Oslo 23 October 2013
To IAMC: Ongoing research at CICERO
There are several ongoing projects at CICERO on mitigation and adaptation that might be of general interest
for the IAMC community.
1) Project name: Large developing economies: current and future contributions to climate change, on
the economic and climate impact of a policy in China stabilizing CO2-emissions at the 2015 level
combined with a policy for reducing the urban rural income gap. The project ended earlier this year,
but the issue of linking policies, economic development and income distribution to climate will be
continued. Related working papers:
Glomsrød, S., T. WEI, B. Aamaas, M. Lund, B. Samset (2013). “A policy for a warmer society and a
colder climate: How China can mitigate global warming and reduce poverty?”
WEI, T., Q. ZHU, and S. Glomsrød (2013). “Energy spending and household characteristics of
floating population: Evidence from Shanghai”
Glomsrød, S., T. Wei, J. Yu, and A. Orlov (2013). “Modeling behavior of rural households in China:
Increasing the relevance for analysis of economic growth, income distribution and climate policy”
Wik, M., K. Kristoffersen, and Q. Shi (2013). “Energy consumption in Shanxi province, China:
Drivers behind rural household energy use”
2) Project name: Climate change and Chinese agriculture: Ongoing research on the impact of climate
change on yields, farmers’ behavior and food markets in China and globally, including autonomous
adaptation through the farmers’ incentives. Ongoing work: Statistical analysis of effect of climate
variables on yields taking climate and economic variables into account. Related working papers:
WEI, T., S. Glomsrød, and T. ZHANG (2013). “A scenario analysis on adaptation to impacts of
precipitation on crop harvests in China”
3) Project name: Tool-supported policy development for regional adaptation (ToPDAd). An EU project,
coordinated by VTT in Finland. The project develops state-of-the-art socioeconomic methods and
tools for an integrated assessment supporting decision making for regional adaptation to climate
change. It involves a range of models that address impacts and adaptation within energy and transport
sectors, as well as models for tourism, and address the integration and communication of results from
the various models for decision making purposes. Related working papers:
Aaheim, A. (2013): “Integration of models for decision making purposes.” CICERO, 01.10.13
4) Project name: Himalayan Climate Change Adaptation programme (HICAP): This is a joint project
with ICIMOD in Nepal and GRID Arendal. It addresses impacts of climate change in the Hindi-Kush
Himalayan region, with a particular focus on mountain people. An integrated model is used to assess
the economic impacts of climate projections for the region and further to derive the possible
consequences for the livelihood of people in selected areas.
5) Project name: Climate Change Impacts and Mitigation in Tanzania (CCIAM): A broad project on
climate impacts and adaptation in agriculture and forestry in Tanzania with Norwegian and Tanzanian
partners, coordinated jointly by Univ. of Life Sciences in Norway and Sokoine University in Tanzania.
Integrated modeling is used to assess implications for smallholder farmers from a combination of
local climatic changes and structural economic consequences of climate change impacts. Related
working papers:
Aaheim, A., J.H. Garcia (2013): “Synergies between adaptation and mitigation and the complexity of
REDD+”, in A. Markandya, I. Galarraga, E. Sainz de Murieta (ed.) (2013): Routledge
Handbook of the Economics of Climate Change Adaptation, Routledge
6) Project name: Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation in the Forest Plantation Sector (MAFOR):
Collaboration with Indian Institute of Science in Bangalore. The project aims at a model-based
assessment of future options for the management of Indian forests under climate change, focusing on
potential synergies between mitigation and adaptation strategies, with inclusion of possible REDD+
initiatives, including implications of climate change for REDD+. Related working papers:
Garcia, J.H., A. Aaheim (2013): “Funding carbon sequestration in foreign countries with
multiple purposes of forest management”
7) Project name(s): Implications and Risks of Engineering Solar Radiation to Limit Climate Change
(IMPLICC)/European Trans-disciplinary Assessment of Climate Engineering (EuTRACE). Two EU
projects coordinated by Max Planck Institute (IMPLICC) and IASS in Potsdam, Germany
(EuTRACE). The projects assess impacts of climate engineering. The integrated model is used to
address the economic consequences of two solar radiation management technologies (cloud
brightening and sulphur injection), by explicitly linking the economic impacts of climate change to
projections from earth system models. Related working papers:
Aaheim, A., T. Wei, B. Romstad (2013): “Costs and benefits of shifting future pathway from RCP8.5
to RCP4.5”
Aaheim, A., B. Romstad, T. Wei, J.-E. Kristjansson, H. Muri, U. Niemeier, H. Schmidt (2013): “An
economic evaluation of solar radiation management“
8) International carbon trade. Related working papers:
Liu, Y., and T. Wei (2013). “Interaction of climate and energy policies: Effects of sectoral trading
between EU and China”
Underdal, A., T. Wei, S. Kallbekken and S. Glomsrød (2013). “Distributive fairness in a world of
stark asymmetries: a mutual recognition approach”
9) The global economy and rebound effect: Related working papers:
Glomsrød, S. and T. Wei (2013). “China and the Copenhagen Accord – the effects of energy
efficiency improvement in global interaction.”