 63 12 5 Great Britain (GP) 20 55 20 3 Great Britain (Muslims) 7 56 14 15 France (GP) 23 59 12 3 France (Muslims) 7 65 12 9 Germany (GP) 15 59 17 3 Germany (Muslims) 5 73 9 8 Spain (GP) 2 57 30 8 Spain (Muslims) 1 54 17 18 Russia 9 85 4 1 Egypt 10 64 4 17 Turkey 1 96 2 1 Indonesia 1 89 3 6 India 3 67 25 4 Pakistan 12 43 13 29 Jordan 6 57 10 21 Nigeria (GP) 32 21 5 38 Nigeria (Christians) 18 35 11 34 Nigeria (Muslims) 44 10 1 40 In your church/ mosque * * 1 * 2 0 * 0 6 0 2 * 1 1 2 2 3 0 5 Internet/ website 7 1 4 2 5 4 4 3 3 1 2 1 * 0 * 2 1 1 * Other (VOL) 1 * 2 0 * 1 * * 1 * 1 0 * * 1 1 0 0 0 DK/Ref (N) 1=100 (N=704) 1=100 (N=820) 1=100 (N=395) *=100 (N=804) 0=100 (N=372) 1=100 (N=865) *=99 (N=401) *=100 (N=806) 0=100 (N=321) 1=101 (N=707) 0=100 (N=922) 0=101 (N=899) 0=100 (N=760) *=100 (N=914) *=100 (N=1151) 0=99 (N=987) *=100 (N=791) 0=99 (N=356) *=100 (N=425) ASK IF HEARD OF MUHAMMAD CARTOON (Q34=1): Q.36 What is more to blame for this controversy, Western nations’ disrespect for the Islamic religion, or Muslims’ intolerance to different points of view? Western disrespect United States 20 Great Britain (GP) 19 Great Britain (Muslims) 73 France (GP) 28 France (Muslims) 79 Germany (GP) 26 Germany (Muslims) 71 Spain (GP) 21 Spain (Muslims) 80 Russia 30 Egypt 87 Turkey 84 Indonesia 86 India 53 Jordan 90 Nigeria (GP) 55 Nigeria (Christians) 22 Nigeria (Muslims) 81 Muslim Both intolerance (VOL) 60 9 59 13 9 8 67 3 19 2 62 4 15 7 53 22 5 11 34 19 3 4 8 5 5 6 33 7 4 2 32 11 63 11 6 12 T-38 Neither (VOL) 3 3 5 1 1 2 4 2 1 4 4 1 1 3 2 1 2 * Don’t know/ Refused 8=100 6=100 5=100 1=100 1=102 6=100 4=101 2=100 2=99 13=100 1=99 2=100 2=100 5=101 2=100 1=100 2=100 1=100 (N) (N=704) (N=820) (N=395) (N=804) (N=372) (N=865) (N=401) (N=806) (N=321) (N=707) (N=922) (N=899) (N=760) (N=914) (N=987) (N=791) (N=356) (N=425) ASK IF HEARD OF MUHAMMAD CARTOON (Q34=1): Q.37 Regardless of how you feel about the protests, were you sympathetic to Muslims who were offended by these cartoons, or not? Yes, sympathetic United States 42 Great Britain (GP) 52 Great Britain (Muslims) 92 France (GP) 38 France (Muslims) 82 Germany (GP) 44 Germany (Muslims) 61 Spain (GP) 17 Spain (Muslims) 84 Russia 44 Egypt 98 Turkey 80 Indonesia 96 India 61 Pakistan 96 Jordan 99 Nigeria (GP) 67 Nigeria (Christians) 36 Nigeria (Muslims) 93 No, not sympathetic 54 43 6 62 18 54 33 79 12 42 1 14 3 36 3 1 32 63 7 Don’t know/ Refused 4=100 6=101 2=100 *=100 *=100 2=100 6=100 4=100 5=101 14=100 1=100 6=100 1=100 4=101 1=100 *=100 1=100 2=101 1=101 (N) (N=704) (N=820) (N=395) (N=804) (N=372) (N=865) (N=401) (N=806) (N=321) (N=707) (N=922) (N=899) (N=760) (N=914) (N=1151) (N=987) (N=791) (N=356) (N=425) ASK MUSLIMS ONLY: Q.38 On a different subject, do you believe that groups of Arabs carried out the attacks against the United States (the World Trade Center and the Pentagon) on September 11 (2001) or don’t you believe this? 25 Great Britain (Muslims) France (Muslims) Germany (Muslims) Spain (Muslims) Egypt Turkey Gallup, 2002 Indonesia Gallup, 2002 Pakistan Gallup, 2002 Jordan Nigeria 25 Believe 17 48 35 33 32 16 46 16 20 15 4 39 42 Do not believe 56 46 44 35 59 59 43 65 75 41 86 53 47 Don’t know/ Refused 27=100 6=100 21=100 32=100 9=100 25=100 11=100 20=101 5=100 44=100 10=100 8=100 11=100 In 2002, the question wording was “According to news reports, groups of Arabs carried out the attacks against the USA on September 11. Do you believe this to be true or not?” T-39 ASK MUSLIMS ONLY: Q.39 Now I’m going to read you a list of individuals and organizations. Please tell me which one of these you trust the most to offer you guidance as a Muslim. [READ LIST] your local Imam or sheik, national religious leaders in (survey country), religious leaders on television, Imams and institutions outside our country, such as al-Azhar or the Saudi Imams of Mecca and Medina. Local Imam or sheik Great Britain (Muslims) 42 France (Muslims) 26 Germany (Muslims) 18 Spain (Muslims) 26 Egypt 29 Turkey 27 Indonesia 60 Pakistan 46 Jordan 25 Nigeria 64 National religious leaders 4 18 25 5 30 37 30 19 24 13 Religious Imams and leaders institutions on television outside 4 28 6 31 3 12 4 30 22 16 6 7 3 4 6 11 25 26 3 11 None (VOL) 16 19 32 30 3 16 2 7 0 9 DK/Ref 6=100 1=101 10=100 6=101 *=100 8=101 1=100 11=100 *=100 *=100 ASK MUSLIMS ONLY: Q.39b Which one of these do you trust the second most to offer you guidance as a Muslim. [READ LIST] your local Imam or sheik, national religious leaders in (survey country), religious leaders on television, Imams and institutions outside our country, such as al-Azhar or the Saudi Imams of Mecca and Medina. Local Imam or sheik Egypt 15 Turkey 27 Indonesia 23 Pakistan 14 Jordan 28 Nigeria 20 National religious leaders 21 21 45 28 19 26 Religious leaders Imams and on television institutions outside DK/Ref 29 26 9=100 7 7 38=100 20 6 6=100 12 10 36=100 19 30 4=100 13 20 21=100 ASK ALL: Q.40 Now I’m going to read a list of political leaders. For each, tell me how much confidence you have in each leader to do the right thing regarding world affairs– a lot of confidence, some confidence, not too much confidence, or no confidence at all? 26 [ITEM d NOT ASKED IN U.S.] A lot of confidence a. No Some Not too much confidence confidence confidence at all Don’t know/ Refused French President Jacques Chirac United States May, 2005 May, 2003 Great Britain (GP) May, 2005 May, 2003 Great Britain (Muslims) 26 3 3 3 5 5 6 3 28 32 23 32 43 24 21 23 25 28 28 27 27 19 24 21 33 29 17 39 45 23=101 19=100 13=100 6=100 8=100 4=100 12=100 In 2001 response categories were “A great deal, a fair amount, not too much or none at all.” T-40 Q.40 CONTINUED… A lot of confidence France (GP) 14 May, 2005 13 May, 2003 21 August, 2001 16 France (Muslims) 22 Germany (GP) 14 May, 2005 24 May, 2003 34 Germany (Muslims) 7 Spain (GP) 3 May, 2005 4 May, 2003 12 Spain (Muslims) 12 Russia 9 May, 2005 10 May, 2003 4 Egypt 14 Turkey 1 May, 2005 1 May, 2003 2 Indonesia 5 May, 2005 4 May, 2003 4 India 5 May, 2005 8 Pakistan 3 May, 2005 5 May, 2003 4 Jordan 15 May, 2005 17 May, 2003 18 Nigeria (GP) 9 May, 2003 18 Nigeria (Christians) 13 May, 2003 24 Nigeria (Muslims) 4 May, 2003 12 China 6 Japan 3 b. No Some Not too much confidence confidence confidence at all 42 25 19 52 21 14 54 14 10 50 23 9 50 14 14 53 22 8 56 11 4 50 11 3 28 15 36 23 36 25 36 36 17 39 19 22 30 26 21 35 24 8 47 17 3 38 23 7 33 27 20 4 7 65 9 13 53 9 13 55 25 27 9 25 26 4 32 34 12 24 13 16 22 12 8 10 9 31 7 19 29 18 6 29 36 25 24 39 22 21 43 24 14 28 22 15 27 28 13 34 14 7 29 28 6 22 30 25 25 27 19 37 17 2 53 32 4 Don’t know/ Refused 0=100 *=100 *=99 2=100 *=100 3=100 5=100 1=99 14=100 13=99 7=100 8=100 11=101 23=99 24=101 28=100 7=101 23=100 24=100 20=99 35=101 41=100 18=100 41=99 51=101 47=100 39=99 43=100 1=101 1=100 1=100 26=100 15=101 32=100 13=100 19=100 17=100 39=101 8=100 U.S. President George W. Bush United States 22 May, 2005 34 May, 2003 49 Great Britain (GP) 4 May, 2005 9 May, 2003 16 August, 2001 4 Great Britain (Muslims) 1 28 28 29 26 29 35 26 5 T-41 19 19 11 26 27 25 36 8 29 17 9 42 33 22 28 80 2=100 2=100 2=100 2=100 2=100 1=99 6=100 6=100 Q.40 CONTINUED… A lot of confidence France (GP) 2 May, 2005 5 May, 2003 3 August, 2001 2 France (Muslims) 2 Germany (GP) 3 May, 2005 8 May, 2003 8 August, 2001 3 Germany (Muslims) 1 Spain (GP) 2 May, 2005 4 May, 2003 9 Spain (Muslims) 1 Russia 5 May, 2005 4 May, 2003 1 Egypt 1 Turkey * May, 2005 2 May, 2003 1 Indonesia 4 May, 2005 3 May, 2003 2 India 14 May, 2005 20 Pakistan 1 May, 2005 2 May, 2003 1 Jordan * May, 2005 * May, 2003 * Nigeria (GP) 26 May, 2003 31 Nigeria (Christians) 45 May, 2003 52 Nigeria (Muslims) 6 May, 2003 13 China 6 Japan 5 c. No Some Not too much confidence confidence confidence at all 13 23 62 20 27 48 17 28 51 18 43 32 4 10 84 22 26 46 22 34 35 25 28 38 48 27 19 13 10 69 5 19 71 14 33 47 17 15 56 1 10 85 16 33 32 24 40 17 7 27 54 7 21 70 3 4 80 6 8 75 7 8 80 16 35 39 17 48 25 6 27 63 42 16 19 34 19 12 9 11 54 8 19 47 4 3 81 7 29 64 1 25 75 1 3 96 26 22 22 19 15 32 37 9 4 24 13 8 13 36 43 15 17 54 28 29 8 27 43 25 Don’t know/ Refused 0=100 *=100 *=99 5=100 *=100 2=99 1=100 1=100 3=100 7=100 3=100 2=100 4=101 4=101 14=100 16=101 11=100 1=100 14=101 9=100 4=100 6=100 7=100 2=100 9=100 15=100 27=102 23=99 11=100 *=100 0=101 0=100 4=100 3=100 6=101 3=100 2=100 2=101 29=100 1=101 British Prime Minister Tony Blair United States May, 2005 May, 2003 Great Britain (GP) May, 2005 May, 2003 August, 2001 Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) May, 2005 25 29 51 11 20 28 14 5 5 8 41 44 32 47 40 43 46 26 39 42 T-42 13 11 4 20 20 15 23 16 33 32 8 7 5 20 20 13 16 47 23 18 13=100 9=100 8=100 1=99 1=101 1=100 1=100 6=100 0=100 *=100 Q.40 CONTINUED… A lot of confidence May, 2003 3 France (Muslims) 3 Germany (GP) 8 May, 2005 9 May, 2003 10 Germany (Muslims) 2 Spain (GP) 2 May, 2005 4 May, 2003 11 Spain (Muslims) * Russia 5 May, 2005 5 May, 2003 1 Egypt 1 Turkey * May, 2005 2 May, 2003 1 Indonesia 4 May, 2005 4 May, 2003 1 India 10 May, 2005 15 Pakistan 1 May, 2005 2 May, 2003 1 Jordan * May, 2005 * May, 2003 * Nigeria (GP) 18 May, 2003 26 Nigeria (Christians) 30 May, 2003 41 Nigeria (Muslims) 5 May, 2003 12 China 4 Japan 6 d. Some confidence 37 20 43 43 44 27 17 24 32 2 26 32 16 5 7 12 8 19 23 10 31 32 5 5 5 4 3 1 28 24 40 32 14 16 30 52 No Not too much confidence Don’t know/ confidence at all Refused 33 26 *=99 21 54 1=99 32 13 3=99 31 13 4=100 30 14 2=100 14 46 11=100 33 41 6=99 42 26 4=100 18 33 6=100 14 77 7=100 29 13 27=100 29 7 27=100 21 30 33=101 26 66 2=100 6 68 19=100 12 56 18=100 8 73 9=99 37 24 16=100 32 12 30=101 35 45 8=99 17 19 23=100 14 11 28=100 12 44 38=100 20 37 35=99 3 70 21=100 38 57 1=100 32 64 1=100 9 90 0=100 24 19 11=100 20 25 6=101 12 3 15=100 18 4 5=100 38 38 5=100 22 44 6=100 26 4 35=99 33 5 4=100 Osama bin Laden Great Britain (GP) May, 2005 May, 2003 Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) May, 2005 May, 2003 France (Muslims) Germany (GP) May, 2005 May, 2003 Germany (Muslims) 1 1 1 4 * * 0 3 * 1 0 3 1 1 3 10 * 1 2 2 1 * 1 4 T-43 4 4 3 11 3 5 3 8 2 6 1 2 89 92 91 57 96 93 95 85 93 91 95 81 5=100 2=100 2=100 18=100 1=100 1=100 *=100 2=100 4=100 3=101 2=99 10=100 Q.40 CONTINUED… A lot of confidence Spain (GP) 0 May, 2005 * May, 2003 1 Spain (Muslims) 8 Russia 2 May, 2005 1 May, 2003 * Egypt 4 Turkey 1 May, 2005 3 May, 2003 7 Indonesia 4 May, 2005 8 May, 2003 19 India 0 May, 2005 3 Pakistan 17 May, 2005 29 May, 2003 24 Jordan * May, 2005 25 May, 2003 38 Nigeria (GP) 17 May, 2003 19 Nigeria (Christians) 4 May, 2003 7 Nigeria (Muslims) 33 May, 2003 30 China 2 Japan 0 e. Some confidence 2 1 1 8 6 2 3 22 3 4 8 29 27 39 0 4 21 22 21 24 35 17 16 9 6 3 28 14 11 2 No Not too much confidence Don’t know/ confidence at all Refused 5 89 3=99 6 91 2=100 3 91 4=100 13 62 10=101 17 58 17=100 11 69 16=99 5 71 21=100 42 29 3=100 4 75 17=100 6 73 14=100 7 67 11=100 33 19 14=99 27 10 27=99 26 10 7=100 12 77 11=100 7 72 14=100 10 20 32=100 11 12 26=100 7 20 28=100 44 30 2=100 20 18 2=100 26 18 1=100 10 48 8=99 12 50 10=100 9 71 10=100 6 74 10=100 11 22 6=100 17 28 10=99 25 25 37=100 13 82 3=100 Russian President Vladimir Putin United States 3 May, 2003 2 Great Britain (GP) 3 May, 2003 10 August, 2001 1 Great Britain (Muslims) 2 France (GP) 2 May, 2003 5 August, 2001 2 France (Muslims) 3 Germany (GP) 5 May, 2003 24 August, 2001 4 Germany (Muslims) 3 Spain (GP) 1 May, 2003 5 Spain (Muslims) 2 Russia 27 May, 2003 28 30 38 30 43 25 13 22 43 12 18 45 51 37 29 9 26 11 48 48 T-44 26 28 27 23 35 15 34 27 39 17 29 18 31 11 31 24 24 13 19 19 19 24 13 22 46 43 25 38 60 17 6 24 43 46 33 46 4 3 22=100 13=100 16=100 10=99 17=100 24=100 1=102 1=101 9=100 2=100 4=100 1=100 4=100 14=100 13=100 13=101 17=100 8=100 1=99 Q.40 CONTINUED… A lot of confidence Egypt 1 Turkey 1 Indonesia 2 India 11 Pakistan 1 Jordan 2 Nigeria (GP) 4 May, 2003 11 Nigeria (Christians) 6 May, 2003 13 Nigeria (Muslims) 3 May, 2003 9 China 13 Japan 2 f. No Not too much confidence Don’t know/ confidence at all Refused 47 25 9=100 6 62 22=99 29 11 38=99 14 14 36=100 11 31 51=100 45 33 8=100 28 16 29=99 29 12 21=100 23 12 36=100 32 8 19=100 34 21 21=100 26 17 23=100 16 2 32=100 44 11 5=100 German Chancellor Angela Merkel United States Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia Turkey g. Some confidence 18 8 19 25 6 12 22 27 23 28 21 25 37 38 5 6 1 12 13 34 11 5 4 9 1 33 45 16 68 47 43 37 32 22 31 10 14 15 12 12 16 13 12 19 18 18 6 11 11 36 7 22 9 31 19 23 5 58 39=102 23=100 35=100 1=100 3=101 1=100 9=100 25=100 33=100 37=100 25=100 14 30 11 15 11 19 3 18 12 21 19 39 17 18 27 11 44 21 15 28 23 18 10 16 22 26 42 8 19 8 43 16 20 13 39 21 57 52 60 43 53 29 18 25 41 4 17 27 21 34 7 24=100 24=100 4=100 4=100 10=100 23=100 27=100 18=99 42=101 7=100 26=100 29=100 44=101 9=101 23=100 33=100 11=100 Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia Egypt Turkey Indonesia Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) 2 10 * 6 * 5 1 12 3 5 6 9 15 4 13 2 25 T-45 Q.40 CONTINUED… A lot of confidence h. Some confidence No Not too much confidence Don’t know/ confidence at all Refused Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf ASK MUSLIMS ONLY: Great Britain (Muslims) France (Muslims) German (Muslims) Spain (Muslims) 16 4 9 6 34 22 28 15 15 24 12 15 27 44 22 43 8=100 6=100 30=101 20=100 ASK OF ALL: Egypt Turkey Indonesia India Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) 3 13 7 4 43 3 8 3 13 21 24 33 18 30 26 23 12 35 35 7 20 19 7 40 25 25 26 33 29 4 49 14 25 18 24 12 9=101 27=100 36=100 10=100 7=101 6=100 26=100 36=100 14=100 i. Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak ASK MUSLIMS ONLY: Great Britain (Muslims) France (Muslims) German (Muslims) Spain (Muslims) 6 9 6 10 26 34 29 22 14 21 11 15 30 34 21 39 25=101 2=100 33=100 15=101 ASKED OF ALL: Egypt Turkey Indonesia Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) 49 9 11 9 13 10 6 15 37 24 42 17 26 30 20 41 11 8 19 8 41 24 25 22 3 32 5 18 18 12 17 8 1=101 28=101 23=100 48=100 3=101 24=100 32=100 14=100 9 5 6 * 30 32 18 25 18 25 16 53 7 8 21 18 36=100 30=100 39=100 4=100 19 13 28 30 7 17 30 8 26=100 40=100 32=100 1=100 j. Chinese President Hu Jintao Russia Indonesia India Japan k. Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi Indonesia India China Japan 7 8 1 13 41 22 9 48 T-46 Q.40 CONTINUED… A lot of confidence l. No Some Not too much confidence confidence confidence at all Don’t know/ Refused Liberian President Ellen Johnson Sirleaf Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) m. 7 9 5 27 34 20 32 23 42 14 10 18 20=100 24=100 15=100 36 26 47 27 25 30 28 39 16 2=100 2=100 2=101 Nigerian President Olusegun Obasanjo Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) Q.41 7 8 6 How much of a danger is the (INSERT) and world peace? A great danger, moderate danger, small danger, or no danger at all? A great danger a. Moderate danger Small danger No danger at all 36 39 44 38 40 45 25 39 38 29 30 40 40 41 30 24 32 16 25 12 18 21 14 14 14 27 25 21 10 8 12 11 15 15 13 18 15 35 29 40 37 19 14 24 14 12 22 15 21 16 20 27 19 15 13 26 29 18 7 11 5 5 4 2 6 6 19 5 9 11 15 3 3 5 14 10 8 21 19 30 26 26 20 30 31 27 20 17 19 38 Don’t know/ Refused Current government in North Korea to stability in Asia United States May, 2003 Nov., 2002 Great Britain (GP) May, 2003 Nov., 2002 Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) May, 2003 Nov., 2002 France (Muslims) Germany (GP) May, 2003 Nov., 2002 Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) May, 2003 Spain (Muslims) Russia May, 2003 Nov., 2002 Egypt Turkey May, 2003 Nov., 2002 Indonesia May, 2003 India Pakistan May, 2003 34 38 21 19 31 13 17 16 18 10 14 23 37 16 12 21 16 11 10 6 7 14 6 7 9 4 14 6 8 4 T-47 13=100 7=100 16=100 26=100 10=100 18=100 24=100 4=99 6=100 10=100 4=100 16=101 6=100 14=100 31=101 33=100 22=100 37=101 26=101 36=100 29=100 12=100 41=100 34=100 33=100 17=101 11=99 38=100 56=100 39=100 Q.41 CONTINUED... Jordan May, 2003 Nigeria (GP) May, 2003 Nigeria (Christians) May, 2003 Nigeria (Muslims) May, 2003 China Japan b. A great danger 18 15 11 18 15 22 6 15 11 46 Moderate danger 24 23 17 18 19 22 16 15 36 28 Small danger 34 24 23 21 18 19 30 23 16 14 No danger at all 21 20 15 25 9 19 23 31 7 9 34 45 41 36 43 44 25 47 37 37 33 34 47 40 28 26 31 23 32 9 20 20 19 17 20 29 18 21 12 6 25 10 23 17 23 19 23 15 28 41 8 16 10 13 24 14 15 18 39 32 27 8 22 23 10 12 27 17 18 15 18 36 16 16 14 23 27 20 10 6 33 36 22 20 19 19 26 21 15 22 3 5 3 3 10 8 23 3 9 9 20 2 6 4 15 6 11 22 8 35 20 25 22 34 32 29 36 15 27 51 23 30 17 27 7 17 29 35 3 4 Don’t know/ Refused 3=100 19=101 33=99 17=99 39=100 18=100 25=100 16=100 31=101 3=100 Current government in Iran to stability in the Middle East United States May, 2003 Nov., 2002 Great Britain (GP) May, 2003 Nov., 2002 Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) May, 2003 Nov., 2002 France (Muslims) Germany (GP) May, 2003 Nov., 2002 Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) May, 2003 Spain (Muslims) Russia May, 2003 Nov., 2002 Egypt Turkey May, 2003 Nov., 2002 Indonesia May, 2003 India Pakistan May, 2003 Jordan May, 2003 Nigeria (GP) May, 2003 Nigeria (Christians) May, 2003 Nigeria (Muslims) May, 2003 China Japan 46 26 33 34 11 24 23 31 11 17 19 51 18 24 29 38 11 17 20 8 12 14 16 11 14 7 9 8 4 3 19 6 15 24 20 31 9 17 22 29 T-48 9=100 8=100 13=100 14=100 12=100 10=100 14=100 1=100 4=100 5=100 1=100 5=100 8=101 9=100 18=100 18=100 20=100 22=101 22=100 33=100 30=100 4=99 27=100 22=100 20=100 13=101 10=100 36=100 47=100 34=100 1=101 18=100 23=100 13=101 32=101 14=100 13=100 12=100 33=101 5=101 Q.41 CONTINUED... c. Moderate danger Small danger No Don’t know/ danger at all Refused 31 41 66 36 56 40 51 56 67 45 56 60 31 15 28 58 25 15 37 31 29 39 40 20 48 35 42 20 22 16 27 32 12 46 22 11 36 27 25 29 25 40 14 11 2 14 6 13 5 7 3 11 9 4 12 17 9 5 23 24 22 9 21 9 3 3 2 2 3 12 4 4 3 3 4 5 14 8 1 10 16 5 4 6 7=100 5=100 9=100 0=100 1=100 2=100 12=100 11=100 9=99 15=101 1=101 20=100 6=100 32=100 45=101 *=100 15=100 20=100 7=100 31=100 4=100 43 45 66 35 49 51 45 52 53 41 68 42 33 13 22 67 27 22 33 27 40 36 35 17 51 38 38 24 26 26 28 25 26 44 18 15 28 27 28 26 27 37 8 10 5 12 9 7 11 7 4 9 5 7 12 17 9 5 21 16 26 9 14 3 1 2 2 3 1 4 2 5 5 2 4 5 14 8 1 6 9 5 3 3 10=100 9=100 10=100 0=100 1=100 4=101 15=99 14=101 12=100 17=100 1=101 21=100 6=100 38=100 46=100 0=101 19=100 25=100 10=100 34=100 6=100 American presence in Iraq to stability in the Middle East United States Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia Egypt Turkey Indonesia India Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China Japan d. A great danger Israeli-Palestinian conflict to stability in the Middle East United States Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslim) France (GP) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia Egypt Turkey Indonesia India Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China Japan T-49 ASK ALL: Q.42 Now I will read a list of some things that have happened in the world recently. For each one, please tell me if you’ve heard of it or not. The first is [INSERT ITEM]. Have you heard of it or not? a. Never heard of it Don’t know/ Refused 83 84 81 82 82 91 81 73 74 69 93 68 55 50 37 96 56 53 60 37 83 17 16 19 18 19 9 17 25 22 29 6 29 41 38 45 4 40 41 37 54 17 *=100 1=101 0=100 0=100 0=101 0=100 1=99 2=100 3=99 2=100 1=100 3=100 4=100 12=100 18=100 *=100 4=100 6=100 3=100 9=100 0=100 58 67 72 83 83 85 69 68 78 52 98 56 31 21 20 97 27 28 27 27 75 41 32 28 17 17 14 29 30 18 45 1 38 60 59 60 3 66 63 68 62 24 1=100 1=100 0=100 0=100 0=100 *=99 2=100 2=100 4=100 3=100 1=100 7=101 9=100 19=99 20=100 *=100 7=100 9=100 5=100 11=100 1=100 The dispute about Iran’s nuclear program United States Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia Egypt Turkey Indonesia India Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China Japan b. Heard of it The Hamas Party’s victory in the Palestinian elections United States Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia Egypt Turkey Indonesia India Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China Japan T-50 Q.42 CONTINUED... c. Never heard of it Don’t know/ Refused 76 90 80 88 84 98 83 90 77 58 80 68 28 23 21 79 22 27 18 38 88 23 10 19 12 16 2 16 9 19 40 19 26 62 57 56 21 71 65 77 52 12 1=100 0=100 *=99 0=100 0=100 0=100 1=100 1=100 4=100 2=100 1=100 6=100 10=100 20=100 24=101 *=100 7=100 8=100 5=100 9=99 *=100 69 73 84 63 59 66 56 55 51 38 39 54 31 60 85 54 39 47 31 31 60 30 26 15 37 41 31 41 43 43 58 60 41 60 29 9 45 55 46 64 59 40 1=100 1=100 1=100 0=100 0=100 2=99 3=100 2=100 6=100 4=100 2=101 5=100 9=100 11=100 6=100 1=100 6=100 7=100 5=100 10=100 *=100 Reports about abuses in American run prisons at Abu Ghraib, Guantanamo and elsewhere United States Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia Egypt Turkey Indonesia India Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China Japan d. Heard of it U.S. aid to Pakistan following the October earthquake United States Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia Egypt Turkey Indonesia India Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China Japan T-51 Q.42 CONTINUED... e. Never heard of it Don’t know/ Refused 92 97 95 100 100 100 99 99 85 98 96 97 99 99 82 98 98 98 99 93 99 8 3 5 * 1 * 1 1 14 2 4 1 1 * 10 2 2 3 1 5 1 *=100 0=100 0=100 0=100 0=101 0=100 1=101 *=100 1=100 1=101 0=100 1=99 *=100 1=100 8=100 *=100 0=100 0=101 0=100 2=100 0=100 91 100 85 97 88 95 76 93 75 80 47 75 35 57 12 48 42 57 26 78 99 9 1 15 3 12 5 22 6 21 17 51 22 57 34 60 47 54 38 71 19 1 *=100 0=101 0=100 0=100 0=100 *=100 2=100 1=100 4=100 3=100 2=100 3=100 8=100 9=100 28=100 5=100 4=100 5=100 3=100 4=101 0=100 The disease called bird flu found in many countries around the world United States Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia Egypt Turkey Indonesia India Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China Japan f. Heard of it The environmental problem of global warming United States Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia Egypt Turkey Indonesia India Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China Japan T-52 Q.42 CONTINUED... Heard of it g. Never heard of it Don’t know/ Refused The debate over an Arab-owned company possibly running U.S. ports Egypt Turkey Indonesia Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) 45 24 10 8 36 20 25 15 53 69 78 63 59 74 68 81 2=100 7=100 12=100 29=100 5=100 6=100 7=100 5=101 ASK IF HEARD OF DEBATE OVER ARAB RUN PORTS (Q42g=1): Q.43 Do you think that American opposition to a Dubai company managing several U.S. ports reflects reasonable concerns about terrorism or does it reflect prejudice against Arabs? 27 Reasonable concerns Egypt 13 Turkey 26 Indonesia 38 Pakistan 15 Jordan 23 Nigeria (GP) 51 Nigeria (Christians) 66 Prejudice against Arabs 69 64 58 63 72 40 26 Other (VOL) 18 1 0 0 2 1 1 Don’t know/ Refused *=100 9=100 4=100 22=100 3=100 9=101 8=101 (N) (N=414) (N=246) (N=109) (N=133) (N=365) (N=199) (N=128) ASK ALL: Q.44 Overall, do you think the war with Iraq that removed Saddam Hussein from power made the world a safer place or a more dangerous place? Safer place United States 51 May, 2005 49 Great Britain (GP) 30 May, 2005 39 Great Britain (Muslims) 11 France (GP) 20 May, 2005 23 France (Muslims) 17 Germany (GP) 21 May, 2005 28 Germany (Muslims) 16 Spain (GP) 7 May, 2005 13 Spain (Muslims) 4 Russia 17 May, 2005 17 Egypt 10 27 More dangerous No change place (VOL) 37 4 40 5 60 4 47 8 76 4 76 3 70 6 81 2 66 7 58 9 70 3 68 17 68 14 79 12 44 25 49 24 70 15 Due to the small sample size data are not reported for Nigerian Muslims. T-53 Don’t know/ Refused 8=100 6=100 7=101 6=100 9=100 1=100 2=101 1=101 6=100 6=101 11=100 8=100 5=100 5=100 14=100 10=100 5=100 Q.44 CONTINUED... Turkey May, 2005 Indonesia May, 2005 Pakistan May, 2005 India May, 2005 Jordan May, 2005 Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China May, 2005 Japan Safer place 8 14 12 13 11 9 41 45 16 26 41 53 27 8 8 26 More dangerous No change place (VOL) 70 9 59 14 54 27 50 24 52 6 53 11 34 12 26 15 74 10 66 7 32 16 19 14 46 19 44 14 57 19 61 5 Don’t know/ Refused 13=100 13=100 7=100 13=100 31=100 27=100 13=100 14=100 *=100 1=100 12=101 14=100 8=100 34=100 16=100 8=100 ASK ALL: Q.45 Regardless of what you think about the original decision to use military force in Iraq, do you now believe that efforts to establish a stable democratic government in Iraq will definitely succeed, probably succeed, probably fail, or definitely fail? Definitely succeed United States 9 March, 2006 10 February, 2006 16 January, 2006 14 December, 2005 16 Late Oct, 2005 12 July, 2005 17 Great Britain (GP) 2 Great Britain (Muslims) 4 France (GP) 3 France (Muslims) 3 Germany (GP) 2 Germany (Muslims) 9 Spain (GP) 2 Spain (Muslims) 4 Russia 3 Egypt 1 Turkey 2 Indonesia 3 India 23 Pakistan 11 Jordan 2 Nigeria (GP) 23 Nigeria (Christian) 23 Nigeria (Muslims) 24 China 2 Japan 2 Probably succeed 45 39 39 42 41 44 43 50 20 40 26 31 21 16 13 14 31 15 30 36 27 32 49 56 40 17 36 T-54 Probably fail 31 33 28 26 28 29 25 35 30 40 33 52 30 45 30 38 38 22 36 13 10 37 12 6 19 34 51 Definitely Don’t know/ fail Refused 8 7=100 10 8=100 11 6=100 8 10=100 9 6=100 8 7=100 8 7=100 8 5=100 34 12=100 17 *=100 37 1=100 12 4=101 29 12=101 23 14=100 34 18=100 20 25=100 25 6=101 42 19=100 16 15=100 6 22=100 14 38=100 29 2=102 6 10=100 2 13=100 11 6=100 7 40=100 4 7=100 Q.46 Now thinking about the dispute between Israel and the Palestinians, which side do you sympathize with more, Israel or the Palestinians? Both Neither Don’t know/ Palestinians (VOL) (VOL) Refused Israel United States 48 13 4 14 21=100 March, 2004 46 12 8 15 19=99 Mid-July, 2003 41 13 8 18 20=100 April, 2002 41 13 6 21 19=100 Mid-Oct., 2001 47 10 8 18 17=100 Early Sept., 2001 40 17 6 23 14=100 Sept. 1997 48 13 5 16 18=100 Sept. 1993 45 21 3 18 12=100 Chicago CFR 1990 34 13 7 26 20=100 Chicago CFR 1978 38 12 8 15 13=100 Great Britain (GP) 24 29 5 22 19=99 March, 2004 22 28 15 18 17=100 April, 2002 17 28 11 23 21=100 Great Britain (Muslims) 3 75 4 8 10=100 France (GP) 38 38 9 12 4=101 March, 2004 20 28 11 30 11=100 April, 2002 19 36 8 25 12=100 France (Muslims) 6 78 8 7 2=101 Germany (GP) 37 18 4 31 11=101 March, 2004 24 24 7 32 12=99 April, 2002 24 26 4 33 13=100 Germany (Muslims) 14 50 4 22 10=100 Spain (GP) 9 32 16 34 9=100 Spain (Muslims) 2 75 7 11 4=99 Russia 21 16 12 37 14=100 March, 2004 23 14 15 34 14=100 Egypt 2 97 1 * *=100 Turkey 5 63 2 16 14=100 March, 2004 6 63 4 16 11=100 Indonesia 4 72 5 12 7=100 India 20 22 19 11 27=99 Pakistan 6 59 7 6 23=101 March, 2004 1 81 1 2 14=99 Jordan 1 97 1 1 *=100 March, 2004 1 93 * 4 2=100 Nigeria (GP) 29 35 18 6 12=100 Nigeria (Christians) 47 12 16 10 15=100 Nigeria (Muslims) 10 61 19 2 8=100 China 7 23 12 15 42=99 Japan 25 23 8 29 16=101 ASK IF HEARD ABOUT HAMAS WINNING THE ELECTION (Q42b=1): Q.47 Do you think it will be good or bad for the Palestinian people that Hamas won the election in January? United States Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Good 20 32 56 24 44 11 32 Bad 50 34 18 69 46 71 37 T-55 Don’t know/ Refused 30=100 34=100 26=100 7=100 10=100 17=99 32=101 (N) (N=644) (N=622) (N=294) (N=748) (N=332) (N=719) (N=284) Q.47 CONTINUED... Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia Egypt Turkey Indonesia India Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) Bad 47 22 32 13 23 23 30 4 16 39 55 21 Good 28 57 24 76 44 61 48 87 68 47 31 64 Don’t know/ Refused 25=100 21=100 44=100 11=100 33=100 16=100 22=100 9=100 16=100 14=100 14=100 15=100 (N) (N=705) (N=315) (N=518) (N=918) (N=567) (N=310) (N=452) (N=303) (N=969) (N=273) (N=145) (N=126) ASK IF HEARD ABOUT HAMAS WINNING THE ELECTION (Q42b=1): Q.48 Do you think that Hamas winning the election will be helpful or harmful to a FAIR settlement of the dispute between Israel and the Palestinians? Harmful 57 50 29 70 55 67 48 52 29 41 20 34 27 37 8 22 42 56 27 Helpful United States 15 Great Britain (GP) 24 Great Britain (Muslims) 41 France (GP) 27 France (Muslims) 38 Germany (GP) 18 Germany (Muslims) 26 Spain (GP) 23 Spain (Muslims) 45 Russia 25 Egypt 66 Turkey 31 Indonesia 57 India 42 Pakistan 77 Jordan 57 Nigeria (GP) 41 Nigeria (Christians) 30 Nigeria (Muslims) 53 Don’t know/ Refused 28=100 26=100 30=100 3=100 7=100 14=99 27=101 25=100 26=100 34=100 15=101 35=100 16=100 21=100 15=100 21=100 17=100 14=100 20=100 (N) (N=644) (N=622) (N=294) (N=748) (N=332) (N=719) (N=284) (N=705) (N=315) (N=518) (N=918) (N=567) (N=310) (N=452) (N=303) (N=969) (N=273) (N=145) (N=126) ASK ALL: Q.49 Should countries that now do not have nuclear weapons be stopped from developing them, or don’t you think so? United States Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Yes, should be stopped 74 77 43 85 69 91 70 84 56 T-56 No, should not be stopped 19 17 47 15 30 7 24 10 28 Don’t know/ Refused 8=101 7=101 10=100 *=100 1=100 2=100 6=100 6=100 16=100 Q.49 CONTINUED... Russia Egypt Turkey Indonesia India Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China Japan Yes, should be stopped 73 41 58 61 51 31 32 65 74 55 49 87 No, should not be stopped 19 44 26 30 35 50 53 30 20 41 22 10 Don’t know/ Refused 8=100 14=99 16=100 10=101 14=100 19=100 16=101 5=100 6=100 4=100 29=100 3=100 ASK IF HEARD ABOUT IRAN NUCLEAR CONTROVERSY (Q42a=1): Q.50 Why do you think Iran wants to have a nuclear program to develop nuclear weapons, or to develop nuclear energy? Weapons United States 72 Great Britain (GP) 49 Great Britain (Muslims) 19 France (GP) 74 France (Muslims) 46 Germany (GP) 71 Germany (Muslims) 39 Spain (GP) 65 Spain (Muslims) 38 Russia 44 Egypt 30 Turkey 38 Indonesia 33 India 40 Pakistan 26 Jordan 38 Nigeria (GP) 53 Nigeria (Christians) 62 Nigeria (Muslims) 45 China 36 Japan 72 Energy 9 21 47 20 49 16 33 10 24 20 32 21 44 37 30 24 23 11 34 25 16 Both (VOL) 10 14 14 5 3 7 14 14 15 27 28 28 18 13 23 28 16 20 11 19 8 Don’t know/ Refused 9=100 17=101 20=100 1=100 2=100 7=101 14=100 11=100 23=100 10=101 9=99 13=100 4=99 10=100 21=100 10=100 8=100 7=100 10=100 20=100 4=100 ASK ALL: Q.51 Would you favor or oppose Iran acquiring nuclear weapons? United States Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Russia Favor 3 5 40 7 29 3 14 11 Oppose 92 89 41 92 71 97 78 82 T-57 Don’t know/ Refused 5=100 6=100 19=100 *=99 1=101 1=101 9=101 8=101 (N) (N=864) (N=749) (N=331) (N=740) (N=326) (N=814) (N=347) (N=716) (N=299) (N=688) (N=870) (N=684) (N=563) (N=1044) (N=552) (N=960) (N=559) (N=274) (N=279) (N=850) (N=436) Q.51 CONTINUED... Favor 44 23 30 25 52 45 28 15 42 18 4 Egypt Turkey Indonesia India Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China Japan Oppose 42 61 59 59 15 42 66 79 51 52 95 Don’t know/ Refused 14=100 16=100 11=100 16=100 32=99 12=99 7=101 7=101 7=100 29=99 1=100 ASK ALL: Q.52 If Iran were to develop nuclear weapons, do you think they would be likely to [INSERT ITEM, RANDOMIZE] or not? Would Iran be likely to [NEXT ITEM], or not? Yes, likely a. Don’t know/ Refused 63 66 48 27 48 33 53 34 66 34 46 43 48 50 36 19 51 55 60 49 34 36 27 26 38 56 52 65 44 56 21 45 38 40 31 36 41 40 39 32 22 44 38 56 10=100 8=100 14=100 17=100 *=100 1=99 4=101 10=100 13=100 22=101 16=100 17=100 22=101 13=99 24=101 41=100 10=100 13=100 18=100 7=100 28=100 8=100 74 72 53 31 63 42 13 16 21 47 36 57 13=100 12=100 27=101 22=100 1=100 1=100 Attack the U.S. or European nations United States February, 2006 Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia Egypt Turkey Indonesia India Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China Japan b. No, not likely Attack Israel United States February, 2006 Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) France (Muslims) T-58 Q.52 CONTINUED... Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia Egypt Turkey Indonesia India Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China Japan c. No, not likely 26 44 22 39 40 28 24 34 35 45 27 38 26 52 36 46 Don’t know/ Refused 9=100 20=100 18=100 24=100 23=100 12=101 25=100 17=100 30=100 42=100 8=100 17=100 21=101 12=100 34=101 11=100 80 82 64 20 78 51 71 38 62 25 53 17 36 23 33 7 19 49 65 30 29 52 11 11 18 54 22 49 24 47 21 48 29 67 35 57 41 49 65 36 19 56 38 38 9=100 7=100 18=100 26=100 *=100 1=101 6=101 16=101 17=100 27=100 18=100 16=100 28=99 20=100 26=100 44=100 17=101 15=100 16=100 14=100 33=100 11=101 60 40 16 51 32 40 29 40 15 27 41 70 48 68 55 57 41 67 12=99 19=100 14=100 1=100 1=101 6=101 14=100 19=100 18=100 Provide nuclear weapons to terrorist organizations United States February, 2006 Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia Egypt Turkey Indonesia India Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China Japan d. Yes, likely 65 36 60 37 37 61 51 49 35 13 65 45 54 36 31 43 Attack another Muslim country United States Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) T-59 Q. 52 CONTINUED… Russia Egypt Turkey Indonesia India Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China Japan e. Yes, likely 26 15 29 11 24 9 20 15 21 8 20 39 No, not likely 54 77 46 79 51 51 73 71 56 88 43 50 Don’t know/ Refused 19=99 8=100 25=100 10=100 26=101 41=101 7=100 14=100 23=100 4=100 37=100 11=100 63 46 15 45 27 58 32 53 19 14 36 23 13 36 11 24 53 54 52 16 68 13=100 17=100 20=101 1=100 1=101 7=100 16=101 14=100 22=100 13=99 7=100 22=100 7=100 21=100 34=100 9=100 10=100 13=100 7=100 29=100 7=100 Use them for defensive purposes only United States Great Britain (GP) Great Britain (Muslims) France (GP) France (Muslims) Germany (GP) Germany (Muslims) Spain (GP) Spain (Muslims) Russia Egypt Turkey Indonesia India Pakistan Jordan Nigeria (GP) Nigeria (Christians) Nigeria (Muslims) China Japan 24 37 66 54 73 35 53 33 59 72 57 55 80 43 55 67 37 33 41 55 25 ASK IF HEARD ABOUT BIRD FLU (Q42e=1): Q.53 As you may know, people in several countries around the world have died from a disease known as bird flu. How worried are you that you or someone in your family will be exposed to bird flu – very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried or not worried at all? 28 United States May, 2003 Great Britain (GP) May, 2003 28 Very worried 13 9 9 12 Somewhat worried 31 28 21 24 Not too worried 29 29 34 30 Already Not at all exposed Don’t know/ worried (VOL) Refused (N) 26 0 1=100 (N=932) 34 0 *=100 35 0 1=100 (N=490) 34 0 *=100 In 2003 Question: “As you may know, people in several countries in Asia and Canada have recently died from a new disease known as Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome, or SARS. How worried are you that you or someone in your family will be exposed to SARS - very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried or not worried at all? Asked of half sample in United States.” T-60 Q. 53 CONTINUED… Very worried France (GP) 13 May, 2003 14 Germany (GP) 10 May, 2003 23 Spain (GP) 27 May, 2003 43 Russia 56 May, 2003 59 Egypt 35 Turkey 20 May, 2003 49 Indonesia 65 May, 2003 50 India 57 Pakistan 54 May, 2003 34 Jordan 37 May, 2003 25 Nigeria (GP) 57 May, 2003 82 Nigeria (Christians) 55 May, 2003 86 Nigeria (Muslims) 59 May, 2003 78 China 23 Japan 29 Somewhat worried 21 38 23 23 29 28 25 24 46 16 27 22 30 23 22 25 35 36 22 8 21 6 24 10 35 39 Not too worried 35 27 27 28 22 15 13 11 18 16 9 11 14 9 7 10 17 26 10 4 11 2 9 5 27 24 Already Not at all exposed worried (VOL) 31 0 20 0 40 0 27 0 21 0 13 0 6 0 4 0 * 1 46 0 11 0 2 0 4 0 10 * 14 1 20 0 6 6 11 0 10 * 5 0 12 * 4 0 8 0 6 0 14 * 8 0 Don’t know/ Refused (N) 0=100 (N=901) 0=99 0=100 (N=501) *=101 2=101 (N=904) *=99 1=101 (N=975) 2=100 0=100 (N=899) 1=99 (N=987) 3=99 0=100 (N=1012) 2=100 1=100 (N=2005) 2=100 (N=1078) 11=100 0=101 (N=976) 2=100 1=100 (N=983) 1=100 1=100 (N=501) 2=100 *=100 (N=464) 1=100 1=100 (N=2036) 0=100 (N=497) ASK IF HEARD ABOUT GLOBAL WARMING (Q42f=1): Q.54 How much do you personally worry about global warming – a great deal, a fair amount, only a little, or not at all? A great deal United States 19 Great Britain (GP) 26 France (GP) 46 Germany (GP) 30 Spain (GP) 51 Russia 34 Egypt 24 Turkey 41 Indonesia 28 India 65 Pakistan 31 Jordan 26 Nigeria (GP) 45 Nigeria (Christians) 45 Nigeria (Muslims) 47 China 20 Japan 66 A fair amount 34 41 41 34 34 31 51 29 48 20 25 40 33 33 31 41 27 T-61 Only a little 26 25 12 29 12 24 20 14 21 10 32 28 16 16 16 29 6 Not at all 21 7 2 7 2 10 3 9 2 3 7 6 4 4 4 8 1 Don’t know/ Refused 1=101 1=100 0=100 1=101 2=101 *=99 1=100 8=101 1=100 2=100 5=100 *=100 2=100 2=100 2=100 2=100 0=100 (N) (N=932) (N=498) (N=843) (N=486) (N=836) (N=803) (N=439) (N=757) (N=352) (N=1163) (N=211) (N=479) (N=420) (N=294) (N=121) (N=1698) (N=495) ASK ALL: Q.55 What country in the world, if any, represents the greatest danger to (survey country)? [ACCEPT ONE ANSWER ONLY] China Russia 12 China 0 Japan 39 Iran 4 * * Iraq 3 0 0 N. Korea Pakistan 2 0 * 1 35 * Russia 0 1 * US 39 58 18 Japan Taiwan Other 2 0 3 22 3 2 0 0 2 DK/ Refused 34=99 13=100 5=99 ASK ALL: Q.56 Do you think China will replace the U.S. as the world’s leading superpower in the next 10 years, the next 20 years, the next 50 years, or do you think China will not replace the U.S. as the world’s leading superpower? United States Russia India China Japan Next 10 years 11 10 32 4 7 Next 20 years 22 17 24 13 19 Next 50 years 10 13 9 20 13 Will not replace 47 45 24 34 59 Don’t know/ Refused 9=99 15=100 12=101 29=100 3=101 ASK THE CHINESE ABOUT ‘JAPAN’ AND THE JAPANESE ABOUT ‘CHINA’: Q.57 Now thinking about (China or Japan), all things considered, which of these descriptions comes closest to your view of (China or Japan) today. Do you think (China or Japan) is an adversary, a serious problem BUT NOT an adversary, OR not much of a problem? China Japan An adversary 33 31 A serious problem 34 53 Not much of a problem 16 15 Don’t know/ Refused 18=101 1=100 ASK ALL: Q.58 Overall do you think that China’s growing economy is a good thing or a bad thing for our country? Russia May 2005 India May 2005 China May 2005 Japan Q.59 Good thing 48 46 40 53 95 89 68 Bad thing 39 40 50 36 2 4 28 Don’t know/ Refused 13=100 14=100 10=100 10=99 2=99 7=100 4=100 And overall do you think that China’s growing military power is a good thing or a bad thing for our country? Don’t know/ Bad thing Refused Good thing Russia 12 76 12=100 India 26 63 11=100 China 95 3 2=99 Japan 3 93 3=100 T-62 Q.60 Thinking about Korea, do you think the two Koreas will be reunified in the near future? China Japan Q.61 No, not reunified 26 71 Don’t know/ Refused 35=100 4=100 Overall, do you think that Japan has apologized sufficiently for its military actions during the 1930s and 1940s, that Japan has not apologized sufficiently, or do you think no apology is necessary? China Japan Q.62 Yes, reunified 39 25 Yes, sufficiently No, not apologized sufficient apology 3 81 40 44 No apology necessary 4 14 Don’t know/ Refused 12=100 2=100 Japanese Prime Minister Koizumi has visited and paid tribute at the Yasukuni Shrine every year since taking office. Do you support or oppose PM Koizumi’s visit to the Yasukuni Shrine? China Japan Support 4 52 Oppose 78 45 Don’t know/ Refused 18=100 3=100 Q.63 Do you favor or oppose changing article nine of the Japanese constitution so that Japan could officially have a military and could declare war? Don’t know/ Oppose Refused Favor Japan 27 67 6=100 Q.64 Do you favor or oppose changing the Imperial Household Act so that a female could succeed to the imperial throne? Don’t know/ Oppose Refused Favor Japan 76 19 5=100 Q.65 In general, do you think (survey country’s) parents put too much pressure on their children to do well in school, not enough pressure, or about the right amount of pressure? United States India China Japan Too much pressure 15 61 63 59 Not enough pressure 56 22 11 9 T-63 Right amount of pressure 24 15 20 30 Don’t know/ Refused 4=99 2=100 7=101 2=100 Q.66 a. b. c. Now thinking about other issues, please tell me whether you completely agree, mostly agree, mostly disagree or completely disagree with the following statements. Completely agree Our people are not perfect, but our culture is superior to others China 26 Summer, 2002 21 Japan 23 Summer, 2002 29 Mostly agree Mostly disagree 49 45 60 44 18 22 16 22 3 7 1 3 4=100 5=100 *=100 2=100 22 27 30 20 47 37 48 43 22 23 20 30 3 8 1 5 6=100 5=100 1=100 2=100 Most people have a better life now, even though some are rich and some are still poor China 21 56 17 5 2=100 Our way of life needs to be protected against foreign influence China Summer, 2002 Japan Summer, 2002 Q.67 As you may know, the 2008 Summer Olympics will be held in China. Do you think this will be a good thing or a bad thing for China? China Q.68 Bad thing 1 Don’t know/ Refused 2=100 Help 93 Hurt 1 No impact 3 Don’t know/ Refused 3=100 Overall, do you think we are paying too much attention to the Olympics, not enough attention, or just the right amount of attention? China Q.70 Good thing 97 Do you think the Olympics will help China’s image around the world, hurt China’s image around the world, or will the Olympics have no impact on China’s image? China Q.69 Completely Don’t know/ disagree Refused Too much 25 Not enough 21 Right amount 43 Don’t know/ Refused 11=100 Do you think relations between (survey country) and the US have been improved in recent years, or don’t you think so? No, have Don’t know/ not improved Refused Yes, improved India 70 20 10=100 Pakistan 49 20 30=99 T-64 ASK IF THINKS RELATIONS HAVE IMPROVED (Q.70=1): Q.71 Is this a good thing or a bad thing? India Pakistan Good thing 91 82 Bad thing 5 10 Neither (VOL) 3 5 Don’t know/ Refused 1=100 2=99 (N) (N=1422) (N=662) ASK ALL IN PAKISTAN ABOUT ‘INDIA’ AND ASK ALL IN INDIA ABOUT ‘PAKISTAN’: Q.72 Now thinking about (Pakistan/India), do you think relations between (Pakistan/India) and the US have improved in recent years, or don’t you think so? India Pakistan Yes, improved 40 43 No, have not improved 41 16 Don’t know/ Refused 19=100 42=101 ASK IF THINKS RELATIONS HAVE IMPROVED (Q.72=1): Q.73 Is this a good thing or a bad thing? India Pakistan Good thing 64 50 Bad thing 31 41 Neither (VOL) 3 6 Don’t know/ Refused (N) 1=99 (N=807) 2=99 (N=610) ASK ALL: Q.74 Have you heard about the agreement between the US and India concerning India’s nuclear technology? Yes, have No, have Don’t know/ not heard Refused heard India 62 28 10=100 Pakistan 25 33 42=100 ASK IF HAVE HEARD OF INDIA AGREEMENT (Q74=1): Q.75 Do you support or oppose the recent agreement between the US and India accepting India’s status as a country with nuclear weapons? Don’t know/ Oppose Refused (N) Support India 75 22 4=101 (N=1285) Pakistan 20 73 7=100 (N=386) T-65 a PewResearchCenter project CONFLICTING VIEWS IN A DIVIDED WORLD 2006 1615 L Street, NW, Suite 700 Washington, DC 20036 t 202.419.4350 f 202.419.4399 www.pewglobal.org © The Pew Research Center How Global Publics View: Muslim-Western Relations Global Issues U.S. Role in the World Asian Rivalries a PewResearchCenter project a PewResearchCenter project CONFLICTING VIEWS IN A DIVIDED WORLD 2006 How Global Publics View: Muslim-Western Relations Global Issues U.S. Role in the World Asian Rivalries 1615 L Street, NW, Suite 700 Washington, DC 20036 t 202.419.4350 f 202.419.4399 www.pewglobal.org