Forecasting 2020 U.S. County and MSA Populations April 2006 ABSTRACT Population growth at the county level can be predicted using widely available demographic and economic data. Past recent growth, the presence of immigrants, the fraction of population older than 25 and younger than 65, low taxes, and good weather are all positively associated with population growth. Our forecasts reveal that most growth and real estate development will occur in the West, Sunbelt, and along the Southern I-85 route. However, our model only accounts for 75 percent of the variance in growth experiences between 1980 and 2000, with the other 25 percent explained by “surprise” events. Many unexpected places will be winners or losers in the game of future local real estate development. A companion spreadsheet of our population predictions at the county level (metropolitan counties) can be found following the last page of this working paper. Peter Linneman The Wharton School University of Pennsylvania Real Estate Department 1470 Steinberg Hall-Dietrich Hall 3620 Locust Walk Philadelphia, PA 19104-6302 linnemap@wharton.upenn.edu Albert Saiz The Wharton School University of Pennsylvania Real Estate Department 1466 Steinberg Hall-Dietrich Hall 3620 Locust Walk Philadelphia, PA 19104-6302 saiz@wharton.upenn.edu Whether using explicit statistical models, recent information on the evolution of local markets, conversations with friends, the latest headlines in the local newspaper, or gut feelings, real estate entrepreneurs are constantly guessing the future demand for their product. Population growth is associated with increased residential demand, increased demand in the office and distribution sectors, and more shoppers to patronize local retail. In short, population growth drives real estate development opportunities. We examine the key statistical determinants of population growth in U.S. metropolitan counties, identifying characteristics that are important predictors of subsequent population growth. From our statistical analysis we gain a better understanding of the conceptual underpinnings of the population growth across U.S. metropolitan counties during the last 30 years. In addition to learning what makes cities “tick,” we are also able to make predictions of population growth for all metropolitan counties in the U.S. It is perilous to predict the future. However, our model accurately describes the population growth that took place from 1980 to 2000, and past growth forecasts future growth relatively accurately. We therefore believe that our estimates for 2000-2020 population growth will prove to be not too far off the mark. Nevertheless, our statistical work fails to account for about a quarter of all the variation in county population growth. That is, growth surprises do occur, and in some cases they matter a lot. In the 1950s, who would have predicted that Benton County, Arkansas, would emerge as the center of the biggest commercial empire in world history? Spurred by the phenomenal growth of Wal-Mart, Benton County makes the Census list of top 70 counties by population growth. The point is that our statistical analysis cannot predict who the next Sam Walton will be, and where he or she will be based. 2 POPULATION GROWTH 1980-2000 Regression analysis allows us to identify some of the key variables that predict future population growth. We explore a variety of variables at the county level. Examples include demographic variables (such as the percentage of individuals older than 65), fiscal variables (such as taxes) and geographic factors (such as local weather and elevation). These variables have predictive power for several reasons. First, they capture attributes of an area that cause it to grow economically, and therefore attract employees. Firm productivity varies across locales for several reasons: the skills and education of their population; accessibility to markets and transportation nodes; the impact of local public finances (taxes and expenditures); and agglomeration economies. The latter refers to firms becoming more productive if they locate closer to similar firms, enabling them to share information, infrastructures, and a pool of relevant workers, and to reduce the transportation costs of their common input and output transactions. Other variables predict how attractive an area is for prospective inhabitants due to local amenities. Research by Edward Glaeser, Jed Kolko, and Albert Saiz (2001) demonstrates that cities are becoming as important in terms of consumption as they used to be in terms of traditional productivity. The capacity to generate and retain amenities adds considerably to the appeal of a city. Some cities will attract high-income residents with varied shopping experiences, proximity to attractive activities, good schools, and a strong social milieu that is conductive to both work and play. The attraction to a city on the basis of its physical and social environment represents a major paradigm shift; whereas people formerly followed jobs, jobs now also follow workers. Thanks to information and ethnic networks, people tend to move to areas where they have social contacts. Thus, metropolitan areas with large immigrant populations, for example, tend to attract yet more immigrants. In addition, the characteristics of the population of a county can predict population growth for simple biological reasons: younger populations tend to be more fertile, while the elderly experience higher mortality rates. Finally, some variables are good predictors of 3 population growth even though they are difficult to measure: a vibrant lifestyle, an openness to entrepreneurs, a good climate, and so on. This study focuses on “metropolitan counties” as defined by the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) in 2000. These are counties that belong to OMB-defined metropolitan areas which are major population centers. We limit ourselves to the continental U.S., excluding Hawaii, Alaska and Puerto Rico. The 804 counties that we examine in our analysis represent 76 percent of all U.S. population in 2000. The U.S. population has grown by about 10 percent every decade since 1970, and is predicted to continue doing so through 2020. In the 2000, the population was estimated to be 282 million, and by 2020 it is expected to grow to 336 million. This means that Population (Millions of People) Figure 1. US Population, 1970 - 2020 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Year between 2000 and 2020 the population will increase by a staggering 53.7 million. Where will these people live? Our statistical model addresses this question by analyzing county population growth across all metropolitan counties between 1980 and 2000. The focus is on long term urban population growth. Whereas most of the previous research on city growth has focused on percentage population growth, we use a more relevant growth metric that recognizes that in very small counties, growth rates can be extremely high although the actual number of new people moving into the area is very 4 small. We calculate the share of county population as a percentage of total U.S. population, and use the change in that share between 1980 and 2000 in our statistical analysis. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first time this particular variable has been used in the context of long term growth. Since this measure is relative to the total size of the population, we combine our regression results with Census projections of future population growth to forecast local growth. Table I shows the results of a regression analysis of the change in total population share 1980-2000 as a function of a number of county characteristics in 1980. The dependent variable in the regressions is multiplied by 10,000 so that our regression coefficients do not display an inordinate number of decimal positions. Table I presents the results, including a variable that has high forecasting power: the “population market share capture” of the county during the period 1970-1980 (growth in the recent past). Thus, we find that recent past growth forecasts future growth. This regression accounts for 75 percent of the variability in county growth. Our model is rich in specification, including 26 local economic, demographic, political, climatologic, geological, and housing variables. We will focus primarily on describing the impacts of the variables that are most statistically significant, although we will comment on a few variables that we expected to be more important. We begin by noting the importance of recent growth. Our results confirm this result of previous research that used data from different countries, and different geographic definitions (for example, city level forecasts), population growth definitions, and time periods. Everyone (including us) finds that even after controlling for a variety of other variables population growth is extremely persistent; absent other information, the best way to predict a county’s population growth is to look at how much it grew in the past decade. It appears that the forces that shape an area’s attractiveness have persistent impacts. 5 TABLE I US Metropolitan County Growth Model US Population Share Change 1980-2000 Share Foreign Born in 1980 % with bachelor's degree or higher in 1980 % with less than a high school diploma in 1980 % White in 1980 % over 65 years old in 1980 % under 25 years old in 1980 Income Tax per capita / Income per capita in 1980 Sales Tax per capita / Income per capita in 1980 Log Population Density in 1980 Log Density Squared in 1980 Presidential Election Vote Over 55% Republican in 1980 Presidential Election Vote Below 45% Republican in 1980 All State Senators Republican in 1980 All State Senators Democrat in 1980 Log Average Precipitation Log Average Snowfall Log January Average Temperature Log Average January Sun Days Share Housing Older than 30 years Share Housing Newer than 11 years =1 if county borders an ocean or a Great Lake Hills or Mountains in County Northeast South West US Population Share Change 1970-1980 Constant 12.621* -0.132 -0.188 0.184 -10.873* -9.035* 34.189 -23.86* 0.512 -0.050 -0.193 0.317* -0.407 -0.195 -0.681 -0.238 0.282 1.101* 3.040* 5.206* -0.684* -0.079 -0.349 -0.357 0.351* 1.026* -2.011 Observations R-squared 805 0.76 Robust standard errors in parentheses *Significant at 10% Immigration has become a primary driver of population growth. In the 1960s, most Americans claimed European or African ancestry, and the number of foreign-born households was relatively low. Between now and 2050, immigrants and their offspring will account for about half of the total growth in U.S. population, and Americans of European and African origin will become primi inter pares in a country of Mexican-Americans, Chinese-Americans, Korean-Americans, Indian-Americans, Filipino-Americans, and many others. 6 It is obvious that immigration will be a key element of county-level growth, but can we forecast where immigrants will settle? The answer to the question is a qualified yes. Immigrants tend to concentrate wherever previous immigrants have settled. Kinship ties, shared language, and the existence of common amenities and public goods, make “immigrant enclaves” attractive to subsequent immigrants. Thus, a county’s share of the foreign-born in 1980 was an important predictor of population growth from 1980-2000. And so it will be in the future. Previous research by Edward Glaeser and Albert Saiz (2003) has shown that during the last century local educational achievement has been an important explanatory factor for population growth in cities. In short, smart cities grow faster. We find the same to be true at the county level. Specifically, counties with lower shares of high-school dropouts grew more quickly. However, education is a weaker predictor of county growth than metropolitan growth, especially when one includes previous growth trends. This means that education has an important long-run impact, but that short-term changes in education levels are not powerful predictors of short-term changes in growth patterns. Metropolitan areas with highly educated individuals are more productive, allowing them to pay higher wages, which attracts population inflows. On the other hand, highly educated populations are typically more effective in curtailing local residential development at the local level, and may be a counter influence on population growth. The age distribution of the population is another predictor of future growth, that is, very young and very old populations tend to grow more slowly. Specifically, we find that population growth is negatively related to both the share of people younger than 25, and older than 65, reflecting the fact that households in their prime earning years are typically older than 25, and younger than 65. Moreover, areas with a major proportion of older residents are less attractive to younger generations. Tax rates are not uniform for different municipalities. We use data from the Census of Governments on local taxation (municipal and county) to create two measures of fiscal burden, income taxes and the sales tax. Furthermore, since different individuals typically face different tax 7 rates depending on their location, income, and type of business, we use total tax revenues per capita divided by income per capita to measure a county’s tax burden. A high degree of taxation may make a county less attractive to taxpayers and entrepreneurs. On the other hand, higher tax revenues may be associated with a better public schools and public services. Our statistical analysis reveals that the local sales tax burden is generally associated with slower population growth. Since all tax measures are strongly associated, we tentatively conclude that higher taxation discourages local growth. We suspect, however, that the efficiency of local government in spending sensibly, and government efficiency in providing key public services are also important. Studying the factors that are associated with local mismanagement or good government remains a topic for future research. We find that population density also matters, although in a complex way. Counties with very low densities tended to grow more slowly. But above a certain threshold, higher density is associated with slower growth. This threshold population density corresponds with a median county density of 60 persons per square mile. Therefore, density increases growth up to about 60 people per square mile, after which amenity levels drop and population growth diminishes. The impact of demography on politics is a hotly debated topic by political scientists and media pundits. Observations on the growth of “red” states and the demise of “blue” states are commonplace. If we run our analysis with politics as the only variable, we find that Republicandominated counties (based upon presidential and senatorial election data from early 1980s) do tend to grow faster. However, this can be explained by other variables. Republican-dominated counties were already rapidly growing, so it is possible that the new rapidly growing areas are attracting individuals with a more libertarian or conservative outlook. Moreover, many of the metropolitan areas in “red” states have geographic attributes that are associated with growth. When we control for these other factors, we find that political orientation is not strongly associated with growth. There is a weak link, however, between the 1980 presidential results and subsequent county growth. Almost half of the counties in our sample of 804 metropolitan counties had between 45 - 55 percent support for Ronald Reagan. A number of counties were more polarized, with more than a 55 percent share 8 for either Reagan (about 40 percent) or Carter (about 12 percent). These strongly Democratic counties grew significantly faster during the 1980-2000 period, controlling for a host of other variables. It is unclear why. Some of the most powerful predictors of county population growth during our sample years are weather-related. Briefly put, Americans are rapidly leaving cold, damp, and snowy areas for sunnier and drier climates. Both a West regional indicator and “good weather” variables are strong predictors of population growth. All of the weather variables (snowfall, precipitation, temperature, and sun days) are interrelated, with the number of sun days in January being the variable that comes out more strongly in our analysis. In short, people are moving to “the bright side.” We speculate that there may be a geopolitical economic shift from the Atlantic to the Pacific area, motivated by changing trade links and the emergence of China and India as global powerhouses. The impact of globalization on population growth remains an understudied topic for future exploration. The age distribution of the county’s housing stock also has some predictive power, confirming previous research by Edward Glaeser and Joseph Gyourko (2005). Areas with large amounts of new housing have three important attributes that favor growth: they are favorably inclined to development; they have a large recent demand relative to pre-existing housing; and their housing stock is more in line with modern housing preferences. Interestingly, there is some (weak) evidence that having a very old housing stock is mildly correlated with relatively faster growth than would otherwise be the case. The very old housing stock that has survived was generally built for high-income families, hence are of good quality. Since declining cities such as New Orleans, Detroit, and Buffalo have massive and valuable housing stocks, reduced housing demand translated into lower housing prices, and made these cities a bit less unattractive. All things equal, areas with older housing stocks experienced slower decline than expected. Counties that are adjacent to the coastlines of the Atlantic, Pacific, and Great Lakes, tend to grow more slowly than inland counties. Coastal areas in the west and northeast often have restrictive zoning, which raises prices and discourages growth. However, there appears to be no relationship 9 between the altitude of a county and its growth. This is a somewhat surprising findings, as mountain areas are generally popular. A LOOK AT 2020 Combining county characteristics with our statistical growth model and Census projections of total population in 2020, we obtain county and MSA population forecasts for 2020. Table II details the counties which are the biggest projected population losers. Also displayed are their MSAs, our estimate of population losses (expressed in both levels and as a percentage of the 2000 population), our estimate of population levels in 2020, and previous population gains or losses over the 19802000 period. Due to the fact that we used the change in the shares of the total population, 5 counties display negative population predictions for 2020, which we replace by zero. Our expectations for these counties are bleak, notwithstanding the fact that we do not know exactly what number of people will actually be living there. Baltimore has the dubious honor of being ranked the biggest loser by 2020. That city (which is also a county) is forecast to lose about 100,000 residents, or about 15 percent of its year 2000 population. Most other counties that we expect to decline are in the Rustbelt. Interestingly, 10 percent (5 out of 50) of the bottom counties are in the New Orleans metropolitan area. (And this is without factoring in the impact of Katrina.) In other words, New Orleans was the rare case of a Sunbelt area that was losing population like a Rustbelt area. According to research by Donald Davis and David Weinstein (2002), who used data from the bombing of Japanese cities during World War II, the impact of major disasters on a city’s population growth tends to dissipate over time. Remarkably, they found that the cities that lost more population during the war grew faster after, and their populations after 20 years were at the point that one would have predicted by looking at pre-War growth trends. Thus, we are very pessimistic about New Orleans’ growth over the next 20 years, irrespective of what aid flows to this area. 10 Table III displays the “winners” in terms of forecasted county growth. Big counties in major metropolitan areas tend to dominate. Insofar as the U.S. population is growing, and the share of population captured by a county is not declining too quickly, big counties are expected to grow because of general population growth trends. However, Table III also captures the massive expected growth of relatively new areas, such as Maricopa County, the top county in terms of expected population growth in 2020. It is apparent that most of the big growth counties are in the West, the Sunbelt, and the Southern I-85 corridor linking Atlanta with Raleigh, N.C. Our results reveal that prospective real estate developers had better buy a good pair of sunglasses and some sunblock. 11 TABLE II Biggest Population Loss Counties (2020 Forecast) Forecast: Population in 2020 Loss as Percentage of 2000 Population Population Loss/Gain 2000-1980 -137,751 Rank County Name Metropolitan Area Population Loss 20202000 1 Baltimore Baltimore, MD -91,607 556,950 -14.1% 2 Oswego Syracuse, NY -62,809 59,728 -51.3% 8,762 3 Herkimer Utica-Rome, NY -59,174 5,217 -91.9% -2,272 4 Cayuga Syracuse, NY -56,550 25,388 -69.0% 1,986 5 Chautauqua Jamestown, NY -49,891 89,698 -35.7% -7,372 6 Allegheny Pittsburgh, PA -48,588 1,231,395 -3.8% -168,271 7 Cambria Johnstown, PA -48,233 103,997 -31.7% -30,756 8 St. Charles New Orleans, LA -48,196 0 -100% 10,713 9 Terrebonne Houma, LA -47,720 56,804 -45.7% 9,541 10 St. Bernard New Orleans, LA -47,531 19,484 -70.9% 2,620 11 Lafourche Houma, LA -41,959 47,996 -46.6% 6,621 12 Erie Buffalo-Niagara Falls, NY -40,544 908,823 -4.3% -64,847 13 St. John the Baptist New Orleans, LA -39,592 3,547 -91.8% 10,852 14 Grand Forks Grand Forks, ND-MN -38,635 27,233 -58.7% -403 15 Erie Erie, PA -38,486 242,201 -13.7% 644 16 Ashtabula Cleveland-Lorain-Elyria, OH -37,191 65,579 -36.2% -1,249 17 Somerset Johnstown, PA -36,894 43,131 -46.1% -1,261 18 Oneida Utica-Rome, NY -36,758 198,450 -15.6% -18,352 19 Madison Syracuse, NY -36,066 33,378 -51.9% 4,187 20 Belmont Wheeling, WV-OH -34,829 35,290 -49.7% -12,345 21 St. Louis St. Louis, MO-IL -33,793 312,975 -9.7% -104,344 22 Orleans Rochester, NY -33,150 11,028 -75.0% 5,652 23 Acadia Lafayette, LA -32,338 26,489 -55.0% 2,196 24 Mercer Sharon, PA -32,073 88,113 -26.7% -8,019 25 Ouachita Monroe, LA -31,782 115,441 -21.6% 7,569 26 Schoharie Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY -30,077 1,516 -95.2% 1,886 27 Webster Shreveport-Bossier City, LA -29,886 11,849 -71.6% -1,923 28 Rapides Alexandria, LA -28,461 97,952 -22.5% -9,009 29 Douglas Duluth-Superior, MN-WI -28,419 14,988 -65.5% -1,156 30 Livingston Rochester, NY -27,988 36,395 -43.5% 7,298 31 Plaquemines New Orleans, LA -26,746 0 -100% 645 32 Tioga Binghamton, NY -26,731 25,021 -51.7% 1,821 33 Ohio Wheeling, WV-OH -26,563 20,771 -56.1% -14,010 34 Columbia Scranton-Wilkes-Barre-Hazleton, PA -26,520 37,585 -41.4% 2,036 35 Strafford Boston-Worcester-Lawrence, MA-NH -26,439 86,241 -23.5% 26,746 36 Carroll Canton-Massillon, OH -26,412 2,467 -91.5% 3,288 37 Chemung Elmira, NY -25,628 65,413 -28.1% -6,402 38 Niagara Buffalo-Niagara Falls, NY -24,756 194,829 -11.3% -7,476 39 Calhoun Anniston, AL -24,576 86,764 -22.1% -8,676 40 Wayne Rochester, NY -24,492 69,276 -26.1% 8,996 41 Onondaga Syracuse, NY -24,414 434,030 -5.3% -5,288 42 Morton Bismarck, ND -24,052 1,273 -95.0% 99 43 Wayne Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH -23,953 18,958 -55.8% -3,136 44 Polk Grand Forks, ND-MN -23,628 7,752 -75.3% -3,423 45 Genesee Rochester, NY -23,423 36,901 -38.8% 828 46 Lawrence Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH -21,975 40,308 -35.3% -1,459 47 Sequoyah Fort Smith, AR-OK -21,946 17,114 -56.2% 8,282 48 Broome Binghamton, NY -21,465 178,829 -10.7% -13,414 49 Philadelphia Philadelphia, PA-NJ -21,309 1,492,375 -1.4% -171,750 50 St. James New Orleans, LA -21194 0 -100% -370 12 TABLE III Biggest Population Gain Counties (2020 Forecast) Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 County Name Maricopa Los Angeles Clark Harris Orange Miami-Dade Riverside Broward Dallas San Diego Queens Cook San Bernardino Santa Clara Tarrant Palm Beach Gwinnett Collin Orange Travis King Kings Alameda Hidalgo Wake Pima Bexar Contra Costa Mecklenburg Fulton Montgomery Hillsborough San Francisco Fresno Cobb Sacramento Denton Kern Bronx San Mateo El Paso Salt Lake Fort Bend Will Douglas Ventura San Joaquin Washington DeKalb Washoe Metropolitan Area Phoenix-Mesa, AZ Los Angeles-Long Beach, CA Las Vegas, NV-AZ Houston, TX Orange County, CA Miami, FL Riverside-San Bernardino, CA Fort Lauderdale, FL Dallas, TX San Diego, CA New York, NY Chicago, IL Riverside-San Bernardino, CA San Jose, CA Fort Worth-Arlington, TX West Palm Beach-Boca Raton, FL Atlanta, GA Dallas, TX Orlando, FL Austin-San Marcos, TX Seattle-Bellevue-Everett, WA New York, NY Oakland, CA McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill, NC Tucson, AZ San Antonio, TX Oakland, CA Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NC-SC Atlanta, GA Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL San Francisco, CA Fresno, CA Atlanta, GA Sacramento, CA Dallas, TX Bakersfield, CA New York, NY San Francisco, CA El Paso, TX Salt Lake City-Ogden, UT Houston, TX Chicago, IL Denver, CO Ventura, CA Stockton-Lodi, CA Portland-Vancouver, OR-WA Atlanta, GA Reno, NV Population Gain 20202000 1,547,026 1,414,155 1,120,793 958,645 853,954 722,061 681,484 677,134 642,464 634,780 610,051 604,597 569,074 497,900 480,496 466,127 443,177 438,551 433,910 424,739 424,664 413,431 412,117 396,458 392,122 380,615 374,932 358,894 349,854 331,074 326,464 321,649 315,630 315,146 307,450 302,821 301,085 297,696 297,217 292,084 285,652 284,412 283,281 279,533 277,818 269,157 268,931 266,919 262,934 259,487 Forecast: Population in 2020 4,643,369 11,000,000 2,513,962 4,373,626 3,710,400 2,982,303 2,241,310 2,309,574 2,867,806 3,459,858 2,840,947 5,981,749 2,288,002 2,184,374 1,934,957 1,601,782 1,039,634 938,606 1,336,228 1,244,583 2,163,580 2,879,690 1,862,524 970,381 1,025,270 1,229,259 1,772,749 1,312,457 1,050,071 1,148,117 1,204,245 1,324,731 1,092,232 1,117,160 920,222 1,532,860 739,896 961,370 1,631,465 1,000,422 967,352 1,185,036 642,237 787,760 458,222 1,025,782 837,094 715,361 931,246 600,804 Gain as Percentage of 2000 Population 50.0% 14.8% 80.4% 28.1% 29.9% 31.9% 43.7% 41.5% 28.9% 22.5% 27.3% 11.2% 33.1% 29.5% 33.0% 41.0% 74.3% 87.7% 48.1% 51.8% 24.4% 16.8% 28.4% 69.1% 61.9% 44.8% 26.8% 37.6% 50.0% 40.5% 37.2% 32.1% 40.6% 39.3% 50.2% 24.6% 68.6% 44.9% 22.3% 41.2% 41.9% 31.6% 78.9% 55.0% 154.0% 35.6% 47.3% 59.5% 39.3% 76.0% Population Gain 20001980 1,575,503 2,038,470 923,984 976,442 908,379 617,110 890,353 606,378 659,694 949,458 336,600 128,274 815,972 384,959 586,130 549,913 427,113 353,516 427,576 397,846 462,391 232,473 340,476 287,383 329,792 312,864 402,676 294,780 293,722 224,253 295,728 351,249 95,772 284,335 312,184 441,764 293,360 257,267 165,845 119,896 197,989 276,617 225,689 183,253 154,785 223,798 217,859 200,680 184,219 145,945 13 Figure 2: Map: Expected Population Growth in Metropolitan Counties 2000-2020 Bellingham, WA Seattle-Bellevue-Everett, WA Bremerton, WA Grand Forks, ND-MN Spokane, WA Duluth-Superior, MN-WI Great Falls, MT Olympia, WATacoma, WA Yakima, WA Richland-Kennewick-Pasco, WA Bismarck, ND Missoula, MT Portland-Vancouver, OR-WA Fargo-Moorhead, ND-MN Billings, MT St. Cloud, MN Bangor, ME Salem, OR Corvallis, OR Rapid City, SD Eugene-Springfield, OR Boise City, ID Casper, WY Pocatello, ID Medford-Ashland, OR Cheyenne, WY Redding, CA Salt Lake City-Ogden, UT Fort Collins-Loveland, CO Reno, NV Provo-Orem, UT Chico-Paradise, CA Yuba City, CASacramento, CA Santa Rosa, CAYolo, CA Vallejo-Fairfield-Napa, CA Stockton-Lodi, CA Oakland, CA Modesto, CA San Jose, CAMerced, CA Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CAFresno, CA Greeley, CO Boulder-Longmont, CO Denver, CO Grand Junction, CO Colorado Springs, CO Pueblo, CO Las Vegas, NV-AZ Flagstaff, AZ-UT Joplin, MOSpringfield, MO Enid, OK Salinas, CAVisalia-Tulare-Porterville, CA Santa Fe, NM Albuquerque, NM Bakersfield, CA San Luis Obispo-Atascadero-Paso Robles, CA Clarksville-Hopkinsville, TN-KY Nashville, TN Tulsa, OK Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR Jonesboro, AR Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News, VA-NC Greensboro-Winston-Salem-High Point, NC Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill, NC Knoxville, TNAsheville, NC Rocky Mount, NC Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NC-SCGreenville, NC Jackson, TN Memphis, TN-AR-MS Fort Smith, AR-OK Fayetteville, NC Greenville-Spartanburg-Anderson, SC Little Rock-North Little Rock, AR Florence, ALHuntsville, AL Jacksonville, NC Decatur, AL Pine Bluff, AR Florence, SCWilmington, NC Gadsden, ALAtlanta, GA Athens, GA Myrtle Beach, SC Sumter, SC Birmingham, ALAnniston, AL Lubbock, TX Wichita Falls, TX Sherman-Denison, TX Columbia, SC Texarkana, TX-Texarkana AR Augusta-Aiken, GA-SC Charleston-North Charleston, SC Tuscaloosa, AL Shreveport-Bossier City, LA Columbus, GA-AL Fort Worth-Arlington, TXLongview-Marshall, TX Auburn-Opelika, ALMacon, GA Monroe, LA Jackson, MS Dallas, TX Tyler, TX Abilene, TX Montgomery, AL Savannah, GA Odessa-Midland, TX Albany, GA Waco, TX San Angelo, TX Alexandria, LA Hattiesburg, MS Dothan, AL Killeen-Temple, TX Mobile, AL Pensacola, FLTallahassee, FL Bryan-College Station, TX Jacksonville, FL Lafayette, LA Biloxi-Gulfport-Pascagoula, MS Panama City, FL Lake Charles, LA Panama City, FL Austin-San Marcos, TXHouston, TXBeaumont-Port Arthur, TX New Orleans, LA Gainesville, FL San Antonio, TX Houma, LA Ocala, FLDaytona Beach, FL Brazoria, TX Victoria, TX Melbourne-Titusville-Palm Bay, FL Melbourne-Titusville-Palm Bay, FL Corpus Christi, TX Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FLOrlando, FL Laredo, TX Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL Sarasota-Bradenton, FL Punta Gorda, FLFort Pierce-Port St. Lucie, FL West Palm Beach-Boca Raton, FL McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX Naples, FLFort Lauderdale, FL Brownsville-Harlingen-San Benito, TX Amarillo, TX Oklahoma City, OK Lawton, OK Ventura, CA Los Angeles-Long Beach, CA Riverside-San Bernardino, CA Orange County, CA Phoenix-Mesa, AZ San Diego, CA Yuma, AZ Tucson, AZ Las Cruces, NM El Paso, TX Population Gain Burlington, VT Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WIEau Claire, WIWausau, WI Green Bay, WI Lewiston-Auburn, ME Appleton-Oshkosh-Neenah, WI Rochester, MN Portland, ME Saginaw-Bay City-Midland, MI Sheboygan, WI Sioux Falls, SD La Crosse, WI-MN Syracuse, NY Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI Glens Falls, NY Rochester, NYUtica-Rome, NY Madison, WI Flint, MI Buffalo-Niagara Falls, NY Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA Janesville-Beloit, WI Ann Arbor, MIDetroit, MI Dubuque, IARockford, IL Sioux City, IA-NE Pittsfield, MASpringfield, MA Jamestown, NY Jackson, MI Binghamton, NY Cedar Rapids, IA Erie, PA Chicago, IL Benton Harbor, MI Dutchess County, NYNew London-Norwich, CT Des Moines, IA Iowa City, IA Newburgh, NY-PA Toledo, OH Omaha, NE-IA Gary, IN Williamsport, PA Newark, NJ Hartford, CTBarnstable-Yarmouth, MA Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL Akron, OHSharon, PA Kankakee, IL Fort Wayne, IN State College, PA Nassau-Suffolk, NY Peoria-Pekin, IL Lincoln, NE Lima, OHMansfield, OH Bloomington-Normal, IL Muncie, IN Canton-Massillon, OH Altoona, PA Reading, PAMonmouth-Ocean, NJ Champaign-Urbana, IL Lancaster, PA Springfield, IL Dayton-Springfield, OH St. Joseph, MO Johnstown, PA York, PA Decatur, IL Philadelphia, PA-NJ Columbus, OH Pittsburgh, PA Terre Haute, IN Baltimore, MD Hagerstown, MD Bloomington, IN Parkersburg-Marietta, WV-OH Dover, DE Atlantic-Cape May, NJ St. Louis, MO-IL Topeka, KS Columbia, MO Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH Lawrence, KS Charleston, WV Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV Evansville-Henderson, IN-KYLouisville, KY-INLexington, KY Wichita, KS Lynchburg, VA Owensboro, KY Roanoke, VARichmond-Petersburg, VA Miami, FL 14 The map (Figure 2) displays the expected population growth for all metropolitan counties. Since we are measuring overall population growth numbers, rather than percentage growth, the Northeastern metropolitan counties are shown to expect considerable growth in numbers even if percentage growth there will be relatively slow. Otherwise, growth will be concentrated in California, Arizona, New Mexico, Florida, the greater Seattle metropolitan area, Salt Lake City, the Denver North-South corridor, Texas, the Atlanta-Charlotte-Raleigh corridor, and the ChicagoMadison region. Lastly, Table IV displays our population growth forecasts for all U.S. metropolitan areas used in our analysis, based upon our county level forecasts and year 2000 MSA definitions. In this case, we rank metropolitan areas according to their expected population gains (or losses). A small number of major metropolitan areas are forecasted to lose population by 2020: New Orleans, Syracuse, Rochester, Buffalo, Pittsburgh, and Youngstoung-Warren. The central cities of many other Rustbelt MSAs will continue to lose population. However, modest gains in their suburbs will offset further population decline from their MSAs. Notwithstanding mild positive metropolitan area growth, the cities of Cleveland, Philadelphia, Detroit, Milwaukee, New Haven, and Saint Louis are all expected to lag behind general U.S. population growth patterns through 2020. Atlanta, Chicago, Phoenix, New York, Dallas, Houston, Los Angeles, Orlando, and Denver, are all predicted to experience substantial population inflows. However, if we look at percentage growth in the biggest metropolitan areas, the forecasts single out Las Vegas, driven by good weather, gambling, tourism and an easy lifestyle. The group of major metropolitan areas with very high expected growth rates includes Phoenix, Dallas, Houston, Denver, Orlando, Charlotte, Austin, and Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill, all of them in the Sunbelt. 15 CONCLUSION Population growth at the county level can be predicted using widely available demographic and economic data. Past recent growth, the presence of immigrants, the fraction of population older than 25 and younger than 65, low taxes, and good weather are all positively associated with population growth. Our forecasts reveal that most growth and real estate development will occur in the West, Sunbelt, and along the Southern I-85 route. However, our model only accounts for 75 percent of the variance in growth experiences between 1980 and 2000, with the other 25 percent explained by “surprise” events. Many unexpected places will be winners or losers in the game of future local real estate development. [A companion spreadsheet of our population predictions at the county level (metropolitan counties) is available in the Working Paper section of the Zell-Lurie Real Estate Center Website] 16 TABLE IV Forecasts for Metropolitan Areas MSA Code 5560 8160 3400 8680 6840 3680 3350 9000 7560 1280 2985 6280 3610 960 2240 7000 2360 7610 2975 5200 220 2335 450 8080 3880 3580 1010 7680 2340 1480 6020 280 1320 2180 733 9320 1900 6240 2650 6323 870 5990 4800 840 4640 8050 1350 3605 MSA Name New Orleans, LA Syracuse, NY Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH Utica-Rome, NY Rochester, NY Johnstown, PA Houma, LA Wheeling, WV-OH Scranton-Wilkes-Barre-Hazleton, PA Buffalo-Niagara Falls, NY Grand Forks, ND-MN Pittsburgh, PA Jamestown, NY Binghamton, NY Duluth-Superior, MN-WI St. Joseph, MO Erie, PA Sharon, PA Glens Falls, NY Monroe, LA Alexandria, LA Elmira, NY Anniston, AL Steubenville-Weirton, OH-WV Lafayette, LA Jackson, TN Bismarck, ND Shreveport-Bossier City, LA Enid, OK Charleston, WV Parkersburg-Marietta, WV-OH Altoona, PA Canton-Massillon, OH Dothan, AL Bangor, ME Youngstown-Warren, OH Cumberland, MD-WV Pine Bluff, AR Florence, AL Pittsfield, MA Benton Harbor, MI Owensboro, KY Mansfield, OH Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX Lynchburg, VA State College, PA Casper, WY Jacksonville, NC Population Gain 20002020 -194,073 -176,408 -94,512 -92,981 -86,565 -84,035 -83,790 -77,740 -65,861 -65,098 -60,045 -58,770 -49,361 -46,163 -39,208 -38,998 -37,778 -31,078 -29,034 -28,249 -26,822 -24,423 -23,283 -23,084 -22,882 -22,145 -19,681 -17,920 -17,306 -17,229 -15,391 -15,014 -14,949 -10,298 -9,644 -9,343 -8,726 -8,653 -5,580 -3,765 -3,734 -2,943 -1,941 -1,118 -1,091 615 645 1,062 Forecast: Population in 2020 1,142,745 555,956 220,715 206,618 1,012,163 148,221 110,689 75,110 557,751 1,103,854 37,203 2,298,199 90,228 205,883 204,630 63,589 242,909 89,108 95,313 118,974 99,591 66,618 88,057 108,587 362,941 85,406 75,150 374,362 40,366 234,187 135,681 114,030 392,005 127,747 135,241 584,744 93,117 75,566 137,419 131,044 158,878 88,661 173,739 383,619 30,803 136,595 67,195 151,285 Gain as Percentage of 2000 Population -14.52% -24.09% -29.98% -31.04% -7.88% -36.18% -43.08% -50.86% -10.56% -5.57% -61.74% -2.49% -35.36% -18.32% -16.08% -38.01% -13.46% -25.86% -23.35% -19.19% -21.22% -26.83% -20.91% -17.53% -5.93% -20.59% -20.75% -4.57% -30.01% -6.85% -10.19% -11.63% -3.67% -7.46% -6.66% -1.57% -8.57% -10.27% -3.90% -2.79% -2.30% -3.21% -1.10% -0.29% -3.42% 0.45% 0.97% 0.71% Population Gain 20001980 28,407 9,647 -21,159 -20,624 66,504 -32,017 16,162 -32,490 -35,478 -72,323 -3,826 -211,721 -7,372 -11,593 -22,633 839 644 -8,019 14,622 7,569 -9,009 -6,402 -8,676 -31,674 52,901 19,997 14,629 14,338 -5,507 -18,306 -6,776 -7,399 2,589 15,067 7,657 -49,736 -6,025 -6,503 7,677 -10,272 -8,677 5,512 -5,510 9,940 2,766 22,848 -5,973 36,708 17 MSA Code 4243 2030 2290 6660 9140 2880 2620 8600 3285 2040 160 3960 3870 6690 4420 8360 9080 5280 7620 8003 920 1890 4200 6340 8940 8750 6980 6800 3700 5523 2520 860 2190 40 2200 1560 8920 7200 6403 6600 7640 8140 4320 8440 3710 5140 1580 8320 8760 1400 3740 3040 MSA Name Lewiston-Auburn, ME Decatur, AL Eau Claire, WI Rapid City, SD Williamsport, PA Gadsden, AL Flagstaff, AZ-UT Tuscaloosa, AL Hattiesburg, MS Decatur, IL Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY Lake Charles, LA La Crosse, WI-MN Redding, CA Longview-Marshall, TX Texarkana, TX-Texarkana AR Wichita Falls, TX Muncie, IN Sheboygan, WI Springfield, MA Biloxi-Gulfport-Pascagoula, MS Corvallis, OR Lawton, OK Pocatello, ID Wausau, WI Victoria, TX St. Cloud, MN Roanoke, VA Jonesboro, AR New London-Norwich, CT Fargo-Moorhead, ND-MN Bellingham, WA Dover, DE Abilene, TX Dubuque, IA Chattanooga, TN-GA Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA San Angelo, TX Portland, ME Racine, WI Sherman-Denison, TX Sumter, SC Lima, OH Topeka, KS Joplin, MO Missoula, MT Cheyenne, WY Terre Haute, IN Vineland-Millville-Bridgeton, NJ Champaign-Urbana, IL Kankakee, IL Great Falls, MT Population Gain 20002020 1,172 1,574 2,173 2,216 2,768 3,844 5,678 6,119 7,007 7,057 7,755 8,397 8,459 9,162 9,870 10,127 11,270 11,347 13,147 14,957 18,357 18,444 18,953 19,091 19,163 19,360 20,956 21,114 21,241 21,763 22,220 22,645 24,628 25,201 25,676 25,983 26,598 27,265 27,739 27,864 28,325 28,773 28,988 29,311 29,593 31,012 31,810 32,043 32,274 32,787 33,630 33,744 Forecast: Population in 2020 105,037 147,635 150,782 90,987 122,703 107,144 128,396 171,184 119,111 121,540 884,101 191,917 135,466 172,988 218,617 139,859 151,602 130,021 125,901 623,906 383,180 96,603 133,517 94,673 145,065 103,377 189,032 51,680 103,727 281,223 196,906 190,247 151,724 151,663 114,934 491,704 154,500 131,207 293,698 216,850 139,337 133,514 184,149 199,358 187,295 127,094 113,519 181,097 178,648 212,752 137,507 113,927 Gain as Percentage of 2000 Population 1.13% 1.08% 1.46% 2.50% 2.31% 3.72% 4.63% 3.71% 6.25% 6.16% 0.88% 4.58% 6.66% 5.59% 4.73% 7.81% 8.03% 9.56% 11.66% 2.46% 5.03% 23.60% 16.54% 25.26% 15.22% 23.04% 12.47% 69.08% 25.75% 8.39% 12.72% 13.51% 19.38% 19.93% 28.77% 5.58% 20.80% 26.23% 10.43% 14.74% 25.52% 27.47% 18.68% 17.24% 18.76% 32.28% 38.93% 21.50% 22.05% 18.22% 32.38% 42.08% Population Gain 20001980 4,334 25,626 17,204 18,287 1,664 188 43,101 27,234 21,665 -16,722 51,127 15,466 17,311 47,236 27,002 16,353 11,442 -9,720 11,847 26,257 63,706 9,688 1,643 9,932 14,656 14,640 34,294 7,255 19,182 20,232 36,707 60,380 28,816 14,645 -4,443 46,910 -10,111 18,619 49,563 16,006 20,894 16,005 308 14,913 29,857 19,967 12,715 -6,247 13,286 11,085 991 -444 18 MSA Code 580 3180 1680 1660 3520 6015 2720 743 1740 6580 7800 3850 1880 3800 4600 5910 2281 6960 1260 1020 2980 880 4150 8400 6120 2400 3720 8800 5160 2640 3620 1040 8640 1620 2995 7880 3660 2655 2960 3080 2750 3150 1303 1150 240 2920 3500 6680 6820 5240 6895 80 MSA Name Auburn-Opelika, AL Hagerstown, MD Cleveland-Lorain-Elyria, OH Clarksville-Hopkinsville, TN-KY Jackson, MI Panama City, FL Fort Smith, AR-OK Barnstable-Yarmouth, MA Columbia, MO Punta Gorda, FL South Bend, IN Kokomo, IN Corpus Christi, TX Kenosha, WI Lubbock, TX Olympia, WA Dutchess County, NY Saginaw-Bay City-Midland, MI Bryan-College Station, TX Bloomington, IN Goldsboro, NC Billings, MT Lawrence, KS Toledo, OH Peoria-Pekin, IL Eugene-Springfield, OR Kalamazoo-Battle Creek, MI Waco, TX Mobile, AL Flint, MI Janesville-Beloit, WI Bloomington-Normal, IL Tyler, TX Chico-Paradise, CA Grand Junction, CO Springfield, IL Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA Florence, SC Gary, IN Green Bay, WI Fort Walton Beach, FL Greenville, NC Burlington, VT Bremerton, WA Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA Galveston-Texas City, TX Iowa City, IA Reading, PA Rochester, MN Montgomery, AL Rocky Mount, NC Akron, OH Population Gain 20002020 35,307 35,402 35,577 35,644 36,098 36,373 36,537 37,228 37,962 38,304 39,464 39,978 40,364 40,589 41,836 42,471 43,074 43,345 43,523 43,725 44,019 44,338 44,586 45,183 46,790 47,833 48,002 48,714 48,779 49,128 49,272 50,525 51,062 51,614 51,904 53,927 55,595 58,243 58,790 59,014 59,726 60,190 60,809 63,371 65,040 65,664 66,810 68,974 70,375 71,159 73,350 73,510 Forecast: Population in 2020 150,765 167,514 2,286,385 243,256 194,828 184,616 244,502 260,470 173,787 180,572 305,325 141,504 421,054 190,658 284,726 250,835 323,911 446,440 196,324 164,418 157,349 173,891 144,768 663,427 393,976 371,246 501,321 262,715 590,243 486,081 201,810 201,401 226,470 255,384 169,379 255,491 467,548 184,036 690,612 286,271 230,686 194,279 260,305 295,897 703,913 316,389 178,172 443,441 195,219 404,652 216,403 769,430 Gain as Percentage of 2000 Population 30.58% 26.80% 1.58% 17.17% 22.74% 24.54% 17.57% 16.68% 27.95% 26.92% 14.84% 39.38% 10.60% 27.05% 17.22% 20.38% 15.34% 10.75% 28.48% 36.23% 38.84% 34.22% 44.51% 7.31% 13.48% 14.79% 10.59% 22.76% 9.01% 11.24% 32.30% 33.49% 29.11% 25.33% 44.18% 26.75% 13.50% 46.30% 9.30% 25.97% 34.94% 44.89% 30.48% 27.25% 10.18% 26.19% 59.99% 18.42% 56.37% 21.34% 51.27% 10.56% Population Gain 20001980 38,848 19,108 -25,649 57,025 7,176 49,925 44,880 74,395 35,049 82,796 24,509 -2,033 52,875 27,126 30,773 83,039 35,499 -18,197 57,397 21,486 16,016 20,977 32,137 1,080 -18,716 47,705 31,992 42,547 96,328 -12,178 13,269 31,522 46,092 58,942 34,679 13,784 42,787 15,272 -9,798 51,522 60,281 43,509 44,066 83,764 87,073 53,697 29,213 61,451 32,491 60,187 19,590 35,586 19 MSA Code 560 1540 2440 760 120 4040 9280 3440 2560 1360 2330 3240 2000 3200 6560 5660 480 7920 1145 8560 320 7760 3920 1960 3840 7460 4360 4000 4890 1800 2900 3560 8480 5800 5330 7840 9200 7520 9260 6080 5790 460 7720 500 3060 2710 7080 2670 4680 2760 4720 3810 MSA Name Atlantic-Cape May, NJ Charlottesville, VA Evansville-Henderson, IN-KY Baton Rouge, LA Albany, GA Lansing-East Lansing, MI York, PA Huntsville, AL Fayetteville, NC Cedar Rapids, IA Elkhart-Goshen, IN Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA Dayton-Springfield, OH Hamilton-Middletown, OH Pueblo, CO Newburgh, NY-PA Asheville, NC Springfield, MO Brazoria, TX Tulsa, OK Amarillo, TX Sioux Falls, SD Lafayette, IN Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL Knoxville, TN San Luis Obispo-Atascadero-Paso Robles, CA Lincoln, NE Lancaster, PA Medford-Ashland, OR Columbus, GA-AL Gainesville, FL Jackson, MS Trenton, NJ Odessa-Midland, TX Myrtle Beach, SC Spokane, WA Wilmington, NC Savannah, GA Yakima, WA Pensacola, FL Ocala, FL Appleton-Oshkosh-Neenah, WI Sioux City, IA-NE Athens, GA Greeley, CO Fort Pierce-Port St. Lucie, FL Salem, OR Fort Collins-Loveland, CO Macon, GA Fort Wayne, IN Madison, WI Killeen-Temple, TX Population Gain 20002020 73,862 74,431 74,736 75,553 77,362 77,628 77,939 78,577 78,808 79,189 79,678 80,026 81,640 81,857 82,872 84,235 84,289 87,645 89,766 90,525 90,848 92,008 93,301 93,670 95,254 97,019 97,584 97,586 102,014 106,463 106,551 110,230 111,669 113,750 114,725 116,984 117,653 121,581 122,744 124,163 126,132 126,594 129,196 132,876 135,094 135,410 136,553 136,918 136,962 138,998 139,879 143,104 Forecast: Population in 2020 429,212 110,026 371,034 679,812 198,150 526,052 460,659 422,072 381,647 271,411 263,185 709,815 1,031,927 415,542 224,710 473,912 310,959 414,470 332,986 895,461 309,233 265,546 276,612 452,565 784,388 344,697 348,774 569,240 283,854 381,438 324,846 552,061 463,249 349,982 312,752 535,657 352,066 414,895 345,453 536,914 386,422 486,140 253,323 286,920 318,258 455,970 484,783 389,856 460,173 642,146 568,278 457,306 Gain as Percentage of 2000 Population 20.79% 209.10% 25.22% 12.50% 64.05% 17.31% 20.36% 22.88% 26.02% 41.20% 43.42% 12.71% 8.59% 24.53% 58.43% 21.62% 37.19% 26.82% 36.91% 11.25% 41.60% 53.02% 50.90% 26.10% 13.82% 39.17% 38.85% 20.69% 56.10% 38.72% 48.81% 24.95% 31.76% 48.15% 57.93% 27.94% 50.19% 41.45% 55.11% 30.08% 48.46% 35.21% 104.08% 86.26% 73.76% 42.24% 39.21% 54.13% 42.38% 27.63% 32.65% 45.55% Population Gain 20001980 78,030 17,614 19,832 107,056 7,942 28,315 69,121 99,875 54,942 22,572 46,215 72,233 8,136 74,153 15,826 110,789 48,544 98,242 72,371 143,935 43,855 49,967 29,799 -26,173 140,732 90,892 57,591 108,234 48,911 20,348 66,072 78,649 43,784 35,223 95,558 75,734 94,427 61,623 49,591 120,921 136,072 67,908 6,502 48,677 59,397 166,790 97,381 102,847 49,550 58,955 104,045 98,244 20 MSA Code 9040 4900 1000 1440 8200 3283 7485 9160 6520 9340 6483 8240 9270 7480 3980 8780 6880 2700 4400 5880 1125 1240 4100 5080 2580 7510 2020 4280 7500 3290 6740 2120 600 4080 4940 5345 3000 5483 4520 1720 1760 7490 5720 4920 7120 9360 3640 5190 5920 5170 440 6720 MSA Name Wichita, KS Melbourne-Titusville-Palm Bay, FL Birmingham, AL Charleston-North Charleston, SC Tacoma, WA Hartford, CT Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA Wilmington-Newark, DE-MD Provo-Orem, UT Yuba City, CA Providence-Warwick-Pawtucket, RI Tallahassee, FL Yolo, CA Santa Barbara-Santa Maria-Lompoc, CA Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL Visalia-Tulare-Porterville, CA Rockford, IL Fort Myers-Cape Coral, FL Little Rock-North Little Rock, AR Oklahoma City, OK Boulder-Longmont, CO Brownsville-Harlingen-San Benito, TX Las Cruces, NM Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR Sarasota-Bradenton, FL Daytona Beach, FL Lexington, KY Santa Rosa, CA Hickory-Morganton-Lenoir, NC Richland-Kennewick-Pasco, WA Des Moines, IA Augusta-Aiken, GA-SC Laredo, TX Merced, CA Naples, FL Grand Rapids-Muskegon-Holland, MI New Haven-Bridgeport-Stamford, CT Louisville, KY-IN Colorado Springs, CO Columbia, SC Santa Fe, NM Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News, VA-NC Memphis, TN-AR-MS Salinas, CA Yuma, AZ Jersey City, NJ Monmouth-Ocean, NJ Omaha, NE-IA Modesto, CA Ann Arbor, MI Reno, NV Population Gain 20002020 144,519 145,021 146,264 148,497 151,107 153,819 156,795 158,271 160,616 161,920 162,689 166,766 167,717 171,978 173,546 175,034 175,526 177,398 180,106 180,566 181,856 183,232 183,700 183,870 186,380 196,984 199,466 200,738 200,933 204,768 206,124 206,417 211,944 215,745 215,946 218,938 219,218 222,264 222,437 223,681 225,925 226,044 226,790 229,076 229,605 239,711 239,921 241,051 243,189 247,978 258,410 259,767 Forecast: Population in 2020 690,552 622,853 1,069,127 698,862 855,068 1,304,691 412,577 746,589 531,476 301,428 1,127,678 451,844 337,483 571,724 658,950 543,879 547,705 621,187 765,298 1,266,216 474,829 520,016 358,680 1,685,962 499,863 789,700 695,008 681,500 661,271 547,761 398,770 664,021 689,975 410,406 427,579 473,009 1,311,539 1,931,855 1,250,164 743,172 764,137 374,154 1,010,455 1,367,543 632,638 400,418 849,298 1,371,779 962,060 697,768 840,407 601,084 Gain as Percentage of 2000 Population 26.47% 30.35% 15.85% 26.98% 21.47% 13.37% 61.30% 26.90% 43.31% 116.06% 16.86% 58.50% 98.79% 43.02% 35.75% 47.45% 47.16% 39.97% 30.78% 16.63% 62.07% 54.41% 104.98% 12.24% 59.45% 33.23% 40.25% 41.75% 43.65% 59.70% 107.00% 45.11% 44.34% 110.83% 102.04% 86.17% 20.07% 13.00% 21.64% 43.06% 41.98% 152.62% 28.94% 20.12% 56.97% 149.16% 39.37% 21.32% 33.83% 55.13% 44.40% 76.11% Population Gain 20001980 101,636 202,168 107,179 116,750 215,207 97,414 66,477 129,200 150,967 37,120 97,869 93,533 55,975 99,555 161,366 121,419 45,928 235,739 109,751 219,202 102,038 124,840 77,968 105,433 134,430 237,992 222,894 109,151 158,752 71,925 47,131 89,491 113,691 94,180 76,008 166,567 249,302 138,822 73,783 207,448 126,531 54,646 295,293 200,074 110,627 69,314 50,785 278,713 112,370 181,938 126,842 145,945 21 MSA Code 8120 8735 2320 680 1080 8720 7040 3160 5380 8520 875 4880 6760 5360 7160 3600 1640 200 5015 1840 3760 8960 2840 5640 720 7400 2160 6920 7240 8280 3120 6160 7320 2800 5000 7600 3480 2680 5775 7360 6440 6640 640 5945 1520 1123 5960 5120 2080 6780 4120 8840 MSA Name Stockton-Lodi, CA Ventura, CA El Paso, TX Bakersfield, CA Boise City, ID Vallejo-Fairfield-Napa, CA St. Louis, MO-IL Greenville-Spartanburg-Anderson, SC Nassau-Suffolk, NY Tucson, AZ Bergen-Passaic, NJ McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX Richmond-Petersburg, VA Nashville, TN Salt Lake City-Ogden, UT Jacksonville, FL Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN Albuquerque, NM Middlesex-Somerset-Hunterdon, NJ Columbus, OH Kansas City, MO-KS West Palm Beach-Boca Raton, FL Fresno, CA Newark, NJ Baltimore, MD San Jose, CA Detroit, MI Sacramento, CA San Antonio, TX Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL Greensboro-Winston-Salem-High Point, NC Philadelphia, PA-NJ San Diego, CA Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Miami, FL Seattle-Bellevue-Everett, WA Indianapolis, IN Fort Lauderdale, FL Oakland, CA San Francisco, CA Portland-Vancouver, OR-WA Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill, NC Austin-San Marcos, TX Orange County, CA Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NC-SC Boston-Worcester-Lawrence, MA-NH Orlando, FL Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI Denver, CO Riverside-San Bernardino, CA Las Vegas, NV-AZ Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV Population Gain 20002020 269,518 269,897 286,506 297,985 315,193 331,544 340,641 360,797 369,589 381,634 396,482 398,393 400,258 417,053 419,138 420,579 436,430 438,218 445,626 460,729 462,331 465,971 480,414 485,689 487,303 498,066 524,640 539,227 558,989 585,770 598,126 601,064 635,059 651,865 655,335 666,136 667,188 676,791 769,652 773,659 828,010 835,659 843,886 854,090 881,679 914,724 932,317 1,058,341 1,167,384 1,252,243 1,355,259 1,412,091 Forecast: Population in 2020 837,681 1,026,522 968,206 961,659 751,260 853,296 2,947,151 1,326,262 3,130,000 1,230,278 1,773,114 972,316 1,071,511 1,653,185 1,757,512 1,524,279 2,086,629 1,152,836 1,620,211 2,006,753 2,244,712 1,601,626 1,406,060 2,520,298 3,044,602 2,184,540 4,970,809 2,177,726 2,158,192 2,989,907 1,853,846 5,705,873 3,460,137 2,365,140 2,915,577 3,086,063 2,280,118 2,309,231 3,173,622 2,506,210 2,753,867 2,029,965 2,108,492 3,710,536 2,390,792 6,987,308 2,588,642 4,039,271 3,290,001 4,530,997 2,937,591 4,785,157 Gain as Percentage of 2000 Population 47.44% 35.67% 42.03% 44.90% 72.28% 63.54% 13.07% 37.37% 13.39% 44.97% 28.80% 69.42% 59.63% 33.74% 31.32% 38.11% 26.45% 61.32% 37.94% 29.80% 25.94% 41.03% 51.90% 23.87% 19.06% 29.53% 11.80% 32.91% 34.95% 24.37% 47.63% 11.77% 22.48% 38.05% 28.99% 27.53% 41.36% 41.46% 32.02% 44.65% 42.99% 69.97% 66.73% 29.90% 58.42% 15.06% 56.29% 35.50% 55.00% 38.19% 85.65% 41.86% Population Gain 20001980 217,859 223,798 197,989 257,267 178,033 184,965 191,189 217,831 154,617 312,864 82,277 287,383 256,517 383,221 421,078 377,695 181,274 196,532 286,127 328,268 330,831 549,913 344,006 71,462 353,914 384,959 72,320 645,335 503,432 777,162 302,124 319,909 949,458 713,971 617,110 758,548 305,763 606,378 635,256 240,335 587,047 526,350 675,024 908,379 533,119 725,956 843,100 774,385 683,792 1,706,325 1,047,239 832,437 22 MSA Code 4480 3360 1920 5600 6200 1600 520 MSA Name Los Angeles-Long Beach, CA Houston, TX Dallas, TX New York, NY Phoenix-Mesa, AZ Chicago, IL Atlanta, GA Population Gain 20002020 1,413,782 1,552,646 1,626,358 1,682,468 1,743,442 1,904,990 2,671,813 Forecast: Population in 2020 11,000,000 5,753,782 5,169,599 9,699,546 5,021,217 10,200,000 6,817,025 Gain as Percentage of 2000 Population 15.24% 36.96% 45.90% 20.99% 53.19% 23.01% 64.46% Population Gain 20001980 2,038,470 1,414,017 1,472,984 939,201 1,665,593 1,044,858 1,898,202 REFERENCES Davis, Donald R., and David E. Weinstein (2002). “Bones, Bombs, and Break Points: The Geography of Economic Activity,” American Economic Review 92(5): 1269–1289. Glaeser, Edward L., and Joseph Gyourko (2005). “Urban Decline and Durable Housing,” Journal of Political Economy 113: 345-375. Glaeser, Edward L., Jed Kolko, and Albert Saiz (2001). “Consumer City,” Journal of Economic Geography 1: 27-50. Glaeser, Edward L., and Albert Saiz (2003). “The Rise of the Skilled City,” Discussion Paper #2050, Harvard Institute of Economic Research, Harvard University. 23 County FIPS 48441 39153 39133 13177 13095 36091 36001 36083 36093 36057 36095 35001 35061 35043 22079 42077 42095 42025 42013 48375 48381 26161 26093 26091 1015 55087 55139 55015 37021 37115 13059 13219 13195 13135 County Name Taylor Summit Portage Lee Dougherty Saratoga Albany Rensselaer Schenectady Montgomery Schoharie Bernalillo Valencia Sandoval Rapides Lehigh Northampton Carbon Blair Potter Randall Washtenaw Livingston Lenawee Calhoun Outagamie Winnebago Calumet Buncombe Madison Clarke Oconee Madison Gwinnett Metropolitan Area Abilene, TX Akron, OH Akron, OH Albany, GA Albany, GA Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY Albuquerque, NM Albuquerque, NM Albuquerque, NM Alexandria, LA Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA Altoona, PA Amarillo, TX Amarillo, TX Ann Arbor, MI Ann Arbor, MI Ann Arbor, MI Anniston, AL Appleton-Oshkosh-Neenah, WI Appleton-Oshkosh-Neenah, WI Appleton-Oshkosh-Neenah, WI Asheville, NC Asheville, NC Athens, GA Athens, GA Athens, GA Atlanta, GA Population Gain 20202000 25,700 62,624 6,882 61,622 13,635 34,999 13,482 4,866 246 -21,073 -30,077 213,425 112,412 111,486 -28,461 41,801 36,432 -16,356 -15,994 57,655 33,146 131,777 95,069 34,858 -24,576 54,423 44,912 28,842 80,248 3,932 53,135 47,667 31,341 443,177 Population in 2020 152,162 606,176 159,250 86,511 109,534 236,450 308,059 157,473 146,687 28,604 1,516 770,970 178,867 202,104 97,952 354,376 303,900 42,474 113,050 171,371 137,815 456,195 253,539 133,967 86,764 216,214 201,940 69,569 287,217 23,633 154,915 74,073 57,199 1,039,634 % Growth 2020-2000 20.3% 11.5% 4.5% 247.6% 14.2% 17.4% 4.6% 3.2% 0.2% -42.4% -95.2% 38.3% 169.2% 123.0% -22.5% 13.4% 13.6% -27.8% -12.4% 50.7% 31.7% 40.6% 60.0% 35.2% -22.1% 33.6% 28.6% 70.8% 38.8% 20.0% 52.2% 180.5% 121.2% 74.3% Population Gain 20001980 14,645 19,457 16,129 13,046 -5,104 47,413 8,404 610 -3,467 -3,719 1,886 135,250 5,327 55,955 -9,009 39,797 41,814 5,462 -7,399 14,636 29,219 60,018 57,809 9,015 -8,676 32,858 25,282 9,768 45,737 2,807 26,747 13,881 8,049 427,113 Population in 2000 126,462 543,552 152,368 24,889 95,899 201,451 294,577 152,607 146,441 49,677 31,593 557,545 66,455 90,618 126,413 312,575 267,468 58,830 129,044 113,716 104,669 324,418 158,470 99,109 111,340 161,791 157,028 40,727 206,969 19,701 101,780 26,406 25,858 596,457 13121 13067 13089 13117 13151 13063 13057 13223 13077 13113 13013 13297 13097 13217 13247 13015 13227 13045 13255 34001 34009 1081 13073 45003 45037 13245 13189 48453 48491 48021 48209 48055 6029 24027 24005 24003 24025 Fulton Cobb DeKalb Forsyth Henry Clayton Cherokee Paulding Coweta Fayette Barrow Walton Douglas Newton Rockdale Bartow Pickens Carroll Spalding Atlantic Cape May Lee Columbia Aiken Edgefield Richmond McDuffie Travis Williamson Bastrop Hays Caldwell Kern Howard Baltimore Anne Arundel Harford Atlanta, GA Atlanta, GA Atlanta, GA Atlanta, GA Atlanta, GA Atlanta, GA Atlanta, GA Atlanta, GA Atlanta, GA Atlanta, GA Atlanta, GA Atlanta, GA Atlanta, GA Atlanta, GA Atlanta, GA Atlanta, GA Atlanta, GA Atlanta, GA Atlanta, GA Atlantic-Cape May, NJ Atlantic-Cape May, NJ Auburn-Opelika, AL Augusta-Aiken, GA-SC Augusta-Aiken, GA-SC Augusta-Aiken, GA-SC Augusta-Aiken, GA-SC Augusta-Aiken, GA-SC Austin-San Marcos, TX Austin-San Marcos, TX Austin-San Marcos, TX Austin-San Marcos, TX Austin-San Marcos, TX Bakersfield, CA Baltimore, MD Baltimore, MD Baltimore, MD Baltimore, MD 331,074 307,450 262,934 165,304 152,220 137,344 133,534 111,802 101,088 84,901 60,800 59,097 58,985 58,668 51,826 50,389 45,633 29,265 8,225 82,198 -6,977 33,587 76,074 67,878 37,350 34,780 -3,045 424,739 243,679 81,805 62,752 30,194 297,696 168,351 138,606 120,320 64,402 1,148,117 920,222 931,246 265,820 273,848 375,844 277,317 194,837 191,230 177,014 107,354 120,720 151,693 121,579 122,369 127,092 69,000 117,292 66,700 335,247 95,324 149,045 165,904 210,658 61,949 234,325 18,232 1,244,583 498,647 140,116 161,754 62,676 961,370 417,918 894,523 611,703 283,893 40.5% 50.2% 39.3% 164.5% 125.2% 57.6% 92.9% 134.6% 112.1% 92.2% 130.6% 95.9% 63.6% 93.3% 73.5% 65.7% 195.3% 33.2% 14.1% 32.5% -6.8% 29.1% 84.7% 47.5% 151.8% 17.4% -14.3% 51.8% 95.6% 140.3% 63.4% 93.0% 44.9% 67.5% 18.3% 24.5% 29.3% 224,253 312,184 184,219 72,382 85,140 87,252 91,538 56,736 50,656 62,575 25,072 30,420 37,845 27,937 33,698 35,802 11,666 31,366 10,348 58,483 19,547 38,848 49,361 36,823 7,042 17,777 2,688 397,846 177,338 33,229 57,908 8,703 257,267 129,712 100,039 118,968 73,097 817,043 612,772 668,312 100,516 121,628 238,500 143,783 83,035 90,142 92,113 46,554 61,623 92,708 62,911 70,543 76,703 23,367 88,027 58,475 253,049 102,301 115,458 89,830 142,780 24,599 199,545 21,277 819,844 254,968 58,311 99,001 32,482 663,674 249,567 755,917 491,383 219,491 24013 24035 24510 23019 25001 22033 22063 22005 22121 48245 48199 48361 53073 26021 34003 34031 30111 28047 28059 28045 36007 36107 1117 1073 1115 1009 38015 38059 18105 17113 16001 16027 25017 25025 25009 25027 25021 Carroll Queen Anne's Baltimore (Independent City) Penobscot Barnstable East Baton Rouge Livingston Ascension West Baton Rouge Jefferson Hardin Orange Whatcom Berrien Bergen Passaic Yellowstone Harrison Jackson Hancock Broome Tioga Shelby Jefferson St. Clair Blount Burleigh Morton Monroe McLean Ada Canyon Middlesex Suffolk Essex Worcester Norfolk Baltimore, MD Baltimore, MD Baltimore, MD Bangor, ME Barnstable-Yarmouth, MA Baton Rouge, LA Baton Rouge, LA Baton Rouge, LA Baton Rouge, LA Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX Bellingham, WA Benton Harbor, MI Bergen-Passaic, NJ Bergen-Passaic, NJ Billings, MT Biloxi-Gulfport-Pascagoula, MS Biloxi-Gulfport-Pascagoula, MS Biloxi-Gulfport-Pascagoula, MS Binghamton, NY Binghamton, NY Birmingham, AL Birmingham, AL Birmingham, AL Birmingham, AL Bismarck, ND Bismarck, ND Bloomington, IN Bloomington-Normal, IL Boise City, ID Boise City, ID Boston-Worcester-Lawrence-Lowell-Brocktn, MA-NH Boston-Worcester-Lawrence-Lowell-Brocktn, MA-NH Boston-Worcester-Lawrence-Lowell-Brocktn, MA-NH Boston-Worcester-Lawrence-Lowell-Brocktn, MA-NH Boston-Worcester-Lawrence-Lowell-Brocktn, MA-NH 58,544 8,511 -91,607 -9,402 38,089 31,719 24,578 18,391 -10,469 10,356 5,787 -16,536 22,245 -2,459 231,466 168,252 45,375 25,789 5,059 -9,791 -21,465 -26,731 83,802 23,234 18,539 18,081 3,363 -24,052 42,526 50,680 194,897 122,341 211,526 139,034 127,492 109,305 96,337 210,156 49,283 556,950 135,483 261,331 444,485 117,149 95,748 11,096 261,996 53,923 68,426 189,847 160,152 1,117,196 659,154 174,928 215,452 136,939 33,489 178,829 25,021 228,326 685,253 83,650 69,290 72,869 1,273 163,219 201,556 497,889 255,416 1,680,561 829,081 852,925 861,947 747,585 38.6% 20.9% -14.1% -6.5% 17.1% 7.7% 26.6% 23.8% -48.5% 4.1% 12.0% -19.5% 13.3% -1.5% 26.1% 34.3% 35.0% 13.6% 3.8% -22.6% -10.7% -51.7% 58.0% 3.5% 28.5% 35.3% 4.8% -95.0% 35.2% 33.6% 64.3% 91.9% 14.4% 20.1% 17.6% 14.5% 14.8% 54,759 15,090 -137,751 7,657 74,395 44,483 33,215 26,933 2,425 2,121 7,245 574 60,380 -8,677 39,826 42,451 20,977 31,401 13,733 18,572 -13,414 1,821 77,607 -8,915 23,786 14,701 14,530 99 21,486 31,522 128,902 49,131 100,238 38,372 90,192 105,636 44,277 151,612 40,772 648,557 144,885 223,242 412,766 92,571 77,357 21,565 251,639 48,136 84,962 167,602 162,611 885,730 490,902 129,553 189,663 131,880 43,280 200,294 51,752 144,524 662,019 65,111 51,209 69,506 25,325 120,693 150,876 302,992 133,075 1,469,035 690,047 725,433 752,642 651,248 25005 33011 25023 33015 33017 8013 48039 53035 48061 48041 36063 36029 50007 50013 50011 39151 39019 56025 19113 17019 54079 54039 45035 45019 45015 37119 37179 45091 37025 37109 37071 37159 51065 51079 47065 13047 13295 Bristol Hillsborough Plymouth Rockingham Strafford Boulder Brazoria Kitsap Cameron Brazos Niagara Erie Chittenden Grand Isle Franklin Stark Carroll Natrona Linn Champaign Putnam Kanawha Dorchester Charleston Berkeley Mecklenburg Union York Cabarrus Lincoln Gaston Rowan Fluvanna Greene Hamilton Catoosa Walker Boston-Worcester-Lawrence-Lowell-Brocktn, MA-NH Boston-Worcester-Lawrence-Lowell-Brocktn, MA-NH Boston-Worcester-Lawrence-Lowell-Brocktn, MA-NH Boston-Worcester-Lawrence-Lowell-Brocktn, MA-NH Boston-Worcester-Lawrence-Lowell-Brocktn, MA-NH Boulder-Longmont, CO Brazoria, TX Bremerton, WA Brownsville-Harlingen-San Benito, TX Bryan-College Station, TX Buffalo-Niagara Falls, NY Buffalo-Niagara Falls, NY Burlington, VT Burlington, VT Burlington, VT Canton-Massillon, OH Canton-Massillon, OH Casper, WY Cedar Rapids, IA Champaign-Urbana, IL Charleston, WV Charleston, WV Charleston-North Charleston, SC Charleston-North Charleston, SC Charleston-North Charleston, SC Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NC-SC Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NC-SC Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NC-SC Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NC-SC Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NC-SC Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NC-SC Charlotte-Gastonia-Rock Hill, NC-SC Charlottesville, VA Charlottesville, VA Chattanooga, TN-GA Chattanooga, TN-GA Chattanooga, TN-GA 86,318 78,617 77,509 28,135 -26,439 180,944 89,454 64,615 181,585 43,073 -24,756 -40,544 34,689 17,085 9,217 10,307 -26,412 703 80,226 33,029 1,403 -15,848 65,286 43,731 42,179 349,854 124,502 105,425 101,448 74,144 66,664 62,413 44,608 31,052 28,334 21,716 1,900 622,337 460,945 551,951 306,845 86,241 473,917 332,674 297,141 518,369 195,875 194,829 908,823 181,655 24,020 54,812 388,382 2,467 67,253 272,448 212,994 53,147 183,824 161,994 354,400 185,167 1,050,071 250,148 271,122 233,662 138,183 257,316 193,061 64,841 46,414 336,314 75,376 63,022 16.1% 20.6% 16.3% 10.1% -23.5% 61.8% 36.8% 27.8% 53.9% 28.2% -11.3% -4.3% 23.6% 246.4% 20.2% 2.7% -91.5% 1.1% 41.7% 18.4% 2.7% -7.9% 67.5% 14.1% 29.5% 50.0% 99.1% 63.6% 76.7% 115.8% 35.0% 47.8% 220.5% 202.1% 9.2% 40.5% 3.1% 60,700 104,139 68,316 87,340 26,746 102,038 72,371 83,764 124,840 57,397 -7,476 -64,847 31,011 2,293 10,762 -699 3,288 -5,973 22,572 11,085 13,492 -31,798 37,019 32,472 47,259 293,722 54,851 58,353 45,912 21,538 27,568 31,175 9,950 7,664 19,605 16,546 4,555 536,019 382,328 474,442 278,710 112,680 292,973 243,220 232,526 336,784 152,801 219,585 949,367 146,966 6,935 45,595 378,075 28,879 66,550 192,222 179,965 51,744 199,672 96,708 310,669 142,988 700,217 125,646 165,697 132,214 64,039 190,652 130,648 20,233 15,362 307,980 53,660 61,122 13083 47115 56021 17031 17197 17043 17097 17089 17111 17093 17037 17063 6007 39165 21015 39025 21117 18029 39015 21037 21081 21077 18115 39061 21191 47125 21047 39103 39055 39093 39085 39035 39007 8041 29019 45063 45079 Dade Marion Laramie Cook Will DuPage Lake Kane McHenry Kendall DeKalb Grundy Butte Warren Boone Clermont Kenton Dearborn Brown Campbell Grant Gallatin Ohio Hamilton Pendleton Montgomery Christian Medina Geauga Lorain Lake Cuyahoga Ashtabula El Paso Boone Lexington Richland Chattanooga, TN-GA Chattanooga, TN-GA Cheyenne, WY Chicago, IL Chicago, IL Chicago, IL Chicago, IL Chicago, IL Chicago, IL Chicago, IL Chicago, IL Chicago, IL Chico-Paradise, CA Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN Clarksville-Hopkinsville, TN-KY Clarksville-Hopkinsville, TN-KY Cleveland-Lorain-Elyria, OH Cleveland-Lorain-Elyria, OH Cleveland-Lorain-Elyria, OH Cleveland-Lorain-Elyria, OH Cleveland-Lorain-Elyria, OH Cleveland-Lorain-Elyria, OH Colorado Springs, CO Columbia, MO Columbia, SC Columbia, SC -9,154 -21,010 30,914 604,597 279,533 253,679 249,616 216,569 172,830 70,886 33,744 30,957 51,120 105,865 81,464 52,168 34,496 34,235 24,189 22,805 18,869 18,711 15,801 13,296 4,006 48,982 -13,768 60,233 4,415 3,709 911 -4,354 -37,191 222,520 36,451 135,240 94,056 6,034 6,761 112,623 5,981,749 787,760 1,160,361 898,216 624,211 434,470 126,080 123,048 68,640 254,890 266,608 168,470 230,809 186,134 80,582 66,763 111,449 41,418 26,569 21,443 857,350 18,509 184,412 58,414 212,087 95,650 288,924 228,541 1,387,750 65,579 742,011 172,276 352,096 415,412 -60.3% -75.7% 37.8% 11.2% 55.0% 28.0% 38.5% 53.1% 66.1% 128.4% 37.8% 82.2% 25.1% 65.9% 93.6% 29.2% 22.7% 73.9% 56.8% 25.7% 83.7% 238.1% 280.1% 1.6% 27.6% 36.2% -19.1% 39.7% 4.8% 1.3% 0.4% -0.3% -36.2% 42.8% 26.8% 62.4% 29.3% 2,895 3,309 12,715 128,274 183,253 245,392 206,168 128,790 113,508 17,850 14,605 7,018 58,942 61,287 40,895 49,609 14,485 11,980 10,592 5,460 9,212 3,018 522 -29,308 3,522 51,764 5,261 38,420 16,673 10,529 14,489 -104,511 -1,249 207,448 35,049 75,697 50,834 15,188 27,771 81,709 5,377,152 508,227 906,682 648,600 407,642 261,640 55,194 89,304 37,683 203,770 160,743 87,006 178,641 151,638 46,347 42,574 88,644 22,549 7,858 5,642 844,054 14,503 135,430 72,182 151,854 91,235 285,215 227,630 1,392,104 102,770 519,491 135,825 216,856 321,356 13145 13215 1113 13053 39049 39041 39045 39089 39097 39129 48355 48409 41003 24001 54057 48113 48085 48121 48397 48139 48257 48231 48213 17161 19163 17073 12127 12035 39109 39057 39113 39023 1103 1079 17115 8035 8031 Harris Muscogee Russell Chattahoochee Franklin Delaware Fairfield Licking Madison Pickaway Nueces San Patricio Benton Allegany Mineral Dallas Collin Denton Rockwall Ellis Kaufman Hunt Henderson Rock Island Scott Henry Volusia Flagler Miami Greene Montgomery Clark Morgan Lawrence Macon Douglas Denver Columbus, GA-AL Columbus, GA-AL Columbus, GA-AL Columbus, GA-AL Columbus, OH Columbus, OH Columbus, OH Columbus, OH Columbus, OH Columbus, OH Corpus Christi, TX Corpus Christi, TX Corvallis, OR Cumberland, MD-WV Cumberland, MD-WV Dallas, TX Dallas, TX Dallas, TX Dallas, TX Dallas, TX Dallas, TX Dallas, TX Dallas, TX Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL Daytona Beach, FL Daytona Beach, FL Dayton-Springfield, OH Dayton-Springfield, OH Dayton-Springfield, OH Dayton-Springfield, OH Decatur, AL Decatur, AL Decatur, IL Denver, CO Denver, CO 49,496 39,412 15,840 4,044 208,772 105,727 46,900 40,176 23,892 21,880 43,341 -1,843 19,450 -726 -9,779 642,464 438,551 301,085 78,393 71,289 55,439 27,992 9,711 46,712 34,095 14,422 133,913 65,535 26,645 25,325 19,341 2,438 12,337 -10,917 7,833 277,818 239,167 73,303 225,891 65,537 19,036 1,280,531 217,447 170,327 186,232 64,114 74,720 356,761 65,427 97,609 74,080 17,258 2,867,806 938,606 739,896 122,241 183,760 127,585 104,977 83,295 195,828 192,822 65,474 578,879 116,111 125,631 173,540 577,804 147,061 123,537 23,944 122,316 458,222 794,577 207.9% 21.1% 31.9% 27.0% 19.5% 94.6% 38.0% 27.5% 59.4% 41.4% 13.8% -2.7% 24.9% -1.0% -36.2% 28.9% 87.7% 68.6% 178.8% 63.4% 76.8% 36.4% 13.2% 31.3% 21.5% 28.3% 30.1% 129.6% 26.9% 17.1% 3.5% 1.7% 11.1% -31.3% 6.8% 154.0% 43.1% 8,389 15,921 2,425 -6,387 200,315 57,659 29,276 24,721 7,085 9,212 43,927 8,948 9,688 -5,778 -247 659,694 353,516 293,360 29,102 52,428 32,865 21,373 30,646 -17,906 -1,401 -6,866 183,522 39,372 8,471 18,397 -13,206 -5,526 20,960 4,666 -16,722 154,785 61,175 23,807 186,479 49,697 14,992 1,071,759 111,720 123,427 146,056 40,222 52,840 313,420 67,270 78,159 74,806 27,037 2,225,342 500,055 438,811 43,848 112,471 72,146 76,984 73,584 149,116 158,727 51,052 444,966 50,576 98,986 148,215 558,463 144,623 111,200 34,861 114,483 180,404 555,410 8001 8005 8059 19153 19049 19181 26125 26099 26087 26147 26115 26163 1069 1045 10001 19061 27137 55031 36027 55035 55017 48141 18039 36015 40047 42049 41039 18163 18173 21101 18129 38017 27027 37051 5007 5143 4005 Adams Arapahoe Jefferson Polk Dallas Warren Oakland Macomb Lapeer St. Clair Monroe Wayne Houston Dale Kent Dubuque St. Louis Douglas Dutchess Eau Claire Chippewa El Paso Elkhart Chemung Garfield Erie Lane Vanderburgh Warrick Henderson Posey Cass Clay Cumberland Benton Washington Coconino Denver, CO Denver, CO Denver, CO Des Moines, IA Des Moines, IA Des Moines, IA Detroit, MI Detroit, MI Detroit, MI Detroit, MI Detroit, MI Detroit, MI Dothan, AL Dothan, AL Dover, DE Dubuque, IA Duluth-Superior, MN-WI Duluth-Superior, MN-WI Dutchess County, NY Eau Claire, WI Eau Claire, WI El Paso, TX Elkhart-Goshen, IN Elmira, NY Enid, OK Erie, PA Eugene-Springfield, OR Evansville-Henderson, IN-KY Evansville-Henderson, IN-KY Evansville-Henderson, IN-KY Evansville-Henderson, IN-KY Fargo-Moorhead, ND-MN Fargo-Moorhead, ND-MN Fayetteville, NC Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR Flagstaff, AZ-UT 238,246 213,649 192,242 122,204 70,531 13,929 245,437 149,273 47,285 37,776 28,524 23,183 -4,434 -7,225 25,697 26,027 -11,161 -28,419 42,223 5,066 -3,185 285,652 78,776 -25,628 -18,395 -38,486 48,683 35,357 30,642 5,272 4,081 31,861 -11,294 79,882 98,703 84,121 52,187 605,314 705,172 720,454 497,965 111,584 54,720 1,442,052 940,134 135,600 202,480 175,004 2,082,379 84,495 41,891 152,793 115,285 189,270 14,988 323,059 98,342 52,148 967,352 262,283 65,413 39,277 242,201 372,096 207,203 83,212 50,081 31,154 155,232 40,021 382,720 253,503 242,804 168,827 64.9% 43.5% 36.4% 32.5% 171.8% 34.1% 20.5% 18.9% 53.5% 22.9% 19.5% 1.1% -5.0% -14.7% 20.2% 29.2% -5.6% -65.5% 15.0% 5.4% -5.8% 41.9% 42.9% -28.1% -31.9% -13.7% 15.1% 20.6% 58.3% 11.8% 15.1% 25.8% -22.0% 26.4% 63.8% 53.0% 44.7% 119,923 194,222 153,687 72,058 11,556 5,877 186,564 97,453 18,129 25,597 11,747 -267,170 13,949 1,118 28,816 -4,443 -21,477 -1,156 35,499 14,223 2,981 197,989 46,215 -6,402 -5,507 644 47,705 4,375 10,955 3,844 658 34,756 1,951 54,942 76,426 58,004 41,061 367,068 491,523 528,212 375,761 41,052 40,791 1,196,615 790,861 88,314 164,704 146,479 2,059,196 88,929 49,116 127,096 89,258 200,431 43,407 280,836 93,276 55,333 681,700 183,507 91,041 57,672 280,687 323,413 171,846 52,570 44,809 27,073 123,371 51,315 302,838 154,800 158,683 116,640 49025 26049 1077 1033 45041 8069 12011 12071 12111 12085 5131 5033 40135 12091 18003 18033 18183 18069 18179 18001 48439 48251 48367 48221 6019 6039 1055 12001 48167 18089 18127 36115 36113 37191 27119 38035 8077 Kane Genesee Lauderdale Colbert Florence Larimer Broward Lee St. Lucie Martin Sebastian Crawford Sequoyah Okaloosa Allen De Kalb Whitley Huntington Wells Adams Tarrant Johnson Parker Hood Fresno Madera Etowah Alachua Galveston Lake Porter Washington Warren Wayne Polk Grand Forks Mesa Flagstaff, AZ-UT Flint, MI Florence, AL Florence, AL Florence, SC Fort Collins-Loveland, CO Fort Lauderdale, FL Fort Myers-Cape Coral, FL Fort Pierce-Port St. Lucie, FL Fort Pierce-Port St. Lucie, FL Fort Smith, AR-OK Fort Smith, AR-OK Fort Smith, AR-OK Fort Walton Beach, FL Fort Wayne, IN Fort Wayne, IN Fort Wayne, IN Fort Wayne, IN Fort Wayne, IN Fort Wayne, IN Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Fresno, CA Fresno, CA Gadsden, AL Gainesville, FL Galveston-Texas City, TX Gary, IN Gary, IN Glens Falls, NY Glens Falls, NY Goldsboro, NC Grand Forks, ND-MN Grand Forks, ND-MN Grand Junction, CO -6,078 51,640 -1,003 -6,270 59,507 134,548 677,134 177,526 89,200 45,751 38,115 18,087 -21,946 60,088 75,560 26,807 22,030 13,644 5,065 -6,593 480,496 92,940 57,257 22,103 315,146 163,364 1,475 107,987 66,336 32,723 28,643 -14,282 -18,310 44,584 -23,628 -38,635 49,649 0 488,593 86,973 48,753 185,300 387,486 2,309,574 621,315 282,659 172,852 153,633 71,473 17,114 231,048 408,233 67,205 52,775 51,742 32,681 27,025 1,934,957 220,974 146,530 63,610 1,117,160 286,996 104,775 326,282 317,061 517,314 175,873 46,721 45,034 157,914 7,752 27,233 167,124 -100.0% 11.8% -1.1% -11.4% 47.3% 53.2% 41.5% 40.0% 46.1% 36.0% 33.0% 33.9% -56.2% 35.1% 22.7% 66.4% 71.7% 35.8% 18.3% -19.6% 33.0% 72.6% 64.1% 53.3% 39.3% 132.1% 1.4% 49.5% 26.5% 6.8% 19.5% -23.4% -28.9% 39.3% -75.3% -58.7% 42.3% 2,040 -12,178 7,234 443 15,272 102,847 606,378 235,739 104,624 62,166 20,155 16,443 8,282 60,281 38,839 6,884 4,512 2,553 2,203 3,964 586,130 59,869 44,324 23,648 284,335 59,671 188 66,072 53,697 -37,044 27,246 6,232 8,390 16,016 -3,423 -403 34,679 6,078 436,953 87,976 55,023 125,793 252,938 1,632,440 443,789 193,459 127,101 115,518 53,386 39,060 170,960 332,673 40,398 30,745 38,098 27,616 33,618 1,454,461 128,034 89,273 41,507 802,014 123,632 103,300 218,295 250,725 484,591 147,230 61,003 63,344 113,330 31,380 65,868 117,475 26081 26139 26121 26005 30013 8123 55009 37081 37067 37151 37001 37057 37197 37059 37169 37147 45045 45083 45007 45077 45021 24043 39017 42043 42041 42075 42099 9003 9013 9007 28073 28035 37035 37023 37003 37027 22057 Kent Ottawa Muskegon Allegan Cascade Weld Brown Guilford Forsyth Randolph Alamance Davidson Yadkin Davie Stokes Pitt Greenville Spartanburg Anderson Pickens Cherokee Washington Butler Dauphin Cumberland Lebanon Perry Hartford Tolland Middlesex Lamar Forrest Catawba Burke Alexander Caldwell Lafourche Grand Rapids-Muskegon-Holland, MI Grand Rapids-Muskegon-Holland, MI Grand Rapids-Muskegon-Holland, MI Grand Rapids-Muskegon-Holland, MI Great Falls, MT Greeley, CO Green Bay, WI Greensboro-Winston-Salem-High Point, NC Greensboro-Winston-Salem-High Point, NC Greensboro-Winston-Salem-High Point, NC Greensboro-Winston-Salem-High Point, NC Greensboro-Winston-Salem-High Point, NC Greensboro-Winston-Salem-High Point, NC Greensboro-Winston-Salem-High Point, NC Greensboro-Winston-Salem-High Point, NC Greenville, NC Greenville-Spartanburg-Anderson, SC Greenville-Spartanburg-Anderson, SC Greenville-Spartanburg-Anderson, SC Greenville-Spartanburg-Anderson, SC Greenville-Spartanburg-Anderson, SC Hagerstown, MD Hamilton-Middletown, OH Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA Harrisburg-Lebanon-Carlisle, PA Hartford, CT Hartford, CT Hartford, CT Hattiesburg, MS Hattiesburg, MS Hickory-Morganton-Lenoir, NC Hickory-Morganton-Lenoir, NC Hickory-Morganton-Lenoir, NC Hickory-Morganton-Lenoir, NC Houma, LA 137,978 62,918 14,867 7,596 34,777 133,687 60,104 152,800 114,221 77,742 71,093 67,822 47,259 37,611 32,316 60,770 137,030 73,888 71,639 51,924 32,389 32,076 80,717 35,765 29,429 14,282 -5,824 82,220 42,324 32,550 20,046 -10,879 84,562 56,254 33,338 30,512 -41,959 714,198 302,391 185,387 113,705 114,960 316,851 287,361 575,062 421,099 208,817 202,538 215,454 83,769 72,676 77,169 194,859 518,057 328,283 237,962 162,974 85,059 164,188 414,402 287,561 243,397 134,696 37,787 940,530 179,239 188,197 59,387 61,884 227,029 145,509 67,007 108,114 47,996 23.9% 26.3% 8.7% 7.2% 43.4% 73.0% 26.4% 36.2% 37.2% 59.3% 54.1% 45.9% 129.4% 107.3% 72.0% 45.3% 36.0% 29.0% 43.1% 46.8% 61.5% 24.3% 24.2% 14.2% 13.8% 11.9% -13.4% 9.6% 30.9% 20.9% 51.0% -15.0% 59.4% 63.0% 99.0% 39.3% -46.6% 131,034 81,380 12,670 24,218 -444 59,397 51,522 104,341 62,381 39,447 31,913 34,075 7,987 10,354 11,626 43,509 91,833 50,661 32,398 31,337 11,602 19,108 74,153 18,874 33,976 11,575 7,808 49,370 21,685 26,359 15,196 6,469 36,923 16,634 8,603 9,765 6,621 576,220 239,473 170,520 106,109 80,183 183,164 227,257 422,262 306,878 131,075 131,445 147,632 36,510 35,065 44,853 134,089 381,027 254,395 166,323 111,050 52,670 132,112 333,685 251,796 213,968 120,414 43,611 858,310 136,915 155,647 39,341 72,763 142,467 89,255 33,669 77,602 89,955 22109 48201 48157 48339 48291 48473 48071 54011 21019 21089 21043 39087 54099 1089 1083 18057 18097 18063 18081 18059 18109 18011 18145 18095 19103 26075 28121 28089 28049 47113 47023 12031 12019 12109 12089 37133 36013 Terrebonne Harris Fort Bend Montgomery Liberty Waller Chambers Cabell Boyd Greenup Carter Lawrence Wayne Madison Limestone Hamilton Marion Hendricks Johnson Hancock Morgan Boone Shelby Madison Johnson Jackson Rankin Madison Hinds Madison Chester Duval Clay St. Johns Nassau Onslow Chautauqua Houma, LA Houston, TX Houston, TX Houston, TX Houston, TX Houston, TX Houston, TX Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH Huntsville, AL Huntsville, AL Indianapolis, IN Indianapolis, IN Indianapolis, IN Indianapolis, IN Indianapolis, IN Indianapolis, IN Indianapolis, IN Indianapolis, IN Indianapolis, IN Iowa City, IA Jackson, MI Jackson, MS Jackson, MS Jackson, MS Jackson, TN Jackson, TN Jacksonville, FL Jacksonville, FL Jacksonville, FL Jacksonville, FL Jacksonville, NC Jamestown, NY -47,720 958,645 283,281 216,453 43,361 43,043 7,624 -300 -8,919 -16,242 -17,244 -21,975 -23,953 63,028 14,965 168,978 142,517 84,651 68,745 48,466 44,191 37,163 36,236 31,281 67,275 36,797 66,264 45,492 2,952 -1,258 -15,545 192,699 96,242 94,747 38,112 1,881 -49,891 56,804 4,373,626 642,237 513,984 114,002 75,896 33,798 96,367 40,735 20,597 9,629 40,308 18,958 340,585 80,903 354,358 1,002,902 190,039 184,719 104,119 111,079 83,548 79,836 164,558 178,637 195,527 182,446 120,550 253,543 90,748 0 972,317 237,914 219,205 96,065 152,104 89,698 -45.7% 28.1% 78.9% 72.7% 61.4% 131.0% 29.1% -0.3% -18.0% -44.1% -64.2% -35.3% -55.8% 22.7% 22.7% 91.2% 16.6% 80.3% 59.3% 87.1% 66.1% 80.1% 83.1% 23.5% 60.4% 23.2% 57.0% 60.6% 1.2% -1.4% -100.0% 24.7% 67.9% 76.1% 65.8% 1.3% -35.7% 9,541 976,442 225,689 168,377 23,140 12,799 7,570 -10,257 -5,799 -2,266 1,758 -1,459 -3,136 79,925 19,950 102,908 94,695 35,430 38,410 11,693 14,714 9,787 3,667 -5,541 29,213 7,176 46,344 33,292 -987 17,173 2,824 206,448 73,856 72,508 24,883 36,708 -7,372 104,524 3,414,981 358,956 297,531 70,641 32,853 26,174 96,667 49,654 36,839 26,873 62,283 42,911 277,557 65,938 185,380 860,385 105,388 115,974 55,653 66,888 46,385 43,600 133,277 111,362 158,730 116,182 75,058 250,591 92,006 15,545 779,618 141,671 124,458 57,953 150,223 139,589 55105 34017 47179 47163 47073 47171 47019 51169 42111 42021 5031 29097 29145 26077 26025 26159 17091 20091 29095 29047 29165 20209 29037 20103 20121 29107 29049 29177 55059 48027 48099 47093 47009 47105 47155 47173 47001 Rock Hudson Washington Sullivan Hawkins Unicoi Carter Scott Somerset Cambria Craighead Jasper Newton Kalamazoo Calhoun Van Buren Kankakee Johnson Jackson Clay Platte Wyandotte Cass Leavenworth Miami Lafayette Clinton Ray Kenosha Bell Coryell Knox Blount Loudon Sevier Union Anderson Janesville-Beloit, WI Jersey City, NJ Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA Johnstown, PA Johnstown, PA Jonesboro, AR Joplin, MO Joplin, MO Kalamazoo-Battle Creek, MI Kalamazoo-Battle Creek, MI Kalamazoo-Battle Creek, MI Kankakee, IL Kansas City, MO-KS Kansas City, MO-KS Kansas City, MO-KS Kansas City, MO-KS Kansas City, MO-KS Kansas City, MO-KS Kansas City, MO-KS Kansas City, MO-KS Kansas City, MO-KS Kansas City, MO-KS Kansas City, MO-KS Kenosha, WI Killeen-Temple, TX Killeen-Temple, TX Knoxville, TN Knoxville, TN Knoxville, TN Knoxville, TN Knoxville, TN Knoxville, TN 49,866 242,171 29,181 21,933 5,053 4,933 4,383 -8,743 -36,894 -48,233 20,235 21,045 6,951 33,512 20,184 -3,462 34,494 172,387 81,119 66,098 46,923 37,557 31,672 28,053 10,570 -3,521 -3,798 -11,377 41,300 108,497 35,381 56,621 25,550 17,554 6,190 -6,834 -9,206 202,404 851,548 136,647 174,863 58,748 22,583 61,221 14,632 43,131 103,997 102,721 126,009 59,689 272,389 158,277 72,887 138,371 626,901 736,678 250,875 121,130 195,386 114,302 96,964 39,067 29,505 15,252 12,005 191,369 347,494 110,586 439,430 131,794 56,777 77,897 11,033 62,079 32.7% 39.7% 27.2% 14.3% 9.4% 27.9% 7.7% -37.4% -46.1% -31.7% 24.5% 20.0% 13.2% 14.0% 14.6% -4.5% 33.2% 37.9% 12.4% 35.8% 63.2% 23.8% 38.3% 40.7% 37.1% -10.7% -19.9% -48.7% 27.5% 45.4% 47.0% 14.8% 24.0% 44.8% 8.6% -38.3% -12.9% 13,269 50,785 18,355 8,633 9,762 1,235 6,438 -1,636 -1,261 -30,756 19,182 17,757 12,100 26,271 -3,608 9,329 991 183,156 26,023 48,208 27,681 -14,446 31,340 13,917 6,837 3,062 3,081 1,972 27,126 79,980 18,264 61,998 28,298 10,513 30,007 6,098 3,818 152,538 609,377 107,465 152,930 53,695 17,650 56,838 23,375 80,025 152,230 82,486 104,964 52,738 238,877 138,093 76,349 103,877 454,514 655,559 184,777 74,207 157,828 82,630 68,911 28,497 33,026 19,050 23,382 150,069 238,997 75,205 382,808 106,244 39,223 71,707 17,867 71,285 18067 18159 55063 27055 18157 18023 22055 22099 22097 22001 22019 12105 42071 26065 26045 26037 48479 35013 32003 4015 32023 20045 40031 23001 21067 21209 21151 21239 21113 21017 21049 39011 39003 31109 5125 5045 5119 Howard Tipton La Crosse Houston Tippecanoe Clinton Lafayette St. Martin St. Landry Acadia Calcasieu Polk Lancaster Ingham Eaton Clinton Webb Dona Ana Clark Mohave Nye Douglas Comanche Androscoggin Fayette Scott Madison Woodford Jessamine Bourbon Clark Auglaize Allen Lancaster Saline Faulkner Pulaski Kokomo, IN Kokomo, IN La Crosse, WI-MN La Crosse, WI-MN Lafayette, IN Lafayette, IN Lafayette, LA Lafayette, LA Lafayette, LA Lafayette, LA Lake Charles, LA Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL Lancaster, PA Lansing-East Lansing, MI Lansing-East Lansing, MI Lansing-East Lansing, MI Laredo, TX Las Cruces, NM Las Vegas, NV-AZ Las Vegas, NV-AZ Las Vegas, NV-AZ Lawrence, KS Lawton, OK Lewiston-Auburn, ME Lexington, KY Lexington, KY Lexington, KY Lexington, KY Lexington, KY Lexington, KY Lexington, KY Lima, OH Lima, OH Lincoln, NE Little Rock-North Little Rock, AR Little Rock-North Little Rock, AR Little Rock-North Little Rock, AR 27,451 11,502 12,610 -3,827 60,073 31,432 23,485 -5,121 -14,794 -32,338 4,423 173,954 96,896 33,693 28,044 18,733 213,157 180,911 1,120,793 144,908 87,647 44,253 18,354 1,882 89,207 37,209 21,519 16,901 10,906 4,440 2,946 20,470 4,058 97,268 61,798 45,432 43,467 112,421 28,058 119,866 15,924 209,414 65,402 214,062 43,541 72,963 26,489 187,943 659,358 568,550 313,243 131,951 83,700 407,818 355,891 2,513,962 301,155 120,563 144,435 132,918 105,747 350,168 70,638 92,790 40,169 50,125 23,812 36,188 67,087 112,602 348,458 145,733 131,824 405,172 32.3% 69.5% 11.8% -19.4% 40.2% 92.5% 12.3% -10.5% -16.9% -55.0% 2.4% 35.8% 20.5% 12.1% 27.0% 28.8% 109.5% 103.4% 80.4% 92.7% 266.3% 44.2% 16.0% 1.8% 34.2% 111.3% 30.2% 72.6% 27.8% 22.9% 8.9% 43.9% 3.7% 38.7% 73.6% 52.6% 12.0% -1,804 -229 15,972 1,339 27,383 2,416 39,161 8,179 3,365 2,196 15,466 161,366 108,234 3,943 15,405 8,967 94,180 77,968 923,984 99,824 23,431 32,137 1,643 4,334 56,363 11,595 17,835 5,469 13,032 -3 4,860 3,952 -3,644 57,591 30,580 40,046 20,539 84,970 16,556 107,256 19,751 149,341 33,970 190,577 48,662 87,757 58,827 183,520 485,404 471,654 279,550 103,907 64,967 194,661 174,980 1,393,169 156,247 32,916 100,182 114,564 103,865 260,961 33,429 71,271 23,268 39,219 19,372 33,242 46,617 108,544 251,190 83,935 86,392 361,705 5085 48203 48183 48459 6037 21111 18019 21185 18043 21029 18143 18061 48303 51009 13153 13021 13225 13169 13289 55025 39139 39033 48215 41029 12009 47157 28033 47167 47047 5035 6047 12025 34023 34035 34019 55133 55131 Lonoke Harrison Gregg Upshur Los Angeles Jefferson Clark Oldham Floyd Bullitt Scott Harrison Lubbock Amherst Houston Bibb Peach Jones Twiggs Dane Richland Crawford Hidalgo Jackson Brevard Shelby DeSoto Tipton Fayette Crittenden Merced Miami-Dade Middlesex Somerset Hunterdon Waukesha Washington Little Rock-North Little Rock, AR Longview-Marshall, TX Longview-Marshall, TX Longview-Marshall, TX Los Angeles-Long Beach, CA Louisville, KY-IN Louisville, KY-IN Louisville, KY-IN Louisville, KY-IN Louisville, KY-IN Louisville, KY-IN Louisville, KY-IN Lubbock, TX Lynchburg, VA Macon, GA Macon, GA Macon, GA Macon, GA Macon, GA Madison, WI Mansfield, OH Mansfield, OH McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX Medford-Ashland, OR Melbourne-Titusville-Palm Bay, FL Memphis, TN-AR-MS Memphis, TN-AR-MS Memphis, TN-AR-MS Memphis, TN-AR-MS Memphis, TN-AR-MS Merced, CA Miami, FL Middlesex-Somerset-Hunterdon, NJ Middlesex-Somerset-Hunterdon, NJ Middlesex-Somerset-Hunterdon, NJ Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI 29,895 11,273 2,933 -4,207 1,414,155 77,165 34,956 32,014 26,190 25,375 14,722 13,228 42,590 -408 64,029 26,073 21,339 16,716 7,298 140,455 5,008 -11,868 396,458 103,137 145,575 120,989 88,075 27,573 -2,635 -3,383 215,010 722,061 217,676 178,269 51,410 112,029 54,931 83,055 73,353 114,221 31,172 11,000,000 770,993 131,751 79,038 97,078 87,016 37,771 47,730 285,480 31,486 175,338 179,884 45,145 40,409 17,890 568,854 133,793 35,027 970,381 284,977 623,407 1,019,176 196,677 79,139 26,486 47,608 426,643 2,982,303 970,807 477,129 174,005 474,105 172,895 56.2% 18.2% 2.6% -11.9% 14.8% 11.1% 36.1% 68.1% 36.9% 41.2% 63.9% 38.3% 17.5% -1.3% 57.5% 17.0% 89.6% 70.6% 68.9% 32.8% 3.9% -25.3% 69.1% 56.7% 30.5% 13.5% 81.1% 53.5% -9.0% -6.6% 101.6% 31.9% 28.9% 59.6% 41.9% 30.9% 46.6% 18,586 9,503 10,937 6,562 2,038,470 9,469 7,779 19,163 9,482 18,172 2,620 7,098 30,773 2,766 33,148 3,354 4,817 7,006 1,225 104,045 -2,331 -3,179 287,383 48,911 202,168 121,615 54,598 18,557 3,811 1,493 76,008 617,110 156,014 95,200 34,913 81,988 33,149 53,160 62,080 111,288 35,379 9,545,014 693,828 96,795 47,024 70,888 61,641 23,049 34,502 242,890 31,894 111,309 153,811 23,806 23,693 10,592 428,399 128,785 46,895 573,923 181,840 477,832 898,187 108,602 51,566 29,121 50,991 211,633 2,260,242 753,131 298,860 122,594 362,076 117,964 55089 55079 27053 27037 27163 27003 27123 27139 27019 27141 27171 27025 55109 27059 55093 30063 1003 1097 6099 34025 34029 22073 1051 1101 1001 18035 45051 12021 47149 47037 47187 47165 47189 47147 47021 47043 36103 Ozaukee Milwaukee Hennepin Dakota Washington Anoka Ramsey Scott Carver Sherburne Wright Chisago St. Croix Isanti Pierce Missoula Baldwin Mobile Stanislaus Monmouth Ocean Ouachita Elmore Montgomery Autauga Delaware Horry Collier Rutherford Davidson Williamson Sumner Wilson Robertson Cheatham Dickson Suffolk Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI Minneapolis-St. Paul, MN-WI Missoula, MT Mobile, AL Mobile, AL Modesto, CA Monmouth-Ocean, NJ Monmouth-Ocean, NJ Monroe, LA Montgomery, AL Montgomery, AL Montgomery, AL Muncie, IN Myrtle Beach, SC Naples, FL Nashville, TN Nashville, TN Nashville, TN Nashville, TN Nashville, TN Nashville, TN Nashville, TN Nashville, TN Nassau-Suffolk, NY 12,021 9,704 210,165 157,773 123,704 116,575 101,368 96,592 67,142 54,904 48,956 38,049 27,452 13,930 6,117 32,153 47,930 -1,823 247,120 138,434 103,571 -31,782 37,967 22,889 8,837 11,638 115,446 217,819 110,256 109,877 89,665 37,590 33,278 23,981 7,870 4,344 205,562 94,586 949,191 1,327,845 515,585 326,328 416,346 612,723 187,691 138,012 120,199 139,732 79,606 91,111 45,463 43,016 128,235 189,334 398,237 696,910 755,560 617,173 115,441 104,222 246,226 52,737 130,312 313,473 471,890 293,680 679,787 217,760 168,722 122,555 78,835 43,978 47,677 1,629,615 14.6% 1.0% 18.8% 44.1% 61.1% 38.9% 19.8% 106.0% 94.7% 84.1% 53.9% 91.6% 43.1% 44.2% 16.6% 33.5% 33.9% -0.5% 54.9% 22.4% 20.2% -21.6% 57.3% 10.2% 20.1% 9.8% 58.3% 85.7% 60.1% 19.3% 70.0% 28.7% 37.3% 43.7% 21.8% 10.0% 14.4% 15,436 -25,140 173,341 162,275 88,417 102,837 50,383 47,062 33,624 35,155 31,889 15,738 20,137 7,879 5,648 19,967 62,473 33,855 181,938 113,119 165,594 7,569 22,781 25,721 11,685 -9,720 95,558 166,567 98,677 91,568 69,590 44,911 33,071 17,734 14,467 13,203 138,898 82,565 939,487 1,117,680 357,812 202,624 299,771 511,355 91,099 70,870 65,295 90,776 41,557 63,659 31,533 36,899 96,082 141,404 400,060 449,790 617,126 513,602 147,223 66,255 223,337 43,900 118,674 198,027 254,071 183,424 569,910 128,095 131,131 89,277 54,854 36,108 43,333 1,424,053 36059 9001 9009 9011 22103 22051 22071 22093 22075 22095 22087 22089 36081 36047 36005 36061 36085 36119 36087 36079 34027 34039 34013 34041 34037 36071 42103 51550 51810 51800 37053 51093 51115 51073 6001 6013 12083 Nassau Fairfield New Haven New London St. Tammany Jefferson Orleans St. James Plaquemines St. John the Baptist St. Bernard St. Charles Queens Kings Bronx New York Richmond Westchester Rockland Putnam Morris Union Essex Warren Sussex Orange Pike Chesapeake (Independent City) Virginia Beach (Independent City) Suffolk (Independent City) Currituck Isle of Wight Mathews Gloucester Alameda Contra Costa Marion Nassau-Suffolk, NY New Haven-Bridgprt-Stamfrd-Danbry-Wtrbry, CT New Haven-Bridgprt-Stamfrd-Danbry-Wtrbry, CT New London-Norwich, CT New Orleans, LA New Orleans, LA New Orleans, LA New Orleans, LA New Orleans, LA New Orleans, LA New Orleans, LA New Orleans, LA New York, NY New York, NY New York, NY New York, NY New York, NY New York, NY New York, NY New York, NY Newark, NJ Newark, NJ Newark, NJ Newark, NJ Newark, NJ Newburgh, NY-PA Newburgh, NY-PA Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News, VA-NC Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News, VA-NC Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News, VA-NC Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News, VA-NC Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News, VA-NC Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News, VA-NC Norfolk-Virginia Beach-Newport News, VA-NC Oakland, CA Oakland, CA Ocala, FL 164,147 158,955 66,439 22,822 45,235 -6,804 -18,296 -21,194 -26,746 -39,592 -47,531 -48,196 610,051 413,431 297,217 212,669 149,100 147,890 84,555 54,367 153,386 146,132 113,454 43,049 35,962 63,544 19,325 97,883 61,760 26,207 22,483 15,813 3,994 1,904 412,117 358,894 126,184 1,500,505 1,043,559 891,426 282,282 237,499 447,893 465,271 0 0 3,547 19,484 0 2,840,947 2,879,690 1,631,465 1,752,938 594,506 1,073,816 371,990 150,485 624,756 669,296 905,882 146,023 180,636 406,572 65,974 298,329 488,425 90,452 40,823 45,696 13,199 36,785 1,862,524 1,312,457 386,474 12.3% 18.0% 8.1% 8.8% 23.5% -1.5% -3.8% -100.0% -100.0% -91.8% -70.9% -100.0% 27.3% 16.8% 22.3% 13.8% 33.5% 16.0% 29.4% 56.6% 32.5% 27.9% 14.3% 41.8% 24.9% 18.5% 41.4% 48.8% 14.5% 40.8% 122.6% 52.9% 43.4% 5.5% 28.4% 37.6% 48.5% 15,719 75,901 62,921 20,232 80,281 -1,344 -74,990 -370 645 10,852 2,620 10,713 336,600 232,473 165,845 111,898 92,385 58,999 27,900 18,713 63,169 18,769 -56,948 18,385 28,087 82,516 28,273 85,513 161,844 16,641 7,225 8,264 1,189 14,617 340,476 294,780 136,072 1,336,358 884,604 824,987 259,460 192,264 454,697 483,567 21,194 26,746 43,139 67,015 48,196 2,230,896 2,466,259 1,334,248 1,540,269 445,406 925,926 287,435 96,118 471,370 523,164 792,428 102,974 144,674 343,028 46,649 200,446 426,665 64,245 18,340 29,883 9,205 34,881 1,450,407 953,563 260,290 48135 48329 40109 40027 40017 40087 40083 40125 53067 31055 31153 19155 31025 31177 6059 12095 12097 12117 12069 21059 12005 54107 39167 12113 12033 17179 17143 17203 42091 42029 42017 34005 34015 34007 42045 34033 42101 Ector Midland Oklahoma Cleveland Canadian McClain Logan Pottawatomie Thurston Douglas Sarpy Pottawattamie Cass Washington Orange Orange Osceola Seminole Lake Daviess Bay Wood Washington Santa Rosa Escambia Tazewell Peoria Woodford Montgomery Chester Bucks Burlington Gloucester Camden Delaware Salem Philadelphia Odessa-Midland, TX Odessa-Midland, TX Oklahoma City, OK Oklahoma City, OK Oklahoma City, OK Oklahoma City, OK Oklahoma City, OK Oklahoma City, OK Olympia, WA Omaha, NE-IA Omaha, NE-IA Omaha, NE-IA Omaha, NE-IA Omaha, NE-IA Orange County, CA Orlando, FL Orlando, FL Orlando, FL Orlando, FL Owensboro, KY Panama City, FL Parkersburg-Marietta, WV-OH Parkersburg-Marietta, WV-OH Pensacola, FL Pensacola, FL Peoria-Pekin, IL Peoria-Pekin, IL Peoria-Pekin, IL Philadelphia, PA-NJ Philadelphia, PA-NJ Philadelphia, PA-NJ Philadelphia, PA-NJ Philadelphia, PA-NJ Philadelphia, PA-NJ Philadelphia, PA-NJ Philadelphia, PA-NJ Philadelphia, PA-NJ 60,004 53,642 118,044 53,695 27,256 8,418 -9,602 -21,169 42,768 113,508 62,846 32,452 23,344 12,790 853,954 433,910 197,558 179,452 121,889 -3,181 36,533 -2,339 -13,607 76,584 48,497 22,752 22,635 2,947 150,097 115,493 113,723 93,862 68,544 58,274 41,766 -16,298 -21,309 180,707 169,171 779,633 262,057 115,456 36,265 24,350 44,531 251,132 578,014 186,037 120,431 47,742 31,587 3,710,400 1,336,228 371,727 546,462 334,717 88,423 184,776 85,552 49,574 195,059 342,774 151,227 205,843 38,450 901,053 551,241 713,111 518,507 323,851 566,979 593,919 47,925 1,492,375 49.7% 46.4% 17.8% 25.8% 30.9% 30.2% -28.3% -32.2% 20.5% 24.4% 51.0% 36.9% 95.7% 68.0% 29.9% 48.1% 113.4% 48.9% 57.3% -3.5% 24.6% -2.7% -21.5% 64.6% 16.5% 17.7% 12.4% 8.3% 20.0% 26.5% 19.0% 22.1% 26.8% 11.5% 7.6% -25.4% -1.4% 3,651 31,572 89,951 73,860 30,995 7,435 6,916 10,045 83,039 66,930 36,663 1,428 4,095 3,254 908,379 427,576 123,535 185,042 106,947 5,512 49,925 -5,719 -1,057 61,872 59,049 -3,566 -17,237 2,087 106,501 117,728 118,364 61,031 54,800 35,915 -2,256 -424 -171,750 120,703 115,529 661,589 208,362 88,200 27,847 33,952 65,700 208,364 464,506 123,191 87,979 24,398 18,797 2,856,446 902,318 174,169 367,010 212,828 91,604 148,243 87,891 63,181 118,474 294,277 128,475 183,208 35,503 750,956 435,748 599,388 424,645 255,307 508,705 552,153 64,223 1,513,684 4013 4021 5069 42019 42051 42129 42125 42007 42003 25003 16005 23005 41067 53011 41051 41005 41071 41009 44007 44001 44003 44009 49049 8101 12015 55101 37183 37063 37101 37037 37135 37069 46103 42011 6089 32031 53021 Maricopa Pinal Jefferson Butler Fayette Westmoreland Washington Beaver Allegheny Berkshire Bannock Cumberland Washington Clark Multnomah Clackamas Yamhill Columbia Providence Bristol Kent Washington Utah Pueblo Charlotte Racine Wake Durham Johnston Chatham Orange Franklin Pennington Berks Shasta Washoe Franklin Phoenix-Mesa, AZ Phoenix-Mesa, AZ Pine Bluff, AR Pittsburgh, PA Pittsburgh, PA Pittsburgh, PA Pittsburgh, PA Pittsburgh, PA Pittsburgh, PA Pittsfield, MA Pocatello, ID Portland, ME Portland-Vancouver, OR-WA Portland-Vancouver, OR-WA Portland-Vancouver, OR-WA Portland-Vancouver, OR-WA Portland-Vancouver, OR-WA Portland-Vancouver, OR-WA Providence-Warwick-Pawtucket, RI Providence-Warwick-Pawtucket, RI Providence-Warwick-Pawtucket, RI Providence-Warwick-Pawtucket, RI Provo-Orem, UT Pueblo, CO Punta Gorda, FL Racine, WI Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill, NC Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill, NC Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill, NC Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill, NC Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill, NC Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill, NC Rapid City, SD Reading, PA Redding, CA Reno, NV Richland-Kennewick-Pasco, WA 1,547,026 192,012 -7,693 25,336 -401 -8,249 -9,654 -19,552 -48,588 -2,750 20,306 28,451 266,919 192,723 186,382 134,489 47,808 6,400 83,675 30,248 27,163 26,788 160,268 81,719 36,808 29,126 392,122 129,104 127,335 70,353 69,053 49,429 788 67,888 8,631 259,487 115,505 4,643,369 373,444 76,526 199,906 148,096 361,519 193,357 161,589 1,231,395 132,059 95,888 294,410 715,361 540,216 847,774 474,065 133,092 50,070 706,414 80,985 194,663 150,801 531,128 223,557 179,076 218,111 1,025,270 353,647 250,626 120,062 185,066 97,031 89,559 442,355 172,457 600,804 165,060 50.0% 105.8% -9.1% 14.5% -0.3% -2.2% -4.8% -10.8% -3.8% -2.0% 26.9% 10.7% 59.5% 55.5% 28.2% 39.6% 56.1% 14.7% 13.4% 59.6% 16.2% 21.6% 43.2% 57.6% 25.9% 15.4% 61.9% 57.5% 103.3% 141.5% 59.5% 103.8% 0.9% 18.1% 5.3% 76.0% 233.1% 1,575,503 90,090 -6,503 26,471 -10,588 -22,526 -13,947 -22,860 -168,271 -10,272 9,932 49,563 200,680 154,263 97,786 96,719 29,652 7,947 50,259 3,910 13,281 30,419 150,967 15,826 82,796 16,006 329,792 71,707 52,482 16,160 38,747 17,462 18,287 61,451 47,236 145,945 14,292 3,096,343 181,432 84,219 174,570 148,497 369,768 203,011 181,141 1,279,982 134,809 75,582 265,959 448,442 347,493 661,392 339,576 85,284 43,670 622,739 50,737 167,500 124,013 370,860 141,838 142,268 188,985 633,148 224,543 123,291 49,709 116,013 47,602 88,771 374,467 163,826 341,317 49,555 53005 51041 51087 51085 51145 51075 51127 51036 6065 6071 51023 27109 36055 36069 36037 36117 36051 36073 17201 17007 17141 37127 37065 6067 6061 6017 26145 26111 26017 41047 41053 6053 49035 49011 49057 48451 48029 Benton Chesterfield Henrico Hanover Powhatan Goochland New Kent Charles City Riverside San Bernardino Botetourt Olmsted Monroe Ontario Genesee Wayne Livingston Orleans Winnebago Boone Ogle Nash Edgecombe Sacramento Placer El Dorado Saginaw Midland Bay Marion Polk Monterey Salt Lake Davis Weber Tom Green Bexar Richland-Kennewick-Pasco, WA Richmond-Petersburg, VA Richmond-Petersburg, VA Richmond-Petersburg, VA Richmond-Petersburg, VA Richmond-Petersburg, VA Richmond-Petersburg, VA Richmond-Petersburg, VA Riverside-San Bernardino, CA Riverside-San Bernardino, CA Roanoke, VA Rochester, MN Rochester, NY Rochester, NY Rochester, NY Rochester, NY Rochester, NY Rochester, NY Rockford, IL Rockford, IL Rockford, IL Rocky Mount, NC Rocky Mount, NC Sacramento, CA Sacramento, CA Sacramento, CA Saginaw-Bay City-Midland, MI Saginaw-Bay City-Midland, MI Saginaw-Bay City-Midland, MI Salem, OR Salem, OR Salinas, CA Salt Lake City-Ogden, UT Salt Lake City-Ogden, UT Salt Lake City-Ogden, UT San Angelo, TX San Antonio, TX 90,056 103,604 100,560 73,387 71,236 37,092 32,562 -6,929 681,484 569,074 21,649 69,929 26,555 -9,212 -23,423 -24,492 -27,988 -33,150 84,803 60,279 32,029 42,400 32,897 302,821 158,330 77,820 24,964 20,374 1,690 109,906 28,650 228,776 284,412 70,306 65,312 27,165 374,932 233,147 364,564 363,833 160,394 93,847 54,029 46,098 0 2,241,310 2,288,002 52,215 194,773 762,232 91,186 36,901 69,276 36,395 11,028 363,748 102,348 83,194 130,155 88,195 1,532,860 409,614 234,996 234,912 103,399 111,812 395,487 91,299 631,809 1,185,036 310,632 262,737 131,107 1,772,749 62.9% 39.7% 38.2% 84.3% 315.1% 219.0% 240.6% -100.0% 43.7% 33.1% 70.8% 56.0% 3.6% -9.2% -38.8% -26.1% -43.5% -75.0% 30.4% 143.3% 62.6% 48.3% 59.5% 24.6% 63.0% 49.5% 11.9% 24.5% 1.5% 38.5% 45.7% 56.8% 31.6% 29.3% 33.1% 26.1% 26.8% 32,839 118,185 82,205 36,446 9,559 5,166 4,730 226 890,353 815,972 7,255 32,491 32,374 11,356 828 8,996 7,298 5,652 27,866 13,319 4,743 20,378 -788 441,764 132,952 70,619 -17,425 9,143 -9,915 80,073 17,308 110,627 276,617 92,441 52,020 18,619 402,676 143,091 260,960 263,273 87,007 22,611 16,937 13,536 6,929 1,559,826 1,718,928 30,566 124,844 735,677 100,398 60,324 93,768 64,383 44,178 278,945 42,069 51,165 87,755 55,298 1,230,039 251,284 157,176 209,948 83,025 110,122 285,581 62,649 403,033 900,624 240,325 197,425 103,942 1,397,817 48187 48091 48493 6073 6075 6081 6041 6085 6079 6083 6087 35049 35028 6097 12081 12115 13103 13051 13029 42079 42131 42069 42037 53033 53061 53029 42085 55117 48181 22015 22017 22119 31043 19193 46099 46083 18141 Guadalupe Comal Wilson San Diego San Francisco San Mateo Marin Santa Clara San Luis Obispo Santa Barbara Santa Cruz Santa Fe Los Alamos Sonoma Manatee Sarasota Effingham Chatham Bryan Luzerne Wyoming Lackawanna Columbia King Snohomish Island Mercer Sheboygan Grayson Bossier Caddo Webster Dakota Woodbury Minnehaha Lincoln St. Joseph San Antonio, TX San Antonio, TX San Antonio, TX San Diego, CA San Francisco, CA San Francisco, CA San Francisco, CA San Jose, CA San Luis Obispo-Atascadero-Paso Robles, CA Santa Barbara-Santa Maria-Lompoc, CA Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA Santa Fe, NM Santa Fe, NM Santa Rosa, CA Sarasota-Bradenton, FL Sarasota-Bradenton, FL Savannah, GA Savannah, GA Savannah, GA Scranton-Wilkes-Barre-Hazleton, PA Scranton-Wilkes-Barre-Hazleton, PA Scranton-Wilkes-Barre-Hazleton, PA Scranton-Wilkes-Barre-Hazleton, PA Seattle-Bellevue-Everett, WA Seattle-Bellevue-Everett, WA Seattle-Bellevue-Everett, WA Sharon, PA Sheboygan, WI Sherman-Denison, TX Shreveport-Bossier City, LA Shreveport-Bossier City, LA Shreveport-Bossier City, LA Sioux City, IA-NE Sioux City, IA-NE Sioux Falls, SD Sioux Falls, SD South Bend, IN 73,332 68,354 44,042 634,780 315,630 292,084 168,590 497,900 96,291 170,907 156,829 152,538 71,587 200,535 100,606 96,613 55,893 33,331 30,019 -13,730 -14,910 -17,099 -26,520 424,664 238,509 4,726 -32,073 13,685 28,292 10,320 -4,373 -29,886 76,115 50,740 51,965 38,845 40,572 163,217 147,142 76,755 3,459,858 1,092,232 1,000,422 416,201 2,184,374 343,969 570,653 412,611 282,353 89,882 660,873 366,310 423,625 93,695 265,305 53,557 304,849 13,114 195,805 37,585 2,163,580 847,677 76,569 88,113 126,439 139,304 108,935 247,559 11,849 96,393 154,589 200,954 63,394 306,433 81.6% 86.8% 134.6% 22.5% 40.6% 41.2% 68.1% 29.5% 38.9% 42.8% 61.3% 117.5% 391.3% 43.6% 37.9% 29.5% 147.9% 14.4% 127.5% -4.3% -53.2% -8.0% -41.4% 24.4% 39.2% 6.6% -26.7% 12.1% 25.5% 10.5% -1.7% -71.6% 375.4% 48.9% 34.9% 158.2% 15.3% 42,793 42,069 15,894 949,458 95,772 119,896 24,667 384,959 90,892 99,555 66,477 53,943 703 158,752 115,442 122,550 19,409 28,933 13,281 -24,056 1,571 -15,029 2,036 462,391 268,623 27,534 -8,019 11,847 20,894 17,330 -1,069 -1,923 3,646 2,856 39,352 10,615 24,509 89,885 78,788 32,713 2,825,078 776,602 708,338 247,611 1,686,474 247,678 399,746 255,782 129,815 18,295 460,338 265,704 327,012 37,802 231,974 23,538 318,579 28,024 212,904 64,105 1,738,916 609,168 71,843 120,186 112,754 111,012 98,615 251,932 41,735 20,278 103,849 148,989 24,549 265,861 53063 17167 17129 25013 25015 29043 29077 29225 27145 27009 29021 29003 29183 29189 29099 17119 17133 17163 17083 29113 29071 17027 29219 29510 42027 54029 54009 39081 6077 45085 36067 36053 36011 36075 53053 12073 12039 Spokane Sangamon Menard Hampden Hampshire Christian Greene Webster Stearns Benton Buchanan Andrew St. Charles St. Louis Jefferson Madison Monroe St. Clair Jersey Lincoln Franklin Clinton Warren St. Louis (Independent City) Centre Hancock Brooke Jefferson San Joaquin Sumter Onondaga Madison Cayuga Oswego Pierce Leon Gadsden Spokane, WA Springfield, IL Springfield, IL Springfield, MA Springfield, MA Springfield, MO Springfield, MO Springfield, MO St. Cloud, MN St. Cloud, MN St. Joseph, MO St. Joseph, MO St. Louis, MO-IL St. Louis, MO-IL St. Louis, MO-IL St. Louis, MO-IL St. Louis, MO-IL St. Louis, MO-IL St. Louis, MO-IL St. Louis, MO-IL St. Louis, MO-IL St. Louis, MO-IL St. Louis, MO-IL St. Louis, MO-IL State College, PA Steubenville-Weirton, OH-WV Steubenville-Weirton, OH-WV Steubenville-Weirton, OH-WV Stockton-Lodi, CA Sumter, SC Syracuse, NY Syracuse, NY Syracuse, NY Syracuse, NY Tacoma, WA Tallahassee, FL Tallahassee, FL 118,094 45,695 9,465 14,845 2,477 47,996 32,971 3,079 17,641 2,742 -16,049 -16,536 119,526 63,571 53,262 40,149 33,375 19,079 14,039 13,249 11,899 10,960 -7,695 -33,793 -1,221 -186 -4,477 -16,288 268,931 29,953 -24,414 -36,066 -56,550 -62,809 151,866 114,644 54,783 536,767 234,745 21,979 471,332 154,939 102,947 273,596 34,328 151,235 37,224 70,002 0 405,690 1,079,951 252,056 299,247 61,142 275,337 35,708 52,506 105,962 46,516 17,041 312,975 134,758 32,436 20,894 57,390 837,094 134,694 434,030 33,378 25,388 59,728 855,827 354,669 99,836 28.2% 24.2% 75.6% 3.3% 1.6% 87.3% 13.7% 9.9% 13.2% 8.0% -18.7% -100.0% 41.8% 6.3% 26.8% 15.5% 120.2% 7.4% 64.8% 33.8% 12.7% 30.8% -31.1% -9.7% -0.9% -0.6% -17.6% -22.1% 47.3% 28.6% -5.3% -51.9% -69.0% -51.3% 21.6% 47.8% 121.6% 75,734 12,988 796 12,877 13,380 32,490 54,969 10,783 25,131 9,163 -1,681 2,520 140,914 41,420 52,121 11,539 7,573 -11,272 1,071 17,028 22,709 2,718 9,712 -104,344 22,848 -8,339 -5,711 -17,624 217,859 16,005 -5,288 4,187 1,986 8,762 215,207 90,233 3,300 418,673 189,050 12,514 456,487 152,462 54,951 240,625 31,249 133,594 34,482 86,051 16,536 286,164 1,016,380 198,794 259,098 27,767 256,258 21,669 39,257 94,063 35,556 24,736 346,768 135,979 32,622 25,371 73,678 568,163 104,741 458,444 69,444 81,938 122,537 703,961 240,025 45,053 12057 12103 12101 12053 18167 18165 18021 5091 48037 39051 39173 39095 20177 34021 4019 40143 40131 40145 40113 40037 1125 48423 36065 36043 6095 6055 6111 48469 34011 6107 48309 24031 51107 24033 51013 24021 51179 Hillsborough Pinellas Pasco Hernando Vigo Vermillion Clay Miller Bowie Fulton Wood Lucas Shawnee Mercer Pima Tulsa Rogers Wagoner Osage Creek Tuscaloosa Smith Oneida Herkimer Solano Napa Ventura Victoria Cumberland Tulare McLennan Montgomery Loudoun Prince George's Arlington Frederick Stafford Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL Terre Haute, IN Terre Haute, IN Terre Haute, IN Texarkana, TX-Texarkana AR Texarkana, TX-Texarkana AR Toledo, OH Toledo, OH Toledo, OH Topeka, KS Trenton, NJ Tucson, AZ Tulsa, OK Tulsa, OK Tulsa, OK Tulsa, OK Tulsa, OK Tuscaloosa, AL Tyler, TX Utica-Rome, NY Utica-Rome, NY Vallejo-Fairfield-Napa, CA Vallejo-Fairfield-Napa, CA Ventura, CA Victoria, TX Vineland-Millville-Bridgeton, NJ Visalia-Tulare-Porterville, CA Waco, TX Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV 321,649 143,785 97,293 24,965 17,407 9,649 5,801 6,539 3,077 15,265 10,702 9,800 28,967 113,600 380,615 92,864 9,126 536 -5,170 -6,959 5,708 51,100 -36,758 -59,174 178,982 152,272 269,157 19,492 33,559 174,369 48,814 326,464 230,667 209,605 176,822 102,482 63,448 1,324,731 1,065,993 444,648 156,457 123,125 26,427 32,359 46,988 92,360 57,408 131,910 464,693 199,014 465,180 1,229,259 656,606 80,487 58,269 39,377 60,594 170,773 226,508 198,450 5,217 576,148 276,858 1,025,782 103,509 179,933 543,214 262,815 1,204,245 404,607 1,013,254 366,145 299,077 157,067 32.1% 15.6% 28.0% 19.0% 16.5% 57.5% 21.8% 16.2% 3.4% 36.2% 8.8% 2.2% 17.0% 32.3% 44.8% 16.5% 12.8% 0.9% -11.6% -10.3% 3.5% 29.1% -15.6% -91.9% 45.1% 122.2% 35.6% 23.2% 22.9% 47.3% 22.8% 37.2% 132.6% 26.1% 93.4% 52.1% 67.8% 351,249 189,341 150,795 85,777 -6,530 -1,474 1,757 2,580 13,773 4,366 13,465 -16,751 14,913 43,784 312,864 90,543 24,507 15,587 5,149 8,149 27,234 46,092 -18,352 -2,272 159,710 25,255 223,798 14,640 13,286 121,419 42,547 295,728 116,175 137,280 35,960 80,889 52,907 1,003,082 922,208 347,355 131,492 105,718 16,778 26,558 40,449 89,283 42,143 121,208 454,893 170,047 351,580 848,644 563,742 71,361 57,733 44,547 67,553 165,065 175,408 235,208 64,391 397,166 124,586 756,625 84,017 146,374 368,845 214,001 877,781 173,940 803,649 189,323 196,595 93,619 24009 11001 24017 51061 54003 51047 54037 51187 51043 51099 19013 55073 12099 54051 54069 39013 48485 48009 20173 20015 20079 42081 37129 37019 10003 24015 53077 6113 42133 39155 39029 39099 6101 6115 4027 Calvert District of Columbia Charles Fauquier Berkeley Culpeper Jefferson Warren Clarke King George Black Hawk Marathon Palm Beach Marshall Ohio Belmont Wichita Archer Sedgwick Butler Harvey Lycoming New Hanover Brunswick New Castle Cecil Yakima Yolo York Trumbull Columbiana Mahoning Sutter Yuba Yuma Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA Wausau, WI West Palm Beach-Boca Raton, FL Wheeling, WV-OH Wheeling, WV-OH Wheeling, WV-OH Wichita Falls, TX Wichita Falls, TX Wichita, KS Wichita, KS Wichita, KS Williamsport, PA Wilmington, NC Wilmington, NC Wilmington-Newark, DE-MD Wilmington-Newark, DE-MD Yakima, WA Yolo, CA York, PA Youngstown-Warren, OH Youngstown-Warren, OH Youngstown-Warren, OH Yuba City, CA Yuba City, CA Yuma, AZ 53,916 43,635 40,613 38,174 32,718 21,578 18,009 16,350 16,174 -1,040 26,620 18,751 466,127 -12,423 -26,563 -34,829 31,990 -8,974 116,876 22,614 5,166 1,433 77,168 39,776 124,523 31,559 122,911 167,084 76,931 6,347 -2,063 -15,058 108,149 53,172 236,192 129,107 615,072 161,894 93,743 109,148 56,070 60,453 48,069 28,883 15,847 154,522 144,653 1,601,782 22,974 20,771 35,290 163,348 0 570,339 82,304 38,046 121,368 237,831 113,526 626,373 118,027 345,620 336,850 459,651 231,288 110,039 241,986 187,317 113,512 396,899 71.7% 7.6% 33.5% 68.7% 42.8% 62.6% 42.4% 51.5% 127.3% -6.2% 20.8% 14.9% 41.0% -35.1% -56.1% -49.7% 24.4% -100.0% 25.8% 37.9% 15.7% 1.2% 48.0% 53.9% 24.8% 36.5% 55.2% 98.4% 20.1% 2.8% -1.8% -5.9% 136.6% 88.1% 147.0% 40,307 -66,847 47,815 19,499 29,435 11,770 12,010 10,463 2,708 6,338 -10,111 14,656 549,913 -6,135 -14,010 -12,345 9,792 1,650 84,759 14,623 2,254 1,664 56,751 37,676 103,322 25,878 49,591 55,975 69,121 -16,765 -1,326 -31,645 26,588 10,532 69,314 75,191 571,437 121,281 55,569 76,430 34,492 42,444 31,719 12,709 16,887 127,902 125,902 1,135,655 35,397 47,334 70,119 131,358 8,974 453,463 59,690 32,880 119,935 160,663 73,750 501,850 86,468 222,709 169,766 382,720 224,941 112,102 257,044 79,168 60,340 160,707